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Dynamic Portfolio Construction
        in the Context of
Comprehensive Wealth Management

     David John Marotta, CFP®, AIF®


         Marotta Wealth Management
             www.eMarotta.com
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Comprehensive Wealth
                            Management




  Life Planning

   Investment
   Management
Financial Planning
Wealth Management
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Inflation
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
The Importance of
                                Asset Allocation



      Diversification Improves Returns

Return Year 1 Year 2 Total
  A      0%    30%   30%
  B     30%     0%   30%
A & B 15% 15% 32.25%
Rebalance
The Importance of
                      Asset Allocation



Correlation & Risk - Return
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Developing An Optimum
 Static Asset Allocation
Data 1927-2010
Data 1927-2010
Developing A Dynamic
   Asset Allocation
Expense ratio of 0.19%
P/E Ratio: Price / Earnings
 Price: Market Value per Share
 Earnings: Earnings per Share (EPS)
    Earnings:
       Trailing 4 quarters (trailing P/E)
       Projected 4 quarters (projected or forward P/E)
       Last 2 quarters and estimates for the next 2 quarters

P/E Ratio: $10
 Price: $10 / Share
 Earnings: $1 per Share
    Earnings:
       Trailing 40 quarters (10-year trailing P/E)
12-Month Forward P/E Ratio
 Does indicate expected return
 Always better to be invested


Ratio of P/E Ratios:
 Russell 2000 (Small Cap)
 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio      = 1.033 (mean)
 Russell 1000 (Large Cap)
 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio        0.122 (Std Dev)


  0.911          1.033                  1.155
  -1 Std Dev     Mean                   +1 Std Dev
  Small is cheap Average                Large is cheap
Russell 2000 (Small Cap)
12-Month Forward P/E Ratio   = 1.033 (mean)
Russell 1000 (Large Cap)
12-Month Forward P/E Ratio     0.122 (Std Dev)
R2000 PE / R1000 PE
 0.911          1.033         1.155
 -1 Std Dev     Mean          +1 Std Dev
 Small is cheap Average       Large is cheap
R1000 Return – R2000 Return

 Difference in Returns
 Outperformance of Large
Expense ratio of 0.17%
Value and Growth
Russell 1000 Growth
12-Month Forward Ratio       = 1.459 (mean)
Russell 1000 Value
12-Month Forward P/E Ratio     0.264 (Std Dev)
Dynamic Asset Allocation
 May boost returns even more
 than tilting small and value

Can be adjusted quarterly or annually

Should not increase transaction costs

Can be implemented using
12-Month Forward P/E ratios
United States   Where in the World
                Should You Invest?
United States   Where in the World
                    Should You Invest?




 Affluence
Automation
   Asia
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
                       Should You Invest?



World Equity Markets
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Freedom Investing
Where in the World
                            Should You Invest?



Index of Economic Freedom
Where in the World
                            Should You Invest?



Index of Economic Freedom
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Carlos Slim Helu
Where in the World
                       Should You Invest?



Developed and Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets   Where in the World
                   Should You Invest?
Emerging Markets   Where in the World
                   Should You Invest?
Emerging Markets   Where in the World
                   Should You Invest?
North Korea at night
Santiago, Chile
Resource Stocks
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Where in the World
Should You Invest?
Safe Spending
                Getting Your Retirement
                         Back on Track
Dynamic Portfolio Construction
        in the Context of
Comprehensive Wealth Management

     David John Marotta, CFP®, AIF®


         Marotta Wealth Management
             www.eMarotta.com

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