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Cities of Opportunity
Cities of Opportunity 2011 makes
                                                                             its fourth analysis of the trajectory
                                                                             of 26 cities, all capitals of finance,
                                                                             commerce and culture—and through
                                                                             their performance, seeks to open
                                                                             a window on what makes cities
                                                                             function best.
The Upper East Side of Manhattan,
with Midtown in the background.




www.pwc.com
© 2011 PwC. All rights reserved. “PwC” and “PwC US” refer to PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, a Delaware limited liability
partnership, which is a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each member firm of which is a
separate legal entity. This document is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for
consultation with professional advisors.

www.pfnyc.org
©2011 The Partnership for New York City, Inc. All rights reserved.
The more cities change, the more
forward-looking perspective matters…




The notion of the city has come a long way.        deeper exploration of core issues. This year    have to be in balance for modern cities to
But the heart of what a city is remains the        we compare 26 cities—with San Francisco,        enjoy healthy growth. Minds spur innova-
same: people drawn together, today in ever-        Berlin, Madrid, Moscow, Istanbul and Abu        tion; roads, rails, communications networks,
increasing densities and numbers, to work          Dhabi joining and Houston rejoining. We also    schools and hospitals lay the groundwork
as a community.                                    look closely at a few of the challenges that    on which new ideas can grow. In an ideal
                                                   are most pressing at the moment—regional        world, prosperity follows. But, as we all know,
Cities of Opportunity is dedicated to              management, education, sustainability,          progress toward any ideal requires day-to-
understanding what makes urban dynam-              density, transportation and preservation.       day work. This study represents our part
ics work, and communicating what we learn                                                          in the effort.
to government officials, policymakers, busi-       It is not a coincidence that images of
nesspersons, scholars and citizens mutually        innovative and historic libraries (in Seattle   Yes, Cities of Opportunity is changing. But the
invested in the success of their city or cities.   and Stockholm) begin and end the interviews     heart of what we are doing—trying to shed
                                                   in our study. Nor is the focus on transporta-   light on what makes major cities healthy—
This marks our fourth study. Like cities them-     tion, energy, environment, housing and health   remains the same. All three of us sincerely
selves, we keep evolving. Cities of Opportunity    that weaves throughout. Both tangible and       hope you find value and interest in the study.
2011 includes more cities, greater analysis and    intangible—physical and intellectual capital—




Yours truly,




Robert Moritz                                      Kenneth I. Chenault                             Terry J. Lundgren
Chairman and Senior Partner                        Chairman and CEO                                Chairman, President and
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP                         American Express Co.                            Chief Executive Officer
                                                                                                   Macy’s Inc.
                                                   Co-chairman
                                                   Partnership for New York City                   Co-chairman
                                                                                                   Partnership for New York City
Contents

                                               5
                                               About the study
                                               Frames the themes, presents context and explains
                                               the scoring




                                               10
                                               The city in focus
                                               Zeros in on key results throughout the study and
                                               analyzes findings and issues




                                               20
                                               Indicator discussions
                                               & interviews
                                               Presents in-depth results covering all 10 indicators and
                                               66 variables, examines issues and adds insight from
                                               urban thinkers and doers




Commuters crossing London Bridge.




2 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
Interviews
          22 | Rem Koolhaas                               56 | Mortimer Zuckerman
          Muses on changing cities and his quest to       Gauges the present and future of cities from
          reinvent them in a way that serves the          his perspective as a developer, publisher and
          public good                                     former professor

Page 22
          30 | Judith Rodin                               64 | René Gurka
          Discusses the Rockefeller Foundation’s quest    Sees Berlin as “the place to be” for media, life
          to address the challenges of urbanization       sciences, clean industries and services as the
                                                          city re-establishes itself as a business center
          42 | Klaus Baur & Guenther Krug
          Explain how railways bring sustainable          76 | Leif Edvinsson
          mobility back to the future                     Charts a course “from cities of hardware to
                                                          cities of mindware”
          50 | Kerry Zhou
          Outlines the mission of Goldwind
          Technologies to light the world’s cities
          with green power


Page 30




Page 56




          See the web at www.pwc.com/cities for greater depth and functionality. Model your own
          city and perform customized correlation analyses by selecting the variables and cities you
          want to focus on for an interactive look at the results. See videocasts and hear podcasts with
          Rem Koolhaas and Mortimer Zuckerman. Read the full text of all the interviews condensed
          here in the report. Learn the detailed background on all sources and definitions for the
          66 variables in the study.



Page 76




                                                          Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 3
About the study




       Traffic traverses a new diagonal crossing at Oxford Circus, London, inspired by the Shibuya crossing in Tokyo.
Overview: Looking closer at the alphas, betas and chais of holistic cities




                                   When the first edition of Cities of                In terms of overall results this year, New York
                                   Opportunity was developed, we made a               finishes first with a slim, perhaps ephemeral,
                                   decision to rank cities only in their 10 indica-   lead (see page 12). But the real news lies
                                   tor categories and to forego showing overall       elsewhere.
                                   rankings to avoid the misperception of a con-
                                   test. That risk seemed especially significant      Toronto, San Francisco, Stockholm
                                   in 2007, when the media cast New York and          and Sydney round out the top five
                                   London in a death match for global capital         after New York. These beta cities arguably
                                   market kingship.                                   may not “have it all” if you’re seeking to
                                                                                      crown a heavyweight champion among world
                                   In hindsight, the New York versus London tug       cities where size, a major capital market and
                                   of war seems a figment of the about-to-burst       24/7 buzz do matter. But they just may have
                                   bubble, a comparison that deserved headline        what they need for a world that is growing
                                   attention only through the looking glass of        less reliant on geography and more dependent
                                   irrational exuberance. And a curious reader,       on attracting and nurturing good people to
                                   then and now, might be expected to ask, quite      innovate and build the future with fresh eyes.
                                   commonsensically, ‘who does win?’
                                                                                      Interestingly, the cities of Toronto, San Francisco,
                                   This fourth edition of Cities of Opportunity       Stockholm and Sydney all are part of vital
                                   for the first time shows an overall ranking.       regions—a relationship we examine this year.
                                   But which city wins is far from our message
                                   or motivation. If anything, we honor the           Notably also, the “alpha” cities like
                                   admonition of Walt Whitman, a 19th century         London, Paris, Tokyo and New York
                                   editor of The Brooklyn Eagle: “Be curious, not     are not bunched at the top. These “usual
                                   judgmental.”                                       suspects” of broad, Western socioeconomic
                                                                                      leadership (with rich recent histories, deep
                                   Rome, Amsterdam, Beijing were all once             resources and major capital markets) are
                                   the centers of their worlds. Each remains a        spread through the top 10 and, in the case of
                                   great city but at a different stage of evolu-      Tokyo, fall to 14th overall.
                                   tion. Detroit stood mid-20th century at the
                                   epicenter of the US economy, to the point          Taking a step back, there actually are no
                                   that it was said, “What is good for the nation     alpha and beta differentiators among our
                                   is good for General Motors and vice versa.”        26 cities—nor is there any reason to catego-
                                   Today, that story has taken a different turn.      rize cities as one or the other more than to
                                   But even for Detroit, detours don’t doom the       acknowledge differences among histories,
                                   city to dead ends.                                 opportunities and challenges. As all city




6 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
dwellers know (at least in quiet moments),        66 variables, also offering users the interac-     Interviews add an extraordinary
the density that packs us on metros, high-        tive ability to customize any combination of       level of insight from people at the center
ways, markets and streets guarantees that         10 variables.)                                     of thought and action. These include con-
we’re “all in it together.” Sooner or later,                                                         versations with: Rem Koolhaas, architect,
cities and their citizens prosper or fail as a    This year in addition to refining our data         writer and Harvard professor; Judith Rodin,
piece. What one person or city learns can         selection and analysis and presenting inter-       president of the Rockefeller Foundation and
help another; and our objective is to look at     views with authorities at the center of urban      formerly the University of Pennsylvania;
policies and performance to communicate           ideas and action, we discuss several critical      Mortimer Zuckerman, developer and
useful insights.                                  urban issues in depth. These include the:          publisher; Klaus Baur and Guenther Krug,
                                                                                                     chairman of Bombardier Transportation, and
Winners also would be much different if           Paradox of measuring and improving                 a member of Berlin Parliament and advisor
Cities of Opportunity were recast as Cities       education in a world where intellectual capi-      to Bombardier, respectively; Kerry Zhou,
of Growth or Cities of Fun. As it is, our study   tal and innovation increasingly form the brick     director of strategy and planning at Goldwind
defines the ideal differently. Perhaps we’re      and mortar of future cities (see page 28).         Technologies, one of China’s leading wind
seeking the chai of cities, to switch from                                                           power companies; René Gurka, managing
Greek letters to a Hebrew character that          Regional struggle from Beijing to
                                                                                                     director of Berlin Partner, and Leif Edvinsson,
signifies life force.                             Berlin to São Paulo and Sydney to effec-
                                                                                                     an urban futurologist and pioneer in under-
                                                  tively manage cities in the contexts of their
                                                                                                     standing the dynamics of intellectual capital.
Our measures are designed to favor                surrounding areas—often places with dif-
holistic capital market centers with              ferent governments, measures of success,           Our website, www.pwc.com/cities,
vibrant economies and strong quality of life.     funding sources and economic motivations           offers much more. Interactive tools allow
Our thesis is that a successful city going for-   (see page 36).                                     users to perform their own correlation analy-
ward will balance both social and economic                                                           ses and comparisons for any city. Videocasts
strengths so the people and infrastructure        Changing popular and real definition
                                                                                                     are available with Rem Koolhaas and podcasts
support each other. The challenge of building     of what a cityscape looks like as some
                                                                                                     with Mortimer Zuckerman. Full-length tran-
a city, keeping it on top and evolving with       cities rise, some spread, some choose to stay
                                                                                                     scripts of the interviews are posted. You can
changing needs is the dynamic we’re seeking       low and some combine a bit of each (see
                                                                                                     also find detailed background on all sources
to illuminate. The measures we use—recon-         page 40).
                                                                                                     and definitions of the variables.
sidered and significantly recast this year—are
selected to develop an accurate reflection of     Progress being made on sustainability              In closing, we hope all this proves entertaining,
that balanced city and its metamorphosis.         as cities from Mexico City to Johannesburg         enlightening and valuable to everyone inter-
                                                  to Shanghai, Abu Dhabi and New York adopt          ested in the factors that make cities thrive.
Correlation analyses provide one signal we’re     plans to suit their own situations to clean
going in the right direction. A parallel exists   their environments and conserve resources
between good economic indicators and social       (see page 47).
ones. Among the 10 indicators, five corre-
late in a close positive pattern—intellectual     Costly and maddening toll of traffic
capital and innovation; health, safety and        congestion and what Singapore, Stockholm
security; ease of doing business; technology      and London are doing to solve the problem
readiness; and demographics and livability.       (see page 68).
In other words, when one goes up, the other
tends to do so as well. For instance, the         Friction playing out between prog-
indicators that include health and intellectual   ress and preservation as governments,
capital correlate a striking +87%. (See page      businesses, developers, architects, historic
16 for a heat map of the 10 indicators and        conservationists and citizens each regard
www.pwc.com/cities for a look at all              the value of the past and road to the future
                                                  through slightly different prisms (see page 72).




                                                                                                     Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 7
Approach: The mix of variables and cities is refined;
the parameters of research stay consistent




                                  Like cities, Cities of Opportunity continues       properly. Discussions are included on regional
                                  to evolve. PwC and the Partnership for New         management, measurement of education,
                                  York City first considered the report seven        cityscapes, sustainability, traffic congestion
                                  years ago asking what New York had to do to        and preservation.
                                  remain competitive on the world stage. We
                                  immediately extended the research to other         This fourth edition of our report expands and
                                  cities around the world to find patterns and       changes the mix of cities, enriches the data
                                  lessons. In four editions of our report, we        with more and different variables, and further
                                  have grown from 11 to 26 cities.                   complements the quantitative nature of the
                                                                                     research with insight from world authorities
                                  Last year, we reported that economics and          on urban issues.
                                  quality of life are tightly linked in successful
                                  modern cities. The study continues to grow         Three key factors governed the cities
                                  into a more holistic look at socioeconomic         we chose:
                                  balance.
                                                                                     Capital market centers. Many of the cities
                                  We moved deeper into underlying                    included are hubs of commerce, communica-
                                  issues this year, realizing that numbers           tions and culture. But all are financial capitals
                                  themselves may create interest, but, very          of their region—meaning each plays an
                                  often, the policies behind statistics require      important role not only locally but also as a
                                  analysis and comparison to tell the story          vital part of a globalizing economic fabric.

                                                                                     Broad geographic sampling. While each city
                                                                                     is a center of finance and commerce in its
                                                                                     own region, and in many cases the world,
                                                                                     collectively, the 26 cities form a representative
                                                                                     international distribution.

                                                                                     Mature and emerging economies. Sixteen
                                                                                     mature cities and 10 emerging ones are
                                                                                     included.

                                                                                     This year, six new cities joined the study,
                                                                                     one rejoined from the 2008 report and a few
                                                                                     were removed. At 26 cities, the sample size
                                                                                     remains small enough to allow deep and
                                                                                     wide-ranging research yet large enough
                                                                                     to be representative.

                                                                                     Madrid, Moscow, Istanbul and
                                                                                     Houston were added in order to create
                                                                                     better regional coverage.

                                                                                     Abu Dhabi replaced Dubai as the former
                                                                                     is rising as a business center while the
                                                                                     latter’s growth slowed markedly during the
                                                                                     Great Recession.

                                                                                     San Francisco joined for a number of
                                                                                     reasons. Close links to Silicon Valley provide
San Francisco Bay Area.




8 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
Madrid, Moscow, Berlin, Istanbul, Abu Dhabi
                                                    and San Francisco join the study and Houston
                                                    rejoins. Variables are added on airport transit,
                                                    health systems and end-of-life care, among
                                                    others.



a useful regional focus. As the financial hub       ism. The latter measures hardware itself. The     However, because consistent comparisons
of that area, the city itself plays a major role    demographics and livability indicator focuses     across all cities are critical to assure objec-
in one of the most innovative economies in          more closely on how pleasant people find          tivity, country-level data were used when
the US. It also is at the leading edge of US        living in a city. Only working age population     consistent, highly reliable sources of publi-
cities enacting social policies that affect busi-   remains to show the size of a city’s potential    cally available data were unavailable for all
ness, which adds interest to its performance.       workforce.                                        26 cities.

Berlin replaces Frankfurt, the nation’s             New variables include: airport to central         The scoring methodology was devel-
financial and banking hub, to represent             business district access to measure the ease      oped to ensure transparency and simplicity
Germany. The capital’s fast and targeted            of using public transit between those two key     for readers, as well as comparability across
growth in recent years adds a layer of interest     places; health system performance; and            cities. The output makes for a robust set of
in seeing if it can accomplish in business          end-of-life care. We strengthened our             results and a strong foundation for analysis
what it already has achieved in government          sustainability indicator variables, adding        and discussion.
and culture, becoming the heart of a                newly available data. The study’s result is an
reunified nation.                                   unbiased, quality-controlled and rich look        In attempting to score cities based on relative
                                                    at the pulse of key cities at the heart of the    performance, we decided at the outset of our
In terms of the data indicators, we                 financial, commercial and cultural world.         process that for maximum transparency and
constructed a robust sampling of variables,                                                           simplicity, we would avoid applying overly
each of which had to be: relevant; consistent       Understanding the scoring: Seeking                complicated weights to the 66 variables and,
across the sample; publicly available and           transparency and simplicity                       in so doing, treat each variable with equal
collectible; current; free of skewing from local                                                      importance. This approach makes the study
nuances; and truly reflective of a city’s quality   Because Cities of Opportunity is based on         easily understandable and usable by business
or power. (See pages 79-82 for a brief key          publicly available data supported by extensive    leaders, academics, policymakers and lay
and www.pwc.com/cities for a detailed listing       research, three main sources were used to         persons alike.
of definitions and sources.)                        collect the relevant data:
                                                                                                      Taking the data for each individual variable,
Data this year were normalized where                Global multilateral development orga-             the 26 cities were sorted from the best
appropriate, minimizing the likelihood of a         nizations such as the World Bank and the          performing to the worst. The cities then were
city doing well solely because of its size and      International Monetary Fund, national             assigned a score from 26 (the best perform-
historic strength. This eliminated the need         statistics organizations, such as UK National     ing) to 1 (the worst performing). In the
to differentiate between variables that reflect     Statistics and the US Census Bureau, and          case of a tie, the cities were assigned the
a city’s raw power (such as the number of           commercial data providers.                        same score.
foreign embassies or greenfield projects) and
                                                    The data were collected during the second         Once all of the 66 variables had been ranked
its quality or intensity (such as percent
                                                    and third quarters of 2010. In the majority of    and scored, they were placed into their 10
of population with higher education). Now
                                                    cases, the data used in the study refer to 2009   indicators (for example, economic clout or
more variables are stated in a way that is
                                                    and 2010.                                         demographics and livability). Within each
normalized for either land area or population
than in previous editions.                                                                            individual group, the variable scores were
                                                    In some cases, national data were used as         summed to produce an overall indicator score
                                                    a proxy for city data. Renewable energy           for that topic. This produced 10 indicator
The 66 variables selected and divided into
                                                    consumption is an example. Use of national        league tables that display the relative perfor-
10 indicator groups changed significantly this
                                                    data tends to disadvantage the 26 cities in       mance of our 26 cities.
year in order to develop an even more accu-
                                                    our study, all of which are either national or
rate image of city success.
                                                    regional capitals of finance and business that
Intellectual capital and innovation and             would be expected to outperform national
technology readiness indicators were more           averages in measures of socioeconomic
cleanly delineated this year. The former            advancement. This affect might be more                      Definitions for all variables are
shows what hardware facilitates in a city, such     pronounced in developing parts of the world                 provided on pages 79-82.
as education, R&D effort and entrepreneur-          and areas with greater rural populations.




                                                                                                      Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 9
The city in focus




        Visitors walk through the glass cupola of the German lower house of Parliament, the Bundestag, designed by Sir Norman Foster.
Holistic balance characterizes the top
10 cities in our rankings: all are well
established centers of economic energy
and intellectual vitality. Although
dispersed among four continents,
their common bond is depth.
                                                                        sure with our life satisfaction variable—might
                                                                        be an especially sensitive indicator of the top
                                                                        and bottom of our rankings given that seven
                                                                        out of 11 cities scoring least in life satisfaction
                                                                        also were at the bottom of the overall rankings.

                                                                        Still, the notions of top and bottom in this
                                                                        report, by definition, are relative. A major
                   A look across the overall rankings reveals           reason to look at every ranking indicatively
                   several interesting patterns. Our top five cities    rather than literally—as guideposts to the
                   include only one, New York, that might be            future rather than markers of the past—is
                   called a traditional economic powerhouse.            precisely because every city in this study does
                   Most of the other alpha cities—London, Paris         something, or many things, well. Looking at
                   and Hong Kong—finish in the bottom half of           the overall rankings without examining the
                   the top 10. Tokyo falls to number 14. Toronto,       actual details behind them, therefore, obscures
                   San Francisco, Stockholm and Sydney round            the compelling reasons why each city here has
                   out the top five this year rather than the           been included as one of the foremost cities in
                   historic centers of global finance, commerce         the world today.
                   and culture.
                                                                        New York narrowly finishes first
                   Holistic balance characterizes the top 10            in terms of rankings, dominating only the
                   cities in our rankings: all are well established     lifestyle assets indicator measuring cultural
                   centers of economic energy and intellectual          vibrancy, sports, hotel rooms, skylines, tourism
                   vitality. Although dispersed among four con-         and green space. But balance may be the city’s
                   tinents, their common bond is depth: of eco-         greatest strength. New York finishes in the top
                   nomic infrastructure and networks; of law and        three places in six out of 10 indicators.
                   jurisprudence; of commercial protection; of
                   educational systems and cultural foundations;        By contrast, London maintains the greatest
                   of civic organizations; and of social security.      economic clout (coming in ahead of Paris and
                                                                        New York in that indicator, respectively) but
                   These cities are hardly identical, and they do       finishes in the top three overall only one other
                   not excel in every indicator. But they all rep-      time. In context, balance may have helped
                   resent a modern consensus that cities are the        New York weather the worst of the Great
                   most effective agents of what Leif Edvinsson         Recession and hurt London, whose economy
                   calls “social intelligence” (see page 76); that      relies more heavily on one sector: financial
                   is, the concentrated knowledge and insight of        services.
                   an entire human network.
                                                                        A potential sign of shifting patterns
                   The most resilient societies are those in which      emerges looking at the four cities that
                   citizens feel they have a stake; economically,       follow New York in the top five—Toronto,
                   politically, socially, and even emotionally. As      San Francisco, Stockholm and Sydney. In an
                   it turns out, emotion—which we tried to mea-         increasingly virtual world, these beta cities




                                                                       Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 11
How the cities rank


                                                                            Intellectual capital              Technology       Transportation
                                                                            and innovation                    readiness        and infrastructure


may pose significant competition to great           26    New York                                174                     90                       158
cosmopolitan centers such as London, Paris,         25    Toronto                                  186              59                        127
Tokyo and New York.
                                                    24    San Francisco                           174                    83                        156
Toronto, San Francisco, Stockholm and               23    Stockholm                                     205               84                  134
Sydney all are smaller cities that, a quarter       22    Sydney                                  168               47                        129
of a century ago, were regarded as regional
or national centers. Not any more. Stockholm         21   London                                 162                    68                     149

ranks first in intellectual capital and innova-     20    Chicago                                 166                    80                        159
tion; health, safety and security; and, remark-     19    Paris                                   172                58                             168
ably, demographics and livability, which
                                                    18    Singapore                        119                           78                   126
includes the thermal comfort variable that
quantifies the idea that more temperate and         17    Hong Kong                        118                           77                        149
consistent climes are more attractive.              16    Houston                                 168                    74              92

                                                    15    Los Angeles                             169                    76              93
Toronto, meanwhile, finishes second overall
and also ranks second in intellectual capital       14    Berlin                                149                 48                       113
and innovation as well as health, safety and        13    Tokyo                                   168                    74                        152
security, the two indicators that are most highly
                                                    12    Madrid                           120                     40                              154
correlated in a positive way (see page 16).
                                                     11   Seoul                             130                           89                   145
Findings of interest arise throughout               10    Beijing                    77                            45                         133
the results. São Paulo, for example, finishes
                                                     9    Abu Dhabi                  74                        24                        104
in the top 10 in cultural vibrancy and fourth
in the “zeitgeist” portion of that variable,         8    Shanghai                   83                             47                        127
signaling the city’s global appeal as a dynamic      7    Mexico City                77                        21                             134
metropolis coming into its own as the largest
city in the Southern Hemisphere. It also does        6    Moscow                          107                       51                        128

very well in sustainability, performing in the       5    Santiago                  68                         28                       82
top 10 overall and ranking second in both            4    Istanbul             38                              29                        99
carbon footprint and renewable energy
                                                     3    São Paulo              58                            28                       80
consumption.
                                                     2    Johannesburg          51                            13                   55
Johannesburg, too, does extremely well in            1    Mumbai               41                             18                        80
sustainability, coming in fourth overall. While
its top ranking in cost of business occupancy
might be expected, coming in second in air-
port to central business district (CBD) access
is both surprising and impressive.

Istanbul ties for third place with
Abu Dhabi and New York in skyscraper
construction activity; equals every US city in
ease of starting a business; beats Tokyo, San
Francisco and Berlin in international tourists;
and, finally ties for third with San Francisco,     At a time of great nation and city building in            multimedia design and development,
Sydney and Singapore (among other cities)           China, Shanghai leads all cities in attracting            recycled waste and renewable energy. All this
for the quality of its air.                         foreign direct investment in terms of both                shows China investing to continue the growth
                                                    capital inflow and new greenfield projects.               of its cities and taking actions now in the
Abu Dhabi itself ranks in the top three places      Beijing comes in third and fourth in these                economy and environment to yield dividends
in 10 different variables, from the quality         variables, respectively, and posts the best               in the future.
of its air to its hospitals to commute time to      airport to central business district commute
its economic competitiveness in everything          in the study. Shanghai’s modern skyline is the            Beyond the highs and lows, two notewor-
from tax rates to ease of hiring to working         fourth most powerful in our study.                        thy points should be made about the middle
age population.                                                                                               range of this table. The first is that Tokyo
                                                    Shanghai and Beijing jointly finish in the top            dropped from eighth in last year’s ranking to
                                                    10 in nearly a third of the variables (21 of              14th this year—a steep drop by any measure
                                                    66); notably including software and
                                                                                                              Continues on page 14



12 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
Health, safety          Sustainability     Economic clout            Ease of doing                   Cost                        Demographics                    Lifestyle assets              Score
and security                                                         business                                                    and livability


             93             49                                 163                         178               77                              97                                          147   1226

                  112           71                          139                          163                     94                               133                              111         1195

                104             69                    101                                154                     96                               131                          104             1172
                  113               81                103                            143                     79                                    137                    68                   1147

              104                   83                 107                               162                    87                                134                          105             1126
             90             52                                 170                        166              59                             83                                        123        1122
                107        42                         101                                156                     99                             116                            94              1120

             85                57                              166                 119                  51                                      116                                 125        1117

             97             52                              140                            188              64                                 113                            90               1067

        66                 47                                 149                              191         60                                  107                             97              1061
              103         35                          100                                152                          116                       116                           94               1050

             89            46                     84                                     159                     101                              124                          102             1043
              98                    86                100                          121                           91                               122                         88               1016

             91            45                           114                         140                45                                 81                                   103             1013

           79                  58                            144               102                          62                                    124                         84               967
        58                     56                  89                              119                     57                             83                             56                    882
   37                      47                           114               76                           39                                 78                                  83               729
             86           28                     71                                117                      70                                 110                21                           705
   37                          54                       119             54                             41                            49                                       86               697

      41                   43                    66                           97                           58                              90                            65                    692
 18                       33                       88                    60                            37                            47                                        95              664
   30                          61               65                                  138                         86                        76                       24                          658
  25                           57                68                           90                       46                                 74                              72                   598
  21                            67                80                      74                          30                                   92                            65                    595

      42                         78              67                           87                                86                      71                           43                        593
  25                            71                88                     61                           29                            49                              30                         492




Each city’s score (here 1227 to 492) is the sum of its rankings across indicators. The city order from                           High                    Highest rank in each indicator
26 to 1 is based on these scores. See maps on pages 18–19 for an overall indicator comparison.                                   Medium
                                                                                                                                 Low




                                                                                                                            Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 13
Continued from page 12                             but for cities such as Paris and London. Both
                                                   these cities complete the top three, respective-
but one with clear causes. While it reached
                                                   ly, in lifestyle assets; but they do not perform
the top 10 in six indicators, Tokyo ranked 12th
                                                   nearly as well in demographics and livability.
in ease of doing business; eight places from
                                                   (Paris does best, tied for eighth; but London
the bottom in the key variable of demograph-
                                                   comes in at a tie for 17th.) Meantime, Stock-
ics and livability (with a correspondingly low
                                                   holm, Sydney, Toronto and San Francisco lead
score in life satisfaction); and six places from
                                                   the category.
the bottom in cost and sustainability—unusual
results for one of the leading cities in the       Results in health, safety and security
world with extraordinary human capital.            may expose another significant risk going
                                                   forward in terms of any city’s success. In our
Berlin ranked immediately above
                                                   heat map analysis this year, a highly positive
Tokyo in this year’s study and is reinvent-
                                                   correlation arises between health, safety and
ing itself—or, more accurately, reintegrating
                                                   security and intellectual capital and innova-
itself into the international economy—for the
                                                   tion (see page 26). Clearly, the people who
second time since it became the capital of
                                                   constitute a city’s intellectual capital, and are
Imperial Germany in 1871 and burgeoned in
                                                   its leading innovators, need to feel healthy,
size and population in the first decades of the
                                                   safe and secure in their working and personal
20th century.
                                                   surroundings in order to put down roots
The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the city’s    and prosper.
reunification and its reinstatement as the
                                                   Taking a step back, high or low overall scores
political center of a united Germany have
                                                   are only guideposts. One pragmatic policy
restored Berlin to the mainstream of European
                                                   implication of the study is that a broadly
and global history. It looks like it intends to
                                                   positive quality of life may serve as a founda-
stay there, certainly as a creative center—and
                                                   tion of both a resilient economy and lasting
not just in the arts but in IT, life sciences,
                                                   global success.
and services (see page 64 interview with
René Gurka of Berlin Partner).                     While none of our beta cities are world eco-
                                                   nomic powerhouses, they perform very well
Returning to overall messages in the
                                                   overall. This is important at a time of urban
findings, it may be telling going forward that
                                                   growth when residents are looking for more
New York ranks 14th in demographics and
                                                   than just a place to work but also a place to
livability, with low scores in quality of living
                                                   live, build families and invest in the future.
and commute time. Weakness in these areas
                                                   The cities that perform well in Cities of
may be a future threat not only for New York
                                                   Opportunity are those that reflect that balance.




While none of our beta cities are world economic
powerhouses, they perform very well. This is
important at a time of urban growth when
residents are looking for more than just a place
to work but also a place to live, build families
and invest in the future.




14 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
Grande Arche de la Défense, Paris.




Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 15
Practical correlates:
The patterns of a successful city reflect the people who
work toward success


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Correlation analysis adds a fascinating aspect




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Transportation and infrastructure
                                                                              Intellectual capital and innovation




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 of our study in which the data create their
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 own patterns, on a kind of random walk that
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Demographics and livability
                                                                                                                    Health, safety and security




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 leads to new, and often unexpected and coun-
                                                                                                                                                  Ease of doing business
                                                                                                                                                                            Technology readiness
                                          Average correlation




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 terintuitive, conclusions that challenge some
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 theories and confirm others.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Economic clout
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Lifestyle assets




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Sustainability
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 What stuck out in the heat map of our 10
                                                                Grand total




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 indicators this year was the strong positive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 correlation between intellectual capital and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Cost


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 innovation and health, safety and security.

               Average correlation        55% 74%                                  70% 67% 61% 60% 57% 53% 50% 48% 43% 27%                                                                                                                                                                                                       Simply stated, the most globally
                         Grand total      74% 100 %                                94% 91% 83% 81% 76% 71% 67% 65% 56% 32%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 competitive cities are almost always those
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 in which the men and women who gener-
   Intellectual capital and innovation    70% 94%                             100 % 87% 69% 81% 69% 63% 54% 60% 55% 36%                                                                                                                                                                                                          ate a city’s intellectual resources are offered
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 professional and personal surroundings
          Health, safety and security     67% 91%                                   87% 100 % 78% 65% 84% 46% 47% 46% 68% 30%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 that can reasonably ensure their health and
             Ease of doing business       61% 83%                                  69% 78% 100 % 69% 67% 51% 47% 37% 62%                                                                                                                                                                                           6%            safety. Put another way, a city’s creators and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 innovators—those who design and devise
               Technology readiness       60% 81%                                   81% 65% 69% 100 % 43% 63% 52% 63% 35% 5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 its products (whether buildings, financial
         Demographics and livability      57% 76%                                  69% 84% 67% 43% 100 % 28% 27% 30% 67% 38%                                                                                                                                                                                                     instruments, media or works of art) and set
                     Lifestyle assets     53% 71%                                  63% 46% 51% 63% 28% 100 % 76% 62% 11%                                                                                                                                                                                           9%            its trends—actually choose where they want
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 to live.
                     Economic clout       50% 67%                                  54% 47% 47% 52% 27% 76% 100 % 68% -5% 15%

   Transportation and infrastructure      48% 65%                                 60% 46% 37% 63% 30% 62% 68% 100 % -6%                                                                                                                                                                                            3%            This illustrates a broader competitive land-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 scape. The five indicators that correlate very
                                   Cost   43% 56%                                  55% 68% 62% 35% 67% 11% -5% -6% 100 % 24%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 positively among themselves lie in the “north-
                        Sustainability    27% 32%                                 36% 30% 6%                                                                                      5% 38% 9%                                                           15%                    3% 24% 100 %



                                                                                                                                                                           100 %                                                       Strong positive correlation



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Weak positive correlation

                                                                                                                                                                                       0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Weak negative correlation



                                                                                                                                                                           -100 %                                                      Strong negative correlation




16 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
west” corner. In addition to the two discussed     cities). Of the top 10—those, in other words,
above, they include ease of doing business,        most positively correlated with each other—
technology readiness, and demographics             three are social (end-of-life care, housing and
and livability. What is noteworthy about this      quality of living); two involve intellectual
cluster is that only ease of doing business is     capital and innovation (literacy and enroll-
a “hard” economic or financial measure. The        ment and intellectual property protection);
other four are more properly social, educa-        one is technological (digital economy score);
tional or technological indicators—not the         one is political (political environment) and
conventional stuff of economic analysis.           as relevant to personal freedom as to prudent
                                                   investment; and only three are economic
Most of those hard economic indicators—            (workforce management risk, entrepreneurial
economic clout, transportation and infra-          environment and business trip index).
structure, and cost—lie in the bottom half
of the map. Interestingly, cost, the “hardest”     That, in the end, is the new urban
and bluntest economic measure of all, shows        terrain. Intellectual capital and innovation
weak negative correlations with economic           has the highest average positive correlation
clout, as well as with transportation and          with every other indicator. Health, safety and
infrastructure.                                    security has the second highest. And the two
                                                   are more positively correlated to each other
This is a striking illustration of the transfor-   than is the case with any other indicators.
mation of modern metropolitan economies,
now based and dependent on education,              According to the data, therefore, the success-
science and technology rather than on              ful modern urban economy is reliant on, if
traditional industry. Moreover, to sustain         not yet solely the product of, intelligence and
success, cities today must continually attract     social well-being—a methodological conclu-
and retain highly educated, technologically        sion that seems not so much to challenge any
adept and digitally connected knowledge            theory as to confirm common sense.
workers who increasingly make up the core
of their human capital and whose definition
of quality of life is exacting and not easily
compromised.

This extremely positive correlation of social
and educational variables in our study is
borne out by our large heat map, which
includes all 66 variables (see www.pwc.com/




                                                   Simply stated, the most globally competitive
                                                   cities are almost always those in which the men
                                                   and women who generate a city’s intellectual
                                                   resources are offered professional and personal
                                                   surroundings that can reasonably ensure their
                                                   health and safety.




                                                                                                     Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 17
Indicator rankings at a glance



The maps below show city rankings in each of the study’s 10                                               Intellectual capital and innovation
overall indicators. A brief key to the 66 variables is available on                                       page 26
pages 79-82. Interactive tools and detailed listings of definitions
and source documents used to develop Cities of Opportunity are                                                              Toronto
                                                                                                                                            London 26 Stockholm
                                                                                                                                                16            10 Moscow
offered at www.pwc.com/cities.                                                                                        Chicago 25                    15 Berlin                     Beijing
                                                                                                                                                                                       Seoul
                                                                                                     San Francisco 24      17 24 New York    13 22       1 Istanbul                     8
                                                                                                                                                                                       14
                                                                                                      Los Angeles 21    20 Houston        Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi                   20 Tokyo
                                                                                                                                                                            Shanghai 9
                                                                                                                      8                                              6
                                                                                                                                                                                            11 Hong Kong
                                                                                                                   Mexico City                                             2
                                                                                                                                                                         Mumbai
                                                                                                                                                                                      12
                                                                                                                                                                                   Singapore
                                                                                                                                     São Paulo
                                                                                                                                                      Johannesburg
                                                                                                                                        4
                                                                                                                                                           3                                     Sydney
                                                                                                                       Santiago 5
                                                                                                                                                                                                   20




     Health, safety and security                                                                          Sustainability
     page 45                                                                                              page 46

                                       London 26 Stockholm                                                                                  London 24 Stockholm
                       Toronto                                                                                              Toronto
                                           16            1 Moscow                                                                               12             2 Moscow
                 Chicago 25                    20 Berlin                    Beijing                                   Chicago 22                     26 Berlin                    Beijing
San Francisco 23                                                                 Seoul               San Francisco 20                                                                   Seoul
                      24 18 New York    12 13       4 Istanbul                    7                                         4 10 New York    17 16       16 Istanbul                    9
                                                                                 10                                                                                                     14
 Los Angeles 15    21 Houston        Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi                  17 Tokyo
                                                                                                      Los Angeles 7     3 Houston         Madrid Paris         Abu Dhabi                   6 Tokyo
                                                                      Shanghai 7                                                                                            Shanghai 13
                8                                             14                                                     5                                               1
                                                                                      11 Hong Kong                                                                                          9 Hong Kong
             Mexico City                                             4                                             Mexico City                                            22
                                                                   Mumbai                                                                                                Mumbai
                                                                                19                                                                                                    12
                                                                             Singapore                                                                                             Singapore
                               São Paulo                                                                                             São Paulo
                                               Johannesburg                                                                                           Johannesburg
                                  2                                                                                                     19
                                                    9                                      Sydney                                                          23                                    Sydney
                 Santiago 5                                                                                            Santiago 18
                                                                                             23                                                                                                    25




     Cost                                                                                                 Demographics and livability
     page 62                                                                                              page 66

                                       London 17 Stockholm                                                                                       London 26 Stockholm
                       Toronto                                                                                               Toronto
                                            11            3 Moscow                                                                                   10             1 Moscow
                 Chicago 22                     21 Berlin                   Beijing                                   Chicago 24                         20 Berlin              Beijing
San Francisco 23                                                                 Seoul               San Francisco 23                                                                    Seoul
                      24 16 New York    13 8         7 Istanbul                   4                                         19 13 New York        22 19       5 Istanbul              7 10
                                                                                  9
 Los Angeles 25    26 Houston        Madrid Paris         Abu Dhabi                 6 Tokyo
                                                                                                      Los Angeles 22    19 Houston             Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi Shanghai 3     8 Tokyo
                                                                      Shanghai 5
               10                                          15                                                          11                                             15
                                                                                  12 Hong Kong                                                                                         14 Hong Kong
             Mexico City                                             1                                              Mexico City                                             3
                                                                   Mumbai                                                                                                Mumbai
                                                                                14                                                                                                  16
                                                                             Singapore                                                                                           Singapore
                               São Paulo                                                                                             São Paulo
                                               Johannesburg                                                                                             Johannesburg
                                  2                                                                                                     12
                                                    19                                     Sydney                                                             4                             Sydney
                 Santiago 19                                                                                            Santiago 6
                                                                                             20                                                                                                25




18 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
Technology readiness                                                                               Transportation and infrastructure
      page 29                                                                                            page 34

                                       London 24 Stockholm                                                                                 London 17 Stockholm
                       Toronto                                                                                             Toronto
                                           16            13 Moscow                                                                             20            13 Moscow
                 Chicago 15                    12 Berlin                      Beijing                                Chicago 12                     9 Berlin                      Beijing
San Francisco 23                                                                    Seoul           San Francisco 23                                                                    Seoul
                      22 26 New York     8 14       7 Istanbul                      9                                     25 24 New York    22 26       7 Istanbul                     15
                                                                                    25                                                                                                  18
 Los Angeles 19    18 Houston        Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi                     18 Tokyo
                                                                                                     Los Angeles 6     5 Houston         Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi                     21 Tokyo
                                                                        Shanghai 11                                                                                         Shanghai 12
                 3                                               4                                                                                                   8
                                                                                    20 Hong Kong                    17                                                                  20 Hong Kong
              Mexico City                                              2                                          Mexico City                                              3
                                                                     Mumbai                                                                                              Mumbai
                                                                                  21                                                                                                  10
                                                                               Singapore                                                                                           Singapore
                               São Paulo                                                                                           São Paulo
                                                  Johannesburg                                                                                        Johannesburg
                                  6                                                                                                   3
                                                       1                                   Sydney                                                          1                                   Sydney
                  Santiago 6                                                                                          Santiago 4
                                                                                             11                                                                                                  14




      Economic clout                                                                                     Ease of doing business
      page 54                                                                                            page 60

                                           London 15 Stockholm                                                                                 London 16 Stockholm
                        Toronto                                                                                             Toronto
                                                26            9 Moscow                                                                              23            2 Moscow
                 Chicago 20                         12 Berlin              Beijing                                   Chicago 22                         13 Berlin              Beijing
San Francisco 14                                                                     Seoul          San Francisco 18                                                                    Seoul
                       14 24 New York        22 25       4 Istanbul             18 10                                      19 24 New York         9 12       7 Istanbul              5 12
 Los Angeles 7     12 Houston             Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi Shanghai 19     18 Tokyo
                                                                                                     Los Angeles 20    17 Houston             Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi Shanghai 1     15 Tokyo
                  2                                              5                                                    8                                              10
                                                                                   23 Hong Kong                                                                                       26 Hong Kong
               Mexico City                                             9                                           Mexico City                                             3
                                                                    Mumbai                                                                                              Mumbai
                                                                                21                                                                                                 25
                                                                            Singapore                                                                                           Singapore
                                São Paulo                                                                                           São Paulo
                                                   Johannesburg                                                                                        Johannesburg
                                   6                                                                                                   4
                   Santiago 1                            3                               Sydney                       Santiago 14                            6                              Sydney
                                                                                           16                                                                                                 21




      Lifestyle assets
      page 70

                                           London 8 Stockholm
                       Toronto
                                               24            17 Moscow
                 Chicago 23                        13 Berlin              Beijing
San Francisco 21                                                                    Seoul
                      16 26 New York        11 25       9 Istanbul             10 5
 Los Angeles 19    16 Houston            Madrid Paris        Abu Dhabi Shanghai 12     20 Tokyo
                                                                1
                  7                                                              18  Hong Kong
               Mexico City                                            3
                                                                   Mumbai
                                                                              14
                                                                           Singapore
                               São Paulo
                                                  Johannesburg
                                  7
                  Santiago 2                            4                              Sydney
                                                                                          22




                                                                                                                    Map Key
                                                                                                                         High        The 26 cities are sorted from the best to
                                                                                                                         Medium      the worst performing, with each receiving
                                                                                                                         Low         a score ranging from 26 for best to 1 for
                                                                                                                                     worst. In ties, cities are assigned the
                                                                                                                                     same score.




                                                                                                                                   Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 19
Indicator discussions
& interviews




       The Korean Pavilion at Shanghai’s 2010 Expo.
As we dig our way out of the Great Recession, we
                                                  shouldn’t just replicate the old, consumer-driven
                                                  economy. We need to build the next economy.
                                                  The key is for metropolitan areas to develop
                                                  economic plans tailored to their own strengths.
                                                  Judith Rodin




The quantitative research is                      Klaus Baur and Guenther Krug of Bom-                 Ease of doing business is expanded this
represented by 10 indicator categories            bardier detail the sustainable and efficient         year, but the top four—Hong Kong, Singa-
that include 66 individual data variables.        edge offered by intra- and intercity rail travel.    pore, New York and London—change places
The makeup of the indicators also mirrors the                                                          minimally.
study’s hypothesis: Cities with well-rounded      Health, safety and security plumbs the
economies and forward-looking policies and        vital signs of city life, and, again, Stockholm      Cost finds five North American cities on top.
actions over the long run will prove best for     and Toronto emerge in best shape.                    But Berlin is right below. And René Gurka
businesses and residents.                                                                              of Berlin Partner tells what the reunified city
                                                  Sustainability raises a finger in the wind to        is doing to turn its many cultural advantages
In addition to this quantitative research,        find Berlin, Sydney and Stockholm perform-           into an economic plus.
discussions with leading authorities and          ing best but four developing cities joining the
examination of various issues add insight         top 10. Planning for sustainability takes the        Demographics and livability looks at
into the numbers.                                 first step toward results, and we examine how        socioeconomic well-being and finds this
                                                  Johannesburg, Mexico City, Shanghai, Abu             complex quality best offered in Stockholm,
Rem Koolhaas, architect, writer and Harvard       Dhabi and New York are handling it. Kerry            Sydney, Toronto and San Francisco. The pain
professor, has worked in many of our 26           Zhou of Goldwind Technologies discusses the          of commuting merits a detour of its own to
cities. A discussion with him covers modern-      inroads renewable energy is making into the          compare traffic policies.
city issues from density to globalization to      urban energy mix in China and worldwide.
the particular beauties and tragedies of                                                               Lifestyle assets follows the urban bliss
individual places.                                Economic clout is earned over time and               toward New York, Paris and London. And
                                                  changes little this year. London, Paris and          we examine the cobweb of issues encircling
Intellectual capital and innovation has           New York continue at the head. The top               historic preservation as rage for the new
been expanded to nine variables this year, and    10 are divided evenly between five North             looks in the rearview mirror to find vintage
Stockholm and Toronto perform consistently        American and European cities and five Asian          chic. In the end, the gaze of Leif Edvinsson,
well. Translating education theory into           cities. Mortimer Zuckerman brings a                  who pioneered the study of intellectual
classroom reality is a paradox we investigate.    broad perspective in discussing the economics        capital, is firmly fixed on future “cities of
                                                  landscape as a major developer, publisher and        mindware.”
Technology readiness focuses purely on            former Harvard professor.
hardware, and New York, Seoul and Stock-
holm come out on top. Judith Rodin,
president of the Rockefeller Foundation and
formerly the University of Pennsylvania, offers
her own extraordinary range of insight from                                 See videocasts with architect Rem Koolhaas as well as Vitor
education to infrastructure and migration.                                  Knijnik, creative head of Y&R Energy in São Paulo, hear
                                                                            podcasts with Mortimer Zuckerman and read the full interviews
Transportation and infrastructure lays                                      condensed here on the web at www.pwc.com/cities. The web
a physical cornerstone enabling much else                                   also offers interactive tools to customize heat maps and model
in every city to work. Paris, Chicago and New                               your own city based on all 26 cities and 66 variables, as well as
York perform best. The changing ideal and                                   detailed background on sources and definitions.
reality of what a cityscape should and does
look like bears discussion of its own.




                                                                                                      Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 21
архитектура Cities of-opportunity
архитектура Cities of-opportunity
архитектура Cities of-opportunity
архитектура Cities of-opportunity
архитектура Cities of-opportunity
архитектура Cities of-opportunity
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архитектура Cities of-opportunity

  • 2. Cities of Opportunity 2011 makes its fourth analysis of the trajectory of 26 cities, all capitals of finance, commerce and culture—and through their performance, seeks to open a window on what makes cities function best. The Upper East Side of Manhattan, with Midtown in the background. www.pwc.com © 2011 PwC. All rights reserved. “PwC” and “PwC US” refer to PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership, which is a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each member firm of which is a separate legal entity. This document is for general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors. www.pfnyc.org ©2011 The Partnership for New York City, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 3. The more cities change, the more forward-looking perspective matters… The notion of the city has come a long way. deeper exploration of core issues. This year have to be in balance for modern cities to But the heart of what a city is remains the we compare 26 cities—with San Francisco, enjoy healthy growth. Minds spur innova- same: people drawn together, today in ever- Berlin, Madrid, Moscow, Istanbul and Abu tion; roads, rails, communications networks, increasing densities and numbers, to work Dhabi joining and Houston rejoining. We also schools and hospitals lay the groundwork as a community. look closely at a few of the challenges that on which new ideas can grow. In an ideal are most pressing at the moment—regional world, prosperity follows. But, as we all know, Cities of Opportunity is dedicated to management, education, sustainability, progress toward any ideal requires day-to- understanding what makes urban dynam- density, transportation and preservation. day work. This study represents our part ics work, and communicating what we learn in the effort. to government officials, policymakers, busi- It is not a coincidence that images of nesspersons, scholars and citizens mutually innovative and historic libraries (in Seattle Yes, Cities of Opportunity is changing. But the invested in the success of their city or cities. and Stockholm) begin and end the interviews heart of what we are doing—trying to shed in our study. Nor is the focus on transporta- light on what makes major cities healthy— This marks our fourth study. Like cities them- tion, energy, environment, housing and health remains the same. All three of us sincerely selves, we keep evolving. Cities of Opportunity that weaves throughout. Both tangible and hope you find value and interest in the study. 2011 includes more cities, greater analysis and intangible—physical and intellectual capital— Yours truly, Robert Moritz Kenneth I. Chenault Terry J. Lundgren Chairman and Senior Partner Chairman and CEO Chairman, President and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP American Express Co. Chief Executive Officer Macy’s Inc. Co-chairman Partnership for New York City Co-chairman Partnership for New York City
  • 4. Contents 5 About the study Frames the themes, presents context and explains the scoring 10 The city in focus Zeros in on key results throughout the study and analyzes findings and issues 20 Indicator discussions & interviews Presents in-depth results covering all 10 indicators and 66 variables, examines issues and adds insight from urban thinkers and doers Commuters crossing London Bridge. 2 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 5. Interviews 22 | Rem Koolhaas 56 | Mortimer Zuckerman Muses on changing cities and his quest to Gauges the present and future of cities from reinvent them in a way that serves the his perspective as a developer, publisher and public good former professor Page 22 30 | Judith Rodin 64 | René Gurka Discusses the Rockefeller Foundation’s quest Sees Berlin as “the place to be” for media, life to address the challenges of urbanization sciences, clean industries and services as the city re-establishes itself as a business center 42 | Klaus Baur & Guenther Krug Explain how railways bring sustainable 76 | Leif Edvinsson mobility back to the future Charts a course “from cities of hardware to cities of mindware” 50 | Kerry Zhou Outlines the mission of Goldwind Technologies to light the world’s cities with green power Page 30 Page 56 See the web at www.pwc.com/cities for greater depth and functionality. Model your own city and perform customized correlation analyses by selecting the variables and cities you want to focus on for an interactive look at the results. See videocasts and hear podcasts with Rem Koolhaas and Mortimer Zuckerman. Read the full text of all the interviews condensed here in the report. Learn the detailed background on all sources and definitions for the 66 variables in the study. Page 76 Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 3
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  • 7. About the study Traffic traverses a new diagonal crossing at Oxford Circus, London, inspired by the Shibuya crossing in Tokyo.
  • 8. Overview: Looking closer at the alphas, betas and chais of holistic cities When the first edition of Cities of In terms of overall results this year, New York Opportunity was developed, we made a finishes first with a slim, perhaps ephemeral, decision to rank cities only in their 10 indica- lead (see page 12). But the real news lies tor categories and to forego showing overall elsewhere. rankings to avoid the misperception of a con- test. That risk seemed especially significant Toronto, San Francisco, Stockholm in 2007, when the media cast New York and and Sydney round out the top five London in a death match for global capital after New York. These beta cities arguably market kingship. may not “have it all” if you’re seeking to crown a heavyweight champion among world In hindsight, the New York versus London tug cities where size, a major capital market and of war seems a figment of the about-to-burst 24/7 buzz do matter. But they just may have bubble, a comparison that deserved headline what they need for a world that is growing attention only through the looking glass of less reliant on geography and more dependent irrational exuberance. And a curious reader, on attracting and nurturing good people to then and now, might be expected to ask, quite innovate and build the future with fresh eyes. commonsensically, ‘who does win?’ Interestingly, the cities of Toronto, San Francisco, This fourth edition of Cities of Opportunity Stockholm and Sydney all are part of vital for the first time shows an overall ranking. regions—a relationship we examine this year. But which city wins is far from our message or motivation. If anything, we honor the Notably also, the “alpha” cities like admonition of Walt Whitman, a 19th century London, Paris, Tokyo and New York editor of The Brooklyn Eagle: “Be curious, not are not bunched at the top. These “usual judgmental.” suspects” of broad, Western socioeconomic leadership (with rich recent histories, deep Rome, Amsterdam, Beijing were all once resources and major capital markets) are the centers of their worlds. Each remains a spread through the top 10 and, in the case of great city but at a different stage of evolu- Tokyo, fall to 14th overall. tion. Detroit stood mid-20th century at the epicenter of the US economy, to the point Taking a step back, there actually are no that it was said, “What is good for the nation alpha and beta differentiators among our is good for General Motors and vice versa.” 26 cities—nor is there any reason to catego- Today, that story has taken a different turn. rize cities as one or the other more than to But even for Detroit, detours don’t doom the acknowledge differences among histories, city to dead ends. opportunities and challenges. As all city 6 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 9. dwellers know (at least in quiet moments), 66 variables, also offering users the interac- Interviews add an extraordinary the density that packs us on metros, high- tive ability to customize any combination of level of insight from people at the center ways, markets and streets guarantees that 10 variables.) of thought and action. These include con- we’re “all in it together.” Sooner or later, versations with: Rem Koolhaas, architect, cities and their citizens prosper or fail as a This year in addition to refining our data writer and Harvard professor; Judith Rodin, piece. What one person or city learns can selection and analysis and presenting inter- president of the Rockefeller Foundation and help another; and our objective is to look at views with authorities at the center of urban formerly the University of Pennsylvania; policies and performance to communicate ideas and action, we discuss several critical Mortimer Zuckerman, developer and useful insights. urban issues in depth. These include the: publisher; Klaus Baur and Guenther Krug, chairman of Bombardier Transportation, and Winners also would be much different if Paradox of measuring and improving a member of Berlin Parliament and advisor Cities of Opportunity were recast as Cities education in a world where intellectual capi- to Bombardier, respectively; Kerry Zhou, of Growth or Cities of Fun. As it is, our study tal and innovation increasingly form the brick director of strategy and planning at Goldwind defines the ideal differently. Perhaps we’re and mortar of future cities (see page 28). Technologies, one of China’s leading wind seeking the chai of cities, to switch from power companies; René Gurka, managing Greek letters to a Hebrew character that Regional struggle from Beijing to director of Berlin Partner, and Leif Edvinsson, signifies life force. Berlin to São Paulo and Sydney to effec- an urban futurologist and pioneer in under- tively manage cities in the contexts of their standing the dynamics of intellectual capital. Our measures are designed to favor surrounding areas—often places with dif- holistic capital market centers with ferent governments, measures of success, Our website, www.pwc.com/cities, vibrant economies and strong quality of life. funding sources and economic motivations offers much more. Interactive tools allow Our thesis is that a successful city going for- (see page 36). users to perform their own correlation analy- ward will balance both social and economic ses and comparisons for any city. Videocasts strengths so the people and infrastructure Changing popular and real definition are available with Rem Koolhaas and podcasts support each other. The challenge of building of what a cityscape looks like as some with Mortimer Zuckerman. Full-length tran- a city, keeping it on top and evolving with cities rise, some spread, some choose to stay scripts of the interviews are posted. You can changing needs is the dynamic we’re seeking low and some combine a bit of each (see also find detailed background on all sources to illuminate. The measures we use—recon- page 40). and definitions of the variables. sidered and significantly recast this year—are selected to develop an accurate reflection of Progress being made on sustainability In closing, we hope all this proves entertaining, that balanced city and its metamorphosis. as cities from Mexico City to Johannesburg enlightening and valuable to everyone inter- to Shanghai, Abu Dhabi and New York adopt ested in the factors that make cities thrive. Correlation analyses provide one signal we’re plans to suit their own situations to clean going in the right direction. A parallel exists their environments and conserve resources between good economic indicators and social (see page 47). ones. Among the 10 indicators, five corre- late in a close positive pattern—intellectual Costly and maddening toll of traffic capital and innovation; health, safety and congestion and what Singapore, Stockholm security; ease of doing business; technology and London are doing to solve the problem readiness; and demographics and livability. (see page 68). In other words, when one goes up, the other tends to do so as well. For instance, the Friction playing out between prog- indicators that include health and intellectual ress and preservation as governments, capital correlate a striking +87%. (See page businesses, developers, architects, historic 16 for a heat map of the 10 indicators and conservationists and citizens each regard www.pwc.com/cities for a look at all the value of the past and road to the future through slightly different prisms (see page 72). Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 7
  • 10. Approach: The mix of variables and cities is refined; the parameters of research stay consistent Like cities, Cities of Opportunity continues properly. Discussions are included on regional to evolve. PwC and the Partnership for New management, measurement of education, York City first considered the report seven cityscapes, sustainability, traffic congestion years ago asking what New York had to do to and preservation. remain competitive on the world stage. We immediately extended the research to other This fourth edition of our report expands and cities around the world to find patterns and changes the mix of cities, enriches the data lessons. In four editions of our report, we with more and different variables, and further have grown from 11 to 26 cities. complements the quantitative nature of the research with insight from world authorities Last year, we reported that economics and on urban issues. quality of life are tightly linked in successful modern cities. The study continues to grow Three key factors governed the cities into a more holistic look at socioeconomic we chose: balance. Capital market centers. Many of the cities We moved deeper into underlying included are hubs of commerce, communica- issues this year, realizing that numbers tions and culture. But all are financial capitals themselves may create interest, but, very of their region—meaning each plays an often, the policies behind statistics require important role not only locally but also as a analysis and comparison to tell the story vital part of a globalizing economic fabric. Broad geographic sampling. While each city is a center of finance and commerce in its own region, and in many cases the world, collectively, the 26 cities form a representative international distribution. Mature and emerging economies. Sixteen mature cities and 10 emerging ones are included. This year, six new cities joined the study, one rejoined from the 2008 report and a few were removed. At 26 cities, the sample size remains small enough to allow deep and wide-ranging research yet large enough to be representative. Madrid, Moscow, Istanbul and Houston were added in order to create better regional coverage. Abu Dhabi replaced Dubai as the former is rising as a business center while the latter’s growth slowed markedly during the Great Recession. San Francisco joined for a number of reasons. Close links to Silicon Valley provide San Francisco Bay Area. 8 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 11. Madrid, Moscow, Berlin, Istanbul, Abu Dhabi and San Francisco join the study and Houston rejoins. Variables are added on airport transit, health systems and end-of-life care, among others. a useful regional focus. As the financial hub ism. The latter measures hardware itself. The However, because consistent comparisons of that area, the city itself plays a major role demographics and livability indicator focuses across all cities are critical to assure objec- in one of the most innovative economies in more closely on how pleasant people find tivity, country-level data were used when the US. It also is at the leading edge of US living in a city. Only working age population consistent, highly reliable sources of publi- cities enacting social policies that affect busi- remains to show the size of a city’s potential cally available data were unavailable for all ness, which adds interest to its performance. workforce. 26 cities. Berlin replaces Frankfurt, the nation’s New variables include: airport to central The scoring methodology was devel- financial and banking hub, to represent business district access to measure the ease oped to ensure transparency and simplicity Germany. The capital’s fast and targeted of using public transit between those two key for readers, as well as comparability across growth in recent years adds a layer of interest places; health system performance; and cities. The output makes for a robust set of in seeing if it can accomplish in business end-of-life care. We strengthened our results and a strong foundation for analysis what it already has achieved in government sustainability indicator variables, adding and discussion. and culture, becoming the heart of a newly available data. The study’s result is an reunified nation. unbiased, quality-controlled and rich look In attempting to score cities based on relative at the pulse of key cities at the heart of the performance, we decided at the outset of our In terms of the data indicators, we financial, commercial and cultural world. process that for maximum transparency and constructed a robust sampling of variables, simplicity, we would avoid applying overly each of which had to be: relevant; consistent Understanding the scoring: Seeking complicated weights to the 66 variables and, across the sample; publicly available and transparency and simplicity in so doing, treat each variable with equal collectible; current; free of skewing from local importance. This approach makes the study nuances; and truly reflective of a city’s quality Because Cities of Opportunity is based on easily understandable and usable by business or power. (See pages 79-82 for a brief key publicly available data supported by extensive leaders, academics, policymakers and lay and www.pwc.com/cities for a detailed listing research, three main sources were used to persons alike. of definitions and sources.) collect the relevant data: Taking the data for each individual variable, Data this year were normalized where Global multilateral development orga- the 26 cities were sorted from the best appropriate, minimizing the likelihood of a nizations such as the World Bank and the performing to the worst. The cities then were city doing well solely because of its size and International Monetary Fund, national assigned a score from 26 (the best perform- historic strength. This eliminated the need statistics organizations, such as UK National ing) to 1 (the worst performing). In the to differentiate between variables that reflect Statistics and the US Census Bureau, and case of a tie, the cities were assigned the a city’s raw power (such as the number of commercial data providers. same score. foreign embassies or greenfield projects) and The data were collected during the second Once all of the 66 variables had been ranked its quality or intensity (such as percent and third quarters of 2010. In the majority of and scored, they were placed into their 10 of population with higher education). Now cases, the data used in the study refer to 2009 indicators (for example, economic clout or more variables are stated in a way that is and 2010. demographics and livability). Within each normalized for either land area or population than in previous editions. individual group, the variable scores were In some cases, national data were used as summed to produce an overall indicator score a proxy for city data. Renewable energy for that topic. This produced 10 indicator The 66 variables selected and divided into consumption is an example. Use of national league tables that display the relative perfor- 10 indicator groups changed significantly this data tends to disadvantage the 26 cities in mance of our 26 cities. year in order to develop an even more accu- our study, all of which are either national or rate image of city success. regional capitals of finance and business that Intellectual capital and innovation and would be expected to outperform national technology readiness indicators were more averages in measures of socioeconomic cleanly delineated this year. The former advancement. This affect might be more Definitions for all variables are shows what hardware facilitates in a city, such pronounced in developing parts of the world provided on pages 79-82. as education, R&D effort and entrepreneur- and areas with greater rural populations. Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 9
  • 12. The city in focus Visitors walk through the glass cupola of the German lower house of Parliament, the Bundestag, designed by Sir Norman Foster.
  • 13. Holistic balance characterizes the top 10 cities in our rankings: all are well established centers of economic energy and intellectual vitality. Although dispersed among four continents, their common bond is depth. sure with our life satisfaction variable—might be an especially sensitive indicator of the top and bottom of our rankings given that seven out of 11 cities scoring least in life satisfaction also were at the bottom of the overall rankings. Still, the notions of top and bottom in this report, by definition, are relative. A major A look across the overall rankings reveals reason to look at every ranking indicatively several interesting patterns. Our top five cities rather than literally—as guideposts to the include only one, New York, that might be future rather than markers of the past—is called a traditional economic powerhouse. precisely because every city in this study does Most of the other alpha cities—London, Paris something, or many things, well. Looking at and Hong Kong—finish in the bottom half of the overall rankings without examining the the top 10. Tokyo falls to number 14. Toronto, actual details behind them, therefore, obscures San Francisco, Stockholm and Sydney round the compelling reasons why each city here has out the top five this year rather than the been included as one of the foremost cities in historic centers of global finance, commerce the world today. and culture. New York narrowly finishes first Holistic balance characterizes the top 10 in terms of rankings, dominating only the cities in our rankings: all are well established lifestyle assets indicator measuring cultural centers of economic energy and intellectual vibrancy, sports, hotel rooms, skylines, tourism vitality. Although dispersed among four con- and green space. But balance may be the city’s tinents, their common bond is depth: of eco- greatest strength. New York finishes in the top nomic infrastructure and networks; of law and three places in six out of 10 indicators. jurisprudence; of commercial protection; of educational systems and cultural foundations; By contrast, London maintains the greatest of civic organizations; and of social security. economic clout (coming in ahead of Paris and New York in that indicator, respectively) but These cities are hardly identical, and they do finishes in the top three overall only one other not excel in every indicator. But they all rep- time. In context, balance may have helped resent a modern consensus that cities are the New York weather the worst of the Great most effective agents of what Leif Edvinsson Recession and hurt London, whose economy calls “social intelligence” (see page 76); that relies more heavily on one sector: financial is, the concentrated knowledge and insight of services. an entire human network. A potential sign of shifting patterns The most resilient societies are those in which emerges looking at the four cities that citizens feel they have a stake; economically, follow New York in the top five—Toronto, politically, socially, and even emotionally. As San Francisco, Stockholm and Sydney. In an it turns out, emotion—which we tried to mea- increasingly virtual world, these beta cities Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 11
  • 14. How the cities rank Intellectual capital Technology Transportation and innovation readiness and infrastructure may pose significant competition to great 26 New York 174 90 158 cosmopolitan centers such as London, Paris, 25 Toronto 186 59 127 Tokyo and New York. 24 San Francisco 174 83 156 Toronto, San Francisco, Stockholm and 23 Stockholm 205 84 134 Sydney all are smaller cities that, a quarter 22 Sydney 168 47 129 of a century ago, were regarded as regional or national centers. Not any more. Stockholm 21 London 162 68 149 ranks first in intellectual capital and innova- 20 Chicago 166 80 159 tion; health, safety and security; and, remark- 19 Paris 172 58 168 ably, demographics and livability, which 18 Singapore 119 78 126 includes the thermal comfort variable that quantifies the idea that more temperate and 17 Hong Kong 118 77 149 consistent climes are more attractive. 16 Houston 168 74 92 15 Los Angeles 169 76 93 Toronto, meanwhile, finishes second overall and also ranks second in intellectual capital 14 Berlin 149 48 113 and innovation as well as health, safety and 13 Tokyo 168 74 152 security, the two indicators that are most highly 12 Madrid 120 40 154 correlated in a positive way (see page 16). 11 Seoul 130 89 145 Findings of interest arise throughout 10 Beijing 77 45 133 the results. São Paulo, for example, finishes 9 Abu Dhabi 74 24 104 in the top 10 in cultural vibrancy and fourth in the “zeitgeist” portion of that variable, 8 Shanghai 83 47 127 signaling the city’s global appeal as a dynamic 7 Mexico City 77 21 134 metropolis coming into its own as the largest city in the Southern Hemisphere. It also does 6 Moscow 107 51 128 very well in sustainability, performing in the 5 Santiago 68 28 82 top 10 overall and ranking second in both 4 Istanbul 38 29 99 carbon footprint and renewable energy 3 São Paulo 58 28 80 consumption. 2 Johannesburg 51 13 55 Johannesburg, too, does extremely well in 1 Mumbai 41 18 80 sustainability, coming in fourth overall. While its top ranking in cost of business occupancy might be expected, coming in second in air- port to central business district (CBD) access is both surprising and impressive. Istanbul ties for third place with Abu Dhabi and New York in skyscraper construction activity; equals every US city in ease of starting a business; beats Tokyo, San Francisco and Berlin in international tourists; and, finally ties for third with San Francisco, At a time of great nation and city building in multimedia design and development, Sydney and Singapore (among other cities) China, Shanghai leads all cities in attracting recycled waste and renewable energy. All this for the quality of its air. foreign direct investment in terms of both shows China investing to continue the growth capital inflow and new greenfield projects. of its cities and taking actions now in the Abu Dhabi itself ranks in the top three places Beijing comes in third and fourth in these economy and environment to yield dividends in 10 different variables, from the quality variables, respectively, and posts the best in the future. of its air to its hospitals to commute time to airport to central business district commute its economic competitiveness in everything in the study. Shanghai’s modern skyline is the Beyond the highs and lows, two notewor- from tax rates to ease of hiring to working fourth most powerful in our study. thy points should be made about the middle age population. range of this table. The first is that Tokyo Shanghai and Beijing jointly finish in the top dropped from eighth in last year’s ranking to 10 in nearly a third of the variables (21 of 14th this year—a steep drop by any measure 66); notably including software and Continues on page 14 12 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 15. Health, safety Sustainability Economic clout Ease of doing Cost Demographics Lifestyle assets Score and security business and livability 93 49 163 178 77 97 147 1226 112 71 139 163 94 133 111 1195 104 69 101 154 96 131 104 1172 113 81 103 143 79 137 68 1147 104 83 107 162 87 134 105 1126 90 52 170 166 59 83 123 1122 107 42 101 156 99 116 94 1120 85 57 166 119 51 116 125 1117 97 52 140 188 64 113 90 1067 66 47 149 191 60 107 97 1061 103 35 100 152 116 116 94 1050 89 46 84 159 101 124 102 1043 98 86 100 121 91 122 88 1016 91 45 114 140 45 81 103 1013 79 58 144 102 62 124 84 967 58 56 89 119 57 83 56 882 37 47 114 76 39 78 83 729 86 28 71 117 70 110 21 705 37 54 119 54 41 49 86 697 41 43 66 97 58 90 65 692 18 33 88 60 37 47 95 664 30 61 65 138 86 76 24 658 25 57 68 90 46 74 72 598 21 67 80 74 30 92 65 595 42 78 67 87 86 71 43 593 25 71 88 61 29 49 30 492 Each city’s score (here 1227 to 492) is the sum of its rankings across indicators. The city order from High Highest rank in each indicator 26 to 1 is based on these scores. See maps on pages 18–19 for an overall indicator comparison. Medium Low Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 13
  • 16. Continued from page 12 but for cities such as Paris and London. Both these cities complete the top three, respective- but one with clear causes. While it reached ly, in lifestyle assets; but they do not perform the top 10 in six indicators, Tokyo ranked 12th nearly as well in demographics and livability. in ease of doing business; eight places from (Paris does best, tied for eighth; but London the bottom in the key variable of demograph- comes in at a tie for 17th.) Meantime, Stock- ics and livability (with a correspondingly low holm, Sydney, Toronto and San Francisco lead score in life satisfaction); and six places from the category. the bottom in cost and sustainability—unusual results for one of the leading cities in the Results in health, safety and security world with extraordinary human capital. may expose another significant risk going forward in terms of any city’s success. In our Berlin ranked immediately above heat map analysis this year, a highly positive Tokyo in this year’s study and is reinvent- correlation arises between health, safety and ing itself—or, more accurately, reintegrating security and intellectual capital and innova- itself into the international economy—for the tion (see page 26). Clearly, the people who second time since it became the capital of constitute a city’s intellectual capital, and are Imperial Germany in 1871 and burgeoned in its leading innovators, need to feel healthy, size and population in the first decades of the safe and secure in their working and personal 20th century. surroundings in order to put down roots The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the city’s and prosper. reunification and its reinstatement as the Taking a step back, high or low overall scores political center of a united Germany have are only guideposts. One pragmatic policy restored Berlin to the mainstream of European implication of the study is that a broadly and global history. It looks like it intends to positive quality of life may serve as a founda- stay there, certainly as a creative center—and tion of both a resilient economy and lasting not just in the arts but in IT, life sciences, global success. and services (see page 64 interview with René Gurka of Berlin Partner). While none of our beta cities are world eco- nomic powerhouses, they perform very well Returning to overall messages in the overall. This is important at a time of urban findings, it may be telling going forward that growth when residents are looking for more New York ranks 14th in demographics and than just a place to work but also a place to livability, with low scores in quality of living live, build families and invest in the future. and commute time. Weakness in these areas The cities that perform well in Cities of may be a future threat not only for New York Opportunity are those that reflect that balance. While none of our beta cities are world economic powerhouses, they perform very well. This is important at a time of urban growth when residents are looking for more than just a place to work but also a place to live, build families and invest in the future. 14 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 17. Grande Arche de la Défense, Paris. Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 15
  • 18. Practical correlates: The patterns of a successful city reflect the people who work toward success Correlation analysis adds a fascinating aspect Transportation and infrastructure Intellectual capital and innovation of our study in which the data create their own patterns, on a kind of random walk that Demographics and livability Health, safety and security leads to new, and often unexpected and coun- Ease of doing business Technology readiness Average correlation terintuitive, conclusions that challenge some theories and confirm others. Economic clout Lifestyle assets Sustainability What stuck out in the heat map of our 10 Grand total indicators this year was the strong positive correlation between intellectual capital and Cost innovation and health, safety and security. Average correlation 55% 74% 70% 67% 61% 60% 57% 53% 50% 48% 43% 27% Simply stated, the most globally Grand total 74% 100 % 94% 91% 83% 81% 76% 71% 67% 65% 56% 32% competitive cities are almost always those in which the men and women who gener- Intellectual capital and innovation 70% 94% 100 % 87% 69% 81% 69% 63% 54% 60% 55% 36% ate a city’s intellectual resources are offered professional and personal surroundings Health, safety and security 67% 91% 87% 100 % 78% 65% 84% 46% 47% 46% 68% 30% that can reasonably ensure their health and Ease of doing business 61% 83% 69% 78% 100 % 69% 67% 51% 47% 37% 62% 6% safety. Put another way, a city’s creators and innovators—those who design and devise Technology readiness 60% 81% 81% 65% 69% 100 % 43% 63% 52% 63% 35% 5% its products (whether buildings, financial Demographics and livability 57% 76% 69% 84% 67% 43% 100 % 28% 27% 30% 67% 38% instruments, media or works of art) and set Lifestyle assets 53% 71% 63% 46% 51% 63% 28% 100 % 76% 62% 11% 9% its trends—actually choose where they want to live. Economic clout 50% 67% 54% 47% 47% 52% 27% 76% 100 % 68% -5% 15% Transportation and infrastructure 48% 65% 60% 46% 37% 63% 30% 62% 68% 100 % -6% 3% This illustrates a broader competitive land- scape. The five indicators that correlate very Cost 43% 56% 55% 68% 62% 35% 67% 11% -5% -6% 100 % 24% positively among themselves lie in the “north- Sustainability 27% 32% 36% 30% 6% 5% 38% 9% 15% 3% 24% 100 % 100 % Strong positive correlation Weak positive correlation 0% Weak negative correlation -100 % Strong negative correlation 16 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 19. west” corner. In addition to the two discussed cities). Of the top 10—those, in other words, above, they include ease of doing business, most positively correlated with each other— technology readiness, and demographics three are social (end-of-life care, housing and and livability. What is noteworthy about this quality of living); two involve intellectual cluster is that only ease of doing business is capital and innovation (literacy and enroll- a “hard” economic or financial measure. The ment and intellectual property protection); other four are more properly social, educa- one is technological (digital economy score); tional or technological indicators—not the one is political (political environment) and conventional stuff of economic analysis. as relevant to personal freedom as to prudent investment; and only three are economic Most of those hard economic indicators— (workforce management risk, entrepreneurial economic clout, transportation and infra- environment and business trip index). structure, and cost—lie in the bottom half of the map. Interestingly, cost, the “hardest” That, in the end, is the new urban and bluntest economic measure of all, shows terrain. Intellectual capital and innovation weak negative correlations with economic has the highest average positive correlation clout, as well as with transportation and with every other indicator. Health, safety and infrastructure. security has the second highest. And the two are more positively correlated to each other This is a striking illustration of the transfor- than is the case with any other indicators. mation of modern metropolitan economies, now based and dependent on education, According to the data, therefore, the success- science and technology rather than on ful modern urban economy is reliant on, if traditional industry. Moreover, to sustain not yet solely the product of, intelligence and success, cities today must continually attract social well-being—a methodological conclu- and retain highly educated, technologically sion that seems not so much to challenge any adept and digitally connected knowledge theory as to confirm common sense. workers who increasingly make up the core of their human capital and whose definition of quality of life is exacting and not easily compromised. This extremely positive correlation of social and educational variables in our study is borne out by our large heat map, which includes all 66 variables (see www.pwc.com/ Simply stated, the most globally competitive cities are almost always those in which the men and women who generate a city’s intellectual resources are offered professional and personal surroundings that can reasonably ensure their health and safety. Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 17
  • 20. Indicator rankings at a glance The maps below show city rankings in each of the study’s 10 Intellectual capital and innovation overall indicators. A brief key to the 66 variables is available on page 26 pages 79-82. Interactive tools and detailed listings of definitions and source documents used to develop Cities of Opportunity are Toronto London 26 Stockholm 16 10 Moscow offered at www.pwc.com/cities. Chicago 25 15 Berlin Beijing Seoul San Francisco 24 17 24 New York 13 22 1 Istanbul 8 14 Los Angeles 21 20 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi 20 Tokyo Shanghai 9 8 6 11 Hong Kong Mexico City 2 Mumbai 12 Singapore São Paulo Johannesburg 4 3 Sydney Santiago 5 20 Health, safety and security Sustainability page 45 page 46 London 26 Stockholm London 24 Stockholm Toronto Toronto 16 1 Moscow 12 2 Moscow Chicago 25 20 Berlin Beijing Chicago 22 26 Berlin Beijing San Francisco 23 Seoul San Francisco 20 Seoul 24 18 New York 12 13 4 Istanbul 7 4 10 New York 17 16 16 Istanbul 9 10 14 Los Angeles 15 21 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi 17 Tokyo Los Angeles 7 3 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi 6 Tokyo Shanghai 7 Shanghai 13 8 14 5 1 11 Hong Kong 9 Hong Kong Mexico City 4 Mexico City 22 Mumbai Mumbai 19 12 Singapore Singapore São Paulo São Paulo Johannesburg Johannesburg 2 19 9 Sydney 23 Sydney Santiago 5 Santiago 18 23 25 Cost Demographics and livability page 62 page 66 London 17 Stockholm London 26 Stockholm Toronto Toronto 11 3 Moscow 10 1 Moscow Chicago 22 21 Berlin Beijing Chicago 24 20 Berlin Beijing San Francisco 23 Seoul San Francisco 23 Seoul 24 16 New York 13 8 7 Istanbul 4 19 13 New York 22 19 5 Istanbul 7 10 9 Los Angeles 25 26 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi 6 Tokyo Los Angeles 22 19 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi Shanghai 3 8 Tokyo Shanghai 5 10 15 11 15 12 Hong Kong 14 Hong Kong Mexico City 1 Mexico City 3 Mumbai Mumbai 14 16 Singapore Singapore São Paulo São Paulo Johannesburg Johannesburg 2 12 19 Sydney 4 Sydney Santiago 19 Santiago 6 20 25 18 | Cities of Opportunity | PwC
  • 21. Technology readiness Transportation and infrastructure page 29 page 34 London 24 Stockholm London 17 Stockholm Toronto Toronto 16 13 Moscow 20 13 Moscow Chicago 15 12 Berlin Beijing Chicago 12 9 Berlin Beijing San Francisco 23 Seoul San Francisco 23 Seoul 22 26 New York 8 14 7 Istanbul 9 25 24 New York 22 26 7 Istanbul 15 25 18 Los Angeles 19 18 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi 18 Tokyo Los Angeles 6 5 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi 21 Tokyo Shanghai 11 Shanghai 12 3 4 8 20 Hong Kong 17 20 Hong Kong Mexico City 2 Mexico City 3 Mumbai Mumbai 21 10 Singapore Singapore São Paulo São Paulo Johannesburg Johannesburg 6 3 1 Sydney 1 Sydney Santiago 6 Santiago 4 11 14 Economic clout Ease of doing business page 54 page 60 London 15 Stockholm London 16 Stockholm Toronto Toronto 26 9 Moscow 23 2 Moscow Chicago 20 12 Berlin Beijing Chicago 22 13 Berlin Beijing San Francisco 14 Seoul San Francisco 18 Seoul 14 24 New York 22 25 4 Istanbul 18 10 19 24 New York 9 12 7 Istanbul 5 12 Los Angeles 7 12 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi Shanghai 19 18 Tokyo Los Angeles 20 17 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi Shanghai 1 15 Tokyo 2 5 8 10 23 Hong Kong 26 Hong Kong Mexico City 9 Mexico City 3 Mumbai Mumbai 21 25 Singapore Singapore São Paulo São Paulo Johannesburg Johannesburg 6 4 Santiago 1 3 Sydney Santiago 14 6 Sydney 16 21 Lifestyle assets page 70 London 8 Stockholm Toronto 24 17 Moscow Chicago 23 13 Berlin Beijing San Francisco 21 Seoul 16 26 New York 11 25 9 Istanbul 10 5 Los Angeles 19 16 Houston Madrid Paris Abu Dhabi Shanghai 12 20 Tokyo 1 7 18 Hong Kong Mexico City 3 Mumbai 14 Singapore São Paulo Johannesburg 7 Santiago 2 4 Sydney 22 Map Key High The 26 cities are sorted from the best to Medium the worst performing, with each receiving Low a score ranging from 26 for best to 1 for worst. In ties, cities are assigned the same score. Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 19
  • 22. Indicator discussions & interviews The Korean Pavilion at Shanghai’s 2010 Expo.
  • 23. As we dig our way out of the Great Recession, we shouldn’t just replicate the old, consumer-driven economy. We need to build the next economy. The key is for metropolitan areas to develop economic plans tailored to their own strengths. Judith Rodin The quantitative research is Klaus Baur and Guenther Krug of Bom- Ease of doing business is expanded this represented by 10 indicator categories bardier detail the sustainable and efficient year, but the top four—Hong Kong, Singa- that include 66 individual data variables. edge offered by intra- and intercity rail travel. pore, New York and London—change places The makeup of the indicators also mirrors the minimally. study’s hypothesis: Cities with well-rounded Health, safety and security plumbs the economies and forward-looking policies and vital signs of city life, and, again, Stockholm Cost finds five North American cities on top. actions over the long run will prove best for and Toronto emerge in best shape. But Berlin is right below. And René Gurka businesses and residents. of Berlin Partner tells what the reunified city Sustainability raises a finger in the wind to is doing to turn its many cultural advantages In addition to this quantitative research, find Berlin, Sydney and Stockholm perform- into an economic plus. discussions with leading authorities and ing best but four developing cities joining the examination of various issues add insight top 10. Planning for sustainability takes the Demographics and livability looks at into the numbers. first step toward results, and we examine how socioeconomic well-being and finds this Johannesburg, Mexico City, Shanghai, Abu complex quality best offered in Stockholm, Rem Koolhaas, architect, writer and Harvard Dhabi and New York are handling it. Kerry Sydney, Toronto and San Francisco. The pain professor, has worked in many of our 26 Zhou of Goldwind Technologies discusses the of commuting merits a detour of its own to cities. A discussion with him covers modern- inroads renewable energy is making into the compare traffic policies. city issues from density to globalization to urban energy mix in China and worldwide. the particular beauties and tragedies of Lifestyle assets follows the urban bliss individual places. Economic clout is earned over time and toward New York, Paris and London. And changes little this year. London, Paris and we examine the cobweb of issues encircling Intellectual capital and innovation has New York continue at the head. The top historic preservation as rage for the new been expanded to nine variables this year, and 10 are divided evenly between five North looks in the rearview mirror to find vintage Stockholm and Toronto perform consistently American and European cities and five Asian chic. In the end, the gaze of Leif Edvinsson, well. Translating education theory into cities. Mortimer Zuckerman brings a who pioneered the study of intellectual classroom reality is a paradox we investigate. broad perspective in discussing the economics capital, is firmly fixed on future “cities of landscape as a major developer, publisher and mindware.” Technology readiness focuses purely on former Harvard professor. hardware, and New York, Seoul and Stock- holm come out on top. Judith Rodin, president of the Rockefeller Foundation and formerly the University of Pennsylvania, offers her own extraordinary range of insight from See videocasts with architect Rem Koolhaas as well as Vitor education to infrastructure and migration. Knijnik, creative head of Y&R Energy in São Paulo, hear podcasts with Mortimer Zuckerman and read the full interviews Transportation and infrastructure lays condensed here on the web at www.pwc.com/cities. The web a physical cornerstone enabling much else also offers interactive tools to customize heat maps and model in every city to work. Paris, Chicago and New your own city based on all 26 cities and 66 variables, as well as York perform best. The changing ideal and detailed background on sources and definitions. reality of what a cityscape should and does look like bears discussion of its own. Partnership for New York City | Cities of Opportunity | 21