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1
The changing Aftermarket Industry and
how Indian Automotive ancillaries can
benefit from arising opportunities
Prepared for:
Singex
Prepared by:
Spire Research and Consulting
Date:
18th September 2019
2
Topic
1 Automotive Market
1a Overview
1b Segmentation of four wheelers
1c Tire Industry-Overview
1d Tire Industry-Key Players
2 Automotive Aftermarket
2a Overview & Trends
2b Online E-retailing
2c Safety & Security
2d Auto Components Export
3 Summary
Agenda
3
Automotive Market – Overview
4
Automobile Industry in India – Overview
The automobile industry in India is the world’s fourth largest vehicle market. In 2018 India was the world's 4th largest
manufacturer of cars and 7th largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles.
Indian automotive industry (including component manufacturing) is expected to reach INR16-18 trillion (USD251-283
billion) by 2026.
35 39 39
44
51
2 2
2.2
2.5
2.6
0
1
2
3
0
20
40
60
2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019
inMillions
InBillions
Size of the market FY19
Overall Revenue of Auto Components Number of Automobiles Sold in India
Source: SIAM Society of Indian Automobiles.
5
81%
13%
4% 3%
Automobile Domestic Sales
Trends FY19
Two Wheelers Passenger Vehicles
Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers
Automobile Industry in India – Overview
Source: SIAM Society of Indian Automobiles.
Domestic sales are dominated by large number of two wheeler vehicles. In 2017, India surpassed China to become
the world’s biggest market for two wheelers.
A total of 21.1 million units were sold last year, which comes down to 58,000 units every day.
6
Automobile Industry in India – Segmentation of
four wheelers
50%
26%
24%
Automobile Domestic Sales Trends
2018
Hatchbacks SUV's and MUV's Sedans
Indian Market has been known for the market for hatchbacks. Even the government has implemented rules to allow
the development of cars under 4 metres, as they attract lesser duty and other taxes. Petrol engines smaller than 1.2-
litre and diesel engines that are under 1500cc, have a lesser excise duty. This helps to increase fuel efficiency and also
reduce pollution.
Total Number of Commercial
Vehicles Sold in 2018
1,007,319
7
Tire Industry: Overview
Key Figures for FY2018:
No. of Tyre Companies in India: 41
No of Tyre Plants in India: 62
Industry Turnover 2018-19 (est.): INR63000 crore (USD9 Bn)
Exports 2018-19 (est.): INR12890 crore (USD1.8 Bn)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
38% 30%
62% 70%
Distribution across various
channels
Aftermarket OEM+exports
58%
28%
14%
Global
Truck & Bus
Passenger Vehicle (PV)
2/3-Wheeler
55%
22%
13%
10%
Indian
Truck & Bus
Passenger Vehicle (PV)
2/3-Wheeler
Others
Distribution of exports/sales of
Tyres manufactured in India FY18
2011 2018
8
Tire Industry: Key Players and Plant Locations
• Limda, Gujrat
• Perambra, Kerala
• Kalamessey, Kerela
• Orgadam, Tamilndadu
• Chittor, Andhra Pradesh*
• Kankroli, Rajasthan
• Banmore, Madhya Pradesh
• Mysore (2), Karnataka
• Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu
• Haridwar, Uttrakhand
• Balasore, Orissa • SIPCOT Thiruvallur, Tamil Nadu
• Dhar, Madhya Pradesh
• Pune, Maharashtra
• Chennai, Tamil Nadu
• Arkonam, Tamil Nadu
• Trichy, Tamil Nadu
• Puducherry
• Medak, Telangana
• Poda, Goa
• Kottayam, Kerala
• Baruch, Gujarat*
• Mumbai, Maharashtra
• Halol, Gujarat
• Ambarnath, Maharashtra
• Nasik, Maharashtra
• Nagpur, Maharashtra
• Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu* • Bahadurgarh, Haryana
• Modipuram, Uttar Pradesh • Rudrapur, Uttarakhand
• Madurai, Tamil Nadu
• Baliabhgarh, Haryana
• Aurangabad, Maharashtra
9
Automotive
Aftermarket
Overview and Trends
Online E-retailing
Government Regulations
Auto Components Export
10
Automotive Aftermarket
The Automotive Aftermarket refers to the manufacturing, retailing and installation of all vehicle parts
after the sale by the OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer).
The automotive aftermarket is broadly divided into three sectors:
The post warranty vehicle (>4 years) service market was mainly captured by small independent
garages i.e. the unorganized sector because of the huge cost differences (of after warranty
services) between authorized and local garages.
46%
52%
1% 1%
Automobile Aftermarket FY19
Organized Single
Brand Outlet
Unorganized
MBOs/ Workshops
Organized Multi
Brand Outlets
Online Platforms
Automotive Aftermarket
Products/Services
Replacement Parts
Replace the original stock
components which are worn out
in due course of time.
Accessories
Made for comfort, convenience,
performance, safety, or customization,
and are designed for an add-on.
11
The total aftermarket has grown at a CAGR of 14% over 2013-2018. The vibrant automotive sector
drives the growth of the automotive aftermarket in India and is estimated to grow at INR75,000
crore by fiscal year 2020.
Automotive Aftermarket
Drive
Transmissi
on and
Steering,
21%
Engine
Compone
nts, 18%
Electricals,
18%
Suspensio
n and
Braking,
15%
Consuma
bles and
Miscellane
ous, 14%Cooling
Systems,
8%
Rubber
Compone
nts, 3%
Electronic
Compone
nts, 3%
Product-wise share in
aftermarket turnover (FY18)
Major Players by Segments:
Engine &
Engine Parts
Goetze, Rane Engine
Valves, Ucal Fuel Systems
etc.
Transmission &
steering parts
Sona Koyo Steering
Systems, Rane NSK
Steering Systems.
Suspension &
braking parts
Brakes India, Rane Brake
Lining, Jamma Auto & Jai
Parabolic and Gabriel
India.
Electrical Lucas TVS, Denso, Delco
Remy Electricals
Equipment Lumax, Premiere
Instruments & Controls
and Jay Bharat Maruti.
12
Automotive
Aftermarket
Overview and Trends
Online E-retailing
Government Regulations
Auto Components Export
13
Trends in Automotive Aftermarket: Online E-
retailing
At present, the automotive aftermarket sale channels is fronted by traditional stores and garages.
This majorly falls (53% in FY2018) under the unorganized sector.
Taking in consideration factors such as increase in the spending capacity, changing consumer
behaviour, penetration of technology, e-commerce and most importantly; need for an organized
market. Online e-retailing will soon be a business disruptor for this sector. It has already been
observed in western countries and developed markets.
2% 3% 3%
4%
4%
4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* 2020*
US Online sales of auto parts and
accessories 2015-2020
Revenue from online sales of auto parts *Projected
14
Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Online E-
retailing
In 2014, the online auto aftermarket in India was estimated at around USD20 million (less than one
percent of the overall parts aftermarket at a retail level) and is expected to increase at a CAGR of
7%, valued at USD26 million in 2018 and is projected to reach USD30 million by 2020. There are huge
opportunities to explore in the B2B space due to speedy growth of organized and independent
workshops along with customers being positively disposed towards them.
Recent advancements in the online automobile aftermarket include:
Online autoparts marketplace
SparesHub.com has raised INR2
crore from Singapore-based
Anthill Scale Ventures, US-based
Esvee Technologies, Chennai
Angels and other high net-worth
individuals (HNIs).
Boodmo – an online
marketplace for auto
components (Ukrainan
company) – has ventured into
the Indian Markets. It aims to
organize the replacement parts
market and make the shopping
process easier and convenient.
Recently raised a funding of
INR8 crore, adding up to a total
of INR35 crore.
New Delhi-based Cross Roads
India Assistance, popularly
known as CRIA, has acquired
based MeriCAR.com, a
marketplace and aggregator for
the after sales automotive space.
15
Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Online E-
retailing
These Online Markets are now offering complete
range of auto components from OEM spares to
price effective alternatives:
Advantages compared to offline stores:
Braking
System
Clutch
Systems
Filters
Suspens
ion
Systems
Unassign
ed Parts
Car
Access-
ories
Tires
Interiors
Suspens
ion
Systems
Maintan
nce
/Service
Parts
Convenience
Freedom of choice
Multi-Product
Selection
Round-the-clock
Service
Fair Points
16
Automotive
Aftermarket
Overview and Trends
Online E-retailing
Government Regulations
Auto Components Export
17
Government Regulations
1st April, 2018
ABS (Anti-braking system) for
two wheelers/cars for all new
models.
BS VI emission norms
April, 20202024
1st April, 2018 ABS( Anti-braking system) for
two wheelers/cars for existing
models.
Airbags mandatory for all new
models/existing post 2017.
FE Regulations 2
Government
The government of India has revised/introduced new regulations for passenger safety and pollution checks for
automobiles. Some are already in place, while upcoming norms have also been preponed.
Deadline for airbags was preponed by 6 months and BS VI scheduled in 2023, has been preponed to 2020.
18
Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Safety &
Security
One of the key concerns in the automobile sector is the rising safety and security standards. Indian
Government put in place new regulations for automobile manufacturers. Consumers have also
realized the importance and relevance, where a growth in demand has been observed off late.
TotalAutomotiveIndustry:TechnologiesandSegmentScope
Technologies like Anti-lock
Braking System (ABS) and
Reverse Parking Sensors (RPG)
have very high penetration
across vehicle segments and are
expected to generate revenue
of INR16,000 crores by FY 2020.
2W PV CV
Reverse Parking Sensor
In Car Entertainment(ICE) System
Anti- Lock Braking System (ABS)
Driver Information System (DIS)
Body Control Module (BCM)
Immobilizers
Telematics
Tyre Pressure Monitoring System (TPMS)
Airbag Electronics
LED based Headlamps
Electric Power Steering
Remote Vehicle Diagnostic Sys.
Automatic Transmission (AMT,DCT,CVT)
Electric and Hybrid Vehicles
19
India emerging as a global hub for sourcing
auto parts
Government Initiatives :
The target for this sector is to cross the USD100 billion mark with exports reaching USD35-40 billion and
USD20-22 billion in revenue from overseas assets. Initiatives that are taken by the government to
encourage the growth of this industry include :
1. The Automotive Mission Plan 2016-26 (AMP 2026) 2. Voluntary Vehicle Fleet Modernization
programme (V-VMP)
AMP 2026 under one of it’s five main
objectives, seeks to increase the net
exports of the Indian Automotive industry
several fold. It recognizes that the Indian
Automotive industry (both vehicles and
auto components) has the potential to
scale up exports to the extend of 35-40%
of its overall output over the next 10
years (FY16-26).
This policy offers incentives worth 8-12%
of the cost of a new vehicle for
surrendering the old one. It would be
able to generate steel scrap worth USD
1,728 million domestically every year
with the set-up of organized shredding
centres; in addition to providing
environmental and energy efficiency
benefits.
Turnover USD200
billion
Export USD80
billion
Export USD80
billion
Direct Incremental
employment – 3.2
million
Metal Scrap
Vehicles Scrapping Policy 2018
20
India emerging as a global hub for sourcing
auto parts
After the implementation of such government initiatives:
Several global tier-I suppliers have already
announced plans to increase procurement of
auto parts from their Indian subsidiaries.
French tyre manufacturer Michelin announced
plans to produce 16,000 tonnes of truck and bus
tyres from its Indian facility this year, a 45% rise
from last year.
Auto components maker Bharat Forge Ltd (BFL),
has formalized an agreement with Rolls-Royce
Holdings Private Limited Company (Plc), which
will supply BFL with critical and high integrity
forged as well as machined components.
Everstone Capital – a Singapore-based private
equity (PE) firm – has purchased 51% in Indian
auto components maker SJS Enterprises for an
estimated USD51.35 million.
21
Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Safety &
Security
Other technologies which may/can expect growth are:
After new regulations, ICRA
estimates 90% increase in the
penetration by 2019. The domestic
passenger vehicle market has sold
close to 3.64 million units in the last
financial year.
India In-Car Entertainment market
revenue is projected to grow at a
CAGR of 5.3% during 2015-21. Audio
system firm Harman is expects a
revenue of USD1 billion by 2022.
A recent study by Future Market
Insights (FMI) predicted that the
automotive global remote
diagnostics market will grow at a
CAGR of approximately 18%
through 2028.
The global market for automotive
TPMS (Tire-pressure monitoring
system) is anticipated to reflect a
CAGR of over 6% 2016-24.
Government making it mandatory in
passenger cars and higher focus on
enhancing fuel efficiency attract
growth.
Indian Vehicle Telematics market is
projected to touch USD300 mn by
2021. It also becoming an important
part of CV industry because it is
widely used by aggregators like Ola,
Zoomcar and Revv.
Vehicle immobilizers are finding
increased application in PV as well
as CV. Automobile giants like TVS
and Maruti also increased the
electrical components per vehicle
and added immobilizers for Anti-
Theft functionality.
22
Automotive
Aftermarket
Overview and Trends
Online E-retailing
Government Regulations
Auto Components Export
23
Automotive Aftermarket – Auto Components
Export
The automobile components industry contributes towards 25.6% to the manufacturing GDP and 3.8% to
the national GDP, providing indirect employment to 1.5 million people. It has the capacity and
accessibility to export to other auto components across key global automotive markets like Japan,
Korea and Europe. The total value of exports for the year 2018 was USD13.50 billion. Following are the
advantages India has over it’s competitors when it comes to export of auto components:
1. Geographical Proximity
2. Improved Product Quality
3. Increased Investment & Government Initiatives.
USA, 22%
Germany, 7%
Turkey, 6.20%
U.K., 5.10%
Italy, 4.10%
Thailand, 3.30%
France, 3%
U.A.E., 2.80%
Mexico, 2.80%
Brazil, 2.60%
Share of Indian Auto Component Exports – Top
10 Countries FY17
24
71% 71% 72% 75% 74%
29% 29% 28% 25% 26%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Value of auto component exports FY19
Domestic Revenue Exports
Automotive Aftermarket – Auto Components
Export
35 39 39 44 51
Total
Revenue in
billions
India’s exports of auto components increased at a CAGR of 5.77%, during FY14-FY18, with the value of auto
component exports increasing from USD10.2 billion in FY14 to USD13.5 billion in FY18.
Moreover, the number of automobiles being exported grew by 18% during FY14-18.
25
Automotive Aftermarket – Auto Components
Export
Highest component is captured by “brakes and servo-brakes” which also accounts for a high
percentage as it is one the most commonly worn out components of car. Second most sold
component are “Gear boxes” which also account for higher percentage as it is comparatively
expensive component.
Bumpers and
parts thereof, 5%
Other oarts and
accessories of
bodies(including
cabs), 7%
Brakes and
servo-
brakes;parts
therof, 23%
Gear boxes, 19%
Drive axles with
differential w/n
provided with
other transmitters,
17%
Road wheels and
parts and
accessories
thereof, 8%
Suspension shock
absorbers, 7%
Radiators, 2%
Clutches and
parts thereof, 3%
Steering wheels,
steering columns
and steering
boxes, 8%
Component Wise Global Exports of Auto
Components FY18
26
Summary
• Automotive market in India is currently
progressing towards a positive growth path
given the current opportunities and
challenges.
• The factors which contribute to its growth are
primarily –
• Government Regulations - Regulations related
to the introduction of new safety features that
encourage the manufacturing of new safety
components along with ensuring their quality.
• Changing Automotive ecosystem - The
emergence of new sales channels like online e-
retailing and multi brand outlets (MBOs) are
playing a key role in changing purchase
behaviour of the end customers.
In summary, we believe that Indian Automobile
Aftermarket & Indian Automobile Component
Aftermarket is better placed and expected to
grow. Another major factor which ensures this
growth is that we are serving a lot of businesses
in emerging countries outside India. This minimizes
the risk of slowdown due to any dependency on
domestic market. One of the example is tyre
manufacturing and components industry which
has shown tremendous growth in exports in past
five years.
27
Tel: (65) 6838 5355
Fax: (65) 6838 5855
78 Shenton Way #20-01
Singapore 079120
sg.info@spireresearch.com
www.spireresearch.com

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The changing aftermarket industry in india

  • 1. 1 The changing Aftermarket Industry and how Indian Automotive ancillaries can benefit from arising opportunities Prepared for: Singex Prepared by: Spire Research and Consulting Date: 18th September 2019
  • 2. 2 Topic 1 Automotive Market 1a Overview 1b Segmentation of four wheelers 1c Tire Industry-Overview 1d Tire Industry-Key Players 2 Automotive Aftermarket 2a Overview & Trends 2b Online E-retailing 2c Safety & Security 2d Auto Components Export 3 Summary Agenda
  • 4. 4 Automobile Industry in India – Overview The automobile industry in India is the world’s fourth largest vehicle market. In 2018 India was the world's 4th largest manufacturer of cars and 7th largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles. Indian automotive industry (including component manufacturing) is expected to reach INR16-18 trillion (USD251-283 billion) by 2026. 35 39 39 44 51 2 2 2.2 2.5 2.6 0 1 2 3 0 20 40 60 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 inMillions InBillions Size of the market FY19 Overall Revenue of Auto Components Number of Automobiles Sold in India Source: SIAM Society of Indian Automobiles.
  • 5. 5 81% 13% 4% 3% Automobile Domestic Sales Trends FY19 Two Wheelers Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers Automobile Industry in India – Overview Source: SIAM Society of Indian Automobiles. Domestic sales are dominated by large number of two wheeler vehicles. In 2017, India surpassed China to become the world’s biggest market for two wheelers. A total of 21.1 million units were sold last year, which comes down to 58,000 units every day.
  • 6. 6 Automobile Industry in India – Segmentation of four wheelers 50% 26% 24% Automobile Domestic Sales Trends 2018 Hatchbacks SUV's and MUV's Sedans Indian Market has been known for the market for hatchbacks. Even the government has implemented rules to allow the development of cars under 4 metres, as they attract lesser duty and other taxes. Petrol engines smaller than 1.2- litre and diesel engines that are under 1500cc, have a lesser excise duty. This helps to increase fuel efficiency and also reduce pollution. Total Number of Commercial Vehicles Sold in 2018 1,007,319
  • 7. 7 Tire Industry: Overview Key Figures for FY2018: No. of Tyre Companies in India: 41 No of Tyre Plants in India: 62 Industry Turnover 2018-19 (est.): INR63000 crore (USD9 Bn) Exports 2018-19 (est.): INR12890 crore (USD1.8 Bn) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 38% 30% 62% 70% Distribution across various channels Aftermarket OEM+exports 58% 28% 14% Global Truck & Bus Passenger Vehicle (PV) 2/3-Wheeler 55% 22% 13% 10% Indian Truck & Bus Passenger Vehicle (PV) 2/3-Wheeler Others Distribution of exports/sales of Tyres manufactured in India FY18 2011 2018
  • 8. 8 Tire Industry: Key Players and Plant Locations • Limda, Gujrat • Perambra, Kerala • Kalamessey, Kerela • Orgadam, Tamilndadu • Chittor, Andhra Pradesh* • Kankroli, Rajasthan • Banmore, Madhya Pradesh • Mysore (2), Karnataka • Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu • Haridwar, Uttrakhand • Balasore, Orissa • SIPCOT Thiruvallur, Tamil Nadu • Dhar, Madhya Pradesh • Pune, Maharashtra • Chennai, Tamil Nadu • Arkonam, Tamil Nadu • Trichy, Tamil Nadu • Puducherry • Medak, Telangana • Poda, Goa • Kottayam, Kerala • Baruch, Gujarat* • Mumbai, Maharashtra • Halol, Gujarat • Ambarnath, Maharashtra • Nasik, Maharashtra • Nagpur, Maharashtra • Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu* • Bahadurgarh, Haryana • Modipuram, Uttar Pradesh • Rudrapur, Uttarakhand • Madurai, Tamil Nadu • Baliabhgarh, Haryana • Aurangabad, Maharashtra
  • 9. 9 Automotive Aftermarket Overview and Trends Online E-retailing Government Regulations Auto Components Export
  • 10. 10 Automotive Aftermarket The Automotive Aftermarket refers to the manufacturing, retailing and installation of all vehicle parts after the sale by the OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer). The automotive aftermarket is broadly divided into three sectors: The post warranty vehicle (>4 years) service market was mainly captured by small independent garages i.e. the unorganized sector because of the huge cost differences (of after warranty services) between authorized and local garages. 46% 52% 1% 1% Automobile Aftermarket FY19 Organized Single Brand Outlet Unorganized MBOs/ Workshops Organized Multi Brand Outlets Online Platforms Automotive Aftermarket Products/Services Replacement Parts Replace the original stock components which are worn out in due course of time. Accessories Made for comfort, convenience, performance, safety, or customization, and are designed for an add-on.
  • 11. 11 The total aftermarket has grown at a CAGR of 14% over 2013-2018. The vibrant automotive sector drives the growth of the automotive aftermarket in India and is estimated to grow at INR75,000 crore by fiscal year 2020. Automotive Aftermarket Drive Transmissi on and Steering, 21% Engine Compone nts, 18% Electricals, 18% Suspensio n and Braking, 15% Consuma bles and Miscellane ous, 14%Cooling Systems, 8% Rubber Compone nts, 3% Electronic Compone nts, 3% Product-wise share in aftermarket turnover (FY18) Major Players by Segments: Engine & Engine Parts Goetze, Rane Engine Valves, Ucal Fuel Systems etc. Transmission & steering parts Sona Koyo Steering Systems, Rane NSK Steering Systems. Suspension & braking parts Brakes India, Rane Brake Lining, Jamma Auto & Jai Parabolic and Gabriel India. Electrical Lucas TVS, Denso, Delco Remy Electricals Equipment Lumax, Premiere Instruments & Controls and Jay Bharat Maruti.
  • 12. 12 Automotive Aftermarket Overview and Trends Online E-retailing Government Regulations Auto Components Export
  • 13. 13 Trends in Automotive Aftermarket: Online E- retailing At present, the automotive aftermarket sale channels is fronted by traditional stores and garages. This majorly falls (53% in FY2018) under the unorganized sector. Taking in consideration factors such as increase in the spending capacity, changing consumer behaviour, penetration of technology, e-commerce and most importantly; need for an organized market. Online e-retailing will soon be a business disruptor for this sector. It has already been observed in western countries and developed markets. 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 0% 2% 4% 6% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* 2020* US Online sales of auto parts and accessories 2015-2020 Revenue from online sales of auto parts *Projected
  • 14. 14 Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Online E- retailing In 2014, the online auto aftermarket in India was estimated at around USD20 million (less than one percent of the overall parts aftermarket at a retail level) and is expected to increase at a CAGR of 7%, valued at USD26 million in 2018 and is projected to reach USD30 million by 2020. There are huge opportunities to explore in the B2B space due to speedy growth of organized and independent workshops along with customers being positively disposed towards them. Recent advancements in the online automobile aftermarket include: Online autoparts marketplace SparesHub.com has raised INR2 crore from Singapore-based Anthill Scale Ventures, US-based Esvee Technologies, Chennai Angels and other high net-worth individuals (HNIs). Boodmo – an online marketplace for auto components (Ukrainan company) – has ventured into the Indian Markets. It aims to organize the replacement parts market and make the shopping process easier and convenient. Recently raised a funding of INR8 crore, adding up to a total of INR35 crore. New Delhi-based Cross Roads India Assistance, popularly known as CRIA, has acquired based MeriCAR.com, a marketplace and aggregator for the after sales automotive space.
  • 15. 15 Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Online E- retailing These Online Markets are now offering complete range of auto components from OEM spares to price effective alternatives: Advantages compared to offline stores: Braking System Clutch Systems Filters Suspens ion Systems Unassign ed Parts Car Access- ories Tires Interiors Suspens ion Systems Maintan nce /Service Parts Convenience Freedom of choice Multi-Product Selection Round-the-clock Service Fair Points
  • 16. 16 Automotive Aftermarket Overview and Trends Online E-retailing Government Regulations Auto Components Export
  • 17. 17 Government Regulations 1st April, 2018 ABS (Anti-braking system) for two wheelers/cars for all new models. BS VI emission norms April, 20202024 1st April, 2018 ABS( Anti-braking system) for two wheelers/cars for existing models. Airbags mandatory for all new models/existing post 2017. FE Regulations 2 Government The government of India has revised/introduced new regulations for passenger safety and pollution checks for automobiles. Some are already in place, while upcoming norms have also been preponed. Deadline for airbags was preponed by 6 months and BS VI scheduled in 2023, has been preponed to 2020.
  • 18. 18 Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Safety & Security One of the key concerns in the automobile sector is the rising safety and security standards. Indian Government put in place new regulations for automobile manufacturers. Consumers have also realized the importance and relevance, where a growth in demand has been observed off late. TotalAutomotiveIndustry:TechnologiesandSegmentScope Technologies like Anti-lock Braking System (ABS) and Reverse Parking Sensors (RPG) have very high penetration across vehicle segments and are expected to generate revenue of INR16,000 crores by FY 2020. 2W PV CV Reverse Parking Sensor In Car Entertainment(ICE) System Anti- Lock Braking System (ABS) Driver Information System (DIS) Body Control Module (BCM) Immobilizers Telematics Tyre Pressure Monitoring System (TPMS) Airbag Electronics LED based Headlamps Electric Power Steering Remote Vehicle Diagnostic Sys. Automatic Transmission (AMT,DCT,CVT) Electric and Hybrid Vehicles
  • 19. 19 India emerging as a global hub for sourcing auto parts Government Initiatives : The target for this sector is to cross the USD100 billion mark with exports reaching USD35-40 billion and USD20-22 billion in revenue from overseas assets. Initiatives that are taken by the government to encourage the growth of this industry include : 1. The Automotive Mission Plan 2016-26 (AMP 2026) 2. Voluntary Vehicle Fleet Modernization programme (V-VMP) AMP 2026 under one of it’s five main objectives, seeks to increase the net exports of the Indian Automotive industry several fold. It recognizes that the Indian Automotive industry (both vehicles and auto components) has the potential to scale up exports to the extend of 35-40% of its overall output over the next 10 years (FY16-26). This policy offers incentives worth 8-12% of the cost of a new vehicle for surrendering the old one. It would be able to generate steel scrap worth USD 1,728 million domestically every year with the set-up of organized shredding centres; in addition to providing environmental and energy efficiency benefits. Turnover USD200 billion Export USD80 billion Export USD80 billion Direct Incremental employment – 3.2 million Metal Scrap Vehicles Scrapping Policy 2018
  • 20. 20 India emerging as a global hub for sourcing auto parts After the implementation of such government initiatives: Several global tier-I suppliers have already announced plans to increase procurement of auto parts from their Indian subsidiaries. French tyre manufacturer Michelin announced plans to produce 16,000 tonnes of truck and bus tyres from its Indian facility this year, a 45% rise from last year. Auto components maker Bharat Forge Ltd (BFL), has formalized an agreement with Rolls-Royce Holdings Private Limited Company (Plc), which will supply BFL with critical and high integrity forged as well as machined components. Everstone Capital – a Singapore-based private equity (PE) firm – has purchased 51% in Indian auto components maker SJS Enterprises for an estimated USD51.35 million.
  • 21. 21 Trends in Automotive Aftermarket : Safety & Security Other technologies which may/can expect growth are: After new regulations, ICRA estimates 90% increase in the penetration by 2019. The domestic passenger vehicle market has sold close to 3.64 million units in the last financial year. India In-Car Entertainment market revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% during 2015-21. Audio system firm Harman is expects a revenue of USD1 billion by 2022. A recent study by Future Market Insights (FMI) predicted that the automotive global remote diagnostics market will grow at a CAGR of approximately 18% through 2028. The global market for automotive TPMS (Tire-pressure monitoring system) is anticipated to reflect a CAGR of over 6% 2016-24. Government making it mandatory in passenger cars and higher focus on enhancing fuel efficiency attract growth. Indian Vehicle Telematics market is projected to touch USD300 mn by 2021. It also becoming an important part of CV industry because it is widely used by aggregators like Ola, Zoomcar and Revv. Vehicle immobilizers are finding increased application in PV as well as CV. Automobile giants like TVS and Maruti also increased the electrical components per vehicle and added immobilizers for Anti- Theft functionality.
  • 22. 22 Automotive Aftermarket Overview and Trends Online E-retailing Government Regulations Auto Components Export
  • 23. 23 Automotive Aftermarket – Auto Components Export The automobile components industry contributes towards 25.6% to the manufacturing GDP and 3.8% to the national GDP, providing indirect employment to 1.5 million people. It has the capacity and accessibility to export to other auto components across key global automotive markets like Japan, Korea and Europe. The total value of exports for the year 2018 was USD13.50 billion. Following are the advantages India has over it’s competitors when it comes to export of auto components: 1. Geographical Proximity 2. Improved Product Quality 3. Increased Investment & Government Initiatives. USA, 22% Germany, 7% Turkey, 6.20% U.K., 5.10% Italy, 4.10% Thailand, 3.30% France, 3% U.A.E., 2.80% Mexico, 2.80% Brazil, 2.60% Share of Indian Auto Component Exports – Top 10 Countries FY17
  • 24. 24 71% 71% 72% 75% 74% 29% 29% 28% 25% 26% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Value of auto component exports FY19 Domestic Revenue Exports Automotive Aftermarket – Auto Components Export 35 39 39 44 51 Total Revenue in billions India’s exports of auto components increased at a CAGR of 5.77%, during FY14-FY18, with the value of auto component exports increasing from USD10.2 billion in FY14 to USD13.5 billion in FY18. Moreover, the number of automobiles being exported grew by 18% during FY14-18.
  • 25. 25 Automotive Aftermarket – Auto Components Export Highest component is captured by “brakes and servo-brakes” which also accounts for a high percentage as it is one the most commonly worn out components of car. Second most sold component are “Gear boxes” which also account for higher percentage as it is comparatively expensive component. Bumpers and parts thereof, 5% Other oarts and accessories of bodies(including cabs), 7% Brakes and servo- brakes;parts therof, 23% Gear boxes, 19% Drive axles with differential w/n provided with other transmitters, 17% Road wheels and parts and accessories thereof, 8% Suspension shock absorbers, 7% Radiators, 2% Clutches and parts thereof, 3% Steering wheels, steering columns and steering boxes, 8% Component Wise Global Exports of Auto Components FY18
  • 26. 26 Summary • Automotive market in India is currently progressing towards a positive growth path given the current opportunities and challenges. • The factors which contribute to its growth are primarily – • Government Regulations - Regulations related to the introduction of new safety features that encourage the manufacturing of new safety components along with ensuring their quality. • Changing Automotive ecosystem - The emergence of new sales channels like online e- retailing and multi brand outlets (MBOs) are playing a key role in changing purchase behaviour of the end customers. In summary, we believe that Indian Automobile Aftermarket & Indian Automobile Component Aftermarket is better placed and expected to grow. Another major factor which ensures this growth is that we are serving a lot of businesses in emerging countries outside India. This minimizes the risk of slowdown due to any dependency on domestic market. One of the example is tyre manufacturing and components industry which has shown tremendous growth in exports in past five years.
  • 27. 27 Tel: (65) 6838 5355 Fax: (65) 6838 5855 78 Shenton Way #20-01 Singapore 079120 sg.info@spireresearch.com www.spireresearch.com