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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   28thMay 2012


              Nifty Analysis                       Equity Index and Currency Overview
Maximum                                            Nifty saw marginal short covering as discount narrowed
               5000         4900        4800
Call OI                                            and open interest was flat, along with India VIX falling by
Maximum                                            1%.
               4700         4800        4900
Put OI
                4700 and 4900 PE
Writing
                4900 and 5000 CE
                                                   Bank Nifty saw short covering with narrowing discount
                                                   and steady open interest.
Buying              5100 CE
             4700, 4800 and 5100 CE
Unwinding
            4500,4600,4800 & 5000 PE               The equilibrium for the Nifty remained at 4900, while the
Equilibrium     4900 (unchanged)
                                                   Bank Nifty equilibrium went up by 100 to 9300.
Futures
             Discount 1vs Discount 8               USD/INR closed at a discount to RBI reference rate once
Discount
Futures OI No Change- Short Covering
                                                   again with drop in open interest by 2% ahead of the
                                                   settlement on the 29th. The ATM IVs also fell by 2.25%
India VIX            25.14 down by 1%
                                                   indicating range-bound movement.
            Bank Nifty Analysis                    STOCK FUTURES
Maximum
               9500         9400        9600
Call OI
                                                   Long Buildup ( Bullish) :
Maximum
Put OI
               9000         9100        9500       Balrampur, BOI, Bata, Dena, Divis, DLF, Fortis, GAIL,
                  9000 to 9400PE                   HDIL, IB Real, IOB, JP Associate, Jubilant, MRF, Praj,
Writing                                            Punj, Ranbaxy, Tata Motors, TVS Motor, Voltas, Tata
                  9500 to 9600 CE
Buying                9400CE                       Steel.
                  9000 to 9300 CE
Unwinding
            8800, 9100,9500 to10000 PE Long Unwinding (Bearish) :
Equilibrium        9300 (up 100)       Cairn, Cummins, Exide, India Cement, JSW Energy,
Futures                                McDowell, Polaris, SR Trans Fin
             Discount 39vs Discount 78
Discount
Futures OI No change – Short Covering Short Buildup ( Bearish) :
                                                   Crompton, GujFluoro, Hind Petro, Jindal Steel, M&M,
             USD/INR Analysis                      Maruti, NMDC, Voltas
                 1            2           3
Maximum
                                                   Short Unwinding ( Bullish) :
                 55           56         55.5      IOC
Call OI
Maximum
                54.5          55         55.5
Put OI                                             Call Writing at Resistance strike against Investment :
Equilibrium        55.25 (down 0.75)               Cairn 340, HPCL 320 , Maruti 1150, M&M 660
FuturesDis     Discount 0.31 vs Discount
count                     0.58                     Put Writing at Support strike for Investment :
Futures OI
                   Down by 2%(Long                 Bata 860, DLF 180, Tata Steel 380
                       unwinding)
ATM IV        9.25 vs 11.5 ( down by 2.25)         SOURCE – NSE

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Keynote technicals commodity intraday levels for 260213
 
Keynote derivatives daily report for 260213
Keynote derivatives daily report for 260213Keynote derivatives daily report for 260213
Keynote derivatives daily report for 260213
 

Daily Derivatives Outlook

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 28thMay 2012 Nifty Analysis Equity Index and Currency Overview Maximum Nifty saw marginal short covering as discount narrowed 5000 4900 4800 Call OI and open interest was flat, along with India VIX falling by Maximum 1%. 4700 4800 4900 Put OI 4700 and 4900 PE Writing 4900 and 5000 CE Bank Nifty saw short covering with narrowing discount and steady open interest. Buying 5100 CE 4700, 4800 and 5100 CE Unwinding 4500,4600,4800 & 5000 PE The equilibrium for the Nifty remained at 4900, while the Equilibrium 4900 (unchanged) Bank Nifty equilibrium went up by 100 to 9300. Futures Discount 1vs Discount 8 USD/INR closed at a discount to RBI reference rate once Discount Futures OI No Change- Short Covering again with drop in open interest by 2% ahead of the settlement on the 29th. The ATM IVs also fell by 2.25% India VIX 25.14 down by 1% indicating range-bound movement. Bank Nifty Analysis STOCK FUTURES Maximum 9500 9400 9600 Call OI Long Buildup ( Bullish) : Maximum Put OI 9000 9100 9500 Balrampur, BOI, Bata, Dena, Divis, DLF, Fortis, GAIL, 9000 to 9400PE HDIL, IB Real, IOB, JP Associate, Jubilant, MRF, Praj, Writing Punj, Ranbaxy, Tata Motors, TVS Motor, Voltas, Tata 9500 to 9600 CE Buying 9400CE Steel. 9000 to 9300 CE Unwinding 8800, 9100,9500 to10000 PE Long Unwinding (Bearish) : Equilibrium 9300 (up 100) Cairn, Cummins, Exide, India Cement, JSW Energy, Futures McDowell, Polaris, SR Trans Fin Discount 39vs Discount 78 Discount Futures OI No change – Short Covering Short Buildup ( Bearish) : Crompton, GujFluoro, Hind Petro, Jindal Steel, M&M, USD/INR Analysis Maruti, NMDC, Voltas 1 2 3 Maximum Short Unwinding ( Bullish) : 55 56 55.5 IOC Call OI Maximum 54.5 55 55.5 Put OI Call Writing at Resistance strike against Investment : Equilibrium 55.25 (down 0.75) Cairn 340, HPCL 320 , Maruti 1150, M&M 660 FuturesDis Discount 0.31 vs Discount count 0.58 Put Writing at Support strike for Investment : Futures OI Down by 2%(Long Bata 860, DLF 180, Tata Steel 380 unwinding) ATM IV 9.25 vs 11.5 ( down by 2.25) SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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