December presentation made to professional real estate and design organizations in Hawaii on the trends driving sustainable development.

1. Copyrighted Material
The following presentation was prepared by UrbanGreen ® of
San Francisco, CA for presentation in Honolulu District Council
Cop
of ULI on 11 December 2012
This copy of the presentation is shared to advance discussion of
sustainability and more responsible development patterns. Reuse
- in whole or in part - of any or all parts of this presentation
should be requested prior to use. The author reserves the right
to grant reuse permission based purpose.
Permission can be obtained by contacting Jim Heid at
jim@urbangreen.net

2. Urban
Land
Ins+tute
|
11
December
2011
Trends
Shaping
Sustainable
Land Use in
the Next
Decade
Jim Heid, FASLA
©
All
Rights
Reserved,
UrbanGreen
2012

3. 01 Why Are We Here?

4. The ‘Ecological Cliff’
h@p://livingplaneDundcom.site.securepod.com/it/publ_lpr.aspx

5. Seismic Human Trajectory
h@p://www.peopleandplanet.net/?lid=25993&topic=26&sec+on=33

6. A Disrupted Industry
Do Real Estate? Shape the Built
Environment?
“..all land and “ manmade
improvements surroundings that
that are provide the setting
immovable” for human activity ”
Wikipedia
Webster’s Dictionary

7. 02 Where Have We Been

8. “Sustainable development is a
journey, not a destination.”

9. Sustainability 1.0:
1987 – 1995
DEFINING
ü Principles
and
Pla+tudes
ü Theories
and
White
Papers
ü The
Call
to
Ac+on

10. “Sustainable development is
development that meets the needs of
the present without compromising the
ability of future generations to meet
their own needs.”
Bruntland
Commission,
1987

13. Sustainability 2.0:
1996 – 2005
ORGANIZING
ü Checklists
and
Ra+ng
Methods
ü The
Arms
Race
for
Bragging
Rights
ü Technology
and
Added
Cost

15. RANGE
OF
ESTIDAMA
Envisions
Defines
and
Measures
Informs
Conserva9on
Development
Guidelines
Urban
Braille
+
2030
Plans
Roofscapes
Guidelines
Streetscape
Design
Development
Pearls
Design
Manual
Code
System

16. So…..what really matters?

17. LEED Registered Projects By State
7,000
6,000
Projects
Per
Capita
5,000
Hawai’i:
2.23
Oregon:
2.11
4,000
3,000
Washington:
1.93
California:
1.69
2,000
(per
10,000
Popula+on)
Source:
UrbanGreen
1,000
0
California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii
Source:
USGBC

18. Sustainability 3.0:
2005-2010
MEASURING
ü Carbon
as
the
IRR
of
Sustainability
ü Tes+ng
ROI
Against
Benefits
ü Black
Box
Evalua+on
Methods

19. h@p://images.sciencedaily.com

21. Connecting the dots.

23. Sustainability 4.0:
2010+
CONNECTING
ü Stacking
Ac+ons
Yield
Big
Benefits
ü Invisible
Sustainability
ü What
Works
and
Is
Livable

24. Seeing The Whole

25. Streets and Stormwater

26. Density and GHG

27. Obesity and Community Form
Source:
Centers
for
Disease
Control

28. Singular Definition to Integrated Hallmarks
Contributes to the environment, region and surrounding communities;
Healthy systems, natural and man-made;
Inter-generational and demographically diverse;
Carbon neutral at a minimum, carbon negative at best;
Memorable and enduring quality of place;
Evolutionary framework that is flexible and adaptable;
Economically successful – both community and enterprise;
Evolves governance from the community;
Openly shares lessons, so others can build on its success.
Source:
UrbanGreen
for
the
Urban
Land
Ins+tute
Tradi+on
PAS,
2008

29. “….if we are to remain competitive
into the 21st century, we must learn to
think in new ways, to ask new
questions, and seek new responses to
the emerging issues that are shaping
the industry.
The Ecology of Development, Urban Land Institute 1997

30. 03 What Are We Learning?

31. #1:The Value Conundrum
Is There Value in
Sustainability?

32. “….there has been a Responsibility Value
Premium in offices, apartments and retail
caused by higher NOIs and/or lower cap
rates. Higher NOI was from higher rents,
occupancy, and/or lower expenses”
Gary Pivo | Jeffrey Fischer
Income, Value and Returns of Socially Responsible Office Properties

33. www.walkscore.com
Source: Johnson Reid

34. Biggest Impediment? No Value
Lack of Enterprise Leadership
Current Economics of Industry
Too Many Conflicting Standards
Lack of End User Premium
Capital Providers do not Ascribe Value
Regulators Make it Too Difficult
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Source:
UrbanGreen
Index
V12.1

35. Why Do It? To Add Value
Branding Strategy
Motivates our Team
Required by Investors
Entitlement Strategy
Required by Local Regulations
Market Differentiator
Improve Performance
Add Value
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Source:
UrbanGreen
Index
V12.1

36. Why Do It? To Add Value
Branding Strategy
Motivates our Team
Required by Investors
Entitlement Strategy
Hawaii
National
Required by Local Regulations
Market Differentiator
Improve Performance
Add Value
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%

37. #2: The Regulatory Impediment:
How do we Make
Right – Easy?

38. The Cost of Misaligned Regulations
Envisioning
En+tlement
Execu+on
Diminished Sustainability + Increased Costs

39. Biggest Impediment to Greater Adoption?
Lack of Enterprise Leadership
Current Economics of Industry
Hawaii
Too Many Conflicting Standards Na+onal
Lack of End User Premium
Capital Providers do not Ascribe
Value
Regulators Make it Too Difficult
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Source:UrbanGreen
Index
Volume
12.1

40. New Solutions Requires New Models
Source:
Roadmap
for
the
Integrated
Design
Process,
BC
Green
Building
Roundtable

41. #3: The Capital Gap
Is Reduced Risk in an
Uncertain Future
Worth Something?

42. Source:
CoreLogic/
Las
Vegas
Sun

44. 04 Trends Worth Knowing

45. Some Common Themes
Now
Then
Thriving
VS.
Sustainable
Healthy
Community
VS.
Planned
Community
Climate
Adapta+on
VS.
Climate
Change
Mobility
+
Accessibility
VS.
Level
of
Service
Sharing
VS.
Owning
Facilita+ng
VS.
Developing

46. Trend One: Changing How We Think:
Sharing
Everything

47. Going Beyond the Box
Source:
h@p://daily.sightline.org/2009/03/18/char+ng-­‐how-­‐ci+es-­‐are-­‐greener/

48. The Search for Something Deeper..

49. Sharing Everything – Regional Collaboration

50. Sharing Everything – Partnerships

51. Sharing Everything – Development Risk
HOPE SF Principles:
1. Ensure No Loss of Public Housing
2. Create an Economically Integrated Community
3. Maximize the Creation of New Affordable Housing
4. Involve Residents in the Highest Levels of Participation in Entire Project
5. Provide Economic Opportunities Through the Rebuilding Process
6. Integrate Process with Neighborhood Improvement Revitalization Plans
7. Create Environmentally Sustainable and Accessible Communities
8. Build a Strong Sense of Community.

52.
Image
Credit:
Bridge
Housing
–
Van
Meter
Williams
Pollack

53. Sharing Everything - Housing
h@p://www.cohousing.org

54. Sharing Everything – Transportation

55. Sharing Everything - Offices
h@p://wework.com

56. Sharing Everything = Living Smaller
h@p://www.smartspace.net/loca+ons/soma/

57. Sharing Everything – Social Space
Source:
Panoramic
Interests

58. Trend Two: Communicating Results
More + Complex
Information

59. Measuring Greenhouse Gas

60. Measuring Building Performance

61. Measuring Behavior
“….
CycleTracks uses smartphone
GPS support to record users' bicycle
trip routes and times, and display
maps of their rides, in order to help
transportation planners make
informed decisions about bicycle use
in the community…..”
h@p://www.sfcta.org/content/category/12/97/483/

62. Trend Three: Integrating What We Do
Soft + Squishy
Matters

63. “….we are not in the home building
business, we are in the human habitat
business.”
John Knott, CEO Noisette

64. Emergence of the Food Desert

65. Farmer’s Markets as one Solution
Source:
USDA

66. CSA’s and Community Gardens

67. Localizing the Food Connection

68. Making Food an Experience

69. Placemaking with Food

70. Changing Lives with Food

71. “UrbanGreen® is dedicated to real estate development
as a constructive endeavor that positively shapes the
urban, rural and human environment.”
Questions? Comments? | jim@urbangreen.net

72. Protected Presentation Content
The
following
presenta+on
was
prepared
by
UrbanGreen
®
of
San
Francisco,
CA
for
presenta+on
at
the
Missouri
Area
Regional
Council
on
2
May
2012.
Permission
to
reuse
any
or
all
parts
of
this
presenta+on
should
be
requested
before
reproducing,
extrac+ng
or
copying
–
in
whole
or
in
part
–any
component
of
this
presenta+on.
Permission
can
be
obtained
by
contac+ng
Jim
Heid
at
jim@urbangreen.net