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1Q-2011
                                                                                                                                           quarterly survey of co-op and condo

                                                                                                           Manhattan sales




  Co-ops & Condos                                     Manhattan Market Matrix                              Current Qtr        % Chg               Prior Qtr        % Chg            Prior Year Qtr
   •		 ore	sales	than	last	year	at	this	time	
     M                                                Average Sales Price                                  $1,331,306        -10.2%             $1,482,650          -6.7%            $1,426,994
     A total of 2,394 sales closed in the             Average Price per Sq Ft                                    $1,025       -3.2%                $1,058           -1.3%                   $1,038
     first quarter of 2011, 0.4% and 4.3%             Median Sales Price                                       $782,071        -7.4%             $845,000           -9.9%              $868,000
     more than the prior year and prior                                        New Development             $1,340,000         26.3%             $1,060,738          15.5%            $1,160,000
     quarters, respectively. The pending                                                  Re-sale              $725,000       -9.4%              $800,000          -12.7%              $830,000
     sales index jumped 12.5% above the               Number of Sales                                             2,394        4.3%                  2,295              0.4%                 2,384
     last quarter of 2010.                            Days on Market (From Last List Date)                         127         2.2%                      125            3.3%                     123

   •		 rice	indicators	slipped	as	federal	
     P                                                Listing Discount (From Last List Price)                     4.5%                               8.0%                                    5.3%

     tax	credit	impact	wanes Median sales             Listing Inventory                                           7,605        5.2%                  7,232          -5.3%                    8,027
     price declined 9.9% to $728,071 from             Absorption Rate (mos)                                         9.5        0.0%                       9.5       -5.9%                     10.1
     the same period last year. Price per             Pending Price Index (4Q 08 base)                             0.90       -3.2%                      0.93           7.1%                  0.84
     square foot slipped 1.3% over the same           Pending Sales Index (4Q 08 base)                             1.75       12.5%                      1.59      -14.2%                     2.04
     period. The pending price index slipped
     from the prior quarter.                                  QUARTERLY AVERAGE SALES PRICE                                 MANHATTAN                     NUMBER OF SALES
                                                      $2,000,000                                                                                                                             5,000
   •		 ewer	listings	available	for	sale	
     F
                                                      $1,600,000                                                                                                                             4,000
     Listing inventory fell 5.3% to its lowest
                                                      $1,200,000                                                                                                                             3,000
     first quarter total in 3 years as the
     number of days to sell a property edged           $800,000                                                                                                                              2,000

     nominally higher by 4 days to 127,                $400,000                                                                                                                              1,000
     below the ten year average of 132.                         $0                                                                                                                           0
                                                                          01       02         03          04       05         06           07        08           09           10      11



There were more sales in the first quarter of 2011   period a year ago.                                                     sales price for the first quarter was $782,071,
than in any first quarter in 3 years or since the                                                       down 9.9% from the same period last year. Price
                                                     The primary price PRICE INDEX
                                                            PENDING indicators declined over the    MANHATTAN             PENDING SALES INDEX
credit crunch in 2008. There were 2,394 sales in                                                        per square foot averaged $1,025 in the first
                                                     past year reflecting the impact of the federal
                                                       1.00                                                                                        3.0
the quarter, 0.4% more than 2,384 in the same                                                           quarter, slipping 1.3% over the same period.
                                                     homebuyers tax credit. The first half of 2010 saw                                             2.5
period a year ago and 4.3% more than 2,295 in          0.95
                                                     an0.90
                                                        increase in sales activity pressing prices higher                   The amount of active listing inventory is 2.0 its
                                                                                                                                                                         at
the prior quarter. The pending sales index—an
aggregate of collected contract data presented       as buyers sought to sign contracts by April 30th                       lowest level for a first quarter since 2007. There
                                                       0.85                                                                                                                                  1.5
in index form—indicated a 10.1% increase from        in 2010. This “poached” some demand from the                           were 7,605 listings in the first quarter of 2011,
                                                       0.80                                                                                                                                  1.0
the prior quarter, but activity was 14.2% lower      sales activity normally seen over the summer and                       5.3% below the 8,027 listings in the same period
                                                       0.75     1Q 09          2Q 09      3Q 09          4Q 09      1Q 10          2Q 10         3Q 10          4Q 10      1Q 11             0.5
than the same period a year ago. Market share        fall and drove prices higher. Once the stimulus                        last year. The combination of declining inventory
for new development sales slipped to 14.5%           was removed, the second half of the year saw                           and modest gains in sales activity effected
of all sales down from 16.6% during the same         weaker overall conditions inABSORTION RATE
                                                      MANHATTAN MONTHLY comparison. Median                                  the monthly absorption rate—the number of
                                                                                                                                     CO OP              CONDO
                                                       25
                                                       20
       The Douglas Elliman Report series is recognized as the industry standard for providing
                                                  15
                                                                     (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average)
       the state of the residential real estate market10 the New York City metropolitan region.
                                                       in
                                                     5
       The report includes an extensive suite of tools to help readers objectively identify and
                                                   0
       measure market trends, provide historical context <500K
                                                         to current information and provide
                                                                 $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M                           $2M-$2.99M         $3M-$4.99M       $5M-$9.99M            $10M+

       comprehensive analysis of the results.



                                                      MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT                        DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE by Miller Samuel Inc.
                                                                                                                                  Prepared WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                       $1,500                     Appraisal and consulting services covering the New York City metropolitan area
                                                       $1,200
$800,000                                                                                                                                   2,000
                                                    $400,000                                                                                                                                   1,000
                                                    $400,000                                                                                                                                   1,000
                                                          $0                                                                                                                                   0
1Q-2011                                                   $0
                                                               01     02     03    04     05    06
                       The Douglas Elliman Report • Quarterly Survey of Manhattan Co-op & Condo Sales
                                                                          01        02         03          04         05          06
                                                                                                                                               07
                                                                                                                                               07
                                                                                                                                                        08
                                                                                                                                                        08
                                                                                                                                                                      09
                                                                                                                                                                      09
                                                                                                                                                                                10
                                                                                                                                                                                10
                                                                                                                                                                                        11
                                                                                                                                                                                        11
                                                                                                                                                                                               0



                                                                QUARTERLY AVERAGE SALES PRICE                                  MANHATTAN                      NUMBER OF SALES
                                                        $2,000,000                                                                                                                             5,000
                                                                PENDING PRICE INDEX                                  MANHATTAN                        PENDING SALES INDEX
months to sell all active listing inventory at the             PENDING PRICE INDEX                                   MANHATTAN                        PENDING SALES INDEX                      4,000
                                                        $1,600,000                                                                                                                             3.0
                                                         1.00
current pace of sales—which fell to 9.5 months                                                                                                                                                 3.0
                                                         1.00
                                                        $1,200,000                                                                                                                             3,000
                                                         0.95                                                                                                                                  2.5
from 10.1 months in the same period last year.
                                                         0.95
                                                         $800,000                                                                                                                              2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                               2,000
The current rate is slightly faster than the 9.9         0.90                                                                                                                                  2.0
                                                         $400,000
                                                         0.90                                                                                                                                  2.0
                                                                                                                                                                                               1,000
average absorption rate of the past 10 years or          0.85                                                                                                                                  1.5
                                                         0.85 $0                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                               1.5
40 quarters.                                             0.80          01      02     03                   04         05          06           07       08            09        10      11     1.0
                                                         0.80                                                                                                                                  1.0
Mortgage lending remains unusually tight and             0.75    1Q 09    2Q 09   3Q 09                   4Q 09        1Q 10           2Q 10        3Q 10           4Q 10      1Q 11           0.5
                                                         0.75    1Q 09    2Q 09   3Q 09                   4Q 09        1Q 10           2Q 10        3Q 10           4Q 10      1Q 11           0.5
unemployment, while generally improving,
remains elevated. Both factors have kept                     PENDING PRICE INDEX        MANHATTAN                                                 PENDING SALES INDEX
sales activity from posting significant gains.          MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE                                                       CO OP          CONDO
                                                        MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE
                                                        1.00                                                                                   CO OP          CONDO                            3.0
                                                         25
Although Wall Street bonuses declined, overall
                                                         25
                                                         0.95                                                                                                                                  2.5
compensation actually increased 5%. This                 20
                                                         20
                                                         0.90                                                                                                                                  2.0
resulted in an increased visibility at the high end      15
                                                                      (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average)
                                                         15
                                                         0.85                                                                                                                                  1.5
of the housing market. The performance of this           10           (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average)
                                                         10                                                                                                                                    1.0
regional economic engine is a key reason that            0.80
                                                           5
                                                           5
the Manhattan housing market continues to                0.75
                                                           0      1Q 09
                                                                  <500K        $500K-$999K 09
                                                                               2Q 09     3Q $1M-$1.49M 09 1.5M-$1.99M
                                                                                                    4Q          1Q 10               2Q 10
                                                                                                                                  $2M-$2.99M        3Q 10
                                                                                                                                                    $3M-$4.99M4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                 $5M-$9.99M 11
                                                                                                                                                                         1Q               $10M+
                                                                                                                                                                                               0.5
                                                           0
outperform the US housing market.                                 <500K        $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M                 $2M-$2.99M        $3M-$4.99M   $5M-$9.99M               $10M+



                                                        MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE                                                       CO OP                          CONDO
   Co-ops                                              Co-op Market Matrix
                                                         25                             Current Qtr  % Chg      Prior Qtr % Chg     Prior Year Qtr
  •	 	 umber	of	sales	surged	yet	listing	
     N                                                 Average Sales Price OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                        MANHATTAN CO
                                                         20                             $1,044,730  -13.0% DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                                                                              $1,200,589    -7.8%    $1,133,715
                                                        MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                        $1,500                                             DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN
     inventory	edged	higher	Co-ops sales               Average Price Per Sq Ft
                                                         15                                  $896     -3.4%        $928    -1.3%            $908
                                                        $1,500        (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average)
     jumped 28.7% to 1,430 from 1,111 in the            $1,200
                                                       Median Sales Price                                  $642,500             -6.2%           $685,000              -6.2%             $685,000
                                                        10
                                                        $1,200
     same period last year yet listing inventory          $900
                                                       Number of Sales
                                                           5                                                      1,430        20.6%                 1,186            28.7%                    1,111
     increased 5% as more sellers looked to               $900
                                                          $600
                                                       Days on Market (From Last List Date)                        119          0.8%                  118              8.2%                     110
     take advantage of the spring market.                  0
                                                          $600 <500K        $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M                1.5M-$1.99M     $2M-$2.99M        $3M-$4.99M        $5M-$9.99M          $10M+
                                                          $300
                                                       Listing Discount (From Last List Price)                    2.4%                               5.8%                                      3.8%
  •	 	 ll	price	indicators	declined	from	
     A                                                    $300
                                                       Listing Inventory
                                                             $0                                                   3,998         8.4%                 3,687             5.0%                    3,809
                                                                         1Q 10                 2Q 10                            3Q 10                       4Q 10                      1Q 11
     prior	year	and	prior	quarter	Median                     $0
                                                       Absorption Rate (mos)
                                                                        1Q 10                       2Q 10           8.4         -9.7%
                                                                                                                                 3Q 10                 9.3 10 -18.4%
                                                                                                                                                        4Q                             1Q 11    10.3
     sales price fell 6.2% to $642,500 from
     $685,000 in the prior year quarter as
                                                        MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                        MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT                                        DOWNTOWN
                                                                                                                                       DOWNTOWN         EASTSIDE
                                                                                                                                                        EASTSIDE            WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                                                                                                                                            WESTSIDE UPTOWN
     the impact of the tax credit expiration            MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                        $1,500
                                                        $2,000                                                                         DOWNTOWN         EASTSIDE            WESTSIDE UPTOWN
     continued.                                          $2,000
                                                         $1,200
                                                         $1,600
  •	 	 ays	on	market	expanded	as	listing	
     D                                                   $1,600
                                                          $900
                                                         $1,200
     discount	declined	Co-op apartments                  $1,200
                                                          $600
                                                          $800
     took an average of 119 days to sell or 9
                                                          $800
                                                          $300
     days longer than last year. Despite the              $400
                                                          $400
     increase, the difference between asking                 $0
                                                             $0           1Q 10                     2Q 10                       3Q 10                       4Q 10                      1Q 11
                                                                          1Q 10                     2Q 10                       3Q 10                       4Q 10                      1Q 11
     price and sales price declined.                         $0
                                                                          1Q 10                     2Q 10                       3Q 10                       4Q 10                      1Q 11

                                                        QUiNtiLeS                       % Chg Prior
                                                        MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FTCo-op apt. Mix EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                        Median Sales price Current Qtr
                                                                                         Year Qtr       DOWNTOWN
                                                                                                                   % of Total Median Price
All price indicators in the first quarter were below    by No. of Sales
                                                         $2,000 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT         MANHATTAN LOFT    ABSORPTION RATE
the levels seen in the same period last year. The               AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT -11.6%MANHATTAN LOFT
                                                                5/5        $1,900,000                   Studio      16%         $347,500
                                                                                                                  ABSORPTION RATE 10
                                                         $1,400
                                                         $1,600 4/5
price per square foot of a Manhattan co-op sale          $1,400             $925,000       -7.4%        1 bedroom   40%        $535,000
                                                                                                                                      10
                                                         $1,300
                                                         $1,200 3/5                                                                                                                            8
was $896, 1.3% less than $908 in the prior               $1,300                     $625,000                -6.7%                      2 bedroom                34%                    $995,000
                                                                                                                                                                                            8
                                                         $1,200
                                                          $800 2/5                                                                                                                          6
year quarter. The decline in the price indicators        $1,200
                                                                                    $466,250                -6.6%                      3 bedroom                8%                   $1,745,000
                                                                                                                                                                                               6
                                                         $1,1001/5
                                                          $400                                                                                                                              4
was partially attributable to the decline in market                                  $310,000               -2.8%                      4+ bedroom               2%                   $5,700,000
                                                         $1,100                                                                                                                                4
share of high-end co-op apartment sales. The             $1,000
                                                             $0                                                                                                                                2
                                                                         1Q 10            2Q 10                                 3Q 10             4Q 10             1Q 11
                                                       double digit
                                                         $1,000       year over year declines in median                        absorption rate fell sharply to 8.4 months2from
3 or more bedroom co-op market comprised                   $900           1Q 10                   2Q 10                    3Q 10                     4Q 10                     1Q 11           0
                                                       sales price.
                                                           $900                                                              10.3        months last year at this1Qtime. A 0
                                                                                                                                                                           lower
10% of all co-op sales in the first quarter, down                         1Q 10                   2Q 10                    3Q 10                 4Q 10              11

from 13% in the prior year quarter and down            The number of sales increased 28.7% over the                            absorption rate suggests that the market has
                                                               AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT           MANHATTAN LOFT      ABSORPTION RATE
from 14% in the prior quarter. In addition to the              AVERAGE PRICE quarterly total in MANHATTAN LUXURY its efficiency with RATEincrease
                                                       year to 1,430, the largest PER SQ FT     more been improving  ABSORPTION the
                                                         $1,400AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT          MANHATTAN LUXURY     ABSORPTION RATE 10
shift in the mix to 2-bedrooms and studios, the          $2,600
                                                       than 3 years, outpacing the 5% year over year                           in purchase activity outpacing the increase in
                                                                                                                                                                         25
                                                       $2,600
                                                       $1,300                                                                                                                                  8 25
3-bedroom market was the only segment to post        gain in listing inventory. As a result, the monthly listings coming
                                                       $2,400                                                                                        on the market.                              20
                                                       $2,400
                                                       $1,200                                                                                                                                  6 20
                                                       $2,200                                                                                                                                    15
                                                       $2,200
                                                       $1,100                                                                                                                                  4 15
                                   Visit our website to$2,000
                                                        browse listings and learn more about market trends                                                                                       10
                                                       $2,000
                                                       $1,000                                                                                                                                  2 10
                                                       $1,800                                                                                                                                    5
$2,000,000
                                                        10                                                                                                                                         5,000

                                                       $1,600,000
                                                         5                                                                                                                                         4,000

                                                    $1,200,000 Report • Quarterly Survey of Manhattan Co-op & Condo Sales
                                           The Douglas 0
                                                       Elliman
                                                             <500K  $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M                                         1Q-2011      $10M+
                                                                                                                                                                                                   3,000

                                                         $800,000                                                                                                                                  2,000

                                                         $400,000                                                                                                                                  1,000

                                                                 $0                                                                                                                                0
   Condos                                              CoNdo Market Matrix
                                                                            01           02
                                                                                 Current Qtr
                                                       MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                                                              % Chg
                                                                                                      03        04
                                                                                                         Prior Qtr % Chg
                                                                                                                           05           06
                                                                                                                            Prior Year Qtr
                                                                                                   DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                                                                                                                  07         08          09        10      11


                                                       Average Sales Price
                                                        $1,500                    $1,756,414   -1.6%   $1,784,296    3.9%    $1,690,399
   •		 ll	price	indictors	posted	gains	
     A
                                                       Average Price Per Sq Ft                                       $1,216        1.5%                 $1,198            5.4%                  $1,154
     from	prior	year Price per square foot              $1,200
                                                       Median PENDING PRICE INDEX
                                                              Sales Price                                              MANHATTAN
                                                                                                               $1,150,000  15.2%                        PENDING SALES INDEX
                                                                                                                                                    $997,885    8.0%     $1,065,000
     increased 5.4% to $1,216 from $1,154 in              $900
                                                       Number of Sales
                                                        1.00                                                           964       -13.1%                  1,109          -24.3%                     3.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                   1,273
     the prior year quarter.                              $600
                                                       Days on Market (From Last List Date)
                                                        0.95                                                           140         6.1%                    132            3.7%                       135
                                                                                                                                                                                                    2.5
   •		 umber	of	sales	dropped	as	supply	
     N                                                    $300
                                                       Listing Discount (From Last List Price)                         7.7%                              10.4%                                      6.7%
                                                        0.90                                                                                                                                        2.0
     was	limited Number of sales fell 24.3%                  $0
                                                       Listing Inventory 1Q 10                                        3,607        1.7%                  3,545 10 -14.5%                           4,218
                                                                                                           2Q 10                  3Q 10                      4Q                           1Q 11
                                                        0.85                                                                                                                                        1.5
     from the same period last year as listing         Absorption Rate (mos)                                           11.2       16.7%                     9.6         13.1%                          9.9
                                                        0.80                                                                                                                                        1.0
     inventory fell 14.5% to second lowest
     level in more than 5 years.                       MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ10
                                                       0.75 1Q 09  2Q 09 3Q 09   4Q 09   1Q FT                                               DOWNTOWN 10
                                                                                                                                             2Q 10 3Q EASTSIDE WESTSIDE
                                                                                                                                                           4Q 10   1Q 11                       0.5
                                                                                                                                                                                            UPTOWN
                                                        $2,000
   •		 roperties	took	slightly	longer	to	sell	
     P
                                                        $1,600
     and	listing	discount	grew Days on
                                                       MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE
                                                       $1,200                                                                                      CO OP                         CONDO
     market averaged 140 days, 5 days longer             25
                                                          $800
     than in the prior year quarter as average
                                                         20
                                                          $400
     listing discount increased to 7.7%.
                                                         15
                                                            $0         (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average)
                                                                            1Q 10                    2Q 10                        3Q 10                       4Q 10                       1Q 11
                                                         10

All price indicators increased in the first quarter       5
                                                       QUiNtiLeS                                              % Chg Prior
                                                       Median Sales price
                                                          0                   Current Qtr                     Co-op apt. Mix       % of Total  Median Price
when compared to the same period last year.            by No. of Sales
                                                                 <500K    $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M Qtr
                                                                                              Year 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M    $10M+
                                                                AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT                                MANHATTAN LOFT                             ABSORPTION RATE
The median sales price of a Manhattan condo                     5/5        $3,696,247                              6.4%        Studio                               8%         $495,000
                                                        $1,400                                                                                                                      10
was $1,150,000, 8% higher than $1,065,000 in                    4/5                      $1,882,381                14.1%                     1-bedroom              31%                   $725,000
                                                        $1,300                                                                                                                                     8
the prior year quarter. The increase was largely                3/5                      $1,152,541                2.4%                      2-bedroom              44%                 $1,451,006
                                                        $1,200                                                                                                                                     6
due to a jump in market share of 2-bedroom             MANHATTAN CO OP $745,375 PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                            2/5        AVERAGE      -1.9%                                                    3-bedroom
                                                                                                                                             DOWNTOWN            11%        $2,850,000
                                                                                                                                                             EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                       $1,100                                                                                                                                      4
apartments in the first quarter to 44% of all               1/5
                                                       $1,500          $505,000      3.8%                                                    4+ bedroom             6%                  $4,650,000
                                                        $1,000                                                                                                                                     2
condo sales from 34% in the same period last            $1,200
                                                      Days on market took 5 days longer in the first                              properties that closed in the quarter.
year, the highest market share in two years.             $900
                                                          $900              1Q 10                      2Q 10                    3Q 10                    4Q 10                    1Q 11            0

There were 2.1% to 14.2% price increases              quarter of 2010, averaging 140 days from 135                                Listing inventory in the first quarter fell 14.5%
                                                          $600
across all size categories with the exception         days in the prior year quarter. The constraint on
                                                                                                  to 3,607 units from the prior year quarter, the
                                                          $300
of the most volatile category of 4+ bedrooms,         inventory allowed PRICE sales toFT absorbed second lowest level ABSORPTION RATE in more
                                                              AVERAGE older PER SQ be       MANHATTAN LUXURY
                                                                                                                      of active inventory
                                                            $0
                                                        $2,600              1Q 10                          2Q 10                  3Q 10                       4Q 10                       1Q 11        25
which fell 17.7% over the same period.                pushing the average days on market higher for                               than five years.
                                                        $2,400                                                                                                                                         20

                                                        $2,200                                                                                                                                         15
   Lofts                                               MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT
                                                       Loft Market Matrix
                                                        $2,000
                                                        $2,000
                                                                                Current Qtr
                                                                                                 DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN
                                                                                             % Chg     Prior Qtr % Chg    Prior Year Qtr
                                                                                                                                     10
  •		 ore	sales	activity	than	same	time	
    M                                                  Average Sales Price                                    $1,889,996          -9.4%           $2,086,120             -7.4%            $2,040,263
                                                                                                                                                                                                  5
                                                        $1,800
                                                        $1,600
    last	year	Sales increased 5% to 189                Average Price Per Square Foot                                 $1,101        2.8%                 $1,071           -1.8%           $1,121
                                                        $1,600
                                                        $1,200                                                                                                                               0
                                                       Median Sales Price 10
                                                                       1Q                              2Q 10
                                                                                                               $1,500,000       3Q 10
                                                                                                                                  -4.0%                4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                  $1,563,013              7.1% 1Q 11 $1,400,000
    from 180 in the same period a year ago
                                                         $800
                                                       Number of Sales                                                 189        11.8%                    169            5.0%                         180
    and 11.8% more than 169 in the prior
                                                       Days on Market (From Last List Date)
                                                         $400                                                          131         0.0%                    131          -10.3%                         146
    quarter.
                                                       Listing Discount (From Last List Price)
                                                             $0                                                       5.3%                                5.8%                                      3.3%
                                                                            1Q 10                          2Q 10                  3Q 10                       4Q 10                       1Q 11
  •		 rice	indicators	were	mixed	From the
    P                                                  Listing Inventory                469     0.4%
                                                       IN FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE LAST LIST PRICE                                                467          -15.6%                         556
    first quarter last year, the median sales          Absorption Rate (mos)
                                                        18                               7.4  -10.8%                                                        8.3         -20.4%                         9.3
    price increased 7.1% to $1,500,000 and              15
    the average price per square foot fell              12    AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT                                   MANHATTAN LOFT                            ABSORPTION RATE

    1.8% to $1,101.                                     $1,400
                                                         9                                                                                                                                         10

                                                        $1,300
                                                         6                                                                                                                                         8
  •		nventory	fell	as	properties	sold	more	
    I
                                                         3
                                                        $1,200                                                                                                                                     6
    quickly	There were 15.6% fewer listings
                                                         0
    in the first quarter than last year at this         $1,100 3Q 08             4Q 08        1Q 09        2Q 09      3Q 09      4Q 09          1Q 10     2Q 10         3Q 10      4Q 10           1Q 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                    4

    time as days on market declined by 15               $1,000                                                                                                                                     2
    days to 131.                                          $900              1Q 10                      2Q 10                    3Q 10                    4Q 10                    1Q 11            0

                                                       Note: This sub-category analyzes all co-op & condo loft sales available. The data is also contained within the co-op & condo markets presented.
                                                       Se ing Original List Price & Impact on Days on Market                                     Difference in Days Between Original & Last List
                                                       BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE               ABOVE SALES PRICE                     DOM (from Last List)   DOM (from Original List)            DIFFERENCE
                                                            AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT         MANHATTAN LUXURY                                                      ABSORPTION RATE
                                           Visit our website to browse listings and learn more about market trends
                                                      300                                                    300                                                                                                 150
                                                        $2,600                                                                                                                                         25
                                                        240                                                                                       240                                                            120
                                                        $2,400                                                                                                                                         20
$800
                                                                   $0               $0
                                                                  $800 10
                                                                      1Q     1Q 10     2Q 10 2Q 10    3Q 10 3Q 10                                                               4Q 10       4Q 10              1Q 11         1Q 11
                                                                  $400
                                                                  $400
1Q-2011                                                             $0
                                     The Douglas Elliman Report • Quarterly Survey of Manhattan Co-op & Condo Sales
                                                                    $0        1Q 10           2Q 10          3Q 10
                                                                                                                1Q 10                    2Q 10                     3Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                             4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                             4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q 11
                                                                                         AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT SQ FTMANHATTAN LOFT LOFTABSORPTION RATE RATE
                                                                                               AVERAGE PRICE PER           MANHATTAN           ABSORPTION
                                                                              $1,400       $1,400                                                                                                                       10           10

        Luxury                                                                $1,300       $1,300 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT       MANHATTAN LOFT
                                                                                          LUxUry Market PRICE PER SQ FT Current Qtr
                                                                                                  AVERAGE Matrix
                                                                                                                                                        ABSORPTION8RATE 8
                                                                                                                                MANHATTAN LOFT Prior QtrABSORPTION RATE Year Qtr
                                                                                                                                     % Chg                 % Chg    Prior 10
                                                                              $1,200       $1,400
                                                                                           $1,200                                                                                   6        6
       •		 rice	indicators	were	mixed
         P                                                                                 $1,400
                                                                                          Average Sales Price                     $5,114,866   -16.7%      $6,141,426      -7.8%             10
                                                                                                                                                                                        $5,550,494
                                                                              $1,100   $1,300
                                                                                       $1,100                                                                                       4        8
                                                                                                                                                                                             4
         From the same quarter last year,                                             Average Price Per Square Foot
                                                                                       $1,300                                         $1,899     -9.6%         $2,101       1.0%            $1,881
                                                                                                                                                                                             8
                                                                                       $1,200
                                                                              $1,000 Median Sales Price
                                                                                       $1,000                                                                                                6
         median sales price fell 13.8% to                                              $1,200                                     $3,950,000     -9.2%     $4,350,000    -13.8% 2 $4,582,125 2
                                                                                                                                                                                             6
                                                                                       $1,100 of Sales                                                                                       4
         $3,950,000 as price per square                                        $900 Number 10
                                                                                         $900
                                                                                       $1,1001Q        1Q 10    2Q 10      2Q 10
                                                                                                                                         239 3Q 10
                                                                                                                                      3Q 10
                                                                                                                                                  3.9% 4Q 10      230 1Q 11
                                                                                                                                                               4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                            1.7% 1Q 0
                                                                                                                                                                                    11       0 235
                                                                                                                                                                                             4
                                                                                      Days on Market (From Last List Date)
                                                                                       $1,000                                             128    -9.9%            142    -33.7%              2193
         foot increased 1% to $1,899.                                                  $1,000                                                                                                2
                                                                                      Listing Discount (From Last List Price)           5.6%                    11.0%                        0
                                                                                                                                                                                              3.6%
                                                                                         $900           1Q 10               2Q 10             3Q 10             4Q 10             1Q 11
       •		 isting	inventory	fell	sharply	
         L                                                                               $900 PRICE PER SQ FT SQ 2Q 10
                                                                                      Listing AVERAGE PRICE PER
                                                                                    AVERAGE   Inventory 1Q 10                 MANHATTAN LUXURYLUXURY 4Q979
                                                                                                                             FT        1,025 3Q 10
                                                                                                                                       MANHATTAN  4.7%       ABSORPTION RATE 1Q RATE 1,502
                                                                                                                                                                         -31.8%
                                                                                                                                                                   10 ABSORPTION 11          0
         The amount of active inventory fell   $2,600 Absorption Rate (mos)
                                                      $2,600                                                                                           12.9         0.8%                  12.8          -32.8%            25           19.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       25
         31.8% from the same period last year,
                                               $2,400 $2,400 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT                                                                  MANHATTAN LUXURY                           ABSORPTION RATE
                                                                                                                                                                                                             20                         20
         the second lowest total since Lehman,               AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT                                                                  MANHATTAN LUXURY                           ABSORPTION RATE
                                                       $2,600
                                               $2,200 $2,200                                                                                                                                                              15            25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        15
         after the fourth quarter of 2010.             $2,600                                                                                                                                                                           25
                                                                              $2,000       $2,400
                                                                                           $2,000                                                                                                                         10            20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                           $2,400                                                                                                                                       20
       •		 roperty	sold	more	quickly	
         P                                                                                 $2,200                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                              $1,800       $1,800                                                                                                                            5          5
         The average days on market was                                                    $2,200                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                              $1,600       $2,000
                                                                                           $1,600 10                                                                                                                                    10
         128 in the first quarter, more than                                                    1Q
                                                                                           $2,000             1Q 10        2Q 10      2Q 10        3Q 10       3Q 10       4Q 10        4Q 10          1Q 11      1Q 11 0                0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                           $1,800                                                                                                                                        5
         2 months faster than the same                                                     $1,800                                                                                                                                        5
                                                                                           $1,600                                                                                                                                        0
         period a year ago.                                                                $1,600
                                                                                                               1Q 10                   2Q 10                   3Q 10                    4Q 10                      1Q 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                               1Q 10                   2Q 10                   3Q 10                    4Q 10                      1Q 11
                                                                                          Note: This sub-category analyzes the top 10% of all co-op & condo sales. Data is also contained within the co-op and condo markets presented.
                                                                             IN FOCUS FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD LAST LIST PRICE PRICE
                                                                                   IN PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE ABOVE LAST LIST
                                                                              18           18
        in-foCus                                                              15           15
                                                                                           IN FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE LAST LIST PRICE
     •		 	small	number	of	sales	go	for	more	12
       A                                                                                   12 FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE LAST LIST PRICE
                                                                                           IN
                                                                                            18
                                                                                            18
       than	list	price In the first quarter, 6.8% 9                                          9
                                                                                            15
                                                                                            15
       of all sales exceeded the list price at time6                                         6
                                                                                            12
                                                   3                                        12
                                                                                             3
       of contract.                                                                          9
                                                                                0            9
                                                                                             0
     •		 riginal	list	price	does	influence	the	
       O                                                                                  3Q 608 3Q 08
                                                                                                 4Q 08  4Q 08
                                                                                                        1Q 09  1Q 09
                                                                                                               2Q 09  2Q 09
                                                                                                                      3Q 09  3Q 09
                                                                                                                             4Q 09  4Q 09
                                                                                                                                    1Q 10  1Q 10
                                                                                                                                           2Q 10                                         2Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q 10          3Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q 10          4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q 11         1Q 11
                                                                                             6
                                                                                             3
       time	it	takes	to	sell	In the first quarter,                                           3
                                                                                             0
       a property that sold for what it was listed                                           0
                                                                                                  3Q 08  4Q 08  1Q 09  2Q 09  3Q 09  4Q 09  1Q 10                                         2Q 10         3Q 10          4Q 10         1Q 11
                                                                       3Q 08       4Q 08     1Q 09    2Q 09    3Q 09                                              4Q 09      1Q 10        2Q 10         3Q 10          4Q 10         1Q 11
       for sold an average of 43 days faster than
       one priced above market levels.             Se ing Original List Price List Price onImpact on Days on Market
                                                           Se ing Original & Impact & Days on Market                                                               Difference in Days Between Original &Original & Last List
                                                                                                                                                                           Difference in Days Between Last List
                                                                             BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE ABOVE SALES PRICE
                                                                                      BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE ABOVE SALES PRICE                      DOM (from Last List)
                                                                                                                                                                              DOM (from DOMList) Original List) Original List)
                                                                                                                                                                                        Last (from DOM (from              DIFFERENCE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   DIFFERENCE
     •		 otal	listing	time	to	the	market	
       T
                                                300                                        300 ing Original List Price & Impact on Days on Market                   300        300                                   150                          150
                                                                                           Se                                                                                  Difference in Days Between Original & Last List
       dropped	as	sellers	prices	became	
                                                240                                        240 ing Original List Price & Impact on Days on Market
                                                                                           Se
                                                                                           BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE         ABOVE SALES PRICE
                                                                                                                                                                    240        Difference in Days Between Original & Last List
                                                                                                                                                                               240
                                                                                                                                                                                DOM (from Last List)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     120
                                                                                                                                                                                                         DOM (from Original List)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             DIFFERENCE
       more	realisitic	While days on market,
                                                180                                        180 SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE
                                                                                           BELOW
                                                                                            300
                                                                                                                                         ABOVE SALES PRICE          180    180 (from Last List) DOM (from Original List) 90 DIFFERENCE
                                                                                                                                                                            DOM
                                                                                                                                                                            300                                                   90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  150
       using the last price change, is stable,                                              300                                                                    120      300
                                                                                                                                                                           120                                           60       150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  60
                                                120                                        120
                                                                                            240                                                                             240                                                   120
       days on market from original list date has 60                                        240
                                                                                             60                                                                     60      240
                                                                                                                                                                             60                                          30       120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  30
                                                                                            180                                                                             180                                                   90
       dropped by 50 days.                         0                                        180                                                                             180                                                   90
                                                                                         1Q 100
                                                                                            120    1Q 10
                                                                                                   2Q 10       2Q 10
                                                                                                               3Q 10       3Q 10
                                                                                                                           4Q 10       4Q 10
                                                                                                                                       1Q 11       1Q 11             0 1Q 100 2Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                            120 1Q 10 3Q 10   2Q 10 4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q 10 1Q 114Q 10   0 1Q 11 060
                                                                                            120                                                                             120                                                   60
                                                                                             60                                                                               60                                                  30
In any market, weak or active, there are usually                                          were
                                                                                             60 “above list”. In the most recent quarter,                         days faster 60 if priced above market value.
                                                                                                                                                                              than                                                30
                                                                                              0   1Q 10    2Q 10    3Q 10   4Q 10 1Q 11                                        0 1Q 10         2Q 10   3Q 10      4Q 10     1Q 11 0
properties that sell for more than asking price at                                        6.8%0 of1Q 10
                                                                                                   all sales exceeded10 price compared
                                                                                                                    3Q list 4Q 10                                              0 1Q 10                                      1Q 11 0
                                                                                                           2Q 10                  1Q 11                           Overpricing a property has long proved to be
                                                                                                                                                                                               2Q 10   3Q 10      4Q 10
the time of the contract. During the third quarter                                       to 7.6% equal to list price and 85.6% below list
                                                                                                                                                                  counterproductive for the seller. While days
of 2008, just prior to the onset of the credit                                           price.
                                                                                                                                                                  on market from the last date the price was
crunch at the end of that quarter, 15.5% of all                                          The original list price impacts the marketing time                       changed, if ever, to contract date has remained
properties sold “above list”, 36.1% sold “equal to                                       of the property, regardless of what price changes                        relatively stable over the past year, the days on
list” and 48.3% sold “below list”. In the second                                         subsequently occur. In the first quarter of 2011,                        market from the original list date to contract date
quarter of 2009, one of the weakest points in                                            the average days on market for a property that                           declined 50 days.
the post-Lehman housing market, 2.7% of sales                                            was originally priced at market value sold 43

©2011 Prudential Douglas Elliman and Miller Samuel Inc. All worldwide rights reserved.    eastside 980 Madison Ave. 212.650.4800 • 575 Madison Ave. 212.891.7000 Midtown 425 East 58th St. 212.832.1666
                                                                                          205 East 42nd St. 212.692.6111 • 485 Madison Ave. 212.350.8500 westside 1995 Broadway 212.362.9600 • 2142
Prudential	Douglas	Elliman	                     Miller	Samuel	Inc.
Real	Estate                                     Real	Estate	Appraisers                    Broadway 212.769.2004 • 2169 Frederick Douglass Blvd. 212.865.1100 downtown 90 Hudson St. 212.965.6000 • 26
575 Madison Avenue                              21 West 38th Street                       West 17 St. 212.645.4040 • 137 Waverly Pl. 212.206.2800 • 51 East 10 St. 212.995.5357 • 690 Washington St. 212.352.5252
New York, NY 10022                              New York, NY 10018
                                                                                          BrookLyn 156 Montague St. 718.780.8100 • 189 Court St. 718.522.2929 • 299 Bedford Ave. 718.486.4400 • 154 Seventh
212.891.7000                                    212.768.8100
elliman.com                                     millersamuel.com                          Ave. 718.840.2000 664 Fulton Street 718.780.8100 Bronx 3265 Johnson Ave. Riverdale 718.884.5815 rentaL 485
                                                                                          Madison Ave. 212.350.8500 reLoCation 575 Madison Ave. 212.891.HOME
For more information or electronic copies of this report please visit
elliman.com/marketreports. Email report author Jonathan Miller at
jmiller@millersamuel.com with questions or comments.

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Manhattan First Quarter 2011 Real Estate Market Report

  • 1. 1Q-2011 quarterly survey of co-op and condo Manhattan sales Co-ops & Condos Manhattan Market Matrix Current Qtr % Chg Prior Qtr % Chg Prior Year Qtr • ore sales than last year at this time M Average Sales Price $1,331,306 -10.2% $1,482,650 -6.7% $1,426,994 A total of 2,394 sales closed in the Average Price per Sq Ft $1,025 -3.2% $1,058 -1.3% $1,038 first quarter of 2011, 0.4% and 4.3% Median Sales Price $782,071 -7.4% $845,000 -9.9% $868,000 more than the prior year and prior New Development $1,340,000 26.3% $1,060,738 15.5% $1,160,000 quarters, respectively. The pending Re-sale $725,000 -9.4% $800,000 -12.7% $830,000 sales index jumped 12.5% above the Number of Sales 2,394 4.3% 2,295 0.4% 2,384 last quarter of 2010. Days on Market (From Last List Date) 127 2.2% 125 3.3% 123 • rice indicators slipped as federal P Listing Discount (From Last List Price) 4.5% 8.0% 5.3% tax credit impact wanes Median sales Listing Inventory 7,605 5.2% 7,232 -5.3% 8,027 price declined 9.9% to $728,071 from Absorption Rate (mos) 9.5 0.0% 9.5 -5.9% 10.1 the same period last year. Price per Pending Price Index (4Q 08 base) 0.90 -3.2% 0.93 7.1% 0.84 square foot slipped 1.3% over the same Pending Sales Index (4Q 08 base) 1.75 12.5% 1.59 -14.2% 2.04 period. The pending price index slipped from the prior quarter. QUARTERLY AVERAGE SALES PRICE MANHATTAN NUMBER OF SALES $2,000,000 5,000 • ewer listings available for sale F $1,600,000 4,000 Listing inventory fell 5.3% to its lowest $1,200,000 3,000 first quarter total in 3 years as the number of days to sell a property edged $800,000 2,000 nominally higher by 4 days to 127, $400,000 1,000 below the ten year average of 132. $0 0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 There were more sales in the first quarter of 2011 period a year ago. sales price for the first quarter was $782,071, than in any first quarter in 3 years or since the down 9.9% from the same period last year. Price The primary price PRICE INDEX PENDING indicators declined over the MANHATTAN PENDING SALES INDEX credit crunch in 2008. There were 2,394 sales in per square foot averaged $1,025 in the first past year reflecting the impact of the federal 1.00 3.0 the quarter, 0.4% more than 2,384 in the same quarter, slipping 1.3% over the same period. homebuyers tax credit. The first half of 2010 saw 2.5 period a year ago and 4.3% more than 2,295 in 0.95 an0.90 increase in sales activity pressing prices higher The amount of active listing inventory is 2.0 its at the prior quarter. The pending sales index—an aggregate of collected contract data presented as buyers sought to sign contracts by April 30th lowest level for a first quarter since 2007. There 0.85 1.5 in index form—indicated a 10.1% increase from in 2010. This “poached” some demand from the were 7,605 listings in the first quarter of 2011, 0.80 1.0 the prior quarter, but activity was 14.2% lower sales activity normally seen over the summer and 5.3% below the 8,027 listings in the same period 0.75 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0.5 than the same period a year ago. Market share fall and drove prices higher. Once the stimulus last year. The combination of declining inventory for new development sales slipped to 14.5% was removed, the second half of the year saw and modest gains in sales activity effected of all sales down from 16.6% during the same weaker overall conditions inABSORTION RATE MANHATTAN MONTHLY comparison. Median the monthly absorption rate—the number of CO OP CONDO 25 20 The Douglas Elliman Report series is recognized as the industry standard for providing 15 (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average) the state of the residential real estate market10 the New York City metropolitan region. in 5 The report includes an extensive suite of tools to help readers objectively identify and 0 measure market trends, provide historical context <500K to current information and provide $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M $10M+ comprehensive analysis of the results. MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE by Miller Samuel Inc. Prepared WESTSIDE UPTOWN $1,500 Appraisal and consulting services covering the New York City metropolitan area $1,200
  • 2. $800,000 2,000 $400,000 1,000 $400,000 1,000 $0 0 1Q-2011 $0 01 02 03 04 05 06 The Douglas Elliman Report • Quarterly Survey of Manhattan Co-op & Condo Sales 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 0 QUARTERLY AVERAGE SALES PRICE MANHATTAN NUMBER OF SALES $2,000,000 5,000 PENDING PRICE INDEX MANHATTAN PENDING SALES INDEX months to sell all active listing inventory at the PENDING PRICE INDEX MANHATTAN PENDING SALES INDEX 4,000 $1,600,000 3.0 1.00 current pace of sales—which fell to 9.5 months 3.0 1.00 $1,200,000 3,000 0.95 2.5 from 10.1 months in the same period last year. 0.95 $800,000 2.5 2,000 The current rate is slightly faster than the 9.9 0.90 2.0 $400,000 0.90 2.0 1,000 average absorption rate of the past 10 years or 0.85 1.5 0.85 $0 0 1.5 40 quarters. 0.80 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 1.0 0.80 1.0 Mortgage lending remains unusually tight and 0.75 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0.5 0.75 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0.5 unemployment, while generally improving, remains elevated. Both factors have kept PENDING PRICE INDEX MANHATTAN PENDING SALES INDEX sales activity from posting significant gains. MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE CO OP CONDO MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE 1.00 CO OP CONDO 3.0 25 Although Wall Street bonuses declined, overall 25 0.95 2.5 compensation actually increased 5%. This 20 20 0.90 2.0 resulted in an increased visibility at the high end 15 (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average) 15 0.85 1.5 of the housing market. The performance of this 10 (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average) 10 1.0 regional economic engine is a key reason that 0.80 5 5 the Manhattan housing market continues to 0.75 0 1Q 09 <500K $500K-$999K 09 2Q 09 3Q $1M-$1.49M 09 1.5M-$1.99M 4Q 1Q 10 2Q 10 $2M-$2.99M 3Q 10 $3M-$4.99M4Q 10 $5M-$9.99M 11 1Q $10M+ 0.5 0 outperform the US housing market. <500K $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M $10M+ MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE CO OP CONDO Co-ops Co-op Market Matrix 25 Current Qtr % Chg Prior Qtr % Chg Prior Year Qtr • umber of sales surged yet listing N Average Sales Price OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN CO 20 $1,044,730 -13.0% DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN $1,200,589 -7.8% $1,133,715 MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT $1,500 DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN inventory edged higher Co-ops sales Average Price Per Sq Ft 15 $896 -3.4% $928 -1.3% $908 $1,500 (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average) jumped 28.7% to 1,430 from 1,111 in the $1,200 Median Sales Price $642,500 -6.2% $685,000 -6.2% $685,000 10 $1,200 same period last year yet listing inventory $900 Number of Sales 5 1,430 20.6% 1,186 28.7% 1,111 increased 5% as more sellers looked to $900 $600 Days on Market (From Last List Date) 119 0.8% 118 8.2% 110 take advantage of the spring market. 0 $600 <500K $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M $10M+ $300 Listing Discount (From Last List Price) 2.4% 5.8% 3.8% • ll price indicators declined from A $300 Listing Inventory $0 3,998 8.4% 3,687 5.0% 3,809 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 prior year and prior quarter Median $0 Absorption Rate (mos) 1Q 10 2Q 10 8.4 -9.7% 3Q 10 9.3 10 -18.4% 4Q 1Q 11 10.3 sales price fell 6.2% to $642,500 from $685,000 in the prior year quarter as MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT DOWNTOWN DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN WESTSIDE UPTOWN the impact of the tax credit expiration MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT $1,500 $2,000 DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN continued. $2,000 $1,200 $1,600 • ays on market expanded as listing D $1,600 $900 $1,200 discount declined Co-op apartments $1,200 $600 $800 took an average of 119 days to sell or 9 $800 $300 days longer than last year. Despite the $400 $400 increase, the difference between asking $0 $0 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 price and sales price declined. $0 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 QUiNtiLeS % Chg Prior MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FTCo-op apt. Mix EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN Median Sales price Current Qtr Year Qtr DOWNTOWN % of Total Median Price All price indicators in the first quarter were below by No. of Sales $2,000 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LOFT ABSORPTION RATE the levels seen in the same period last year. The AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT -11.6%MANHATTAN LOFT 5/5 $1,900,000 Studio 16% $347,500 ABSORPTION RATE 10 $1,400 $1,600 4/5 price per square foot of a Manhattan co-op sale $1,400 $925,000 -7.4% 1 bedroom 40% $535,000 10 $1,300 $1,200 3/5 8 was $896, 1.3% less than $908 in the prior $1,300 $625,000 -6.7% 2 bedroom 34% $995,000 8 $1,200 $800 2/5 6 year quarter. The decline in the price indicators $1,200 $466,250 -6.6% 3 bedroom 8% $1,745,000 6 $1,1001/5 $400 4 was partially attributable to the decline in market $310,000 -2.8% 4+ bedroom 2% $5,700,000 $1,100 4 share of high-end co-op apartment sales. The $1,000 $0 2 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 double digit $1,000 year over year declines in median absorption rate fell sharply to 8.4 months2from 3 or more bedroom co-op market comprised $900 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0 sales price. $900 10.3 months last year at this1Qtime. A 0 lower 10% of all co-op sales in the first quarter, down 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 11 from 13% in the prior year quarter and down The number of sales increased 28.7% over the absorption rate suggests that the market has AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LOFT ABSORPTION RATE from 14% in the prior quarter. In addition to the AVERAGE PRICE quarterly total in MANHATTAN LUXURY its efficiency with RATEincrease year to 1,430, the largest PER SQ FT more been improving ABSORPTION the $1,400AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LUXURY ABSORPTION RATE 10 shift in the mix to 2-bedrooms and studios, the $2,600 than 3 years, outpacing the 5% year over year in purchase activity outpacing the increase in 25 $2,600 $1,300 8 25 3-bedroom market was the only segment to post gain in listing inventory. As a result, the monthly listings coming $2,400 on the market. 20 $2,400 $1,200 6 20 $2,200 15 $2,200 $1,100 4 15 Visit our website to$2,000 browse listings and learn more about market trends 10 $2,000 $1,000 2 10 $1,800 5
  • 3. $2,000,000 10 5,000 $1,600,000 5 4,000 $1,200,000 Report • Quarterly Survey of Manhattan Co-op & Condo Sales The Douglas 0 Elliman <500K $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M 1Q-2011 $10M+ 3,000 $800,000 2,000 $400,000 1,000 $0 0 Condos CoNdo Market Matrix 01 02 Current Qtr MANHATTAN CO OP AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT % Chg 03 04 Prior Qtr % Chg 05 06 Prior Year Qtr DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN 07 08 09 10 11 Average Sales Price $1,500 $1,756,414 -1.6% $1,784,296 3.9% $1,690,399 • ll price indictors posted gains A Average Price Per Sq Ft $1,216 1.5% $1,198 5.4% $1,154 from prior year Price per square foot $1,200 Median PENDING PRICE INDEX Sales Price MANHATTAN $1,150,000 15.2% PENDING SALES INDEX $997,885 8.0% $1,065,000 increased 5.4% to $1,216 from $1,154 in $900 Number of Sales 1.00 964 -13.1% 1,109 -24.3% 3.0 1,273 the prior year quarter. $600 Days on Market (From Last List Date) 0.95 140 6.1% 132 3.7% 135 2.5 • umber of sales dropped as supply N $300 Listing Discount (From Last List Price) 7.7% 10.4% 6.7% 0.90 2.0 was limited Number of sales fell 24.3% $0 Listing Inventory 1Q 10 3,607 1.7% 3,545 10 -14.5% 4,218 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 1Q 11 0.85 1.5 from the same period last year as listing Absorption Rate (mos) 11.2 16.7% 9.6 13.1% 9.9 0.80 1.0 inventory fell 14.5% to second lowest level in more than 5 years. MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ10 0.75 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q FT DOWNTOWN 10 2Q 10 3Q EASTSIDE WESTSIDE 4Q 10 1Q 11 0.5 UPTOWN $2,000 • roperties took slightly longer to sell P $1,600 and listing discount grew Days on MANHATTAN MONTHLY ABSORTION RATE $1,200 CO OP CONDO market averaged 140 days, 5 days longer 25 $800 than in the prior year quarter as average 20 $400 listing discount increased to 7.7%. 15 $0 (9.9 Month Rate, 10-year average) 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 10 All price indicators increased in the first quarter 5 QUiNtiLeS % Chg Prior Median Sales price 0 Current Qtr Co-op apt. Mix % of Total Median Price when compared to the same period last year. by No. of Sales <500K $500K-$999K $1M-$1.49M Qtr Year 1.5M-$1.99M $2M-$2.99M $3M-$4.99M $5M-$9.99M $10M+ AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LOFT ABSORPTION RATE The median sales price of a Manhattan condo 5/5 $3,696,247 6.4% Studio 8% $495,000 $1,400 10 was $1,150,000, 8% higher than $1,065,000 in 4/5 $1,882,381 14.1% 1-bedroom 31% $725,000 $1,300 8 the prior year quarter. The increase was largely 3/5 $1,152,541 2.4% 2-bedroom 44% $1,451,006 $1,200 6 due to a jump in market share of 2-bedroom MANHATTAN CO OP $745,375 PRICE PER SQ FT 2/5 AVERAGE -1.9% 3-bedroom DOWNTOWN 11% $2,850,000 EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN $1,100 4 apartments in the first quarter to 44% of all 1/5 $1,500 $505,000 3.8% 4+ bedroom 6% $4,650,000 $1,000 2 condo sales from 34% in the same period last $1,200 Days on market took 5 days longer in the first properties that closed in the quarter. year, the highest market share in two years. $900 $900 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0 There were 2.1% to 14.2% price increases quarter of 2010, averaging 140 days from 135 Listing inventory in the first quarter fell 14.5% $600 across all size categories with the exception days in the prior year quarter. The constraint on to 3,607 units from the prior year quarter, the $300 of the most volatile category of 4+ bedrooms, inventory allowed PRICE sales toFT absorbed second lowest level ABSORPTION RATE in more AVERAGE older PER SQ be MANHATTAN LUXURY of active inventory $0 $2,600 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 25 which fell 17.7% over the same period. pushing the average days on market higher for than five years. $2,400 20 $2,200 15 Lofts MANHATTAN CONDO AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT Loft Market Matrix $2,000 $2,000 Current Qtr DOWNTOWN EASTSIDE WESTSIDE UPTOWN % Chg Prior Qtr % Chg Prior Year Qtr 10 • ore sales activity than same time M Average Sales Price $1,889,996 -9.4% $2,086,120 -7.4% $2,040,263 5 $1,800 $1,600 last year Sales increased 5% to 189 Average Price Per Square Foot $1,101 2.8% $1,071 -1.8% $1,121 $1,600 $1,200 0 Median Sales Price 10 1Q 2Q 10 $1,500,000 3Q 10 -4.0% 4Q 10 $1,563,013 7.1% 1Q 11 $1,400,000 from 180 in the same period a year ago $800 Number of Sales 189 11.8% 169 5.0% 180 and 11.8% more than 169 in the prior Days on Market (From Last List Date) $400 131 0.0% 131 -10.3% 146 quarter. Listing Discount (From Last List Price) $0 5.3% 5.8% 3.3% 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 • rice indicators were mixed From the P Listing Inventory 469 0.4% IN FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE LAST LIST PRICE 467 -15.6% 556 first quarter last year, the median sales Absorption Rate (mos) 18 7.4 -10.8% 8.3 -20.4% 9.3 price increased 7.1% to $1,500,000 and 15 the average price per square foot fell 12 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LOFT ABSORPTION RATE 1.8% to $1,101. $1,400 9 10 $1,300 6 8 • nventory fell as properties sold more I 3 $1,200 6 quickly There were 15.6% fewer listings 0 in the first quarter than last year at this $1,100 3Q 08 4Q 08 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 4 time as days on market declined by 15 $1,000 2 days to 131. $900 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0 Note: This sub-category analyzes all co-op & condo loft sales available. The data is also contained within the co-op & condo markets presented. Se ing Original List Price & Impact on Days on Market Difference in Days Between Original & Last List BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE ABOVE SALES PRICE DOM (from Last List) DOM (from Original List) DIFFERENCE AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LUXURY ABSORPTION RATE Visit our website to browse listings and learn more about market trends 300 300 150 $2,600 25 240 240 120 $2,400 20
  • 4. $800 $0 $0 $800 10 1Q 1Q 10 2Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 1Q 11 $400 $400 1Q-2011 $0 The Douglas Elliman Report • Quarterly Survey of Manhattan Co-op & Condo Sales $0 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 1Q 11 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT SQ FTMANHATTAN LOFT LOFTABSORPTION RATE RATE AVERAGE PRICE PER MANHATTAN ABSORPTION $1,400 $1,400 10 10 Luxury $1,300 $1,300 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LOFT LUxUry Market PRICE PER SQ FT Current Qtr AVERAGE Matrix ABSORPTION8RATE 8 MANHATTAN LOFT Prior QtrABSORPTION RATE Year Qtr % Chg % Chg Prior 10 $1,200 $1,400 $1,200 6 6 • rice indicators were mixed P $1,400 Average Sales Price $5,114,866 -16.7% $6,141,426 -7.8% 10 $5,550,494 $1,100 $1,300 $1,100 4 8 4 From the same quarter last year, Average Price Per Square Foot $1,300 $1,899 -9.6% $2,101 1.0% $1,881 8 $1,200 $1,000 Median Sales Price $1,000 6 median sales price fell 13.8% to $1,200 $3,950,000 -9.2% $4,350,000 -13.8% 2 $4,582,125 2 6 $1,100 of Sales 4 $3,950,000 as price per square $900 Number 10 $900 $1,1001Q 1Q 10 2Q 10 2Q 10 239 3Q 10 3Q 10 3.9% 4Q 10 230 1Q 11 4Q 10 1.7% 1Q 0 11 0 235 4 Days on Market (From Last List Date) $1,000 128 -9.9% 142 -33.7% 2193 foot increased 1% to $1,899. $1,000 2 Listing Discount (From Last List Price) 5.6% 11.0% 0 3.6% $900 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 • isting inventory fell sharply L $900 PRICE PER SQ FT SQ 2Q 10 Listing AVERAGE PRICE PER AVERAGE Inventory 1Q 10 MANHATTAN LUXURYLUXURY 4Q979 FT 1,025 3Q 10 MANHATTAN 4.7% ABSORPTION RATE 1Q RATE 1,502 -31.8% 10 ABSORPTION 11 0 The amount of active inventory fell $2,600 Absorption Rate (mos) $2,600 12.9 0.8% 12.8 -32.8% 25 19.2 25 31.8% from the same period last year, $2,400 $2,400 AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LUXURY ABSORPTION RATE 20 20 the second lowest total since Lehman, AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ FT MANHATTAN LUXURY ABSORPTION RATE $2,600 $2,200 $2,200 15 25 15 after the fourth quarter of 2010. $2,600 25 $2,000 $2,400 $2,000 10 20 10 $2,400 20 • roperty sold more quickly P $2,200 15 $1,800 $1,800 5 5 The average days on market was $2,200 15 $1,600 $2,000 $1,600 10 10 128 in the first quarter, more than 1Q $2,000 1Q 10 2Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 1Q 11 0 0 10 $1,800 5 2 months faster than the same $1,800 5 $1,600 0 period a year ago. $1,600 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 Note: This sub-category analyzes the top 10% of all co-op & condo sales. Data is also contained within the co-op and condo markets presented. IN FOCUS FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD LAST LIST PRICE PRICE IN PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE ABOVE LAST LIST 18 18 in-foCus 15 15 IN FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE LAST LIST PRICE • small number of sales go for more 12 A 12 FOCUS PERCENT OF SALES SOLD ABOVE LAST LIST PRICE IN 18 18 than list price In the first quarter, 6.8% 9 9 15 15 of all sales exceeded the list price at time6 6 12 3 12 3 of contract. 9 0 9 0 • riginal list price does influence the O 3Q 608 3Q 08 4Q 08 4Q 08 1Q 09 1Q 09 2Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 1Q 10 2Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 1Q 11 6 3 time it takes to sell In the first quarter, 3 0 a property that sold for what it was listed 0 3Q 08 4Q 08 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 08 4Q 08 1Q 09 2Q 09 3Q 09 4Q 09 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 for sold an average of 43 days faster than one priced above market levels. Se ing Original List Price List Price onImpact on Days on Market Se ing Original & Impact & Days on Market Difference in Days Between Original &Original & Last List Difference in Days Between Last List BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE ABOVE SALES PRICE BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE ABOVE SALES PRICE DOM (from Last List) DOM (from DOMList) Original List) Original List) Last (from DOM (from DIFFERENCE DIFFERENCE • otal listing time to the market T 300 300 ing Original List Price & Impact on Days on Market 300 300 150 150 Se Difference in Days Between Original & Last List dropped as sellers prices became 240 240 ing Original List Price & Impact on Days on Market Se BELOW SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE ABOVE SALES PRICE 240 Difference in Days Between Original & Last List 240 DOM (from Last List) 120 DOM (from Original List) 120 DIFFERENCE more realisitic While days on market, 180 180 SALES PRICE SAME AS SALES PRICE BELOW 300 ABOVE SALES PRICE 180 180 (from Last List) DOM (from Original List) 90 DIFFERENCE DOM 300 90 150 using the last price change, is stable, 300 120 300 120 60 150 60 120 120 240 240 120 days on market from original list date has 60 240 60 60 240 60 30 120 30 180 180 90 dropped by 50 days. 0 180 180 90 1Q 100 120 1Q 10 2Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 1Q 11 0 1Q 100 2Q 10 120 1Q 10 3Q 10 2Q 10 4Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 114Q 10 0 1Q 11 060 120 120 60 60 60 30 In any market, weak or active, there are usually were 60 “above list”. In the most recent quarter, days faster 60 if priced above market value. than 30 0 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0 1Q 10 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 1Q 11 0 properties that sell for more than asking price at 6.8%0 of1Q 10 all sales exceeded10 price compared 3Q list 4Q 10 0 1Q 10 1Q 11 0 2Q 10 1Q 11 Overpricing a property has long proved to be 2Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 the time of the contract. During the third quarter to 7.6% equal to list price and 85.6% below list counterproductive for the seller. While days of 2008, just prior to the onset of the credit price. on market from the last date the price was crunch at the end of that quarter, 15.5% of all The original list price impacts the marketing time changed, if ever, to contract date has remained properties sold “above list”, 36.1% sold “equal to of the property, regardless of what price changes relatively stable over the past year, the days on list” and 48.3% sold “below list”. In the second subsequently occur. In the first quarter of 2011, market from the original list date to contract date quarter of 2009, one of the weakest points in the average days on market for a property that declined 50 days. the post-Lehman housing market, 2.7% of sales was originally priced at market value sold 43 ©2011 Prudential Douglas Elliman and Miller Samuel Inc. All worldwide rights reserved. eastside 980 Madison Ave. 212.650.4800 • 575 Madison Ave. 212.891.7000 Midtown 425 East 58th St. 212.832.1666 205 East 42nd St. 212.692.6111 • 485 Madison Ave. 212.350.8500 westside 1995 Broadway 212.362.9600 • 2142 Prudential Douglas Elliman Miller Samuel Inc. Real Estate Real Estate Appraisers Broadway 212.769.2004 • 2169 Frederick Douglass Blvd. 212.865.1100 downtown 90 Hudson St. 212.965.6000 • 26 575 Madison Avenue 21 West 38th Street West 17 St. 212.645.4040 • 137 Waverly Pl. 212.206.2800 • 51 East 10 St. 212.995.5357 • 690 Washington St. 212.352.5252 New York, NY 10022 New York, NY 10018 BrookLyn 156 Montague St. 718.780.8100 • 189 Court St. 718.522.2929 • 299 Bedford Ave. 718.486.4400 • 154 Seventh 212.891.7000 212.768.8100 elliman.com millersamuel.com Ave. 718.840.2000 664 Fulton Street 718.780.8100 Bronx 3265 Johnson Ave. Riverdale 718.884.5815 rentaL 485 Madison Ave. 212.350.8500 reLoCation 575 Madison Ave. 212.891.HOME For more information or electronic copies of this report please visit elliman.com/marketreports. Email report author Jonathan Miller at jmiller@millersamuel.com with questions or comments.