2. “The security environment has undergone the
equivalent of a shift in tectonic plate, with the
result that only shifts of an equivalent magnitude in
the way we think about this environment and
analyse the new security threats will provide an
adequate basis for good intelligence and sound
decision-making in the first few decades of the 21st
century.”
Prof Phil Williams
3. Challenges for Intelligence Analysis in LE
• Ignorance of what IA can do and best practice from IC
• Increasing intelligence blind spots
• Creating a niche in fast & connected world
• Silo functioning despite pleas for info & know-how
sharing across boundaries
• Synergising operational and strategic analysis
• Adapting management style & organizational culture
4. The role of intelligence analysts: Decision-support
Support
operations
Guide use Explain
of problems
resources & issues
Promote
situational
awareness
5. The role of the analyst
Plan Collect Analyse Produce
Process
• Environmental • Answer 5W’s
scanning &H • Trends
• Select
Strategic
• Indicator • Answer “So • Threats /
appropriate
development what?” Risk /
collection
• Synergise threat • Use various opportunity
method
perception with tools & assessment
• Collect
priorities methods • Policy
OSINT
• ID clients • Informed implications
• Build
• ID information insight about • Target
Operational
relationships
gaps the past, profiles,
• Evaluate
• Collection present and operational
sources of
planning future reports etc
information
• Recommend • ID strategies
targets/problem for action
6. Prerequisites for successful intelligence
• There is an identifiable decision-making system to
support
• There is a will to think ahead in both intelligence
and the decision-making system
• There is a will to apply results in both intelligence
and the decision-making system
Neil Quarmby, 2004
7.
8. IALEIA Background
• Founded in 1980 in the US
• Now: more than 1600 members in
over 50 countries in 6 continents
• The purpose of IALEIA is to advance
the intelligence analysis profession
in ALL disciplines locally, nationally
and internationally
9. How does IALEIA do that?
• Influence decision-making
• Advise on analysis issues
• Forge partnerships
• Promote research & publishing
• Provide networking
platform/space
10. IALEIA: Training & Education
• Increasing tertiary programmes in intelligence
and/or intelligence analysis in US & UK
• Membership: Academic institution & student
• Scholarship: Grantham University, US (distance
learning)
• Members involved with International Association for
Intelligence Educators (IAFIE)
• Certification of professional training
11. Publications
• Intelligence Models and Best
Practices
• Intelligence Led Policing:
Getting Started
• Guidelines for starting an
Analytical Unit
• LE Analytical Standards
• Successful LE using analytical
methods
• Continuing Professional
Development Workbook &
Portfolio
12. Recognition & Awards
• To the organization making the most
significant progress utilizing intelligence
analytical techniques to support law
enforcement objectives on
national/international, province/state,
local/city
• To individuals for outstanding contributions as
intelligence analysts to the achievement of
law enforcement objectives
• To a law enforcement executive for
outstanding support and recognition of the
intelligence analysis function
14. Why IALEIA?
Strategic level:
– Speaking with one voice
– Influencing decision makers on
analysis issues
– Building professionalism
– Applying standards and
common rules
– Growing awareness of analysis
16. Situation in Africa
Limited understanding and use of
intelligence as decision support
All 3 prerequisites absent
Limited international visibility &
recognition
International
Past 3 years: an awakening across
disciplines
4Knowledge only certified training
provider
…analysts from … countries