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Chapter - 4

   MANAGING
DEMAND & SUPPLY

                  1
Introduction
Forecasting Demand
Understanding Demand Patterns
Managing Capacity Constraints
Capacity Planning
Strategies for Managing Capacity
to Match Demand
                             2
Strategies for Managing
Demand to Match Capacity
Strategies When Demand
and Capacity can not be
Matched
Yield Management
Summary
                           3
INTRODUCTION

Service capacity is a
perishable commodity. The
lack of inventory capability
leads to four possible
scenarios at any given time.

                               4
Excess Demand
Demand Exceeds Optimum
Capacity
Demand and Supply are
Balanced at the level of
Optimum Capacity
Excess capacity
                           5
FORECASTING DEMAND

Forecasting Demand is a very
imp. activity as the better the
assessment, the better the
quality of the planning. A few
situations that differ widely
from manufacturing companies
They are:
                             6
Fixed Capacity with
Widely Fluctuating
Demand
Service Systems that
Cannot Carry Inventories
Sharing Capacity
                           7
UNDERSTANDING
 DEMAND PATTERNS
Matching capacity to demand
over a period of time requires
the consideration of demand
curves commonly faced. We
can then seek ways to adjust
service output along such
curves, some them are:
                                 8
Typical Curves Representing Forecasts of Demand: Demand vs Time
                             (Fig. 4.1)




                                    --------------------



  (a) STABLE, CONSTANT DEMAND        (b) STABLE, CYCLICAL DEMAND




            (c) INCREASING DEMAND : LINEAR AND ACCELERATING

                                                           9
Typical Curves Representing Forecasts of Demand: Demand vs Time
                             (Fig. 4.1)




   (d) INCREASING DEMAND:         (e) DECREASING DEMAND:
         SATURATING                LINEAR & DECELETRATING




                  (f) DECREASING DEMAND:
                         VANISHING
                                                            10
Typical Curves Representing Forecasts of Demand: Demand vs Time
                             (Fig. 4.1)




                                     (g) LOGISTICAL DEMAND




                                     (h) LIFE – CYCLE DEMAND




                                                             11
MANAGING CAPACITY
  CONSTRAINTS

There are the four major
constraints depending upon
the type of service that service
firms face in order to fully
control the demand. They are:

                                   12
Time - Legal, Consulting,
Accounting, Medical
Labour - Law firm, Accounting
firm, Consulting firm
Equipment – Utilities, Helath
clubs, Telecommunication
Facilities – Hotels, Restaurants,
Hospitals, Schools.             13
CAPACITY PLANNING
  Capacity planning involves
determining the resource
capacity that a firm will need
to meet its demand. In general
terms, capacity is measured by
the maximum output level in a
period of time. There are two
types of Capacity Planning:
                                 14
Long-term Capacity Planning:

    These decisions are
generally strategic in nature,
normally involving investments
in buildings and equipment
primarily, and to a lesser
extent in human resources.
                               15
Fig. 4.2 Long-term Capacity Management Decisions
                                            MARKETS
                  COMPETITORS
                                            - Growth
                 -Markets served
                                       - Competitive criteria
                - Services offered
     POLITICAL
                                                               ECONOMY
- Taxation changes
                                                           - Rate of growth
   -International
                                                            - Interest rates
      relations

                           LONG TERM CAPCTIY                   SOCIAL
    TECHNICAL
                               DECISIONS                -Trends in employment
 -New technology
                                                            - Green issues
  - Impact of IT


                INCREASE                               REDUCE


    Single Large          Several             Close             Consolidate
        Step             Small Steps         Centers             Centers
                                                                              16
Short-term Capacity Planning:
    Decisions in this area relate
 to attempting to match supply of
 resources and demand with two
 broad options being to try and
 adjust resources to meet
 demand or to try to manage
 demand so that resources do
 not need to be adjusted.
                                17
Strategies for Matching Supply of and Demand for Services
                           (Fig. 4.3)
                                       Managing
                                    Service Capacity
                Managing                                            Managing
                Demand                                               Supply


                           Partitioning             Sharing
                                                                          Increasing
  Developing
                            Demand                  Capacity
Complementary                                                              Customer
   Services                                                              Participation

                       Establishing price         Cross-Training
 Developing                                                             Scheduling work
 Reservation              Incentives                Employees
                                                                             Shifts
 system


                                                                           Creating
                           Promoting              Using Part-time
                                                                          Adjustable
                       Off-peak Demand              Employees
                                                                           capacity

                                          Yield Management                      18
Strategies for Managing Capacity to Match Demand
                          (Fig. 4.4)

                                               DEMAND
    DEMAND            ALTER CAPACITY           Too Low
    Too High


• Stretch time, labour, facilities   • Performance
• Cross train employees                maintenance,
• Hire part-time employees             renovations
• Request overtime work from         • Schedule employee
  employees                             training
• Rent or share facilities           • Lay off employees
• Rent or share equipment

                                                    19
STRATAGIES FOR MANAGING
DEMAND TO MATCH CAPACITY

   Partitioning Demand
   Vary the Service Offering
   Developing Complementary
   Services
   Promoting off Peak Demand
                               20
Pricing Incentives
Communicate with Customers
Modify Timing of Service Delivery
Modify location of Service
Delivery
Advertising and Sales Promotion
                              21
STRATEGIES WHEN DEMAND &
SUPPLY CANNOT BE MATCHED
 Reservations
 Waiting Lines
 Queuing Situations
 Triage
 Delaying Service Delivery
                             22
YIELD MANAGEMENT
Relatively Fixed Capacity
Ability to segment Markets
Perishable Inventory
Product Sold in Advance
Fluctuating Demand
Low Marginal Sales Costs and High
Marginal Capacity change costs
                                    23
SUMMARY

Thus, this chapter provides deep
insight of how to match service
supply with customer demand. To
cut a long story short, using this
strategies the manager may
match the supply and demand, if
not fully but effectively.
                                 24
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Managing Demand and Supply

  • 1. Chapter - 4 MANAGING DEMAND & SUPPLY 1
  • 2. Introduction Forecasting Demand Understanding Demand Patterns Managing Capacity Constraints Capacity Planning Strategies for Managing Capacity to Match Demand 2
  • 3. Strategies for Managing Demand to Match Capacity Strategies When Demand and Capacity can not be Matched Yield Management Summary 3
  • 4. INTRODUCTION Service capacity is a perishable commodity. The lack of inventory capability leads to four possible scenarios at any given time. 4
  • 5. Excess Demand Demand Exceeds Optimum Capacity Demand and Supply are Balanced at the level of Optimum Capacity Excess capacity 5
  • 6. FORECASTING DEMAND Forecasting Demand is a very imp. activity as the better the assessment, the better the quality of the planning. A few situations that differ widely from manufacturing companies They are: 6
  • 7. Fixed Capacity with Widely Fluctuating Demand Service Systems that Cannot Carry Inventories Sharing Capacity 7
  • 8. UNDERSTANDING DEMAND PATTERNS Matching capacity to demand over a period of time requires the consideration of demand curves commonly faced. We can then seek ways to adjust service output along such curves, some them are: 8
  • 9. Typical Curves Representing Forecasts of Demand: Demand vs Time (Fig. 4.1) -------------------- (a) STABLE, CONSTANT DEMAND (b) STABLE, CYCLICAL DEMAND (c) INCREASING DEMAND : LINEAR AND ACCELERATING 9
  • 10. Typical Curves Representing Forecasts of Demand: Demand vs Time (Fig. 4.1) (d) INCREASING DEMAND: (e) DECREASING DEMAND: SATURATING LINEAR & DECELETRATING (f) DECREASING DEMAND: VANISHING 10
  • 11. Typical Curves Representing Forecasts of Demand: Demand vs Time (Fig. 4.1) (g) LOGISTICAL DEMAND (h) LIFE – CYCLE DEMAND 11
  • 12. MANAGING CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS There are the four major constraints depending upon the type of service that service firms face in order to fully control the demand. They are: 12
  • 13. Time - Legal, Consulting, Accounting, Medical Labour - Law firm, Accounting firm, Consulting firm Equipment – Utilities, Helath clubs, Telecommunication Facilities – Hotels, Restaurants, Hospitals, Schools. 13
  • 14. CAPACITY PLANNING Capacity planning involves determining the resource capacity that a firm will need to meet its demand. In general terms, capacity is measured by the maximum output level in a period of time. There are two types of Capacity Planning: 14
  • 15. Long-term Capacity Planning: These decisions are generally strategic in nature, normally involving investments in buildings and equipment primarily, and to a lesser extent in human resources. 15
  • 16. Fig. 4.2 Long-term Capacity Management Decisions MARKETS COMPETITORS - Growth -Markets served - Competitive criteria - Services offered POLITICAL ECONOMY - Taxation changes - Rate of growth -International - Interest rates relations LONG TERM CAPCTIY SOCIAL TECHNICAL DECISIONS -Trends in employment -New technology - Green issues - Impact of IT INCREASE REDUCE Single Large Several Close Consolidate Step Small Steps Centers Centers 16
  • 17. Short-term Capacity Planning: Decisions in this area relate to attempting to match supply of resources and demand with two broad options being to try and adjust resources to meet demand or to try to manage demand so that resources do not need to be adjusted. 17
  • 18. Strategies for Matching Supply of and Demand for Services (Fig. 4.3) Managing Service Capacity Managing Managing Demand Supply Partitioning Sharing Increasing Developing Demand Capacity Complementary Customer Services Participation Establishing price Cross-Training Developing Scheduling work Reservation Incentives Employees Shifts system Creating Promoting Using Part-time Adjustable Off-peak Demand Employees capacity Yield Management 18
  • 19. Strategies for Managing Capacity to Match Demand (Fig. 4.4) DEMAND DEMAND ALTER CAPACITY Too Low Too High • Stretch time, labour, facilities • Performance • Cross train employees maintenance, • Hire part-time employees renovations • Request overtime work from • Schedule employee employees training • Rent or share facilities • Lay off employees • Rent or share equipment 19
  • 20. STRATAGIES FOR MANAGING DEMAND TO MATCH CAPACITY Partitioning Demand Vary the Service Offering Developing Complementary Services Promoting off Peak Demand 20
  • 21. Pricing Incentives Communicate with Customers Modify Timing of Service Delivery Modify location of Service Delivery Advertising and Sales Promotion 21
  • 22. STRATEGIES WHEN DEMAND & SUPPLY CANNOT BE MATCHED Reservations Waiting Lines Queuing Situations Triage Delaying Service Delivery 22
  • 23. YIELD MANAGEMENT Relatively Fixed Capacity Ability to segment Markets Perishable Inventory Product Sold in Advance Fluctuating Demand Low Marginal Sales Costs and High Marginal Capacity change costs 23
  • 24. SUMMARY Thus, this chapter provides deep insight of how to match service supply with customer demand. To cut a long story short, using this strategies the manager may match the supply and demand, if not fully but effectively. 24
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