3. Can we use fossils-as-tips methods to co-estimate
phylogeny and divergence dates in
the absence of molecular data?
4. Theropods as a test case for tip-dating
● Controversial
● Implications for the evolution of flight
● Well-documented ages and relationships
among taxa in the tree
12. Applying tip-dating methods
● Used Xu et al. matrix
● 89 taxa, 389 morphological characters
○ Missing data ranges between ~5% and ~85% per
taxon
○ 363 characters from Hu et al. 2009, 10 added by Xu
et al.
○ Mix of cranial and post-cranial characters
13. Applying tip-dating methods
● Dates associated with every terminal in the
matrix
○ Both a minimum and a maximum age
14. Applying tip-dating methods
● Dates associated with every terminal in the
matrix
○ Both a minimum and a maximum age
● BEAST2 and MrBayes tip dating
○ Both methods use the dates of the terminal taxa
instead of calibration points
○ Both use Lewis’ 2001 Mk model
15. Applying tip-dating methods
● BEAST2
○ Birth-death serial sampling prior: Allows for
speciation and extinction in tree for data sampled
from multiple time-points
● MrBayes
○ Uniform prior on clock trees
○ Ingroup date calibration
16. Applying tip-dating methods
● BEAST2
○ More explicit process-driven model
● MrBayes
○ More vague with respect to biology and taphonomy
21. MrBayes
● We were unable to obtain a topology with
dates in which we had confidence
○ Well-known clades being broken up
○ Unrealistic dates that contradict the weight of
existing evidence
24. Conclusions
● Tip-dating is a viable method for estimating
divergence dates
○ Tip-dating can be performed with fossil-only
datasets
● BEAST returns a topology and dates that
correspond well to known information about
deinonychosaurian and avian relationships
25. Thanks!
● Participants
● Hillis Lab
Group
● Nadia
Fröbisch,
Jonathan
Bloch, Anjali
Goswami