Cost estimation is a critical task due to the small margins between production cost and selling price in a competitive market. For machining companies, this process is complex because of the high amount of variation occurring. An intelligent software system provides accurate cost estimation based on 3D CAD models.
1. Manufacturing Day Page 1
May 10th, 2011
TechniQuote
Automated cost calculation
of complex parts
L. Berteloot
Software Department manager
Cetim - France
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
2. Manufacturing Day Page 2
May 10th, 2011
0706-05-GB
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
3. Manufacturing Day The French Technological Institute Page 3
May 10th, 2011 for mechanics
Governed by Articles
L342.1 to L342.13
of the Code of Research
Steered by mechanical industrialists
under the State’s supervision
Founded in 1965
700 people
with 56% engineers
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
4. Manufacturing Day Making Technological choices Page 4
May 10th, 2011 for the future
Mechatronics
Design Simulation 4 Inspection
Tests Measurement
Technological
axes
Materials - Processes Sustainable
development
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
5. Manufacturing Day Page 5
May 10th, 2011 Transfering of Technology to mechanical
Small and Medium Companies
Permanent information
30,000 visitors 15 technical days 2 international 800 participants to
every month
60 mechanical mondays congresses flash Midest lectures
More than 30 000 30 new performance reports
technical calls/year 10 new issues/year
Catalogues: Training, Publishing, Software
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
6. Manufacturing Day Page 6
May 10th, 2011
Automated cost calculation
for complex parts
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Introduction
TIME, COST and PRICE
• 3 different terms for a single concept COSTING
Remark : Time will be also used for Delay
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Costing of complex parts
A part is complex by:
Geometry
Precision
Quantity of details
Manufacturing process
Assembly (number of parts and their types)
Standards
Costing can become complex with informal aspects :
Importance for company (stakes and risks)
Delay to cost
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
What is in Technical Cost ?
Technical Cost = Supply Cost + Manufacturing Cost
• Cost = f(Quantity, Machine and Tools, Process, Labour Rate)
Supply Cost
preparation (bar, forged, casted)
Losses (cutting mark, clamping, off cut)
Manufacturing Cost :
O&M department
Prep. (machine / tools), Mounting
Machining + Tool Cost
Subcontracting (painting, treatment, …)
Controlling, Assembling, Logistics
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
What is NOT in Technical Cost ?
Margins problem are complex and multiple :
• Real margins : price = cost (1+ margin)
Manufacturing, Supplying, Subcontracting,
• Hided costs
Commercial or organization costs,
Machine occupation rate, return on invest
Non estimated activities (logistics, transportation, controlling, …)
• Risk coverage percentage
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Costing : a global concept for company
• Engineering : COST
Design to cost
Value engineering
• Manufacturing : TIME* and COST
Process optimization
Anticipation of working load
Data Flow optimization
Best practices
• Sales/Procurement : COST and PRICE
Shorten delay for quotation
Increase precision and reliability of tenders
Argue a quotation
• Management : COST
Decision making aids (delocalization, investment, politics and strategy)
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Why using an automated cost calculation ?
What is the job of a Cost expert ?
Analyse and consultation
Optimize process
Estimate Time and Cost
Remark : Delay and Risk
First reasons :
Faster and more precise One solution
Optimization by simulation The solution
Main reasons:
Repetitiveness, Reliability, Simulation tool
Customizable (Costing know-how capitalization)
Integration in the numerical chain (CAD-Costing-ERP)
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
13. Manufacturing Day Page 13
May 10th, 2011
Costing : different approaches
• Qualitative
Intuitive or empirical
From personal experience
Analogical
Search tool
• Quantitative (calculation tool)
Analytical
Exhaustive description of all the process operations
Parametrical
Parameterization of analytical approach
Statistical
“Black box” system with variables ex : pomp (flow rate, power, efficiency, rotation,…)
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Intuitive Approach
• Unformal analogical approach
• No real tool aids (sometime : excel file)
cross-multiplication
extrapolation
direct costing without feedback loops
• Implementation
Based on personal experience and feeling
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Analogical approach
• Concept
Database of part references with specific description and cost
Search engine or multicriteria request to find closest references
Interpolation to estimate Cost
• Problem : how do you valorize differences ?
dimension, material
serie
• Implementation
Collect data on part description with associated cost
Formalize of part description
Determinate cost drivers
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Analytical Approach
• Description of the operational process
“Exhaustive” list of all the required operations
Calculation of TIME (Raw material, Machine) COST
Estimation of TIME (technological data) COST
Sum up to get global COST
• Implementation
Customize cost database
Add-on specific ops.
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Parametrical approach (1)
• Plain parametrical formula :
Cost = Cost (material+drilling+machining+controlling)
Raw Material = Vol (L*l*H) * C1
Drilling = (Nb of drills)*C2+(Nb of taps)*C3
Machining = (Vraw-Vfinish)*C4
Controlling = (50 ch) * C5
Implementation
Quite close from intuitive approach
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Parametrical approach (2)
• Parametrical based on analytical approach
Identification of the
relevant process
Change parameters
Validate for
cost calculation
• Implementation
Collect data on process
Realize initial estimates
with analytical approach
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Statistical approach
• No access to analytical approach / Few information / Complex project
• Early phase in the Product Life Cycle
Parametrical approach based on statistical laws (Cost Estimation Relationship)
extracted from large ERP database
• Implementation
Collect input data on project
Determine cost drivers
Identify stat. laws :
Regression
Main composant analyse
Difference
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
How to choose your approach ?
Few information Projects Intuitive Analogical Statistical
X1 X 10 X50
Parametrical
Analytical
Risk
Parts X1 Analytical
reduction
X50
Process X1 Parametrical
Maxi of information
Operations
X1 Change control
Setting-up
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
22. Manufacturing Day Page 23
May 10th, 2011 Challenges for a company
implementing a costing solution
1. Correlation cost estimation and manufacturing cost
(feedback loop)
2. Update data (technical and economical)
3. Training and customization
4. Integration with ERP system (input and/or output)
5. Implementation in a group with subsidiaries
6. Vulgarization of Costing tool
7. Education of “ordering party” and “sub/contractors” in exchanging 3D model files
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Study-case : automated cost calculation
from CAD file to Costing in few clicks !
• Cetim TechniQuote
analytical
automatic/interactive
Video
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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May 10th, 2011
Costing : perspectives
- Enlarge Costing to multi-technology :
- Sheet metal
- Tooling
- Forging
- Composites
- Mix performant approaches
- Statistical and analytical
- Costing orientations
- Introduce as a major phase in the Product Life Cycle
- Feed back to engineering
- Optimization of process for O&M department
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot
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Thank you for your attention
Cetim
52, Avenue Félix-Louat
France - 60 304 Senlis Cedex
Laurent BERTELOOT
Tel : (+33) 3 44 67 47 79
Mail : laurent.berteloot@cetim.fr
Automated cost calculation of complex parts – L. Berteloot