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 “Operational Comparative Study of Indian Telecom Service providers”




                           SUBMITTED BY
                            Praveen Sidola
                               1021026



                  Master in Business Administration




       CHRIST UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
                  Hosur Road, Bangalore 560 029




CUIM
                                                                 Page 1
Index
s/n                         Title                         From   To
 1                 Executive Summary                        3     3
 2                      Introduction                        4    20
 3                   Literature Review                     21    25
 4     Problem Definition and Objectives of the Project    26    27
 5                Research Methodology                     28    30
 6              Findings & Interpretations                 31    41
 7                       Conclusion                        42    43
 8                      Bibliography                       44    45
 9                       Appendix                          46    54




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                                                             Page 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Ranked amongst some of the fastest growing economies of the world, India has registered
steady growth over the last few years, The Indian telecom sector particularly, witnessed
aggressive growth during the last two years, emerging as a global benchmark for other
developed countries as well. All major international operators are exploring opportunities to
make inroads into the Indian telecommunication sector, both for the vast customer base as
well as to leverage on the low cost outsourcing model which India has been successful in
pioneering.
As of February 28, 2011, the country’s subscriber base (wireline + wireless) stood at 826.25
million but active wireless subscribers in VLR (Visitor Location Register) in Feb- 2011 is
562.98 Million, with the overall teledensity reaching 69.29 percent. With increasing maturity
of urban markets, the next round of growth is expected to be generated from the rural areas in
the form of increased uptake of voice and data based value added services, as well as
broadband services.
The penetration of broadband in India has not been as aggressive as the wireless
communication services. As of February 2011, the broadband subscriber base in India is
approximately 11.47 million. The government, recognizing the potential of broadband as a
key enabler in furthering its growth agenda, has taken a strong stance to address the issue of
low penetration and enhance broadband coverage across the country. The recently concluded
3G and BWA auctions are likely to be the catalyst that furthers the government’s agenda of
providing broadband connectivity to the remotest parts of India.
The government as well as other telecom stakeholders believe that these wireless
technologies will help overcome the barriers of expensive wireline infrastructure, especially
in the low revenue generating zones.




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                                                                                       Page 3
Chapter - 1
Introduction




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               Page 4
1.1 The Global Telecommunication Industry
Telecom services will continue to be one of the key growth sectors having generated
revenues of roughly INR 67 trillion in 2009. Global wireless subscribers reached 4.6 billion1
in 2009 with a CAGR of 22 percent over 2004-20091. This occurred despite some carriers
experiencing marginal declines or fl at trends
In revenues with enterprises and consumers exercising cut backs on telecom spending during
the global economic slowdown. The continuing rise in affl uence levels in emerging markets
and the resultant increase in the standard of living is expected to have an increasing impact on
the revenue per subscriber.
                              Telecom market revenue by sector




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                                                                                         Page 5
Falling voice ARPUs in most countries

Wireless ARPU ranges from USD 54 per month in Japan to under USD 5 per month in the
Philippines, Indonesia and India, evidently demonstrating the lower ARPU realization in
emerging countries2. The blended wireless ARPU is roughly USD 18 globally, declining at
10 percent per year (on a local currency basis).




                         Global wireless ARPU comparison (2009)




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                                                                                 Page 6
Asia to continue to lead growth in wireless services
The Asia Pacific region driven by growth in India and China will continue to be the key
growth market for global telecom over the next few years. Developed markets such as Japan
and Korea, are witnessing the benefits of significant technology investments and innovation.
Meanwhile, India and China, which constitute 28 percent10 of the global wireless subscriber
base today, are witnessing the benefits of significant growth in income levels due to sustained
economic growth. Penetration figures in both countries continue to remain significantly lower
than developed economy levels, auguring Ill for continued growth and development of the
telecom market in the region.




                          Mobile subscribers (share of the world)




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                                                                                        Page 7
1.2 The Indian Telecommunication Industry
The Indian telecommunications market has continued to show consistent growth during the
last one year, with exciting developments such as rollout of newer circles by operators,
successful auction of 3G and BWA spectrum, growing push by telecom operators to rollout
network in semi-rural areas and increased focus on the value added services market. Telecom
continues to be one of the fastest growing sectors of the Indian economy, becoming a strong
contributor to India’s overall GDP and is expected to grow further.
       Overall teledensity in India has risen to the levels of ~59.6 percent (as of August’10)
to 69.29 percent (as of February 2011) comprises 551.27 million urban subscribers
(teledensity of ~154.01 percent) and 274.98 million rural subscribers (teledensity of ~32.95
percent) With a large part of the population yet to obtain access to the telecommunication
market, there is immense potential for the sector to grow, especially in non-urban areas,
where wireline and internet services are yet to make significant in-roads. Wireline services
have shown relatively negative growth -.5.66 percent (Feb 2010 to Feb 2011). Even the
mobile services space which has seen exponential growth in urban areas, has not yet reached
the vast majority in rural areas with rural teledensity of approximately 40.31 percent (Feb
2010 to Feb 2011), indicating huge untapped potential for the sector. Broadband is yet to
reach a critical mass despite rapid growth; the numbers have risen from 6.98 million in
August 2009 to 10.08 million by August 2010, registering a growth of 55 percent on an
annual basis. With subscriber penetration under 2 percent, the sector has potential for
aggressive growth in the future.
       Indian Telecom Industry classified in
   •   Total Circle   -       22
   •   Operator       -       20 (16+4)
   •   Service Area -         338




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                                                                                       Page 8
Mobile services

The Indian mobility market can be characterized as one with a very large subscriber base4
(~671 million as of August 2010), high growth5 (addition of 16-18 million subscribers every
month in last six months), low ARPUs (~INR 122 per month in June, 2010) and significant
churn rates. In the prepaid segment, ARPU declined by 6.2 percent from INR 113 in March,
2010 to INR 106 in June, 2010. The Government of India opened up mobile services to
private participation in 1994-95 by inviting bids for providing services in the four
metropolitan cities and 18 non-metro circles. Services Ire introduced in 1995 with the high
tariffs resulting in poor demand. The National Telecom Policy 1999 moved the industry to a
revenue share model from the fixed license fee and the lower tariffs resulted in the addition of
~ 12 million subscribers during the 1999-03 period as compared
To less than a million subscribers added during the 1995-99 period. During this period the
government also set-up the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) in 1997 and
‘Telecom Dispute Settlement and Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT)’ in 2000.


                 Growth of wireless subscriber base (year end numbers)




                  Source: TRAI Annual Report and Quarterly Reports on Telecom Services Performance Indicators




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                                                                                                                Page 9
The Calling Party Pays regime was introduced in 2003- 04 which allowed free incoming calls
for the subscribers. This revolutionary change can be designated as one of the watershed
milestones in the growth of the Indian telecom sector. The 22 telecom circles in India have
been classified into 4 categories viz. Metros, Category A, B and C. With penetration rates in
metros touching more then 100 percent, the market in Metros is nearly saturated. However,
there is still immense potential in other circle categories, particularly B and C



    Mobile subscriber base and mobile teledensity across telecom circles




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                                                                                     Page 10
Source: ‘Monthly Telecom Scenario – August 2010’, DoT, October 2010


The current subscriber base of 707 million (August 2010) comprises 476 million urban
subscribers (teledensity of ~134 percent) and 230 million rural subscribers (teledensity of ~28
percent) & 791 million (February 2011) comprises 525.17 million urban subscribers
(teledensity of ~146.72 percent) and 266.21 million rural subscribers (teledensity of ~31.90
percent) million overall teledensity is 66.36percent. The market is highly competitive with
some of the telecom circles having more than 14 operators. Competitive intensity in the
market has contributed to reduction in tariffs and launch of innovative schemes like lifetime
prepaid and low cost handset bundling which further reduced the entry.


                                        Wireline services


While wireless has seen consistent growth over the years, wireline over the last few years has
actually seen a decline in the subscriber base. The total number6 of fixed line connections in
India increased from 5.81 million in 1991-92 to 40.8 million in 2006-07. During 1999-2000
to 2001-02, approximately 5-6 million customers Ire added to fixed-line services each year.
However, with the drop in mobile tariffs and increase in coverage of mobile services, net
additions in fixed-line subscribers started slowing down from 2.5 million in 2002-03 going
down to 0.5 million in 2004-05. Due to mobile substitution and lower tariffs, the fixed line
subscriber base actually decreased by 3.5 million between 2006-07 and 2008-09. This decline
was aggravated by slow rollout of fixed line services by Telco’s due to the significantly
higher total cost of service provision for fixed line services compared to mobile wireless
services, in February 2011 only 34 Million wireline subscribers are reported.
       It also comes in observation that rural subscriber are more interested in wireless in
compression of wireline... However, the potential for wireline services remains large due to
very low penetration in the wireline industry and the ability of wireline to deliver broadband
at lower operating costs than wireless broadband. New players in the telecom space had
hitherto concentrated on wireless space leading to low competition and promotion of wireline
services. Greater pan-India expansion by private players can significantly lead to growth of
wireline services. In addition, with combined offering of internet/ broadband and allied
services like IPTV, the sector can bounce back in the future. But, the aggressiveness of
mobile operators in rural areas due to easier and cheaper rollout and newer offerings on BWA
spectrum can further slow down the wireline penetration.
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                                                                                            Page 11
Wireline subscriber base




                  Source: TRAI Annual Report and Quarterly Reports on Telecom Services Performance Indicator




                              Broadband and internet services

Internet subscriber base in India, though currently at a low level, has been experiencing
significant growth over the last 2-3 years. This growth is being driven by the growing
popularity of broadband, increasing user comfort with usage of internet applications,
continuous fall in PC prices and decreasing costs of internet/broadband access plans. This
growth has been accompanied by an associated increase in the number of internet users which
have attributed to the growth of public internet cafes and multiple members of a household
accessing internet. Access technologies play a crucial role in broadband penetration. Right of
Way (Row) issues and costs of the existing broadband technologies has been a constraint for
the growth of internet. While there a number of technologies being used by service providers
to provide broadband services, DSL continues to be the most preferred technology and
constitutes nearly 86.6 percent of total broadband subscribers7. Cable modem technology
follows with 6.9 percent connection. On an overall basis for accessing internet, DSL leads
with 51 percent while dialup stands second at 33.3 percent7. Wireless technologies have
carved a unique niche in terms of connectivity to internet with a share of nearly 7.6 percent
which is a significant shift in the last two years. Newer access technologies like BWA and 3G

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                                                                                                               Page 12
can completely transform the character of Internet/ broadband scenario in India. BWA will
overcome the key hindrance of Row in India, while 3G has the potential to make the mobile
phone, a ubiquitous device for accessing the internet.




                                    Internet subscriber base




          Source: TRAI Annual Report and Quarterly Reports on Telecom Services Performance Indicators




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                                                                                                        Page 13
New frontiers for growth

3G and BWA

The last 5 years have been transformational for Indian telecom industry and the next few
years are expected to bring about more stimulating and aggressive changes. One of the key
frontiers which would make the journey in coming years even more exciting is the launch of
3G and BWA technologies. The auction of 3G spectrum was concluded on May 19, 2010.
While commercial usage is started from September 2010 onwards, the auction laid the
groundwork for faster internet connectivity and data transfer on mobile phones, boosting
usage of data services in the cellular market. This was closely followed by auctioning of
BWA spectrum which also exceeded revenue expectations of the government. The highly
successful auctioning of 3G and BWA spectrums and entry of new telecom players in BWA
auction has ensured that telecom market will see more exciting times going forward. Total
revenues which the government earned from these two auctions stood at approximately, INR
1,063 billion the market is likely to witness a wide variety of value added services being
offered, which Ire not possible over the current 2G/2.5G network. The ARPU is expected to
get a boost given the increased revenue contribution from data and value added services.
Potential challenges that 3G players could face would span across the value chain covering
innovative Product development, Network deployment and management, Sales and
Marketing etc. In the first wave, operators would be able to provide rich data services to
HNI’s, working professionals, enterprise customers and youth. They would be specifically
targeting current users of 2.5G and/or owners of 3G enabled handsets. At the same time
operators would be actively looking at providing 3G services to other income groups, as this
will help spread the investment in technology/license over a wider subscriber base. The
Ministry of Communications had specified that BWA spectrum allocation would be
technology neutral. High speed broadband on BWA spectrum also has the potential to
provide connectivity for the growing small and medium enterprises (‘SME’) segment; and be
utilized for the return path bundled with the DTH platform.




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                                                                                    Page 14
NEXT GENERATION NETWORKS

In the Next Generation Networks, multiple access networks can connect customers to a core
network based on IP technology. These access networks include fibber optics or coaxial cable
networks connected to fixed locations or customers connected through Wi-Fi as Ill as to 3G
networks connected to mobile users. As a result, in the future, it would be impossible to
identify whether the next generation network is a fixed or mobile network and the wireless
access broadband would be used both for fixed and mobile services. It would then be futile to
differentiate between fixed and mobile networks – both fixed and mobile users will access
services through a single core network.

Indian telecom networks are not as intensive as developed country’s telecom networks and
India's teledensity is low only in rural areas. 670,000 route kilometres (419,000 miles) of
optical fibbers has been laid in India by the major operators, even in remote areas and the
process continues. BSNL alone has laid optical fibber to 30,000 Telephone Exchanges out of
their 36 Exchanges. Keeping in mind the viability of providing services in rural areas, an
attractive solution appears to be one which offers multiple service facility at low costs. A
rural network based on the extensive optical fibber network, using Internet Protocol and
offering a variety of services and the availability of open platforms for service development,
viz. the Next Generation Network, appears to be an attractive proposition. Fiber network can
be easily converted to Next Generation network and then used for delivering multiple
services at cheap cost...




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                                                                                      Page 15
1.3 Regulatory and Policy environment In India
                         Regulatory and policy environment


Over the years, the Indian Telecommunication Policy and Regulatory framework has evolved
into an Ill developed framework that facilitates effective policy formation and execution. The
government has been making constant efforts to ensure that the regulatory framework is
beneficial for the consumers as Ill as the licensed operators. The policy and regulatory
framework for telecommunications in India consists of, among others, the following key
bodies

   •     The Department of Telecommunication (DoT)
   •     The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI)
   •     The Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT)
   •     Wireless Planning Commission (WPC)
   •     Group on Telecom and IT (GoT – IT)


TRAI
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India was established as an independent body under the
TRAI Act of 1997. The act was later amended in 2000. The entry of private players into the
industry prompted the establishment of the act to effectively regulate the telecom players.
TRAI safeguards the interests of the consumers through transparency, ensuring conformity
with service quality benchmarks, enforcing measures to safeguard national security, fixing
tariffs for players, counselling the government on matters relating to telecommunication
development and tracking performance a d efforts of all players within the industry.


DoT
DoT is accountable for policy formulation, monitoring performance reviews, ensuring
international co-operation, overlooking research and development and granting licenses to
operators, allowing them to provide basic and value added services in various cities and
telecom circles as per the approved government policies. The Department also allocates
spectrum and manages radio communications in close coordination with the International
bodies. It is also responsible for enforcing wireless regulatory measures and monitoring the
wireless transmission of all users in the country
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                                                                                       Page 16
Regulatory evolution




                                  Source: Press Search, KPMG Analysis

            As per TRAI total active Mobile Subscriber in November 2010
                         otal

                                                                             Subscriber Base
  160                                                            70% of Mobile Subscriber base is active
           143.2                                                   Reported Subscriber – 687.7 Million
  140              127.9                                             Active Subscriber – 482 Million
                                  115.5
  120
                                                                  96.4
  100                                     86.6
                                                                            79
   80                                       72.5
                                                        67.3          65
                                                          59.1                              Reported
   60               46.5                         42.9
                                                                              35.6          Active
   40                      27.4
   20
       0




                             Business Line – Dated – 3 December 2010.


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                                                                                             Page 17
Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
Number portability: TRAI announced the rules and regulations to be followed for the Mobile
Number Portability in their draft release on 23 September 2009. Mobile Number Portability
(MNP) allows users to retain their numbers, while shifting to a different service provider
provided they follow the guidelines set by TRAI. Users are expected to holding the mobile
number with a given provider for at least 90 days, before they decide to move to the other
provider. As per news reports, Government of India decided to implement MNP from
December 31, 2009 in Metros & category ‘A’ service areas and by March 20, 2010 in rest of
the country.




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                                                                                  Page 18
Number               Operator              Total Sub Figures   % Market Share
   1                   Airtel                15,89,98,869          20.09%
   2     Reliance Comm. Ltd. (CDMA+ GSM)     13,21,76,914          16.70%
   3                 Vodafone                13,09,20,732          16.54%
   4           BSNL (GSM + CDMA)              9,03,09,414          11.41%
            Tata Teleservices Ltd. (CDMA
                                              8,76,54,472
   5                  +GSM)                                        11.08%
   6                    Idea                  8,68,00,809          10.97%
   7                   Aircel                 5,35,00,469          6.76%
   8                  Uninor                  2,15,77,497          2.73%
   9                   MTS                     96,12,738           1.21%
   10                Videocon                  65,64,083           0.83%
   11                 MTNL                     54,54,846           0.69%
   12        Loop Telecom Private Ltd.         30,79,281           0.39%
   13            S-Tel LTD (GSM)               26,92,462           0.34%
   14             HFCL (CDMA)                  13,86,618           0.18%
   15                 Etisalat                 6,52,370            0.08%
                       Total                 79,13,81,574




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                                                                     Page 19
Videocon       MTNL      Loop S-Tel LTD              HFCL (CDMA)
                  1%            1%     Telecom (GSM)                     0%
                                      Private Ltd. 0%
                            MTS           0%              Etisalat
                            1%                              0%
                 Uninor
                  3%


                      Aircel                                  Airtel
                       7%                                     20%




         Idea
         11%




                                                                   Reliance Comm.
        Tata Teleservices                                        Ltd. (CDMA+ GSM)
       Ltd. (CDMA +GSM)                                                  17%
               11%




                    BSNL (GSM +
                      CDMA)
                       11%
                                                   Vodafone
                                                     17%




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                                                                              Page 20
Chapter – 2
Literature Review




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                    Page 21
Date                   -      22 /09/2010
Source                 -      Business Line
Survey Method          -      Interview
Sample                 -      Mr Debases Chatterji, CEO of Netxcell Ltd.


Business Line’s editor Mr D.murli interviewed Mr Debases chatterji on the key challenges
faced by telecom operators.
He was of the opinion that severe competition amongst voice service providers was leading to
a few operators incurring huge losses. This might force consolidation in the industry in the
future. As teledensity was already approaching 100% in urban centres, service providers were
quickly moving to semi-urban and rural areas. In this segment, most customers prefer pre-
paid services with very low average revenue per unit (less that Rs 200 per month). The
average prepaid topup in rural areas is around 20 rupees per recharge.
Over the past one and a half years, India has been adding 10 to 14 million customers in a
month. Research has shown that 95% of them prefer pre-paid plans and are located in semi-
urban areas.
He was of the opinion that one area of growth could be subscribers pushing locally relevant
content to cell phones of subscribers. This could range from local weather updates to
discounts at a shopping mall at a particular date and time.




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                                                                                    Page 22
Date                   -       20 /08/2010
Source                 -       CNBC
Survey Method          -       Interview
Sample                 -       Mr Sanjay Kapoor, CEO of Bharti Airtel


Business Line’s editor Mr Sanjay Pugliya interviewed Mr Sanjay Kapoor, the CEO of Bharti
Airtel on the topic. Finding from this interview is 480 minute/customer
Rural India is a big market
Subscription is approximately same
Dependency of mobile phone because no significant alternative
Profitability is a main concern
Special focus on revenue
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZCQOT2Lylc&feature=related




Date                   -       9-10 December 2010
Source                 -       KPMG
Survey Method          -       Survey
Sample                 -       Telecom Industry of India


Rural movement - Rural movement not seems as a solution for the revenue generation
because as per following statics, generated revenue cannot cope up with operation cost it is
difficult to achieve breakeven point itself. There is wide variation in population density.
Population density across villages India
Village Density                       No. of Villages
Between 1,000 - 2,000                   129,000
Between 500 - 1,000                     144,000
Between 0 - 500                         219,000
Source: IMA India Report, 2006
http://www.trai.gov.in/Default.asp



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                                                                                         Page 23
Date                  -       18 /09/2010

Source                -       CNBC
Survey Method         -       Interview
Sample                -       Mr Sanjay Kapoor, CEO of Bharti Airtel


CNBC interviewed Mr. Sanjay Kapoor, the CEO of Bharti Airtel on the topic “Dialing
Growth”. In that interview Mr. Kapoor told that subscriber growth is not only a parameter,
but the revenue from the activities is an important parameter for Bharti. He not agrees with
actual growth shown in numbers as per him actual growth is half of provided numbers”.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRvcjfoiM7g




Date                  -       07 /03/2011
Source                -       Economic Times
Survey Method         -       Results of subscriber complaints published by TRAI
Sample                -       Population of subscribers who used wireless services


India's largest mobile operator, Bharti Airtel is on top, also when it comes to subscriber
complaints related to billing, metering and tariff-related issues and activation of value-added
services without customer consent. In the last three years, TRAI received as many as 3,571
complaints from Bharti Airtel subscribers, 2,151 from Reliance customers and 1,896 from
Vodafone Essar's clientele. Tata Docomo and Idea Cellular customers seemed to be the least
dissatisfied, with 1,239 and 925 complaints, respectively, lodged against them




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                                                                                       Page 24
Date          -   06 /04/2011
    Source        -   TRAI press release
y   Method        -     Results of subscriber population survey provided by service provider
    Sample        -    Population of subscribers who used wireless services


    As per “Highlights of Telecom Subscription” Data as on 28th February 2011 by TELECOM
    REGULATOR AUTHORITY OF INDIA New Delhi, 6th April 2011, TATA Teleservices is
    the 5th largest mobile operator in India having 8,76,54,472 subscriber contributing 11.08%.
    http://www.trai.gov.in/Default.asp




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                                                                                         Page 25
Chapter – 3
Problem Definition and
Objectives of the Project




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                            Page 26
Problem Definition and Objectives of Project


In this project “Operational Comparatives Study of Indian Telecom Service”
The Indian cellular subscriber base currently stands at 826.25 million. Due to this large
market, the Indian cellular service providers are amongst the most competitive in the world.
India can boast of the cheapest call rates to be found anywhere in the world.
At present there is very high competition in the telecom sector which has intensified with the
entry of new cellular players in the circles. Private operators hold 87.90% of the wireless
market share where as BSNL and MTNL, two major PSU operators hold only 12.10% market
share. Around 14 operators are functioning in every circle & implementation of Mobile
Number Portability has once again started the game of the “Survivable the fittest”.

Even though The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India & other Independent Consultants
provide guidelines and comparative analysis of the sector,




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                                                                                      Page 27
Chapter – 4
Research Methodology




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                       Page 28
Research Design
I intend to follow an exploratory approach towards meeting our goals. Since the telecom
sector is too vast to be covered within the scope of our project, I decided to opt away from
descriptive research and orient ourselves more towards exploratory research.

The information that I will primarily be dealing with are official TRAI figures, customer and
retailer responses to questionnaires. I will then analyze the available information with MS-
Excel.

The questionnaire is intended to cater to recipients and subscribers. There will be separate
for both the parties because questions intended for retailers will be more oriented towards
why they sell or refer certain products and hold others back. I intend to investigate cellular
companies provide to retailers and how retailers in turn market products of these cellular
companies.

To customers our questions will be directed at customer satisfaction with the service,
preferences and satisfaction. About what brands they identify with and the reasons for their
choices. The questionnaire will also attempt to gauge the level of attachments customers have
with their service provider.

                               Ingredients of Questionnaires
Questionnaires will be conducted in person with random people from locations across India
there will be no discrimination based on religion, caste, sex, and age or income level.

The questionnaire will be limited to 20 minutes per person. It will consist of 20 questions that
a respondent will have to answer. The questions asked will range from general to specific.

Example –

Question to customers –

1) Which brand do you prefer the most?
2) What brand are you using right now?
3) Are you satisfied with the service provided?
4) What are the reasons you might be dissatisfied? Service, network, rates.
Note - (Detail Question are given in appendix Page 64-67)


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                                                                                          Page 29
Sampling size – I intend to interview 100 customers of from various parts of India focusing
primarily on Karnataka. This is so that I can cater to differing values and perceptions of
people from different regions.

Sampling plan – Multi-stage & connivance sampling – In this form of sampling is similar
to cluster sampling but involves selecting a sample within each chosen cluster. Clusters in
this case will be created on the basis of the States of Rajasthan, UP East, UP East, Karnataka,
Delhi and Kolkata Circle.

Note - (Responses can envisage in appendix Page 72)




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                                                                                       Page 30
Chapter – 5
Findings & Interpretations




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                        Page 31
5.1 Comparatives Study of Telecom Service Provider
109 respondents are interviewed for survey, to identify that what factor play a critical role in
the selection of Service Provider, factor are divided into 7 major category

    •   Services
    •   Cost-effectiveness
    •   Network coverage
    •   Low Cost is a major factor that attracts me to a service provider
    •   Network Coverage of my service provider was a decisive factor that influenced my
        purchase
    •   Advertisements played a major role in my decision to choose my service provider
    •   Value added services are a major factor that attracts me to a service provider




                                       Interpretation
Network Coverage, Service & Cost Effectiveness play a critical role, when the subscriber
goes to choose the service provider.

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                                                                                         Page 32
Bharti Airtel




Interpretation-
Service              -   Liner

Cost effectiveness   -   Poor

Network Coverage     -   Full fill the customer acceptance




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                                                             Page 33
TATA Teleservices




Interpretation



Service              -       Liner

Cost effectiveness       -    High

Network Coverage         -    Below then customer acceptance




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                                                               Page 34
Reliance Communication




Interpretation-
Service              -       Poor

Cost effectiveness       -   High

Network Coverage         -   Poor as Ill as below then customer acceptance




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                                                                             Page 35
Vodafone




Interpretation-
Service              -       Liner

Cost effectiveness       -   Liner

Network Coverage         -   Liner & more than customer acceptance

Note- Vodafone has a perfect combination of all 3 critical parameter which is an ideal
situation




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                                                                              Page 36
Idea




Interpretation-
Service              -   Below then average

Cost effectiveness   -   High

Network Coverage     -   Liner & more than customer acceptance




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                                                                 Page 37
BSNL & Others




Interpretation-
Service              -       Liner

Cost effectiveness   -       Liner

Network Coverage     -       Liner but matched with customer acceptance




Note - (Detail Results can envisage in appendix Page 68-71)


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                                                                          Page 38
What attracts you towards a service provider? [Network Coverage of my service
provider was a decisive factor that influenced my purchase]




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                                                                      Page 39
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       Page 40
How would you rate your mobile service provider in terms of [Network
coverage]

                                                  ANOVA


       How would you rate your mobile service provider in terms of [Network coverage]


                             Sum of Squares        df         Mean Square         F        Sig.

       Between Groups                  21.299            5            4.260        4.320      .001

       Within Groups                  100.580           102             .986

       Total                          121.880           107




CUIM
                                                                                                  Page 41
Chapter- 6
Conclusion




CUIM
             Page 42
As per survey it comes in observation that Network is a critical parameter which influences
the customer, analysis done for the Pre purchase & Post purchase experience of customer
with service provider.

A population of over a 1.5 billion individuals, India is a fast emerging economy on the world
scenario. One of the most significant growths in this decade has been observed in the cell
phone industry. An industry which initially had many players. Now is the time I could
experience the consolidation in the industry, but still left with quite a number of players.

Consumers have been the ultimate king all the way through, and to know the consumers’
insight is what no organization could miss.

Consumers can be the kings but it is the Network team who committed for the quality
service. So it is essential for any service provider to keep up to the pace of their team and
provide them what they require. In this growing mobile era it is very essential to keep your
team technically upgraded and make the most of what is available.




CUIM
                                                                                         Page 43
Chapter- 7
Bibliography




CUIM
               Page 44
Bibliography
  •    Richard A. Gershon (2009). Telecommunication & Business Strategy. Published by
       Routledge New York 10016. Richard A. Gershon is a Professor & co-founder of the
       Telecommunication & Information Management Program at Western Michigan
       University.
  •    Rafael Aguayo (1990).Dr. Deming "The American who taught the Japanese about
       Quality."Published by "Fireside Rockefeller Center New York 10020. R.afale studied
       with W.Edwards Deming for seven year, has worked in the financial sector for fifteen
       year is a consultant in Quality & Management.
  •    Akanksha Singh,Archana & Ritu Singh. "3G: Still Hazy." Voice & Data, May 2011:
       42-47.
  •    KPMG."Indian       Telecom         2010.9-10    December      2010    New      Delhi
       http://www.trai.gov.in/Default.asp
  •    Objective Assessment of Quality of Services for (QoS) for Basic (Wire line), Cellular
       (Wireless) and Broadband Service Providers Karnataka Circle. October-November-
       December - 2009. Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, By: eTech Group@IMRB
       A specialist unit of IMRB International.2010 <http://www.trai.gov.in/searchdoc.asp>
  •    Highlights of Telecom Subscription” Data as on 28th February 2011 by Telecom
       Regulatory     Authority     of      India,    New   Delhi,    6th    April    2011.
       http://www.trai.gov.in/searchdoc.asp




CUIM
                                                                                     Page 45
Chapter- 8
Appendix




CUIM
             Page 46
Questionnaire
Objective: To gauge public opinion on services provided by various telecom operators

Name

City:                                                  State:



1) - Which mobile service provider are you using at the moment? Please tick the appropriate
box

Service Provider           Tick
Airtel
BSNL
Vodafone
Idea
Tata
Reliance
Others



2) - How long have you been using your service provider? Please tick the appropriate
column.


 Duration                   Tick
< 6 months
6 to 12 months
12 to 24 months
24 to 48 months
>48 months




CUIM
                                                                                       Page 47
3)- How would you rate your service provider in terms of :


  Parameter                      Excellent Good           Average     Bad       Poor
Availability
Offers
Services
Cost-effectiveness
Network Coverage



4) - What services do you primarily avail of from your service provider? Please tick the
appropriate box based on the degrees of usage.

 Services                                                 High       Moderate Low         Nil
Voice services
Internet services
Mobile TV/Value added services
Messaging services




5) - What attracts you towards a service provider?


                                           Strongl    Agre       Neutra Disagre        Strongly
  Parameter                                y agree    e          l          e          disagree
Low Cost is a major factor that
attracts me to a service provider.
Value added services are a major
factor that attracts me to a service
provider
Advertisements played a major role
in my decision to choose my service
provider

CUIM
                                                                                         Page 48
Network Coverage of my service
provider was a decisive factor that
influenced my purchase
My service provider has numerous
retail outlets that ensure availability
and serviceability
Good feedback from friends
influenced my decision to choose my
provider




6)-How would you rate the service provider in terms of its
advertisement campaign compared to its competitors?


 Service Provider      Excellent Good           Equal         Bad       Poor
Airtel
BSNL
Vodafone
Idea
Tata
Reliance



7) - If Mobile number portability is implemented, I would choose another service
provider?

Yes                                       No




CUIM
                                                                                   Page 49
7.1) - If yes, then which among these would be your first preference? Please tick the
appropriate box

            Service Provider                     Tick
                   Airtel
                   BSNL
                Vodafone
                   Idea
                   Tata
                Reliance
                  Others



8) - How would you rate your reasons for not being satisfied with the service provider?
  Parameter                        Strongly agree Agree Neutral Disagree Strongly disagree
The costs associated with my
service provider are higher
than those of other similar
providers
I am dissatisfied with the
services provided to me by my
service provider
The network coverage of my
service provider in my area is
substandard compared to
competitors
My service provider does not
have enough retail outlets in
my neighborhood
I have received negative
feedback about my service
provider from my
acquaintances



Note – This Questionnaire is initially used to identify the “Declining Market Significance of
Bharti Airtel Ltd.” in 7/12/2010
CUIM
                                                                                     Page 50
Post hoc tests are not performed for What attracts you towards a service provider?
   [Advertisements played a major role in my decision to choose my service provider]
                because at least one group has fewer than two cases.




CUIM
                                                                                       Page 51
Post hoc tests are not performed for What attracts you towards a service provider?
  [Network Coverage of my service provider was a decisive factor that influenced my
          purchase] because at least one group has fewer than two cases.




CUIM
                                                                                       Page 52
Post hoc tests are not performed for How would you rate your mobile service provider in
  terms of [Network coverage] because at least one group has fewer than two cases.




CUIM
                                                                                           Page 53
Post hoc tests are not performed for What attracts you towards a service provider? [Value
 added services are a major factor that attracts me to a service provider] because at least
                           one group has fewer than two cases.




CUIM
                                                                                              Page 54

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  • 1. REPORT ON “Operational Comparative Study of Indian Telecom Service providers” SUBMITTED BY Praveen Sidola 1021026 Master in Business Administration CHRIST UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT Hosur Road, Bangalore 560 029 CUIM Page 1
  • 2. Index s/n Title From To 1 Executive Summary 3 3 2 Introduction 4 20 3 Literature Review 21 25 4 Problem Definition and Objectives of the Project 26 27 5 Research Methodology 28 30 6 Findings & Interpretations 31 41 7 Conclusion 42 43 8 Bibliography 44 45 9 Appendix 46 54 CUIM Page 2
  • 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Ranked amongst some of the fastest growing economies of the world, India has registered steady growth over the last few years, The Indian telecom sector particularly, witnessed aggressive growth during the last two years, emerging as a global benchmark for other developed countries as well. All major international operators are exploring opportunities to make inroads into the Indian telecommunication sector, both for the vast customer base as well as to leverage on the low cost outsourcing model which India has been successful in pioneering. As of February 28, 2011, the country’s subscriber base (wireline + wireless) stood at 826.25 million but active wireless subscribers in VLR (Visitor Location Register) in Feb- 2011 is 562.98 Million, with the overall teledensity reaching 69.29 percent. With increasing maturity of urban markets, the next round of growth is expected to be generated from the rural areas in the form of increased uptake of voice and data based value added services, as well as broadband services. The penetration of broadband in India has not been as aggressive as the wireless communication services. As of February 2011, the broadband subscriber base in India is approximately 11.47 million. The government, recognizing the potential of broadband as a key enabler in furthering its growth agenda, has taken a strong stance to address the issue of low penetration and enhance broadband coverage across the country. The recently concluded 3G and BWA auctions are likely to be the catalyst that furthers the government’s agenda of providing broadband connectivity to the remotest parts of India. The government as well as other telecom stakeholders believe that these wireless technologies will help overcome the barriers of expensive wireline infrastructure, especially in the low revenue generating zones. CUIM Page 3
  • 5. 1.1 The Global Telecommunication Industry Telecom services will continue to be one of the key growth sectors having generated revenues of roughly INR 67 trillion in 2009. Global wireless subscribers reached 4.6 billion1 in 2009 with a CAGR of 22 percent over 2004-20091. This occurred despite some carriers experiencing marginal declines or fl at trends In revenues with enterprises and consumers exercising cut backs on telecom spending during the global economic slowdown. The continuing rise in affl uence levels in emerging markets and the resultant increase in the standard of living is expected to have an increasing impact on the revenue per subscriber. Telecom market revenue by sector CUIM Page 5
  • 6. Falling voice ARPUs in most countries Wireless ARPU ranges from USD 54 per month in Japan to under USD 5 per month in the Philippines, Indonesia and India, evidently demonstrating the lower ARPU realization in emerging countries2. The blended wireless ARPU is roughly USD 18 globally, declining at 10 percent per year (on a local currency basis). Global wireless ARPU comparison (2009) CUIM Page 6
  • 7. Asia to continue to lead growth in wireless services The Asia Pacific region driven by growth in India and China will continue to be the key growth market for global telecom over the next few years. Developed markets such as Japan and Korea, are witnessing the benefits of significant technology investments and innovation. Meanwhile, India and China, which constitute 28 percent10 of the global wireless subscriber base today, are witnessing the benefits of significant growth in income levels due to sustained economic growth. Penetration figures in both countries continue to remain significantly lower than developed economy levels, auguring Ill for continued growth and development of the telecom market in the region. Mobile subscribers (share of the world) CUIM Page 7
  • 8. 1.2 The Indian Telecommunication Industry The Indian telecommunications market has continued to show consistent growth during the last one year, with exciting developments such as rollout of newer circles by operators, successful auction of 3G and BWA spectrum, growing push by telecom operators to rollout network in semi-rural areas and increased focus on the value added services market. Telecom continues to be one of the fastest growing sectors of the Indian economy, becoming a strong contributor to India’s overall GDP and is expected to grow further. Overall teledensity in India has risen to the levels of ~59.6 percent (as of August’10) to 69.29 percent (as of February 2011) comprises 551.27 million urban subscribers (teledensity of ~154.01 percent) and 274.98 million rural subscribers (teledensity of ~32.95 percent) With a large part of the population yet to obtain access to the telecommunication market, there is immense potential for the sector to grow, especially in non-urban areas, where wireline and internet services are yet to make significant in-roads. Wireline services have shown relatively negative growth -.5.66 percent (Feb 2010 to Feb 2011). Even the mobile services space which has seen exponential growth in urban areas, has not yet reached the vast majority in rural areas with rural teledensity of approximately 40.31 percent (Feb 2010 to Feb 2011), indicating huge untapped potential for the sector. Broadband is yet to reach a critical mass despite rapid growth; the numbers have risen from 6.98 million in August 2009 to 10.08 million by August 2010, registering a growth of 55 percent on an annual basis. With subscriber penetration under 2 percent, the sector has potential for aggressive growth in the future. Indian Telecom Industry classified in • Total Circle - 22 • Operator - 20 (16+4) • Service Area - 338 CUIM Page 8
  • 9. Mobile services The Indian mobility market can be characterized as one with a very large subscriber base4 (~671 million as of August 2010), high growth5 (addition of 16-18 million subscribers every month in last six months), low ARPUs (~INR 122 per month in June, 2010) and significant churn rates. In the prepaid segment, ARPU declined by 6.2 percent from INR 113 in March, 2010 to INR 106 in June, 2010. The Government of India opened up mobile services to private participation in 1994-95 by inviting bids for providing services in the four metropolitan cities and 18 non-metro circles. Services Ire introduced in 1995 with the high tariffs resulting in poor demand. The National Telecom Policy 1999 moved the industry to a revenue share model from the fixed license fee and the lower tariffs resulted in the addition of ~ 12 million subscribers during the 1999-03 period as compared To less than a million subscribers added during the 1995-99 period. During this period the government also set-up the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) in 1997 and ‘Telecom Dispute Settlement and Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT)’ in 2000. Growth of wireless subscriber base (year end numbers) Source: TRAI Annual Report and Quarterly Reports on Telecom Services Performance Indicators CUIM Page 9
  • 10. The Calling Party Pays regime was introduced in 2003- 04 which allowed free incoming calls for the subscribers. This revolutionary change can be designated as one of the watershed milestones in the growth of the Indian telecom sector. The 22 telecom circles in India have been classified into 4 categories viz. Metros, Category A, B and C. With penetration rates in metros touching more then 100 percent, the market in Metros is nearly saturated. However, there is still immense potential in other circle categories, particularly B and C Mobile subscriber base and mobile teledensity across telecom circles CUIM Page 10
  • 11. Source: ‘Monthly Telecom Scenario – August 2010’, DoT, October 2010 The current subscriber base of 707 million (August 2010) comprises 476 million urban subscribers (teledensity of ~134 percent) and 230 million rural subscribers (teledensity of ~28 percent) & 791 million (February 2011) comprises 525.17 million urban subscribers (teledensity of ~146.72 percent) and 266.21 million rural subscribers (teledensity of ~31.90 percent) million overall teledensity is 66.36percent. The market is highly competitive with some of the telecom circles having more than 14 operators. Competitive intensity in the market has contributed to reduction in tariffs and launch of innovative schemes like lifetime prepaid and low cost handset bundling which further reduced the entry. Wireline services While wireless has seen consistent growth over the years, wireline over the last few years has actually seen a decline in the subscriber base. The total number6 of fixed line connections in India increased from 5.81 million in 1991-92 to 40.8 million in 2006-07. During 1999-2000 to 2001-02, approximately 5-6 million customers Ire added to fixed-line services each year. However, with the drop in mobile tariffs and increase in coverage of mobile services, net additions in fixed-line subscribers started slowing down from 2.5 million in 2002-03 going down to 0.5 million in 2004-05. Due to mobile substitution and lower tariffs, the fixed line subscriber base actually decreased by 3.5 million between 2006-07 and 2008-09. This decline was aggravated by slow rollout of fixed line services by Telco’s due to the significantly higher total cost of service provision for fixed line services compared to mobile wireless services, in February 2011 only 34 Million wireline subscribers are reported. It also comes in observation that rural subscriber are more interested in wireless in compression of wireline... However, the potential for wireline services remains large due to very low penetration in the wireline industry and the ability of wireline to deliver broadband at lower operating costs than wireless broadband. New players in the telecom space had hitherto concentrated on wireless space leading to low competition and promotion of wireline services. Greater pan-India expansion by private players can significantly lead to growth of wireline services. In addition, with combined offering of internet/ broadband and allied services like IPTV, the sector can bounce back in the future. But, the aggressiveness of mobile operators in rural areas due to easier and cheaper rollout and newer offerings on BWA spectrum can further slow down the wireline penetration. CUIM Page 11
  • 12. Wireline subscriber base Source: TRAI Annual Report and Quarterly Reports on Telecom Services Performance Indicator Broadband and internet services Internet subscriber base in India, though currently at a low level, has been experiencing significant growth over the last 2-3 years. This growth is being driven by the growing popularity of broadband, increasing user comfort with usage of internet applications, continuous fall in PC prices and decreasing costs of internet/broadband access plans. This growth has been accompanied by an associated increase in the number of internet users which have attributed to the growth of public internet cafes and multiple members of a household accessing internet. Access technologies play a crucial role in broadband penetration. Right of Way (Row) issues and costs of the existing broadband technologies has been a constraint for the growth of internet. While there a number of technologies being used by service providers to provide broadband services, DSL continues to be the most preferred technology and constitutes nearly 86.6 percent of total broadband subscribers7. Cable modem technology follows with 6.9 percent connection. On an overall basis for accessing internet, DSL leads with 51 percent while dialup stands second at 33.3 percent7. Wireless technologies have carved a unique niche in terms of connectivity to internet with a share of nearly 7.6 percent which is a significant shift in the last two years. Newer access technologies like BWA and 3G CUIM Page 12
  • 13. can completely transform the character of Internet/ broadband scenario in India. BWA will overcome the key hindrance of Row in India, while 3G has the potential to make the mobile phone, a ubiquitous device for accessing the internet. Internet subscriber base Source: TRAI Annual Report and Quarterly Reports on Telecom Services Performance Indicators CUIM Page 13
  • 14. New frontiers for growth 3G and BWA The last 5 years have been transformational for Indian telecom industry and the next few years are expected to bring about more stimulating and aggressive changes. One of the key frontiers which would make the journey in coming years even more exciting is the launch of 3G and BWA technologies. The auction of 3G spectrum was concluded on May 19, 2010. While commercial usage is started from September 2010 onwards, the auction laid the groundwork for faster internet connectivity and data transfer on mobile phones, boosting usage of data services in the cellular market. This was closely followed by auctioning of BWA spectrum which also exceeded revenue expectations of the government. The highly successful auctioning of 3G and BWA spectrums and entry of new telecom players in BWA auction has ensured that telecom market will see more exciting times going forward. Total revenues which the government earned from these two auctions stood at approximately, INR 1,063 billion the market is likely to witness a wide variety of value added services being offered, which Ire not possible over the current 2G/2.5G network. The ARPU is expected to get a boost given the increased revenue contribution from data and value added services. Potential challenges that 3G players could face would span across the value chain covering innovative Product development, Network deployment and management, Sales and Marketing etc. In the first wave, operators would be able to provide rich data services to HNI’s, working professionals, enterprise customers and youth. They would be specifically targeting current users of 2.5G and/or owners of 3G enabled handsets. At the same time operators would be actively looking at providing 3G services to other income groups, as this will help spread the investment in technology/license over a wider subscriber base. The Ministry of Communications had specified that BWA spectrum allocation would be technology neutral. High speed broadband on BWA spectrum also has the potential to provide connectivity for the growing small and medium enterprises (‘SME’) segment; and be utilized for the return path bundled with the DTH platform. CUIM Page 14
  • 15. NEXT GENERATION NETWORKS In the Next Generation Networks, multiple access networks can connect customers to a core network based on IP technology. These access networks include fibber optics or coaxial cable networks connected to fixed locations or customers connected through Wi-Fi as Ill as to 3G networks connected to mobile users. As a result, in the future, it would be impossible to identify whether the next generation network is a fixed or mobile network and the wireless access broadband would be used both for fixed and mobile services. It would then be futile to differentiate between fixed and mobile networks – both fixed and mobile users will access services through a single core network. Indian telecom networks are not as intensive as developed country’s telecom networks and India's teledensity is low only in rural areas. 670,000 route kilometres (419,000 miles) of optical fibbers has been laid in India by the major operators, even in remote areas and the process continues. BSNL alone has laid optical fibber to 30,000 Telephone Exchanges out of their 36 Exchanges. Keeping in mind the viability of providing services in rural areas, an attractive solution appears to be one which offers multiple service facility at low costs. A rural network based on the extensive optical fibber network, using Internet Protocol and offering a variety of services and the availability of open platforms for service development, viz. the Next Generation Network, appears to be an attractive proposition. Fiber network can be easily converted to Next Generation network and then used for delivering multiple services at cheap cost... CUIM Page 15
  • 16. 1.3 Regulatory and Policy environment In India Regulatory and policy environment Over the years, the Indian Telecommunication Policy and Regulatory framework has evolved into an Ill developed framework that facilitates effective policy formation and execution. The government has been making constant efforts to ensure that the regulatory framework is beneficial for the consumers as Ill as the licensed operators. The policy and regulatory framework for telecommunications in India consists of, among others, the following key bodies • The Department of Telecommunication (DoT) • The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) • The Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT) • Wireless Planning Commission (WPC) • Group on Telecom and IT (GoT – IT) TRAI Telecom Regulatory Authority of India was established as an independent body under the TRAI Act of 1997. The act was later amended in 2000. The entry of private players into the industry prompted the establishment of the act to effectively regulate the telecom players. TRAI safeguards the interests of the consumers through transparency, ensuring conformity with service quality benchmarks, enforcing measures to safeguard national security, fixing tariffs for players, counselling the government on matters relating to telecommunication development and tracking performance a d efforts of all players within the industry. DoT DoT is accountable for policy formulation, monitoring performance reviews, ensuring international co-operation, overlooking research and development and granting licenses to operators, allowing them to provide basic and value added services in various cities and telecom circles as per the approved government policies. The Department also allocates spectrum and manages radio communications in close coordination with the International bodies. It is also responsible for enforcing wireless regulatory measures and monitoring the wireless transmission of all users in the country CUIM Page 16
  • 17. Regulatory evolution Source: Press Search, KPMG Analysis As per TRAI total active Mobile Subscriber in November 2010 otal Subscriber Base 160 70% of Mobile Subscriber base is active 143.2 Reported Subscriber – 687.7 Million 140 127.9 Active Subscriber – 482 Million 115.5 120 96.4 100 86.6 79 80 72.5 67.3 65 59.1 Reported 60 46.5 42.9 35.6 Active 40 27.4 20 0 Business Line – Dated – 3 December 2010. CUIM Page 17
  • 18. Mobile Number Portability (MNP) Number portability: TRAI announced the rules and regulations to be followed for the Mobile Number Portability in their draft release on 23 September 2009. Mobile Number Portability (MNP) allows users to retain their numbers, while shifting to a different service provider provided they follow the guidelines set by TRAI. Users are expected to holding the mobile number with a given provider for at least 90 days, before they decide to move to the other provider. As per news reports, Government of India decided to implement MNP from December 31, 2009 in Metros & category ‘A’ service areas and by March 20, 2010 in rest of the country. CUIM Page 18
  • 19. Number Operator Total Sub Figures % Market Share 1 Airtel 15,89,98,869 20.09% 2 Reliance Comm. Ltd. (CDMA+ GSM) 13,21,76,914 16.70% 3 Vodafone 13,09,20,732 16.54% 4 BSNL (GSM + CDMA) 9,03,09,414 11.41% Tata Teleservices Ltd. (CDMA 8,76,54,472 5 +GSM) 11.08% 6 Idea 8,68,00,809 10.97% 7 Aircel 5,35,00,469 6.76% 8 Uninor 2,15,77,497 2.73% 9 MTS 96,12,738 1.21% 10 Videocon 65,64,083 0.83% 11 MTNL 54,54,846 0.69% 12 Loop Telecom Private Ltd. 30,79,281 0.39% 13 S-Tel LTD (GSM) 26,92,462 0.34% 14 HFCL (CDMA) 13,86,618 0.18% 15 Etisalat 6,52,370 0.08% Total 79,13,81,574 CUIM Page 19
  • 20. Videocon MTNL Loop S-Tel LTD HFCL (CDMA) 1% 1% Telecom (GSM) 0% Private Ltd. 0% MTS 0% Etisalat 1% 0% Uninor 3% Aircel Airtel 7% 20% Idea 11% Reliance Comm. Tata Teleservices Ltd. (CDMA+ GSM) Ltd. (CDMA +GSM) 17% 11% BSNL (GSM + CDMA) 11% Vodafone 17% CUIM Page 20
  • 21. Chapter – 2 Literature Review CUIM Page 21
  • 22. Date - 22 /09/2010 Source - Business Line Survey Method - Interview Sample - Mr Debases Chatterji, CEO of Netxcell Ltd. Business Line’s editor Mr D.murli interviewed Mr Debases chatterji on the key challenges faced by telecom operators. He was of the opinion that severe competition amongst voice service providers was leading to a few operators incurring huge losses. This might force consolidation in the industry in the future. As teledensity was already approaching 100% in urban centres, service providers were quickly moving to semi-urban and rural areas. In this segment, most customers prefer pre- paid services with very low average revenue per unit (less that Rs 200 per month). The average prepaid topup in rural areas is around 20 rupees per recharge. Over the past one and a half years, India has been adding 10 to 14 million customers in a month. Research has shown that 95% of them prefer pre-paid plans and are located in semi- urban areas. He was of the opinion that one area of growth could be subscribers pushing locally relevant content to cell phones of subscribers. This could range from local weather updates to discounts at a shopping mall at a particular date and time. CUIM Page 22
  • 23. Date - 20 /08/2010 Source - CNBC Survey Method - Interview Sample - Mr Sanjay Kapoor, CEO of Bharti Airtel Business Line’s editor Mr Sanjay Pugliya interviewed Mr Sanjay Kapoor, the CEO of Bharti Airtel on the topic. Finding from this interview is 480 minute/customer Rural India is a big market Subscription is approximately same Dependency of mobile phone because no significant alternative Profitability is a main concern Special focus on revenue http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZCQOT2Lylc&feature=related Date - 9-10 December 2010 Source - KPMG Survey Method - Survey Sample - Telecom Industry of India Rural movement - Rural movement not seems as a solution for the revenue generation because as per following statics, generated revenue cannot cope up with operation cost it is difficult to achieve breakeven point itself. There is wide variation in population density. Population density across villages India Village Density No. of Villages Between 1,000 - 2,000 129,000 Between 500 - 1,000 144,000 Between 0 - 500 219,000 Source: IMA India Report, 2006 http://www.trai.gov.in/Default.asp CUIM Page 23
  • 24. Date - 18 /09/2010 Source - CNBC Survey Method - Interview Sample - Mr Sanjay Kapoor, CEO of Bharti Airtel CNBC interviewed Mr. Sanjay Kapoor, the CEO of Bharti Airtel on the topic “Dialing Growth”. In that interview Mr. Kapoor told that subscriber growth is not only a parameter, but the revenue from the activities is an important parameter for Bharti. He not agrees with actual growth shown in numbers as per him actual growth is half of provided numbers”. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRvcjfoiM7g Date - 07 /03/2011 Source - Economic Times Survey Method - Results of subscriber complaints published by TRAI Sample - Population of subscribers who used wireless services India's largest mobile operator, Bharti Airtel is on top, also when it comes to subscriber complaints related to billing, metering and tariff-related issues and activation of value-added services without customer consent. In the last three years, TRAI received as many as 3,571 complaints from Bharti Airtel subscribers, 2,151 from Reliance customers and 1,896 from Vodafone Essar's clientele. Tata Docomo and Idea Cellular customers seemed to be the least dissatisfied, with 1,239 and 925 complaints, respectively, lodged against them CUIM Page 24
  • 25. Date - 06 /04/2011 Source - TRAI press release y Method - Results of subscriber population survey provided by service provider Sample - Population of subscribers who used wireless services As per “Highlights of Telecom Subscription” Data as on 28th February 2011 by TELECOM REGULATOR AUTHORITY OF INDIA New Delhi, 6th April 2011, TATA Teleservices is the 5th largest mobile operator in India having 8,76,54,472 subscriber contributing 11.08%. http://www.trai.gov.in/Default.asp CUIM Page 25
  • 26. Chapter – 3 Problem Definition and Objectives of the Project CUIM Page 26
  • 27. Problem Definition and Objectives of Project In this project “Operational Comparatives Study of Indian Telecom Service” The Indian cellular subscriber base currently stands at 826.25 million. Due to this large market, the Indian cellular service providers are amongst the most competitive in the world. India can boast of the cheapest call rates to be found anywhere in the world. At present there is very high competition in the telecom sector which has intensified with the entry of new cellular players in the circles. Private operators hold 87.90% of the wireless market share where as BSNL and MTNL, two major PSU operators hold only 12.10% market share. Around 14 operators are functioning in every circle & implementation of Mobile Number Portability has once again started the game of the “Survivable the fittest”. Even though The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India & other Independent Consultants provide guidelines and comparative analysis of the sector, CUIM Page 27
  • 28. Chapter – 4 Research Methodology CUIM Page 28
  • 29. Research Design I intend to follow an exploratory approach towards meeting our goals. Since the telecom sector is too vast to be covered within the scope of our project, I decided to opt away from descriptive research and orient ourselves more towards exploratory research. The information that I will primarily be dealing with are official TRAI figures, customer and retailer responses to questionnaires. I will then analyze the available information with MS- Excel. The questionnaire is intended to cater to recipients and subscribers. There will be separate for both the parties because questions intended for retailers will be more oriented towards why they sell or refer certain products and hold others back. I intend to investigate cellular companies provide to retailers and how retailers in turn market products of these cellular companies. To customers our questions will be directed at customer satisfaction with the service, preferences and satisfaction. About what brands they identify with and the reasons for their choices. The questionnaire will also attempt to gauge the level of attachments customers have with their service provider. Ingredients of Questionnaires Questionnaires will be conducted in person with random people from locations across India there will be no discrimination based on religion, caste, sex, and age or income level. The questionnaire will be limited to 20 minutes per person. It will consist of 20 questions that a respondent will have to answer. The questions asked will range from general to specific. Example – Question to customers – 1) Which brand do you prefer the most? 2) What brand are you using right now? 3) Are you satisfied with the service provided? 4) What are the reasons you might be dissatisfied? Service, network, rates. Note - (Detail Question are given in appendix Page 64-67) CUIM Page 29
  • 30. Sampling size – I intend to interview 100 customers of from various parts of India focusing primarily on Karnataka. This is so that I can cater to differing values and perceptions of people from different regions. Sampling plan – Multi-stage & connivance sampling – In this form of sampling is similar to cluster sampling but involves selecting a sample within each chosen cluster. Clusters in this case will be created on the basis of the States of Rajasthan, UP East, UP East, Karnataka, Delhi and Kolkata Circle. Note - (Responses can envisage in appendix Page 72) CUIM Page 30
  • 31. Chapter – 5 Findings & Interpretations CUIM Page 31
  • 32. 5.1 Comparatives Study of Telecom Service Provider 109 respondents are interviewed for survey, to identify that what factor play a critical role in the selection of Service Provider, factor are divided into 7 major category • Services • Cost-effectiveness • Network coverage • Low Cost is a major factor that attracts me to a service provider • Network Coverage of my service provider was a decisive factor that influenced my purchase • Advertisements played a major role in my decision to choose my service provider • Value added services are a major factor that attracts me to a service provider Interpretation Network Coverage, Service & Cost Effectiveness play a critical role, when the subscriber goes to choose the service provider. CUIM Page 32
  • 33. Bharti Airtel Interpretation- Service - Liner Cost effectiveness - Poor Network Coverage - Full fill the customer acceptance CUIM Page 33
  • 34. TATA Teleservices Interpretation Service - Liner Cost effectiveness - High Network Coverage - Below then customer acceptance CUIM Page 34
  • 35. Reliance Communication Interpretation- Service - Poor Cost effectiveness - High Network Coverage - Poor as Ill as below then customer acceptance CUIM Page 35
  • 36. Vodafone Interpretation- Service - Liner Cost effectiveness - Liner Network Coverage - Liner & more than customer acceptance Note- Vodafone has a perfect combination of all 3 critical parameter which is an ideal situation CUIM Page 36
  • 37. Idea Interpretation- Service - Below then average Cost effectiveness - High Network Coverage - Liner & more than customer acceptance CUIM Page 37
  • 38. BSNL & Others Interpretation- Service - Liner Cost effectiveness - Liner Network Coverage - Liner but matched with customer acceptance Note - (Detail Results can envisage in appendix Page 68-71) CUIM Page 38
  • 39. What attracts you towards a service provider? [Network Coverage of my service provider was a decisive factor that influenced my purchase] CUIM Page 39
  • 40. CUIM Page 40
  • 41. How would you rate your mobile service provider in terms of [Network coverage] ANOVA How would you rate your mobile service provider in terms of [Network coverage] Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Between Groups 21.299 5 4.260 4.320 .001 Within Groups 100.580 102 .986 Total 121.880 107 CUIM Page 41
  • 43. As per survey it comes in observation that Network is a critical parameter which influences the customer, analysis done for the Pre purchase & Post purchase experience of customer with service provider. A population of over a 1.5 billion individuals, India is a fast emerging economy on the world scenario. One of the most significant growths in this decade has been observed in the cell phone industry. An industry which initially had many players. Now is the time I could experience the consolidation in the industry, but still left with quite a number of players. Consumers have been the ultimate king all the way through, and to know the consumers’ insight is what no organization could miss. Consumers can be the kings but it is the Network team who committed for the quality service. So it is essential for any service provider to keep up to the pace of their team and provide them what they require. In this growing mobile era it is very essential to keep your team technically upgraded and make the most of what is available. CUIM Page 43
  • 45. Bibliography • Richard A. Gershon (2009). Telecommunication & Business Strategy. Published by Routledge New York 10016. Richard A. Gershon is a Professor & co-founder of the Telecommunication & Information Management Program at Western Michigan University. • Rafael Aguayo (1990).Dr. Deming "The American who taught the Japanese about Quality."Published by "Fireside Rockefeller Center New York 10020. R.afale studied with W.Edwards Deming for seven year, has worked in the financial sector for fifteen year is a consultant in Quality & Management. • Akanksha Singh,Archana & Ritu Singh. "3G: Still Hazy." Voice & Data, May 2011: 42-47. • KPMG."Indian Telecom 2010.9-10 December 2010 New Delhi http://www.trai.gov.in/Default.asp • Objective Assessment of Quality of Services for (QoS) for Basic (Wire line), Cellular (Wireless) and Broadband Service Providers Karnataka Circle. October-November- December - 2009. Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, By: eTech Group@IMRB A specialist unit of IMRB International.2010 <http://www.trai.gov.in/searchdoc.asp> • Highlights of Telecom Subscription” Data as on 28th February 2011 by Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, New Delhi, 6th April 2011. http://www.trai.gov.in/searchdoc.asp CUIM Page 45
  • 47. Questionnaire Objective: To gauge public opinion on services provided by various telecom operators Name City: State: 1) - Which mobile service provider are you using at the moment? Please tick the appropriate box Service Provider Tick Airtel BSNL Vodafone Idea Tata Reliance Others 2) - How long have you been using your service provider? Please tick the appropriate column. Duration Tick < 6 months 6 to 12 months 12 to 24 months 24 to 48 months >48 months CUIM Page 47
  • 48. 3)- How would you rate your service provider in terms of : Parameter Excellent Good Average Bad Poor Availability Offers Services Cost-effectiveness Network Coverage 4) - What services do you primarily avail of from your service provider? Please tick the appropriate box based on the degrees of usage. Services High Moderate Low Nil Voice services Internet services Mobile TV/Value added services Messaging services 5) - What attracts you towards a service provider? Strongl Agre Neutra Disagre Strongly Parameter y agree e l e disagree Low Cost is a major factor that attracts me to a service provider. Value added services are a major factor that attracts me to a service provider Advertisements played a major role in my decision to choose my service provider CUIM Page 48
  • 49. Network Coverage of my service provider was a decisive factor that influenced my purchase My service provider has numerous retail outlets that ensure availability and serviceability Good feedback from friends influenced my decision to choose my provider 6)-How would you rate the service provider in terms of its advertisement campaign compared to its competitors? Service Provider Excellent Good Equal Bad Poor Airtel BSNL Vodafone Idea Tata Reliance 7) - If Mobile number portability is implemented, I would choose another service provider? Yes No CUIM Page 49
  • 50. 7.1) - If yes, then which among these would be your first preference? Please tick the appropriate box Service Provider Tick Airtel BSNL Vodafone Idea Tata Reliance Others 8) - How would you rate your reasons for not being satisfied with the service provider? Parameter Strongly agree Agree Neutral Disagree Strongly disagree The costs associated with my service provider are higher than those of other similar providers I am dissatisfied with the services provided to me by my service provider The network coverage of my service provider in my area is substandard compared to competitors My service provider does not have enough retail outlets in my neighborhood I have received negative feedback about my service provider from my acquaintances Note – This Questionnaire is initially used to identify the “Declining Market Significance of Bharti Airtel Ltd.” in 7/12/2010 CUIM Page 50
  • 51. Post hoc tests are not performed for What attracts you towards a service provider? [Advertisements played a major role in my decision to choose my service provider] because at least one group has fewer than two cases. CUIM Page 51
  • 52. Post hoc tests are not performed for What attracts you towards a service provider? [Network Coverage of my service provider was a decisive factor that influenced my purchase] because at least one group has fewer than two cases. CUIM Page 52
  • 53. Post hoc tests are not performed for How would you rate your mobile service provider in terms of [Network coverage] because at least one group has fewer than two cases. CUIM Page 53
  • 54. Post hoc tests are not performed for What attracts you towards a service provider? [Value added services are a major factor that attracts me to a service provider] because at least one group has fewer than two cases. CUIM Page 54