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Emerging Europe
Civil Nuclear Opportunities
Jonathan Allen
27 January 2014, London
2

Presentation title - edit in the Master slide
What is Emerging Europe?
•  Nine countries - stretching from Slovenia to Romania,
from Poland to Croatia
•  All EU regulated, part of the EU’s Single Market
•  110 million consumers
•  A combined GDP of over £ 1 trillion
•  Potential to double exports by 2020
•  Lower risk profile than other distant emerging markets
•  Easy and low cost access – just 2-3 hours from the UK
•  Proven market for UK businesses
3
Sustainable Medium-term Growth...
...on a par with other emerging economies
Average Annual GDP Growth Forecast (%)
2010-20

2030-40

CEE Average

4.7

4.2

3.8

Dev. World

1.8

1.8

1.9

Asia

5.8

5.1

4.7

Latin America
4

2020-30

4.9

4.5

4.1

Source: HSBC The World in 2050
Main Challenges
•  Outdated perceptions of the region
among UK businesses
•  Bureaucracy
•  Transparency
•  Strong and increasing global
competition across the region
5
Civil nuclear opportunities across “Emerging Europe”
Country	
  

New	
  Build	
  

Life	
  Extension	
  

Decommission	
  

Waste	
  disposal	
  

Bulgaria	
  

Kozloduy	
  Unit	
  7	
  	
  	
  
&	
  Belene	
  (x2)?	
  	
  

Kozloduy	
  (5	
  &	
  6)	
  

Kozloduy	
  (1-­‐4)	
  

Radiana	
  /	
  NDF	
  

Temelin	
  (x2)	
  

Dukovany	
  	
  

-­‐	
  

-­‐	
  

Paks	
  (x	
  2)	
  

Paks	
  1	
  

-­‐	
  

LILW	
  Repository	
  

Poland	
  

New	
  NNB	
  (x2)	
  

-­‐	
  

-­‐	
  

-­‐	
  

Romania	
  

Chernovoda	
  	
  
(Units	
  3	
  &	
  4)	
  

Chernovoda	
  	
  
(1	
  &	
  2)	
  

-­‐	
  

Chernovoda	
  
WDF	
  

Slovakia	
  

Mochovce	
  (3	
  &	
  4)	
  	
  
&	
  Bohunice?	
  

Bohunice	
  

V1	
  Jaslovské	
  
Bohunice	
  	
  

-­‐	
  

Slovenia	
  

Krsko	
  (Unit	
  2)	
  

Krsko	
  NNP	
  

-­‐	
  

LILW	
  

Czech	
  Rep.	
  
Hungary	
  

6

UNCLASSIFIED
New Build –7 countries, over £66 bn
•  Poland: 2 x new 3GW (each) power plants in 2024
& 2030 (£1 bn AUKV)
•  Bulgaria: New Westinghouse AP1000 reactor at
Kozloduy NPP – early 2020s (£800m)
•  Czech Republic: New reactor at Temelin NPP in
2024 (£500m)
•  Romania: 2 x CANDU 6 reactors at Cernavodă in
7 2022 (£400m)
7
Life Extension in 4 countries, over £2.1 bn
•  Bulgaria: 20 year life extension, 2 VVER units, from 2014, £40m AUKV
•  Romania: Replacing fuel channels in CANDU reactors, Cernavoda,£120m
AUKV from 2018
•  Slovenia: Life extension of Westinghouse PWR operating life in Krško,
£15m AUKV

8
8
Decommissioning & Waste Management
£3.5 bn across 5 markets
•  Bulgaria: On-going decommissioning (4 units) and waste programme
with UK firm (Nuvia Ltd) co-managing, £40m AUKV
•  Romania: New waste repository project, starting 2015, £40m AUKV
•  Slovakia: Ongoing tendering for decommissioning 2 units, £100m
AUKV

9
9
UK Nuclear supply chain….

It’s not just about world-class Civil Engineering....
10
11
Our not-so-secret weapon!

12
Czech Republic: Bretislav Nitka
•  New Build (£17 bn AUKV)
•  2 companies (Westinghouse AP1000 and Rosatom VVER)
under evaluation
•  The winner should be announced in Q1 2015

13
Romania: Daniella Lulache
•  Building of 2 CANDU 6 reactors at Cernavoda
•  Legal and consulting services - construction of 3rd & 4th
reactors, Cernavoda
•  LIL waste repository

14
Poland: Marzena Piszczek
•  2 x new 3 GW nuclear power plants in 2024 and 2030 (cca.
£12 bln total cost)
•  Owner’s Engineer tender (3 UK companies involved) – winner
to be announced in Q1 2014
•  Integrated Reactor tender to be issued in Q4 2014

15
Slovakia: Peter Liska
•  New NPP - Jaslovské Bohunice
•  Decommissioning the two units of V1 - Jaslovské Bohunice
NPP
•  V1’s two reactors to be decommissioned in 2025

16
Bulgaria: Sashka Evtimova
•  20 year life extension - Kozloduy Unit 5 & 6
•  New Build - AP1000 reactor at Kozloduy
•  Decommissioning - VVER reactors at Kozloduy site

17
Hungary: Csilla Toth
•  2 new VVER nuclear power plants (Paks NNP)
•  Ongoing project for 20 year life extension of 4 existing
blocks (VVER-440)
•  Final disposal facility for low- and intermediate-level wastes

18
Slovenia: Ales Bursic
•  Considering building 2nd nuclear reactor at Krško (~1.2 GW)
•  Extension of operating life of Krško
•  Decommissioning & Waste Management opportunities
.

19
Croatia: Zeljko Tomsic
•  Hrvatska Elektroprivreda - co-owner of 696 MWe NPP Krško
in Slovenia
•  Croatia has not yet reached the decision on the construction
of NNB
•  Preliminary activities – not carried out yet

20
Follow up:
Bartosz.Kozinski@fco.gov.uk
27 January 2014, London
21

Presentation title - edit in the Master slide

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Emerging Europe Civil Nuclear Opportunities

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  • 2. Emerging Europe Civil Nuclear Opportunities Jonathan Allen 27 January 2014, London 2 Presentation title - edit in the Master slide
  • 3. What is Emerging Europe? •  Nine countries - stretching from Slovenia to Romania, from Poland to Croatia •  All EU regulated, part of the EU’s Single Market •  110 million consumers •  A combined GDP of over £ 1 trillion •  Potential to double exports by 2020 •  Lower risk profile than other distant emerging markets •  Easy and low cost access – just 2-3 hours from the UK •  Proven market for UK businesses 3
  • 4. Sustainable Medium-term Growth... ...on a par with other emerging economies Average Annual GDP Growth Forecast (%) 2010-20 2030-40 CEE Average 4.7 4.2 3.8 Dev. World 1.8 1.8 1.9 Asia 5.8 5.1 4.7 Latin America 4 2020-30 4.9 4.5 4.1 Source: HSBC The World in 2050
  • 5. Main Challenges •  Outdated perceptions of the region among UK businesses •  Bureaucracy •  Transparency •  Strong and increasing global competition across the region 5
  • 6. Civil nuclear opportunities across “Emerging Europe” Country   New  Build   Life  Extension   Decommission   Waste  disposal   Bulgaria   Kozloduy  Unit  7       &  Belene  (x2)?     Kozloduy  (5  &  6)   Kozloduy  (1-­‐4)   Radiana  /  NDF   Temelin  (x2)   Dukovany     -­‐   -­‐   Paks  (x  2)   Paks  1   -­‐   LILW  Repository   Poland   New  NNB  (x2)   -­‐   -­‐   -­‐   Romania   Chernovoda     (Units  3  &  4)   Chernovoda     (1  &  2)   -­‐   Chernovoda   WDF   Slovakia   Mochovce  (3  &  4)     &  Bohunice?   Bohunice   V1  Jaslovské   Bohunice     -­‐   Slovenia   Krsko  (Unit  2)   Krsko  NNP   -­‐   LILW   Czech  Rep.   Hungary   6 UNCLASSIFIED
  • 7. New Build –7 countries, over £66 bn •  Poland: 2 x new 3GW (each) power plants in 2024 & 2030 (£1 bn AUKV) •  Bulgaria: New Westinghouse AP1000 reactor at Kozloduy NPP – early 2020s (£800m) •  Czech Republic: New reactor at Temelin NPP in 2024 (£500m) •  Romania: 2 x CANDU 6 reactors at Cernavodă in 7 2022 (£400m) 7
  • 8. Life Extension in 4 countries, over £2.1 bn •  Bulgaria: 20 year life extension, 2 VVER units, from 2014, £40m AUKV •  Romania: Replacing fuel channels in CANDU reactors, Cernavoda,£120m AUKV from 2018 •  Slovenia: Life extension of Westinghouse PWR operating life in Krško, £15m AUKV 8 8
  • 9. Decommissioning & Waste Management £3.5 bn across 5 markets •  Bulgaria: On-going decommissioning (4 units) and waste programme with UK firm (Nuvia Ltd) co-managing, £40m AUKV •  Romania: New waste repository project, starting 2015, £40m AUKV •  Slovakia: Ongoing tendering for decommissioning 2 units, £100m AUKV 9 9
  • 10. UK Nuclear supply chain…. It’s not just about world-class Civil Engineering.... 10
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  • 13. Czech Republic: Bretislav Nitka •  New Build (£17 bn AUKV) •  2 companies (Westinghouse AP1000 and Rosatom VVER) under evaluation •  The winner should be announced in Q1 2015 13
  • 14. Romania: Daniella Lulache •  Building of 2 CANDU 6 reactors at Cernavoda •  Legal and consulting services - construction of 3rd & 4th reactors, Cernavoda •  LIL waste repository 14
  • 15. Poland: Marzena Piszczek •  2 x new 3 GW nuclear power plants in 2024 and 2030 (cca. £12 bln total cost) •  Owner’s Engineer tender (3 UK companies involved) – winner to be announced in Q1 2014 •  Integrated Reactor tender to be issued in Q4 2014 15
  • 16. Slovakia: Peter Liska •  New NPP - Jaslovské Bohunice •  Decommissioning the two units of V1 - Jaslovské Bohunice NPP •  V1’s two reactors to be decommissioned in 2025 16
  • 17. Bulgaria: Sashka Evtimova •  20 year life extension - Kozloduy Unit 5 & 6 •  New Build - AP1000 reactor at Kozloduy •  Decommissioning - VVER reactors at Kozloduy site 17
  • 18. Hungary: Csilla Toth •  2 new VVER nuclear power plants (Paks NNP) •  Ongoing project for 20 year life extension of 4 existing blocks (VVER-440) •  Final disposal facility for low- and intermediate-level wastes 18
  • 19. Slovenia: Ales Bursic •  Considering building 2nd nuclear reactor at Krško (~1.2 GW) •  Extension of operating life of Krško •  Decommissioning & Waste Management opportunities . 19
  • 20. Croatia: Zeljko Tomsic •  Hrvatska Elektroprivreda - co-owner of 696 MWe NPP Krško in Slovenia •  Croatia has not yet reached the decision on the construction of NNB •  Preliminary activities – not carried out yet 20
  • 21. Follow up: Bartosz.Kozinski@fco.gov.uk 27 January 2014, London 21 Presentation title - edit in the Master slide