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The EFCA Debate In Colorado

                             Key Findings From A Colorado Statewide Survey




          January 25, 2010




Thursday, January 28, 2010
Research Methodology


      On behalf of the Workforce Fairness Institute, Public Opinion
      Strategies is pleased to present the key findings of a Colorado
      statewide telephone survey among voters and union
      households. The study was completed December 12-15, 2009
      among 500 registered voters (margin of error of +4.38%) and
      among 300 union households (margin of error of +5.66%) .




                                                       Colorado




WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009                             Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Colorado




                               4
                             The          Things

                                   You Need To Know

Thursday, January 28, 2010
4         The       Things You Need To Know




         1
                  While union leaders tout the importance of passing
                  the Employee Free Choice Act, few union
                  households are familiar with the proposal.
                  When they hear what the proposed legislation will
         2
                  do, solid majorities of union households and voters
                  statewide oppose it.
                  And, voters and union households say they are
         3
                  more likely to support a candidate who will vote to
                  oppose changing the way unions are formed and the
                  bargaining process.

         4
                  This data shows that voters are very unhappy with
                  Congress and Senator Michael Bennett has some
                  significant political obstacles to overcome.



WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009                             Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Colorado




                              A Look At The
                             Key EFCA Metrics

Thursday, January 28, 2010
Nearly four out of ten voters have heard
           something about EFCA; awareness is lower
               among current union households.
    “How much, if anything, have you seen, read, or heard about the Employee Free Choice Act,
     also known as “card check” – a proposal in Congress to change labor laws in this country?”



                                      61%                                        63%



               38%                                          36%                 42%
                                      40%                                      Nothing
                                     Nothing                                    At All
                                      At All




                        All Voters                             Union Households

                             Total A Lot/Some   Total Not Much/Nothing
 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                               Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
What We Did




     We tested the two key components of EFCA:
        “As you may know, the United States Congress is debating legislation to change several
       key labor laws in this country. Because this legislation is long, we have divided it into two
       parts. After I read each part, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE this particular aspect
                                             of the legislation.”

          “Change the way unions are formed. Instead of holding a federally
        supervised secret ballot election to decide whether to unionize, union
      organizers would be allowed to ask employees to sign a card saying they
      support forming a union. Once a majority of employees sign these cards,
        the union would officially represent that company's entire workforce.”


       “Change the bargaining process. This legislation would give the newly
      formed union and the employer 90 days to reach a contract agreement or
     else the matter will be handed over to federal arbitrators. It would be those
     arbitrators who would determine the wages, benefits and other terms of the
      contract that employees would be required to work under for two years.”


 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey January 2010                                                        Slide 7
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Solid majorities of Colorado voters oppose
           both aspect of EFCA (and, do so strongly).
                                           Among All Voters
                        -37%                                         -33%
                                     66%                                    64%




                                     50%                                      48%
               29%                 Strongly                   31%
                                                                            Strongly
                                   Oppose                                   Oppose




   Change The Way Unions Are Formed                    Change The Bargaining Process

                                        Total Favor   Total Oppose

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                           Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Interestingly, the voters most familiar with EFCA
        are also the voters most opposed to EFCA.

     Change The Way Unions Are Formed                   Change The Bargaining Process
                   89%
                                                              79%
                                               72%
                                                                                 67%




                                 23%                                     26%
                                                      17%
       9%

           A Lot                  A Lot/Some              A Lot           A Lot/Some
           (12%)                     (38%)                (12%)              (38%)

                                        Total Favor   Total Oppose

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                        Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Democratic voters oppose the two main parts
               of the proposed legislation.

     Change The Way Unions Are Formed                     Change The Bargaining Process

            81%                                             78%
                             65%                                         63%
                                               49%                                     49%
                                       45%                                       43%
                                                                   32%
                       28%
   15%                                                18%


  Republicans Independents             Democrats      Republicans Independents   Democrats
     (38%)        (23%)                  (37%)           (38%)        (23%)        (37%)

                                        Total Favor    Total Oppose

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                           Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Union households also oppose these key
       tenants of EFCA – and do so by large margins.
                                     Among Union Households
                             -23%                                     -26%

                                     60%                                     59%


               37%
                                      43%
                                                             33%
                                                                               43%
                                    Strongly
                                                                             Strongly
                                    Oppose
                                                                             Oppose



       14% Strongly Favor                              11% Strongly Favor

   Change The Way Unions Are Formed                    Change The Bargaining Process

                                        Total Favor   Total Oppose

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                            Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
And, union households say they are more likely to
         back a candidate who opposes EFCA.
    “Thinking ahead to the next election, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who...
         FAVORS changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process … or …
           OPPOSES changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process?”


                                     48%                                           48%

               34%                                            36%




                       All Voters                                 Union Households

                                               Favors   Opposes
 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                                 Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
What We Did




    We also tested:
        “In addition to the two parts of this proposal we have already discussed, the
     legislation would also require union elections to take place within 10 days after the
         union presents business owners with signed cards from 30 per cent of the
    employees AND it would require business owners to allow union organizers to talk to
            employees about unionization at the workplace during company time.”



            “Some people say that business owners often drag out the
            union election process, making union campaigns long and
                        costly, discouraging union efforts.”
                                              …While…

    “Other people say that according to the federal agency in charge of
    overseeing labor relations, 90 percent of union elections take place
      within 60 days and that the process in place now is working.”


WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009                                            Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Weak case for making change: Even current
    union households are split on whether or not the
             current process is working.

                                                                                  56%
                  49%                          49%
                                                       45%     44%
                                 39%
      34%                                                                 33%




        All Voters           Union Households         Current Union       Former Union
                                                       Households          Households

                               Owners Drag Out       Process Is Working

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                        Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Nearly three-fourths of union households are
           uncomfortable with government arbitrators
                   determining final contracts.
          “If the Employee Free Choice Act becomes law, federal government arbitrators would
         have the final say in determining contract terms. Are you comfortable or uncomfortable
         giving government arbitrators the right to set the wages and benefits that workers would
                                           be forced to accept?”

                                     80%
                                                                                   73%




                                                              24%
               17%


                       All Voters                               Union Households
                                     Comfortable    Uncomfortable
 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                                  Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Nearly all agree that employees should have the
       right to accept or reject a final contract offer.
   “And, when it comes to who has the final say on an employee contract agreement, which one
     would you prefer: That government arbitrators have the ability to determine the terms of a
   contract and require employees to accept it …or… That employees have the right to accept a
                         final contract offer or renegotiate for a fairer deal?”

                                     88%                                        88%




                9%                                           9%

                       All Voters                             Union Households

                                Government Arbitrators     Employees
 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                               Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Colorado




                             The Political
                              Landscape

Thursday, January 28, 2010
The President’s job approval ratings are down,
       though they look good compared to Congress’.
                             Comparison Of Job Approval Ratings
                     Among All Voters                         Among Union Households
              -8%                     -53%                   +6%             -43%
                                               74%
                                                                                    68%

                   51%                                 50%
      43%                                                         44%

                                                                          25%
                                 21%



  President Obama              Congressional         President Obama     Congressional
    Job Approval               Job Approval            Job Approval      Job Approval
                                          Approve    Disapprove

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                           Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Senator Michael Bennett is largely undefined,
            even among union voters in the state.

                                   Michael Bennett’s Image Rating


                             +3%                                    +11%



                                                            30%
               26%
                                     23%
                                                                            19%




                       All Voters                             Union Households

                                         Favorable   Unfavorable

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                      Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
And, this is clearly reflected in Senator Bennett’s
               weak generic re-elect levels.
     “And, do you think Michael Bennett has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to
   deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance to do a better job?”

                             -25%                                         -18%
                                       45%
                                                                                    40%



               20%                     31%                     22%
                                     Definitely                                     25%
                                    New Person                                    Definitely
                                                                                 New Person



                       All Voters                               Union Households
                                     Total Re-Elect   Total New Person

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                                   Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Even union households don’t see labor laws as an
  issue the President and Congress should address.
  “Which of the following would you say are the two most important issues or problems facing the
        nation today that you would like to see President Obama and Congress address?”
                                               Among Union Households
                      The economy and jobs             First Choice - 28%            49%
                                    Health care          15%                30%
     The situation in Iraq and Afghanistan             12%                  30%
                             Taxes and spending        12%         19%
                                      Education    10%             18%
                              Illegal immigration 5%           15%
               Social Security and Medicare 5%               11%
            Terrorism and national security              9%
                       Energy-related issues            7%
                                   Moral values        5%
                                                                                       Ranked By
                                     Labor laws    3%                             Combined Choice

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                               Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
A majority of voters and a plurality of union voters
        think the health care plan is a bad idea.
      “On the issue of health care...From what you have heard about the health care reform plan
       being considered by Congress, do you think this plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you
                        do not have an opinion either way, please just say so.”

                             -26%                                      -13%

                                     53%
                                                                                  45%

                                                             32%
               27%




                       All Voters                              Union Households
                                           Good Idea   Bad Idea

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                                Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Voters and union households advise their Member
      of Congress to vote against the reform plan.
            “And, thinking some more about health care reform plan now being considered by
            Congress...Would you advise your member of Congress to vote for or against the
                                 currently proposed health care bill?”



                                     57%
                                                                                   51%
                                                                     39%
               33%




                       All Voters                                     Union Households

                                               For It   Against It

 WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010                                                 Slide
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Thursday, January 28, 2010

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Wfi Co Presentation Press

  • 1. The EFCA Debate In Colorado Key Findings From A Colorado Statewide Survey January 25, 2010 Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 2. Research Methodology On behalf of the Workforce Fairness Institute, Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present the key findings of a Colorado statewide telephone survey among voters and union households. The study was completed December 12-15, 2009 among 500 registered voters (margin of error of +4.38%) and among 300 union households (margin of error of +5.66%) . Colorado WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 3. Colorado 4 The Things You Need To Know Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 4. 4 The Things You Need To Know 1 While union leaders tout the importance of passing the Employee Free Choice Act, few union households are familiar with the proposal. When they hear what the proposed legislation will 2 do, solid majorities of union households and voters statewide oppose it. And, voters and union households say they are 3 more likely to support a candidate who will vote to oppose changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process. 4 This data shows that voters are very unhappy with Congress and Senator Michael Bennett has some significant political obstacles to overcome. WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 5. Colorado A Look At The Key EFCA Metrics Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 6. Nearly four out of ten voters have heard something about EFCA; awareness is lower among current union households. “How much, if anything, have you seen, read, or heard about the Employee Free Choice Act, also known as “card check” – a proposal in Congress to change labor laws in this country?” 61% 63% 38% 36% 42% 40% Nothing Nothing At All At All All Voters Union Households Total A Lot/Some Total Not Much/Nothing WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 7. What We Did We tested the two key components of EFCA: “As you may know, the United States Congress is debating legislation to change several key labor laws in this country. Because this legislation is long, we have divided it into two parts. After I read each part, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE this particular aspect of the legislation.” “Change the way unions are formed. Instead of holding a federally supervised secret ballot election to decide whether to unionize, union organizers would be allowed to ask employees to sign a card saying they support forming a union. Once a majority of employees sign these cards, the union would officially represent that company's entire workforce.” “Change the bargaining process. This legislation would give the newly formed union and the employer 90 days to reach a contract agreement or else the matter will be handed over to federal arbitrators. It would be those arbitrators who would determine the wages, benefits and other terms of the contract that employees would be required to work under for two years.” WFI Colorado Statewide Survey January 2010 Slide 7 Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 8. Solid majorities of Colorado voters oppose both aspect of EFCA (and, do so strongly). Among All Voters -37% -33% 66% 64% 50% 48% 29% Strongly 31% Strongly Oppose Oppose Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 9. Interestingly, the voters most familiar with EFCA are also the voters most opposed to EFCA. Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process 89% 79% 72% 67% 23% 26% 17% 9% A Lot A Lot/Some A Lot A Lot/Some (12%) (38%) (12%) (38%) Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 10. Democratic voters oppose the two main parts of the proposed legislation. Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process 81% 78% 65% 63% 49% 49% 45% 43% 32% 28% 15% 18% Republicans Independents Democrats Republicans Independents Democrats (38%) (23%) (37%) (38%) (23%) (37%) Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 11. Union households also oppose these key tenants of EFCA – and do so by large margins. Among Union Households -23% -26% 60% 59% 37% 43% 33% 43% Strongly Strongly Oppose Oppose 14% Strongly Favor 11% Strongly Favor Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process Total Favor Total Oppose WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 12. And, union households say they are more likely to back a candidate who opposes EFCA. “Thinking ahead to the next election, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who... FAVORS changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process … or … OPPOSES changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process?” 48% 48% 34% 36% All Voters Union Households Favors Opposes WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 13. What We Did We also tested: “In addition to the two parts of this proposal we have already discussed, the legislation would also require union elections to take place within 10 days after the union presents business owners with signed cards from 30 per cent of the employees AND it would require business owners to allow union organizers to talk to employees about unionization at the workplace during company time.” “Some people say that business owners often drag out the union election process, making union campaigns long and costly, discouraging union efforts.” …While… “Other people say that according to the federal agency in charge of overseeing labor relations, 90 percent of union elections take place within 60 days and that the process in place now is working.” WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2009 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 14. Weak case for making change: Even current union households are split on whether or not the current process is working. 56% 49% 49% 45% 44% 39% 34% 33% All Voters Union Households Current Union Former Union Households Households Owners Drag Out Process Is Working WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 15. Nearly three-fourths of union households are uncomfortable with government arbitrators determining final contracts. “If the Employee Free Choice Act becomes law, federal government arbitrators would have the final say in determining contract terms. Are you comfortable or uncomfortable giving government arbitrators the right to set the wages and benefits that workers would be forced to accept?” 80% 73% 24% 17% All Voters Union Households Comfortable Uncomfortable WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 16. Nearly all agree that employees should have the right to accept or reject a final contract offer. “And, when it comes to who has the final say on an employee contract agreement, which one would you prefer: That government arbitrators have the ability to determine the terms of a contract and require employees to accept it …or… That employees have the right to accept a final contract offer or renegotiate for a fairer deal?” 88% 88% 9% 9% All Voters Union Households Government Arbitrators Employees WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 17. Colorado The Political Landscape Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 18. The President’s job approval ratings are down, though they look good compared to Congress’. Comparison Of Job Approval Ratings Among All Voters Among Union Households -8% -53% +6% -43% 74% 68% 51% 50% 43% 44% 25% 21% President Obama Congressional President Obama Congressional Job Approval Job Approval Job Approval Job Approval Approve Disapprove WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 19. Senator Michael Bennett is largely undefined, even among union voters in the state. Michael Bennett’s Image Rating +3% +11% 30% 26% 23% 19% All Voters Union Households Favorable Unfavorable WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 20. And, this is clearly reflected in Senator Bennett’s weak generic re-elect levels. “And, do you think Michael Bennett has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance to do a better job?” -25% -18% 45% 40% 20% 31% 22% Definitely 25% New Person Definitely New Person All Voters Union Households Total Re-Elect Total New Person WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 21. Even union households don’t see labor laws as an issue the President and Congress should address. “Which of the following would you say are the two most important issues or problems facing the nation today that you would like to see President Obama and Congress address?” Among Union Households The economy and jobs First Choice - 28% 49% Health care 15% 30% The situation in Iraq and Afghanistan 12% 30% Taxes and spending 12% 19% Education 10% 18% Illegal immigration 5% 15% Social Security and Medicare 5% 11% Terrorism and national security 9% Energy-related issues 7% Moral values 5% Ranked By Labor laws 3% Combined Choice WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 22. A majority of voters and a plurality of union voters think the health care plan is a bad idea. “On the issue of health care...From what you have heard about the health care reform plan being considered by Congress, do you think this plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so.” -26% -13% 53% 45% 32% 27% All Voters Union Households Good Idea Bad Idea WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010
  • 23. Voters and union households advise their Member of Congress to vote against the reform plan. “And, thinking some more about health care reform plan now being considered by Congress...Would you advise your member of Congress to vote for or against the currently proposed health care bill?” 57% 51% 39% 33% All Voters Union Households For It Against It WFI Colorado Statewide Survey December 2010 Slide Thursday, January 28, 2010