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Presents

“How We Do Harm”
   with Dr. Otis Brawley
Otis W. Brawley, MD, FACP, FASCO

    Chief Medical and Scientific Officer
          American Cancer Society
Professor of Hematology, Medical Oncology,
        Medicine and Epidemiology
              Emory University
Healthcare

 • An issue that must be approached
   ethically, logically and rationally

 • We must realize:
   – What we know.
   – What we do not know.
   – What we believe.
Disparities in Health



Of all the forms of inequality,
injustice in health care is the most
shocking and inhumane

•   ML King, Jr. Presentation at: The Second National Convention of the
    Medical Committee for Human Rights; March 25, 1966; Chicago, IL.
Toward an Efficient Healthcare System


• Some consume too much
   – (Unnecessary care given)
• Some consume too little
   – (Necessary care not given)
• We could decrease the waste and
  improve overall health!!!!
The American Healthcare System


• Overconsumption of Healthcare

• The Greedy Feeding the Gluttonous

• A Subtle form of Corruption
Prostate Cancer Screening
Prostate Cancer and Chemoprevention

• Pretend you are a 55 year old male and a
  preventive pill exists:
  – If you take the pill it will definitely double
    your risk of prostate cancer diagnosis from
    10% lifetime to 20% lifetime.
  – It you take it, it may decrease your lifetime
    risk of prostate cancer death by 20% from
    3% to 2.4%.


• Would you take this pill?
Recommending for Informed
          Decision Making

•   American Cancer Society
•   National Comprehensive Cancer Network
•   American Society for Clinical Oncology
•   European Urology Association
•   American Urology Association
Recommending Against Routine
      Prostate Cancer Screening

• U.S. Preventive Services Taskforce
• Canadian Taskforce on the Periodic Health
  Examination
• American College of Preventive Medicine
• American College of Physicians
The American Cancer Society 2010
Prostate Cancer Screening Guideline

“Men should have an opportunity to make an
informed decision with their health care provider
about whether to be screened for prostate
cancer, after receiving information about the
uncertainties, risks, and potential benefits associated
with prostate cancer screening.”
American Urological Association*
Given the uncertainty that PSA testing results in more
benefit than harm, a thoughtful and broad approach
to PSA is critical.

Patients need to be informed of the risks and benefits
of testing before it is undertaken. The risks of
overdetection and overtreatment should be included
in this discussion.

    *Taken from the AUA PSA Best Practice Statement 2009 and
     markedly different from statements made in press conferences
Recommending for Informed
          Decision Making

•   American Cancer Society
•   National Comprehensive Cancer Network
•   American Society for Clinical Oncology
•   European Urology Association
•   American Urology Association
Prostate Cancer and Chemoprevention

• Pretend you are a 55 year old male and a
  preventive pill exists:
  – If you take the pill it will definitely double
    your risk of prostate cancer diagnosis from
    10% lifetime to 20% lifetime.
  – It you take it, it may decrease your lifetime
    risk of prostate cancer death by 20% from
    3% to 2.4%.


• Would you take this pill?
Lung Cancer Screening
The National Lung Screening Trial
• Nearly 54,000, age 55 and above
• 30 pack year or greater history of
  smoking. If quit, did so less than 15
  years prior to trial entry
• Reasonable health
• Prospectively randomized to PA Chest
  Xray or LD sprial CT yearly X3
• Done at twelve sites with experts
  specializing in lung CT
The National Lung Screening Trial
(one view of the 20 percent reduction in mortality)


• At ten years from the start of
  screening about 27,000 at high risk,
  age 55 or over at the start of the trial.
    – 80 to 90 lives were saved of a lung
      cancer death
    – About 340 died of lung cancer
    – 16 died due to interventions caused by
      screening (six did not have cancer)
Lung Cancer Screening
Consider spiral CT for those:
• Healthy aged 55 years and above
• H/0 30 pack years of smoking or more
• If quit smoking did so less than 15
  years ago
• Who understand that there are risks
  of unnecessary diagnostic procedures
  and even death associated with
  screening.
Offers Low Dose Spiral CT of the Lung to those at risk for
lung cancer. ($325 cash).

“At risk for lung cancer,” according to St Joe’s, includes 40
year old non-smoking women who have lived in an
urban area for more than ten years.

The business plan relies on insurance to pay for the
follow-up testing of the 25% or more abnormal screens.
Medical Gluttony

 • Screening tests of no proven value
 • Treatments of no proven value
 • Laboratory and radiologic imaging
   done for convenience.
      -Cannot find original.
      -Legal defense (real or imagined).
      -Tradition.
“It is difficult to get a man to understand
something, when his salary depends on his not
understanding it.”
        Upton Sinclair

A professional is someone who puts the interests
of his patients above his own.
       Hal Sox
Rational vs. Irrational Medicine


 • Rofecoxib (Vioxx) vs. Naproxen
 • Once a day vs. twice a day
 • $90 per month vs. $12 per month
Rational vs. Irrational Medicine


       Generic Omeprazole (Prilosec)

                        vs.

             Esomeprazole (Nexium)

           25 cents per day vs. six dollar per day
 Eight dollars per month vs. 180 dollars per month
True Healthcare Reform
Requires:

The use of “Evidence Based Care and Prevention”


That is:
             The rational use of medicine

             Not the rationing of medicine
True Healthcare Reform
Requires:

The use of “Evidence Based Care and Prevention”


That is:
             We do what we know works,
              and often do not do!

             We stop doing what we know does not
              work, and often do!
Breast Cancer Screening
Breast Cancer Screening in the U.S.
The Ten Year Potential 64,673 deaths averted
                        USPSTF
Age                   Estimate of           Lives Lost due
       Number in    Number Needed Avertable    to Non-
       Population      to Screen   Deaths    Compliance


40's   22,327,592            1,900    11,751         4,113


50's   20,542,363            1,340    15,330         5,366


60's   13,909,277             370     37,592        13,157
Breast Cancer Treatment
Adjusted Breast Cancer Survival by Stages and
Insurance Status, among Patients Diagnosed in
1999-2000 and Reported to the NCDB
Non-Standard Care


Of 6,734 women treated for breast
cancer in seven states, 35% did not
receive adjuvant chemotherapy
consistent with guidelines.


    Wu et al., J Clin Oncol 2012
Non-Standard Care
Predictors of non-guideline adjuvant
chemotherapy include:
   –   Medicaid insurance (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.86)
   –   Lack of Insurance (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.85)
   –   High-poverty areas (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.97)
   –   Low education areas (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.89)




        Wu et al., J Clin Oncol 2012
Non-Standard Care
In a prospective study of 957 patients receiving
adjuvant breast cancer treatment in 101
practices, factors associated with nonstandard
regimens include:
    – Black race (p=.008)
    – Lower education level (p=.003)
    – Insurance type (P=0.48)
    – Employment status (p=.045)

         Griggs et al, J Clin Oncol. 2007
Clinical Lessons Learned Late



Medicine without Wisdom!!!
Clinical Lessons Learned Late
Overused Interventions


•   Hysterectomy
•   Caesarian section
•   Carotid endarterectomy
•   Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
•   Tonsillectomy
Clinical Lessons Learned Late
Drugs re-assessed after-marketing

• Postmenopausal Hormone replacement therapy
• Lidocaine after MI
• Hyper-vitaminosis (vit E, Beta
  Carotene, Selenium)
• Vioxx for arthritic pain
• Erythropoetin to stimulate blood
Clinical Lessons Learned Late

Treatments introduced without assessment
• Halsted mastectomy
• Cryotherapy for prostate cancer
• Adjuvant bone marrow transplant for breast
  cancer

Screening done before proven harmful
• Chest Xray screening for lung cancer
• Urine screening for neuroblastoma
U.S. Health Care Spending



In 2010, the U.S. spent

$2.6 TRILLION
   on Health Care
U.S. Health Care Spending


•How Big is a Trillion?
     1 million seconds    Last week

     1 billion seconds    Richard Nixon’s Resignation

     1 trillion seconds   30,000 BCE
Spending in Context

2010
                                                     $2.6 trillion

                         $1.4 trillion

                                                                                  17.9%

$1.1 trillion




                                                                                    Gross Domestic
                                                                                       Product



                * Excludes alcoholic beverages ($150 billion) and tobacco products ($92 billion)
       Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; National Bureau of Statistics of China, MGI analysis
Gross Domestic Product by Country, 2010
Thrillion Dollars, at Official Exchange Rate


      •   United States              14.45
      •   China                       5.74
      •   Japan                       5.46
      •   Germany                     3.28
      •   France                      2.56
      •   Brazil                      2.09


      CIA Fact Book, 2012
American Healthcare


•   16.2% of GDP in 2008
•   17.3% of GDP in 2009
•   19.3% of GDP by 2019 (projected)
•   25% of GDP by 2025 (projected)
Beyond Healthcare Reform
• Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security account
  for all of the projected increase in Federal
  spending over the next 40 years.

• For the past 30 years, costs per person throughout
  the health care system have been growing
  approximately two percentage points faster per
  year than per-capita GDP.

• Most projections assume this pattern will continue
  through 2050. Over time, the fiscal consequences
  of this rate of growth in health costs are massive.
Average Life Expectancy (years)

                                                                     S       J




                                                                                            74
                                                                                                       75
                                                                                                                   76
                                                                                                                               77
                                                                                                                                           78
                                                                                                                                                         79
                                                                                                                                                                     80
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                                                                                                                                                                                                      82




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                                                                            w
                                                                               ed
                                                                                                                                                                                                             The Cost of a Long Life




2006 CIA FACTBOOK
                                                                           Ic en
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                    Life Expectancy – Per Capita Spending
                                                                                   a
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                                                                                                                                                                                      United States
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Translate into Longer Life Expectancy




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Higher Per Capita Spending in the U.S. does not




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                                                                                            0
                                                                                                 500
                                                                                                            1000
                                                                                                                        1500
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                                                                                                                                           2500
                                                                                                                                                  3000
                                                                                                                                                              3500
                                                                                                                                                                          4000
                                                                                                                                                                                      4500
                                                                                                                                                                                                      5000




                                                            Per Capita Spending in USD
Healthcare in Three Countries (2010)


•                         Canada Switzerland U.S.
•   Infant Mortality      5.04    4.53     6.22 per 1000 live births
•   White Male Life Exp   78.0    79.7     76.8 Years
•   Per Capita Costs      4445    5270     8233 US Dollars
•   Proportion of GDP     11.4%   11.4%    17.9%
Cigarette Smoking Prevalence* (%), by Sex, Adults 18 and Older,
                                 US, 1965-2008




                                                                                       Men


                                                                      Women




*Redesign of survey in 1997 may affect trends. Estimates are age adjusted to the 2000 US standard population using five age groups: 18-
24, 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-64 years, and 65 years and over.
Source: National Health Interview Survey, 1965-2008, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009.
Obesity in the United States 1970 and 2008
          40


                               35
          35



          30



          25
Percent




                                                                                 20
          20


                15
          15



          10



           5                                                     4

           0



               1970          2008                              1970            2008

               American Adults                                    American Children
               Aged 21 and above                                  Aged 6 to 11
Obesity U.S. 2008


                           Women   Men
•    Non-Hispanic Blacks   49.6%   37.3%
•    Mexican Americans     45.1%   35.9%
•    All Hispanics         43.0%   34.3%
•    Non-Hispanic Whites   33.0%   31.9%




    CDC MMWR, 2011
• Tsunami of Chronic Disease
 –Diabetes
 –Cardiovascular Disease
 –Orthopedic Disease
 –Cancer
• Tsunami of Chronic Disease

• Will surpass tobacco as leading cause
  of cancer

• Think of the number of people we
  could save from a cancer death if we
  did what we know we should do
True Healthcare Reform
  (An Efficient, Value Driven Health System)


• Rational use of healthcare is
  necessary for the future of the U.S.
  economy (an issue of U.S. security)

• It is possible to decrease costs and
  improve healthcare by using science
  to guide our policies
Otis W. Brawley, MD, FACP, FASCO

    Chief Medical and Scientific Officer
          American Cancer Society
Professor of Hematology, Medical Oncology,
        Medicine and Epidemiology
              Emory University
www.sharecancersupport.org
     Call Our Helplines:
 Breast Cancer: 866-891-2392
Ovarian Cancer: 866-53-SHARE
    español: 866-891-2392

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How We Do Harm: A Webinar by SHARE with Dr. Otis Brawley

  • 1. Presents “How We Do Harm” with Dr. Otis Brawley
  • 2. Otis W. Brawley, MD, FACP, FASCO Chief Medical and Scientific Officer American Cancer Society Professor of Hematology, Medical Oncology, Medicine and Epidemiology Emory University
  • 3.
  • 4. Healthcare • An issue that must be approached ethically, logically and rationally • We must realize: – What we know. – What we do not know. – What we believe.
  • 5. Disparities in Health Of all the forms of inequality, injustice in health care is the most shocking and inhumane • ML King, Jr. Presentation at: The Second National Convention of the Medical Committee for Human Rights; March 25, 1966; Chicago, IL.
  • 6. Toward an Efficient Healthcare System • Some consume too much – (Unnecessary care given) • Some consume too little – (Necessary care not given) • We could decrease the waste and improve overall health!!!!
  • 7. The American Healthcare System • Overconsumption of Healthcare • The Greedy Feeding the Gluttonous • A Subtle form of Corruption
  • 8.
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  • 13. Prostate Cancer and Chemoprevention • Pretend you are a 55 year old male and a preventive pill exists: – If you take the pill it will definitely double your risk of prostate cancer diagnosis from 10% lifetime to 20% lifetime. – It you take it, it may decrease your lifetime risk of prostate cancer death by 20% from 3% to 2.4%. • Would you take this pill?
  • 14. Recommending for Informed Decision Making • American Cancer Society • National Comprehensive Cancer Network • American Society for Clinical Oncology • European Urology Association • American Urology Association
  • 15. Recommending Against Routine Prostate Cancer Screening • U.S. Preventive Services Taskforce • Canadian Taskforce on the Periodic Health Examination • American College of Preventive Medicine • American College of Physicians
  • 16. The American Cancer Society 2010 Prostate Cancer Screening Guideline “Men should have an opportunity to make an informed decision with their health care provider about whether to be screened for prostate cancer, after receiving information about the uncertainties, risks, and potential benefits associated with prostate cancer screening.”
  • 17. American Urological Association* Given the uncertainty that PSA testing results in more benefit than harm, a thoughtful and broad approach to PSA is critical. Patients need to be informed of the risks and benefits of testing before it is undertaken. The risks of overdetection and overtreatment should be included in this discussion. *Taken from the AUA PSA Best Practice Statement 2009 and markedly different from statements made in press conferences
  • 18. Recommending for Informed Decision Making • American Cancer Society • National Comprehensive Cancer Network • American Society for Clinical Oncology • European Urology Association • American Urology Association
  • 19.
  • 20. Prostate Cancer and Chemoprevention • Pretend you are a 55 year old male and a preventive pill exists: – If you take the pill it will definitely double your risk of prostate cancer diagnosis from 10% lifetime to 20% lifetime. – It you take it, it may decrease your lifetime risk of prostate cancer death by 20% from 3% to 2.4%. • Would you take this pill?
  • 22. The National Lung Screening Trial • Nearly 54,000, age 55 and above • 30 pack year or greater history of smoking. If quit, did so less than 15 years prior to trial entry • Reasonable health • Prospectively randomized to PA Chest Xray or LD sprial CT yearly X3 • Done at twelve sites with experts specializing in lung CT
  • 23. The National Lung Screening Trial (one view of the 20 percent reduction in mortality) • At ten years from the start of screening about 27,000 at high risk, age 55 or over at the start of the trial. – 80 to 90 lives were saved of a lung cancer death – About 340 died of lung cancer – 16 died due to interventions caused by screening (six did not have cancer)
  • 24. Lung Cancer Screening Consider spiral CT for those: • Healthy aged 55 years and above • H/0 30 pack years of smoking or more • If quit smoking did so less than 15 years ago • Who understand that there are risks of unnecessary diagnostic procedures and even death associated with screening.
  • 25. Offers Low Dose Spiral CT of the Lung to those at risk for lung cancer. ($325 cash). “At risk for lung cancer,” according to St Joe’s, includes 40 year old non-smoking women who have lived in an urban area for more than ten years. The business plan relies on insurance to pay for the follow-up testing of the 25% or more abnormal screens.
  • 26. Medical Gluttony • Screening tests of no proven value • Treatments of no proven value • Laboratory and radiologic imaging done for convenience. -Cannot find original. -Legal defense (real or imagined). -Tradition.
  • 27. “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.” Upton Sinclair A professional is someone who puts the interests of his patients above his own. Hal Sox
  • 28. Rational vs. Irrational Medicine • Rofecoxib (Vioxx) vs. Naproxen • Once a day vs. twice a day • $90 per month vs. $12 per month
  • 29. Rational vs. Irrational Medicine Generic Omeprazole (Prilosec) vs. Esomeprazole (Nexium) 25 cents per day vs. six dollar per day Eight dollars per month vs. 180 dollars per month
  • 30. True Healthcare Reform Requires: The use of “Evidence Based Care and Prevention” That is:  The rational use of medicine  Not the rationing of medicine
  • 31. True Healthcare Reform Requires: The use of “Evidence Based Care and Prevention” That is:  We do what we know works, and often do not do!  We stop doing what we know does not work, and often do!
  • 33. Breast Cancer Screening in the U.S. The Ten Year Potential 64,673 deaths averted USPSTF Age Estimate of Lives Lost due Number in Number Needed Avertable to Non- Population to Screen Deaths Compliance 40's 22,327,592 1,900 11,751 4,113 50's 20,542,363 1,340 15,330 5,366 60's 13,909,277 370 37,592 13,157
  • 35. Adjusted Breast Cancer Survival by Stages and Insurance Status, among Patients Diagnosed in 1999-2000 and Reported to the NCDB
  • 36. Non-Standard Care Of 6,734 women treated for breast cancer in seven states, 35% did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy consistent with guidelines. Wu et al., J Clin Oncol 2012
  • 37. Non-Standard Care Predictors of non-guideline adjuvant chemotherapy include: – Medicaid insurance (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.86) – Lack of Insurance (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.85) – High-poverty areas (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.97) – Low education areas (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.89) Wu et al., J Clin Oncol 2012
  • 38. Non-Standard Care In a prospective study of 957 patients receiving adjuvant breast cancer treatment in 101 practices, factors associated with nonstandard regimens include: – Black race (p=.008) – Lower education level (p=.003) – Insurance type (P=0.48) – Employment status (p=.045) Griggs et al, J Clin Oncol. 2007
  • 39. Clinical Lessons Learned Late Medicine without Wisdom!!!
  • 40. Clinical Lessons Learned Late Overused Interventions • Hysterectomy • Caesarian section • Carotid endarterectomy • Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting • Tonsillectomy
  • 41. Clinical Lessons Learned Late Drugs re-assessed after-marketing • Postmenopausal Hormone replacement therapy • Lidocaine after MI • Hyper-vitaminosis (vit E, Beta Carotene, Selenium) • Vioxx for arthritic pain • Erythropoetin to stimulate blood
  • 42. Clinical Lessons Learned Late Treatments introduced without assessment • Halsted mastectomy • Cryotherapy for prostate cancer • Adjuvant bone marrow transplant for breast cancer Screening done before proven harmful • Chest Xray screening for lung cancer • Urine screening for neuroblastoma
  • 43. U.S. Health Care Spending In 2010, the U.S. spent $2.6 TRILLION on Health Care
  • 44. U.S. Health Care Spending •How Big is a Trillion? 1 million seconds Last week 1 billion seconds Richard Nixon’s Resignation 1 trillion seconds 30,000 BCE
  • 45. Spending in Context 2010 $2.6 trillion $1.4 trillion 17.9% $1.1 trillion Gross Domestic Product * Excludes alcoholic beverages ($150 billion) and tobacco products ($92 billion) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; National Bureau of Statistics of China, MGI analysis
  • 46. Gross Domestic Product by Country, 2010 Thrillion Dollars, at Official Exchange Rate • United States 14.45 • China 5.74 • Japan 5.46 • Germany 3.28 • France 2.56 • Brazil 2.09 CIA Fact Book, 2012
  • 47. American Healthcare • 16.2% of GDP in 2008 • 17.3% of GDP in 2009 • 19.3% of GDP by 2019 (projected) • 25% of GDP by 2025 (projected)
  • 48. Beyond Healthcare Reform • Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security account for all of the projected increase in Federal spending over the next 40 years. • For the past 30 years, costs per person throughout the health care system have been growing approximately two percentage points faster per year than per-capita GDP. • Most projections assume this pattern will continue through 2050. Over time, the fiscal consequences of this rate of growth in health costs are massive.
  • 49. Average Life Expectancy (years) S J 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 a n ap a M n a M rino S on w a itz co er A l an us d tr S alia w ed The Cost of a Long Life 2006 CIA FACTBOOK Ic en el A and nd o C rra an a F r da an ce Ita A ly us tri S a pa N in S orw in a ga y po Lu I re x sr N em a e l ew bo Z u N ea rg et la he n rl d G and er s m Life Expectancy – Per Capita Spending a G ny re ec e M B alta el U gi u ni te Fin m d la Ki n ng d U e m D do ni nm te d ar St k United States Translate into Longer Life Expectancy at e C s ub C a yp r Ire us la Higher Per Capita Spending in the U.S. does not P nd or tu ga l 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Per Capita Spending in USD
  • 50. Healthcare in Three Countries (2010) • Canada Switzerland U.S. • Infant Mortality 5.04 4.53 6.22 per 1000 live births • White Male Life Exp 78.0 79.7 76.8 Years • Per Capita Costs 4445 5270 8233 US Dollars • Proportion of GDP 11.4% 11.4% 17.9%
  • 51. Cigarette Smoking Prevalence* (%), by Sex, Adults 18 and Older, US, 1965-2008 Men Women *Redesign of survey in 1997 may affect trends. Estimates are age adjusted to the 2000 US standard population using five age groups: 18- 24, 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-64 years, and 65 years and over. Source: National Health Interview Survey, 1965-2008, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009.
  • 52. Obesity in the United States 1970 and 2008 40 35 35 30 25 Percent 20 20 15 15 10 5 4 0 1970 2008 1970 2008 American Adults American Children Aged 21 and above Aged 6 to 11
  • 53. Obesity U.S. 2008 Women Men • Non-Hispanic Blacks 49.6% 37.3% • Mexican Americans 45.1% 35.9% • All Hispanics 43.0% 34.3% • Non-Hispanic Whites 33.0% 31.9% CDC MMWR, 2011
  • 54. • Tsunami of Chronic Disease –Diabetes –Cardiovascular Disease –Orthopedic Disease –Cancer
  • 55. • Tsunami of Chronic Disease • Will surpass tobacco as leading cause of cancer • Think of the number of people we could save from a cancer death if we did what we know we should do
  • 56. True Healthcare Reform (An Efficient, Value Driven Health System) • Rational use of healthcare is necessary for the future of the U.S. economy (an issue of U.S. security) • It is possible to decrease costs and improve healthcare by using science to guide our policies
  • 57. Otis W. Brawley, MD, FACP, FASCO Chief Medical and Scientific Officer American Cancer Society Professor of Hematology, Medical Oncology, Medicine and Epidemiology Emory University
  • 58. www.sharecancersupport.org Call Our Helplines: Breast Cancer: 866-891-2392 Ovarian Cancer: 866-53-SHARE español: 866-891-2392