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The value of investing
• Pursuing your goals
• Adding to savings
• Taking control

• Setting your direction
How much would your money
have grown?
Growth of $10,000 investment, 9/82–9/02
$250,000


$200,000


$150,000
                                                                  $119,181

$100,000

                                                                      $63,379
 $50,000

                                                                      $33,580
     $0
       9/82   9/84   9/86   9/88   9/90   9/92   9/94   9/96   9/98    9/00     9/02

  Large cap stocks     Government bonds          Money market securities
Inflation-adjusted returns
Growth of hypothetical $10,000 investment over 20 years
$80,000
             $73,281


$60,000


                       $40,574
$40,000
                                         $33,102

                                                    $18,328        $18,208
$20,000
                                                                             $10,081

    $0
          10% annual rate of return   6% annual rate of return   3% annual rate of return
              on investment               on investment              on investment
           Before inflation           After inflation
Sound investing takes more than returns
into account
Risk and return, 9/30/82–9/30/02
20

                                                                           15.56
15
                                                                  13.19

                                       9.67
10

               5.80
                                               4.82
 5

                      0.57
 0
       Money market securities        Government bonds           Large cap stocks
        Annualized total return (%)      Annualized standard deviation (risk)




Sources:2005
Stocks

                     Common, preferred
                     Large cap, mid cap, small cap
 Major types
                     Growth, value
                     International, domestic



                     High return potential
 Reasons to choose   May provide income
                     Long-term investment




 Relative risk       High
Understand and manage the risks
Why stock prices rise and fall

• Company fundamentals

• Industry trends

• General market movements

• Political or economic events
Balancing risk and reward:
Aggressive portfolio


                            1982–2001
                            Number of down years          3
                            Average loss in down years    -4.51%
                            Worst 1-year loss             -7.80%
                            Average annual total return   14.50%




 Stocks: 80%   Bonds: 20%
Balancing risk and reward:
Moderate portfolio


                            1982–2001
                            Number of down years          2
                            Average loss in down years    -1.04%
                            Worst 1-year loss             -2.06%
                            Average annual total return   12.79%




 Stocks: 60%   Bonds: 30%      Cash: 10%
Avoid the high price of procrastination
Monthly investment required to meet $250,000 goal

                     $4,000
                              $3,402
Monthly investment
                 t
                     $3,000


                     $2,000
                                       $1,367

                     $1,000
                                                   $424
                                                          $168
                        $0
                                5       10           20    30
                                        Years from goal
Regular investing may lower your
average cost

                               Amount                                                           Shares
     Month                     invested                    Price per share                     purchased
     January                       $100                             $10                             10.0

     February                      $100                             $ 8                             12.5

     March                         $100                             $ 5                             20.0

     April                         $100                             $ 7                             14.3

     May                           $100                             $ 8                             12.5

     June                          $100                             $10                             10.0

..
     TOTAL                         $600                                                             79.3

     Average share price:                                  $48 ÷ 6 =              $8
     Average share cost using
                                                           $600 ÷ 79.3 = $7.56
     dollar-cost averaging:
Systematic investment plans do not assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market. You should consider
your ability to make regular investments through periods of fluctuating price levels before choosing a regular
investment plan.
Pay yourself first

Painless ways to find money to invest     Monthly investment
Invest the amount of your car loan
when you pay it off                           $200–$450

Bring lunch to work                           $90–$100

Invest your annual raise or bonus in
monthly installments                          $55–$100

Run in the park instead of on a
treadmill at the gym                          $45–$80

Drink regular coffee instead of a daily
mochaccino deluxe                             $25–$60
Don’t miss the best days
Annualized stock returns, 9/30/91–9/30/02
      12%
                  9.1%
          8%
                                  4.6%
          4%
Returns


                                                   1.3%
          0%
                                                                    -1.4%
          -4%
                                                                                      -3.8%
                                                                                                       -5.9%
          -8%

   -12%
                All trading     Missing          Missing           Missing          Missing           Missing
                   days         10 best          20 best           30 best          40 best           50 best
                                trading          trading           trading          trading           trading
                                  days             days              days             days              days
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Source: Ned Davis Research Inc. You cannot invest directly
in an index. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry
group representation.
No one knows what will happen next



                                                            Total return (%)
                              1997            1998          1999           2000          2001          2002

 Stocks                       33.36           28.58         21.04          -9.10        -11.89        -22.10

 Government
                               9.59            9.85         -2.23         13.24           7.23         11.50
 bonds
 Money market
                               5.19            4.88         4.74           5.99           3.43          5.76
 securities




Past performance is no guarantee of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. Stocks are
represented by the S&P 500 Index, 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry group representation.
Government bonds are represented by the Lehman Government Bond Index, comprised of U.S. government and
government agency securities (other than mortgage securities) with maturities of one year or more. Money market
securities are represented by the 3-Month Treasury Bill Index.
Develop an investment plan
1. Determine your goals and objectives

2. Develop an asset allocation strategy

3. Choose investments

4. Monitor and adjust your portfolio

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Samp2

  • 1. The value of investing • Pursuing your goals • Adding to savings • Taking control • Setting your direction
  • 2. How much would your money have grown? Growth of $10,000 investment, 9/82–9/02 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $119,181 $100,000 $63,379 $50,000 $33,580 $0 9/82 9/84 9/86 9/88 9/90 9/92 9/94 9/96 9/98 9/00 9/02 Large cap stocks Government bonds Money market securities
  • 3. Inflation-adjusted returns Growth of hypothetical $10,000 investment over 20 years $80,000 $73,281 $60,000 $40,574 $40,000 $33,102 $18,328 $18,208 $20,000 $10,081 $0 10% annual rate of return 6% annual rate of return 3% annual rate of return on investment on investment on investment Before inflation After inflation
  • 4. Sound investing takes more than returns into account Risk and return, 9/30/82–9/30/02 20 15.56 15 13.19 9.67 10 5.80 4.82 5 0.57 0 Money market securities Government bonds Large cap stocks Annualized total return (%) Annualized standard deviation (risk) Sources:2005
  • 5. Stocks Common, preferred Large cap, mid cap, small cap Major types Growth, value International, domestic High return potential Reasons to choose May provide income Long-term investment Relative risk High
  • 6. Understand and manage the risks Why stock prices rise and fall • Company fundamentals • Industry trends • General market movements • Political or economic events
  • 7. Balancing risk and reward: Aggressive portfolio 1982–2001 Number of down years 3 Average loss in down years -4.51% Worst 1-year loss -7.80% Average annual total return 14.50% Stocks: 80% Bonds: 20%
  • 8. Balancing risk and reward: Moderate portfolio 1982–2001 Number of down years 2 Average loss in down years -1.04% Worst 1-year loss -2.06% Average annual total return 12.79% Stocks: 60% Bonds: 30% Cash: 10%
  • 9. Avoid the high price of procrastination Monthly investment required to meet $250,000 goal $4,000 $3,402 Monthly investment t $3,000 $2,000 $1,367 $1,000 $424 $168 $0 5 10 20 30 Years from goal
  • 10. Regular investing may lower your average cost Amount Shares Month invested Price per share purchased January $100 $10 10.0 February $100 $ 8 12.5 March $100 $ 5 20.0 April $100 $ 7 14.3 May $100 $ 8 12.5 June $100 $10 10.0 .. TOTAL $600 79.3 Average share price: $48 ÷ 6 = $8 Average share cost using $600 ÷ 79.3 = $7.56 dollar-cost averaging: Systematic investment plans do not assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market. You should consider your ability to make regular investments through periods of fluctuating price levels before choosing a regular investment plan.
  • 11. Pay yourself first Painless ways to find money to invest Monthly investment Invest the amount of your car loan when you pay it off $200–$450 Bring lunch to work $90–$100 Invest your annual raise or bonus in monthly installments $55–$100 Run in the park instead of on a treadmill at the gym $45–$80 Drink regular coffee instead of a daily mochaccino deluxe $25–$60
  • 12. Don’t miss the best days Annualized stock returns, 9/30/91–9/30/02 12% 9.1% 8% 4.6% 4% Returns 1.3% 0% -1.4% -4% -3.8% -5.9% -8% -12% All trading Missing Missing Missing Missing Missing days 10 best 20 best 30 best 40 best 50 best trading trading trading trading trading days days days days days Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Source: Ned Davis Research Inc. You cannot invest directly in an index. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry group representation.
  • 13. No one knows what will happen next Total return (%) 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Stocks 33.36 28.58 21.04 -9.10 -11.89 -22.10 Government 9.59 9.85 -2.23 13.24 7.23 11.50 bonds Money market 5.19 4.88 4.74 5.99 3.43 5.76 securities Past performance is no guarantee of future results. You cannot invest directly in an index. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry group representation. Government bonds are represented by the Lehman Government Bond Index, comprised of U.S. government and government agency securities (other than mortgage securities) with maturities of one year or more. Money market securities are represented by the 3-Month Treasury Bill Index.
  • 14. Develop an investment plan 1. Determine your goals and objectives 2. Develop an asset allocation strategy 3. Choose investments 4. Monitor and adjust your portfolio