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Framing the Challenge
& Opportunity:
Residential Buildings



National Housing Conference
September 26, 2011



Lori Bamberger

Seeding Markets, Sustaining Communities
The Framework for Residential Energy Financing Innovations


• The Opportunity & What’s at Stake
 • Carbon
 • Multifamily & Single Family

• Barriers


• Local and National Innovations
 • Information Perfecting (Labels, Disclosures)
 • Marketing
 • Financing




                                    Confidential   Lori Bamberger Consulting 2
Residential buildings make up a large chunk of the
  nation’s emissions


                                                                             Industrial,
                                                                                12%

                                                                                           Residential
Buildings                                                                    Commercial,
                                                                                           buildings
account for 43             Transportation
                                                                                40%
                                                                                           account for
                               32%
                                                 Buildings
percent of                                         43%                                     almost half of
U.S. CO2                                                                                   the built
emissions                                                                                  environment’s
                                      Industry
                                                                            Residential,   emissions
                                                                               48%
                                        25%




      So, residential buildings account for 21 percent of all U.S. CO2 emissions
And, the vast majority of CO2 emissions come from single family, owned homes
                              that will still exist in 2050…

 Source: Pew Center on Global Climate Change and Nehemiah Stone

                                                             Confidential                   Lori Bamberger Consulting 3
Residential emissions have increased substantially
 in the last 18 years




                                                                      CO2 emissions from residential
                                                                        buildings increased much
                                                                        faster than all sectors except
                                            All sectors, 15.9%
                                                                        commercial operations
                                                                        between 1990 and 2008 and
                                                                        surpassed the overall average
                                                                        increase by over 10
                                                                        percentage points




Source: Energy Information Administration

                                                       Confidential                     Lori Bamberger Consulting 4
The Multifamily Opportunity


35 Million Families In all U.S. Multifamily
  • Approximately 1/3 of all Californian households (~4.2 million)

Federally Subsidized Subset: Big, Old Buildings
  • 34,614 HUD subsidized buildings
  • 5 million HUD and LIHTC subsidized, affordable housing units

Enormous Federal Energy Cost Outlay
  • $6.8 billion in federal HUD expenditures: 15–20% of HUD’s budget
  • More billions in LIHTC, USDA, and VA subsidized housing

29% ($9 billion) in Energy Savings estimated from MF alone
  • $1.9 billion in savings estimated from HUD’s MF potential

Large Aggregation Opportunity due to fewer owners


                                      Confidential                   Lori Bamberger Consulting 5
Older MF buildings increase the Energy CCC’s:
Consumption, Costs, & Carbon Emissions

                                                 Household
Multifamily 5   Number of    Percent of All                                     Average
                                                   BTU        BTU/Sq. Ft.
units of More   Households   Households                                       Energy Costs
                                                Consumption
Before 1940        1.4            1%                   76.6     122.8              $1,506

1940−1959          2.0            2%                   72.4     101.5              $1,434

1960−1979          6.2            6%                   52.3      66.2               $1,110

1980-1999          5.9            5%                   47.8      60.6              $1,103

2000 or later      1.3            1%                   44.2      50.4              $1,092




                                        Confidential                    Lori Bamberger Consulting 6
The Single Family Opportunity


Approximately 75 million households
• Approximately 8.3 million single family units in California
•Nearly 1/3 are low- or moderate-income
    –Many don’t qualify for energy assistance
    – Homes are the least efficient, most costly to operate


Energy Costs are Rising
•Average national energy costs: $1997/household
•In some parts of the US, some energy spikes approached levels close to the subprime
ARM spike

Saving Energy can build family savings & stabilize neighborhoods
•Modest investments ($3,000 to $15,000) can yield 20-40% energy and financial savings
•The average single family savings estimated at approximately $650/year.
• Foreclosure stabilization loan/mod efforts seek savings of $50-$100/month




                                                Confidential            Lori Bamberger Consulting 7
The California single family home
example

   Approximately 2/3 of California Residents Live in
     SF homes (~8.3 Million homes)
                       Statewide Average Electricity Use Per Household
                                   (5,914 kWh per Household)                                                         Statewide Average Natural Gas Use Per Household
                                                                                           Pools, Spas, Misc. – 3%
Lighting (Estimate)*                                                     Water Heating – 3%
                                                                                                        Dryer – 3%
             – 22%                                                       Miscellaneous – 11%
                                                                                                   Cooking – 22%
                                                                         Space Heating – 4%

                                                                         Laundry – 5%
                                                                                                                                                                       Space Heating – 44%
  Refrigerators and                                                      Dishwashing and
  Freezers – 19%                                                         Cooking – 5%
                                                                         Pools and Spas – 6%
                                                                                                Water Heating – 44%


       TV, PC, and                                                       Air Conditioning – 10%
  Office Equipment
            – 15%

       * Note: An estimate of 1,200 kWh per household (20% of the total use) has been
       designated as interior lighting and was shifted from Miscellaneous to Lighting
   Source: California Long Term Energy Efficiencycomes from other
       where it is combined with exterior lighting usage. This number Strategic Plan        (2008); IEPR (2007)
       lighting studies that are better able to pinpoint this estimate than a conditional
       demand model as was used for the RASS.

                                                                                   Confidential                                                Lori Bamberger Consulting 8
The costs of energy inefficiency exacerbate existing financial
challenges faced by middle income families

  The lowest income groups pay the highest proportions of their
                     income on home energy
     Share of household income spent on home energy




                                                      18%


                                                      16%         16%


                                                      14%


                                                      12%


                                                      10%
                                                                               9%
                                                      8%
                                                                                            7%
                                                      6%
                                                                                                         5%
                                                      4%                                                              4%
                                                                                                                                   3%           3%
                                                      2%                                                                                                     2%           2%


                                                      0%
                                                            Less than   $10,000 to   $15,000 to   $20,000 to   $30,000 to   $40,000 to   $50,000 to   $75,000 to   $100,000 or
                                                             $9,999      $14,999      $19,999      $29,999      $39,999      $49,999      $74,999      $99,999        more


                                                                                                   Household Income




                                                                                                         Confidential                                              Lori Bamberger Consulting 9
Financial and Other Barriers Inhibit Scaling


Perception
  • Utility Costs Not disclosed at sale
  • Asset Labels typically apply to new homes
  • Privacy laws



Financing Challenges in both single family and multifamily
  •   First cost hurdles & lack of affordable financing
  •   Data
  •   Early, patient and innovative capital
  •   Regulatory Silos
  •   Multifamily: misaligned incentives; prohibitions on project reserves/receipts
  •   Single Family: Enormous Fragmentation (75 million different owners), mortgage crisis



Workforce Issues



                                                Confidential                         Lori Bamberger Consulting 10
Local innovations are scalable, replicable, and point
the way forward

Information Perfecting & State and Local Policy
  • Disclosure: Green MLS, Utility Bill, Asset Ratings
  • Code enhancements

Financing Innovations
  • Standalone Energy Retrofit Lending
     –   Multifamily Energy Retrofit Funds
     –   PPAs and ESAs
     –   Onbill Financing (Enterprise Cascadia, Blue Tree, and Lori Bamberger Consulting)
     –   Tax-Lien Financing (for commercial and multifamily)
     –   Public Housing and Freezing the Base
  • Embedded Financing

Workforce Initiatives

Utility Initiatives & Incentives


                                              Confidential                        Lori Bamberger Consulting 11
Our Work & How to Reach Us


• Affordability, energy financing & innovations
    – Partnership-building & Cross-Sectoral Efforts
    – Policy Formulation
    – Financing Innovations & Implementation



• Reaching Us:
    Lori Bamberger Consulting
    Thoreau Center for Sustainability
    The Presidio
    1012 Torney Avenue
    San Francisco, CA 94129
    415-400-8621
    LBamberger@yahoo.com




                                        Confidential   Lori Bamberger Consulting 12

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SSC2011_Lori Bramberger PPT

  • 1. Framing the Challenge & Opportunity: Residential Buildings National Housing Conference September 26, 2011 Lori Bamberger Seeding Markets, Sustaining Communities
  • 2. The Framework for Residential Energy Financing Innovations • The Opportunity & What’s at Stake • Carbon • Multifamily & Single Family • Barriers • Local and National Innovations • Information Perfecting (Labels, Disclosures) • Marketing • Financing Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 2
  • 3. Residential buildings make up a large chunk of the nation’s emissions Industrial, 12% Residential Buildings Commercial, buildings account for 43 Transportation 40% account for 32% Buildings percent of 43% almost half of U.S. CO2 the built emissions environment’s Industry Residential, emissions 48% 25% So, residential buildings account for 21 percent of all U.S. CO2 emissions And, the vast majority of CO2 emissions come from single family, owned homes that will still exist in 2050… Source: Pew Center on Global Climate Change and Nehemiah Stone Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 3
  • 4. Residential emissions have increased substantially in the last 18 years CO2 emissions from residential buildings increased much faster than all sectors except All sectors, 15.9% commercial operations between 1990 and 2008 and surpassed the overall average increase by over 10 percentage points Source: Energy Information Administration Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 4
  • 5. The Multifamily Opportunity 35 Million Families In all U.S. Multifamily • Approximately 1/3 of all Californian households (~4.2 million) Federally Subsidized Subset: Big, Old Buildings • 34,614 HUD subsidized buildings • 5 million HUD and LIHTC subsidized, affordable housing units Enormous Federal Energy Cost Outlay • $6.8 billion in federal HUD expenditures: 15–20% of HUD’s budget • More billions in LIHTC, USDA, and VA subsidized housing 29% ($9 billion) in Energy Savings estimated from MF alone • $1.9 billion in savings estimated from HUD’s MF potential Large Aggregation Opportunity due to fewer owners Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 5
  • 6. Older MF buildings increase the Energy CCC’s: Consumption, Costs, & Carbon Emissions Household Multifamily 5 Number of Percent of All Average BTU BTU/Sq. Ft. units of More Households Households Energy Costs Consumption Before 1940 1.4 1% 76.6 122.8 $1,506 1940−1959 2.0 2% 72.4 101.5 $1,434 1960−1979 6.2 6% 52.3 66.2 $1,110 1980-1999 5.9 5% 47.8 60.6 $1,103 2000 or later 1.3 1% 44.2 50.4 $1,092 Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 6
  • 7. The Single Family Opportunity Approximately 75 million households • Approximately 8.3 million single family units in California •Nearly 1/3 are low- or moderate-income –Many don’t qualify for energy assistance – Homes are the least efficient, most costly to operate Energy Costs are Rising •Average national energy costs: $1997/household •In some parts of the US, some energy spikes approached levels close to the subprime ARM spike Saving Energy can build family savings & stabilize neighborhoods •Modest investments ($3,000 to $15,000) can yield 20-40% energy and financial savings •The average single family savings estimated at approximately $650/year. • Foreclosure stabilization loan/mod efforts seek savings of $50-$100/month Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 7
  • 8. The California single family home example Approximately 2/3 of California Residents Live in SF homes (~8.3 Million homes) Statewide Average Electricity Use Per Household (5,914 kWh per Household) Statewide Average Natural Gas Use Per Household Pools, Spas, Misc. – 3% Lighting (Estimate)* Water Heating – 3% Dryer – 3% – 22% Miscellaneous – 11% Cooking – 22% Space Heating – 4% Laundry – 5% Space Heating – 44% Refrigerators and Dishwashing and Freezers – 19% Cooking – 5% Pools and Spas – 6% Water Heating – 44% TV, PC, and Air Conditioning – 10% Office Equipment – 15% * Note: An estimate of 1,200 kWh per household (20% of the total use) has been designated as interior lighting and was shifted from Miscellaneous to Lighting Source: California Long Term Energy Efficiencycomes from other where it is combined with exterior lighting usage. This number Strategic Plan (2008); IEPR (2007) lighting studies that are better able to pinpoint this estimate than a conditional demand model as was used for the RASS. Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 8
  • 9. The costs of energy inefficiency exacerbate existing financial challenges faced by middle income families The lowest income groups pay the highest proportions of their income on home energy Share of household income spent on home energy 18% 16% 16% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 0% Less than $10,000 to $15,000 to $20,000 to $30,000 to $40,000 to $50,000 to $75,000 to $100,000 or $9,999 $14,999 $19,999 $29,999 $39,999 $49,999 $74,999 $99,999 more Household Income Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 9
  • 10. Financial and Other Barriers Inhibit Scaling Perception • Utility Costs Not disclosed at sale • Asset Labels typically apply to new homes • Privacy laws Financing Challenges in both single family and multifamily • First cost hurdles & lack of affordable financing • Data • Early, patient and innovative capital • Regulatory Silos • Multifamily: misaligned incentives; prohibitions on project reserves/receipts • Single Family: Enormous Fragmentation (75 million different owners), mortgage crisis Workforce Issues Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 10
  • 11. Local innovations are scalable, replicable, and point the way forward Information Perfecting & State and Local Policy • Disclosure: Green MLS, Utility Bill, Asset Ratings • Code enhancements Financing Innovations • Standalone Energy Retrofit Lending – Multifamily Energy Retrofit Funds – PPAs and ESAs – Onbill Financing (Enterprise Cascadia, Blue Tree, and Lori Bamberger Consulting) – Tax-Lien Financing (for commercial and multifamily) – Public Housing and Freezing the Base • Embedded Financing Workforce Initiatives Utility Initiatives & Incentives Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 11
  • 12. Our Work & How to Reach Us • Affordability, energy financing & innovations – Partnership-building & Cross-Sectoral Efforts – Policy Formulation – Financing Innovations & Implementation • Reaching Us: Lori Bamberger Consulting Thoreau Center for Sustainability The Presidio 1012 Torney Avenue San Francisco, CA 94129 415-400-8621 LBamberger@yahoo.com Confidential Lori Bamberger Consulting 12