Graduation programs creating ladders out of extreme poverty nassreena sampaco baddiri
1. Impact of the Graduation
Model: highlighting
worldwide efforts
Innovations for Poverty Action
2. Adaptation at 10 Sites
• Adaptation sponsored by CGAP and Ford Foundation:
Ghana, Haiti, Honduras, India (3), Ethiopia, Pakistan,
Peru, Yemen
• Randomized evaluations at 8 sites ( )
2
3. Why Evaluate?
• Thinking forward
• Not looking backwards
• What is the impact of the Graduation
model on the ultra poor?
– Impact evaluation measures:
How have the lives of clients changed
compared to how they would have
changed in the absence of the
program
– Note this is different from “How have
their lives changed”
www.poverty-action.org
3
17. Peru: Returns to Guinea Pigs
Number of Guinea Pigs Sold
6
5
4
3
2
1
May
2011
Sept
2011
Dec
2011
March
2012
June
2012
Round
Control
www.poverty-action.org
Treatment
17
Sept
2012
Jan
2013
18. Peru: Returns to Guinea Pigs
Weekly Net Income from Guinea Pigs
6
4
2
0
May
2011
Sept
2011
Dec
2011
March
2012
June
2012
Round
Control
www.poverty-action.org
Treatment
18
Sept
2012
Jan
2013
19. Take-away points
• Integrated approach: whole bigger than sum of
the parts?
• Early impacts quite positive, but not 100% of
time
– When does it work, when does it not?
• Improving the model:
– Which program components are most useful?
– Compare to cash
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Closer look at Honduras: Analysis ongoing.Returns to livelihood measures net value over a 1 month periodOverall Median: -14Overall Mean: 1.569Monthly returns to chickens:458 households had zero returns;1845 households had negative returnsAsset Selection: expensive to upkeep, not adapted to environment and circumstances, many died from illnessChickens that were given were not the typical chickens native to the area, they were more expensive and required special care. Households were encouraged to buy “concentrado” – a special, and more costly, chicken feed (as opposed to just feeding them maize). Furthermore, the chickens were maladapted to the environment and their specific circumstances – many of them died due to illness Across all 5 consumption surveys, 52.8% of households said they had chickens who died from disease in the past 3 months. The average number of chickens who died from disease (in past 3 months) is 12.60.