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Managing
the Middle India
   Gold Rush
  December 2011
Managing the Middle                                                                            The Nielsen Company
                                                                                               December 2011

India Gold Rush
                                                                                               Ranjeet Laungani
                                                                                               Executive Director, Nielsen




     Article at a glance
     For more than a decade, marketers have focused their energies primarily on the thriving metros and the colossal rural
     Indian opportunity; but as we weigh the still-to-be-had opportunity with the efficiency of reach over the next 5-10 years,
     marketers should give Middle India a serious look.

     While metros will remain a staple for marketers and increasing a rural footprint will be critical for volumes in the long run,
     there is a growth opportunity that is vastly under-rated by many marketers today, which could emerge as a key growth
     engine for the next 10 years. Middle India, a region made up of approximately 400 towns each with a population of 1-10
     Lac, are home to 100 million Indians and today constitute up to 20 percent of the country’s FMCG consumption.

     Middle India will grow from an FMCG market worth INR 287 Billion (5.74 Billion USD) today to over INR 4 Trillion (80
     Billion USD) in value by 2026 and it is about time marketers took notice.

     Fast Facts:
     •	Middle India has outpaced the all-India growth story: Since 2002, the FMCG sector grew 3.5 times in Middle India,
       compared to 3.2 times in all-India.

     •	Middle India per capita FMCG consumption stood at over INR 2,800 (56 USD) in 2010 versus the all India number at just
       under INR 1,200 (24 USD).

     •	The top 10 FMCG players in Middle India have added INR 35.8 Billion (716 Million USD) from these 400 towns in 2 years
       alone.

     •	Forty-nine of 81 FMCG categories tracked by Nielsen in early 2011 saw faster growth rates in Middle India than their all-
       India rates.

     •	As of May 2011, FMCG per-dealer offtakes increased to 14+ percent for Middle India – up 2.7 points from 2010 versus an
       increase of 1.5 points for metros.

     •	The number of FMCG stores in these 400 towns has seen a rapid increase: more than 250 new stores were added per
       town in the last three years.

     The purchasing power of the contemporary Middle India consumer and the sheer plethora of goods and services available
     are unprecedented. This market is expected to continue growing at a healthy rate at least for the next decade, which offers
     most companies ample lead time to strategize on how to tap into this segment.

     Marketers who make an aggressive foray into Middle India over the next few years will need to have a good understanding
     of changing consumer aspirations and be mindful of some of the infrastructural drawbacks if they are to manage this gold
     rush successfully. By studying the Middle India consumer profile, marketers will be better equipped to cater to this creamy
     middle layer and define their growth strategies in these smaller towns.

     The Middle India demand revolution has begun. The Gold Rush is here.




2	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Middle India on top                                                               While marketers remain fixated on opportunities at the
                                                                                  bottom-of-the-pyramid and in metro regions, not many
While 70 percent of the Indian population still resides in rural                  are aware that only the metros and Middle India (1-10 Lac
areas, poor reach and inadequate infrastructure have made it                      population towns) have outpaced the all-India growth story in
difficult for marketers to fully tap into the potential of these                  the last 8 years. Even today, Middle India leads the pack across
markets quickly. Most FMCG companies have concentrated                            urban and rural segments for FMCG value growth rates.
their energies on the metro and mini-metro regions in the past
10 years. Although some companies have partially penetrated                       Middle India has been outpacing the all-India FMCG story for
the Middle India market, many tend to overlook smaller towns,                     many years now
ignoring the fact that these markets are perhaps easier to
                                                                                   FMCG Value Sales       Year           Year         Multiple
penetrate due to relatively sparse competition. Considering                        (Rupees Billion)       2002           2010         Increase
the expected growth of population in this area, rise in incomes
and aspirations and the expected influx of people from even                        All India               442          1,425           3.2
smaller towns to Middle India, this market is expected to create                   Metro                   110           412            3.8
huge opportunities for marketers in the coming few years.                          Middle India            83            287            3.5
                                                                                   Rest of Urban           98            245            2.5
 “Still-to-be-had” Opportunity + “Medium-term ROI” Scale                           Rural                   151           480            3.2
             Urban: Middle India        Growing middle India; approximately       Source: Nielsen
             (1-10 Lac towns)           400 towns
             Rest of Urban              Fast growing but very spread out          Strong Value Growth: recently Middle India is growing at 20%
             (<1 Lac towns)             (Approximately 7,500 towns)
                                                                                  (up 3+ points from 2010)
                                        70% of the population but inefficient
             Rural India
                                        reach a challenge for marketers                                              Value Growth %
                                        Steady growth; in the spotlight for the         MAT May           2010           2011          Delta
             Urban: Mini Metros
                                        last 5+ years
                                                                                   All India               18.5          18.8           0.3
                                        Bread & butter for most marketers for
             Urban: Metros                                                         Metro                   16.4          19.1           2.7
                                        many years now; competitive
Source: Nielsen                                                                    1-10 Lac towns          16.9          20.1           3.2
                                                                                   Rest of Urban           15.6          19.5           3.9
The 100-Million-strong population is only one of the reasons                       Rural                   22.8          17.5           -5.4
why marketers should take note of Middle India. In addition                       Source: Nielsen
to the large size of the Middle India population, the increase
in household incomes and rise in spending power makes it an                       The expansion of Middle India shows that the demand
attractive market for consumer product companies. Many                            revolution is percolating to the next tier of cities. Why do
studies in recent years have focused on the rise of the Indian                    these cities matter? These cities are ready to behave like the
middle class, pegging this group of strivers—annual household                     metros of tomorrow. Of the total INR 1.4 Trillion (28 Billion
income of at least INR 500,000 (10,000 USD)—and seekers—                          USD) in FMCG sales in 2010, goods worth about INR 287
annual household income of at least INR 200,000 (4,000                            Billion (5.74 Billion USD) were consumed by the Middle India
USD)—to rise to over 500-Million-strong in 15 years. We                           population. This number makes up more than 20 percent of the
believe this rising middle class story will disproportionately                    overall FMCG sales, and 30 percent of the urban FMCG sales.
advance the expansion of Middle India over the next decade.                       Middle India is also home to 30 percent of all urban stores,
                                                                                  comprising over 900,000 Million stores today. In addition
                                                                                  to this, the annual per capita FMCG consumption of Middle
     Middle India: home to 100 million Indians
                                                                                  India towns touched INR 2,800 (56 USD), which exceeded the
                                                                                  national average by INR 1,600 (32 USD). This is a significant
                                                                                  achievement for these smaller towns, considering the fact that
              354               42                 68               31
             towns            towns               million         million         the metros breached the INR 2,800 (56 USD) mark as recently
                                                                                  as 2009.

                           # of towns                          Population


              1-5L            5-10L



Source: Nielsen




3	          Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
The growth figures for different FMCG categories also reveal
     Why does Middle India matter?                                                 a strong and vast market potential for Middle India. Out of
                                                                                   the total 81 FMCG categories, 49 product categories across
                                                                                   personal care, over-the-counter drugs, household care, and
         1-10 Lac Towns            1-10 Lac Towns              Annual per
        contributed INR             are home to               capita FMCG          food outgrew the all-India rate. Over 30 categories saw
         287 billion in            more than 910K           consumption over       growth rates faster than 1.15 times the all-India rate. The top
           FMCG sales               FMCG stores                INR 2800            five fastest growing categories like diapers, scourers, liquid
             in 2010
                                                                                   toilet soaps, acne preparations and air fresheners, which
                                                                                   fared strongly in the past year, performed even better in 2011,
           This is 20% +            This makes up for         Versus a national
         contribution to all        11% of all FMCG        average of under INR    indicating continued possibility of robust growth in the near
       India FMCG and 30%         stores in the country    1200; of note, metros   future.
        + contribution to all     & more than 30% of        have only breached
            urban sales              all Urban stores        INR 2800 in 2009
                                                                                   Interestingly, the focus on hygiene, health, personal grooming
                                                                                   and convenience seems to be driving the rapid growth in these
Source: Nielsen                                                                    towns. Middle India is also accepting evolved categories like
                                                                                   breakfast cereals, air fresheners, acne preparations, and liquid
                                                                                   toilet soaps. The metros took on to many of these categories in
     Marketers have been taking notice of Middle India:                            a big way just a few years ago and Middle India does not want
     in the news in recent times                                                   to be left out.

      Van Heusen, Louis Philippe                Quality tea now finding
      eye smaller towns, cities                 takers in smaller cities           In these 1-10 Lac towns, 49 of the 81 categories outgrew the
      (June 2011)                               (April 2011)                       all-India rate in 2011 vs. 2010

                                                                                       1-10 Lac
                                                                                    Towns Value
      FitnessOne to invest Rs. 30 cr to         BPOs offer jobs to school pass         Growth
      expand in tier II, III cities             outs in smaller cities                 indexed       Personal Care     Household
      (April, 2011)                             (April, 2011)
                                                                                                                                              Food
                                                                                     to All-India        / OTC           Care
                                                                                      (MAT May
                                                                                      2011 over
      India’s Fortis to open 25 low-            Blue Dart to spread wings               2010)
      cost hospitals over 3 years in            to tier 2,3 towns                                      After shave
      smaller towns, especially in tier         (April, 2011)                                                            Batteries,
                                                                                                      lotions, Nail
      II and Tier III cities / June 2011                                                                                 Scourers,
                                                                                        1.5X or          enamel,
                                                                                                                           Glass         Chayavanprash
                                                                                         more           Coconut
                                                                                                                      cleaners, Soap
      Bacardi seeks to spread cheer             Omaxe to focus on small                                oil, Shaving
      to smaller cities                         towns (as inventory is pilling                                          cakes/ bars
                                                                                                      preparations
      (July 2011)                               up in tier-1 cities)
                                                (June, 2011)
                                                                                                       Antiseptic
                                                                                                        creams,
Source: News Reports
                                                                                                       Antiseptic     Air fresheners,   Cough lozenges,
                                                                                       1.25X or
                                                                                                     liquids, Acne        Utensil        Packaged tea,
                                                                                         more
                                                                                                     preparations,       cleaners       Glucose powders
Middle India: firing on both                                                                           Baby oils/

cylinders                                                                                               massage

Cash registers in stores all over Middle India seem to be
ringing off the hook, thanks to the growing consumer wallets,                                                                           Breakfast cereals,
                                                                                                                                          Chewing gum,
increased exposure to the ‘metro’ lifestyle, a larger assortment                                      Analgesics/      Liquid toilet
                                                                                       1.15X or                                          Squash cordials
of product supply, and improved access to consumer finance.                                          Cold remedies,    soaps, Toilet
                                                                                         more                                           & drinks, Biscuits,
While the change in consumption patterns in Middle India can                                           Condoms            soaps
                                                                                                                                         Milk foods, Baby
be partially attributed to a rapid surge in consumer demand,                                                                            foods, Chocolates
the increasing ubiquity of consumer products is contributing
to this growth as well. It is a story of consumer pull meeting
                                                                                   Source: Nielsen
distribution push.




4	           Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Source: Nielsen

These developments augur well for FMCG companies, especially          on a variety of products that enhance their standard of
in light of the fact that this market is still in a nascent stage,    living. They are accepting categories that never were part of
and is expected to grow substantially in the next five years.         their consumption basket. This has opened up a window of
The rise in demand for consumer products and relatively lower         opportunity for FMCG companies to introduce products that
penetration of FMCG companies in these towns means that               were initially brought to market primarily for the metros. The
competition is not as fierce in these towns as would be in larger     size of the opportunity will multiply in the next few years as
metros. A few major players with adequate capital and wide            these new categories will see deeper penetration levels across
distribution networks are already cashing in on the opportunity.      a larger household base.
The annual turnover of the top ten FMCG players from the
Middle India segment rose more than 42 percent by INR 35.8            The consumer pull story
Billion (716 Million USD) in just two years between 2009 and
2011.                                                                 Increased exposure to the media and a gradual improvement
                                                                      in infrastructure have played a substantial role in introducing
     Strong Value Growth: Just the top 10 FMCG players have           the Middle India population to what was earlier only a ‘metro’
     added 35.8 Billion from Middle India in 2 years                  lifestyle, fuelling a desire to improve their standard of living.
                                                                      These factors, combined with an increased spending capacity,
                                                                      are rapidly pushing up the demand for a vast consumer product
         The top 10 FMCG                     The same players         profile in Middle India.
          players in these                   had a turnover of
        towns clocked INR                   INR 121 Billion from
        86 Billion in value                    these towns
                                                                                                  Per Dealer Offtake Growth %
           sales in 2009                          in 2011
                                  +42%                                 MAT May                  2010             2011           Delta
                                                                       All India                 12.1            13.0            0.9
                                                            MAT May
                                                                       Metro                     14.5            16.0            1.5
Source: Nielsen
                                                                       1-10 Lac towns            11.7            14.4            2.7
Its not just a story of sheer volumes, Middle India is also
                                                                       RoU                       9.7             12.8            3.1
capturing marketers’ attention due to a shift in demand, a
direct consequence of people’s rising aspirations for a better         Rural                     15.1            11.4           -3.7
lifestyle in these regions. Consequently, there is an increase        Source: Nielsen
in the Middle India consumers’ willingness to spend more




5	          Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
“
A strong indicator of this trend is the rise in per dealer offtakes
– which represents the average sales per dealer over time. The
per dealer offtake in Middle India saw a rise of 2.7 points in
2011, compared to an increase of 1.5 points in metropolitan                          Consumption baskets in these
cities in the same period. This is a growth of more than 14                               towns are evolving –
percent over the previous year (MAT May 2010). For some                             categories as varied as breakfast
FMCG categories like cheese, packaged rice, diapers, etc., the                      cereals, air fresheners, and glass
increase in per dealer offtake was quite substantial, at more                       cleaners which earlier saw little




                                                                                                                    ”
than 30 percent! Per dealer offtakes for almost a dozen and a                        acceptance in these towns are
half categories in Middle India towns grew at over 20 percent in                  growing much faster in these towns
the last one year alone.
                                                                                       than at the all-India level.
The top ten FMCG companies in these Middle India towns saw
a spurt in per dealer offtakes, which grew 17% in one year.




Source: Nielsen



                                                                      The distribution push story
                                                                      In addition to the surging demand for consumer products
                                                                      in Middle India, marketers are extending their reach in the
                                                                      1-10 Lac population towns through a constantly expanding
                                                                      distribution network. As a result, new FMCG retail stores have
                                                                      mushroomed in these towns in the past few years.

                                                                      The last three years have also seen a rapid increase in the
                                                                      # of FMCG stores
                                                                                           June 2008     May 2011
                                                                       Overall Number                                  Increase of 250+
                                                                                             823K          926K
                                                                       of Stores                                           per town
                                                                       Number of                                           Increase
                                                                                              61K           80K
                                                                       Chemists                                             of 31%
                                                                       Number of
                                                                                                                         Increase of
                                                                       Modern Trade          1094           1501
                                                                                                                            37%
                                                                       Stores
                                                                      Source: Nielsen




6	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Source: Nielsen


The total number of stores in these towns rose from 823,000                    A case worth mentioning: it is interesting to note that Cadburys
in June 2008 to 926,000 in May 2011, an average addition                       ranks #5 in value sales in 1-10 Lac towns versus a #6 ranking
of over 250 stores per town. The top ten FMCG players in                       at an all-India level. In the last 3 years, Cadburys has added
the 1-10 Lac population towns have aggressively expanded                       30% more stores in these towns (the biggest leap of any top-10
in these areas, adding 29,892 stores on average in the last                    player) and the results are showing! In fact, in the last quarter
year alone and 55,767 stores on average in the last two years.                 of 2010, it actually moves to #4 place in 1-10 Lac towns.
More number of stores translates into an increased supply
infrastructure, which is helping marketers push products to                    Spotlight: The smaller 1-5 Lac
consumers faster. Not surprisingly, the distribution reach of
as many as 15 categories in the FMCG sector has grown by                       population towns
over 5 All Commodity Value (ACV) distribution points in the
3-year period from May 2008 to May 2011. Marketers who had                     In 1-5 Lac towns, 56 of the 81 categories outgrew the
recognized the potential and invested in these regions a few                   all-India rate in value in 2011 vs. 2010
years ago are, today, laughing their way to the bank.                           1-5 Lac Towns Value
                                                                                  Growth indexed        Personal Care /             Household
                                                                                     to All-India                                                          Food
                                                                                                             OTC                      Care
When we evaluated some of the top national FMCG players on                        (2011 over 2010)

their Middle India performance, two things were clear:                                                 Tooth Powder, After-
                                                                                                                                    Glass cleaners,
                                                                                                                                   Utensil cleaners,
                                                                                                      shave lotions, Lipsticks,
1. Not all national players were optimally leveraging Middle                      2X or more                                       Toilet cleaners,    Chayavanprash
                                                                                                       Shaving preprations,
                                                                                                                                   Other Scourers,
India for growth                                                                                         Hair Conditioners
                                                                                                                                      Batteries,
2. Smaller national players were giving the heavy weights a
                                                                                                        Coconut Oil, Twin
fight in these 1-10 lakh towns                                                                         Blades, Liquid Toilet
                                                                                                                                                       Packaged Rice,
                                                                                                                                                        Coffee, break
                                                                                 1.5X or more         Soap, Acne Preprations,       Air Freshners,
 2010                                                                                                   Baby Oil/Massage,            Shoe Polish
                                                                                                                                                        Fast Cereals,
           All-India Value                 1-10 Lac Town Value                                                                                           Milk Food
 Rank                                                                                                    Antiseptic Cream
 1         Hindustan Unilever Limited      Hindustan Unilever Limited
                                                                                                         ToothPaste, Toilet
 2         Procter & Gamble                Procter & Gamble                                            Soap, Talcum Powder,
                                                                                                      Skin Creams, Shampoo,                             Packaged Tea,
 3         Nestle India                    Nestle India                                                                            Washing Powder,
                                                                                                         Sanitary Napkins,                                Ketchups/
                                                                                                                                  Home Insecticides,
 4         Parle Products                  Britannia Inds                                               Ruberfacients, Nail                                Sauces,
                                                                                 1.2X or more                                      Soap Cakes/Bars
                                                                                                      Enamel, Hair Oils, Hair                            Chocolate,
 5         Britannia Inds                  Cadbury India                                                                            Floor Cleaners,
                                                                                                      Dyes, Glucose Powder,                            Beverages, Baby
                                                                                                                                   Utensil Cleaners
 6         Cadbury India                   Parle Products                                              Fragrance, Digestive,                                Food
                                                                                                          Diaper, Condom,
 7         ITC                             ITC
                                                                                                          Antiseptic Liquid
 8         Colgate-Palmolive               Adani Wilmar
 9         Dabur                           Frito Lay India                     Source: Nielsen
 10        Godrej Consumer Products        Godrej Consumer Products
Source: Nielsen     Demonstrate better All India performance vs Middle India
                    Demonstrate better Middle India performance vs All India




7	          Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
The buoyant Middle India story is not restricted to just the
larger Middle India towns. In the 350+ 1-5 Lac population                    And consumer confidence is reasonably buoyant…On
towns, the story is equally compelling. Not only are these                   the Middle India continuum there are several towns like
                                                                             Anantapur that come close to the consumer buoyancy
towns growing at over 20 percent, but 56 of the 81 categories
                                                                             in larger towns
are also outperforming the all-India growth rates. 15 categories
are exploding in these 1-5 Lac population towns with over 40                 Stories like that of Anantapur are promising when compared
percent value growth in 2011 over 2010. Products as varied                   to Pune, which has been on the development path for many
                                                                             years now.
as skin creams, coffee, baby oils, fragrances, and chocolates
are outpacing the all-India growth story. Even these 1-5 Lac
population towns do not want to be left behind.

     15 categories are growing at over 40%.                                            127
     The Top 8 categories grew in value at an average rate of                         Pune
     70% in 2011 over 2010 and this was 2 times their all-India                    (Benchmark)
                                                                                                        Middle India
     growth rates.                                                                                          97
                                                                                                                                   114
                                                        Personal                                                                Anantapur
            Food               Household            Liquid Toilet Soaps,
      Breakfast Cereals,      Air fresheners,                                                Bhatinda
                                                     Hair conditioners,
     Chocolate, Vermicelli   Home Insecticide,      Acne Preparations,                          79
         & Noodles,           pre-post wash,                                                                           Nanded
                                                    Diapers Fragrance,
        Packaged Rice         Other Scourers        After Shave Lotion ,                                Jhansi           99
                                                        Twin Blades                                       96
 MAT May

Source: Nielsen

Nielsen also evaluated the consumer confidence of these
smaller towns. Nielsen’s research indicates that while
                                                                             Of note, the consumer confidence index for Middle India
the consumer confidence index in the towns with 1-5 Lac                      while lower than Pune is much better compared to many
population is lower than that of a benchmark mini-metro town                 developing and developed markets world wide.
like Pune, many smaller towns are performing much better
than several developed and developing markets across the                   Source: Nielsen

world. Anantapur, for instance, has a consumer confidence                  aggressively and gained a stronghold in the towns with 1-5
index of 114, which is fairly close to Pune’s 127, and scores              Lac populations - players like Ruchi Soya and Adani Wilmar
higher than many other urban areas. Importantly, consumer                  are among the top FMCG players in these smaller 1-5 Lac
confidence in Middle India spans a continuum, where towns                  population towns. It is also evident that while certain bigger
like Anantapur come surprisingly close to the optimism of                  national players have made these towns their focus, others are
the larger mini metros and towns like Bhatinda complete                    still to catch on to the Middle India bandwagon. The high value
the spectrum at the lower end. These numbers indicate that                 growth in these 1-5 Lac population towns supports the longer-
as marketers decide to be part of the gold rush, they have                 term Middle India story – it is not only the larger of these
the liberty of cherry picking towns in the first few years. In             towns that will sustain this story in the coming decade. The
addition, a one-size-fits-all approach may not work for all                demand revolution has percolated deep into these towns.




                                                                                “
these smaller towns. Factors that influence stronger consumer
buoyancy include the level of employment, infrastructure
growth (including education infrastructure), and proximity to a
metro.
                                                                                      The buoyant Middle India story is not




                                                                                                                           ”
Many FMCG giants have leveraged factors like steady flow of
                                                                                restricted to just the larger Middle India towns.
capital, wide distribution networks and better understanding
                                                                                   In the 350+ 1-5 Lac population towns, the
of the local markets to establish themselves in these towns.
Nielsen found that some companies, which do not rank at
                                                                                           story is equally compelling.
the top in terms of all-India FMCG presence, have expanded




8	          Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
While some FMCG players have been ahead on the Middle                    1. Education on a higher pedestal
India curve, others have opportunity to catch up.
                                                                         Education is paramount in Middle India. The education sector
     2010                                                                in Middle India has made considerable progress in the last five
              All-India Value               1-5 Lac Town Value
     Rank                                                                years, reflecting the population’s belief that higher education is
      1       Hindustan Unilever Limited    Hindustan Unilever Limited   the ticket to a stable career and a better life.

      2       Procter & Gamble              Nestle India
                                                                         Modern-day parents from smaller towns are more optimistic
                                                                         about their children’s educational opportunities, which was not
      3       Nestle India                  Procter & Gamble
                                                                         the case a decade ago. Parents today, aspire to educate their
      4       Parle Products                Adani Wilmar

      5       Britannia Inds                Britannia Inds

      6       Cadbury India                 Parle Products
      7       ITC                           Cadbury India
      8       Colgate-Palmolive             ITC

      9       Dabur                         Ruchi Soya

      10      Godrej Consumer               Frito Lay India
              Products

            Demonstrate better All India performance vs Middle India
            Demonstrate better Middle India performance vs All India

Source: Nielsen


Although the infrastructure in smaller towns may not be                  Source: Nielsen
comparable with that in other urban areas, Nielsen’s findings
indicate that these towns have made significant strides in
ramping up basic infrastructure like schools, hospitals and              children in English medium schools, as it opens the doors to
public transport. A steady rise in employment rates, income              a brighter career. Nielsen’s data shows that the Middle India
and spending are expected to have a positive impact on the               population’s desire to join the best institutions like IIMs and
economy of these towns in the next few years. A stronger                 IITs, at 47 percent, is nearly at par with that of an education-
infrastructure would aid marketers in pushing their products             centric city like Pune. While post graduation studies in Middle
and help achieve economies of scale. However, bugbears like              India find favor with only 42 percent of the population—nearly
corruption and weak law and order still persist, and these will          half the figure of Pune—an impressive 50 percent of this
need to improve fast, so that the Middle India sheen                     stratum aspires to join professional courses like medical and
is maintained.                                                           engineering versus 57 percent in Pune. While the numbers are
                                                                         not at par with the urban regions across the board yet, they

Decoding the Middle India                                                indicate a growing awareness about the importance
                                                                         of education.
consumer
What is important to the Middle India consumer?
The consumption patterns in Middle India mirror the change
in the consumer profile. The consumer fabric in these towns
is evolving. Marketers will be in a position to maximize their
rewards in Middle India if their offerings are customized to
the changing needs and aspirations of this consumer. Will the
middle India consumer display the traits of a metro consumer
in certain situations and those of a rural consumer in other
scenarios? What do we know about what is sacred to this
consumer group? Some key learnings and trends about the
Middle India consumer are worth highlighting.


                                                                         Source: Nielsen




9	          Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
The number of schools, colleges and educational institutions
that have sprung up in these small towns has kept pace with
the growth in the education sector in India. The rate at which
these institutions have proliferated has outshone the rate of
growth in other infrastructure facilities like roads, security,
water supply, etc. For instance, Nielsen’s figures indicate
that Jhansi, a small Mid-India town, has outgrown Pune’s
development in the education sector in terms of consumer
perception over the last few years. Moreover, education
opportunities in these towns are not only compelling people to
stay back, but also drawing people from even smaller towns.
One area where development is still needed is in the higher
education (post-graduate) sector.

2. Health & Wellness
Health consciousness is evident in Middle India households
as a large portion of citizens claims to periodically practice
some form of exercise, like Yoga, walking, swimming or visiting
a health club or a gymnasium. Our study shows about 24
percent people from Middle India practice Yoga, which is much
higher compared to the 19 percent who do so in Pune. In line
with this awareness, the consumption of health foods like oats,
cornflakes and other low cholesterol products in these areas
are at par with Pune at 37 percent. In addition to food choices,
Middle India consumers are also opting for annual health
check-ups and gathering more information on staying fit.

Not surprisingly, many healthy food categories are seeing
faster growth in Middle India relative to the all-India rates.
Categories like Chyavanprash, milk foods, and breakfast cereals
                                                                   Source: Nielsen
are growing at rates of about 20 percent higher than the
all-India numbers.                                                 3. Personal Grooming
                                                                   Personal grooming has become increasingly important to
                                                                   Middle India – personal care categories dominate the list of
                                                                   Middle India categories outpacing all-India value growth.
                                                                   Affordability, access, and awareness have contributed to the
                                                                   rapid rise of the personal care segment.




                                                                          “
                                                                                                                   ”
                                                                                     Affordability, access, and awareness
                                                                                     have contributed to the rapid rise of
Source: Nielsen
                                                                                         the personal care segment.




10	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Middle India    Growth Index
      2010
             Categories                      Value Growth     Over All-India
      Rank
                                                 Rate             Rate

       1     After Shave Lotions                 10%              971%
       2     Batteries                           5%               291%
       3     Other Scourers                      71%              194%
       4     Cleaners - Glass                    22%              188%
       5     Chyavanprash                        28%              184%
       6     Soap Cakes/Bars                     9%               180%
       7     Nail Enamel                         23%              168%
       8     Coconut Oil Pktyp                   15%              163%
       9     Shaving Preparations                14%              150%
       10    Antiseptic Creams                   27%              146%
       11    Confectionery - Cough               29%              142%
             Lozenge
       12    All Air Freshners                   48%              136%
       13    Antiseptic Liquids                  37%              136%
       14    Acne Preparations                   49%              135%         Source: Nielsen
       15    Packaged Tea                        16%              133%
       16    Cleaners - Utensil                  10%              131%
                                                                               5. Eating out & experimentation in the kitchen
       17    Baby Oils / Massage                 26%              130%
       18    Glucose Powders                     17%              128%
                                                                               Despite making efforts to lead a healthy lifestyle, the lure
                                                                               of fast foods and eating out seems to be getting the better
       19    Liquid Toilet Soaps                 57%              125%
                                                                               of consumers in smaller towns. Convenience foods like
      20     Breakfast Cereals                   40%              123%
                                                                               instant noodles, ready-to-cook foods and readymade spices
       21    Confectionery - Total Gum           27%              122%
                                                                               adorn kitchen shelves in Middle India. Although a very small
      22     Sqsh Crdls & Sft Drn                22%              121%         percentage of the population—24 percent compared to Pune’s
      23     Biscuits                            28%              120%         60 percent—prefers to eat out, the numbers are fast rising
      24     Milk Foods                          21%              119%         since the last two years. Nielsen found that families prefer
      25     Shoe Polishes                       13%              119%         to frequent fast food joints and bakeries, relishing Chinese,
                                                                               South Indian, Punjabi and American cuisine. Moreover, global
                  Personal Grooming categories (MAT May 2011 vs. YAG)          fast food giants like McDonalds, Pizza Hut, and Dominos are
Source: Nielsen                                                                considered an affordable and trendy option for a weekend
                                                                               family dinner outing. Despite a recent squeeze in budgets due
4. Home Improvement & Hygiene                                                  to high inflation across the board, 80 percent of Middle India
The consumers in Middle India want their house in order and                    (versus 90 percent of larger cities) is either eating out at similar
                                                                               or higher levels than what they did two years ago.




                                                                                       “
are beginning to partake in categories that were earlier not a
big part of their consumption basket. Household supplies and
cleaners are seeing a spurt in growth in Middle India towns




                                                                                                                     ”
relative to all-India levels. The increasing household budgets
have allowed for new categories to enter the household.                                      Middle India is keen on expanding
Housewives are open to purchasing specialty cleaning products                              their consumption basket with newer
to help them with household chores. This incremental                                                    categories
expenditure on improving the home is an investment many
Middle India families are consciously making.




11	          Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Middle India




                             Middle India




Source: Nielsen




Source: Nielsen


6. Steady women empowerment                                       It is encouraging to see that a majority of the population in
                                                                  Middle India believe in providing equal opportunities for boys
As more girls are encouraged to pursue higher education,          and girls, with 75 percent people in smaller towns like Bhatinda
women empowerment is taking shape slowly but steadily.            voting for the idea, compared to 90 percent in Pune.
According to Nielsen’s study, while women in Middle India take
60 percent of the decisions pertaining to health and beauty       Though women empowerment initiatives have been taken, a
within the household, they are no longer confined to just that.   lot more needs to be done before the impact of these programs
Moreover, women are increasingly playing a decisive role in       is truly felt in society. Many women aim for tertiary education
the lives of their children. Nielsen found that more than 40      and making a contribution to the household income. However,
percent of the decisions related to children were taken by        certain inhibitions prevent them from achieving their goals.
their mothers in Middle India towns. Additionally, women are      Nielsen research found that lack of safety, corruption of moral
also beginning to influence the purchase of electronics, with     values and an inferiority complex were major roadblocks for
31 percent having a primary say and 34 percent sharing the        the progress of women in Middle India. Over the next decade,
decision-making power with men.                                   the role women play in shaping the Middle India story should
                                                                  only move North given the upside.



12	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Source: Nielsen


7. Durables on the purchasing horizon
The penetration levels of durables in Middle India versus larger
cities are vastly different today. Age-old durables like black
and white televisions, table fans and air coolers, which have
lost their popularity in metro cities, will still take some time to
work their way out of Middle India. Interestingly, Nielsen data
also highlights that ownership and upgrade of durables are one
of the top priorities for Middle India.

Many families aspire to own luxury durables. When the time
comes for an upgrade, goods which are considered necessities
like pressure cooker, mobile phones, ceiling fans and color
televisions top the list, whereas for new purchases, luxury
durables like washing machines, refrigerators, vehicles and
music systems are preferred. Given the current penetration
levels of many basic durables, the improving financial condition
of families, the aspiration to acquire, and access to consumer
finance, Nielsen expects this market to be ripe over the next
5 years.




                                                                      Source: Nielsen




13	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
8. Mobile as a multi-faceted device
The mobile is a multi-faceted device for Middle India. The
population in these areas is playing games on mobile phones,
watching videos, and sending MMS clips at largely the same
rate as larger cities. Nielsen research shows that only 6 percent
of the total population does not own a phone for personal use.
The mobile phone has replaced the landline in many homes.
Even housewives carry their own mobile phone – albeit in many
cases this is a hand-me-down. Interestingly, today almost
three-fourths of the phones being used in Middle India are
Nokia phones which will change in the coming two years with
many affordable multimedia phones hitting the market.




                                      More than
                                     94% of the
                                      population
                                   claims to own a
                                 mobile phone
                                    for personal or
                                      office use.




Source: Nielsen




14	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
9. Cable TV dominance
Cable TV is king in Middle India and serves up as the main
source of entertainment across age groups, providing
marketers with a captive audience like no other.




Source: Nielsen


10. Social media & internet readiness
Middle India has very low internet penetration—78 percent of      On average, Middle India performs 3.2 activities online
Middle Indians have never accessed the internet—but those         compared to 4.6 activities in a city like Pune. Interestingly,
who have access are highly aware of social networking / micro     reading news online is an important activity for Middle India
blogging sites. The Middle India youth is in tune with the        even more so than a tech-savvy city like Pune.
internet. Social networking, chatting, music, videos, gathering
information, and career searches are all in scope with this
segment of Middle India. Orkut prevalence among active
internet users is higher for Middle India than even Pune!




                                                                  Source: Nielsen




Source: Nielsen




15	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Source: Nielsen

11. Selective openness to western influence                         12. More to celebrate: prominence of festivals
The cultural fabric of the Middle India population has              The definition of festivals in Middle India has evolved to include
undergone a visible change. With the proliferation of the           not just Indian festivals, but also those beyond its geographic
‘mall’ culture and the penetration of cable TV, consumers           and cultural boundaries. For instance, even in small cities like
are warming up to Western ideas. The youth, especially, are         Jhansi, youngsters exchange flowers and greeting cards to
adopting trends in Western fashion apparel like jeans and tops,     celebrate Valentine’s Day. The claimed festive expenditure has
which wasn’t the case 5 years ago. However, absorption of this      increased considerably for 48 percent of consumers, though
fashion is limited, with youngsters following their own brand of    it remains significantly lower than that of Pune at 81 percent.
modernism, which combines Indian and Western values. The            This increased expenditure may be largely attributed to the
views of traditional families are found to be liberalizing too,     fact that consumers now prefer to purchase gifts and sweets
which is reflected in Nielsen’s numbers: 28 percent parents         from shops instead of preparing them at home.
have no qualms about their children staying independently and
22 percent are open to consumption of liquor in their homes.        What sets Middle India apart is the increasing number of days
In a larger city like Pune, these numbers are surprisingly low at   spent on festive celebrations – while 34 percent of consumers
16 percent and 6 percent respectively. In addition to this, the     in Middle India state that the time they spend on festivals has
Middle India population prefers to use English as a medium of       increased in the last few years, the number stands at just 17
conversation and finds the joint family tradition to be more        percent for Pune.
and more restrictive.




Source: Nielsen




16	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Consumer Snapshot                                                    Nanded: Contrary to the youth in Bhatinda, the youngsters
                                                                     from Nanded prefer to settle in their hometown, preferably
Middle India has a distinct personality. In some cases, there is     after pursuing education in larger cities. Nielsen research
a stark difference in the values and beliefs of the population       shows that internet penetration in the city too is lesser than
in Middle India compared with that in the larger metros,             that in Bhatinda. This segment prefers affordable mobile
understandably so, given the disparity in education standards,       phones with basic functions like games, camera, FM radio, etc.
surroundings, upbringing, and other societal factors. Adopting       Youth from this town frequent Chinese and fast food joints,
a one-size-fits-all strategy, hence, may not help marketers          and the young males pay special attention to their health by
achieve the desired results in Middle India. Knowing the pulse       staying fit.
of various consumer classes would hold the key to success.
                                                                     Jhansi: Compared to other cities, the youth from Jhansi are
While some Middle India cities will probably behave more like a
                                                                     not very ambitious. Internet penetration is quite low, and
mini metro others might come very close to being a neo-urban
                                                                     youngsters are open to experimenting with cuisines, relishing
area etched with rural consumer thinking. Nielsen identified a
                                                                     Chinese food as often as possible. In gadgets, they prefer
few broad themes that could help marketers in decoding the
                                                                     mobile handsets with features like FM radio, torch and games,
Middle India consumer. While this is not an all-inclusive profile,
                                                                     which they consider essential. They are less brand conscious,
it should help marketers appreciate the difference in consumer
                                                                     and follow a simpler lifestyle compared to their counterparts in
needs and aspirations vis-à-vis some of the larger cities and
                                                                     some of the other Middle India cities.
also recognize the need for consumer deep dives before a
foray is made into these towns. Some attributes that can be          Anantapur: Youngsters from Anantapur are ready to
associated with a Middle India youth, housewife and a working        explore other cities for better education and employment
male professional are highlighted below.                             opportunities. As a result of relatively high internet
                                                                     penetration, the youth here are tech savvy and like indulging
Middle India youth                                                   in computer games. This may be the reason why they prefer
                                                                     internet access on their mobile phones, besides common
The Middle India youth are deeply attached to their customs          features like camera, games and FM. Due to their exposure to
and family. They prefer not to go against the wishes of their        a slice of life in Hyderabad, which is located close by, they have
parents, even ready to marry someone who meets their                 experienced the culture of hanging out at Pizza and Burger
parents’ approval. Despite harboring such traditional values,        joints.
this segment, surprisingly, likes to be seen wearing the
latest apparels. They not only use homemade remedies to              Middle India housewives
enhance their appearance, but also follow the hottest fashion
trends. The focus is on fitness, especially among males, and         Insights collected by Nielsen position a Middle India housewife
bodybuilding as a form of exercise and fashion is fast catching      as a budget conscious homemaker, who influences the
on. When it comes to technology, youth from Middle India             brands that are included in her monthly grocery shopping.
towns gravitate toward modern gadgets. They are well-versed          Interestingly, she is the main decision-maker when it comes to
with the benefits of the internet and prefer flashing the latest     durables and home appliance purchases. Until a few years ago,
mobile phones equipped with multimedia. They frequently visit        a typical housewife was a conservative cook. However, today,
malls, restaurants, food joints, parks, etc. and go sight-seeing     she is ready to experiment, and is keen on trying out various
with friends to nearby local destinations in their free time.        convenience food items like readymade spices, instant pasta,
                                                                     processed foods, etc. In addition to these options, her kitchen
City-wise profile of the youth                                       is equipped with modern appliances like food processors, which
                                                                     reduce her cooking time and effort. She also likes to take a
Bhatinda: Nielsen found that youngsters from Bhatinda are            break from mundane kitchen activities from time-to-time and
quite ambitious and are open to exploring options outside            enjoys Indian soap operas and dining out with her family. The
their hometown. They take keen interest in information               Middle India housewife is not very technology and internet
technology and use mobile handsets for varied purposes               savvy. Being conscious of tight monthly budgets, she prefers
like internet browsing, SMS, chatting and multimedia.                a simple hand-me-down mobile phone for basic features like
Besides experimenting with new cuisines, this group is highly        calling and SMS.
influenced by Western culture and is glued to youth channels
like MTV and UTV. In addition to this, Bhatinda’s youth are
stylish and very brand conscious.




17	      Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
City-wise profile of a housewife                                     too much attention to his style of dressing, the Middle-Indian
                                                                     working man scores low on the fashion quotient. However, a
Bhatinda: A housewife in Bhatinda would want to settle in a          keen interest in healthy living and personal grooming has been
larger city after having spent many years in her hometown.           noticed in his profile lately.
She understands the value of education, and is a vocal
advocate of higher academic options like post graduate               City-wise profile of a working man
degrees, professional courses and foreign studies. Housewives
in Bhatinda are also fairly religious and regularly visit places     Bhatinda: Most men in Bhatinda aspire to buy white goods
of worship. The claimed frequency of these visits is high in         like electronic washing machines or automobiles and upgrade
Bhatinda as compared to other cities like Nanded, Jhansi or          their existing color television to a high-end LCD or Plasma TV.
Anantapur. Their mobile phone usage is limited to calling,           An increasing number of working men are now realizing the
messaging, listening to songs, playing games and clicking            importance of fitness, and are consequently visiting salons and
photos.                                                              gymnasiums to enhance their appearance. In Bhatinda, the
                                                                     services of neighborhood moneylenders are used as frequently
Nanded: Unlike in Bhatinda, the housewives in Nanded prefer          as banks by the man of the house.
to migrate to their home towns after spending a decade or two
in a metro or a larger city. They feel that the importance of        Nanded: Most working men in Nanded believe that there is a
festivals has decreased considerably over the past five years.       paucity of jobs in their hometown, due to which their financial
Typically, their preference in mobile phones is limited to basic     stability is impacted. Banks are the only preferred source of
features like calling, messaging, torch and alarm.                   credit for this segment. Nielsen also found that many working
                                                                     men in this town aspire to travel by air in the next two years.
Jhansi: Our research highlighted the strong belief housewives
in Jhansi have for equal educational opportunities for boys and      Jhansi: Nielsen data indicates that a majority of the working
girls. As their mobile phone usage is limited, they are content      male population in Jhansi prefers living in their hometown. As
with calling, texting, listening to songs and using the torch        compared to other Middle India towns, this consumer group
feature in their devices.                                            has more in-depth knowledge of various investment options.
                                                                     As a result, there has been a steady increase in purchasing and
Anantapur: Most housewives in Anantapur have not moved               learning more about life insurance policies in the past few years
out of their hometown, preferring to spend their life within         in this town. Unlike Nanded, the men in Jhansi do not restrict
its boundaries. They are highly inclined to buy products like        their credit source only to banks, and are open to borrowing
pressure cookers, televisions, electric irons, ceiling fans, etc.    from friends and close relatives. Working men in Jhansi prefer
According to Nielsen research, housewives from Anantapur             to go on planned holidays, a tendency which is higher in this
show the highest frequency of eating out compared to those in        town compared to others. The working male population here
other Middle India towns.                                            gives quite a lot of importance to a healthy lifestyle, not eating
                                                                     out very frequently, getting regular health check-ups and
Working men in Middle India                                          practicing Yoga on a daily basis.
A typical working man from Middle India is the ‘man of the           Anantapur: Working men from Anantapur are indecisive when
house’ in the truest sense, as he takes most of the big decisions    it comes to settling down in a particular city. For credit, they
in household matters. He is methodical in managing the house,        prefer neighborhood moneylenders over banks and other
and most often is involved in daily grocery shopping, albeit         financial institutions. The average time this segment spends
aided by a to-do list. Whether it is financial or social issues or   online is comparatively higher than that in other cities. Most
large purchases like electronics, automobiles or OTC drugs,          working men in Anantapur either have a gym membership or
Middle India’s working male wants to partake in the decission        practice Yoga regularly, which indicates that they value their
making.                                                              physical appearance. Due to an improvement in lifestyles and
                                                                     increased awareness, a working man in Anantapur is optimistic
As the main breadwinner, he is keen on securing the family’s
                                                                     about his general well-being, job prospects and the state of his
future through a well-planned long term savings plan. Gold,
                                                                     personal finances in the coming year.
property and fixed deposits are his preferred investment
vehicles. He aspires to purchase consumer durables like a
refrigerator or a vehicle, and provide the best education to
his children with his savings. As someone who does not pay




18	      Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
What does Middle India still need                                     Addressing water scarcity
to thrive?                                                            Paucity of safe drinking water is emerging as a pain-point in
                                                                      Middle Indian towns. Women in these areas need to wake
While there is tremendous scope in the Middle India market,
                                                                      up early every morning to collect water for the household’s
there are many areas that can be developed further to
                                                                      requirement. This is a huge problem in towns like Nanded and
facilitate fast-paced growth in this segment. Without such
                                                                      Bhatinda, where people are forced to buy packaged water or
improvement, the Middle India buoyancy will be curbed.
                                                                      water purifiers to meet their drinking water needs.
Following are some of the aspects that need attention:

Employment opportunities                                              Higher educational facilities
                                                                      While most small towns offer an appreciable level of primary
Job opportunities across Middle India are not adequate yet to
                                                                      and higher secondary schooling, students are forced to migrate
sustain its growth path. Research from Nielsen shows that only
                                                                      to larger cities for higher education. With a steady increase
38 percent of the Middle India youth is willing to stay back in
                                                                      in the number of youngsters pursuing post graduate courses,
their hometowns as compared to 62 percent in Pune. Although
                                                                      there is a dire need to increase the number of colleges to cater
the tough job market today has forced students to settle
                                                                      to the demand. With professional degrees gaining prominence,
away from their homes and families, they show a willingness
                                                                      more can be done to set up higher education infrastructure and
to stay back if the employment scenario improves. Lack of
                                                                      organized coaching classes in these towns.
employment has also led to a rise in crimes and even drug
abuse in certain towns like Bhatinda. With many companies
and retailers making sizeable investments in these towns,               % Claimed source of borrowed funds
it is expected that the virtuous cycle will improve the job                                69
market overall. That said, huge private and public investments
will be needed over the next few years to ensure that ample                                     45
employment opportunities exist in the medium-to-long term.                          26
Job creation will be one of the largest determinants of growth                                                                 11
                                                                               3                            4    5         5
in Middle India over the next decade.
                                                                         Neighbourhood      Banks       Cooperatives Friends/relatives
Women empowerment                                                        moneylenders
                                                                                             Pune    Middle India towns
Although the status of women in Middle India is improving, the
                                                                      Source: Nielsen
fairer sex lacks adequate opportunities for employment and
education. Moreover, certain inhibitions and perceptions are          Simplified Banking
impeding their progress. For instance, parents are apprehensive
about their daughters’ safety when they step out to work              In this age of internet banking, many Middle India denizens
or pursue higher education. Teaching is considered a safe             still rely on local moneylenders for their credit requirements.
profession as it does not entail late working hours or traveling.     Almost 26 percent of the population still borrows from
Similarly, many believe that if a girl is well-qualified, it may be   neighborhood moneylenders, whereas in a developed city
difficult to find a suitable groom for her. This, coupled with the    like Pune, this number is a miniscule 3 percent. Such high
age-old custom of dowry, is a major issue in Middle India towns       dependence on moneylenders may be due to the population’s
like Jhansi. Interestingly, the amount of dowry expected tends        difficulty in transacting with the advanced banking system.
to increase if the girl is highly educated, especially in smaller     This is apparent when only 45 percent of the Middle India




        “
towns like Nanded. While women empowerment is happening               population approaches banks to avail loans as compared to
in small doses, a lot needs to be done quickly if women are to        69 percent in Pune. Reserve Bank of India data over the past 3
play an equal role in the growth of Middle India.                     decades suggests that scheduled commercial banks’ deposit
                                                                      accounts in semi-urban and urban India have not grown as fast
                                                                      as accounts in rural and metropolitan areas – implying that




                                                 ”
                 Job creation will be one of                          there is a lot of opportunity to improve penetration of basic
                  the largest determinants                            banking. Considering the propensity of consumers in these
                                                                      towns to save & invest in gold, property and fixed deposits,
                  of growth in Middle India                           there is a huge opportunity for banks and other financial
                    over the next decade.                             institutions to promote their products. However, to exploit this
                                                                      market, financial processes need be simplified to a large extent.




19	      Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Number of Deposit accounts in thousands (scheduled
commercial banks)
                                                                                        Implications for Marketers
                                   1981               2009              Multiple
                                                                                        Market Sizing
 Rural                            34,862            199,695                 5.73
                                                                                        The FMCG market in Middle India is expected to grow manifold
 Semi Urban                       43,690            169,725                 3.88
                                                                                        in the next decade and a half. This predicted growth for the
 Urban                            33,878            142,272                 4.20        coming 15 years will be unprecedented, and will have huge
 Metropolitan                      31,197           150,611                 4.83        implications for consumer product companies.
 Source : Reserve Bank of India




Improvement in roads and
infrastructure
The state of infrastructure in Middle India towns leaves a
lot to be desired. From narrow roads to perennial work-in-
progress, commuters face a harrowing time, and prefer to use
public transportation for daily travel. In the last 3-4 decades,
transport infrastructure has focused largely on metro and rural
connectivity; these urban towns will need some attention
in the coming decade. Connectivity will play a huge role in                             Source: Nielsen
speeding up progress for Middle India and the government                                The Middle India market size of the FMCG sector, which is
needs to do more to set up this missing link.                                           currently about INR 287 Billion (6 Billion USD), is expected to
                                                                                        cross the INR 1 trillion (20+ Billion USD) mark by 2018 and INR
                                                                    As a % of           4 trillion (80+ Billion USD) by 2026. This signifies a remarkable
                                  Length of Roads (Kms)
                                                                   total roads          opportunity for the next decade and a half.
 Roads in Kilometers                   1971          2008          1971       2008
 Highways                           711,966     2,473,267          78%         60%

 Rural Roads under
                                            -   1,061,809               -      26%
 JRY and PMGSY

 Urban Roads                         72,120      304,327            8%             7%
 Project Roads                     130,893       270,189           14%             7%


 Total Roads (In Kms)              914,979      4,109,592        100%         100%
 Source : Government of India (Ministry of Road Transport & Highways)




Entertainment options                                                                   Source: Nielsen



When it comes to entertainment, there is a dearth of options.                           The population in this region boasts of per capita FMCG
Families and students are usually hooked on to cable television                         consumption of over INR 2,800 (56+ USD) more than 2.3
or frequent shopping malls, restaurants and parks in their                              times the figure for all-India. This number is estimated to
vicinity for leisure. A moviegoing culture is yet to catch on                           reach INR 31,000 (620+ USD) by 2026, which will be more
among this section, as most cinema halls are considered                                 than double of what an average Indian will consume then.
inappropriate for women and families. Middle India wants to be                          These numbers should be music to the ears of marketers and
entertained, and this industry has a lot of potential for growth                        retailers who are planning to expand aggressively in the coming
in the coming decade.                                                                   few decades. It is about time marketers started calibrating
                                                                                        strategies to fulfill the needs of this segment.




20	         Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
“
Implications for business
                                                                                     Marketers will need to cultivate
Ramp-up in the FMCG segment
                                                                                        their brands with Middle
The rise of Middle India is expected to drive spending to                              India and build loyalty now
unprecedented levels. Since there is a vast scope and relatively                      while habits are changing, so




                                                                                                                  ”
less competition in this market today, existing players have                          that they can flourish when
registered impressive growth in the last few years. FMCG                             spending increases manifold in
companies which anticipated this kind of growth and invested
                                                                                           the coming decade.
in these areas a few years ago, are reaping rich dividends today.
The good news is that marketers who will act quickly even now,
will be able to grab a sizeable portion of the market.                Smaller packs and customization of small-sized packages,
                                                                      homes, cars, etc. would address the specific requirements of
Marketers planning to penetrate the Middle India market in            smaller families.
the coming years would do well to target the smaller towns
with 1-5 Lac population, as these regions would record
                                                                      Media evolution
unprecedented growth in the coming few years and are less
likely to have competition already well entrenched. The               While there has been some improvement in infrastructure
focus needs to be on building distribution infrastructure over        in 1-10 Lac population towns, the penetration of internet is
the next 12-24 months. Current trends indicate that selling           still negligible. Most consumers rely on cable TV for their
products in smaller packs through local business partners             information and entertainment requirements. This medium
will drive sales for FMCG companies. Consumers are also               caters to a vast group of consumers—from youngsters,
increasingly indulging in impulse buying, signaling a strong          children, working men to housewives—and is expected to
growth for products in this category. Consumers base their            maintain its stronghold for the coming few years. Cable TV can
decisions on affordability and convenience while making their         hence become an ideal medium for marketers to promote their
choices. Marketers will need to cultivate their brands with           products among all age groups.
Middle India and build loyalty now while habits are changing,
                                                                      A very small percentage of the Middle India population, which
so that they can flourish when spending increases manifold in
                                                                      mainly consists of youth in select areas, has access to the
the coming decade.
                                                                      internet. This gap in the market can be tapped by internet
                                                                      service providers. Those who do have internet access are
Personal grooming and hygiene in focus
                                                                      engaged in social media activities like their counterparts in
The per capita expenditure on personal grooming and hygiene           bigger cities. Companies that offer youth-centric products can
products is steadily increasing in the 1-10 Lac population            hence leverage social media marketing (along with a relevent
towns. Today, this segment prefers to find homemade                   TV campaign) to popularize their offerings, especially gadgets,
solutions for their grooming requirements. However, over time,        personal care products, and cell phones.
requirements are expected to evolve and schedules to get
busier, which would lead to a higher demand for personal care         Cuisines & Convenience
services like beauty salons, and boost the market for beauty
                                                                      Fast food restaurants that are convenient, affordable and
and hygiene products. With an improvement in consumer
                                                                      provide quick service find favor with not only the Middle India
lifestyle, an increased acceptance for newer products like
                                                                      youth, but families too. Chains like Pizza Hut, McDonalds,
affordable hair creams, deodorants, and shaving products
                                                                      and Dominos that provide an affordable menu and a Western
is expected.
                                                                      ambience are considered strong contenders for a weekend
                                                                      family dinner outing. The lack of evolved options and limited
Shift in family consumption patterns
                                                                      experimentation serves up Burgers, Pizzas, and American
There has been a gradual rise in the number of nuclear families       cuisine as the next-in-line favorite to traditional Indian and
in Middle India in the past few years, and this trend is expected     Chinese fare. In the kitchen, the demand for fast-fix items is
to accelerate in the next decade. For marketers, this would           on the rise. With increasing dependence on time-saving food
entail redrafting their marketing strategies and product              mixes, ready-to-cook foods, ready-made spices and prep kits,
offerings, as a change in the size of the family is likely to bring   this is an ideal time for food brands to address this need and
about significant transformation in consumption patterns.             expand in these towns.
Moreover, communication and promotional strategies need to
be targeted at a typical nuclear family in Middle India.




21	      Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Celebrations                                                         they purchase, including food items. In addition to this,
                                                                     women are increasingly participating in big ticket household
The Middle India population celebrates festivals with great
                                                                     purchases like consumer durables and electronics. White goods
enthusiasm, which is reflected in their readiness to spend more
                                                                     companies should take note of these trends to design in-store
time and money on them. Nielsen data highlights that this
                                                                     consumer experiences and form promotional strategies to grab
segment is heavily influenced by Western culture, especially
                                                                     the attention of decision makers for their products.
when it comes to celebrating festivals, and is slowly shifting
from traditional gifts to celebration packs and ready-made gift      When it comes to opportunities for women, Middle India is
options. Besides, there is a rising importance of celebrations       making slow but steady progress. However, longstanding
like Valentine’s Day, Mother’s Day, Teacher’s Day, etc. in           problems like inadequate security and dowry still persist.
the 1-10 Lac population towns. Considering that the trend            Companies setting up shop in these regions that want to play
is expected to attract even more consumers in the coming             a role in ensure women participation in the work force need to
years, companies dealing in festive offerings like flowers, gifts,   ensure the safety of their female staff through facilities such as
greeting cards, chocolates, etc. can expect a strong growth in       pick up and drop, flexible work timings, etc.
revenues. FMCG companies can leverage this trend by focusing
on seasonal, festive, and gift packs.                                Mobile telephony
                                                                     Mobile phones have a stronghold in Middle India. More than
Mobility
                                                                     94 percent of the population claims to own a phone for
More than one half of the Middle India households own a              personal or office use. Factors like affordability of handsets
bicycle, about one-third own a 2, 3 or 4 wheeler and much            and cheap call rates are driving the growth of mobiles phones
less than one in twenty households own a car. With income            in these regions. Consumers, especially youth, are more
levels in 1-10 Lac population towns on the rise and a steady         open to experimenting with handsets, and are excited about
increase in both the vehicle options and financing, consumers        newer technologies. If service providers offer better mobile
will gradually upgrade their vehicles from bicycles to two           internet services in small towns at affordable rates, it is likely
wheelers and from two wheelers to automobiles. Considering           that a wave of consumers will skip the computer-led internet
the size of population in the region, such upgrades will open        access phase and unlock the power of the web through mobile
up a huge market for automobile companies. Companies                 devices. However, this is possible only if telecom companies
dealing in infrastructure development will see a growth too,         make internet usage appealing, affordable, and relevant to the
as the Government will strive to provide better transportation       Middle India population.
facilities to match Middle India aspirations.
                                                                     Opportunities for other industries
Entertainment & Leisure
                                                                     Apart from scope for the sectors mentioned above, there is a
Consumers will also look to spend more on leisure activities         huge gap in the Middle India region for the banking segment.
as incomes rise. Today not many options are at their                 While many national and international banks operate in this
disposal. Selective investments in customized and affordable         space, local moneylenders are still very prevalent. Offering
entertainment options can yield big dividends in the next few        simplified products and solutions can help banks make their
years for companies dealing in entertainment and hospitality.        operations viable.
Movie theaters that are a step above the single-screen theaters
currently prevalent in most of these towns can encourage             With an improvement in lifestyle and rise in consumer
family movie outings and unlock a huge opportunity for the           awareness, a wave of health consciousness is sweeping across
entertainment segment.                                               Middle India. Consumers are now willing to spend more on
                                                                     fitness activities in gymnasiums and yoga centers, which bodes
Women power in Middle India                                          well for fitness service providers, health-food players, and
                                                                     lifestyle product companies.
While women are not the sole decision-makers in the
household, their contribution to the decision making process         In addition to this, education is gaining importance in these
will evolve over the next few years. Nielsen research found that     towns. This could mean rapid growth for private schools,
men and women have an equal say in many of the products              colleges, & organized coaching classes in the coming few years.




22	      Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
Nielsen middle-india-report-2011
Nielsen middle-india-report-2011

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Nielsen middle-india-report-2011

  • 1. Managing the Middle India Gold Rush December 2011
  • 2. Managing the Middle The Nielsen Company December 2011 India Gold Rush Ranjeet Laungani Executive Director, Nielsen Article at a glance For more than a decade, marketers have focused their energies primarily on the thriving metros and the colossal rural Indian opportunity; but as we weigh the still-to-be-had opportunity with the efficiency of reach over the next 5-10 years, marketers should give Middle India a serious look. While metros will remain a staple for marketers and increasing a rural footprint will be critical for volumes in the long run, there is a growth opportunity that is vastly under-rated by many marketers today, which could emerge as a key growth engine for the next 10 years. Middle India, a region made up of approximately 400 towns each with a population of 1-10 Lac, are home to 100 million Indians and today constitute up to 20 percent of the country’s FMCG consumption. Middle India will grow from an FMCG market worth INR 287 Billion (5.74 Billion USD) today to over INR 4 Trillion (80 Billion USD) in value by 2026 and it is about time marketers took notice. Fast Facts: • Middle India has outpaced the all-India growth story: Since 2002, the FMCG sector grew 3.5 times in Middle India, compared to 3.2 times in all-India. • Middle India per capita FMCG consumption stood at over INR 2,800 (56 USD) in 2010 versus the all India number at just under INR 1,200 (24 USD). • The top 10 FMCG players in Middle India have added INR 35.8 Billion (716 Million USD) from these 400 towns in 2 years alone. • Forty-nine of 81 FMCG categories tracked by Nielsen in early 2011 saw faster growth rates in Middle India than their all- India rates. • As of May 2011, FMCG per-dealer offtakes increased to 14+ percent for Middle India – up 2.7 points from 2010 versus an increase of 1.5 points for metros. • The number of FMCG stores in these 400 towns has seen a rapid increase: more than 250 new stores were added per town in the last three years. The purchasing power of the contemporary Middle India consumer and the sheer plethora of goods and services available are unprecedented. This market is expected to continue growing at a healthy rate at least for the next decade, which offers most companies ample lead time to strategize on how to tap into this segment. Marketers who make an aggressive foray into Middle India over the next few years will need to have a good understanding of changing consumer aspirations and be mindful of some of the infrastructural drawbacks if they are to manage this gold rush successfully. By studying the Middle India consumer profile, marketers will be better equipped to cater to this creamy middle layer and define their growth strategies in these smaller towns. The Middle India demand revolution has begun. The Gold Rush is here. 2 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 3. Middle India on top While marketers remain fixated on opportunities at the bottom-of-the-pyramid and in metro regions, not many While 70 percent of the Indian population still resides in rural are aware that only the metros and Middle India (1-10 Lac areas, poor reach and inadequate infrastructure have made it population towns) have outpaced the all-India growth story in difficult for marketers to fully tap into the potential of these the last 8 years. Even today, Middle India leads the pack across markets quickly. Most FMCG companies have concentrated urban and rural segments for FMCG value growth rates. their energies on the metro and mini-metro regions in the past 10 years. Although some companies have partially penetrated Middle India has been outpacing the all-India FMCG story for the Middle India market, many tend to overlook smaller towns, many years now ignoring the fact that these markets are perhaps easier to FMCG Value Sales Year Year Multiple penetrate due to relatively sparse competition. Considering (Rupees Billion) 2002 2010 Increase the expected growth of population in this area, rise in incomes and aspirations and the expected influx of people from even All India 442 1,425 3.2 smaller towns to Middle India, this market is expected to create Metro 110 412 3.8 huge opportunities for marketers in the coming few years. Middle India 83 287 3.5 Rest of Urban 98 245 2.5 “Still-to-be-had” Opportunity + “Medium-term ROI” Scale Rural 151 480 3.2 Urban: Middle India Growing middle India; approximately Source: Nielsen (1-10 Lac towns) 400 towns Rest of Urban Fast growing but very spread out Strong Value Growth: recently Middle India is growing at 20% (<1 Lac towns) (Approximately 7,500 towns) (up 3+ points from 2010) 70% of the population but inefficient Rural India reach a challenge for marketers Value Growth % Steady growth; in the spotlight for the MAT May 2010 2011 Delta Urban: Mini Metros last 5+ years All India 18.5 18.8 0.3 Bread & butter for most marketers for Urban: Metros Metro 16.4 19.1 2.7 many years now; competitive Source: Nielsen 1-10 Lac towns 16.9 20.1 3.2 Rest of Urban 15.6 19.5 3.9 The 100-Million-strong population is only one of the reasons Rural 22.8 17.5 -5.4 why marketers should take note of Middle India. In addition Source: Nielsen to the large size of the Middle India population, the increase in household incomes and rise in spending power makes it an The expansion of Middle India shows that the demand attractive market for consumer product companies. Many revolution is percolating to the next tier of cities. Why do studies in recent years have focused on the rise of the Indian these cities matter? These cities are ready to behave like the middle class, pegging this group of strivers—annual household metros of tomorrow. Of the total INR 1.4 Trillion (28 Billion income of at least INR 500,000 (10,000 USD)—and seekers— USD) in FMCG sales in 2010, goods worth about INR 287 annual household income of at least INR 200,000 (4,000 Billion (5.74 Billion USD) were consumed by the Middle India USD)—to rise to over 500-Million-strong in 15 years. We population. This number makes up more than 20 percent of the believe this rising middle class story will disproportionately overall FMCG sales, and 30 percent of the urban FMCG sales. advance the expansion of Middle India over the next decade. Middle India is also home to 30 percent of all urban stores, comprising over 900,000 Million stores today. In addition to this, the annual per capita FMCG consumption of Middle Middle India: home to 100 million Indians India towns touched INR 2,800 (56 USD), which exceeded the national average by INR 1,600 (32 USD). This is a significant achievement for these smaller towns, considering the fact that 354 42 68 31 towns towns million million the metros breached the INR 2,800 (56 USD) mark as recently as 2009. # of towns Population 1-5L 5-10L Source: Nielsen 3 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 4. The growth figures for different FMCG categories also reveal Why does Middle India matter? a strong and vast market potential for Middle India. Out of the total 81 FMCG categories, 49 product categories across personal care, over-the-counter drugs, household care, and 1-10 Lac Towns 1-10 Lac Towns Annual per contributed INR are home to capita FMCG food outgrew the all-India rate. Over 30 categories saw 287 billion in more than 910K consumption over growth rates faster than 1.15 times the all-India rate. The top FMCG sales FMCG stores INR 2800 five fastest growing categories like diapers, scourers, liquid in 2010 toilet soaps, acne preparations and air fresheners, which fared strongly in the past year, performed even better in 2011, This is 20% + This makes up for Versus a national contribution to all 11% of all FMCG average of under INR indicating continued possibility of robust growth in the near India FMCG and 30% stores in the country 1200; of note, metros future. + contribution to all & more than 30% of have only breached urban sales all Urban stores INR 2800 in 2009 Interestingly, the focus on hygiene, health, personal grooming and convenience seems to be driving the rapid growth in these Source: Nielsen towns. Middle India is also accepting evolved categories like breakfast cereals, air fresheners, acne preparations, and liquid toilet soaps. The metros took on to many of these categories in Marketers have been taking notice of Middle India: a big way just a few years ago and Middle India does not want in the news in recent times to be left out. Van Heusen, Louis Philippe Quality tea now finding eye smaller towns, cities takers in smaller cities In these 1-10 Lac towns, 49 of the 81 categories outgrew the (June 2011) (April 2011) all-India rate in 2011 vs. 2010 1-10 Lac Towns Value FitnessOne to invest Rs. 30 cr to BPOs offer jobs to school pass Growth expand in tier II, III cities outs in smaller cities indexed Personal Care Household (April, 2011) (April, 2011) Food to All-India / OTC Care (MAT May 2011 over India’s Fortis to open 25 low- Blue Dart to spread wings 2010) cost hospitals over 3 years in to tier 2,3 towns After shave smaller towns, especially in tier (April, 2011) Batteries, lotions, Nail II and Tier III cities / June 2011 Scourers, 1.5X or enamel, Glass Chayavanprash more Coconut cleaners, Soap Bacardi seeks to spread cheer Omaxe to focus on small oil, Shaving to smaller cities towns (as inventory is pilling cakes/ bars preparations (July 2011) up in tier-1 cities) (June, 2011) Antiseptic creams, Source: News Reports Antiseptic Air fresheners, Cough lozenges, 1.25X or liquids, Acne Utensil Packaged tea, more preparations, cleaners Glucose powders Middle India: firing on both Baby oils/ cylinders massage Cash registers in stores all over Middle India seem to be ringing off the hook, thanks to the growing consumer wallets, Breakfast cereals, Chewing gum, increased exposure to the ‘metro’ lifestyle, a larger assortment Analgesics/ Liquid toilet 1.15X or Squash cordials of product supply, and improved access to consumer finance. Cold remedies, soaps, Toilet more & drinks, Biscuits, While the change in consumption patterns in Middle India can Condoms soaps Milk foods, Baby be partially attributed to a rapid surge in consumer demand, foods, Chocolates the increasing ubiquity of consumer products is contributing to this growth as well. It is a story of consumer pull meeting Source: Nielsen distribution push. 4 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 5. Source: Nielsen These developments augur well for FMCG companies, especially on a variety of products that enhance their standard of in light of the fact that this market is still in a nascent stage, living. They are accepting categories that never were part of and is expected to grow substantially in the next five years. their consumption basket. This has opened up a window of The rise in demand for consumer products and relatively lower opportunity for FMCG companies to introduce products that penetration of FMCG companies in these towns means that were initially brought to market primarily for the metros. The competition is not as fierce in these towns as would be in larger size of the opportunity will multiply in the next few years as metros. A few major players with adequate capital and wide these new categories will see deeper penetration levels across distribution networks are already cashing in on the opportunity. a larger household base. The annual turnover of the top ten FMCG players from the Middle India segment rose more than 42 percent by INR 35.8 The consumer pull story Billion (716 Million USD) in just two years between 2009 and 2011. Increased exposure to the media and a gradual improvement in infrastructure have played a substantial role in introducing Strong Value Growth: Just the top 10 FMCG players have the Middle India population to what was earlier only a ‘metro’ added 35.8 Billion from Middle India in 2 years lifestyle, fuelling a desire to improve their standard of living. These factors, combined with an increased spending capacity, are rapidly pushing up the demand for a vast consumer product The top 10 FMCG The same players profile in Middle India. players in these had a turnover of towns clocked INR INR 121 Billion from 86 Billion in value these towns Per Dealer Offtake Growth % sales in 2009 in 2011 +42% MAT May 2010 2011 Delta All India 12.1 13.0 0.9 MAT May Metro 14.5 16.0 1.5 Source: Nielsen 1-10 Lac towns 11.7 14.4 2.7 Its not just a story of sheer volumes, Middle India is also RoU 9.7 12.8 3.1 capturing marketers’ attention due to a shift in demand, a direct consequence of people’s rising aspirations for a better Rural 15.1 11.4 -3.7 lifestyle in these regions. Consequently, there is an increase Source: Nielsen in the Middle India consumers’ willingness to spend more 5 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 6. “ A strong indicator of this trend is the rise in per dealer offtakes – which represents the average sales per dealer over time. The per dealer offtake in Middle India saw a rise of 2.7 points in 2011, compared to an increase of 1.5 points in metropolitan Consumption baskets in these cities in the same period. This is a growth of more than 14 towns are evolving – percent over the previous year (MAT May 2010). For some categories as varied as breakfast FMCG categories like cheese, packaged rice, diapers, etc., the cereals, air fresheners, and glass increase in per dealer offtake was quite substantial, at more cleaners which earlier saw little ” than 30 percent! Per dealer offtakes for almost a dozen and a acceptance in these towns are half categories in Middle India towns grew at over 20 percent in growing much faster in these towns the last one year alone. than at the all-India level. The top ten FMCG companies in these Middle India towns saw a spurt in per dealer offtakes, which grew 17% in one year. Source: Nielsen The distribution push story In addition to the surging demand for consumer products in Middle India, marketers are extending their reach in the 1-10 Lac population towns through a constantly expanding distribution network. As a result, new FMCG retail stores have mushroomed in these towns in the past few years. The last three years have also seen a rapid increase in the # of FMCG stores June 2008 May 2011 Overall Number Increase of 250+ 823K 926K of Stores per town Number of Increase 61K 80K Chemists of 31% Number of Increase of Modern Trade 1094 1501 37% Stores Source: Nielsen 6 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 7. Source: Nielsen The total number of stores in these towns rose from 823,000 A case worth mentioning: it is interesting to note that Cadburys in June 2008 to 926,000 in May 2011, an average addition ranks #5 in value sales in 1-10 Lac towns versus a #6 ranking of over 250 stores per town. The top ten FMCG players in at an all-India level. In the last 3 years, Cadburys has added the 1-10 Lac population towns have aggressively expanded 30% more stores in these towns (the biggest leap of any top-10 in these areas, adding 29,892 stores on average in the last player) and the results are showing! In fact, in the last quarter year alone and 55,767 stores on average in the last two years. of 2010, it actually moves to #4 place in 1-10 Lac towns. More number of stores translates into an increased supply infrastructure, which is helping marketers push products to Spotlight: The smaller 1-5 Lac consumers faster. Not surprisingly, the distribution reach of as many as 15 categories in the FMCG sector has grown by population towns over 5 All Commodity Value (ACV) distribution points in the 3-year period from May 2008 to May 2011. Marketers who had In 1-5 Lac towns, 56 of the 81 categories outgrew the recognized the potential and invested in these regions a few all-India rate in value in 2011 vs. 2010 years ago are, today, laughing their way to the bank. 1-5 Lac Towns Value Growth indexed Personal Care / Household to All-India Food OTC Care When we evaluated some of the top national FMCG players on (2011 over 2010) their Middle India performance, two things were clear: Tooth Powder, After- Glass cleaners, Utensil cleaners, shave lotions, Lipsticks, 1. Not all national players were optimally leveraging Middle 2X or more Toilet cleaners, Chayavanprash Shaving preprations, Other Scourers, India for growth Hair Conditioners Batteries, 2. Smaller national players were giving the heavy weights a Coconut Oil, Twin fight in these 1-10 lakh towns Blades, Liquid Toilet Packaged Rice, Coffee, break 1.5X or more Soap, Acne Preprations, Air Freshners, 2010 Baby Oil/Massage, Shoe Polish Fast Cereals, All-India Value 1-10 Lac Town Value Milk Food Rank Antiseptic Cream 1 Hindustan Unilever Limited Hindustan Unilever Limited ToothPaste, Toilet 2 Procter & Gamble Procter & Gamble Soap, Talcum Powder, Skin Creams, Shampoo, Packaged Tea, 3 Nestle India Nestle India Washing Powder, Sanitary Napkins, Ketchups/ Home Insecticides, 4 Parle Products Britannia Inds Ruberfacients, Nail Sauces, 1.2X or more Soap Cakes/Bars Enamel, Hair Oils, Hair Chocolate, 5 Britannia Inds Cadbury India Floor Cleaners, Dyes, Glucose Powder, Beverages, Baby Utensil Cleaners 6 Cadbury India Parle Products Fragrance, Digestive, Food Diaper, Condom, 7 ITC ITC Antiseptic Liquid 8 Colgate-Palmolive Adani Wilmar 9 Dabur Frito Lay India Source: Nielsen 10 Godrej Consumer Products Godrej Consumer Products Source: Nielsen Demonstrate better All India performance vs Middle India Demonstrate better Middle India performance vs All India 7 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 8. The buoyant Middle India story is not restricted to just the larger Middle India towns. In the 350+ 1-5 Lac population And consumer confidence is reasonably buoyant…On towns, the story is equally compelling. Not only are these the Middle India continuum there are several towns like Anantapur that come close to the consumer buoyancy towns growing at over 20 percent, but 56 of the 81 categories in larger towns are also outperforming the all-India growth rates. 15 categories are exploding in these 1-5 Lac population towns with over 40 Stories like that of Anantapur are promising when compared percent value growth in 2011 over 2010. Products as varied to Pune, which has been on the development path for many years now. as skin creams, coffee, baby oils, fragrances, and chocolates are outpacing the all-India growth story. Even these 1-5 Lac population towns do not want to be left behind. 15 categories are growing at over 40%. 127 The Top 8 categories grew in value at an average rate of Pune 70% in 2011 over 2010 and this was 2 times their all-India (Benchmark) Middle India growth rates. 97 114 Personal Anantapur Food Household Liquid Toilet Soaps, Breakfast Cereals, Air fresheners, Bhatinda Hair conditioners, Chocolate, Vermicelli Home Insecticide, Acne Preparations, 79 & Noodles, pre-post wash, Nanded Diapers Fragrance, Packaged Rice Other Scourers After Shave Lotion , Jhansi 99 Twin Blades 96 MAT May Source: Nielsen Nielsen also evaluated the consumer confidence of these smaller towns. Nielsen’s research indicates that while Of note, the consumer confidence index for Middle India the consumer confidence index in the towns with 1-5 Lac while lower than Pune is much better compared to many population is lower than that of a benchmark mini-metro town developing and developed markets world wide. like Pune, many smaller towns are performing much better than several developed and developing markets across the Source: Nielsen world. Anantapur, for instance, has a consumer confidence aggressively and gained a stronghold in the towns with 1-5 index of 114, which is fairly close to Pune’s 127, and scores Lac populations - players like Ruchi Soya and Adani Wilmar higher than many other urban areas. Importantly, consumer are among the top FMCG players in these smaller 1-5 Lac confidence in Middle India spans a continuum, where towns population towns. It is also evident that while certain bigger like Anantapur come surprisingly close to the optimism of national players have made these towns their focus, others are the larger mini metros and towns like Bhatinda complete still to catch on to the Middle India bandwagon. The high value the spectrum at the lower end. These numbers indicate that growth in these 1-5 Lac population towns supports the longer- as marketers decide to be part of the gold rush, they have term Middle India story – it is not only the larger of these the liberty of cherry picking towns in the first few years. In towns that will sustain this story in the coming decade. The addition, a one-size-fits-all approach may not work for all demand revolution has percolated deep into these towns. “ these smaller towns. Factors that influence stronger consumer buoyancy include the level of employment, infrastructure growth (including education infrastructure), and proximity to a metro. The buoyant Middle India story is not ” Many FMCG giants have leveraged factors like steady flow of restricted to just the larger Middle India towns. capital, wide distribution networks and better understanding In the 350+ 1-5 Lac population towns, the of the local markets to establish themselves in these towns. Nielsen found that some companies, which do not rank at story is equally compelling. the top in terms of all-India FMCG presence, have expanded 8 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 9. While some FMCG players have been ahead on the Middle 1. Education on a higher pedestal India curve, others have opportunity to catch up. Education is paramount in Middle India. The education sector 2010 in Middle India has made considerable progress in the last five All-India Value 1-5 Lac Town Value Rank years, reflecting the population’s belief that higher education is 1 Hindustan Unilever Limited Hindustan Unilever Limited the ticket to a stable career and a better life. 2 Procter & Gamble Nestle India Modern-day parents from smaller towns are more optimistic about their children’s educational opportunities, which was not 3 Nestle India Procter & Gamble the case a decade ago. Parents today, aspire to educate their 4 Parle Products Adani Wilmar 5 Britannia Inds Britannia Inds 6 Cadbury India Parle Products 7 ITC Cadbury India 8 Colgate-Palmolive ITC 9 Dabur Ruchi Soya 10 Godrej Consumer Frito Lay India Products Demonstrate better All India performance vs Middle India Demonstrate better Middle India performance vs All India Source: Nielsen Although the infrastructure in smaller towns may not be Source: Nielsen comparable with that in other urban areas, Nielsen’s findings indicate that these towns have made significant strides in ramping up basic infrastructure like schools, hospitals and children in English medium schools, as it opens the doors to public transport. A steady rise in employment rates, income a brighter career. Nielsen’s data shows that the Middle India and spending are expected to have a positive impact on the population’s desire to join the best institutions like IIMs and economy of these towns in the next few years. A stronger IITs, at 47 percent, is nearly at par with that of an education- infrastructure would aid marketers in pushing their products centric city like Pune. While post graduation studies in Middle and help achieve economies of scale. However, bugbears like India find favor with only 42 percent of the population—nearly corruption and weak law and order still persist, and these will half the figure of Pune—an impressive 50 percent of this need to improve fast, so that the Middle India sheen stratum aspires to join professional courses like medical and is maintained. engineering versus 57 percent in Pune. While the numbers are not at par with the urban regions across the board yet, they Decoding the Middle India indicate a growing awareness about the importance of education. consumer What is important to the Middle India consumer? The consumption patterns in Middle India mirror the change in the consumer profile. The consumer fabric in these towns is evolving. Marketers will be in a position to maximize their rewards in Middle India if their offerings are customized to the changing needs and aspirations of this consumer. Will the middle India consumer display the traits of a metro consumer in certain situations and those of a rural consumer in other scenarios? What do we know about what is sacred to this consumer group? Some key learnings and trends about the Middle India consumer are worth highlighting. Source: Nielsen 9 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 10. The number of schools, colleges and educational institutions that have sprung up in these small towns has kept pace with the growth in the education sector in India. The rate at which these institutions have proliferated has outshone the rate of growth in other infrastructure facilities like roads, security, water supply, etc. For instance, Nielsen’s figures indicate that Jhansi, a small Mid-India town, has outgrown Pune’s development in the education sector in terms of consumer perception over the last few years. Moreover, education opportunities in these towns are not only compelling people to stay back, but also drawing people from even smaller towns. One area where development is still needed is in the higher education (post-graduate) sector. 2. Health & Wellness Health consciousness is evident in Middle India households as a large portion of citizens claims to periodically practice some form of exercise, like Yoga, walking, swimming or visiting a health club or a gymnasium. Our study shows about 24 percent people from Middle India practice Yoga, which is much higher compared to the 19 percent who do so in Pune. In line with this awareness, the consumption of health foods like oats, cornflakes and other low cholesterol products in these areas are at par with Pune at 37 percent. In addition to food choices, Middle India consumers are also opting for annual health check-ups and gathering more information on staying fit. Not surprisingly, many healthy food categories are seeing faster growth in Middle India relative to the all-India rates. Categories like Chyavanprash, milk foods, and breakfast cereals Source: Nielsen are growing at rates of about 20 percent higher than the all-India numbers. 3. Personal Grooming Personal grooming has become increasingly important to Middle India – personal care categories dominate the list of Middle India categories outpacing all-India value growth. Affordability, access, and awareness have contributed to the rapid rise of the personal care segment. “ ” Affordability, access, and awareness have contributed to the rapid rise of Source: Nielsen the personal care segment. 10 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 11. Middle India Growth Index 2010 Categories Value Growth Over All-India Rank Rate Rate 1 After Shave Lotions 10% 971% 2 Batteries 5% 291% 3 Other Scourers 71% 194% 4 Cleaners - Glass 22% 188% 5 Chyavanprash 28% 184% 6 Soap Cakes/Bars 9% 180% 7 Nail Enamel 23% 168% 8 Coconut Oil Pktyp 15% 163% 9 Shaving Preparations 14% 150% 10 Antiseptic Creams 27% 146% 11 Confectionery - Cough 29% 142% Lozenge 12 All Air Freshners 48% 136% 13 Antiseptic Liquids 37% 136% 14 Acne Preparations 49% 135% Source: Nielsen 15 Packaged Tea 16% 133% 16 Cleaners - Utensil 10% 131% 5. Eating out & experimentation in the kitchen 17 Baby Oils / Massage 26% 130% 18 Glucose Powders 17% 128% Despite making efforts to lead a healthy lifestyle, the lure of fast foods and eating out seems to be getting the better 19 Liquid Toilet Soaps 57% 125% of consumers in smaller towns. Convenience foods like 20 Breakfast Cereals 40% 123% instant noodles, ready-to-cook foods and readymade spices 21 Confectionery - Total Gum 27% 122% adorn kitchen shelves in Middle India. Although a very small 22 Sqsh Crdls & Sft Drn 22% 121% percentage of the population—24 percent compared to Pune’s 23 Biscuits 28% 120% 60 percent—prefers to eat out, the numbers are fast rising 24 Milk Foods 21% 119% since the last two years. Nielsen found that families prefer 25 Shoe Polishes 13% 119% to frequent fast food joints and bakeries, relishing Chinese, South Indian, Punjabi and American cuisine. Moreover, global Personal Grooming categories (MAT May 2011 vs. YAG) fast food giants like McDonalds, Pizza Hut, and Dominos are Source: Nielsen considered an affordable and trendy option for a weekend family dinner outing. Despite a recent squeeze in budgets due 4. Home Improvement & Hygiene to high inflation across the board, 80 percent of Middle India The consumers in Middle India want their house in order and (versus 90 percent of larger cities) is either eating out at similar or higher levels than what they did two years ago. “ are beginning to partake in categories that were earlier not a big part of their consumption basket. Household supplies and cleaners are seeing a spurt in growth in Middle India towns ” relative to all-India levels. The increasing household budgets have allowed for new categories to enter the household. Middle India is keen on expanding Housewives are open to purchasing specialty cleaning products their consumption basket with newer to help them with household chores. This incremental categories expenditure on improving the home is an investment many Middle India families are consciously making. 11 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 12. Middle India Middle India Source: Nielsen Source: Nielsen 6. Steady women empowerment It is encouraging to see that a majority of the population in Middle India believe in providing equal opportunities for boys As more girls are encouraged to pursue higher education, and girls, with 75 percent people in smaller towns like Bhatinda women empowerment is taking shape slowly but steadily. voting for the idea, compared to 90 percent in Pune. According to Nielsen’s study, while women in Middle India take 60 percent of the decisions pertaining to health and beauty Though women empowerment initiatives have been taken, a within the household, they are no longer confined to just that. lot more needs to be done before the impact of these programs Moreover, women are increasingly playing a decisive role in is truly felt in society. Many women aim for tertiary education the lives of their children. Nielsen found that more than 40 and making a contribution to the household income. However, percent of the decisions related to children were taken by certain inhibitions prevent them from achieving their goals. their mothers in Middle India towns. Additionally, women are Nielsen research found that lack of safety, corruption of moral also beginning to influence the purchase of electronics, with values and an inferiority complex were major roadblocks for 31 percent having a primary say and 34 percent sharing the the progress of women in Middle India. Over the next decade, decision-making power with men. the role women play in shaping the Middle India story should only move North given the upside. 12 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 13. Source: Nielsen 7. Durables on the purchasing horizon The penetration levels of durables in Middle India versus larger cities are vastly different today. Age-old durables like black and white televisions, table fans and air coolers, which have lost their popularity in metro cities, will still take some time to work their way out of Middle India. Interestingly, Nielsen data also highlights that ownership and upgrade of durables are one of the top priorities for Middle India. Many families aspire to own luxury durables. When the time comes for an upgrade, goods which are considered necessities like pressure cooker, mobile phones, ceiling fans and color televisions top the list, whereas for new purchases, luxury durables like washing machines, refrigerators, vehicles and music systems are preferred. Given the current penetration levels of many basic durables, the improving financial condition of families, the aspiration to acquire, and access to consumer finance, Nielsen expects this market to be ripe over the next 5 years. Source: Nielsen 13 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 14. 8. Mobile as a multi-faceted device The mobile is a multi-faceted device for Middle India. The population in these areas is playing games on mobile phones, watching videos, and sending MMS clips at largely the same rate as larger cities. Nielsen research shows that only 6 percent of the total population does not own a phone for personal use. The mobile phone has replaced the landline in many homes. Even housewives carry their own mobile phone – albeit in many cases this is a hand-me-down. Interestingly, today almost three-fourths of the phones being used in Middle India are Nokia phones which will change in the coming two years with many affordable multimedia phones hitting the market. More than 94% of the population claims to own a mobile phone for personal or office use. Source: Nielsen 14 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 15. 9. Cable TV dominance Cable TV is king in Middle India and serves up as the main source of entertainment across age groups, providing marketers with a captive audience like no other. Source: Nielsen 10. Social media & internet readiness Middle India has very low internet penetration—78 percent of On average, Middle India performs 3.2 activities online Middle Indians have never accessed the internet—but those compared to 4.6 activities in a city like Pune. Interestingly, who have access are highly aware of social networking / micro reading news online is an important activity for Middle India blogging sites. The Middle India youth is in tune with the even more so than a tech-savvy city like Pune. internet. Social networking, chatting, music, videos, gathering information, and career searches are all in scope with this segment of Middle India. Orkut prevalence among active internet users is higher for Middle India than even Pune! Source: Nielsen Source: Nielsen 15 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 16. Source: Nielsen 11. Selective openness to western influence 12. More to celebrate: prominence of festivals The cultural fabric of the Middle India population has The definition of festivals in Middle India has evolved to include undergone a visible change. With the proliferation of the not just Indian festivals, but also those beyond its geographic ‘mall’ culture and the penetration of cable TV, consumers and cultural boundaries. For instance, even in small cities like are warming up to Western ideas. The youth, especially, are Jhansi, youngsters exchange flowers and greeting cards to adopting trends in Western fashion apparel like jeans and tops, celebrate Valentine’s Day. The claimed festive expenditure has which wasn’t the case 5 years ago. However, absorption of this increased considerably for 48 percent of consumers, though fashion is limited, with youngsters following their own brand of it remains significantly lower than that of Pune at 81 percent. modernism, which combines Indian and Western values. The This increased expenditure may be largely attributed to the views of traditional families are found to be liberalizing too, fact that consumers now prefer to purchase gifts and sweets which is reflected in Nielsen’s numbers: 28 percent parents from shops instead of preparing them at home. have no qualms about their children staying independently and 22 percent are open to consumption of liquor in their homes. What sets Middle India apart is the increasing number of days In a larger city like Pune, these numbers are surprisingly low at spent on festive celebrations – while 34 percent of consumers 16 percent and 6 percent respectively. In addition to this, the in Middle India state that the time they spend on festivals has Middle India population prefers to use English as a medium of increased in the last few years, the number stands at just 17 conversation and finds the joint family tradition to be more percent for Pune. and more restrictive. Source: Nielsen 16 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 17. Consumer Snapshot Nanded: Contrary to the youth in Bhatinda, the youngsters from Nanded prefer to settle in their hometown, preferably Middle India has a distinct personality. In some cases, there is after pursuing education in larger cities. Nielsen research a stark difference in the values and beliefs of the population shows that internet penetration in the city too is lesser than in Middle India compared with that in the larger metros, that in Bhatinda. This segment prefers affordable mobile understandably so, given the disparity in education standards, phones with basic functions like games, camera, FM radio, etc. surroundings, upbringing, and other societal factors. Adopting Youth from this town frequent Chinese and fast food joints, a one-size-fits-all strategy, hence, may not help marketers and the young males pay special attention to their health by achieve the desired results in Middle India. Knowing the pulse staying fit. of various consumer classes would hold the key to success. Jhansi: Compared to other cities, the youth from Jhansi are While some Middle India cities will probably behave more like a not very ambitious. Internet penetration is quite low, and mini metro others might come very close to being a neo-urban youngsters are open to experimenting with cuisines, relishing area etched with rural consumer thinking. Nielsen identified a Chinese food as often as possible. In gadgets, they prefer few broad themes that could help marketers in decoding the mobile handsets with features like FM radio, torch and games, Middle India consumer. While this is not an all-inclusive profile, which they consider essential. They are less brand conscious, it should help marketers appreciate the difference in consumer and follow a simpler lifestyle compared to their counterparts in needs and aspirations vis-à-vis some of the larger cities and some of the other Middle India cities. also recognize the need for consumer deep dives before a foray is made into these towns. Some attributes that can be Anantapur: Youngsters from Anantapur are ready to associated with a Middle India youth, housewife and a working explore other cities for better education and employment male professional are highlighted below. opportunities. As a result of relatively high internet penetration, the youth here are tech savvy and like indulging Middle India youth in computer games. This may be the reason why they prefer internet access on their mobile phones, besides common The Middle India youth are deeply attached to their customs features like camera, games and FM. Due to their exposure to and family. They prefer not to go against the wishes of their a slice of life in Hyderabad, which is located close by, they have parents, even ready to marry someone who meets their experienced the culture of hanging out at Pizza and Burger parents’ approval. Despite harboring such traditional values, joints. this segment, surprisingly, likes to be seen wearing the latest apparels. They not only use homemade remedies to Middle India housewives enhance their appearance, but also follow the hottest fashion trends. The focus is on fitness, especially among males, and Insights collected by Nielsen position a Middle India housewife bodybuilding as a form of exercise and fashion is fast catching as a budget conscious homemaker, who influences the on. When it comes to technology, youth from Middle India brands that are included in her monthly grocery shopping. towns gravitate toward modern gadgets. They are well-versed Interestingly, she is the main decision-maker when it comes to with the benefits of the internet and prefer flashing the latest durables and home appliance purchases. Until a few years ago, mobile phones equipped with multimedia. They frequently visit a typical housewife was a conservative cook. However, today, malls, restaurants, food joints, parks, etc. and go sight-seeing she is ready to experiment, and is keen on trying out various with friends to nearby local destinations in their free time. convenience food items like readymade spices, instant pasta, processed foods, etc. In addition to these options, her kitchen City-wise profile of the youth is equipped with modern appliances like food processors, which reduce her cooking time and effort. She also likes to take a Bhatinda: Nielsen found that youngsters from Bhatinda are break from mundane kitchen activities from time-to-time and quite ambitious and are open to exploring options outside enjoys Indian soap operas and dining out with her family. The their hometown. They take keen interest in information Middle India housewife is not very technology and internet technology and use mobile handsets for varied purposes savvy. Being conscious of tight monthly budgets, she prefers like internet browsing, SMS, chatting and multimedia. a simple hand-me-down mobile phone for basic features like Besides experimenting with new cuisines, this group is highly calling and SMS. influenced by Western culture and is glued to youth channels like MTV and UTV. In addition to this, Bhatinda’s youth are stylish and very brand conscious. 17 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 18. City-wise profile of a housewife too much attention to his style of dressing, the Middle-Indian working man scores low on the fashion quotient. However, a Bhatinda: A housewife in Bhatinda would want to settle in a keen interest in healthy living and personal grooming has been larger city after having spent many years in her hometown. noticed in his profile lately. She understands the value of education, and is a vocal advocate of higher academic options like post graduate City-wise profile of a working man degrees, professional courses and foreign studies. Housewives in Bhatinda are also fairly religious and regularly visit places Bhatinda: Most men in Bhatinda aspire to buy white goods of worship. The claimed frequency of these visits is high in like electronic washing machines or automobiles and upgrade Bhatinda as compared to other cities like Nanded, Jhansi or their existing color television to a high-end LCD or Plasma TV. Anantapur. Their mobile phone usage is limited to calling, An increasing number of working men are now realizing the messaging, listening to songs, playing games and clicking importance of fitness, and are consequently visiting salons and photos. gymnasiums to enhance their appearance. In Bhatinda, the services of neighborhood moneylenders are used as frequently Nanded: Unlike in Bhatinda, the housewives in Nanded prefer as banks by the man of the house. to migrate to their home towns after spending a decade or two in a metro or a larger city. They feel that the importance of Nanded: Most working men in Nanded believe that there is a festivals has decreased considerably over the past five years. paucity of jobs in their hometown, due to which their financial Typically, their preference in mobile phones is limited to basic stability is impacted. Banks are the only preferred source of features like calling, messaging, torch and alarm. credit for this segment. Nielsen also found that many working men in this town aspire to travel by air in the next two years. Jhansi: Our research highlighted the strong belief housewives in Jhansi have for equal educational opportunities for boys and Jhansi: Nielsen data indicates that a majority of the working girls. As their mobile phone usage is limited, they are content male population in Jhansi prefers living in their hometown. As with calling, texting, listening to songs and using the torch compared to other Middle India towns, this consumer group feature in their devices. has more in-depth knowledge of various investment options. As a result, there has been a steady increase in purchasing and Anantapur: Most housewives in Anantapur have not moved learning more about life insurance policies in the past few years out of their hometown, preferring to spend their life within in this town. Unlike Nanded, the men in Jhansi do not restrict its boundaries. They are highly inclined to buy products like their credit source only to banks, and are open to borrowing pressure cookers, televisions, electric irons, ceiling fans, etc. from friends and close relatives. Working men in Jhansi prefer According to Nielsen research, housewives from Anantapur to go on planned holidays, a tendency which is higher in this show the highest frequency of eating out compared to those in town compared to others. The working male population here other Middle India towns. gives quite a lot of importance to a healthy lifestyle, not eating out very frequently, getting regular health check-ups and Working men in Middle India practicing Yoga on a daily basis. A typical working man from Middle India is the ‘man of the Anantapur: Working men from Anantapur are indecisive when house’ in the truest sense, as he takes most of the big decisions it comes to settling down in a particular city. For credit, they in household matters. He is methodical in managing the house, prefer neighborhood moneylenders over banks and other and most often is involved in daily grocery shopping, albeit financial institutions. The average time this segment spends aided by a to-do list. Whether it is financial or social issues or online is comparatively higher than that in other cities. Most large purchases like electronics, automobiles or OTC drugs, working men in Anantapur either have a gym membership or Middle India’s working male wants to partake in the decission practice Yoga regularly, which indicates that they value their making. physical appearance. Due to an improvement in lifestyles and increased awareness, a working man in Anantapur is optimistic As the main breadwinner, he is keen on securing the family’s about his general well-being, job prospects and the state of his future through a well-planned long term savings plan. Gold, personal finances in the coming year. property and fixed deposits are his preferred investment vehicles. He aspires to purchase consumer durables like a refrigerator or a vehicle, and provide the best education to his children with his savings. As someone who does not pay 18 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 19. What does Middle India still need Addressing water scarcity to thrive? Paucity of safe drinking water is emerging as a pain-point in Middle Indian towns. Women in these areas need to wake While there is tremendous scope in the Middle India market, up early every morning to collect water for the household’s there are many areas that can be developed further to requirement. This is a huge problem in towns like Nanded and facilitate fast-paced growth in this segment. Without such Bhatinda, where people are forced to buy packaged water or improvement, the Middle India buoyancy will be curbed. water purifiers to meet their drinking water needs. Following are some of the aspects that need attention: Employment opportunities Higher educational facilities While most small towns offer an appreciable level of primary Job opportunities across Middle India are not adequate yet to and higher secondary schooling, students are forced to migrate sustain its growth path. Research from Nielsen shows that only to larger cities for higher education. With a steady increase 38 percent of the Middle India youth is willing to stay back in in the number of youngsters pursuing post graduate courses, their hometowns as compared to 62 percent in Pune. Although there is a dire need to increase the number of colleges to cater the tough job market today has forced students to settle to the demand. With professional degrees gaining prominence, away from their homes and families, they show a willingness more can be done to set up higher education infrastructure and to stay back if the employment scenario improves. Lack of organized coaching classes in these towns. employment has also led to a rise in crimes and even drug abuse in certain towns like Bhatinda. With many companies and retailers making sizeable investments in these towns, % Claimed source of borrowed funds it is expected that the virtuous cycle will improve the job 69 market overall. That said, huge private and public investments will be needed over the next few years to ensure that ample 45 employment opportunities exist in the medium-to-long term. 26 Job creation will be one of the largest determinants of growth 11 3 4 5 5 in Middle India over the next decade. Neighbourhood Banks Cooperatives Friends/relatives Women empowerment moneylenders Pune Middle India towns Although the status of women in Middle India is improving, the Source: Nielsen fairer sex lacks adequate opportunities for employment and education. Moreover, certain inhibitions and perceptions are Simplified Banking impeding their progress. For instance, parents are apprehensive about their daughters’ safety when they step out to work In this age of internet banking, many Middle India denizens or pursue higher education. Teaching is considered a safe still rely on local moneylenders for their credit requirements. profession as it does not entail late working hours or traveling. Almost 26 percent of the population still borrows from Similarly, many believe that if a girl is well-qualified, it may be neighborhood moneylenders, whereas in a developed city difficult to find a suitable groom for her. This, coupled with the like Pune, this number is a miniscule 3 percent. Such high age-old custom of dowry, is a major issue in Middle India towns dependence on moneylenders may be due to the population’s like Jhansi. Interestingly, the amount of dowry expected tends difficulty in transacting with the advanced banking system. to increase if the girl is highly educated, especially in smaller This is apparent when only 45 percent of the Middle India “ towns like Nanded. While women empowerment is happening population approaches banks to avail loans as compared to in small doses, a lot needs to be done quickly if women are to 69 percent in Pune. Reserve Bank of India data over the past 3 play an equal role in the growth of Middle India. decades suggests that scheduled commercial banks’ deposit accounts in semi-urban and urban India have not grown as fast as accounts in rural and metropolitan areas – implying that ” Job creation will be one of there is a lot of opportunity to improve penetration of basic the largest determinants banking. Considering the propensity of consumers in these towns to save & invest in gold, property and fixed deposits, of growth in Middle India there is a huge opportunity for banks and other financial over the next decade. institutions to promote their products. However, to exploit this market, financial processes need be simplified to a large extent. 19 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 20. Number of Deposit accounts in thousands (scheduled commercial banks) Implications for Marketers 1981 2009 Multiple Market Sizing Rural 34,862 199,695 5.73 The FMCG market in Middle India is expected to grow manifold Semi Urban 43,690 169,725 3.88 in the next decade and a half. This predicted growth for the Urban 33,878 142,272 4.20 coming 15 years will be unprecedented, and will have huge Metropolitan 31,197 150,611 4.83 implications for consumer product companies. Source : Reserve Bank of India Improvement in roads and infrastructure The state of infrastructure in Middle India towns leaves a lot to be desired. From narrow roads to perennial work-in- progress, commuters face a harrowing time, and prefer to use public transportation for daily travel. In the last 3-4 decades, transport infrastructure has focused largely on metro and rural connectivity; these urban towns will need some attention in the coming decade. Connectivity will play a huge role in Source: Nielsen speeding up progress for Middle India and the government The Middle India market size of the FMCG sector, which is needs to do more to set up this missing link. currently about INR 287 Billion (6 Billion USD), is expected to cross the INR 1 trillion (20+ Billion USD) mark by 2018 and INR As a % of 4 trillion (80+ Billion USD) by 2026. This signifies a remarkable Length of Roads (Kms) total roads opportunity for the next decade and a half. Roads in Kilometers 1971 2008 1971 2008 Highways 711,966 2,473,267 78% 60% Rural Roads under - 1,061,809 - 26% JRY and PMGSY Urban Roads 72,120 304,327 8% 7% Project Roads 130,893 270,189 14% 7% Total Roads (In Kms) 914,979 4,109,592 100% 100% Source : Government of India (Ministry of Road Transport & Highways) Entertainment options Source: Nielsen When it comes to entertainment, there is a dearth of options. The population in this region boasts of per capita FMCG Families and students are usually hooked on to cable television consumption of over INR 2,800 (56+ USD) more than 2.3 or frequent shopping malls, restaurants and parks in their times the figure for all-India. This number is estimated to vicinity for leisure. A moviegoing culture is yet to catch on reach INR 31,000 (620+ USD) by 2026, which will be more among this section, as most cinema halls are considered than double of what an average Indian will consume then. inappropriate for women and families. Middle India wants to be These numbers should be music to the ears of marketers and entertained, and this industry has a lot of potential for growth retailers who are planning to expand aggressively in the coming in the coming decade. few decades. It is about time marketers started calibrating strategies to fulfill the needs of this segment. 20 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 21. “ Implications for business Marketers will need to cultivate Ramp-up in the FMCG segment their brands with Middle The rise of Middle India is expected to drive spending to India and build loyalty now unprecedented levels. Since there is a vast scope and relatively while habits are changing, so ” less competition in this market today, existing players have that they can flourish when registered impressive growth in the last few years. FMCG spending increases manifold in companies which anticipated this kind of growth and invested the coming decade. in these areas a few years ago, are reaping rich dividends today. The good news is that marketers who will act quickly even now, will be able to grab a sizeable portion of the market. Smaller packs and customization of small-sized packages, homes, cars, etc. would address the specific requirements of Marketers planning to penetrate the Middle India market in smaller families. the coming years would do well to target the smaller towns with 1-5 Lac population, as these regions would record Media evolution unprecedented growth in the coming few years and are less likely to have competition already well entrenched. The While there has been some improvement in infrastructure focus needs to be on building distribution infrastructure over in 1-10 Lac population towns, the penetration of internet is the next 12-24 months. Current trends indicate that selling still negligible. Most consumers rely on cable TV for their products in smaller packs through local business partners information and entertainment requirements. This medium will drive sales for FMCG companies. Consumers are also caters to a vast group of consumers—from youngsters, increasingly indulging in impulse buying, signaling a strong children, working men to housewives—and is expected to growth for products in this category. Consumers base their maintain its stronghold for the coming few years. Cable TV can decisions on affordability and convenience while making their hence become an ideal medium for marketers to promote their choices. Marketers will need to cultivate their brands with products among all age groups. Middle India and build loyalty now while habits are changing, A very small percentage of the Middle India population, which so that they can flourish when spending increases manifold in mainly consists of youth in select areas, has access to the the coming decade. internet. This gap in the market can be tapped by internet service providers. Those who do have internet access are Personal grooming and hygiene in focus engaged in social media activities like their counterparts in The per capita expenditure on personal grooming and hygiene bigger cities. Companies that offer youth-centric products can products is steadily increasing in the 1-10 Lac population hence leverage social media marketing (along with a relevent towns. Today, this segment prefers to find homemade TV campaign) to popularize their offerings, especially gadgets, solutions for their grooming requirements. However, over time, personal care products, and cell phones. requirements are expected to evolve and schedules to get busier, which would lead to a higher demand for personal care Cuisines & Convenience services like beauty salons, and boost the market for beauty Fast food restaurants that are convenient, affordable and and hygiene products. With an improvement in consumer provide quick service find favor with not only the Middle India lifestyle, an increased acceptance for newer products like youth, but families too. Chains like Pizza Hut, McDonalds, affordable hair creams, deodorants, and shaving products and Dominos that provide an affordable menu and a Western is expected. ambience are considered strong contenders for a weekend family dinner outing. The lack of evolved options and limited Shift in family consumption patterns experimentation serves up Burgers, Pizzas, and American There has been a gradual rise in the number of nuclear families cuisine as the next-in-line favorite to traditional Indian and in Middle India in the past few years, and this trend is expected Chinese fare. In the kitchen, the demand for fast-fix items is to accelerate in the next decade. For marketers, this would on the rise. With increasing dependence on time-saving food entail redrafting their marketing strategies and product mixes, ready-to-cook foods, ready-made spices and prep kits, offerings, as a change in the size of the family is likely to bring this is an ideal time for food brands to address this need and about significant transformation in consumption patterns. expand in these towns. Moreover, communication and promotional strategies need to be targeted at a typical nuclear family in Middle India. 21 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.
  • 22. Celebrations they purchase, including food items. In addition to this, women are increasingly participating in big ticket household The Middle India population celebrates festivals with great purchases like consumer durables and electronics. White goods enthusiasm, which is reflected in their readiness to spend more companies should take note of these trends to design in-store time and money on them. Nielsen data highlights that this consumer experiences and form promotional strategies to grab segment is heavily influenced by Western culture, especially the attention of decision makers for their products. when it comes to celebrating festivals, and is slowly shifting from traditional gifts to celebration packs and ready-made gift When it comes to opportunities for women, Middle India is options. Besides, there is a rising importance of celebrations making slow but steady progress. However, longstanding like Valentine’s Day, Mother’s Day, Teacher’s Day, etc. in problems like inadequate security and dowry still persist. the 1-10 Lac population towns. Considering that the trend Companies setting up shop in these regions that want to play is expected to attract even more consumers in the coming a role in ensure women participation in the work force need to years, companies dealing in festive offerings like flowers, gifts, ensure the safety of their female staff through facilities such as greeting cards, chocolates, etc. can expect a strong growth in pick up and drop, flexible work timings, etc. revenues. FMCG companies can leverage this trend by focusing on seasonal, festive, and gift packs. Mobile telephony Mobile phones have a stronghold in Middle India. More than Mobility 94 percent of the population claims to own a phone for More than one half of the Middle India households own a personal or office use. Factors like affordability of handsets bicycle, about one-third own a 2, 3 or 4 wheeler and much and cheap call rates are driving the growth of mobiles phones less than one in twenty households own a car. With income in these regions. Consumers, especially youth, are more levels in 1-10 Lac population towns on the rise and a steady open to experimenting with handsets, and are excited about increase in both the vehicle options and financing, consumers newer technologies. If service providers offer better mobile will gradually upgrade their vehicles from bicycles to two internet services in small towns at affordable rates, it is likely wheelers and from two wheelers to automobiles. Considering that a wave of consumers will skip the computer-led internet the size of population in the region, such upgrades will open access phase and unlock the power of the web through mobile up a huge market for automobile companies. Companies devices. However, this is possible only if telecom companies dealing in infrastructure development will see a growth too, make internet usage appealing, affordable, and relevant to the as the Government will strive to provide better transportation Middle India population. facilities to match Middle India aspirations. Opportunities for other industries Entertainment & Leisure Apart from scope for the sectors mentioned above, there is a Consumers will also look to spend more on leisure activities huge gap in the Middle India region for the banking segment. as incomes rise. Today not many options are at their While many national and international banks operate in this disposal. Selective investments in customized and affordable space, local moneylenders are still very prevalent. Offering entertainment options can yield big dividends in the next few simplified products and solutions can help banks make their years for companies dealing in entertainment and hospitality. operations viable. Movie theaters that are a step above the single-screen theaters currently prevalent in most of these towns can encourage With an improvement in lifestyle and rise in consumer family movie outings and unlock a huge opportunity for the awareness, a wave of health consciousness is sweeping across entertainment segment. Middle India. Consumers are now willing to spend more on fitness activities in gymnasiums and yoga centers, which bodes Women power in Middle India well for fitness service providers, health-food players, and lifestyle product companies. While women are not the sole decision-makers in the household, their contribution to the decision making process In addition to this, education is gaining importance in these will evolve over the next few years. Nielsen research found that towns. This could mean rapid growth for private schools, men and women have an equal say in many of the products colleges, & organized coaching classes in the coming few years. 22 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company.