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INVESTMENT DECISIONS AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE:
Identifying and Capitalizing on Irrational Investment Practices


A cutting-edge program on behavioral finance, the revolutionary approach to investment
decision making. The program is taught by faculty who are major contributors to the field.
THE PROGRAM

Led by a faculty of renowned experts and             Some of the topics and questions covered in
leading practitioners, Investment Decisions and      prior sessions include:
Behavioral Finance presents a revolutionary
                                                     »»Understanding the new applied science of
science for investment decision making—
                                                      effective decision making.
behavioral finance. Participants learn the central
principles and latest findings of the psychology
                                                     »»How and why do financial bubbles develop,
                                                      and how can they be recognized?
of decision making under conditions of risk
and uncertainty, with attention to practical         »»What erroneous assumptions underlie
applications for those responsible for                many standard financial practices? How to
managing assets and constructing portfolios           recognize and correct for the common earnings
for investment clients. These principles will         manipulation strategies of corporate managers.
enable them to better understand what investors      »»Investigating the ways other decision makers
actually do in a given set of circumstances—          and companies have implemented behavioral
such as the dramatic uncertainties associated         finance approaches—and how to develop an
with debt crises in nations around the world—         implementation strategy best suited to your
versus what rational analysis prescribes.             interests and capabilities.
Equally important, the program explains how          »»How does the function of the brain affect
markets respond given the natural proclivities        decisions, including financial decisions?
of investors. The recent meltdown in financial       »»How to avoid making decisions that are both
markets, including the collapse or near collapse      bad and have large down-side potential.
of major financial institutions can best be
                                                     »»Managing the behavioral decision propensities
understood using a behavioral perspective.
                                                      of your clients.
The program provides fundamentals so that
participants can develop their own strategies        »»Exploring behavioral explanations for past
for asset allocation, diversification, and client     financial crises and seeing signs for possible
development and communication.                        future challenges.




     Program Dates:                                  Faculty Chair: Richard Zeckhauser,
     October 13–14, 2011                             Frank P. Ramsey Professor of Political
                                                     Economy
     Tuition: $4,000
“	 ny person seeking to understand human behavior
  A
	 must attend this program. If Executive Education is
	 food for the head, this program is a feast.”
	 Hans F. Olsen, Chief Investment Officer, Bingham Legg Advisors




 THE CURRICULUM

 Program sessions change from year to year in             the basic facts about financial markets. We will
 order for the class to stay up-to-date with the          explore how investment practices should differ
 most important research and issues. The 2011             once we recognize the lack of rationality of
 session will address policy procrastination and          financial markets and their inhabitants.
 debt crises. Recent session topics:
                                                          Investing in the Unknown and the Unknowable
 On Behavioral Economics, Financial Decision              The major profit opportunities in the modern
 Traps, and Systematic Irrationalities                    world come from investing where professional
 An introduction to the science of behavioral             analysts fear to tread, hence there is modest
 economics and its application to financial               competition from the investment community.
 management. It explores how behavioral                   Often this entails “sidecar” investments, where
 approaches to the market differ from so-called           your special relationships with knowledgeable
 conventional or “rational” approaches.                   others enable you to be pulled along by a
                                                          powerful “motorcycle.” Many such highly
 The Psychology of Individual Investment                  profitable investments will be in illiquid assets.
 Decision Making
 The conventional wisdom about investment                 Confessions of a Value Manager
 risk is that it is a function of the age, wealth,        This presentation examines global investment
 income requirements, and time horizons of the            strategy in relation to investor psychology. It also
 investor. Therefore, investment managers need            includes practical lessons for current markets.
 only to determine the appropriate level of risk
 for the client, matching the portfolio to it. In fact,   Behavioral Explanations for the Financial Crisis
 extensive behavioral research shows that risk            Efficient market theory could not explain this
 attitudes derive substantially from overestimating       unforeseen severe collapse in security prices
 (bold forecasting) or underestimating (timid             despite little new information about the real
 decisions). We will examine the implications             economy. Behavioral finance provides critical
 of this research for financial managers.                 insights. Two arresting phenomena are addressed:
                                                          the cascade of losses from the housing sector
 Managing and Investing Rationally                        to the entire financial system, and disastrous
 in a Non-rational World                                  decision making by leading financial institutions.
 Research suggests that standard finance is based
 on incorrect assumptions and fails to capture
Richard Zeckhauser, Faculty Chair




PROGRAM FACULTY

Richard Zeckhauser, Faculty Chair                  College, and serves on the Executive Committee
Frank P. Ramsey Professor of Political             of the NYU/Stern Graduate School of Business,
Economy, Harvard Kennedy School                    where he is an Adjunct Professor of Finance.
Professor Zeckhauser is a leading figure in risk
analysis, decision theory, and microeconomics.     Iris Bohnet
He pioneered the studies of status quo bias,       Academic Dean, Professor of Public Policy,
betrayal aversion, and threshold behavior, which   and Director of Women and Public Policy
                                                   Program, Harvard Kennedy School
are central subjects for behavioral finance. He
has put his understanding to work as a board       Iris Bohnet is a behavioral economist
member of small high-tech companies and a          whose current research focuses on trust,
principal of investment firms. He is an elected    its determinants, and its relevance for
fellow of the Institute of Medicine (National      negotiation and for individual and collective
Academy of Sciences), the American Academy         decision making. She has run experimental
of Arts and Sciences, and the Econometric          studies on five continents assessing how
Society, and the author or co-author of 12         individuals make decisions.
books and over 250 articles.
                                                   Chris Chabris
Richard Bernstein                                  Assistant Professor of Psychology, Union
Chief Executive Officer, Richard Bernstein         College and Adjunct Assistant Professor
Advisors LLC.                                      of Neurology, Albany Medical College

Richard Bernstein has nearly 30 years’             Christopher Chabris is co-author of The Invisible
experience on Wall Street, including most          Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive
recently as the Chief Investment Strategist        Us, a New York Times bestseller and Editor’s
at Merrill Lynch & Co. He was voted to             Choice. The experiment that inspired this book
Institutional Investor magazine’s annual           earned him the Ig Nobel Prize in psychology.
“All-America Research Team” eighteen times,        He writes from time to time for the Wall Street
including ten as the top-ranked analyst in         Journal and other national publications. Until
his category. His book Style Investing: Unique     2007 he was a Lecturer and Research Associate
Insight into Equity Management is widely           in the psychology department at Harvard. His
viewed as the seminal book on style-oriented       research interests include collective intelligence,
investment strategies. He is a trustee of, and     individual differences in cognition and decision
sits on, the investment committees of the          making, and cognitive illusions, especially
Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and Hamilton            illusions related to confidence.
David Laibson                                      Michael Mauboussin
Professor of Economics, Harvard University         Chief Investment Strategist, Legg Mason
                                                   Capital Management and Adjunct Professor,
David Laibson is a member of the Russell
                                                   Columbia Business School
Sage Behavioral Economics Roundtable, the
MacArthur Foundation Preferences Network,          Michael Mauboussin is the author of Think
and the National Bureau of Economic Research.      Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
His research focuses on psychology and             and More Than You Know: Finding Financial
economics, and he currently is working in the      Wisdom in Unconventional Places—Updated and
fields of macroeconomics, decision and cognitive   Expanded. More Than You Know was named one
sciences, behavioral finance, and experimental     of “The 100 Best Business Books of All Time”
economics. His work on the time inconsistency of   by 800-CEO-READ, one of the best business
individuals’ decisions has become a classic.       books by BusinessWeek, and best economics
                                                   book by Strategy+Business. Mauboussin has been
Andrew W. Lo                                       an adjunct professor of finance at Columbia
Harris & Harris Group Professor of Finance,        Business School since 1993 and is on the faculty
MIT Sloan School of Management                     of the Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd
Andrew Lo is director of the MIT Laboratory        Investing. In 2009, Michael received the Dean’s
for Financial Engineering, a research associate    Award for Teaching Excellence.
of the National Bureau of Economic Research,
a member FINRA’s Economic Advisory                 Gary Orren
                                                   Professor of Public Policy and Management,
Board, and founder and Chief Investment
                                                   Harvard Kennedy School
Strategist of AlphaSimplex Group, LLC. He
has published numerous articles in finance         Gary Orren teaches and writes on public
and economics journals, and has written            opinion, politics, and persuasion. He has worked
several books including The Econometrics           in the United States and abroad as a pollster
of Financial Markets, A Non-Random Walk            and strategist for candidates, interest groups,
Down Wall Street, and Hedge Funds: An              government agencies, corporations, and news
Analytic Perspective. He is the recipient of       organizations, including the New York Times and
numerous awards, including an Alfred P.            Washington Post. He helped draft the rules for the
Sloan Foundation Fellowship, a Guggenheim          presidential nomination process and assists ABC
Fellowship, the Paul A. Samuelson Awards,          News in its election night forecasting. His books
and the James L. Vertin Award.                     include Equality in America: The View from the
PROGRAM FACULTY           [Continued]


Top, Media and Momentum: The New Hampshire         Management, where he was a global investment
Primary and Nomination Politics, The Electronic    strategist and portfolio manager. Wood had
Commonwealth: The Impact of New Media              served many years as Governor of the CFA
Technologies on Democratic Politics, and Media     Institute, was Chairman of Financial Analysts
Polls in American Politics.                        Federation, and is currently a Trustee of the
                                                   CFAI Research Foundation.
Mark W. Riepe
Senior Vice President, Schwab Center for           Dinner Speaker:
Financial Research and President, Charles          Clifford Asness
Schwab Investment Advisory                         Managing & Founding Principal,
Mark Riepe, CFA, is a regular columnist for the    AQR Capital Management
Journal of Financial Planning and his numerous     Clifford Asness has been awarded the James R.
studies that have appeared in publications         Vertin Award by the CFA, which is periodically
such as the Financial Analysts Journal and         given to individuals who have produced a
The Journal of Portfolio Management. Prior to      body of research notable for its relevance and
joining Schwab, he served as vice president with   enduring value to investment professionals.
Ibbotson Associates, a Chicago-based financial     Prior to co-founding AQR Capital Management,
consulting firm. He earned his bachelor’s degree   Cliff was at Goldman, Sachs & Co. where he
in economics from the University of Chicago        was a Managing Director and Director of
and his master’s in finance from the school’s      Quantitative Research for the Asset Management
Graduate School of Business.                       Division. Cliff has authored articles on many
                                                   financial topics including multiple publications
Arnold S. Wood                                     in The Journal of Portfolio Management and the
Founding Partner, President, and Chief             Financial Analysts Journal. He is on the editorial
Executive Officer of Martingale Asset              board of The Journal of Portfolio Management,
Management, L.P.
                                                   the editorial board of the Financial Analysts
Arnold S. Wood chairs the Management               Journal, the governing board of the Courant
Committee of Martingale Asset Management,          Institute of Mathematical Finance at NYU, the
L.P., in addition to being its Founding Partner,   Board of the International Rescue Committee,
President, and Chief Executive Officer. Prior      and is a trustee of the Manhattan Institute and
to Martingale, he was a Trustee and Senior         the Atlas Society.
Vice President of Batterymarch Financial
“	 articipating in this program is the best investment that
  P
	 I have ever made in understanding market behavior.”
	 partha Sen, Senior Vice President, Bank of America




 WHO SHOULD ATTEND                              REGISTRATION REQUIREMENTS

 Investment Decisions and Behavioral Finance    Please visit www.hks.harvard.edu/ee/bf to
 is designed for senior decision makers in      register. Early registration is encouraged.
 the investment community. Ideal participants   Registration forms received after the deadline
 include investment company presidents, chief   will be considered only if space remains in
 investment officers, investment strategists,   the class. This program is approved by the
 portfolio and fund managers, pension plan      CFA Institute and the CFP Board of Standards
 executives, senior analysts and directors of   for continuing education credits.
 research, senior executives of corporations,
 and high net worth private investors.

 Past participants of the program and
 practitioners of behavioral finance should
 consider attending as the speakers change
 from year to year. The material has been
 significantly updated over the last three
 years, incorporating the latest research
 and applications of behavioral finance.




 In cooperation with CFA Institute (www.cfainstitute.org), Harvard Kennedy School
 Executive Education is pleased to offer a 10% discount on Investment Decisions and
 Behavioral Finance tuition to CFA members. The program is endorsed by CFA Institute
 and is approved by its Board of Standards for 15 continuing education credits.

 Investment Decisions and Behavioral Finance is accepted by the CFP Board of
 Standards for 15 credits.
www.hks.harvard.edu/ee/bf




“Leadership and learning are
 indispensable to each other.”
 John F. Kennedy


 Executive Education Admissions
 John F. Kennedy School of Government
 Harvard University
 79 JFK Street
 Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
 Phone: 617-496-0484
 Fax: 617-495-3090
 Email: hks_execed@harvard.edu

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Bf

  • 1. INVESTMENT DECISIONS AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE: Identifying and Capitalizing on Irrational Investment Practices A cutting-edge program on behavioral finance, the revolutionary approach to investment decision making. The program is taught by faculty who are major contributors to the field.
  • 2. THE PROGRAM Led by a faculty of renowned experts and Some of the topics and questions covered in leading practitioners, Investment Decisions and prior sessions include: Behavioral Finance presents a revolutionary »»Understanding the new applied science of science for investment decision making— effective decision making. behavioral finance. Participants learn the central principles and latest findings of the psychology »»How and why do financial bubbles develop, and how can they be recognized? of decision making under conditions of risk and uncertainty, with attention to practical »»What erroneous assumptions underlie applications for those responsible for many standard financial practices? How to managing assets and constructing portfolios recognize and correct for the common earnings for investment clients. These principles will manipulation strategies of corporate managers. enable them to better understand what investors »»Investigating the ways other decision makers actually do in a given set of circumstances— and companies have implemented behavioral such as the dramatic uncertainties associated finance approaches—and how to develop an with debt crises in nations around the world— implementation strategy best suited to your versus what rational analysis prescribes. interests and capabilities. Equally important, the program explains how »»How does the function of the brain affect markets respond given the natural proclivities decisions, including financial decisions? of investors. The recent meltdown in financial »»How to avoid making decisions that are both markets, including the collapse or near collapse bad and have large down-side potential. of major financial institutions can best be »»Managing the behavioral decision propensities understood using a behavioral perspective. of your clients. The program provides fundamentals so that participants can develop their own strategies »»Exploring behavioral explanations for past for asset allocation, diversification, and client financial crises and seeing signs for possible development and communication. future challenges. Program Dates: Faculty Chair: Richard Zeckhauser, October 13–14, 2011 Frank P. Ramsey Professor of Political Economy Tuition: $4,000
  • 3. “ ny person seeking to understand human behavior A must attend this program. If Executive Education is food for the head, this program is a feast.” Hans F. Olsen, Chief Investment Officer, Bingham Legg Advisors THE CURRICULUM Program sessions change from year to year in the basic facts about financial markets. We will order for the class to stay up-to-date with the explore how investment practices should differ most important research and issues. The 2011 once we recognize the lack of rationality of session will address policy procrastination and financial markets and their inhabitants. debt crises. Recent session topics: Investing in the Unknown and the Unknowable On Behavioral Economics, Financial Decision The major profit opportunities in the modern Traps, and Systematic Irrationalities world come from investing where professional An introduction to the science of behavioral analysts fear to tread, hence there is modest economics and its application to financial competition from the investment community. management. It explores how behavioral Often this entails “sidecar” investments, where approaches to the market differ from so-called your special relationships with knowledgeable conventional or “rational” approaches. others enable you to be pulled along by a powerful “motorcycle.” Many such highly The Psychology of Individual Investment profitable investments will be in illiquid assets. Decision Making The conventional wisdom about investment Confessions of a Value Manager risk is that it is a function of the age, wealth, This presentation examines global investment income requirements, and time horizons of the strategy in relation to investor psychology. It also investor. Therefore, investment managers need includes practical lessons for current markets. only to determine the appropriate level of risk for the client, matching the portfolio to it. In fact, Behavioral Explanations for the Financial Crisis extensive behavioral research shows that risk Efficient market theory could not explain this attitudes derive substantially from overestimating unforeseen severe collapse in security prices (bold forecasting) or underestimating (timid despite little new information about the real decisions). We will examine the implications economy. Behavioral finance provides critical of this research for financial managers. insights. Two arresting phenomena are addressed: the cascade of losses from the housing sector Managing and Investing Rationally to the entire financial system, and disastrous in a Non-rational World decision making by leading financial institutions. Research suggests that standard finance is based on incorrect assumptions and fails to capture
  • 4. Richard Zeckhauser, Faculty Chair PROGRAM FACULTY Richard Zeckhauser, Faculty Chair College, and serves on the Executive Committee Frank P. Ramsey Professor of Political of the NYU/Stern Graduate School of Business, Economy, Harvard Kennedy School where he is an Adjunct Professor of Finance. Professor Zeckhauser is a leading figure in risk analysis, decision theory, and microeconomics. Iris Bohnet He pioneered the studies of status quo bias, Academic Dean, Professor of Public Policy, betrayal aversion, and threshold behavior, which and Director of Women and Public Policy Program, Harvard Kennedy School are central subjects for behavioral finance. He has put his understanding to work as a board Iris Bohnet is a behavioral economist member of small high-tech companies and a whose current research focuses on trust, principal of investment firms. He is an elected its determinants, and its relevance for fellow of the Institute of Medicine (National negotiation and for individual and collective Academy of Sciences), the American Academy decision making. She has run experimental of Arts and Sciences, and the Econometric studies on five continents assessing how Society, and the author or co-author of 12 individuals make decisions. books and over 250 articles. Chris Chabris Richard Bernstein Assistant Professor of Psychology, Union Chief Executive Officer, Richard Bernstein College and Adjunct Assistant Professor Advisors LLC. of Neurology, Albany Medical College Richard Bernstein has nearly 30 years’ Christopher Chabris is co-author of The Invisible experience on Wall Street, including most Gorilla: And Other Ways Our Intuitions Deceive recently as the Chief Investment Strategist Us, a New York Times bestseller and Editor’s at Merrill Lynch & Co. He was voted to Choice. The experiment that inspired this book Institutional Investor magazine’s annual earned him the Ig Nobel Prize in psychology. “All-America Research Team” eighteen times, He writes from time to time for the Wall Street including ten as the top-ranked analyst in Journal and other national publications. Until his category. His book Style Investing: Unique 2007 he was a Lecturer and Research Associate Insight into Equity Management is widely in the psychology department at Harvard. His viewed as the seminal book on style-oriented research interests include collective intelligence, investment strategies. He is a trustee of, and individual differences in cognition and decision sits on, the investment committees of the making, and cognitive illusions, especially Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and Hamilton illusions related to confidence.
  • 5. David Laibson Michael Mauboussin Professor of Economics, Harvard University Chief Investment Strategist, Legg Mason Capital Management and Adjunct Professor, David Laibson is a member of the Russell Columbia Business School Sage Behavioral Economics Roundtable, the MacArthur Foundation Preferences Network, Michael Mauboussin is the author of Think and the National Bureau of Economic Research. Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition His research focuses on psychology and and More Than You Know: Finding Financial economics, and he currently is working in the Wisdom in Unconventional Places—Updated and fields of macroeconomics, decision and cognitive Expanded. More Than You Know was named one sciences, behavioral finance, and experimental of “The 100 Best Business Books of All Time” economics. His work on the time inconsistency of by 800-CEO-READ, one of the best business individuals’ decisions has become a classic. books by BusinessWeek, and best economics book by Strategy+Business. Mauboussin has been Andrew W. Lo an adjunct professor of finance at Columbia Harris & Harris Group Professor of Finance, Business School since 1993 and is on the faculty MIT Sloan School of Management of the Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Andrew Lo is director of the MIT Laboratory Investing. In 2009, Michael received the Dean’s for Financial Engineering, a research associate Award for Teaching Excellence. of the National Bureau of Economic Research, a member FINRA’s Economic Advisory Gary Orren Professor of Public Policy and Management, Board, and founder and Chief Investment Harvard Kennedy School Strategist of AlphaSimplex Group, LLC. He has published numerous articles in finance Gary Orren teaches and writes on public and economics journals, and has written opinion, politics, and persuasion. He has worked several books including The Econometrics in the United States and abroad as a pollster of Financial Markets, A Non-Random Walk and strategist for candidates, interest groups, Down Wall Street, and Hedge Funds: An government agencies, corporations, and news Analytic Perspective. He is the recipient of organizations, including the New York Times and numerous awards, including an Alfred P. Washington Post. He helped draft the rules for the Sloan Foundation Fellowship, a Guggenheim presidential nomination process and assists ABC Fellowship, the Paul A. Samuelson Awards, News in its election night forecasting. His books and the James L. Vertin Award. include Equality in America: The View from the
  • 6. PROGRAM FACULTY [Continued] Top, Media and Momentum: The New Hampshire Management, where he was a global investment Primary and Nomination Politics, The Electronic strategist and portfolio manager. Wood had Commonwealth: The Impact of New Media served many years as Governor of the CFA Technologies on Democratic Politics, and Media Institute, was Chairman of Financial Analysts Polls in American Politics. Federation, and is currently a Trustee of the CFAI Research Foundation. Mark W. Riepe Senior Vice President, Schwab Center for Dinner Speaker: Financial Research and President, Charles Clifford Asness Schwab Investment Advisory Managing & Founding Principal, Mark Riepe, CFA, is a regular columnist for the AQR Capital Management Journal of Financial Planning and his numerous Clifford Asness has been awarded the James R. studies that have appeared in publications Vertin Award by the CFA, which is periodically such as the Financial Analysts Journal and given to individuals who have produced a The Journal of Portfolio Management. Prior to body of research notable for its relevance and joining Schwab, he served as vice president with enduring value to investment professionals. Ibbotson Associates, a Chicago-based financial Prior to co-founding AQR Capital Management, consulting firm. He earned his bachelor’s degree Cliff was at Goldman, Sachs & Co. where he in economics from the University of Chicago was a Managing Director and Director of and his master’s in finance from the school’s Quantitative Research for the Asset Management Graduate School of Business. Division. Cliff has authored articles on many financial topics including multiple publications Arnold S. Wood in The Journal of Portfolio Management and the Founding Partner, President, and Chief Financial Analysts Journal. He is on the editorial Executive Officer of Martingale Asset board of The Journal of Portfolio Management, Management, L.P. the editorial board of the Financial Analysts Arnold S. Wood chairs the Management Journal, the governing board of the Courant Committee of Martingale Asset Management, Institute of Mathematical Finance at NYU, the L.P., in addition to being its Founding Partner, Board of the International Rescue Committee, President, and Chief Executive Officer. Prior and is a trustee of the Manhattan Institute and to Martingale, he was a Trustee and Senior the Atlas Society. Vice President of Batterymarch Financial
  • 7. “ articipating in this program is the best investment that P I have ever made in understanding market behavior.” partha Sen, Senior Vice President, Bank of America WHO SHOULD ATTEND REGISTRATION REQUIREMENTS Investment Decisions and Behavioral Finance Please visit www.hks.harvard.edu/ee/bf to is designed for senior decision makers in register. Early registration is encouraged. the investment community. Ideal participants Registration forms received after the deadline include investment company presidents, chief will be considered only if space remains in investment officers, investment strategists, the class. This program is approved by the portfolio and fund managers, pension plan CFA Institute and the CFP Board of Standards executives, senior analysts and directors of for continuing education credits. research, senior executives of corporations, and high net worth private investors. Past participants of the program and practitioners of behavioral finance should consider attending as the speakers change from year to year. The material has been significantly updated over the last three years, incorporating the latest research and applications of behavioral finance. In cooperation with CFA Institute (www.cfainstitute.org), Harvard Kennedy School Executive Education is pleased to offer a 10% discount on Investment Decisions and Behavioral Finance tuition to CFA members. The program is endorsed by CFA Institute and is approved by its Board of Standards for 15 continuing education credits. Investment Decisions and Behavioral Finance is accepted by the CFP Board of Standards for 15 credits.
  • 8. www.hks.harvard.edu/ee/bf “Leadership and learning are indispensable to each other.” John F. Kennedy Executive Education Admissions John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 USA Phone: 617-496-0484 Fax: 617-495-3090 Email: hks_execed@harvard.edu