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Aluminum as a Cost Effective Technology




                                    Background
                                    Cost is an issue in every material decision made on an automobile. When making
                                    a material substitution, cost can be viewed as a simple part-by-part substitution, a
                                    manufacturing and product system cost, and/or increasingly as a lifecycle cost analy-
                                    sis (LCA).

                                    As automakers (OEMs) apply aluminum to lightweight their vehicles, the focus is
                                    increasingly directed toward the system cost and LCA to obtain the desired outcome
                                    of an improved driving performance, reduced fuel consumption or reduced emissions.
                                    The OEM is increasingly considering how to fully exploit the weight reduction in one
                                    or more parts, and allow this weight reduction to offer further weight or cost savings in
                                    other vehicle components.

                                    The Aluminum Association conducted an objective analysis of the overall cost of
ff Cost-effective solutions
                                    manufacturing and operating an aluminum-intensive, four-door passenger car versus a
   exist with aluminum
                                    conventional steel car, considering the total manufacturing and operating costs of pas-
   intensive cars and trucks
                                    senger vehicles. The target was a conventional, mass-produced, mid-sized, four-door
ff Aluminum-intensive au-          passenger vehicle, using conventional internal combustion engines (ICE) and power-
   tomobiles can be very            train components. The vehicles were matched in size and performance (acceleration
   practical as a cost-effective    and driving range).
   alternative for improving
                                    The Association commissioned IBIS Associates, an independent consulting firm
   fuel economy
                                    specializing in technical and economic analysis of materials in manufacturing technol-
ff A cost premium of $630          ogy, to analyze the cost-benefit of material choices in high-volume vehicles and the
   can be partially offset by       economics of vehicle design in a future state.
   secondary cost savings of
                                    IBIS set out to analyze vehicle costs assuming a high-volume manufacturing system.
   $527 if the smaller driveline
                                    This system is optimized in terms of manufacturing equipment for both vehicles. Ad-
   components are chosen,
                                    ditional costs for manufacturing the aluminum are included, recognizing some forming
   resulting in a total cost pre-
                                    and joining disadvantages. The aluminum vehicle had more stampings and joints and
   mium of only $103
                                    also had some steel components where they were particularly beneficial. The pow-
ff  or every kilogram taken
   F                                ertrain was resized to match the performance requirement. The cost of the resized
   out of the structure, another    powertrain was determined by reviewing a large number of powertrain components
   0.68 kilograms in second-        of various power or torque outputs. (The analysis fit a regression from small to large
   ary weight savings can be        ICEs.)
   taken out as well
                                    Note: In practice, due to the common approach of “carrying over” components from
                                    model to model, not all sizes might be readily available, but are considered available
                                    in our high-production end-state approach.




                                      www.AluminumInTransportation.org
Methodologies
The study was based on an average, mid-sized family sedan that was designed to
be an aluminum-intensive, safe and highly fuel-efficient automobile. It was a com-
ponent of a new generation vehicle program, in part with the Department of Energy.
The model car used in the study was a real vehicle, not something that was designed
specifically for this study.

The stamping and assembly challenges associated with aluminum were not ignored;
they were considered a part of the future cost analysis. The capital required to build
this type of vehicle was also taken into account. All of the economics associated with
the fuel economy were discounted at a 7 percent rate to determine a net present value
figure for fuel economy. Fuel consumption was calculated on an equivalent accelera-
tion and size basis, so only the mass and the powertrain are changing with the use of
aluminum.

The cost used for aluminum in the study was $1.50 per pound, which was taken
directly from the midpoint of the project in order to avoid any future cost assumptions.   “Aluminum-intensive auto-
The cost used for the steel comparison was $0.35 to $0.37 per pound, which was a             mobiles can be very practi-
mid-range price from the time the study began, therefore using neither a peak, nor a
                                                                                             cal as a cost-effective
low value.
                                                                                             alternative for improving
                                                                                             fuel economy. ”
Study Findings

Figure 1


                     Baseline Steel                  Baseline Aluminum
             Mass (kg)         Cost ($)       Mass (kg)             Cost ($)
Vehicle      1564              $14,871        1288                  $14,974




Figure 1 shows the mass of the baseline steel car of 1,564 kilograms would decrease
to 1,288 kilograms in an aluminum intensive car, meaning a reduction of 275 kg curb
weight or about 17.6 percent.
The primary weight saving – including the parts that are actually changing to alumi-
num in this analysis such as the body-in-white, cradle, and aluminum wheels – was
163 kilograms. However, when this weight is taken out of the structure, there are also
secondary weight savings that are possible by downsizing other components. For
every kilogram taken out of the structure, another 0.68 kilograms in secondary weight
savings can be taken out as well – or a total of 112 kilograms.

A cost premium of $630 was incurred when manufacturing the aluminum structure
and closure panels. However, this cost penalty can be partially offset by secondary
cost savings of $527 if the smaller driveline components are chosen.




                                           www.AluminumInTransportation.org
Figure 2

                    Baseline Steel    Baseline Aluminum
Calc avg mpg        21.7              25.1
Fuel NPV Cost       $9,342            $8,071


Figure 2 shows the savings in mass and powertrain resizing translates to more than a 15 percent increase in average miles
per gallon. (For a 10 percent mass reduction, the mpg was improved by 9 percent.) The estimated mileage of the vehicle
jumps from 21.7 miles per gallon to 25.1 miles per gallon.
Net present value of the fuel was determined by assuming fuel cost at $2.50 per gallon on a vehicle traveling 10,000 miles per
year over a 12-year period, resulting in approximately $1,300 savings in fuel over the life of the vehicle.


Figure 3


Only Structure and Closure Differences
Cost of mass savings (BIW only) ($/kg)                                 $3.51
Secondary Mass Savings, but no Secondary Cost Savings
Cost of mass savings (vehicle) ($/kg)                                  $2.03
Cost of mpg improvement ($/mpg)                                        $163.67
Secondary Cost and Mass Savings
Cost of mass savings (vehicle) ($/kg)                                  $0.37
Cost of mpg improvement ($/mpg)                                        $30.09


When considering the cost to substitute aluminum for steel with no offsetting considerations, the cost of mass savings was
$3.51 per kilogram ($1.59/pound saved).
When the weight savings of the engine and other components are included, but not considering any cost savings, a cost pre-
mium of $2.03 per kilogram ($0.92/pound) was incurred.

Finally, if both the weight and cost savings of the engine and other components are considered, the cost premium reduces to
$0.37 per kilogram ($0.17/pound) for an aluminum intensive vehicle. This brings the cost to improve the car 1 mpg down to
$30.



Conclusion
This research shows that cost-effective solutions exist with aluminum intensive cars and trucks. Under the right conditions,
these vehicles can be economically viable for high-volume vehicles. Further, the fuel savings can be significant and offer a real
benefit to the consumer.

As OEMs look for cost effective solutions to reduce the fuel consumption and emissions of their vehicles, light weight, high
strength aluminum vehicles with appropriately sized powertrains are very attractive.



                                For more information, visit us online at AluminumInTransportation.org




                                          www.AluminumInTransportation.org

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2011 costeffectivetechnology

  • 1. Aluminum as a Cost Effective Technology Background Cost is an issue in every material decision made on an automobile. When making a material substitution, cost can be viewed as a simple part-by-part substitution, a manufacturing and product system cost, and/or increasingly as a lifecycle cost analy- sis (LCA). As automakers (OEMs) apply aluminum to lightweight their vehicles, the focus is increasingly directed toward the system cost and LCA to obtain the desired outcome of an improved driving performance, reduced fuel consumption or reduced emissions. The OEM is increasingly considering how to fully exploit the weight reduction in one or more parts, and allow this weight reduction to offer further weight or cost savings in other vehicle components. The Aluminum Association conducted an objective analysis of the overall cost of ff Cost-effective solutions manufacturing and operating an aluminum-intensive, four-door passenger car versus a exist with aluminum conventional steel car, considering the total manufacturing and operating costs of pas- intensive cars and trucks senger vehicles. The target was a conventional, mass-produced, mid-sized, four-door ff Aluminum-intensive au- passenger vehicle, using conventional internal combustion engines (ICE) and power- tomobiles can be very train components. The vehicles were matched in size and performance (acceleration practical as a cost-effective and driving range). alternative for improving The Association commissioned IBIS Associates, an independent consulting firm fuel economy specializing in technical and economic analysis of materials in manufacturing technol- ff A cost premium of $630 ogy, to analyze the cost-benefit of material choices in high-volume vehicles and the can be partially offset by economics of vehicle design in a future state. secondary cost savings of IBIS set out to analyze vehicle costs assuming a high-volume manufacturing system. $527 if the smaller driveline This system is optimized in terms of manufacturing equipment for both vehicles. Ad- components are chosen, ditional costs for manufacturing the aluminum are included, recognizing some forming resulting in a total cost pre- and joining disadvantages. The aluminum vehicle had more stampings and joints and mium of only $103 also had some steel components where they were particularly beneficial. The pow- ff or every kilogram taken F ertrain was resized to match the performance requirement. The cost of the resized out of the structure, another powertrain was determined by reviewing a large number of powertrain components 0.68 kilograms in second- of various power or torque outputs. (The analysis fit a regression from small to large ary weight savings can be ICEs.) taken out as well Note: In practice, due to the common approach of “carrying over” components from model to model, not all sizes might be readily available, but are considered available in our high-production end-state approach. www.AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 2. Methodologies The study was based on an average, mid-sized family sedan that was designed to be an aluminum-intensive, safe and highly fuel-efficient automobile. It was a com- ponent of a new generation vehicle program, in part with the Department of Energy. The model car used in the study was a real vehicle, not something that was designed specifically for this study. The stamping and assembly challenges associated with aluminum were not ignored; they were considered a part of the future cost analysis. The capital required to build this type of vehicle was also taken into account. All of the economics associated with the fuel economy were discounted at a 7 percent rate to determine a net present value figure for fuel economy. Fuel consumption was calculated on an equivalent accelera- tion and size basis, so only the mass and the powertrain are changing with the use of aluminum. The cost used for aluminum in the study was $1.50 per pound, which was taken directly from the midpoint of the project in order to avoid any future cost assumptions. “Aluminum-intensive auto- The cost used for the steel comparison was $0.35 to $0.37 per pound, which was a mobiles can be very practi- mid-range price from the time the study began, therefore using neither a peak, nor a cal as a cost-effective low value. alternative for improving fuel economy. ” Study Findings Figure 1 Baseline Steel Baseline Aluminum Mass (kg) Cost ($) Mass (kg) Cost ($) Vehicle 1564 $14,871 1288 $14,974 Figure 1 shows the mass of the baseline steel car of 1,564 kilograms would decrease to 1,288 kilograms in an aluminum intensive car, meaning a reduction of 275 kg curb weight or about 17.6 percent. The primary weight saving – including the parts that are actually changing to alumi- num in this analysis such as the body-in-white, cradle, and aluminum wheels – was 163 kilograms. However, when this weight is taken out of the structure, there are also secondary weight savings that are possible by downsizing other components. For every kilogram taken out of the structure, another 0.68 kilograms in secondary weight savings can be taken out as well – or a total of 112 kilograms. A cost premium of $630 was incurred when manufacturing the aluminum structure and closure panels. However, this cost penalty can be partially offset by secondary cost savings of $527 if the smaller driveline components are chosen. www.AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 3. Figure 2 Baseline Steel Baseline Aluminum Calc avg mpg 21.7 25.1 Fuel NPV Cost $9,342 $8,071 Figure 2 shows the savings in mass and powertrain resizing translates to more than a 15 percent increase in average miles per gallon. (For a 10 percent mass reduction, the mpg was improved by 9 percent.) The estimated mileage of the vehicle jumps from 21.7 miles per gallon to 25.1 miles per gallon. Net present value of the fuel was determined by assuming fuel cost at $2.50 per gallon on a vehicle traveling 10,000 miles per year over a 12-year period, resulting in approximately $1,300 savings in fuel over the life of the vehicle. Figure 3 Only Structure and Closure Differences Cost of mass savings (BIW only) ($/kg) $3.51 Secondary Mass Savings, but no Secondary Cost Savings Cost of mass savings (vehicle) ($/kg) $2.03 Cost of mpg improvement ($/mpg) $163.67 Secondary Cost and Mass Savings Cost of mass savings (vehicle) ($/kg) $0.37 Cost of mpg improvement ($/mpg) $30.09 When considering the cost to substitute aluminum for steel with no offsetting considerations, the cost of mass savings was $3.51 per kilogram ($1.59/pound saved). When the weight savings of the engine and other components are included, but not considering any cost savings, a cost pre- mium of $2.03 per kilogram ($0.92/pound) was incurred. Finally, if both the weight and cost savings of the engine and other components are considered, the cost premium reduces to $0.37 per kilogram ($0.17/pound) for an aluminum intensive vehicle. This brings the cost to improve the car 1 mpg down to $30. Conclusion This research shows that cost-effective solutions exist with aluminum intensive cars and trucks. Under the right conditions, these vehicles can be economically viable for high-volume vehicles. Further, the fuel savings can be significant and offer a real benefit to the consumer. As OEMs look for cost effective solutions to reduce the fuel consumption and emissions of their vehicles, light weight, high strength aluminum vehicles with appropriately sized powertrains are very attractive. For more information, visit us online at AluminumInTransportation.org www.AluminumInTransportation.org