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Weather insurance
                  /Rainfall
insurance
      โ€œAn insuredโ€™s perspectiveโ€



                Feedback from a project โ€ฆ.
                Dr B S Suran, General Manager, NABARD
Background : perspective and possible
biases !!

๏‚ฌ 2 partners โ€“ Sajjatha sangh & SEWA
๏‚ฌ Marginal differences in products
๏‚ฌ ------------------------------------------
๏‚ฌ Insuredโ€™s perspective or โ€ฆ. ??
๏‚ฌOne season
๏‚ฌ Anecdotal and not research based
The partner agencies- products
             agencies-
SEWA                      Sajjatha Sangh

Generic                   Crop specific
Deficit & excess RF       Deficit RF
Multiple events- Excess   Multiple event โ€“
                          consecutive dry days
105 days                  90 days
Market โ€“ Buy I get one    ~50 % subsidy โ€“
                          premium
sewa


Sajjatha sangh



  Palmer index : is a soil moisture algorithm calibrated for relatively homogeneous regions. ( scales)
Partner agencies- Kharif 2010
           agencies-
Particulars     SEWA                 Sajjata Sangh
Policies issued 6384                 5227 acres
Farmers covered 1775                 4223
Villages/Blocks     60               42 blocks of 13
                                     districts
Crops               Generic          Cotton, Paddy,
                                     Maize and
                                     Groundnut
Payout              Average ` 78     Range of ` 13 to
                                     2911
NABARD              ` 9.50/ ` 4.78   ` 83.79/ ` 13.06
Sanction /release   lakh             lakh
SEWA
                                                                                  Some Observations
              2006           2007        2008         2009           2010
company ICICI L IFFCO ICICI L AICI        AICI
Crop      any     any     any     any     any
Phases          3       1       1       3       5
                                                                             1.    Subsidy & low premium
Duration      110      92      90     143     117                                 facilitated enrollments
average premi 202
Sum assured
          1485(14% )
                       76     190
                  1000(8%1000(19% )
                          )
                                      150
                                  1500(10%)
                                              150
                                          1500(10%)
                                                                             2.   More payouts โ€“ entices
                          WI policy Coverage
                                                                             3.   NABARD subsidy ensured
     HH
                                                                                  enhanced coverage levels
     Policies S                                             1775
                                                                             4.   Average pay out was Rs 78
                                                                                  โ€ฆ per policy
                                                                      6384
                                                                             5.   960 farmers out of 1775
                                                                                  received payouts
                                               781
   908                             620
                   1081                              1442
                                       624
   2006           2007          2008           2009                2010
MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010)
                                                                                TERM SHEET


State           GUJ                                          Distrcit: Sabarkantha                                Tehsil: Meghraj     Village: Bhatkota
Crop:          Cotton                     Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota                                              Unit: PER HECTARE

DEFICIT RAINFALL

                             Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than        2.0 mm is considered as a rainy day .
                                                                           PHASE - I            PHASE - II                    PHASE - III     PHASE - IV
                                      PERIOD                         1-Jul    to 31-Jul 1-Aug            to    31-Aug    1-Sep to 30-Sep 1-Oct   to 15-Oct
                                      Cover Index                                       Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days
                                      TRIGGER I (<)                  100      mm        80             mm                40      mm            60     mm
                                      TRIGGER II (<)                 50       mm        40             mm                20      mm            30     mm
1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME
                                      EXIT                           10                 10                               5                     0
                                      RATE I (Rs./ mm)               10                 8                                10                    0
                                      RATE II (Rs./ mm)              25.00              22.67                            53.33                 0.0
                                      Max. Payout (Rs.)              1500               1000                             1000                  0

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             3500


     RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION            PERIOD                         1-Jul           to             31-Aug
1 B. (Consecutive Dry                 TRIGGER DAYS (>=)              20              25      30
     Days)(multiple Event)            PAYOUT (Rs.)                   800             1700    2500

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             2500

        Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout


                                      TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.)        6000
                                      PREMIUM (Rs.) + ST             500
MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010)
                                                                                TERM SHEET


State           GUJ                                          Distrcit: Sabarkantha                                Tehsil: Meghraj        Village:   Bhatkota
Crop:      Generic crop                   Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota                                                 Unit: PER Acre

DEFICIT RAINFALL

                             Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than        1.0 mm is considered as a rainy day .
                                                                           PHASE - I                PHASE - II                   PHASE - III      PHASE - IV
                                      PERIOD                         21-Jun   to     15-Jul 16-Jul           to    15-Aug   16-Aug to 30-Sep 1-Oct   to 15-Oct
                                      Cover Index                                           Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days
                                      TRIGGER I (<)                  60       mm            80             mm               50      mm              60     mm
                                      TRIGGER II (<)                 30       mm            35             mm               25      mm              30     mm
1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME
                                      EXIT                           5                      5                               5                       0
                                      RATE I (Rs./ mm)               10                     6                               10                      0
                                      RATE II (Rs./ mm)              18.00                  32.67                           37.50                   0.0
                                      Max. Payout (Rs.)              750                    1250                            1000                    0

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             3000


     RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION            PERIOD                         1-Jul           to             31-Aug
1 B. (Consecutive Dry                 TRIGGER DAYS (>=)              20              25      30
     Days)(multiple Event)            PAYOUT (Rs.)                   500             1000    1500

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             1500

        Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout
                                                                                                                                 PHASE - III             PHASE - IV
                                      PERIOD                         1-Sep      to 31-Oct                                   1-Nov   to 30-Sep       1-Oct   to 31-Oct
                                      DAILY RAINFALL TRIGGER (>)     50         mm                                          150    mm               60     mm
EXCESS RAINFALL        (Multiple
                                      EXIT (mm)                      100        mm                                          250    mm               120    mm
events)
                                      Payout (Rs. / mm)              10.00                                                  0                       0
                                      Max. Payout                    500                                                    0                       0

                                      TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.)             500

                                      TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.)        5000
Model Village โ€“ Bhatkhota !!
- Tribal community dominated
- AWS in the village
- Enrollment of all villagers
- Actual enrollment : 124/ 130 HH
-Volunteers for campaign
-Wage labour insurance โ€“ Loss of wages- low RF
-Weather/agro-advisoryโ€ฆas add-on !!
-Village level daily weather data
- In-season monitoring !!
-------------------------------------------------------
-All landed farmers + With Irrgn facility
- Seed production โ€“ all HH
- Adoption not as a risk mitigation toolโ€ฆ
- No knowledge of Insurance provider
- Pest seen as a major risk
- Made no distinction .- Crop / non Crop
- Relationship with partner helped
-Low premium attracts
- Moneyback guarantee & โ€œ AWS demo for weather
mappingโ€ did have positive effect
Poor understanding of rainfall
insurance mechanism and policy
details even among the adopted

A sub-optimal payout experience affects the
Farmers propensity to purchase rainfall
insurance in the subsequent periods.



85% reported the need for payouts
Avg. Payouts expected = Rs.6240
(Khambha).
 Avg. Payouts Received = Rs 80!
67 % believed the product provided
optimal coverโ€ฆ.study of 2009 by IGIDR
Conclusions

๏‚ฌ Awareness matters (FL): Educated & financially
  literate are significantly more likely to purchase rainfall
  insuranceโ€ฆโ€ฆ !! BUT
๏‚ฌ Peer following seen: many farmers unaware, seem to
  join in because of peers
   โ€“ Tendency to join triggered / enticed by low levels of
     premium- subsidized by NABARD
   โ€“ However, adoption could be influenced through information
     campaigns
   โ€“ Installation of visible tracking mechanisms do influence
     decision making at the farmer level.
   โ€“ Use of community leaders / volunteers helps in better
     enrollment
Conclusions

๏‚ฌ Traditional Marketing interventions may not work...
  it is no sell and go product.
๏‚ฌ But, selling by known NGOs ..helps in adoption
๏‚ฌ Marketing : Moneyback guarantee along with
  โ€œdemoโ€ and โ€œweather forecastโ€ has a positive effect
๏‚ฌ Crops grown & product availed โ€ฆlimited linkages .
๏‚ฌ Communicating payouts transparentlyโ€ฆ ensures
  interest in the product. Post sales service e.g.
  disseminate likelihood of payoutsโ€ฆ
Thank you for your time

   Contact : ahmedabad@nabard.org
             bs.suran@nabard.org

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Dr. B.S.Suran

  • 1. Weather insurance /Rainfall insurance โ€œAn insuredโ€™s perspectiveโ€ Feedback from a project โ€ฆ. Dr B S Suran, General Manager, NABARD
  • 2. Background : perspective and possible biases !! ๏‚ฌ 2 partners โ€“ Sajjatha sangh & SEWA ๏‚ฌ Marginal differences in products ๏‚ฌ ------------------------------------------ ๏‚ฌ Insuredโ€™s perspective or โ€ฆ. ?? ๏‚ฌOne season ๏‚ฌ Anecdotal and not research based
  • 3. The partner agencies- products agencies- SEWA Sajjatha Sangh Generic Crop specific Deficit & excess RF Deficit RF Multiple events- Excess Multiple event โ€“ consecutive dry days 105 days 90 days Market โ€“ Buy I get one ~50 % subsidy โ€“ premium
  • 4. sewa Sajjatha sangh Palmer index : is a soil moisture algorithm calibrated for relatively homogeneous regions. ( scales)
  • 5. Partner agencies- Kharif 2010 agencies- Particulars SEWA Sajjata Sangh Policies issued 6384 5227 acres Farmers covered 1775 4223 Villages/Blocks 60 42 blocks of 13 districts Crops Generic Cotton, Paddy, Maize and Groundnut Payout Average ` 78 Range of ` 13 to 2911 NABARD ` 9.50/ ` 4.78 ` 83.79/ ` 13.06 Sanction /release lakh lakh
  • 6. SEWA Some Observations 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 company ICICI L IFFCO ICICI L AICI AICI Crop any any any any any Phases 3 1 1 3 5 1. Subsidy & low premium Duration 110 92 90 143 117 facilitated enrollments average premi 202 Sum assured 1485(14% ) 76 190 1000(8%1000(19% ) ) 150 1500(10%) 150 1500(10%) 2. More payouts โ€“ entices WI policy Coverage 3. NABARD subsidy ensured HH enhanced coverage levels Policies S 1775 4. Average pay out was Rs 78 โ€ฆ per policy 6384 5. 960 farmers out of 1775 received payouts 781 908 620 1081 1442 624 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 7. MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010) TERM SHEET State GUJ Distrcit: Sabarkantha Tehsil: Meghraj Village: Bhatkota Crop: Cotton Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota Unit: PER HECTARE DEFICIT RAINFALL Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than 2.0 mm is considered as a rainy day . PHASE - I PHASE - II PHASE - III PHASE - IV PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Jul 1-Aug to 31-Aug 1-Sep to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 15-Oct Cover Index Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days TRIGGER I (<) 100 mm 80 mm 40 mm 60 mm TRIGGER II (<) 50 mm 40 mm 20 mm 30 mm 1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME EXIT 10 10 5 0 RATE I (Rs./ mm) 10 8 10 0 RATE II (Rs./ mm) 25.00 22.67 53.33 0.0 Max. Payout (Rs.) 1500 1000 1000 0 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 3500 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Aug 1 B. (Consecutive Dry TRIGGER DAYS (>=) 20 25 30 Days)(multiple Event) PAYOUT (Rs.) 800 1700 2500 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 2500 Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.) 6000 PREMIUM (Rs.) + ST 500
  • 8. MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010) TERM SHEET State GUJ Distrcit: Sabarkantha Tehsil: Meghraj Village: Bhatkota Crop: Generic crop Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota Unit: PER Acre DEFICIT RAINFALL Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than 1.0 mm is considered as a rainy day . PHASE - I PHASE - II PHASE - III PHASE - IV PERIOD 21-Jun to 15-Jul 16-Jul to 15-Aug 16-Aug to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 15-Oct Cover Index Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days TRIGGER I (<) 60 mm 80 mm 50 mm 60 mm TRIGGER II (<) 30 mm 35 mm 25 mm 30 mm 1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME EXIT 5 5 5 0 RATE I (Rs./ mm) 10 6 10 0 RATE II (Rs./ mm) 18.00 32.67 37.50 0.0 Max. Payout (Rs.) 750 1250 1000 0 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 3000 RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Aug 1 B. (Consecutive Dry TRIGGER DAYS (>=) 20 25 30 Days)(multiple Event) PAYOUT (Rs.) 500 1000 1500 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 1500 Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout PHASE - III PHASE - IV PERIOD 1-Sep to 31-Oct 1-Nov to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 31-Oct DAILY RAINFALL TRIGGER (>) 50 mm 150 mm 60 mm EXCESS RAINFALL (Multiple EXIT (mm) 100 mm 250 mm 120 mm events) Payout (Rs. / mm) 10.00 0 0 Max. Payout 500 0 0 TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 500 TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.) 5000
  • 9. Model Village โ€“ Bhatkhota !! - Tribal community dominated - AWS in the village - Enrollment of all villagers - Actual enrollment : 124/ 130 HH -Volunteers for campaign -Wage labour insurance โ€“ Loss of wages- low RF -Weather/agro-advisoryโ€ฆas add-on !! -Village level daily weather data - In-season monitoring !! ------------------------------------------------------- -All landed farmers + With Irrgn facility - Seed production โ€“ all HH - Adoption not as a risk mitigation toolโ€ฆ - No knowledge of Insurance provider - Pest seen as a major risk - Made no distinction .- Crop / non Crop - Relationship with partner helped -Low premium attracts - Moneyback guarantee & โ€œ AWS demo for weather mappingโ€ did have positive effect
  • 10. Poor understanding of rainfall insurance mechanism and policy details even among the adopted A sub-optimal payout experience affects the Farmers propensity to purchase rainfall insurance in the subsequent periods. 85% reported the need for payouts Avg. Payouts expected = Rs.6240 (Khambha). Avg. Payouts Received = Rs 80! 67 % believed the product provided optimal coverโ€ฆ.study of 2009 by IGIDR
  • 11. Conclusions ๏‚ฌ Awareness matters (FL): Educated & financially literate are significantly more likely to purchase rainfall insuranceโ€ฆโ€ฆ !! BUT ๏‚ฌ Peer following seen: many farmers unaware, seem to join in because of peers โ€“ Tendency to join triggered / enticed by low levels of premium- subsidized by NABARD โ€“ However, adoption could be influenced through information campaigns โ€“ Installation of visible tracking mechanisms do influence decision making at the farmer level. โ€“ Use of community leaders / volunteers helps in better enrollment
  • 12. Conclusions ๏‚ฌ Traditional Marketing interventions may not work... it is no sell and go product. ๏‚ฌ But, selling by known NGOs ..helps in adoption ๏‚ฌ Marketing : Moneyback guarantee along with โ€œdemoโ€ and โ€œweather forecastโ€ has a positive effect ๏‚ฌ Crops grown & product availed โ€ฆlimited linkages . ๏‚ฌ Communicating payouts transparentlyโ€ฆ ensures interest in the product. Post sales service e.g. disseminate likelihood of payoutsโ€ฆ
  • 13. Thank you for your time Contact : ahmedabad@nabard.org bs.suran@nabard.org