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BRAZIL
ECOMMERCE
Sports, Travel and
Cheap Retail Maintain
the Market’s Momentum
MARCH 2013
Thiago Guimaraes
Contributors: Rahul Chadha, Osbaldo Franco, Kris Oser, Martín Utreras, Haixia Wang
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                                                        B2C Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016
                                                                                          billions and % change
Ecommerce in Brazil has been climbing steadily,                                                                                                              $27.30
                                                                                                                                                $25.54
powered by growing internet penetration and rising                                                                                 $23.53
household income. Even as Brazil’s economy slows,                                                                     $19.76
the country’s B2C ecommerce should see double-                                                           $16.97
digit expansion this year and again in 2014, when                                           $13.91
the FIFA World Cup soccer tournament is expected to
prompt a surge in domestic travel and event-related                                         32.8%

economic activity.                                                                                       21.9%
                                                                                                                                   19.1%
                                                                                                                      16.5%
                                                                                                                                                 8.5%
Unlike Brazil’s early-stage digital buyers, who tended to                                                                                                     6.9%

come from the wealthier segments of society, Brazil’s                                        2011         2012         2013         2014         2015         2016
ecommerce newcomers are largely middle-income, price-                                       B2C ecommerce sales            % change
conscious consumers. Today they are making small-ticket                                   Note: includes travel, digital downloads and event tickets purchased via
                                                                                          any digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); excludes gambling;
purchases to test the waters of online shopping, but                                      converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95
lower-price items are likely gateway products, signaling                                  Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013
                                                                                          150112                                                   www.eMarketer.com
more significant purchases ahead.

Last year’s Black Friday online sales showed the market’s
potential, but also its weaknesses. Shoppers in Brazil
went online in droves, and many made purchases, but
site outages and price trickery frustrated some would-                                     CONTENTS
be buyers.
                                                                                          3	 The State of Ecommerce Sales in Brazil
This report looks at the makeup of Brazil’s growing
                                                                                          4	 Domestic Travel Boosting Digital Sales
population of online shoppers, their shopping behavior
and the types of products they are and aren’t buying.                                     5	 Retail Ecommerce Sales
                                                                                          7	 Internet Users and Digital Buyers
                                                                                          11	 eMarketer Interviews
KEY QUESTIONS                                                                             11	 Related eMarketer Reports
■■   How big is Brazil’s ecommerce market?                                                11	 Related Links

■■   What impact will upcoming international sporting                                     11	 Editorial and Production Contributors
     events have on digital travel sales in Brazil?

■■   How is Brazil’s growing middle class using the
     internet for commerce?

■■   How are digital content and mcommerce advancing
     ecommerce in Brazil?




      BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                            ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	2
THE STATE OF ECOMMERCE SALES                                                           As Brazil’s ecommerce market gains in size and
                                                                                        importance, more data is likely to become available. Sao
 IN BRAZIL                                                                              Paulo-based ecommerce research company e-bit, for one,
                                                                                        will release its first B2C ecommerce projections for Brazil
Following in the footsteps of the country’s recent                                      in the first half of 2013. In the meantime, eMarketer’s
economic development, Brazil’s ecommerce segment                                        estimates are conservative due to limited data availability.
has expanded substantially in the past few years,
                                                                                        A final data note: In this report, B2C ecommerce includes
rising nearly 33% in 2011 and a further 22% in 2012,
                                                                                        both retail and travel sales made digitally.
according to eMarketer estimates.

Brazil closed 2012 with $16.97 billion in B2C ecommerce
sales and is expected to record another $19.76 billion                                  MOBILE PENETRATION AND MCOMMERCE
in sales this year for a 16.5% gain. Next year, the Brazil-
                                                                                        If ecommerce in Brazil is still in its early stages, then
hosted FIFA World Cup soccer tournament should again
                                                                                        mobile commerce is in its newborn phase. But mobile
spur double-digit growth, pushing Brazil’s ecommerce
                                                                                        internet uptake points to strong growth potential for
tally to $23.53 billion, before annual sales gains begin to
                                                                                        mcommerce in Brazil. Moreover, the next two years
cool off.
                                                                                        should see increased investment in telecommunications,
                                                                                        although it’s too early to tell how closely mcommerce
B2C Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016                                                will follow.
billions and % change
                                                                   $27.30               Brazil ended 2012 with 37 million mobile internet users,
                                                      $25.54
                                                                                        up from 8 million in 2010. eMarketer expects to see
                                         $23.53
                                                                                        approximately 23% of Brazil’s population, or 49 million
                            $19.76                                                      people, use the mobile internet at least once per month
               $16.97                                                                   in 2013.
  $13.91


  32.8%                                                                                 Mobile Internet Users and Penetration in Brazil,
                                                                                        2010-2016
               21.9%
                                         19.1%                                                              2010     2011   2012    2013    2014    2015      2016
                            16.5%
                                                       8.5%                             Mobile internet       8.0    25.3    37.0    49.0    64.7   82.1      96.4
                                                                    6.9%                users (millions)
   2011         2012         2013         2014         2015         2016                —% change          46.7% 214.1% 46.4% 32.5% 32.1% 26.8% 17.5%
  B2C ecommerce sales            % change                                               —% of mobile        8.0%    23.0% 31.0% 38.0% 47.0% 56.0% 62.0%
                                                                                        phone users
Note: includes travel, digital downloads and event tickets purchased via                —% of population    4.0%    12.4% 18.0% 23.6% 30.8% 38.6% 45.0%
any digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); excludes gambling;           Note: mobile phone users of any age who access the internet from a
converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95                                          mobile browser or an installed application at least once per month;
Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013                                                             excludes SMS, MMS and IM
150112                                                   www.eMarketer.com              Source: eMarketer, April 2012
                                                                                        139328                                                 www.eMarketer.com
Because there is little comparative data for ecommerce
in Brazil, eMarketer has based its estimates on data                                    Brazil’s smartphone user base will follow close behind,
from previous years, in particular tracking ecommerce                                   reaching 47 million in 2013, according to eMarketer
as a share of gross domestic product. In addition, we’ve                                estimates. Tablet usage has also been on the rise.
looked at survey data for insights into numbers of digital                              F/Nazca Saatchi & Saatchi estimated there were 5 million
buyers and the average amount they spend.                                               tablet users in Brazil in 2012, up from 240,000 a year
                                                                                        earlier. [eMarketer does not yet have a comparable tablet
No local sources have published B2C ecommerce sales                                     usage estimate.]
estimates for 2012, nor have there been domestic
projections for the coming years. There are some
estimates from non-local entities, but they are not usually
updated annually. Lack of data is a symptom of a still-
maturing market in which growth takes the lead while
research trails behind.


    BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                           ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	3
Câmara Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico (Câmara-e.net),
an industry group focused on ecommerce, estimates
                                                                                        DOMESTIC TRAVEL BOOSTING
mobile commerce in Brazil doubled its share of total                                    DIGITAL SALES
retail ecommerce in 2012, growing to 10%. e-bit’s more
conservative view suggests a still notable jump from 0.3%                              As in other countries, digital travel sales have played
in 2011 to 1.3% in 2012.                                                               a major role in the growth of ecommerce in Brazil.
                                                                                       Travel represented close to a third of the country’s
As with ecommerce estimates as a whole, the divergent
                                                                                       total ecommerce sales in 2012, eMarketer estimates.
assessments of mcommerce reflect how new the
ecommerce and mcommerce markets are in Brazil.
                                                                                       Digital Travel Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016
                                                                                       billions and % change
                                                                                                                                                       $10.00
                                                                                                                                           $9.44
                                                                                                                               $8.72



                                                                                         50.0%                    $6.50
                                                                                                      $5.42
                                                                                         $4.33

                                                                                                                              34.2%
                                                                                                     25.0%
                                                                                                                  20.0%

                                                                                                                                            8.2%        6.0%
                                                                                          2011        2012         2013        2014        2015         2016
                                                                                         Digital travel sales      % change

                                                                                       Note: includes leisure and unmanaged business travel purchased via any
                                                                                       digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); converted at the
                                                                                       exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95
                                                                                       Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013
                                                                                       150114                                                 www.eMarketer.com


                                                                                       Two major sporting events to be held in Brazil are likely to
                                                                                       spur further digital travel sales over the next two years. The
                                                                                       2013 FIFA Confederations Cup, a sort of warm-up for the
                                                                                       World Cup, will be held in June across six cities in Brazil.
                                                                                       The event’s organizing committee expects to sell more
                                                                                       than 800,000 tickets, 74,000 of which were purchased in
                                                                                       the first 24 hours of availability.

                                                                                       Brazil’s sheer size means that air travel is required to get
                                                                                       from place to place, and airline tickets can be expensive.
                                                                                       Using November 2012 prices, Decolar.com, an online
                                                                                       travel agency in Brazil, projected that a sports fan in Brazil
                                                                                       buying the cheapest airfare and hotel room for an out-
                                                                                       of-town soccer match would spend between $208 and
                                                                                       $508 (including a $15 match ticket). Prices are likely to rise
                                                                                       further as this year’s event approaches.




   BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                            ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	4
Another digital travel boost will come in 2014, when more
than 3 million people are expected to travel to and within
                                                                                         RETAIL ECOMMERCE SALES
Brazil to watch the FIFA World Cup, possibly at even more
                                                                                        Retail ecommerce sales in Brazil are likely to grow at
inflated prices.
                                                                                        a healthy double-digit pace through 2014, but a bit
After a breather in 2015, Brazil will host the 2016 Summer                              more slowly than digital travel sales, since the market
Olympics. While that event will probably inspire some                                   is less likely to be affected by the sporting events
digital travel spending, it will be less dramatic than the                              powering travel sales.
World Cup because the Olympics will take place in a
single city, Rio de Janeiro.
                                                                                        Retail Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016
                                                                                        billions and % change
                                                                                                                                                          $17.30
                                                                                                                                             $16.10
                                                                                                                                $14.81
                                                                                                                   $13.26
                                                                                                      $11.55

                                                                                          $9.58




                                                                                          26.3%
                                                                                                       20.5%
                                                                                                                    14.8%
                                                                                                                                 11.7%
                                                                                                                                              8.7%         7.5%
                                                                                           2011         2012        2013         2014         2015         2016
                                                                                          Retail ecommerce sales            % change

                                                                                        Note: includes digital downloads and event tickets purchased via any digital
                                                                                        channel (including online, mobile and tablet); excludes travel and gambling;
                                                                                        converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95
                                                                                        Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013
                                                                                        150113                                                  www.eMarketer.com


                                                                                        While there is limited comparative data for overall
                                                                                        B2C ecommerce activity in Brazil, there are a handful
                                                                                        of estimates for the narrower retail ecommerce
                                                                                        sector. eMarketer’s $11.6 billion estimate of 2012 retail
                                                                                        ecommerce sales is in line with e-bit and Câmara
                                                                                        Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico. The Brazilian
                                                                                        Association of Ecommerce (ABComm) puts the total a bit
                                                                                        higher, at $12.4 billion.


                                                                                        Comparative Estimates: Retail Ecommerce Sales
                                                                                        in Brazil, 2011 & 2012
                                                                                        billions
                                                                                                                                                      2011    2012
                                                                                        ABComm*, Jan 2013                                              $9.6   $12.4
                                                                                        eMarketer*, Jan 2013                                          $9.6    $11.6
                                                                                        e-bit**, Aug 2012                                             $9.3    $11.6
                                                                                        Câmara Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico – Câmara-e.net*,     $9.6    $11.5
                                                                                        Jan 2013
                                                                                        Note: excludes online travel sales; *converted at the exchange rate of
                                                                                        US$1=BRL1.95; **converted at the rate of $1=BRL2.0154
                                                                                        Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013; various, as noted, 2012 & 2013
                                                                                        152651                                                   www.eMarketer.com




    BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                            ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	5
ABComm’s number may be higher because it includes                                       ages 16 and older across all income levels preferred
consumer-to-consumer marketplace/online auctions.                                       to buy in physical stores. Resistance to ecommerce
MercadoLivre, for example, a marketplace for online                                     was higher among females and older users. Brazil’s
B2C and C2C transactions, which comScore shows as                                       internet user segments most likely to say they preferred
the leading ecommerce platform accessed in Brazil in                                    ecommerce were males, middle-income households and
terms of minutes spent online, reported $1.3 billion in                                 consumers ages 35 to 49.
transactions in 2012.

                                                                                        Preferred Purchase Methods of Internet Users
                                                                                        in Brazil, by Demographic, Sep 2012
BLACK FRIDAY SEES HIGHS AND LOWS                                                        % of respondents in each group
                                                                                                                 In a    On      On On mobile phone/
Although Brazil does not celebrate Thanksgiving, in 2010                                                        store computer tablet smartphone

the price comparison website Busca Descontos created a                                  Gender
                                                                                        Female                   73%        23%         3%             1%
campaign to promote a day of discounted online shopping
                                                                                        Male                     58%        36%         2%             4%
like that of the US’s Black Friday, the symbolic start of the                           Age
holiday shopping season.                                                                16-34                    64%        30%         3%             3%
                                                                                        35-49                    71%        28%         1%              -
For such a new and transparently commercial concept,                                    50-64                    65%        29%         1%             5%
Black Friday has achieved widespread adoption in Brazil.                                Household income
                                                                                        Low                      76%        19%         2%             3%
According to comScore Marketing Solutions data,
                                                                                        Medium                   60%        35%         2%             2%
ecommerce sales in Brazil on Black Friday 2012 were
                                                                                        High                     69%        29%         2%              -
368% higher than the average November day. Other                                        Total                    66%        29%         2%             3%
metrics, such as the number of transactions and average                                 Note: numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding
order value, also showed large gains.                                                   Source: Ipsos OTX and Ipsos Global @dvisor, "Socialogue," Dec 4, 2012
                                                                                        148650                                                  www.eMarketer.com


                                                                                        The top three online retailers during Black Friday 2012
Growth of Black Friday Ecommerce Metrics in Brazil,
                                                                                        were also established brick-and-mortar discount chains.
Nov 23, 2012
% change vs. average online shopping day during Nov 1-27,                               Americanas, part of B2W, Brazil’s largest B2C sales group,
2012                                                                                    had the highest total sales. In second and third place were
Buyers                                                               185%               Pontofrio and Casa Bahia, respectively, both of which are
Spending per buyer                                                    64%               managed by B2W’s closest competitor, Nova Pontocom.
Transactions                                                         202%               Wal-Mart, a relative newcomer to Brazil’s online market
Average order value                                                   55%
                                                                                        and the only foreign retailer on the list, saw the highest
Transactions per buyer                                                 6%
Total spending                                                      368%
                                                                                        increase in sales year over year.
Note: ages 15+; excludes MercadoLivre, which also functions as a
marketplace that generates many offline transactions; read as the average
order value on Black Friday was 55% higher than the average order value
during Nov 1-27, 2012                                                                   Leading Online Retailers on Black Friday in Brazil,
Source: comScore Marketing Solutions as cited in press release, Dec 6,                  Nov 23, 2012
2012
                                                                                                              Rank by             Rank by % change vs. average
150327                                                  www.eMarketer.com                                    dollar sales            online shopping day*
                                                                                        Americanas                 1                             5
ClearSale, an ecommerce authentication and fraud-
                                                                                        Pontofrio                  2                             2
prevention company, estimated online sales during                                       Casas Bahia                3                             3
Brazil’s 2012 Black Friday totaled close to $111 million,                               Wal-mart                   4                             1
up from $51 million in the previous year, based on                                      Submarino                  5                             6
541,000 purchases at an average ticket of $205. Leading                                 Magazine Luiza             6                             4
categories were consumer electronics, computers,                                        Netshoes                   7                             7
                                                                                        Note: ages 15+; excludes MercadoLivre, which also functions as a
mobile phones, home appliances and games.                                               marketplace that generates many offline transactions; *during Nov 1-27,
                                                                                        2012
                                                                                        Source: comScore Marketing Solutions as cited in press release, Dec 6, 2012
Black Friday has so far been successful at drawing buyers                               150328                                                  www.eMarketer.com
online in a market that is still reluctant to abandon brick-
and-mortar shopping. Ipsos OTX and Ipsos Global
@dvisor’s December 2012 “Socialogue” showed that, on
average, no fewer than 66% of internet users in Brazil


    BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                            ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	6
But all the extra shopping on Black Friday exposed
weaknesses in the Brazil’s ecommerce landscape. With
                                                                                         INTERNET USERS AND
access rates up to seven times higher than in 2011, and                                  DIGITAL BUYERS
up to 75,000 simultaneous hits during the first few hours,
many retailers’ websites slowed to a crawl or crashed.                                  Even while still in an early stage of ecommerce
Furthermore, seven major retailers were contacted by                                    development, Brazil’s sheer size makes it a market
Sao Paulo’s consumer protection bureau, Fundação                                        worth watching. eMarketer estimates that 91.5 million
Procon-SP on behalf of digital shoppers complaining
           ,                                                                            people in Brazil, or 44% of the country’s population,
of wrongdoing, specifically price tweaking and false
                                                                                        will be internet users in 2013.
advertising. Disgruntled customers also flooded social
networks, especially Facebook, with negative comments.
                                                                                        Internet Users and Penetration in Brazil, 2011-2016
Still, the rapid growth of Black Friday and the increasing                              millions, % of population and % change
volume of online sales in general show the growing                                                                                            99.8
                                                                                                                                                         103.0
                                                                                                                                 96.7
acceptance and popularity of ecommerce in Brazil.                                                                    91.5
                                                                                                        86.4
                                                                                            79.3



                                                                                                                                46.0%        47.0%       48.0%
                                                                                                       42.0%        44.0%
                                                                                           39.0%




                                                                                           9.0%         8.9%
                                                                                                                    5.9%         5.7%        3.2%         3.2%


                                                                                           2011         2012        2013         2014        2015         2016
                                                                                          Internet users        % of population         % change

                                                                                        Note: individuals of any age who use the internet from any location via any
                                                                                        device at least once per month
                                                                                        Source: eMarketer, Feb 2012
                                                                                        136990                                                  www.eMarketer.com


                                                                                        Breaking this down along income levels, data from
                                                                                        Núcleo de Informação e Coordenação do Ponto BR
                                                                                        (NIC.br) shows internet usage among Brazil’s middle—
                                                                                        or C—class at only 54%, while near or above 90% in
                                                                                        wealthier class A and B households.




    BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                            ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	7
Demographic Profile of Internet Users* in Brazil,                                          Comparative Estimates: Online Buyers in Brazil,
Oct 2010 & Jan 2012                                                                       2011 & 2012
% of respondents in each group                                                            % of internet users
                                 Oct 2010                          Jan 2012                                    2011      2012    Age    Usage
Gender                                                                                    GlobalWebIndex*,       -       57.0%     -    Purchased in the past month
Male                                  48%                              54%                Feb 2013                                      via any digital channel
Female                                48%                              52%                Ipsos, Feb 2012        -       46.0%   16-64 Bought products or services
                                                                                                                                       online in the past 3 months
Age
                                                                                          eMarketer,           30.0% 34.0%       14+    Made at least one
10-15                                 75%                              75%                Jan 2013                                      purchase via any digital
16-24                                 76%                              81%                                                              channel within the
25-34                                 62%                              67%                                                              past year

35-44                                 41%                              48%                F/Nazca Saatchi &    24.0%       -     16+    -
                                                                                          Saatchi, Dec 2011
45-59                                 23%                              30%
                                                                                          Note: *data is for Q2
60+                                    6%                              12%                Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013; various, as noted, 2011-2013
Social class                                                                              151335                                                 www.eMarketer.com
A                                     90%                              94%
B                                     79%                              83%
C
DE
                                      51%
                                      19%
                                                                       54%
                                                                       21%                THE MIDDLE CLASS AS DIGITAL DRIVERS
Total                                 48%                              53%
                                                                                          In Brazil, where even small percentage changes equate
Note: 2010 n=23,107; 2012 n=25,000; *ever at any location
Source: Núcleo de Informação e Coordenação do Ponto BR (NIC.BR), "TIC                     to tens of millions of consumers, the size of the middle
Domicílios 2011" conducted by IBOPE Inteligência, May 31, 2012
                                                                                          class is key to ecommerce growth.
141697                                                    www.eMarketer.com


eMarketer estimates that Brazil will have 26.7 million                                    A study by Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV), a higher-
digital buyers in 2013, equal to 36% of internet users.                                   education institution and think tank, predicts the middle
That penetration level is a far cry from the US, where                                    class will represent 60.2% of Brazil’s population by 2014,
the figure is 73%, but Brazil outpaces Latin America as a                                 at which point the group should include more than 120
whole, for which the average is 33.2%.                                                    million people.

                                                                                          The range of incomes encompassed in “the middle class”
Digital Buyers in Brazil, 2011-2016                                                       is wide, though, with the higher-income households in
                               2011    2012    2013    2014    2015     2016              the category earning several times more than the lower-
Digital buyers (millions)      19.1     23.7   26.7     29.7    31.9    33.9              income ones. Since those at the lower end do not have
—% change                     33.1% 24.1% 12.8% 11.3%           7.4%    6.2%              enough expendable income to significantly drive total
—% of internet users          30.0% 34.0% 36.0% 37.7% 39.0% 40.0%
                                                                                          ecommerce sales, it is those at the high end who will have
—% of population              12.4% 15.2% 16.9% 18.5% 19.6% 20.5%
Note: ages 14+; internet users who have made at least one purchase via
                                                                                          the greatest impact.
any digital channel within the past year, including online, mobile and tablet
purchases
Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013                                                               As more middle-income consumers go digital, online
150115                                                    www.eMarketer.com               retailers can expect to see more purchases being made,
                                                                                          but at lower price points. e-bit’s data already shows
Compared to eMarketer, Ipsos and GlobalWebIndex
                                                                                          Brazil’s average ecommerce ticket size falling from $202
show a larger share of Brazil’s internet users making
                                                                                          in 2010 to $189 in 2011 and $165 in 2012. Moreover,
internet purchases. With similar age and purchase
                                                                                          a 2012 Hi-mídia and M.sense study of Brazil’s online
frequency parameters, and considering the still-emerging
                                                                                          buyers indicated price was a leading motivation for
mcommerce market in Brazil, sampling probably
                                                                                          purchasing online.
contributes to the differences in estimates. The online
panels used by Ipsos and GlobalWebIndex tend to attract
respondents who are generally more digitally-savvy and
already more inclined to buy online.




      BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                              ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	8
Pedro Eugenio, CEO of price-comparison tool and coupon
Leading Reasons to Purchase Online According to
Online Buyers in Brazil, April 2012                                                     service Busca Descontos (the company that brought
% of respondents                                                                        Black Friday to Brazil), noted that with more ecommerce
Price
                                                                                        competition and the large selection of coupons available,
                                                                     68%                digital internet buyers in Brazil—including middle-class
Convenience                                                                             consumers—rarely make a purchase decision before
                                                               56%                      first comparing prices and searching for discounts across
Product variety                                                                         multiple retail sites.
                                  31%
It's easy to pay                                                                        Brazil’s emerging middle class is not just increasing
                              28%                                                       consumption because of extra disposable income. Rather
Find more info and tips on products online                                              it is seeking to get the most for its hard-earned money,
                         26%
                                                                                        and to do so in the most hassle-free way. This is what
Note: n=1,129                                                                           consumers are after as they move purchases from the
Source: Hi-mídia and M.sense, "E-commerce: E-consumer Behavior," May
31, 2012                                                                                street to the screen.
142849                                                  www.eMarketer.com

                                                                                        Moreover, while most digital buyers are price-conscious
The increasing number of middle-income online shoppers                                  and wary of losing money through unsuccessful
also suggests that comparison shopping, while already                                   online purchases, middle-income consumers new to
prevalent among consumers in Brazil, will grow even                                     ecommerce tend to be more risk-averse. Cheaper,
more common.                                                                            easier-to-ship items represent a more manageable risk as
                                                                                        consumers try a new purchase method. Once satisfied,
Sources that Influence the Purchase* Decisions of                                        these first-time online shoppers are likely to come back to
Online Buyers in Brazil, April 2012                                                     spend more.
% of total
Information which you research online                                  3%               According to e-bit, among the top five most purchased
                                57%                   20%         15% 4%                product categories in Brazil in 2011 and 2012 were low-
Friends' opinions given in person                                                       ticket, easy-to-deliver items, such as health and beauty
                        42%                      30%         16% 7% 4%                  products. But perhaps unexpectedly, appliances topped
Opinions found on price comparison websites/reviews                                     e-bit’s list. Though most of these appliances were smaller
                      41%                31%        18% 5% 4%                           kitchen items, consumers in Brazil are going online to
Company websites (institutional)
                                                                                        shop for and buy larger items like refrigerators, stoves and
                35%                     26%                 24%    10% 5%               washing machines.
Discussion forums
              28%                 23%          19%       13%          17%
                                                                                        Leading Categories of Retail Ecommerce in Brazil, H1
Comments left by friends on social networks                                             2012
           26%                28%           22%              12%      13%               % share
Internet ads
           23%                24%                      31%         14% 6%               Appliances                                                             13%

                                                                                        Health & beauty                                                        13%
TV ads
         18%           20%                      33%            18%    10%               Fashion & accessories                                            11%

Comments left by strangers on social networks                                           Books, magazine subscriptions & newspapers                 10%
  12%       17%               27%          21%                        26%
                                                                                        Computers                                          9%
  5—highly influences          4     3      2     1—does not influence
                                                                                        Source: e-bit, "WebShoppers, 26th edition," Aug 22, 2012
Note: n=1,129; numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding; *online                  150575                                                  www.eMarketer.com
or offline
Source: Hi-mídia and M.sense, "E-commerce: E-consumer Behavior,"
May 31, 2012
142851                                                  www.eMarketer.com




    BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                           ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	9
Pedro Guasti, vice president of Buscapé Company, a
digital commerce platform, reasoned that although
                                                                                        WEALTHIER CLASSES STILL SPEND MORE
products like home appliances represent a substantial                                   While the middle class, especially those in upper end,
investment for middle-income families, the ease of                                      will be a major driver of growth in ecommerce in Brazil,
researching, reading reviews and buying all in the same                                 much of the segment’s sales will continue to come from
place give consumers the right mix of confidence and                                    wealthier buyers, who not only have more expendable
convenience to complete a purchase. Guasti also noted                                   income but also have more experience online.
that financing purchases at no interest has been a vital
practice among retailers in Brazil for many years. As                                   FGV projects that by 2014 Brazil’s wealthier A and B social
retailers, and even credit card companies, expand their                                 classes will grow even more rapidly than the middle
businesses online, they have made sure to include                                       class, increasing at an expected combined rate of 29%,
no-interest financing among their payment methods.                                      which will boost the more affluent population to some 29
                                                                                        million people.
Also supporting the growth of ecommerce in 2012 was
the localization of major virtual bookstores—Apple’s                                    Polling firm IBOPE Inteligência’s 2012 Pyxis Consumption
iBookstore, Google’s Play store and Amazon.com’s Kindle                                 Index estimated that 54.3% of household consumption
Store—offering content in Portuguese and prices in the                                  in Brazil in 2012 would originate from the A and B social
local currency.                                                                         classes, with the C class buying their way to a 38.7%
                                                                                        share. Brazil’s D and E classes were expected to account
Amazon has created a handful of physical sales points                                   for just 7%.
for its Kindle ereaders in Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro,
although it has held back on selling the more advanced                                  Data is not yet available showing how these consumption
Kindle Fire tablet in Brazil, focusing instead on more                                  patterns translated into ecommerce, but is seems
affordable devices for the time being. Ereader brand Kobo                               likely that while most new digital buyers and first-time
has partnered with Livraria da Cultura, an established                                  ecommerce transactions will come from the middle class,
brick-and-mortar bookstore chain in Brazil that has now                                 Brazil’s wealthier income rungs will continue to spend
also gone digital.                                                                      more—and buy more expensive items.




    BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                       ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	10
EMARKETER INTERVIEWS                                                                     RELATED EMARKETER REPORTS
                Pedro Guasti                                                             Brazil Online: An Increasingly Mobile Market
                Vice President, Marketing Intelligence                                   Brazil Digital Ad Spending: A Growing Consumer Base
                Buscapé Company                                                          Lures Marketers Online
                Interview conducted on February 7, 2013



                Bernardo Kirschner                                                        RELATED LINKS
                Planning Director
                VML Brasil                                                               Agência Nacional de Telecomunicações
                Interview conducted on February 13, 2013                                 Black Friday Brasil
                                                                                         Busca Descontos
                Ludovino Lopes
                President                                                                Buscapé Company
                Câmara Brasileira de Comércio
                Eletrônico – Câmara-e.net                                                Centro de Estudos sobre as Tecnologias da Informação
                                                                                         e da Comunicação
Interview conducted on February 19, 2013
                                                                                         Câmara Brasileira de Comérceio Eletrônico – Câmara-e.net
                Cris Rother                                                              comScore, Inc.
                Director
                                                                                         e-bit
                e-bit
                Interview conducted on February 8, 2013                                  IBOPE Inteligência
                                                                                         IBOPE Nielsen Online
                                                                                         Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística
                                                                                         VML Brazil
                                                                                         Brazilian Association of Ecommerce (ABComm)
                                                                                         ClearSale
                                                                                         Decolar.com
                                                                                         F/Nazca Saatchi & Saatchi
                                                                                         Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV)
                                                                                         Hi-mídia
                                                                                         Ipsos Global @dvisor
                                                                                         Ipsos OTX
                                                                                         M.sense
                                                                                         Núcleo de Infomação e Coordenação do Ponto BR (NIC.br)


                                                                                          EDITORIAL AND
                                                                                          PRODUCTION CONTRIBUTORS
                                                                                         Cliff Annicelli	                 Senior Editor
                                                                                         Kaitlin Carlin	                  Copy Editor
                                                                                         Joanne DiCamillo	                Senior Production Artist
                                                                                         Stephanie Gehrsitz	              Senior Production Artist
                                                                                         Dana Hill 	                      Director of Production
                                                                                         Nicole Perrin	                   Associate Editorial Director
                                                                                         Allie Smith 	                    Director of Charts


     BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM	                         ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED	11
E marketer brazil_ecommerce-sports_travel_and_cheap_retail_maintain_the_markets_momentum

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E marketer brazil_ecommerce-sports_travel_and_cheap_retail_maintain_the_markets_momentum

  • 1. BRAZIL ECOMMERCE Sports, Travel and Cheap Retail Maintain the Market’s Momentum MARCH 2013 Thiago Guimaraes Contributors: Rahul Chadha, Osbaldo Franco, Kris Oser, Martín Utreras, Haixia Wang
  • 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY B2C Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016 billions and % change Ecommerce in Brazil has been climbing steadily, $27.30 $25.54 powered by growing internet penetration and rising $23.53 household income. Even as Brazil’s economy slows, $19.76 the country’s B2C ecommerce should see double- $16.97 digit expansion this year and again in 2014, when $13.91 the FIFA World Cup soccer tournament is expected to prompt a surge in domestic travel and event-related 32.8% economic activity. 21.9% 19.1% 16.5% 8.5% Unlike Brazil’s early-stage digital buyers, who tended to 6.9% come from the wealthier segments of society, Brazil’s 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ecommerce newcomers are largely middle-income, price- B2C ecommerce sales % change conscious consumers. Today they are making small-ticket Note: includes travel, digital downloads and event tickets purchased via any digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); excludes gambling; purchases to test the waters of online shopping, but converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95 lower-price items are likely gateway products, signaling Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013 150112 www.eMarketer.com more significant purchases ahead. Last year’s Black Friday online sales showed the market’s potential, but also its weaknesses. Shoppers in Brazil went online in droves, and many made purchases, but site outages and price trickery frustrated some would- CONTENTS be buyers. 3 The State of Ecommerce Sales in Brazil This report looks at the makeup of Brazil’s growing 4 Domestic Travel Boosting Digital Sales population of online shoppers, their shopping behavior and the types of products they are and aren’t buying. 5 Retail Ecommerce Sales 7 Internet Users and Digital Buyers 11 eMarketer Interviews KEY QUESTIONS 11 Related eMarketer Reports ■■ How big is Brazil’s ecommerce market? 11 Related Links ■■ What impact will upcoming international sporting 11 Editorial and Production Contributors events have on digital travel sales in Brazil? ■■ How is Brazil’s growing middle class using the internet for commerce? ■■ How are digital content and mcommerce advancing ecommerce in Brazil? BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 2
  • 3. THE STATE OF ECOMMERCE SALES As Brazil’s ecommerce market gains in size and importance, more data is likely to become available. Sao IN BRAZIL Paulo-based ecommerce research company e-bit, for one, will release its first B2C ecommerce projections for Brazil Following in the footsteps of the country’s recent in the first half of 2013. In the meantime, eMarketer’s economic development, Brazil’s ecommerce segment estimates are conservative due to limited data availability. has expanded substantially in the past few years, A final data note: In this report, B2C ecommerce includes rising nearly 33% in 2011 and a further 22% in 2012, both retail and travel sales made digitally. according to eMarketer estimates. Brazil closed 2012 with $16.97 billion in B2C ecommerce sales and is expected to record another $19.76 billion MOBILE PENETRATION AND MCOMMERCE in sales this year for a 16.5% gain. Next year, the Brazil- If ecommerce in Brazil is still in its early stages, then hosted FIFA World Cup soccer tournament should again mobile commerce is in its newborn phase. But mobile spur double-digit growth, pushing Brazil’s ecommerce internet uptake points to strong growth potential for tally to $23.53 billion, before annual sales gains begin to mcommerce in Brazil. Moreover, the next two years cool off. should see increased investment in telecommunications, although it’s too early to tell how closely mcommerce B2C Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016 will follow. billions and % change $27.30 Brazil ended 2012 with 37 million mobile internet users, $25.54 up from 8 million in 2010. eMarketer expects to see $23.53 approximately 23% of Brazil’s population, or 49 million $19.76 people, use the mobile internet at least once per month $16.97 in 2013. $13.91 32.8% Mobile Internet Users and Penetration in Brazil, 2010-2016 21.9% 19.1% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 16.5% 8.5% Mobile internet 8.0 25.3 37.0 49.0 64.7 82.1 96.4 6.9% users (millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 —% change 46.7% 214.1% 46.4% 32.5% 32.1% 26.8% 17.5% B2C ecommerce sales % change —% of mobile 8.0% 23.0% 31.0% 38.0% 47.0% 56.0% 62.0% phone users Note: includes travel, digital downloads and event tickets purchased via —% of population 4.0% 12.4% 18.0% 23.6% 30.8% 38.6% 45.0% any digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); excludes gambling; Note: mobile phone users of any age who access the internet from a converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95 mobile browser or an installed application at least once per month; Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013 excludes SMS, MMS and IM 150112 www.eMarketer.com Source: eMarketer, April 2012 139328 www.eMarketer.com Because there is little comparative data for ecommerce in Brazil, eMarketer has based its estimates on data Brazil’s smartphone user base will follow close behind, from previous years, in particular tracking ecommerce reaching 47 million in 2013, according to eMarketer as a share of gross domestic product. In addition, we’ve estimates. Tablet usage has also been on the rise. looked at survey data for insights into numbers of digital F/Nazca Saatchi & Saatchi estimated there were 5 million buyers and the average amount they spend. tablet users in Brazil in 2012, up from 240,000 a year earlier. [eMarketer does not yet have a comparable tablet No local sources have published B2C ecommerce sales usage estimate.] estimates for 2012, nor have there been domestic projections for the coming years. There are some estimates from non-local entities, but they are not usually updated annually. Lack of data is a symptom of a still- maturing market in which growth takes the lead while research trails behind. BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 3
  • 4. Câmara Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico (Câmara-e.net), an industry group focused on ecommerce, estimates DOMESTIC TRAVEL BOOSTING mobile commerce in Brazil doubled its share of total DIGITAL SALES retail ecommerce in 2012, growing to 10%. e-bit’s more conservative view suggests a still notable jump from 0.3% As in other countries, digital travel sales have played in 2011 to 1.3% in 2012. a major role in the growth of ecommerce in Brazil. Travel represented close to a third of the country’s As with ecommerce estimates as a whole, the divergent total ecommerce sales in 2012, eMarketer estimates. assessments of mcommerce reflect how new the ecommerce and mcommerce markets are in Brazil. Digital Travel Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016 billions and % change $10.00 $9.44 $8.72 50.0% $6.50 $5.42 $4.33 34.2% 25.0% 20.0% 8.2% 6.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Digital travel sales % change Note: includes leisure and unmanaged business travel purchased via any digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95 Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013 150114 www.eMarketer.com Two major sporting events to be held in Brazil are likely to spur further digital travel sales over the next two years. The 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup, a sort of warm-up for the World Cup, will be held in June across six cities in Brazil. The event’s organizing committee expects to sell more than 800,000 tickets, 74,000 of which were purchased in the first 24 hours of availability. Brazil’s sheer size means that air travel is required to get from place to place, and airline tickets can be expensive. Using November 2012 prices, Decolar.com, an online travel agency in Brazil, projected that a sports fan in Brazil buying the cheapest airfare and hotel room for an out- of-town soccer match would spend between $208 and $508 (including a $15 match ticket). Prices are likely to rise further as this year’s event approaches. BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 4
  • 5. Another digital travel boost will come in 2014, when more than 3 million people are expected to travel to and within RETAIL ECOMMERCE SALES Brazil to watch the FIFA World Cup, possibly at even more Retail ecommerce sales in Brazil are likely to grow at inflated prices. a healthy double-digit pace through 2014, but a bit After a breather in 2015, Brazil will host the 2016 Summer more slowly than digital travel sales, since the market Olympics. While that event will probably inspire some is less likely to be affected by the sporting events digital travel spending, it will be less dramatic than the powering travel sales. World Cup because the Olympics will take place in a single city, Rio de Janeiro. Retail Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011-2016 billions and % change $17.30 $16.10 $14.81 $13.26 $11.55 $9.58 26.3% 20.5% 14.8% 11.7% 8.7% 7.5% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Retail ecommerce sales % change Note: includes digital downloads and event tickets purchased via any digital channel (including online, mobile and tablet); excludes travel and gambling; converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95 Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013 150113 www.eMarketer.com While there is limited comparative data for overall B2C ecommerce activity in Brazil, there are a handful of estimates for the narrower retail ecommerce sector. eMarketer’s $11.6 billion estimate of 2012 retail ecommerce sales is in line with e-bit and Câmara Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico. The Brazilian Association of Ecommerce (ABComm) puts the total a bit higher, at $12.4 billion. Comparative Estimates: Retail Ecommerce Sales in Brazil, 2011 & 2012 billions 2011 2012 ABComm*, Jan 2013 $9.6 $12.4 eMarketer*, Jan 2013 $9.6 $11.6 e-bit**, Aug 2012 $9.3 $11.6 Câmara Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico – Câmara-e.net*, $9.6 $11.5 Jan 2013 Note: excludes online travel sales; *converted at the exchange rate of US$1=BRL1.95; **converted at the rate of $1=BRL2.0154 Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013; various, as noted, 2012 & 2013 152651 www.eMarketer.com BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 5
  • 6. ABComm’s number may be higher because it includes ages 16 and older across all income levels preferred consumer-to-consumer marketplace/online auctions. to buy in physical stores. Resistance to ecommerce MercadoLivre, for example, a marketplace for online was higher among females and older users. Brazil’s B2C and C2C transactions, which comScore shows as internet user segments most likely to say they preferred the leading ecommerce platform accessed in Brazil in ecommerce were males, middle-income households and terms of minutes spent online, reported $1.3 billion in consumers ages 35 to 49. transactions in 2012. Preferred Purchase Methods of Internet Users in Brazil, by Demographic, Sep 2012 BLACK FRIDAY SEES HIGHS AND LOWS % of respondents in each group In a On On On mobile phone/ Although Brazil does not celebrate Thanksgiving, in 2010 store computer tablet smartphone the price comparison website Busca Descontos created a Gender Female 73% 23% 3% 1% campaign to promote a day of discounted online shopping Male 58% 36% 2% 4% like that of the US’s Black Friday, the symbolic start of the Age holiday shopping season. 16-34 64% 30% 3% 3% 35-49 71% 28% 1% - For such a new and transparently commercial concept, 50-64 65% 29% 1% 5% Black Friday has achieved widespread adoption in Brazil. Household income Low 76% 19% 2% 3% According to comScore Marketing Solutions data, Medium 60% 35% 2% 2% ecommerce sales in Brazil on Black Friday 2012 were High 69% 29% 2% - 368% higher than the average November day. Other Total 66% 29% 2% 3% metrics, such as the number of transactions and average Note: numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding order value, also showed large gains. Source: Ipsos OTX and Ipsos Global @dvisor, "Socialogue," Dec 4, 2012 148650 www.eMarketer.com The top three online retailers during Black Friday 2012 Growth of Black Friday Ecommerce Metrics in Brazil, were also established brick-and-mortar discount chains. Nov 23, 2012 % change vs. average online shopping day during Nov 1-27, Americanas, part of B2W, Brazil’s largest B2C sales group, 2012 had the highest total sales. In second and third place were Buyers 185% Pontofrio and Casa Bahia, respectively, both of which are Spending per buyer 64% managed by B2W’s closest competitor, Nova Pontocom. Transactions 202% Wal-Mart, a relative newcomer to Brazil’s online market Average order value 55% and the only foreign retailer on the list, saw the highest Transactions per buyer 6% Total spending 368% increase in sales year over year. Note: ages 15+; excludes MercadoLivre, which also functions as a marketplace that generates many offline transactions; read as the average order value on Black Friday was 55% higher than the average order value during Nov 1-27, 2012 Leading Online Retailers on Black Friday in Brazil, Source: comScore Marketing Solutions as cited in press release, Dec 6, Nov 23, 2012 2012 Rank by Rank by % change vs. average 150327 www.eMarketer.com dollar sales online shopping day* Americanas 1 5 ClearSale, an ecommerce authentication and fraud- Pontofrio 2 2 prevention company, estimated online sales during Casas Bahia 3 3 Brazil’s 2012 Black Friday totaled close to $111 million, Wal-mart 4 1 up from $51 million in the previous year, based on Submarino 5 6 541,000 purchases at an average ticket of $205. Leading Magazine Luiza 6 4 categories were consumer electronics, computers, Netshoes 7 7 Note: ages 15+; excludes MercadoLivre, which also functions as a mobile phones, home appliances and games. marketplace that generates many offline transactions; *during Nov 1-27, 2012 Source: comScore Marketing Solutions as cited in press release, Dec 6, 2012 Black Friday has so far been successful at drawing buyers 150328 www.eMarketer.com online in a market that is still reluctant to abandon brick- and-mortar shopping. Ipsos OTX and Ipsos Global @dvisor’s December 2012 “Socialogue” showed that, on average, no fewer than 66% of internet users in Brazil BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 6
  • 7. But all the extra shopping on Black Friday exposed weaknesses in the Brazil’s ecommerce landscape. With INTERNET USERS AND access rates up to seven times higher than in 2011, and DIGITAL BUYERS up to 75,000 simultaneous hits during the first few hours, many retailers’ websites slowed to a crawl or crashed. Even while still in an early stage of ecommerce Furthermore, seven major retailers were contacted by development, Brazil’s sheer size makes it a market Sao Paulo’s consumer protection bureau, Fundação worth watching. eMarketer estimates that 91.5 million Procon-SP on behalf of digital shoppers complaining , people in Brazil, or 44% of the country’s population, of wrongdoing, specifically price tweaking and false will be internet users in 2013. advertising. Disgruntled customers also flooded social networks, especially Facebook, with negative comments. Internet Users and Penetration in Brazil, 2011-2016 Still, the rapid growth of Black Friday and the increasing millions, % of population and % change volume of online sales in general show the growing 99.8 103.0 96.7 acceptance and popularity of ecommerce in Brazil. 91.5 86.4 79.3 46.0% 47.0% 48.0% 42.0% 44.0% 39.0% 9.0% 8.9% 5.9% 5.7% 3.2% 3.2% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Internet users % of population % change Note: individuals of any age who use the internet from any location via any device at least once per month Source: eMarketer, Feb 2012 136990 www.eMarketer.com Breaking this down along income levels, data from Núcleo de Informação e Coordenação do Ponto BR (NIC.br) shows internet usage among Brazil’s middle— or C—class at only 54%, while near or above 90% in wealthier class A and B households. BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 7
  • 8. Demographic Profile of Internet Users* in Brazil, Comparative Estimates: Online Buyers in Brazil, Oct 2010 & Jan 2012 2011 & 2012 % of respondents in each group % of internet users Oct 2010 Jan 2012 2011 2012 Age Usage Gender GlobalWebIndex*, - 57.0% - Purchased in the past month Male 48% 54% Feb 2013 via any digital channel Female 48% 52% Ipsos, Feb 2012 - 46.0% 16-64 Bought products or services online in the past 3 months Age eMarketer, 30.0% 34.0% 14+ Made at least one 10-15 75% 75% Jan 2013 purchase via any digital 16-24 76% 81% channel within the 25-34 62% 67% past year 35-44 41% 48% F/Nazca Saatchi & 24.0% - 16+ - Saatchi, Dec 2011 45-59 23% 30% Note: *data is for Q2 60+ 6% 12% Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013; various, as noted, 2011-2013 Social class 151335 www.eMarketer.com A 90% 94% B 79% 83% C DE 51% 19% 54% 21% THE MIDDLE CLASS AS DIGITAL DRIVERS Total 48% 53% In Brazil, where even small percentage changes equate Note: 2010 n=23,107; 2012 n=25,000; *ever at any location Source: Núcleo de Informação e Coordenação do Ponto BR (NIC.BR), "TIC to tens of millions of consumers, the size of the middle Domicílios 2011" conducted by IBOPE Inteligência, May 31, 2012 class is key to ecommerce growth. 141697 www.eMarketer.com eMarketer estimates that Brazil will have 26.7 million A study by Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV), a higher- digital buyers in 2013, equal to 36% of internet users. education institution and think tank, predicts the middle That penetration level is a far cry from the US, where class will represent 60.2% of Brazil’s population by 2014, the figure is 73%, but Brazil outpaces Latin America as a at which point the group should include more than 120 whole, for which the average is 33.2%. million people. The range of incomes encompassed in “the middle class” Digital Buyers in Brazil, 2011-2016 is wide, though, with the higher-income households in 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 the category earning several times more than the lower- Digital buyers (millions) 19.1 23.7 26.7 29.7 31.9 33.9 income ones. Since those at the lower end do not have —% change 33.1% 24.1% 12.8% 11.3% 7.4% 6.2% enough expendable income to significantly drive total —% of internet users 30.0% 34.0% 36.0% 37.7% 39.0% 40.0% ecommerce sales, it is those at the high end who will have —% of population 12.4% 15.2% 16.9% 18.5% 19.6% 20.5% Note: ages 14+; internet users who have made at least one purchase via the greatest impact. any digital channel within the past year, including online, mobile and tablet purchases Source: eMarketer, Jan 2013 As more middle-income consumers go digital, online 150115 www.eMarketer.com retailers can expect to see more purchases being made, but at lower price points. e-bit’s data already shows Compared to eMarketer, Ipsos and GlobalWebIndex Brazil’s average ecommerce ticket size falling from $202 show a larger share of Brazil’s internet users making in 2010 to $189 in 2011 and $165 in 2012. Moreover, internet purchases. With similar age and purchase a 2012 Hi-mídia and M.sense study of Brazil’s online frequency parameters, and considering the still-emerging buyers indicated price was a leading motivation for mcommerce market in Brazil, sampling probably purchasing online. contributes to the differences in estimates. The online panels used by Ipsos and GlobalWebIndex tend to attract respondents who are generally more digitally-savvy and already more inclined to buy online. BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 8
  • 9. Pedro Eugenio, CEO of price-comparison tool and coupon Leading Reasons to Purchase Online According to Online Buyers in Brazil, April 2012 service Busca Descontos (the company that brought % of respondents Black Friday to Brazil), noted that with more ecommerce Price competition and the large selection of coupons available, 68% digital internet buyers in Brazil—including middle-class Convenience consumers—rarely make a purchase decision before 56% first comparing prices and searching for discounts across Product variety multiple retail sites. 31% It's easy to pay Brazil’s emerging middle class is not just increasing 28% consumption because of extra disposable income. Rather Find more info and tips on products online it is seeking to get the most for its hard-earned money, 26% and to do so in the most hassle-free way. This is what Note: n=1,129 consumers are after as they move purchases from the Source: Hi-mídia and M.sense, "E-commerce: E-consumer Behavior," May 31, 2012 street to the screen. 142849 www.eMarketer.com Moreover, while most digital buyers are price-conscious The increasing number of middle-income online shoppers and wary of losing money through unsuccessful also suggests that comparison shopping, while already online purchases, middle-income consumers new to prevalent among consumers in Brazil, will grow even ecommerce tend to be more risk-averse. Cheaper, more common. easier-to-ship items represent a more manageable risk as consumers try a new purchase method. Once satisfied, Sources that Influence the Purchase* Decisions of these first-time online shoppers are likely to come back to Online Buyers in Brazil, April 2012 spend more. % of total Information which you research online 3% According to e-bit, among the top five most purchased 57% 20% 15% 4% product categories in Brazil in 2011 and 2012 were low- Friends' opinions given in person ticket, easy-to-deliver items, such as health and beauty 42% 30% 16% 7% 4% products. But perhaps unexpectedly, appliances topped Opinions found on price comparison websites/reviews e-bit’s list. Though most of these appliances were smaller 41% 31% 18% 5% 4% kitchen items, consumers in Brazil are going online to Company websites (institutional) shop for and buy larger items like refrigerators, stoves and 35% 26% 24% 10% 5% washing machines. Discussion forums 28% 23% 19% 13% 17% Leading Categories of Retail Ecommerce in Brazil, H1 Comments left by friends on social networks 2012 26% 28% 22% 12% 13% % share Internet ads 23% 24% 31% 14% 6% Appliances 13% Health & beauty 13% TV ads 18% 20% 33% 18% 10% Fashion & accessories 11% Comments left by strangers on social networks Books, magazine subscriptions & newspapers 10% 12% 17% 27% 21% 26% Computers 9% 5—highly influences 4 3 2 1—does not influence Source: e-bit, "WebShoppers, 26th edition," Aug 22, 2012 Note: n=1,129; numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding; *online 150575 www.eMarketer.com or offline Source: Hi-mídia and M.sense, "E-commerce: E-consumer Behavior," May 31, 2012 142851 www.eMarketer.com BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 9
  • 10. Pedro Guasti, vice president of Buscapé Company, a digital commerce platform, reasoned that although WEALTHIER CLASSES STILL SPEND MORE products like home appliances represent a substantial While the middle class, especially those in upper end, investment for middle-income families, the ease of will be a major driver of growth in ecommerce in Brazil, researching, reading reviews and buying all in the same much of the segment’s sales will continue to come from place give consumers the right mix of confidence and wealthier buyers, who not only have more expendable convenience to complete a purchase. Guasti also noted income but also have more experience online. that financing purchases at no interest has been a vital practice among retailers in Brazil for many years. As FGV projects that by 2014 Brazil’s wealthier A and B social retailers, and even credit card companies, expand their classes will grow even more rapidly than the middle businesses online, they have made sure to include class, increasing at an expected combined rate of 29%, no-interest financing among their payment methods. which will boost the more affluent population to some 29 million people. Also supporting the growth of ecommerce in 2012 was the localization of major virtual bookstores—Apple’s Polling firm IBOPE Inteligência’s 2012 Pyxis Consumption iBookstore, Google’s Play store and Amazon.com’s Kindle Index estimated that 54.3% of household consumption Store—offering content in Portuguese and prices in the in Brazil in 2012 would originate from the A and B social local currency. classes, with the C class buying their way to a 38.7% share. Brazil’s D and E classes were expected to account Amazon has created a handful of physical sales points for just 7%. for its Kindle ereaders in Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, although it has held back on selling the more advanced Data is not yet available showing how these consumption Kindle Fire tablet in Brazil, focusing instead on more patterns translated into ecommerce, but is seems affordable devices for the time being. Ereader brand Kobo likely that while most new digital buyers and first-time has partnered with Livraria da Cultura, an established ecommerce transactions will come from the middle class, brick-and-mortar bookstore chain in Brazil that has now Brazil’s wealthier income rungs will continue to spend also gone digital. more—and buy more expensive items. BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 10
  • 11. EMARKETER INTERVIEWS RELATED EMARKETER REPORTS Pedro Guasti Brazil Online: An Increasingly Mobile Market Vice President, Marketing Intelligence Brazil Digital Ad Spending: A Growing Consumer Base Buscapé Company Lures Marketers Online Interview conducted on February 7, 2013 Bernardo Kirschner RELATED LINKS Planning Director VML Brasil Agência Nacional de Telecomunicações Interview conducted on February 13, 2013 Black Friday Brasil Busca Descontos Ludovino Lopes President Buscapé Company Câmara Brasileira de Comércio Eletrônico – Câmara-e.net Centro de Estudos sobre as Tecnologias da Informação e da Comunicação Interview conducted on February 19, 2013 Câmara Brasileira de Comérceio Eletrônico – Câmara-e.net Cris Rother comScore, Inc. Director e-bit e-bit Interview conducted on February 8, 2013 IBOPE Inteligência IBOPE Nielsen Online Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística VML Brazil Brazilian Association of Ecommerce (ABComm) ClearSale Decolar.com F/Nazca Saatchi & Saatchi Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) Hi-mídia Ipsos Global @dvisor Ipsos OTX M.sense Núcleo de Infomação e Coordenação do Ponto BR (NIC.br) EDITORIAL AND PRODUCTION CONTRIBUTORS Cliff Annicelli Senior Editor Kaitlin Carlin Copy Editor Joanne DiCamillo Senior Production Artist Stephanie Gehrsitz Senior Production Artist Dana Hill Director of Production Nicole Perrin Associate Editorial Director Allie Smith Director of Charts BRAZIL ECOMMERCE: SPORTS, TRAVEL AND CHEAP RETAIL MAINTAIN THE MARKET’S MOMENTUM ©2013 EMARKETER INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 11