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Stock market special report by epic research 4 april 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
The European Central Bank (ECB) opted to keep interest
rates unchanged on Thursday, despite speculation it might
lower them in an attempt to quell fears that price in-
creases were either slowing down or falling into reverse.
The rate was held at the record-low of 0.25%, where it has
stayed since November last year. The interest rate on the
ECB's deposit facility also remained unchanged at 0%.
Asian markets were settling for a subdued session on Fri-
day as investors counted down the hours to the U.S. jobs
report, while the euro nursed a grudge after the European
Central Bank opened the door to more aggressive easing,
albeit not just yet. Japan's Nikkei eased 0.2%, though a
softer yen provided some support. Wall Street was no live-
lier, with the Dow ending flat and the S&P 500 off 0.11%.
Wall Street Update
U.S. stock index futures indicated a higher opening on Wall
Street Friday, lifted by remarks from China's Premier Li
Keqiang that the Chinese government was ready to take
steps to support its economy.
The Dow ended down just a fraction of a point, within
about 4 points of its record closing high of 16,576.66 set
on December 31. The Dow posted an all-time intraday high
during the session.
Previous day Roundup
Equity benchmarks retreated from record highs on Thurs-
day with the Nifty snapping 10-day winning streak on ac-
count of profit booking in banks, oil & gas and capital
goods stocks. The market fell as much as 0.8 percent intra-
day but it managed to trim losses in late trade. The Sensex
was down 42.42 points to close at 22509.07 while the Nifty
fell 16.45 points to 6736.10 after hitting an intraday low of
6,696.90.
The current rally is on the back of foreign funds and a fa-
vorable election verdict could take the Nifty 7,000.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in yesterday’s session. The
sartorial indices performed as follow Consumer Durables
[up 21.15pts], Capital Goods [down 100.85pts], PSU [down
85.46pts], FMCG [up 30.20pts], Realty [down 6.59pts],
Power [down 7.73 pts], Auto [down 17.67pts], Healthcare
[up 97.48pts], IT [down 1.81 pts], Metals [up 35.42pts],
TECK [down 11.67pts], Oil& Gas [down 84.76pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16,572.55 -0.00
S&P 500 1,888.77 -0.11
NASDAQ 4,237.74 -0.91
EURO STO 3,206.76 +0.61
FTSE 100 6,649.14 -0.15
Nikkei 225 15,084.21 -0.08
Hong Kong 22,562.04 -0.01
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
ASIANPAINT 541.30 18.50 +3.54
JINDALSTEL 298.50 8.30 +2.86
HINDUNILVR 610.00 15.40 +2.59
LUPIN 980.20 21.40 +2.23
AMBUJACEM 205.00 4.35 +2.17
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BANKBARODA 751.30 23.80 -3.07
BHEL 187.55 5.80 -3.00
DLF 171.5 5.10 -2.89
PNB 738.50 18.80 -2.48
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABAN 546.55 21.00 +.4.00
APOLLOTYRE 167.55 4.45 +2.73
JSWSTEEL 1057.00 25.55 +2.48
MOIL 255.20 5.95 +2.39
PTC 67.90 0.30 -0.44
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 6,736.10 -16.45 -0.24
SENSEX 22,509.07 -42.42 -0.19
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
- -
2. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. HIND UNILEVER
HIND UNILEVER FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-
tains above 610 levels. We advise buying around 605-610
levels with strict stop loss 595 for the targets of 618-628.
2. BHEL
BHEL FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has
been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains below
185 levels. We advise selling around 185-188 levels with
strict stop loss 192 for the targets of 182-180 levels.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. INSECTICIDES
INSECTICIDES is looking strong on charts. We advise buying
around 250 levels with strict stop loss of 230 for the targets
of 265-280 levels.
MACRO NEWS
IT companies to see wage hikes between 5-10%.
Cairn Energy receives two further notices from Indian tax
authority.
JSPL performance on both steel and power segments have
been more than satisfactory, despite adverse market con-
ditions.
IDFC 's rating unaffected by RBI's in-principle nod for
bank licence.
BJP may reverse UPA’s decision on FDI in multi-brand re-
tail
RBI governor Raghuram Rajan is likely to come under po-
litical pressure to retreat from his hawkish stance on infla-
tion if BJP's prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi
wins in the general elections.
World food prices rose to a 10-month high in March as
crop damage from dry weather across the globe lifted the
cost of everything from beef to wheat. An index of 55
food items climbed 2.3 percent to 212.8 points from a
restated 208 in February,
Soymeal exports to Iran hit as sanctions on Tehran ease.
RBI likely to keep shoring up reserves as rupee gains: DBS
Bank.
3. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 6,700 60.9 3,12,585 47,54,550
NIFTY PE 6,600 34.9 2,79,750 57,34,750
NIFTY PE 6,500 19.45 1,96,918 53,22,500
BANKNIFTY PE 12,500 241 16,900 2,88,075
SBIN PE 1,800 21.95 2,532 1,86,625
IDFC PE 120 3.4 2,293 29,80,000
RELIANCE PE 900 6.4 1,958 2,81,000
IDFC PE 130 8.75 1,399 17,96,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 6,800 74.35 2,56,772 32,77,650
NIFTY CE 6,900 36 2,00,406 44,31,200
NIFTY CE 7,000 15.25 1,28,344 34,50,100
BANKNIFTY CE 13,500 60 14,973 3,17,925
IDFC CE 140 2.05 4,747 54,60,000
UNITECH CE 15 0.8 4,331
1,88,76,00
0
SBIN CE 2,000 28 4,077 5,93,125
UNITECH CE 17 0.35 3,340
1,32,00,00
0
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 38030 1264.61 41511 1387.15 388614 13055.58 -122.54
INDEX OPTIONS 339826 11218.56 336910 11118.42 1448207 48646.04 100.14
STOCK FUTURES 94678 3497.16 98242 3622.41 1078289 37136.56 -125.25
STOCK OPTIONS 37023 1290.19 36313 1267.15 41726 1466.01 23.04
TOTAL 124.61
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 6656.73 6696.41 6736.58 6776.26 6816.43
BANK NIFTY 13302.41 13393.23 13495.66 13586.48 13688.91
NIFTYJUNIOR 13302.41 13393.23 13495.66 13586.48 13688.91
STOCKS IN NEWS
Dabur expects FY15 volume growth at lower end of 8-
12%:
Sahara must pay Rs 10Kcr as bona fide for Roy's re-
lease:
Crompton Greaves gets order worth USD 29 million
from Indonesia.
Tata Motors -Launches passenger, commercial vehi-
cles at Manila International Auto Show 2014.
Shobha Developers Company sold 0.92 mn square feet
valued at Rs 605 cr. at average price realization of Rs
6568 per square feet.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
We advise buying around 6750-6780 levels with strict
stop loss of 6730 for the targets of 6840-6880 levels.
4. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43230 TGTS 43530/43830 SL
42880
SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 42900 TGTS 42700/42400 SL
43250
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 28190 TGTS 28270/28370 SL 28090
SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 28090 TGTS 28010/27910 SL 28200
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
MCX Gold futures for June came off their highs as the
global prices failed to hold onto levels near $1300 per
ounce in electronic session yesterday. Bargain hunting
lifted COMEX Gold futures after series of decline in last
few sessions. The metal is off its seven week low and cur-
rently trades at $1284, down $6.80 per ounce after hitting
highs near $1395 per ounce. MCX Gold futures for June are
quoting at Rs 28048 per 10 grams, almost unchanged on
the day. Some selling is being attributed to the nervous-
ness in global markets ahead of the US non farm payrolls
tomorrow.
Iron ore production is likely to grow 14% to touch 155 mn
tonnes (mt) in 2014-15. For 2013-14, the production of the
raw material remained flat at 136.4 mt compared to 135.8
mt in 2012-13. For 2014-15, increase in production is ex-
pected to come from Goa, Karnataka and Odisha. While
Goa is likely to start production in the 2nd half of the year,
Odisha and Karnataka would increase their production.
Amid weak global cues and subdued domestic demand,
copper prices fell by 0.26% to Rs 403.65 per kg in futures
trade yesterday as speculators reduced positions. At
the MCX, copper for delivery in April fell by Rs 1.05, or
0.26%, to Rs 403.65 per kg in a business turnover of 891
lots. Similarly, the metal for delivery in June traded lower
by Re 1, or 0.24%, to Rs 408.30 per kg in 18 lots. Analysts
attributed the fall in copper futures to weak global trend
as mines in Chile, the world's biggest producer, were re-
turning to normal operations after the government or-
dered an evacuation following an earthquake and tsunami.
Aluminium prices fell by 0.23% to Rs 109.55 per kg in fu-
tures trading yesterday as speculators reduced their posi-
tions amid weak global cues. Further, subdued demand in
the domestic spot markets also weighed on the metal
prices. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminium for
delivery in May eased by 25 paise, or 0.23 per cent, to Rs
109.55 per kg in business turnover of nine lots. The April
contract shed 15 paise, or 0.14 per cent, to Rs 108.25 per
kg in 367 lots. The weakness in aluminium at futures trade
was mostly in tune with a downtrend in base metals at the
LME. At the LME, aluminum lost 0.2 per cent, snapping a
five-day gain, the longest winning streak since September
2012.
COMMODITY MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9525 TGTS 9555,9605 SL 9475
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9450 TGTS 9420,9370 SL 9500
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4795 TGTS 4825,4875 SL 4745
SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4755 TGTS 4725,4675 SL 4805
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4105 -1.35
Chana 3213 -1.68
Coriander 9456 -1.57
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1474 +0.27
Jeera 4760 -0.10
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
9960 +0.25
Mustard seed 3465 +0.12
Soy Bean 4396 +0.26
Turmeric 6390 +1.82
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Turmeric prices traded higher by 1.24% to Rs 6,354 per
quintal yesterday as speculators created fresh positions,
supported by rising demand in the spot market. At
the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, turmeric
for delivery in April rose by Rs 78, or 1.24%, to Rs 6,354 per
quintal with an open interest of 9,360 lots. Similarly, the
spice for delivery in May moved up by Rs 76, or 1.20%, to Rs
6,400 per quintal in 9,070 lots. Fresh positions built-up by
speculators after demand picked up in the spot market
mainly led to rise in turmeric prices at futures trade.
Chana prices declined by 0.40% to Rs 3,255 per quintal in
futures trading today as speculators reduced positions on
sluggish demand in the spot market. At the National Com-
modity and Derivative Exchange, chana for delivery in April
fell by Rs 13, or 0.40%, to Rs 3,255 per quintal with an open
interest of 45,630 lots. Similarly, the commodity for delivery
in May contract traded lower by Rs 13, or 0.39%, to Rs 3,308
per quintal in 68,200 lots. The fall in chana prices at futures
trade to sluggish demand in the spot market against ade-
quate stocks position.
Sugar prices rose by 0.37% to Rs 3,218 per quintal in futures
trade yesterday as speculators enlarged positions, triggered
by a fall in output. Also, rising demand from bulk consumers
supported the upside. At the National Commodity and De-
rivatives Exchange, sugar for delivery in April rose by Rs 12,
or 0.37%, to Rs 3,218 per quintal with an open interest of
26,870 lots.
6. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
USD/INR
BUY USD-INR ABOVE 60.60 TGTS 60.73, 60.88 SL 60.35.
SELL USD-INR BELOW 60.17 TGTS 60.04, 59.89 SL 60.42.
EUR/INR
BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 83.30 TGTS 83.43, 83.58 SL 83.05.
SELL EUR-INR BELOW 82.90 TGTS 82.77, 82.62 SL 83.15.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee dropped to its lowest level in a week on
Thursday, in a reversal from the eight-month high hit just a
day earlier, after shares retreated from a record-setting
rally and as losses accelerated, with importers rushing in to
buy dollars. The rupee was also hit after RBI Governor
Raghuram Rajan was quoted by Mint newspaper as saying
the rupee was "too strong" at 55 to the dollar. Rajan's com-
ments come after he had warned on Wednesday that a gain
in the rupee to 45 or 50 per dollar could hit exports, The RBI
has been spotted buying dollars in the recent session to
shore up its reserves and prevent excessive appreciation in
the rupee.
The partially convertible rupee closed at 60.165/175 per
dollar, compared with its previous close of 59.90/91 close,
after falling to as much as 60.2850 intraday, its weakest
against the dollar since March 28. The reversal comes after
the rupee had risen to as much as 59.5950 on Wednesday,
its strongest since July 30. Indian shares fell on Thursday
after touching their ninth consecutive record high as state-
run banks such as State Bank of India slumped on concerns
about losses on their debt portfolios as domestic bonds ex-
tended a slide this week.
Investors snapped up safe-harbor dollar positions on Thurs-
day ahead of the release of the March jobs report on Friday,
while a mixed bag of economic indicators suggested the U.S.
economy continues improving and will require less support
from the Federal Reserve. In U.S. trading on Thursday, EUR/
USD was down 0.37% at 1.3716. The Labor Department on
Friday will release the March jobs report, and investors
jumped into the safety of the dollar on Thursday to await
the data. Many are hoping the nonfarm payrolls data will
shed light as to how U.S. recovery is unfolding and indicate
how fast the Federal Reserve will unwind its bond-buying
program that has weakened the greenback since late 2012.
The euro was narrowly higher against both the US dollar
and British sterling.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 60.1245 Yen-100 57.8700
Euro 82.7412 GBP 100.0712
7. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
03/04/14 MCX GOLD JUNE BUY 28160 28240-28340 28040 BOOKED PROFIT
03/04/14 MCX GOLD JUNE SELL 27900 27820-27720 28020 NOT EXECUTED
03/04/14 MCX SILVER MAY BUY 43230 43530-43830 42880 BOOKED PROFIT
03/04/14 MCX SILVER MAY SELL 43000 42800-42500 43350 BOOKED PROFIT
03/04/14 NCDEX GUARSEED APR. BUY 4785 4715-4765 4735 NO PROFIT NO LOSS
03/04/14 NCDEX GUARSEED APR. SELL 4720 4690-4640 4770 NOT EXECUTED
03/04/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. BUY 9655 9675-9725 9605 NO EXECUTED
03/04/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. SELL 9510 9480-9430 9560 BOOKED PROFIT
03/04/14 EUR/INR MAR. SELL 82.59 82.46-85.31 82.84 NOT EXECUTED
03/04/14 EUR/INR MAR. BUY 83.02 83.15-83.30 82.77 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
03/04/14 GBP/INR MAR. SELL 99.83 99.70-99.55 100.08 NOT EXECUTED
03/04/14 GBP/INR MAR. BUY 100.50 100.63-100.78 100.25 BOOKED PROFIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
03/04/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY
6750-
6780
6840-6880 6730 CALL OPEN
03/04/14 RANBAXY FUTURE BUY 400-405 415-425 390 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
03/04/14 IDFC FUTURE BUY 128-130 134-138 125 NOT EXECUTED
03/04/14 STRIDES CASH BUY 445 460-480 430 NOT EXECUTED
02/04/14 NIFTY FUTURE SELL
6780-
6800
6750-6710 6825 BOOKED PROFIT
02/04/14 SSLT FUTURE BUY 190-192 195-198 187 CALL OPEN
02/04/14 TATA MOTOR DVR FUTURE BUY 212-214 218-220 208 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
02/04/14 GATI LTD CASH BUY 92 96-100 88 SL TRIGGERED
01/04/14 BGR ENERGY CASH BUY 130-135 142-148 122 CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
04th
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MARCH 31
9:45 am Chicago PMI March 59.2 59.8
TUESDAY, APRIL 01
9:45 am Markit PMI March -- 55.5
10 am ISM March 54.0% 53.2%
10 am Construction spending Feb. 0.0% 0.1%
TBA Motor vehicle sales March 15.8 mln 15.3 mln
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 02
8:15 am ADP employment March -- 139,000
10 am Factory orders Feb. 0.5% -0.7%
THURSDAY, APRIL 03
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3-22 N/A N/A
8:30 am Trade deficit Feb. -39.4 bln -$39.1 bln
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing March 53.2% 51.6%
FRIDAY ,APRIL 04
8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls March 192,000 175,000