Presentation by panelist Rohana Subasinghe and on 'Nigeria Fish Futures' on Monday, 29 November 2021.

1. Nigeria Fish Futures

2. v Sustainable growth of aquaculture
and improved management of
fisheries is essential for securing
future fish supplies.
v Our research indicates that
investment in aquaculture to bring
Africa to global consumption, would
create 5 million new jobs, in
production and supply chains,
including for women and youth, as
well as secure nutrition across the
continent.

3. 21%
17%
17%
1%
44%
Coastal and brackish
water
Inland water
Aquaculture
Industrial fishing
Imports
Nigeria Fish Supply

4. “As its population increases from 196 million in
2018 to 263 million in 2030, under Business-as-
Usual scenario, Nigeria would need 752
thousand tonnes more fish to maintain 11.2 kg of
per capita fish consumption and would need
3.14 million tonnes more fish to reach 20.3 kg
global per capita fish consumption, by 2030.
(FAO)”

5. vThis market situation
provides significant new
opportunities for
aquaculture growth,
creating opportunities for
smallholders, jobs along
the value chain, women’s
empowerment and
nutritional improvement.

6. BMGF Project
Aquaculture: increasing income, diversifying diets, and
empowering women in Nigeria

7. Project Scope
1. To plug critical knowledge gaps to better
understand the role of fish in Nigeria, and the
extent to which aquaculture is and can better
contribute to the strategic goals of improving
smallholder incomes, dietary diversity, nutrition
and empowerment of women.
2. To identify private-sector-led aquaculture
investments that contribute to strategic goals of
improving smallholder income, youth
employment, nutrition and women's
empowerment.

8. Comprehensive Scoping Exercise

9. Planning and Execution
v Carefully planned with close involvement of many
national stakeholders
v Field activities executed by a team of experts and
enumerators
v Supported by desk reviews, literature searches,
meetings and discussions

11. Smallholder hatchery grow
out producers
Corporate seed and grow out producers
Brood fish suppliers from
imported stocks
Cooperative seed and grow
out Producers
Smallholder grow out
producers
Cooperative grow out
producers
Seed producers
Fish producers
Wholesalers Fresh fish wholesalers
Processors
Retailers Fresh fish marketers
Large-scale Processors
Fresh fish consumers
Processed fish consumers Restaurants Frozen fish consumers
Input providers
Frozen Fish Importers
Processed fish traders
[Smoked/Dry]
Feed producers
Live fish marketers Frozen fish marketers
Processed fish
marketers
[Smoked/Dry]
Frozen fish wholesalers
Brood fish suppliers from
Inland capture fisheries
Smallholder processors
Corporate grow out producers
Material and equipment
suppliers
Artisanal fisheries
Finance
and
services

12. Key Messages
vFish production will increase from 1.3 to
2.8 million tonnes mostly through
aquaculture during the 2020-2050
vAquaculture production will exceed the
capture fisheries production by mid 2030
vHeavy dependence on imports to sustain
fish supply and consumption, but this costs
USD1 billion/year and questions of
sustainability
vFish consumption will remain low under
BAU, 50% of global average.

13. Key Messages
v Catfish dominated two species aquaculture
v Poor systems performance and high disease losses
v However, aquaculture is profitable business, all along
the value chain
v Smallholder fish farmers earn more than their
agriculture counterparts
v Majority of smallholder farmers operate as cooperatives
or clusters
v Pre-farm-gate VC is men dominating while post farm-
gate VC is women dominating
v Multiple entry points for improvement from
productivity enhanced to value chains to consumers
0
40
80
120
160
Wholesalers Retailers Processors
#
of
value
chain
actors
Male
Female

14. Key Messages
v Nigerians have an affinity for fish,
with high % of animal sourced protein
derived from fish.
v There is a North South divide.
v Women and children among all wealth
quantiles consume fish, however, they
all do not consume enough fish!
v Per capita consumption remains
around 50% of the globe.

15. Key Messages
v Nigerian aquaculture is operated as business,
at all levels.
v Both pre-farm-gate and post farm-gate
aquaculture value chain actors experience
significant bottlenecks during their efforts to
improve business
v There are many business opportunities for
inclusive growth of Nigerian aquaculture.
v Men, women, youth, smallholders, and
corporate sector, all could be involved in
investment strategies.

16. Major Bottlenecks
v Insufficient supply of quality seed
v High cost of quality commercial feed
v Disease and related loss production
v Limited processing with low food safety
v Poor market structure and transportation
v Limited access to credit and high collaterals
v Conducive policy and effective
implementation
v Poor information on fish and nutrition
v Poorly organised sector

17. Two species of fish will not feed
Nigeria in 20 years!

18. Genetics and Diversification
v Nigeria must change from “Catfish Culture” to “Fish Culture”
v Two species of fish will not be able to feed 400 million Nigerians in 20 years!
v There are many candidate species for diversification
v Lack of quality broodstock, quality seed, etc., etc.
v Need good genetic research, broodstock management and seed supply.
v Private sector led, science based, seed diversification and supply
improvement programme is a must!

19. Private Sector Engagement
Feed Seed Producers Dry foods Processors Importers

20. Inland Fisheries and Enhancement

21. Investment

23. Authors

24. Download Book
https://digitalarchive.worldfishcenter.org/handle/20.500.12348/4951

25. Special Thanks to the
Federal Department of Fisheries and Aquaculture
Nigeria
•

26. Thank You