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Stimulus Bill & Health
                  Exchange Market
                   Impact & Analysis

                         By: John Moore
                    John@chilmarkresearch.com


                                Copyright: Chilmark Research
                        For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                 1
                                      expressed permission
Agenda


            Macro Market
                E.g., Stimulus, Provider Market, etc.
            Current Exchange Market
                Status, Trends
            Future Directions
                Stimulus Impact & Market Direction




                                   Copyright: Chilmark Research
                           For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                    2
                                         expressed permission
Defining HIE & RHIO per NAHIT

         Health Information Exchange
                “The electronic movement of health-related information
                among organizations according to nationally recognized
                standards.”
                   Internal governance => Hospitals, IDNs, etc


         Regional Health Information Organization
                An organization that oversees and governs the exchange
                of health-related information among organizations
                according to nationally recognized standards.
                   External governance => Govt., Payers, Foundations,
                   etc.



                                       Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                        3
                                             expressed permission
Macro Market Trends: ARRA Legislation

            HITECH Act
                $300M Directly Targeting “Exchanges”
                  Discretion of ONC director
                     Administered by States
                     Will target RHIOs
                  Dwarfs Previous Federal Investments
                Other Potential Exchange Funding Sources:
                  $1.5B Health Resources & Services Admin
                  $85M Bureau of Indian Affairs
                  $1.1B NIH & AHRQ
                     Comparative Effectiveness projects may fund
                     Exchanges (HIEs) at hospitals & IDNs
            Other Stimulus Funding for Exchanges???
                $4B+ Broadband, SSA?
                                     Copyright: Chilmark Research
                             For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                      4
                                           expressed permission
Implications of ARRA Legislation (cont.)

            “Meaningful Use of Certified EHR”
                Information Sharing for Care Coordination
                Quality Measures Reported
                eRx
                   Implications for HIE & RHIOs?
            Extension of “Certified” to Include RHIO/HIE
            Technology?
                CCHIT ‘09 Certification Initiative
            Research & Extension Centers
                Focus on Interoperability
                   Core premise of Exchanges
            New HIPAA Guidelines
                Consumer Consent & Breach Notification
                State Attorney Generals Can Sue

                                        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                         5
                                              expressed permission
Implications of ARRA Legislation (cont.)

         Funding to States in Two Categories
                Planning Grants
                   Less restrictive
                   Bring together stakeholders to lay out framework,
                   governance, etc.
                   Forecast minority funding from ONC
                Implementation Grants (“Shovel Ready”) Must Have…
                   Operating governance structure
                   Detailed technical plan
                   Defined clinical use cases
                   Statewide privacy & security policies in place
         States Required to Provide Matching Funds After 2011
                Rush to Get in Line



                                          Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                  For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                           6
                                                expressed permission
ARRA Requires HIT Standardization

            Secretary Must Adopt Standards for NHIN
                Deadline: Dec. 31, 2009
                All Federal Agencies Must Follow Standards
                   States will likely follow suit
                Voluntary for Private Entities (HIEs) But:
                   Agencies shall require by contract or agreement the
                   use of standards in new or upgraded systems
                   Standards tied into ability to receive Medicare and
                   Medicaid incentives




                                       Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                        7
                                             expressed permission
Looking Globally




                        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                         8
                              expressed permission
United States vs. Rest of World cont.

        International Initiatives
                Based on Top-down Model
                   Driven by National Entity
                Have a Clear Command Structure
                   High-level Advisors
                Are Well-funded
                   Long sales & delivery cycles
                Consistent within Country, not World
                   Cultures, control, engagement
                Broad Adoption Obtainable
                   National Health Systems drive
                   adoption



                                          Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                  For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                           9
                                                expressed permission
United States vs. Rest of World

      US HIE/RHIO Initiatives are…
           Bottoms-up Model
                 Local/Regional
           Consensus Based
                 Significant Legal/Security Issues to Negotiate
           Funding a Challenge
           Little Consistency
                 Trial and Error
           Broad Adoption Elusive
                 Value for who?



                Exchange Activities in All 50 States
                                       Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                        10
                                             expressed permission
Status of State Initiatives Varies Widely




                        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                         11
                              expressed permission
~200 RHIOs/HIEs in US Today

         eHI and HIMSS Significantly Different
                HIMSS*: Extremely Broad Definition = 475 Exchanges
                   102 proposed
                eHI*: Tighter, More Govt. Focused = 130 Exchanges
         75% Still in Formative Stages
         Majority Struggle with Business Model
                Many Failed Attempts
                   Some barely surviving
         HIEs Tend to Perform Better
                Business Case is Clear
                   Value proposition in place
                                                                                     *HIMSS: Health Information Mgmt Systems Society
                                                                                     *eHI: eHealth Initiative




          RHIOs & HIEs are Distinctly Different
                                       Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                                                                12
                                             expressed permission
RHIO Market -> Government Sponsored

         Driven by Government
                States: Keen Interest in
                RHIOs
                   eHI Adoption #1 in
                   2007
                   Most have something
                   happening in their State
                       Localized
         More Failures than
         Successes
                Business model
                   Define Value Prop.
                Leadership
                   Governance

         Improve Quality, Safety & Lower Costs
                                         Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                 For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                          13
                                               expressed permission
Objectives Drive Attributes - (RHIOs)

            RHIOs Focus on Public Health
                Quality reporting
                   Need for metrics/analytics
                Patient Safety
                   Minimize ADEs
                Lower Costs
                   Care Coordination
                      Disease Mgmt
                   Data aggregation & distribution
                      Minimize duplicate testing
                   Alerts
                Today, Strong Focus on eRx


                                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                              For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                       14
                                            expressed permission
Sustainability Remains a Challenge

        Over 80% Report Very to Moderate Difficulty
        in Creating Self-Sustaining Model
        Financial Models in State of Flux
                Subscription or Transaction Fees Dominant
                   Often insufficient
                Migration to Value-added Services
                   Produce reports (eg Quality)
                      Coordinate financial incentives
                   EMR implementation guidance
                      EMR data uploads
                   Workflow analysis

                                        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                         15
                                              expressed permission
HIE Market Driven by Hospitals & IDNS

         More Difficult to Measure
         Number of HIEs
                Wide Range of Deployments
                Wide range of Models
                  Some in HIMSS numbers are little
                  more than a portal
                    A Portal is not an Exchange
                Most Large IDNs Have Something
                  Live or “In the Works”
         Increasing Interest in Highly
         Competitive Markets


                                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                              For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                       16
                                            expressed permission
Objectives Drives Attributes (HIEs)

            HIEs Focus on Erecting Competitive Barriers
                Strengthen & Retain Relationships
                   Affiliated Practices & Physicians
                   Ease data access
                       Push via publish/subscribe
                Drive Revenue
                   Facilitate transactions
                   Keep referrals, orders, etc. in network
                Lower Costs
                   Distribution of results
                Tap P4P Initiatives
                   Analytics for reporting



                                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                              For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                       17
                                            expressed permission
Two Dominant Architectures

       Repository (Hub n’Spoke) -
       Common in RHIOs                                                                 Ph1         Ph2
                                                                               H1                        H2
                Positives: Common Data Model
                & GUI, Common Security/Access,                            L1                                   L2
                Population Health                                                            Hub
                Challenges: Negotiating Data                             Im1                                  Im2
                Ownership, Complex and Long
                Implementations, Cost Sharing,                                 Rx1                       Rx2
                Higher Upfront Costs                                                   Pa1         Pa2


       Example: Axolotl

                     Struggles with Complex Data
                           Ownership Issues
                                         Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                 For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                                                       18
                                               expressed permission
Two Dominant Architectures (cont.)

         Federated - Common in
         HIEs
                Positives: Fast Installs, Data                                H1       Ph1   Ph2   H2

                Ownership Preserved, Lower
                Upfront Costs                                                 L1                   L2


                Challenges: Scalability,                                     Im1                   Im2
                Security/Access, Standards,
                Population Health Studies                                    Rx1       Pa1   Pa2   Rx2

         Example: Novo Innovations



         Federated Architecture Does Not Scale
                                         Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                 For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                                            19
                                               expressed permission
Cloud on the Horizon?

         Utility Service Model
                                                                      Im1         H1   Ph1     Ph2   H2   Im2
                Positives: Similar to
                Repository, Scalability,                               L1                                 L2

                Lower Costs?
                                                                      Pa1                                 Pa2
                Challenges: Access
                Privileges, Audit Trail, Data                         Rx1                                 Rx2
                Ownership
                                                                                         Utility
         Example:
                HealthVault, Google Health


                    Trust in a Third Party Entity?
                                        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                                                   20
                                              expressed permission
Future Trends

           Massive Stimulus Funding will Distort Market
                More than Doubles Current Exchange Software Market
                Strong Likelihood of Many More “Santa Barbaras”
           Current NHIN Vision will Never Materialize
                Too Many X-State Data Ownership & Regulatory Issues
                   ARRA makes situation worse with new State AG powers
                NHIN will Model Rail System in US, vs. Interstate System
                Health Clouds will Resolve Data Ownership & Consent Issues
                for “Engaged Consumers”
           Despite Funding, RHIO Market will Remain Difficult
           for Vendors
                HIE Market: Far More Lucrative

                                       Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                        21
                                             expressed permission
Key Points

       Two Distinct Markets, HIEs & RHIOs
       Requires Separate Go-to-Market Strategies
            Little Overlap in Operational Structure
            Modest Overlap in Needs
       No Dominant Vendors
            Large HIT/EMR Vendors are Out
       RHIOs are Migrating to Services
            Exchanges Moving Beyond Subscription/Transaction Model
       Payers Stepping Up to the Plate
            Large Employers Beginning to Engage
       Other Federal Agencies Showing Interest
            SSA is Getting Increasingly Involved


                                       Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                        22
                                             expressed permission
???
 Big Question Marks

        Will ONC Legitimize CCHIT
                CCHIT Released New ‘09 Certification Guidelines for
                Exchange Solutions
                Focus on Security & Simple Exchange
                   Exchange one of three scenarios
        Will Health Banks Gain Trust=Traction
                Hybrid, Consumer/Patient-centric
                Track Roll-out in WA State, 3 Sites
                   1 Google Health & 2 HealthVault
        New HIPAA Guidelines
                Interpretation of Consent in HITECH Act
                Implications to Data Ownership & Sharing
        Definition of “Meaningful Use of EHR”
                Legislation Highlights Info Sharing
                   Proof via an Exchange?

                                          Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                  For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                           23
                                                expressed permission
Final Thoughts…
        Does RHIO Know What They Are
        Doing?
                Do they Understand Value
                Proposition?
                   For whom?
                Ultimately, it must work for
                Physician!!!
        2009 is the Set-up Year for RHIOs
                2010 Funding for Shovel Ready - a Rush?
                2011 States Provide Matching Funds
        HIEs will Move Ahead Steadily in Competitive Markets

                Wild Card: “Meaningful Use of EHR”
                                          Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                  For internal use only, not for distribution without
March 4, 2009                                                                           24
                                                expressed permission

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Stimulus Bill & HIE, RHIO Market

  • 1. Stimulus Bill & Health Exchange Market Impact & Analysis By: John Moore John@chilmarkresearch.com Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 1 expressed permission
  • 2. Agenda Macro Market E.g., Stimulus, Provider Market, etc. Current Exchange Market Status, Trends Future Directions Stimulus Impact & Market Direction Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 2 expressed permission
  • 3. Defining HIE & RHIO per NAHIT Health Information Exchange “The electronic movement of health-related information among organizations according to nationally recognized standards.” Internal governance => Hospitals, IDNs, etc Regional Health Information Organization An organization that oversees and governs the exchange of health-related information among organizations according to nationally recognized standards. External governance => Govt., Payers, Foundations, etc. Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 3 expressed permission
  • 4. Macro Market Trends: ARRA Legislation HITECH Act $300M Directly Targeting “Exchanges” Discretion of ONC director Administered by States Will target RHIOs Dwarfs Previous Federal Investments Other Potential Exchange Funding Sources: $1.5B Health Resources & Services Admin $85M Bureau of Indian Affairs $1.1B NIH & AHRQ Comparative Effectiveness projects may fund Exchanges (HIEs) at hospitals & IDNs Other Stimulus Funding for Exchanges??? $4B+ Broadband, SSA? Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 4 expressed permission
  • 5. Implications of ARRA Legislation (cont.) “Meaningful Use of Certified EHR” Information Sharing for Care Coordination Quality Measures Reported eRx Implications for HIE & RHIOs? Extension of “Certified” to Include RHIO/HIE Technology? CCHIT ‘09 Certification Initiative Research & Extension Centers Focus on Interoperability Core premise of Exchanges New HIPAA Guidelines Consumer Consent & Breach Notification State Attorney Generals Can Sue Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 5 expressed permission
  • 6. Implications of ARRA Legislation (cont.) Funding to States in Two Categories Planning Grants Less restrictive Bring together stakeholders to lay out framework, governance, etc. Forecast minority funding from ONC Implementation Grants (“Shovel Ready”) Must Have… Operating governance structure Detailed technical plan Defined clinical use cases Statewide privacy & security policies in place States Required to Provide Matching Funds After 2011 Rush to Get in Line Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 6 expressed permission
  • 7. ARRA Requires HIT Standardization Secretary Must Adopt Standards for NHIN Deadline: Dec. 31, 2009 All Federal Agencies Must Follow Standards States will likely follow suit Voluntary for Private Entities (HIEs) But: Agencies shall require by contract or agreement the use of standards in new or upgraded systems Standards tied into ability to receive Medicare and Medicaid incentives Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 7 expressed permission
  • 8. Looking Globally Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 8 expressed permission
  • 9. United States vs. Rest of World cont. International Initiatives Based on Top-down Model Driven by National Entity Have a Clear Command Structure High-level Advisors Are Well-funded Long sales & delivery cycles Consistent within Country, not World Cultures, control, engagement Broad Adoption Obtainable National Health Systems drive adoption Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 9 expressed permission
  • 10. United States vs. Rest of World US HIE/RHIO Initiatives are… Bottoms-up Model Local/Regional Consensus Based Significant Legal/Security Issues to Negotiate Funding a Challenge Little Consistency Trial and Error Broad Adoption Elusive Value for who? Exchange Activities in All 50 States Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 10 expressed permission
  • 11. Status of State Initiatives Varies Widely Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 11 expressed permission
  • 12. ~200 RHIOs/HIEs in US Today eHI and HIMSS Significantly Different HIMSS*: Extremely Broad Definition = 475 Exchanges 102 proposed eHI*: Tighter, More Govt. Focused = 130 Exchanges 75% Still in Formative Stages Majority Struggle with Business Model Many Failed Attempts Some barely surviving HIEs Tend to Perform Better Business Case is Clear Value proposition in place *HIMSS: Health Information Mgmt Systems Society *eHI: eHealth Initiative RHIOs & HIEs are Distinctly Different Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 12 expressed permission
  • 13. RHIO Market -> Government Sponsored Driven by Government States: Keen Interest in RHIOs eHI Adoption #1 in 2007 Most have something happening in their State Localized More Failures than Successes Business model Define Value Prop. Leadership Governance Improve Quality, Safety & Lower Costs Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 13 expressed permission
  • 14. Objectives Drive Attributes - (RHIOs) RHIOs Focus on Public Health Quality reporting Need for metrics/analytics Patient Safety Minimize ADEs Lower Costs Care Coordination Disease Mgmt Data aggregation & distribution Minimize duplicate testing Alerts Today, Strong Focus on eRx Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 14 expressed permission
  • 15. Sustainability Remains a Challenge Over 80% Report Very to Moderate Difficulty in Creating Self-Sustaining Model Financial Models in State of Flux Subscription or Transaction Fees Dominant Often insufficient Migration to Value-added Services Produce reports (eg Quality) Coordinate financial incentives EMR implementation guidance EMR data uploads Workflow analysis Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 15 expressed permission
  • 16. HIE Market Driven by Hospitals & IDNS More Difficult to Measure Number of HIEs Wide Range of Deployments Wide range of Models Some in HIMSS numbers are little more than a portal A Portal is not an Exchange Most Large IDNs Have Something Live or “In the Works” Increasing Interest in Highly Competitive Markets Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 16 expressed permission
  • 17. Objectives Drives Attributes (HIEs) HIEs Focus on Erecting Competitive Barriers Strengthen & Retain Relationships Affiliated Practices & Physicians Ease data access Push via publish/subscribe Drive Revenue Facilitate transactions Keep referrals, orders, etc. in network Lower Costs Distribution of results Tap P4P Initiatives Analytics for reporting Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 17 expressed permission
  • 18. Two Dominant Architectures Repository (Hub n’Spoke) - Common in RHIOs Ph1 Ph2 H1 H2 Positives: Common Data Model & GUI, Common Security/Access, L1 L2 Population Health Hub Challenges: Negotiating Data Im1 Im2 Ownership, Complex and Long Implementations, Cost Sharing, Rx1 Rx2 Higher Upfront Costs Pa1 Pa2 Example: Axolotl Struggles with Complex Data Ownership Issues Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 18 expressed permission
  • 19. Two Dominant Architectures (cont.) Federated - Common in HIEs Positives: Fast Installs, Data H1 Ph1 Ph2 H2 Ownership Preserved, Lower Upfront Costs L1 L2 Challenges: Scalability, Im1 Im2 Security/Access, Standards, Population Health Studies Rx1 Pa1 Pa2 Rx2 Example: Novo Innovations Federated Architecture Does Not Scale Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 19 expressed permission
  • 20. Cloud on the Horizon? Utility Service Model Im1 H1 Ph1 Ph2 H2 Im2 Positives: Similar to Repository, Scalability, L1 L2 Lower Costs? Pa1 Pa2 Challenges: Access Privileges, Audit Trail, Data Rx1 Rx2 Ownership Utility Example: HealthVault, Google Health Trust in a Third Party Entity? Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 20 expressed permission
  • 21. Future Trends Massive Stimulus Funding will Distort Market More than Doubles Current Exchange Software Market Strong Likelihood of Many More “Santa Barbaras” Current NHIN Vision will Never Materialize Too Many X-State Data Ownership & Regulatory Issues ARRA makes situation worse with new State AG powers NHIN will Model Rail System in US, vs. Interstate System Health Clouds will Resolve Data Ownership & Consent Issues for “Engaged Consumers” Despite Funding, RHIO Market will Remain Difficult for Vendors HIE Market: Far More Lucrative Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 21 expressed permission
  • 22. Key Points Two Distinct Markets, HIEs & RHIOs Requires Separate Go-to-Market Strategies Little Overlap in Operational Structure Modest Overlap in Needs No Dominant Vendors Large HIT/EMR Vendors are Out RHIOs are Migrating to Services Exchanges Moving Beyond Subscription/Transaction Model Payers Stepping Up to the Plate Large Employers Beginning to Engage Other Federal Agencies Showing Interest SSA is Getting Increasingly Involved Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 22 expressed permission
  • 23. ??? Big Question Marks Will ONC Legitimize CCHIT CCHIT Released New ‘09 Certification Guidelines for Exchange Solutions Focus on Security & Simple Exchange Exchange one of three scenarios Will Health Banks Gain Trust=Traction Hybrid, Consumer/Patient-centric Track Roll-out in WA State, 3 Sites 1 Google Health & 2 HealthVault New HIPAA Guidelines Interpretation of Consent in HITECH Act Implications to Data Ownership & Sharing Definition of “Meaningful Use of EHR” Legislation Highlights Info Sharing Proof via an Exchange? Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 23 expressed permission
  • 24. Final Thoughts… Does RHIO Know What They Are Doing? Do they Understand Value Proposition? For whom? Ultimately, it must work for Physician!!! 2009 is the Set-up Year for RHIOs 2010 Funding for Shovel Ready - a Rush? 2011 States Provide Matching Funds HIEs will Move Ahead Steadily in Competitive Markets Wild Card: “Meaningful Use of EHR” Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution without March 4, 2009 24 expressed permission