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Pulse of the industry
Medical technology report 2010
To our clients and friends,

                   Medtech innovation has often been driven by iterative changes to existing technologies.
                   As a result, the industry’s business model has traditionally relied on venture financing,
                   predictable regulatory and reimbursement pathways, regular physician interaction and a
                   symbiotic M&A environment between emerging and established companies. Today, the
                   convergence of several trends and sweeping reforms is placing tremendous strain on
                   medtech’s long-standing business model and will ultimately force the industry to innovate
                   the way it conducts business.

                   Ernst & Young’s third annual Pulse of the industry report focuses on these challenges.
                   In two roundtables — one on innovation and the other on financing and M&As — as well
                   as a series of guest articles, industry veterans discuss the most important issues facing
                   the industry. Our introductory article provides a detailed overview of the key trends
                   and implications, as well as some guiding principles for companies in dealing with these
                   challenges. As always, our report contains extensive data on the financial, financing and
                   transaction activity of the US and European industry, but this year the scope has been
                   broadened to include insights on several key Asia-Pacific markets through an overview
                   article and a roundtable on China.

                   Many of the seemingly disparate trends now looming before the medtech industry — from
                   comparative effectiveness research to the consolidation of hospital purchasing decisions
                   and changes on the regulatory and reimbursement fronts — are in fact symptomatic of a
                   more fundamental shift: the emergence of a “health outcomes ecosystem.” This is a world
                   in which firms will no longer be rewarded based on how many units of a product they sell,
                   but rather on their ability to deliver health outcomes — i.e., improve patient health and
                   access — while decreasing cost to the system.

                   While this will undoubtedly bring challenges, the health outcomes ecosystem — which
                   is being enabled by the intersection of health care and information technology — is,
                   intuitively, in medtech’s sweet spot. Companies in several existing medtech segments
                   could see tremendous growth opportunities because of their ability to improve health
                   outcomes — from enabling personalized medicine to making drug delivery more targeted
                   and effective. Even more exciting, we are likely to see entirely new product and service
                   offerings emerge that use medical technology in creative ways to empower patients and
                   address the needs of payors and providers. But to unleash this potential, companies will
                   need to innovate the process of innovation — experimenting with pilot programs and
                   partnering with non-traditional players. Ernst & Young’s worldwide organization stands
                   ready to help you as you navigate your way forward.



                                                          — Ernst & Young, Global Life Sciences Center
Contents

           Global perspectives
           1         The value of innovation
                     Introduction

           5         US hospitals: dealing with health care reform
                     A closer look
                     Venson Wallin, Ernst & Young LLP

           15        Life-changing innovation
                     James V. Mazzo, Advanced Medical Technology Association; Abbott Medical Optics

           16        Qualified resilience and new challenges
                     Andre-Michel Ballester, Sorin Group

           17        Looking to Asia-Pacific for growth
                     Kazuaki Kitabatake, Terumo Americas Holdings

           18        Innovating innovation
                     Roundtable on innovation
                     • Stephen Oesterle, MD, Medtronic, Inc.
                     • Rafael Torres, GE Equity
                     • Don Jones, Qualcomm Incorporated
                     • David Hochman, Orchestra Medical Ventures

           25        Preparing for comparative effectiveness research
                     Wendy Everett, ScD, New England Healthcare Institute



           Industry performance
           29        A diverse industry
                     Industry segmentation

           31        Stock market performance

           33        The (medtech) world is flat
                     Financial results

           40        The uncertain incidence of the medical device excise tax
                     A closer look
                     Chris Ohmes, Ernst & Young LLP

           45        Reality sets in
                     Financing

           56        Dealing with challenges
                     Roundtable on financing and M&As
                     • John Kehl, Edwards Lifesciences, LLC
                     • Josh Makower, MD, ExploraMed Development, LLC
                     • Michael Neuberger, BMO Capital Markets Corporation

           62        A buyers’ market
                     Mergers and acquisitions




iii        Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
Asia-Pacific
73    One size doesn’t fit all
      Roundtable on China
      • Dave DeMarco, PhD, Ernst & Young LLP
      • Immanuel Thangaraj, Essex Woodlands Health Ventures
      • John Barrett, Medtronic, Inc.
      • Richard Mao, Johnson & Johnson Medical Asia Pacific

78    Increased focus and reforms across Asia-Pacific’s medtech markets

87    Scope of this report

88    Acknowledgements

89    Data exhibit index

91    Global contacts




                                                                          iv
Global perspectives
Introduction

The value of innovation


The medical technology industry faces an unprecedented                      Sustaining innovation
confluence of challenges that promise to test many basic elements
of the industry’s long-standing business model: funding sources,            While medtech is typically classified as part of the life sciences
innovation mechanisms, deal structures, regulatory regimes                  industry, it is in many ways quite different from other life sciences
and payor expectations. The implications for the industry will              segments, such as pharmaceuticals and biotechnology. The manner
be significant. In the years ahead, firms will need to revisit key          in which medtech firms innovate new products, for instance, often
elements of their business models — from how they raise capital to          has more in common with innovation in information technology
how they innovate and even to the basic question of what they sell.         (IT) than in drug development. That distinction is particularly
                                                                            relevant today, as the sector’s innovation model comes under
In this article, we discuss these issues by grouping them into three        unprecedented strain from trends in the capital markets, in the
basic challenges:                                                           deal space and on the regulatory front. To appreciate the potential
1. Sustaining innovation                                                    impact of these trends, it is important to view them in the context
                                                                            of the unique innovation model that has long existed in this sector.
2. Delivering value and outcomes
                                                                            Some characteristics of this innovation model include:
3. Fueling growth
                                                                            • Short development cycles based on engineering. The
It should be noted at the outset that this is, almost inescapably,            development of many medtech products primarily involves
a discussion of average trends and challenges. Even though we                 addressing mechanical and electrical engineering challenges.
frequently refer to it in the singular — as the medtech industry —            This is quite different from drug development, which requires
medtech is of course an extraordinarily diverse set of technologies           understanding — and successfully intervening in — human biology.
and products, ranging from contact lenses to implantable devices              As a result, medtech development is often seen as less risky and
and CAT scan machines. Individual medtech segments have                       less complex than drug development. This, in turn, means that
different capital requirements. Their products represent different            product development cycles for many medtech products are
levels of complexity and patient risk, with different innovation              closer to the 18-month cycles seen in the world of IT than the
cycles and different customers. The trends we discuss here — like             decade-or-longer drug-development time horizons common in
sweeping changes in any industry — will inevitably produce winners            biotech and pharma. The ability to bring innovations to market
and losers. They will create new risks but also new opportunities.            in a short time frame has also historically been supported by a
The challenge for medtech companies in different segments will be             short and predictable regulatory process.
to position themselves to seize these emerging opportunities, even
as they seek to navigate the new challenges and risks. The paths            • Collaborative and iterative innovation. Unlike innovation in
taken will need to be as creative and variable as the industry itself.        pharma and biotech, medtech innovation has typically been
                                                                              conducted in collaboration with customers. The physicians
                                                                              who use medtech products are a valuable source of feedback
                                                                              on product effectiveness and design. It is quite common for
                                                                              a medtech sales rep or product manager to be present in an
    “In the years ahead, firms will need to                                   operating theater to educate physicians on optimal use while also
                                                                              gathering real-time user data to inform the design of future-
     revisit key elements of their business                                   generation products. While most innovation in drug development
     models — from how they raise capital                                     occurs only prior to marketing approval, medtech innovation is
     to how they innovate and even to the                                     typically iterative and continues well after marketing approval
                                                                              has been secured for the first generation of a product — mirroring
     basic question of what they sell.”                                       the innovative processes commonly seen in IT, where companies
                                                                              typically bring out new generations of slightly improved products
                                                                              every 18–24 months.




1                                                Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
Indeed — as shown in the accompanying chart — while                      Medtech’s long-standing “cycle of innovation”…
biopharmaceutical innovation is typically represented in a linear
“funnel chart,” medtech innovation is better illustrated as a cyclical                                          Physicians
and iterative process. The ideas for most new innovations come
from physicians. In some cases, the idea forms the basis for a new                                 Idea                              Coverage
iteration of an existing product at a large medtech company. In
other cases, the innovator may seek to commercialize the idea
through a new venture-backed start-up.                                                  VCs                                                    Payors

While venture funding in medtech shares some features with the
funding of biotech start-ups, the VC model is in many ways closer to
                                                                                 Funding                               Idea           Commercialization
the model for funding IT companies. For one, the typical investment
is much smaller (reflecting the shorter product development cycle)
and somewhat less risky than a comparable investment in biotech.
The preferred exit has been to sell the company to a large medtech                   Start-up                                             Big medtech
buyer once the technology has received marketing approval
(in biotech, by contrast, exits often occur once a product has
demonstrated proof-of-concept in clinical trials).                                                  R&D                              Acquisition
                                                                                                                 Approved
Commercializing products has typically been the domain of large                                                 technology
medtech companies, which have the requisite infrastructure,              Source: Ernst & Young
scale and resources. And, as already mentioned, the process of
innovation continues through feedback from physicians that leads
to new generations of products. In the span of more than two             … now faces new challenges at every stage
decades, for instance, medtech innovations to treat coronary artery
disease have progressed from balloon angioplasty to stents to drug-                                           Physicians

eluting stents and, most recently, to bio-absorbable stents.
                                                                                                 Idea                               CER
The medtech industry’s innovation model is now under
unprecedented strain, as it faces new challenges at almost every
step of the innovation cycle:                                                        VCs                                                  Payors

• Venture funding. The global financial crisis has taken a toll
  on the funding environment for medtech companies. While
                                                                             Capital crunch                Increased transparency   Pricing pressures
  the overall funding numbers have held up reasonably well in                                                   requirements
  the face of the crisis, the distribution of venture capital has
  become more skewed than at any time in the last decade. As
  the availability of capital has tightened across capital markets,               Start-up                                             Big medtech
  there has been a corresponding decline in venture capitalists’

                                                                                         Device tax,
                                                                                      regulatory hurdles                        Buying later

                                                                                                               Approved
                                                                                                              technology
                                                                         Source: Ernst & Young




                                                                                                                                                          2
ability to raise funds from limited partners. With exits relatively          hurdles, are now also being forced to deploy precious capital to
    scarce and considerably more challenging, VCs are having to                  commercialize products before they can attract a buyer. This not
    carry their portfolio companies further, which means they have               only puts these firms under increased financial strain, but also
    proportionally less money available for new investments.                     is a sub-optimal use of resources. It is not ideal for most small
                                                                                 companies with no prior product-commercialization experience
• Research and development. With many emerging medtech
                                                                                 to develop sales and marketing infrastructure that will ultimately
  companies having less access to capital, they are having to do
                                                                                 be regarded as redundant by a buyer anyway. And the timing
  more with these diminished means. Firms are having to deploy
                                                                                 could not be worse. Requiring small firms to build commercial
  capital more efficiently and are seeking operating efficiencies
                                                                                 infrastructure is an inefficient use of capital at precisely the
  through measures such as restructuring and outsourcing.
                                                                                 moment when the industry needs greater capital efficiency.
  Beyond the immediate impact of capital constraints, the process
  of obtaining marketing approval for products is itself becoming              • Iterative innovation with physicians. Many in the industry
  more challenging, with the looming prospect of restrictions on                 are also worried about new strains on the connection between
  the long-standing 510(k) process for clearing products in the US               physicians and medtech firms — a vital link in the iterative cycle
  (discussed in greater detail on pages 6 and 7). The industry is                of innovation. The US Sunshine Act, in particular, will place
  also concerned about the newly imposed “device tax” under the                  greater scrutiny on payments to physicians. But this is not by far
  US health care reform legislation, which is anticipated to have a              the only example. The trend toward increased transparency in
  disproportionate impact on smaller, pre-profitable companies.                   interactions with physicians is visible in many key markets. The
                                                                                 US law, it should be noted, does nothing to ban payments — it
• Exits through acquisition. As discussed earlier, acquisitions
                                                                                 merely requires companies to monitor and report them — but
  have traditionally provided the vast majority of exits for investors
                                                                                 the threshold for physician payments is very low, and as David
  in emerging medtech firms. In the past, the buyout of a small
                                                                                 Hochman points out in the Roundtable on innovation article,
  company usually occurred once it had received marketing
                                                                                 there are fears that some hospitals may overreact by placing new
  clearance — a logical transition point since it is more efficient
                                                                                 restrictions on contacts between doctors and medtech firms.
  for large firms, with their resources and economies of scale,
  to commercialize newly approved products. In the current
  environment, however, strategic buyers have become much
  more risk averse and are increasingly interested in buying assets
  that have already gained market acceptance and demonstrated
  growth potential. In the US, the “sweet spot” for attracting
  buyers now appears to be US$40 million–US$100 million in sales
  and a clear path to profitability.
                                                                                 “... while biopharmaceutical innovation
    This may make perfect sense from the perspective of a large                   is typically represented in a linear
    buyer — and represent a reasonable response to an increasingly
    uncertain reimbursement environment — but its implications                    “funnel chart,” medtech innovation
    for innovation in the current climate are worrisome. Small                    is better illustrated as a cyclical and
    companies, already squeezed by capital constraints and                        iterative process.“
    girding for the prospect of a device tax and higher regulatory




3                                                   Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
devices and diagnostics has been a less attractive proposition.
                                                                          Measurement is another issue — unlike drugs, which are simple
  “Requiring small firms to build                                         to administer, the efficacy of devices depends at least in part
   commercial infrastructure is an                                        on the skill of the user, which can generate noise in outcomes
   inefficient use of capital at precisely                                data. In addition, the short product-innovation cycles in medtech
                                                                          have made CER considerably more challenging — by the time a
   the moment when the industry needs                                     comparative effectiveness study focusing on a particular product
   greater capital efficiency. “                                          is completed, it could easily be dated by the arrival of the next-
                                                                          generation product.

Delivering value and outcomes                                             But change is coming. The Obama Administration’s stimulus-
                                                                          spending package, passed in February 2009, allocated
Even as medtech companies grapple with the challenge of                   US$1.1 billion for CER. And it is clear that much of that budget
sustaining and funding innovation, they face a future in which the        will be applied to medtech products. Indeed, when the Institute of
fruits of that innovation will be under more scrutiny than ever           Medicine (IOM) released its list of 100 initial priority topics for CER
before. This challenge is being driven by three trends:                   in June, the list included a number of medtech-specific items, from
                                                                          imaging technologies to stenting to robotic-assistance surgery.
1. Comparative effectiveness research
                                                                          Given the challenges in conducting CER at the individual-product
Comparative effectiveness is not a new concept in the life sciences.
                                                                          level in an industry with such short innovation cycles, it is not
From health technology assessments to the “fourth hurdle,”
                                                                          surprising that the IOM list focuses instead on comparing entire
the principle of comparing medical interventions to determine
                                                                          medtech regimens to alternative medical interventions. (For more
how relatively effective they are has been around in various
                                                                          on the impact of CER on the medtech industry, refer to “Preparing
forms. These ideas have been gathering steam in recent years,
                                                                          for comparative effectiveness research,” by Wendy Everett.)
as governments and payors try to rein in escalating health care
costs. In the UK, for instance, the National Institute for Clinical and   2. Hospital consolidation
Health Excellence (NICE) has been conducting cost-utility analysis        While CER on medtech products may largely be conducted on
for about a decade to inform coverage decisions by the country’s          entire classes of products, companies will also be subject to cross-
National Health Service.                                                  product scrutiny because of another trend: the consolidation of
                                                                          purchasing decisions at hospitals. Historically, doctors at most
So far, medtech has been largely exempt from this trend. While
                                                                          hospitals in the US have had relative freedom to use the products
many medtech companies are used to conducting clinical trials
                                                                          they most preferred. In recent years, however, many hospitals have
for regulatory submissions and to help set pricing, comparative
                                                                          started reducing the number of options in any product class and
effectiveness research (CER) conducted by third parties to
                                                                          requiring physicians to choose from a smaller menu of options.
determine whether a product should be given coverage is not
widespread. To some extent, this is because drugs have simply             Hospitals are focusing like never before on developing robust
been more amenable to CER approaches. Drugs account for a                 procurement functions, which are charged with squeezing costs out
larger share of health care spending than devices and diagnostics,        of the system. These procurement offices are much more inclined
and blockbuster drugs and high-priced cancer biologics have               to look at medtech suppliers holistically — wanting, in other words,
been tempting targets for payors. Since medtech markets are               to manage the relationship with an entire enterprise as opposed to
often smaller and more fragmented, applying CER techniques to             different product groups or member companies.




                                                                                                                                                4
A closer look




                       Reduced margins and increased creativity:
                       health care reform’s impact on US hospitals
                       Venson Wallin
                       Ernst & Young, LLP



The recently passed US health care reform        hospital employees in the years ahead,                 and the subsequent marketing of the device
legislation has ambitious and laudable           more of them will be affected by this trend.           may be shared by the health system and
goals: improving quality, lowering costs                                                                the medtech firm. Medtech firms selling big-
                                                 These financial trends may also limit
and increasing access. However, the law                                                                 ticket equipment will also need to identify
                                                 hospitals’ ability to access debt markets —
will squeeze hospitals’ margins, which                                                                  potential financing alternatives for buyers.
                                                 traditionally an important source of funding
will in turn increase the pressure on their
                                                 for large equipment purchases. Capital                 The legislation also mandates many
medtech suppliers. To stay competitive,
                                                 markets require that borrowers have stable             quality and compliance measures that will
medtech firms will need creative pricing and
                                                 operations and can project a strong margin.            have to be reported. Hospitals will have
partnering approaches.
                                                 Since the details of health care reform                financial incentives to comply, and the
The new law mandates reductions in               implementation will depend on rules to be              federal government will also utilize the
Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement, and         issued over the next few years, this could             data to post comparative measures on web
many believe that commercial insurers will       create uncertainty in lenders’ minds about             sites for consumers. This is a significant
likely follow suit. Hospital margins — already   the stability of the health care industry.             opportunity for medtech firms to develop
a razor-thin 2% to 3% — will be squeezed         Meanwhile, the tightening of hospitals’                innovative means of monitoring a patient’s
even further by increased costs from new         margins discussed above will further                   episode of care and providing the hospital
quality and compliance requirements and          constrain hospitals’ ability to raise capital for      with the measurement and documentation
higher patient volumes.                          large purchases — forcing many to make do              methodology for complying with the
                                                 with existing equipment.                               regulations.
As hospitals try to protect their margins,
medtech firms can expect challenging             As a result, we could see increased sharing
negotiations over proposed price increases,      of equipment such as CAT scans across
for example to pass on the medical device        hospitals. Some providers have already
tax contained in reform law. Hospitals           formed joint ventures to share technology
will also look to limit the variety of           within a region, and such arrangements will
medtech products they carry. Whereas             become increasingly common. Critically,
they previously often stocked several            this is also an opportunity for medtech
similar products to suit individual doctors’     firms to develop creative partnerships
preferences, this has been changing in           with providers to facilitate the use of their
recent years, and the shift will likely gain     technology. For example, a health system
increased momentum with mounting margin          may work with a medtech firm in developing
pressures. And, as many doctors become           a new device through research and testing,




5                                                Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
These trends are likely to accelerate because of the financial crisis,    unique nature of medtech innovation that was discussed above.
which has increased the pressure on hospitals’ operating margins.         Specifically, the fact that much of medtech innovation consists
In addition, the reform of health care is expected to add to the          of iterative improvements to existing products has meant that
pressure on margins in many markets as reimbursement levels               regulators have developed distinct mechanisms for granting
are lowered and costs raised due to new quality and compliance            marketing clearance for such products. And the tremendous
requirements. (For more on this trend, refer to “A closer look,” by       diversity of medtech products and technologies has resulted in a
Venson Wallin, on the previous page.)                                     system where different mechanisms are used to regulate products
These trends could also increase the visibility of third parties that     carrying different levels of patient risk.
can help providers manage such challenges. Access MediQuip, for           In the US, for instance, where the approval of medtech products
instance, offers a device management platform that promises to            has only been regulated by the FDA since 1976 (as compared to the
procure implantable devices and assume the financial responsibility       approval of drugs, which the agency has regulated since the 1930s),
and risk of obtaining reimbursement while allowing hospitals to           medtech products are grouped into three classes according to the
offer their doctors flexibility in choosing from a broad range of         extent of oversight needed to ensure product safety and efficacy:
implantable devices.
                                                                          • Class I — products that have a low risk of injury or illness and
As hospitals look to carry a smaller number of products in each
                                                                            do not support or sustain human life (e.g., elastic bandages,
class, it will become critical for companies to focus on the value
                                                                            examination gloves and bedpans)
proposition of their product offerings compared to those of their
competitors. Meanwhile, succeeding with procurement offices               • Class II — products that carry a higher risk than Class I products
that are interested in dealing with suppliers holistically will require     and are usually non-invasive (e.g., X-ray machines, infusion
companies to align processes, incentives and performance                    pumps and dialysis catheters)
measures to prevent turf battles.
                                                                          • Class III — products that are life-supporting, life-sustaining or
3. Marketing approval                                                       carry a high risk of illness or injury (e.g., implantable
The process by which medtech products are given marketing                   pacemakers and heart valves).
approval or clearance is substantively different from the way in
which drugs are approved. This is, in large part, a reflection of the     Class I and Class II products go through a relatively short clearance
                                                                          process — premarket notification, more commonly known as
                                                                          510(k). This subjects manufacturers to general controls (e.g.,
                                                                          manufacturer registration with the FDA, compliance with good
                                                                          manufacturing practice standards, proper branding and labeling)
                                                                          and, in the case of Class II devices, special controls (e.g., labeling
                                                                          requirements, mandatory performance standards and post-
                                                                          marketing surveillance).

                                                                          On the other hand, Class III products — for which there is
                                                                          insufficient information to assure safety and efficacy using only
                                                                          general and special controls — require a premarket approval (PMA),
                                                                          a more extensive process that includes clinical trials.




                                                                                                                                                 6
This system has come under increasing fire in the last couple of             to an environment where the pace of 510(k) clearances has already
years as a growing chorus of voices has argued that the 510(k)               slowed considerably and companies are increasingly concerned about
system needs to be reformed. Critics have cited anecdotes of                 the uncertainty and opaqueness of the process. Companies are also
a product that was marketed without being either approved or                 uneasy about the FDA’s “corrective fix” pilot recall program, under
cleared by the FDA and another for which the FDA allowed the                 which they can be required to recall older models of products after
company to determine whether a 510(k) filing was necessary.                  new versions have been introduced, even when there are no consumer
In October 2008, several scientists from the Center for Devices              complaints about the old versions.
and Radiological Health (CDRH, the branch of the FDA that                    Regulating medical products has always involved striking a fine
regulates medical devices) wrote a letter to Congress calling for            balance between being too lax (failing to protect patients from unsafe
legislation to “modernize” the 510(k) process and alleging that              products) and being too restrictive (failing to let potentially beneficial
senior management at the FDA was improperly interfering in the               products reach patients in a timely manner). Striking that balance
approval or clearance of products. In January 2009, a study by the           for medtech products is not easy, given the tremendous diversity of
US Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that a number                products and technologies and the rapid, iterative nature of innovation
of Class III devices were being cleared using the 510(k) process             in this industry. The various stakeholders will continue to debate these
instead of the required PMA process. In September 2009, the                  issues in the months ahead, but it seems clear that some tightening
FDA responded to these concerns by asking the IOM to conduct                 of the clearance process is likely. In the US, the 510(k) process will
a review of the 510(k) process. Meanwhile, the FDA has been                  still account for the majority of product approvals, but the data
proceeding with its own 510(k) review. Its 510(k) Working Group              requirements are likely to increase, and a greater portion of devices
held a public workshop in February 2010 and released preliminary             are likely to follow the PMA route in the future.
recommendations in August.
                                                                             The health outcomes ecosystem
Among other things, the preliminary recommendations call for the             These three trends — comparative effectiveness research, increased
creation of a new class of medical device — Class IIb. These devices,        scrutiny and pressure from hospitals, and a higher marketing-
which may include implantable or life-sustaining/life-supporting
products, would typically require clinical and manufacturing data
in the 510(k) notice. They would also be subject to additional post-           “... health care is no longer just
marketing requirements, such as “condition-of-clearance” studies.
The recommendations also called for clarifying the conditions
                                                                                for health care companies. Non-
under which multiple predicates can be used in determining                      traditional entrants — IT firms, retail
whether a device is substantially equivalent to an existing device,             giants, insurers, food companies,
and potentially disallowing the practice of “split predicates” (when
                                                                                telecommunications providers, global
one predicate is referenced for intended use and another for
technological characteristics).                                                 conglomerates and many others — are
The industry has expressed concerns about restricting the 510(k)
                                                                                already entering the fray, sensing
process, arguing that the existing system provides regulators with              new opportunities in the business of
flexibility and has a strong track record of ensuring patient safety            delivering health outcomes.“
without hampering innovation. The potential restrictions would add




7                                                 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
Consumers will be at the center of this new ecosystem, as IT — the
  “It would intuitively seem that the                                    great leveler that has already democratized countless industries,
                                                                         from journalism to retail trade — empowers patients as never
   health outcomes ecosystem — which                                     before. Social media networks — from PatientsLikeMe to Sermo
   is being enabled, after all, by the                                   and Medscape Physician Connect — are making data on outcomes
   intersection of health care and                                       and efficacy more transparent and freeing it from the control of
   information technology — should lie                                   medtech and health delivery companies. Mobile phones are enabling
                                                                         patients to monitor their own health in a myriad of new ways — using
   in medtech’s sweet spot.“                                             everything from apps for the latest smartphones to SMS-message
                                                                         platforms that can expand access for patients in rural areas and
approval bar from regulators — are more than a coincidence. On           emerging markets.
the contrary, they are symptomatic of a fundamental shift — the
emergence of a new health outcomes ecosystem. We are moving              And health care is no longer just for health care companies.
toward a future in which all companies in the health care arena — not    Non-traditional entrants — IT firms, retail giants, insurers, food
just medtech firms, but also drug companies, providers and others —      companies, telecommunications providers, global conglomerates
will increasingly find themselves in the business of delivering health   and many others — are already entering the fray, sensing new
outcomes. They will, in other words, be rewarded not based on how        opportunities in the business of delivering health outcomes.
many units of a product they sell, but rather on how effective those
                                                                         These trends are discussed in considerable detail in the 2010 edition
products are in improving the health of patients.
                                                                         of Ernst & Young’s annual report on the pharmaceutical industry,
We are being propelled toward this future by several trends. The         Progressions. In that report, we call the health outcomes ecosystem
widespread adoption and meaningful use of electronic health records      “Pharma 3.0,” reflecting that the pharmaceutical business has
(EHRs) — being heavily encouraged in the US by incentives in the         already been through a couple of rounds of reinvention. The
Government’s economic stimulus package — will vastly increase
                                                                         daunting challenges associated with pharma’s patent cliff have, in
the volume of data that can be mined to compare the efficacy of
                                                                         other words, driven firms to replace Pharma 1.0 (the blockbuster
different treatments. Large systems, such as Kaiser Permanente
                                                                         model in which companies were organized for top-line growth) with
and Intermountain Health, have already been doing this, and new
                                                                         Pharma 2.0 (in which companies manage for the bottom line, with
entrants in the EHR business such as Google Health and Microsoft
                                                                         specialized products and an emphasis on efficiency).
HealthVault could take “value mining” to an entirely new level.

Health care reform measures — not just in the US or Europe but           Medtech, of course, has never had the equivalent of a 2.0 business
also in China and other major markets — are basically about the          model, because it has never faced as urgent a driver for change
drive to increase equitable access to quality health care while          as pharma’s patent cliff. To some extent, therefore, the challenge
simultaneously lowering costs, which only heightens the pressure         confronting medtech companies is even greater — they must
on payors and governments to do more with less. To increase              simultaneously adapt to the equivalent of both 2.0 (managing for
efficiency across the system, payors will focus more than ever on        the bottom line) and 3.0 (restructuring themselves for the health
the value products deliver relative to their cost.                       outcomes business).




                                                                                                                                              8
There is certainly evidence that firms are moving in this direction.        Fueling growth
Even as medtech firms are looking for growth in emerging
markets and greater efficiencies to protect margins (distinctly 2.0         While medtech has fared better than most industries in the current
initiatives), they are introducing new technologies that empower            economic downturn, it has been far from immune to the downturn’s
patients and providers with real-time data on outcomes. In just             effects. After growing at a brisk pace for several years, the
one disease category, diabetes, Lifescan (a Johnson & Johnson               revenues of the US- and Europe-based industries were essentially
company) has developed an app for Apple’s iPhone that allows                flat in 2010 compared to 2009. And with overall economic growth
patients to upload and store glucometer data on their phones and            stagnating in the West — and economists debating whether we are
share them with providers. The company has also collaborated                heading for a dreaded “double-dip” recession — the industry’s short-
with t+ Medical, a UK-based supplier of telemedicine solutions, to          term growth prospects are uncertain.
develop a coordinated system that transmits data from glucometers           The real challenge for medtech companies, however, will be fueling
to a central database. Patients can then receive simplified                 growth in the long term. Medtech firms — long accustomed to being
information on their mobile phones. Meanwhile, Medtronic has                treated as growth stocks — are already finding themselves trading
launched a new device, Paradigm Veo, which alerts patients when             down from the handsome multiples they commanded not too
their blood glucose levels fall. Bayer Diabetes Care has launched           long ago. Investors, wary of higher regulatory and reimbursement
DIDGET, a blood glucose meter for children with diabetes, that              hurdles, are giving firms little credit for their R&D spending, and
connects directly to Nintendo gaming systems.                               even acquisitions are often insufficient to move the needle on a
                                                                            company’s valuation.
It would intuitively seem that the health outcomes ecosystem —
which is being enabled, after all, by the intersection of health care       So where will growth come from?
and information technology — should lie in medtech’s sweet spot.
                                                                            While each company will need to evaluate its own circumstances,
That would suggest that there are opportunities for many more
                                                                            strengths and vulnerabilities when identifying drivers of growth, we
applications than we have seen so far — which has mostly been in
                                                                            believe that much of the answer can be boiled down to one word:
the area of mobile/wireless devices. The currency of the health
                                                                            diversification.
outcomes ecosystem is information, and harnessing the power of
information — capturing, measuring, sharing and monetizing it —             Product diversification
will require innovative new technologies.                                   As we stated at the outset, medtech is an extraordinarily
                                                                            diverse industry. So it is somewhat paradoxical that, despite the
But to capitalize on these opportunities, firms will also need new
ways of doing business and executing transactions. The real
opportunities may be to experiment through pilots and to partner —
including with non-traditional players. This is an industry where the         “Medtech firms — long accustomed to
deal space has traditionally been dominated by M&As, but firms will
                                                                               being treated as growth stocks — are
have to increase the number of strategic alliances in the mix.
                                                                               already finding themselves trading
.
                                                                               down from the handsome multiples
                                                                               they commanded not too long ago.”




9                                                Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
difference in delivering health outcomes — in other words, segments
                                                                             that can have the biggest impact on boosting effectiveness or
  “... as the industry faces tremendous new                                  lowering costs. For instance, as drugs are increasingly pitted
   risks in the future, it may make sense                                    against each other by comparative effectiveness, innovative
                                                                             drug delivery technologies could help tip the balance in favor of a
   for companies to look at diversification                                  therapy by helping it to target more specifically, thereby increasing
   not just as a way of tapping synergies                                    its efficacy and reducing side effects. Wireless and remote patient
   and lowering costs, but also as a means                                   monitoring technologies could similarly see strong growth because
                                                                             of aging populations and the uptick in chronic diseases.
   of diversifying risk and expanding into
   different revenue streams.”                                               As pricing pressures from payors ramp up, companies may also
                                                                             want to consider segments that could be relatively immune to
                                                                             these trends. For instance, the focus on outcomes will increase the
                                                                             impetus for personalized-medicine approaches, and many research-
tremendous breadth of activities across the industry, individual
                                                                             tools companies — particularly those building the sequencers and
medtech companies have often been fairly narrow in their focus.
                                                                             other specialized equipment used in identifying biomarkers — will
Even some of the largest firms in the sector derive the vast
                                                                             likely see strong demand for their products. The attractiveness of
majority of their revenues from one therapeutic focus, such
                                                                             this segment is further enhanced by the fact that these products
as cardiovascular devices in the case of Boston Scientific or
                                                                             are typically sold to other companies or to academic institutions
orthopedic devices for Stryker.
                                                                             for research purposes, which means they are often not subject to
Ironically, this lack of diversity at the company level is at least partly   reimbursement and, therefore, unlikely to face pricing pressures
driven by the tremendous diversity at the industry level. The wide           from payors.
variance in medtech’s product types and areas of therapeutic focus
                                                                             Offer diversification
means that there is often little overlap between different segments.
                                                                             Beyond diversifying into other products, companies could also
Consequently, two medtech segments may have little in common
                                                                             consider diversifying beyond products altogether, by expanding
in terms of R&D capabilities, sales and marketing approaches or
                                                                             into services and solutions. Once again, this mirrors moves seen
regulatory requirements, such that the potential synergies to
                                                                             in the world of IT, where computer manufacturers responded
be gained from combining them — the textbook justification for
                                                                             to commoditization and shrinking margins by getting into the
mergers — are weak at best.
                                                                             higher-margin business of affiliated services. Examples include
But as the industry faces tremendous new risks in the future, it may         Dell Computer, which acquired Perot Systems in 2009 to expand
make sense for companies to look at diversification not just as a            into IT services, and IBM, which sold its PC division to Lenovo and
way of tapping synergies and lowering costs, but also as a means of          reinvented itself as a services company.
diversifying risk and expanding into different revenue streams.
                                                                             The DePuy Healthcare Solutions Group offers a suite of consulting
One approach would be to diversify into the areas within medtech             services to help hospitals improve the performance of their
that are best positioned to benefit in the new ecosystem. If every           orthopedic services. The services focus on reducing length of stay,
risk or challenge also contains the seeds of opportunity, then               increasing capacity and improving staff and patient satisfaction,
part of the answer may be in segments that could really make a               while reducing the overall cost of the episode of care.




                                                                                                                                                   10
In January 2010, Stryker completed its acquisition of Ascent                This sort of thinking — applying medtech’s creativity and innovative
Healthcare Solutions, a leading provider of medical device                  strengths not just to developing new products but, indeed, to the
reprocessing and remanufacturing services. Through the acquisition,         innovation process itself — will be needed in spades in the years
Stryker expands into a service — helping hospitals recycle medical          ahead. As medtech’s innovation model comes under unprecedented
products such as blood pressure cuffs that would otherwise be               strain, and as companies are called upon to do more with less while
thrown away — which should be in demand in the increasingly cost-           defending the value of their products, we are likely to see creative
conscious, efficiency-driven health outcomes ecosystem.                     new approaches to innovation. The next section describes some of
                                                                            what we might see, and identifies principles that firms should keep
Geographic diversification
                                                                            in mind as they navigate the challenges ahead.
If one answer to the challenge of sustaining growth is to consider
diversifying into other technologies or services, another answer
may be to diversify geographically. This is an approach that many
firms have been gravitating toward by increasing their focus on
                                                                            Outlook: the value of innovation
emerging markets. As growth in mature markets slows, and as                 In last year’s Pulse of the industry, our introductory article was titled
their products face intense pricing pressure and increased scrutiny         “The certainty of innovation.” As companies faced an environment
in these locations, the rapid advancement of emerging markets               of endemic uncertainty, we argued that the one thing they could be
is looking increasingly attractive. Health care reform in China             certain about was that truly innovative products would always be
and growing middle classes with increased access to medical                 needed and the market would find ways to pay for them.
care across several emerging markets promise to create rapidly
expanding pools of new customers for medtech firms. As discussed            A year later, some of that uncertainty is being removed and the
in the Asia-Pacific section, the medtech industries in most of these        picture is becoming clearer. Health care reform has become the law
economies continued to grow briskly last year. It is hardly surprising      of the land in the US. China is implementing reforms, and similar
that an emerging-market strategy has effectively become a must-             reform measures are under way in many other markets. The US
have component of any mature medtech company’s planning.                    market has also seen passage of the device tax and the release of
                                                                            preliminary recommendations on 510(k) reform. The specter of
But to unlock the potential that is latent in these geographies,            comparative effectiveness remains real, and the IOM’s release of a
medtech firms will need to approach innovation in emerging                  list of top 100 priorities has helped identify the technologies most
markets very differently. With lower income levels and a shortage           likely to be targeted. But the relative reduction of uncertainty is
of health insurance, many patients in these locations will be unable
to afford Western companies’ products for the foreseeable future. If
the majority of patients in emerging markets cannot afford Western            “Of particular concern, though, is the
products at Western prices, companies will need instead to offer
locally targeted products at locally relevant prices. Indeed, many
                                                                               outlook for innovation. The innovation
firms are already pursuing this approach, as highlighted by several            model has now developed a chasm
panelists in our “Roundtable on innovation” article. Medtech                   between what buyers and regulators
companies are developing stripped-down versions of their products
for emerging markets that do not have all the features of their
                                                                               require and what investors and
latest-generation offerings but still provide effective results at a           emerging companies can provide.”
lower price point.




11                                               Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
Of particular concern, though, is the outlook for innovation. The
                                                                            innovation model described in this article has now developed a
  “Today, the danger is that we may                                         chasm between what buyers and regulators require and what
   be moving to a system that will not                                      investors and emerging companies can provide. The regulatory
   adequately value each incremental                                        changes discussed above will inevitably increase the time to
                                                                            approval and cost of development of many products. Partly as a
   innovation — and in the process, we                                      response to these trends, strategic buyers are requiring companies
   may deny patients the tremendous                                         to commercialize their products before considering a takeout. The
   potential benefit from the sum of                                        obvious implication for start-ups and their investors is that it will
                                                                            take more time and money to reach an exit.
   those iterations. ”
                                                                            In theory, this would not be an issue if VCs simply started investing
                                                                            larger amounts for longer periods of time — something they already
not necessarily bringing good news — the picture that is emerging,          do when they invest in biotech companies. The problem, however,
unfortunately, is one where medtech companies will face greater             is that this would create a fundamental mismatch between the risk
scrutiny and significant new challenges.                                    and reward of medtech investments. Investors take bigger risks
                                                                            in biotech because of the larger potential rewards — a successful
The road ahead
                                                                            drug can command a relatively high price tag and enjoy many
It is clear that the pressures identified above will only increase with
                                                                            years of patent protection. But in medtech, the potential payoffs
time. Health care reform measures are poised to increase coverage,
                                                                            are smaller, because competitors can often engineer around IP,
inevitably raising the pressure on costs. As CER is conducted, most
                                                                            and a product’s life may be measured in months rather than years.
industry insiders expect that it will be used in some way to make
                                                                            Meanwhile, other trends, such as the downward pressure on prices
determinations about coverage — regardless of what legislative
                                                                            and margins, are expected to further lower potential payoffs
prohibitions may say today. Weak growth in the US economy —
the prediction of most economists — will bring no quick relief for          and exacerbate the growing mismatch between risk and reward.
medtech companies.                                                          Investors are familiar with “high-risk/high-reward” and “low-risk/
                                                                            low-reward.” But they may rightfully balk at being squeezed into a
We expect the number of companies to shrink. Venture capitalists            high-risk/low-reward model.
will probably fund fewer new firms in the foreseeable future. The
constraints in global capital markets are unlikely to be eased and revert   Beyond the strains on the funding of innovation lies a more
to pre-recession levels anytime soon. As they face longer paths to          fundamental issue: whether these trends could disrupt the iterative
exits, VCs will need more funding per portfolio company, while firms        cycle of medtech innovation, and what we stand to lose if that
looking for venture capital will continue to face a higher bar.             happens. The fact is that while many medtech innovations are
                                                                            relatively small, their cumulative impact over time can be enormous.
Meanwhile, financial pressures will drive consolidation. The higher
                                                                            Consider pacemakers, which have been around for well over half
cost of development (particularly for companies that find they now
                                                                            a century. The earliest pacemakers were powered by alternating
need to conduct clinical trials) will require scale economies and lead
                                                                            current and had to be plugged in to electrical outlets — with obvious
some firms to consolidate.
                                                                            implications for patient mobility and for morbidity in the event of
                                                                            a power failure. Implantable pacemakers were invented in the late




                                                                                                                                               12
1950s, and over time, the devices have become progressively                       the appropriate value measures (possibly in collaboration with
smaller, less invasive, longer lasting and more powerful. Whereas                 payors) and then build the processes and systems to capture the
implanting a pacemaker once required opening the patient’s chest,                 relevant data.
they can now be attached to the chambers of the heart through
                                                                                  Meanwhile, as hospitals look to winnow down the number of
a vein — sometimes even as an outpatient procedure under local                    products purchased in each category, they will increasingly
anesthesia. Unlike the inflexible devices of years past that paced                compare individual products within each class. Companies will
the heart at one fixed rhythm regardless of the patient’s needs,                  need to be proactive in identifying the products most at risk and
today’s pacemakers can sense intrinsic heart rhythms and pace the                 then exploring ways of increasing their attractiveness through,
heart only when needed (to encourage heart activity and better                    for example, new pricing models or offering different price/
quality of health). They offer a large number of parameters that                  feature combinations.
can be programmed via telemetry to suit a patient’s needs. All
of this has brought tremendous benefits to patients. But none of               2. Innovate innovation. Innovation is no longer just about
it happened overnight. It took countless iterations by numerous                   conducting product R&D. It is also about bringing creative new
competitors over several decades to develop today’s minimally                     approaches to the R&D process itself — innovating innovation.
invasive, maximally flexible devices. Yet any single iteration along              Some possible approaches include:
the way may have provided only a small incremental benefit. Today,                • “Whittle down” innovation — As discussed earlier, many
the danger is that we may be moving to a system that will not                       medtech firms are developing and selling “whittled down”
adequately value each incremental innovation — and in the process,                  versions of their products in emerging markets — products
we may deny patients the tremendous potential benefit from the                      that offer a good deal of functionality at a more attractive
sum of those iterations.                                                            price point. It may make sense for Western companies to
Rules of the road                                                                   partner with local firms, which are often able to better
How will companies need to proceed? Again, each firm’s answer                       understand local market needs, as well as how to engineer
                                                                                    products that best suit those requirements. Indeed, there
will need to be based on individual facts and circumstances, but we
                                                                                    are numerous examples from other industries of local firms
offer some guiding principles below.
                                                                                    developing popular products for local conditions. A few
1. Demonstrate value proactively. The changes described                             years back, India’s Tata Group developed a US$2,500 car
   above will bring an unprecedented level of scrutiny to medtech                   for the Indian market, and the Indian Government recently
   products and prices. To thrive in this environment, companies                    showcased a tablet device that was widely compared in the
   will need to be proactive and proceed on several fronts.                         media to Apple’s iPad — for the astounding price of US$35.
     It is likely that much of the CER conducted with respect to
     medtech products will target entire product classes. As such,
     companies will need to identify the products most at risk (e.g.,            “... if the industry can be certain that
     those on the IOM list or items with relatively high price tags). In          medtech innovation will produce value, it
     these categories, firms should consider conducting their own
                                                                                  can no longer take for granted that that
     CER (it may even make sense to collaborate with competitors
     to defray high costs, since the CER is targeting their products              value will be recognized by buyers.”
     too). Demonstrating value will also require companies to define




13                                                  Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
• “Trickle up” innovation — The experience of medtech and              will involve dealing with different innovation models, corporate
    other industries offers another insight: whittled-down products      cultures, attitudes toward IP and levels of regulatory experience.
    developed for emerging markets can often gain considerable
                                                                       4. Preserve the ecosystem. While some industry consolidation
    traction in mature markets as well. For instance, netbooks —
                                                                          seems inevitable — and could even be a regenerative process —
    the smaller, more basic versions of laptops that first exploded
                                                                          medtech innovation has relied on a healthy ecosystem of companies
    into the personal computer market a couple of years ago —
                                                                          of various sizes. With many firms facing a challenging funding
    have their genesis in the One Laptop Per Child organization’s
                                                                          environment, it is more important than ever that companies pay
    mission to develop affordable computers for children in
                                                                          attention to preserving the medtech ecosystem. While emerging
    developing countries. But computer manufacturers soon
                                                                          medtech companies have traditionally relied on venture capital,
    found that there was also tremendous demand in high-income
                                                                          in the current environment, small companies will need to search
    countries for inexpensive computers that are “good enough”
                                                                          creatively for other financing options as well. And large firms
    for most day-to-day needs. Such “trickle up” innovation
                                                                          and public-sector entities could help sustain the future supply of
    (to borrow the term coined by Wired magazine) may be
                                                                          innovative technologies — while investing in undervalued assets
    increasingly relevant for medtech in the years ahead as firms
                                                                          — through the establishment of corporate venture arms and
    are subject to increasing scrutiny from payors and providers
                                                                          incubators. There has certainly been evidence of such activity in
    in the US and other mature markets. Companies may find that
                                                                          this downturn — recent examples include a new European medical
    for buyers in these markets, more is not always better.
                                                                          device incubator established by Medtronic and Sofinnova Partners
  • “Pick your size” innovation — We are already seeing examples          and a new cardiovascular-focused incubator on the campus of
    of “whittle down” and “trickle up” innovation in medtech. But         the Cleveland Clinic that was launched with the help of an
    the industry’s engineering culture suggests that this could           US$83 million grant from the state of Ohio.
    be taken even further through customer customization.
                                                                       Over the years, the innovative technologies and products that
    Computer makers such as Dell, for instance, have built
                                                                       medtech companies have brought to market have delivered
    successful business models around allowing customers to
                                                                       tremendous value for countless patients. There are still significant
    configure products to their liking — giving them a large menu
                                                                       unmet medical needs to be tackled, and medtech innovation certainly
    of possible features with different price tags. To be sure,
                                                                       has the potential to help address these needs in the years ahead.
    medtech products may be challenged to offer the same
                                                                       But if the industry can be certain that medtech innovation will
    degree of flexibility — particularly if each configuration would
                                                                       produce value, it can no longer take for granted that that value will
    need marketing clearance from the FDA or other regulatory
                                                                       be recognized by buyers. The future for medtech companies is one
    agencies — but it is certainly feasible that medtech firms may
                                                                       where the value of innovation will have to be demonstrated.
    allow large customers to “bolt on” the features they consider
                                                                       To position themselves for success, companies will need not
    most valuable.
                                                                       just to address the challenges in these trends but also to seize the
3. Collaborate. While deals have always been a critical part of        latent opportunities.
   the medtech industry, most transactions have either been in
   acquisitions of smaller companies or mega-mergers among
   leading players. To succeed in the health outcomes ecosystem,
   however, companies will need to rely more heavily on strategic
   alliances than they have in the past. This will require them to
   develop specialized functional capabilities and skill sets. The
   challenge will be further heightened by the fact that some of
   these collaborations will likely be with non-traditional entrants
   in the ecosystem — and that partnering with dissimilar firms




                                                                                                                                          14
James V. Mazzo
                    Advanced Medical
                    Technology Association
                    Chairman
                    Abbott Medical Optics
                    Senior Vice President       Life-changing innovation


We have good reason to feel proud of the        economic turmoil. Although not immune to               between providing timely access to new
role that the medical technology industry       the downturn, the industry’s revenue and               medical advancements and ensuring patient
plays in advancing patient health and           number of employees held steady in 2009,               safety. In the US, many in the industry are
improving the quality and efficiency of         according to Ernst & Young.                            concerned that this balance has become
health care systems across the world. Every                                                            increasingly skewed, with regulators
                                                But past performance is no guarantee of
medtech company — no matter how large                                                                  growing excessively cautious because of
                                                future success. Many stakeholders take
or small or what it produces — supports                                                                safety concerns.
                                                for granted that medical advancements
the creation of life-changing innovation.                                                              Reimbursement, whether from private
                                                will continue indefinitely — just as we
We enable better diagnoses, improved                                                                   insurers or government-run programs,
                                                expect our computers and cell phones to
treatment options and enhanced outcomes.                                                               needs to provide adequate payment for
                                                always improve. But medical innovation —
And through our innovations, we touch           and the economic and patient benefits it               products offering clinical benefit. As
nearly every aspect of care and allow           creates — does not just happen. Without                major markets move toward comparative
patients to become more independent,            supportive public policies and the ability             effectiveness approaches, it will be all
productive and fulfilled.                       for investors and innovators to make                   the more important for companies to
Over the past few decades, medical              returns commensurate with the risk they                focus on demonstrating the value of their
technology has had a significant impact         undertake, medtech innovation could well               innovation and for payors to support
on patient care. Thanks in large part to        be threatened.                                         adequate pricing for products and services
                                                                                                       that are truly innovative.
innovations from our industry and others        That caution is particularly relevant today,
in the life sciences, overall life expectancy   as our industry faces many challenges                  Tax policies need to encourage R&D
in the US is up by more than three years,       around the world. In the US, a new excise              investment and support start-ups and
while mortality from heart attacks, strokes,    tax will be levied on the industry beginning           smaller companies, which compose the
breast cancer and a host of other conditions    in 2013 — and the potential burden on                  vast majority of companies in the medical
has been cut dramatically. Disability in the    smaller, entrepreneurial companies is                  technology sector.
elderly has been reduced by one-quarter.        particularly disturbing. The European                  Intellectual property, which is the lifeblood
I am equally proud of the economic              Commission is developing legislation that              of our industry, needs strong protections.
contributions our industry makes in             will substantially alter how medical devices           At the same time, governments should
providing high-paying, high-tech jobs even      are regulated in Europe. And Chinese                   support policies that encourage free trade
in these trying economic conditions. As         authorities are adding additional clinical             and not erect barriers that prevent foreign
Ernst & Young demonstrates in this report,      trial requirements to numerous classes                 manufacturers from fairly competing with
the medtech industry is a vibrant and           of devices before they can be approved                 local companies.
                                                in that country.
growing contributor to the US economy,                                                                 It is our responsibility to make sure that all
generating US$197 billion in revenue and        Now more than ever, we need to preserve                stakeholders understand what’s at stake:
employing over a half a million workers in      an environment that supports medtech                   without supportive public policies, it is not
2009 alone. And these are high-paying           innovation.                                            just innovation that suffers but also the
jobs: a recent Lewin Group report notes that                                                           patients who depend on our life-saving and
                                                Regulatory decision-making by the US Food
earnings in the US medtech industry are                                                                life-enhancing advancements.
                                                and Drug Administration and other global
40% higher than the national average.
                                                regulatory agencies must be predictable
While these numbers are impressive,             and timely and follow reasonable, risk-based
what is perhaps more impressive is how          standards of evidence. These agencies
the industry has weathered the recent           need to strike an appropriate balance




15                                              Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
Europe industry perspective
                     Andre-Michel
                     Ballester                    Qualified resilience and new
                     Sorin Group
                     Chief Executive Officer      challenges


The global financial and economic crisis has so   treatment.” Manufacturers of large               clinical experience, are highly valued,
far had little impact on most of the European     equipment for diagnostics, imaging               while the prices of more commoditized
medtech industry. This statement — which          and hospital infrastructure have seen a          products are continually eroding. However,
could well have been paraphrased from the         slowdown in capital investment, particularly     other models may be more challenging for
2009 annual reports of a number of European       in the private sector. The number of orders      innovation in countries with centralized
medtech firms — sounds like good news. But        has decreased for some manufacturers             decision making (UK) or with significant
it also contains two important qualifiers, both   while the selling cycle has increased.           regional differences (Italy).
of which have implications for the sector’s
                                                  The second qualifier in the opening
outlook in the months and years ahead.
                                                  sentence is the phrase “so far.” While
                                                                                                   Meeting new challenges
The first qualifier is the word “most.”           there is good news in the fact that large-
Indeed, the majority of companies have            equipment manufacturers and some                 Innovation remains critical for success
seen little-to-no decline in their business.      outpatient care companies are experiencing       in this business. But technology and
In Europe, a large proportion of medical          a slow but real recovery in the first half       innovation alone are no longer enough.
devices are sold to private and public            of 2010, challenges lie ahead. European          European medtech companies need to
hospitals and are ultimately paid for by local    governments are running severe budget            learn new skills that have traditionally
social security systems, with or without          deficits and have all already embarked           been the forte of pharmaceutical firms,
a fixed reimbursement price. Acute care           on aggressive cost-cutting programs.             such as conducting health care technology
in particular — including segments such           Remarkably, medical devices have so far          assessments. They will also need to focus
as major surgery or intensive care units —        been largely exempt from these cuts. But         on making policy-makers aware of the
tends to be fairly recession-resistant and        generic and branded drugs have already           industry’s important contributions — from
has held up well in the downturn. With            been targeted, and medical devices can           the European industry’s hundreds of
the volume of hospital sales relatively           expect growing pricing pressure in late          thousands of high-skill jobs and billions
                                                  2010 and early 2011, when new country            in R&D spending to its development of
unchanged and pricing that has been
                                                  budget targets will be introduced. Some          life-saving products and contribution to
(somewhat surprisingly) stable, sales growth
                                                  industry leaders foresee a new market            increased health care efficiencies.
has not changed from previous years.
                                                  segmentation, moving from the traditional
                                                                                                   New challenges tend to create new
But not all segments have escaped                 three-segment concept (high-, middle-
                                                                                                   opportunities. For the European medtech
unscathed. In particular, companies that          and low-end products) to a two-segment
                                                                                                   industry, seizing the opportunity will require
manufacture devices for outpatient care           concept: a reduced high-end, clinician-          that it show policy-makers how its devices
(e.g., dental, ophthalmic and cosmetic            driven segment where products are clearly        and technologies can save and improve
surgery) have experienced mid-to-high             differentiated and innovative; and an            patients’ lives, and that it can partner
single-digit drops in sales volume. For           enlarged low-end market where product            with them to better control total health
instance, a leading European dental               differentiation will matter less and therefore   care costs while creating high-wage,
company’s 2009 annual report states:              price will be of paramount importance. We        high-skill jobs.
“Throughout the year, a large proportion          are already seeing such a shift in a number
of patients postponed elective procedures         of European countries (e.g., Germany)
while others even interrupted ongoing             where new technologies, some with limited




                                                                                                                                               16
Asia-Pacific industry perspective
                    Kazuaki Kitabatake
                    Terumo Americas
                    Holdings                    Looking to Asia-Pacific
                    President and Chief
                    Executive Officer           for growth


The Asia-Pacific region is a strong and         initiative, pledging to invest US$123 billion          Asia-Pacific’s huge population and its strong
growing market for medical-technology           over 10 years to expand coverage and build             economic position on the world stage make
manufacturers due to its huge population        and update medical facilities throughout               it a medical-device market that will continue
and strong economies — the continent            the country, which will only increase                  to grow in importance in the coming years.
accounts for 60% of the world’s population      opportunities in this sector. China’s medical          To take advantage of opportunities in this
and more than 35% of global economic            care is quite advanced in major cities — where         rapidly growing region, companies will need
output, nearly as much as the US and the        private facilities would rival those in any US         to focus on developing offerings that meet
European Union combined. While Japan and        metropolis — but still rudimentary in rural            the needs of patients in these markets.
China attract the most attention, private       areas, where the Government is focusing
health care expenditures in countries such as   the majority of its efforts. Challenges
Australia, India and Indonesia are expected     include China’s regulatory system (product
to experience double-digit growth rates         registration and post-market surveillance),
during the next few years — significantly       which contains duplicative and overly
higher than predicted growth in the US.         burdensome processes. Another challenge
                                                is China’s reimbursement system, which
Although Japan’s recent economic growth         is largely non-existent, with most patients
has been low compared with that of              paying out of pocket for major procedures.
neighbors such as China and India, it is        As the Government looks to develop a more
still the world’s second-largest market for     comprehensive reimbursement system, it is
medical devices. The country will remain        focusing on cost containment, which some
an important market for medical devices         manufacturers fear could fail to account for
because of its wealth, its comprehensive        the value of advanced technology.
national health insurance system, which
guarantees coverage for its entire              India is also a market with tremendous
population, and its large and growing           potential for our industry. India’s population
number of elderly patients. More than 22% of    has huge unmet health care needs — the
Japan’s population was over the age of 65 in    country has a medical technology market
                                                about one-third the size of China’s, despite
2008 — the highest percentage in the world —
                                                having roughly the same number of people.
and the Japanese Government projects that
                                                India’s population of 1.1 billion is expected
this number will reach nearly 40% by 2050.
                                                to exceed China’s by 2030, and its economic
China’s medical device and diagnostic           growth rate of more than 8% is producing a
market is estimated to total US$8 billion and   rapidly expanding middle class — from 170
is growing 15%–20% per year. Last year, US      million people today to more than 400 million
medical technology exports to China totaled     by 2025. Our industry’s challenge will be
US$1.3 billion, an increase of 21% over the     to continue to provide high-quality medical
previous year. China’s Government in 2009       devices and diagnostics that more Indian
launched an ambitious health care reform        patients can afford.




17                                              Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
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Pulse Of The Industry Report 2010

  • 1. Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 2.
  • 3. To our clients and friends, Medtech innovation has often been driven by iterative changes to existing technologies. As a result, the industry’s business model has traditionally relied on venture financing, predictable regulatory and reimbursement pathways, regular physician interaction and a symbiotic M&A environment between emerging and established companies. Today, the convergence of several trends and sweeping reforms is placing tremendous strain on medtech’s long-standing business model and will ultimately force the industry to innovate the way it conducts business. Ernst & Young’s third annual Pulse of the industry report focuses on these challenges. In two roundtables — one on innovation and the other on financing and M&As — as well as a series of guest articles, industry veterans discuss the most important issues facing the industry. Our introductory article provides a detailed overview of the key trends and implications, as well as some guiding principles for companies in dealing with these challenges. As always, our report contains extensive data on the financial, financing and transaction activity of the US and European industry, but this year the scope has been broadened to include insights on several key Asia-Pacific markets through an overview article and a roundtable on China. Many of the seemingly disparate trends now looming before the medtech industry — from comparative effectiveness research to the consolidation of hospital purchasing decisions and changes on the regulatory and reimbursement fronts — are in fact symptomatic of a more fundamental shift: the emergence of a “health outcomes ecosystem.” This is a world in which firms will no longer be rewarded based on how many units of a product they sell, but rather on their ability to deliver health outcomes — i.e., improve patient health and access — while decreasing cost to the system. While this will undoubtedly bring challenges, the health outcomes ecosystem — which is being enabled by the intersection of health care and information technology — is, intuitively, in medtech’s sweet spot. Companies in several existing medtech segments could see tremendous growth opportunities because of their ability to improve health outcomes — from enabling personalized medicine to making drug delivery more targeted and effective. Even more exciting, we are likely to see entirely new product and service offerings emerge that use medical technology in creative ways to empower patients and address the needs of payors and providers. But to unleash this potential, companies will need to innovate the process of innovation — experimenting with pilot programs and partnering with non-traditional players. Ernst & Young’s worldwide organization stands ready to help you as you navigate your way forward. — Ernst & Young, Global Life Sciences Center
  • 4. Contents Global perspectives 1 The value of innovation Introduction 5 US hospitals: dealing with health care reform A closer look Venson Wallin, Ernst & Young LLP 15 Life-changing innovation James V. Mazzo, Advanced Medical Technology Association; Abbott Medical Optics 16 Qualified resilience and new challenges Andre-Michel Ballester, Sorin Group 17 Looking to Asia-Pacific for growth Kazuaki Kitabatake, Terumo Americas Holdings 18 Innovating innovation Roundtable on innovation • Stephen Oesterle, MD, Medtronic, Inc. • Rafael Torres, GE Equity • Don Jones, Qualcomm Incorporated • David Hochman, Orchestra Medical Ventures 25 Preparing for comparative effectiveness research Wendy Everett, ScD, New England Healthcare Institute Industry performance 29 A diverse industry Industry segmentation 31 Stock market performance 33 The (medtech) world is flat Financial results 40 The uncertain incidence of the medical device excise tax A closer look Chris Ohmes, Ernst & Young LLP 45 Reality sets in Financing 56 Dealing with challenges Roundtable on financing and M&As • John Kehl, Edwards Lifesciences, LLC • Josh Makower, MD, ExploraMed Development, LLC • Michael Neuberger, BMO Capital Markets Corporation 62 A buyers’ market Mergers and acquisitions iii Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 5. Asia-Pacific 73 One size doesn’t fit all Roundtable on China • Dave DeMarco, PhD, Ernst & Young LLP • Immanuel Thangaraj, Essex Woodlands Health Ventures • John Barrett, Medtronic, Inc. • Richard Mao, Johnson & Johnson Medical Asia Pacific 78 Increased focus and reforms across Asia-Pacific’s medtech markets 87 Scope of this report 88 Acknowledgements 89 Data exhibit index 91 Global contacts iv
  • 7.
  • 8. Introduction The value of innovation The medical technology industry faces an unprecedented Sustaining innovation confluence of challenges that promise to test many basic elements of the industry’s long-standing business model: funding sources, While medtech is typically classified as part of the life sciences innovation mechanisms, deal structures, regulatory regimes industry, it is in many ways quite different from other life sciences and payor expectations. The implications for the industry will segments, such as pharmaceuticals and biotechnology. The manner be significant. In the years ahead, firms will need to revisit key in which medtech firms innovate new products, for instance, often elements of their business models — from how they raise capital to has more in common with innovation in information technology how they innovate and even to the basic question of what they sell. (IT) than in drug development. That distinction is particularly relevant today, as the sector’s innovation model comes under In this article, we discuss these issues by grouping them into three unprecedented strain from trends in the capital markets, in the basic challenges: deal space and on the regulatory front. To appreciate the potential 1. Sustaining innovation impact of these trends, it is important to view them in the context of the unique innovation model that has long existed in this sector. 2. Delivering value and outcomes Some characteristics of this innovation model include: 3. Fueling growth • Short development cycles based on engineering. The It should be noted at the outset that this is, almost inescapably, development of many medtech products primarily involves a discussion of average trends and challenges. Even though we addressing mechanical and electrical engineering challenges. frequently refer to it in the singular — as the medtech industry — This is quite different from drug development, which requires medtech is of course an extraordinarily diverse set of technologies understanding — and successfully intervening in — human biology. and products, ranging from contact lenses to implantable devices As a result, medtech development is often seen as less risky and and CAT scan machines. Individual medtech segments have less complex than drug development. This, in turn, means that different capital requirements. Their products represent different product development cycles for many medtech products are levels of complexity and patient risk, with different innovation closer to the 18-month cycles seen in the world of IT than the cycles and different customers. The trends we discuss here — like decade-or-longer drug-development time horizons common in sweeping changes in any industry — will inevitably produce winners biotech and pharma. The ability to bring innovations to market and losers. They will create new risks but also new opportunities. in a short time frame has also historically been supported by a The challenge for medtech companies in different segments will be short and predictable regulatory process. to position themselves to seize these emerging opportunities, even as they seek to navigate the new challenges and risks. The paths • Collaborative and iterative innovation. Unlike innovation in taken will need to be as creative and variable as the industry itself. pharma and biotech, medtech innovation has typically been conducted in collaboration with customers. The physicians who use medtech products are a valuable source of feedback on product effectiveness and design. It is quite common for a medtech sales rep or product manager to be present in an “In the years ahead, firms will need to operating theater to educate physicians on optimal use while also gathering real-time user data to inform the design of future- revisit key elements of their business generation products. While most innovation in drug development models — from how they raise capital occurs only prior to marketing approval, medtech innovation is to how they innovate and even to the typically iterative and continues well after marketing approval has been secured for the first generation of a product — mirroring basic question of what they sell.” the innovative processes commonly seen in IT, where companies typically bring out new generations of slightly improved products every 18–24 months. 1 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 9. Indeed — as shown in the accompanying chart — while Medtech’s long-standing “cycle of innovation”… biopharmaceutical innovation is typically represented in a linear “funnel chart,” medtech innovation is better illustrated as a cyclical Physicians and iterative process. The ideas for most new innovations come from physicians. In some cases, the idea forms the basis for a new Idea Coverage iteration of an existing product at a large medtech company. In other cases, the innovator may seek to commercialize the idea through a new venture-backed start-up. VCs Payors While venture funding in medtech shares some features with the funding of biotech start-ups, the VC model is in many ways closer to Funding Idea Commercialization the model for funding IT companies. For one, the typical investment is much smaller (reflecting the shorter product development cycle) and somewhat less risky than a comparable investment in biotech. The preferred exit has been to sell the company to a large medtech Start-up Big medtech buyer once the technology has received marketing approval (in biotech, by contrast, exits often occur once a product has demonstrated proof-of-concept in clinical trials). R&D Acquisition Approved Commercializing products has typically been the domain of large technology medtech companies, which have the requisite infrastructure, Source: Ernst & Young scale and resources. And, as already mentioned, the process of innovation continues through feedback from physicians that leads to new generations of products. In the span of more than two … now faces new challenges at every stage decades, for instance, medtech innovations to treat coronary artery disease have progressed from balloon angioplasty to stents to drug- Physicians eluting stents and, most recently, to bio-absorbable stents. Idea CER The medtech industry’s innovation model is now under unprecedented strain, as it faces new challenges at almost every step of the innovation cycle: VCs Payors • Venture funding. The global financial crisis has taken a toll on the funding environment for medtech companies. While Capital crunch Increased transparency Pricing pressures the overall funding numbers have held up reasonably well in requirements the face of the crisis, the distribution of venture capital has become more skewed than at any time in the last decade. As the availability of capital has tightened across capital markets, Start-up Big medtech there has been a corresponding decline in venture capitalists’ Device tax, regulatory hurdles Buying later Approved technology Source: Ernst & Young 2
  • 10. ability to raise funds from limited partners. With exits relatively hurdles, are now also being forced to deploy precious capital to scarce and considerably more challenging, VCs are having to commercialize products before they can attract a buyer. This not carry their portfolio companies further, which means they have only puts these firms under increased financial strain, but also proportionally less money available for new investments. is a sub-optimal use of resources. It is not ideal for most small companies with no prior product-commercialization experience • Research and development. With many emerging medtech to develop sales and marketing infrastructure that will ultimately companies having less access to capital, they are having to do be regarded as redundant by a buyer anyway. And the timing more with these diminished means. Firms are having to deploy could not be worse. Requiring small firms to build commercial capital more efficiently and are seeking operating efficiencies infrastructure is an inefficient use of capital at precisely the through measures such as restructuring and outsourcing. moment when the industry needs greater capital efficiency. Beyond the immediate impact of capital constraints, the process of obtaining marketing approval for products is itself becoming • Iterative innovation with physicians. Many in the industry more challenging, with the looming prospect of restrictions on are also worried about new strains on the connection between the long-standing 510(k) process for clearing products in the US physicians and medtech firms — a vital link in the iterative cycle (discussed in greater detail on pages 6 and 7). The industry is of innovation. The US Sunshine Act, in particular, will place also concerned about the newly imposed “device tax” under the greater scrutiny on payments to physicians. But this is not by far US health care reform legislation, which is anticipated to have a the only example. The trend toward increased transparency in disproportionate impact on smaller, pre-profitable companies. interactions with physicians is visible in many key markets. The US law, it should be noted, does nothing to ban payments — it • Exits through acquisition. As discussed earlier, acquisitions merely requires companies to monitor and report them — but have traditionally provided the vast majority of exits for investors the threshold for physician payments is very low, and as David in emerging medtech firms. In the past, the buyout of a small Hochman points out in the Roundtable on innovation article, company usually occurred once it had received marketing there are fears that some hospitals may overreact by placing new clearance — a logical transition point since it is more efficient restrictions on contacts between doctors and medtech firms. for large firms, with their resources and economies of scale, to commercialize newly approved products. In the current environment, however, strategic buyers have become much more risk averse and are increasingly interested in buying assets that have already gained market acceptance and demonstrated growth potential. In the US, the “sweet spot” for attracting buyers now appears to be US$40 million–US$100 million in sales and a clear path to profitability. “... while biopharmaceutical innovation This may make perfect sense from the perspective of a large is typically represented in a linear buyer — and represent a reasonable response to an increasingly uncertain reimbursement environment — but its implications “funnel chart,” medtech innovation for innovation in the current climate are worrisome. Small is better illustrated as a cyclical and companies, already squeezed by capital constraints and iterative process.“ girding for the prospect of a device tax and higher regulatory 3 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 11. devices and diagnostics has been a less attractive proposition. Measurement is another issue — unlike drugs, which are simple “Requiring small firms to build to administer, the efficacy of devices depends at least in part commercial infrastructure is an on the skill of the user, which can generate noise in outcomes inefficient use of capital at precisely data. In addition, the short product-innovation cycles in medtech have made CER considerably more challenging — by the time a the moment when the industry needs comparative effectiveness study focusing on a particular product greater capital efficiency. “ is completed, it could easily be dated by the arrival of the next- generation product. Delivering value and outcomes But change is coming. The Obama Administration’s stimulus- spending package, passed in February 2009, allocated Even as medtech companies grapple with the challenge of US$1.1 billion for CER. And it is clear that much of that budget sustaining and funding innovation, they face a future in which the will be applied to medtech products. Indeed, when the Institute of fruits of that innovation will be under more scrutiny than ever Medicine (IOM) released its list of 100 initial priority topics for CER before. This challenge is being driven by three trends: in June, the list included a number of medtech-specific items, from imaging technologies to stenting to robotic-assistance surgery. 1. Comparative effectiveness research Given the challenges in conducting CER at the individual-product Comparative effectiveness is not a new concept in the life sciences. level in an industry with such short innovation cycles, it is not From health technology assessments to the “fourth hurdle,” surprising that the IOM list focuses instead on comparing entire the principle of comparing medical interventions to determine medtech regimens to alternative medical interventions. (For more how relatively effective they are has been around in various on the impact of CER on the medtech industry, refer to “Preparing forms. These ideas have been gathering steam in recent years, for comparative effectiveness research,” by Wendy Everett.) as governments and payors try to rein in escalating health care costs. In the UK, for instance, the National Institute for Clinical and 2. Hospital consolidation Health Excellence (NICE) has been conducting cost-utility analysis While CER on medtech products may largely be conducted on for about a decade to inform coverage decisions by the country’s entire classes of products, companies will also be subject to cross- National Health Service. product scrutiny because of another trend: the consolidation of purchasing decisions at hospitals. Historically, doctors at most So far, medtech has been largely exempt from this trend. While hospitals in the US have had relative freedom to use the products many medtech companies are used to conducting clinical trials they most preferred. In recent years, however, many hospitals have for regulatory submissions and to help set pricing, comparative started reducing the number of options in any product class and effectiveness research (CER) conducted by third parties to requiring physicians to choose from a smaller menu of options. determine whether a product should be given coverage is not widespread. To some extent, this is because drugs have simply Hospitals are focusing like never before on developing robust been more amenable to CER approaches. Drugs account for a procurement functions, which are charged with squeezing costs out larger share of health care spending than devices and diagnostics, of the system. These procurement offices are much more inclined and blockbuster drugs and high-priced cancer biologics have to look at medtech suppliers holistically — wanting, in other words, been tempting targets for payors. Since medtech markets are to manage the relationship with an entire enterprise as opposed to often smaller and more fragmented, applying CER techniques to different product groups or member companies. 4
  • 12. A closer look Reduced margins and increased creativity: health care reform’s impact on US hospitals Venson Wallin Ernst & Young, LLP The recently passed US health care reform hospital employees in the years ahead, and the subsequent marketing of the device legislation has ambitious and laudable more of them will be affected by this trend. may be shared by the health system and goals: improving quality, lowering costs the medtech firm. Medtech firms selling big- These financial trends may also limit and increasing access. However, the law ticket equipment will also need to identify hospitals’ ability to access debt markets — will squeeze hospitals’ margins, which potential financing alternatives for buyers. traditionally an important source of funding will in turn increase the pressure on their for large equipment purchases. Capital The legislation also mandates many medtech suppliers. To stay competitive, markets require that borrowers have stable quality and compliance measures that will medtech firms will need creative pricing and operations and can project a strong margin. have to be reported. Hospitals will have partnering approaches. Since the details of health care reform financial incentives to comply, and the The new law mandates reductions in implementation will depend on rules to be federal government will also utilize the Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement, and issued over the next few years, this could data to post comparative measures on web many believe that commercial insurers will create uncertainty in lenders’ minds about sites for consumers. This is a significant likely follow suit. Hospital margins — already the stability of the health care industry. opportunity for medtech firms to develop a razor-thin 2% to 3% — will be squeezed Meanwhile, the tightening of hospitals’ innovative means of monitoring a patient’s even further by increased costs from new margins discussed above will further episode of care and providing the hospital quality and compliance requirements and constrain hospitals’ ability to raise capital for with the measurement and documentation higher patient volumes. large purchases — forcing many to make do methodology for complying with the with existing equipment. regulations. As hospitals try to protect their margins, medtech firms can expect challenging As a result, we could see increased sharing negotiations over proposed price increases, of equipment such as CAT scans across for example to pass on the medical device hospitals. Some providers have already tax contained in reform law. Hospitals formed joint ventures to share technology will also look to limit the variety of within a region, and such arrangements will medtech products they carry. Whereas become increasingly common. Critically, they previously often stocked several this is also an opportunity for medtech similar products to suit individual doctors’ firms to develop creative partnerships preferences, this has been changing in with providers to facilitate the use of their recent years, and the shift will likely gain technology. For example, a health system increased momentum with mounting margin may work with a medtech firm in developing pressures. And, as many doctors become a new device through research and testing, 5 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 13. These trends are likely to accelerate because of the financial crisis, unique nature of medtech innovation that was discussed above. which has increased the pressure on hospitals’ operating margins. Specifically, the fact that much of medtech innovation consists In addition, the reform of health care is expected to add to the of iterative improvements to existing products has meant that pressure on margins in many markets as reimbursement levels regulators have developed distinct mechanisms for granting are lowered and costs raised due to new quality and compliance marketing clearance for such products. And the tremendous requirements. (For more on this trend, refer to “A closer look,” by diversity of medtech products and technologies has resulted in a Venson Wallin, on the previous page.) system where different mechanisms are used to regulate products These trends could also increase the visibility of third parties that carrying different levels of patient risk. can help providers manage such challenges. Access MediQuip, for In the US, for instance, where the approval of medtech products instance, offers a device management platform that promises to has only been regulated by the FDA since 1976 (as compared to the procure implantable devices and assume the financial responsibility approval of drugs, which the agency has regulated since the 1930s), and risk of obtaining reimbursement while allowing hospitals to medtech products are grouped into three classes according to the offer their doctors flexibility in choosing from a broad range of extent of oversight needed to ensure product safety and efficacy: implantable devices. • Class I — products that have a low risk of injury or illness and As hospitals look to carry a smaller number of products in each do not support or sustain human life (e.g., elastic bandages, class, it will become critical for companies to focus on the value examination gloves and bedpans) proposition of their product offerings compared to those of their competitors. Meanwhile, succeeding with procurement offices • Class II — products that carry a higher risk than Class I products that are interested in dealing with suppliers holistically will require and are usually non-invasive (e.g., X-ray machines, infusion companies to align processes, incentives and performance pumps and dialysis catheters) measures to prevent turf battles. • Class III — products that are life-supporting, life-sustaining or 3. Marketing approval carry a high risk of illness or injury (e.g., implantable The process by which medtech products are given marketing pacemakers and heart valves). approval or clearance is substantively different from the way in which drugs are approved. This is, in large part, a reflection of the Class I and Class II products go through a relatively short clearance process — premarket notification, more commonly known as 510(k). This subjects manufacturers to general controls (e.g., manufacturer registration with the FDA, compliance with good manufacturing practice standards, proper branding and labeling) and, in the case of Class II devices, special controls (e.g., labeling requirements, mandatory performance standards and post- marketing surveillance). On the other hand, Class III products — for which there is insufficient information to assure safety and efficacy using only general and special controls — require a premarket approval (PMA), a more extensive process that includes clinical trials. 6
  • 14. This system has come under increasing fire in the last couple of to an environment where the pace of 510(k) clearances has already years as a growing chorus of voices has argued that the 510(k) slowed considerably and companies are increasingly concerned about system needs to be reformed. Critics have cited anecdotes of the uncertainty and opaqueness of the process. Companies are also a product that was marketed without being either approved or uneasy about the FDA’s “corrective fix” pilot recall program, under cleared by the FDA and another for which the FDA allowed the which they can be required to recall older models of products after company to determine whether a 510(k) filing was necessary. new versions have been introduced, even when there are no consumer In October 2008, several scientists from the Center for Devices complaints about the old versions. and Radiological Health (CDRH, the branch of the FDA that Regulating medical products has always involved striking a fine regulates medical devices) wrote a letter to Congress calling for balance between being too lax (failing to protect patients from unsafe legislation to “modernize” the 510(k) process and alleging that products) and being too restrictive (failing to let potentially beneficial senior management at the FDA was improperly interfering in the products reach patients in a timely manner). Striking that balance approval or clearance of products. In January 2009, a study by the for medtech products is not easy, given the tremendous diversity of US Government Accountability Office (GAO) found that a number products and technologies and the rapid, iterative nature of innovation of Class III devices were being cleared using the 510(k) process in this industry. The various stakeholders will continue to debate these instead of the required PMA process. In September 2009, the issues in the months ahead, but it seems clear that some tightening FDA responded to these concerns by asking the IOM to conduct of the clearance process is likely. In the US, the 510(k) process will a review of the 510(k) process. Meanwhile, the FDA has been still account for the majority of product approvals, but the data proceeding with its own 510(k) review. Its 510(k) Working Group requirements are likely to increase, and a greater portion of devices held a public workshop in February 2010 and released preliminary are likely to follow the PMA route in the future. recommendations in August. The health outcomes ecosystem Among other things, the preliminary recommendations call for the These three trends — comparative effectiveness research, increased creation of a new class of medical device — Class IIb. These devices, scrutiny and pressure from hospitals, and a higher marketing- which may include implantable or life-sustaining/life-supporting products, would typically require clinical and manufacturing data in the 510(k) notice. They would also be subject to additional post- “... health care is no longer just marketing requirements, such as “condition-of-clearance” studies. The recommendations also called for clarifying the conditions for health care companies. Non- under which multiple predicates can be used in determining traditional entrants — IT firms, retail whether a device is substantially equivalent to an existing device, giants, insurers, food companies, and potentially disallowing the practice of “split predicates” (when telecommunications providers, global one predicate is referenced for intended use and another for technological characteristics). conglomerates and many others — are The industry has expressed concerns about restricting the 510(k) already entering the fray, sensing process, arguing that the existing system provides regulators with new opportunities in the business of flexibility and has a strong track record of ensuring patient safety delivering health outcomes.“ without hampering innovation. The potential restrictions would add 7 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 15. Consumers will be at the center of this new ecosystem, as IT — the “It would intuitively seem that the great leveler that has already democratized countless industries, from journalism to retail trade — empowers patients as never health outcomes ecosystem — which before. Social media networks — from PatientsLikeMe to Sermo is being enabled, after all, by the and Medscape Physician Connect — are making data on outcomes intersection of health care and and efficacy more transparent and freeing it from the control of information technology — should lie medtech and health delivery companies. Mobile phones are enabling patients to monitor their own health in a myriad of new ways — using in medtech’s sweet spot.“ everything from apps for the latest smartphones to SMS-message platforms that can expand access for patients in rural areas and approval bar from regulators — are more than a coincidence. On emerging markets. the contrary, they are symptomatic of a fundamental shift — the emergence of a new health outcomes ecosystem. We are moving And health care is no longer just for health care companies. toward a future in which all companies in the health care arena — not Non-traditional entrants — IT firms, retail giants, insurers, food just medtech firms, but also drug companies, providers and others — companies, telecommunications providers, global conglomerates will increasingly find themselves in the business of delivering health and many others — are already entering the fray, sensing new outcomes. They will, in other words, be rewarded not based on how opportunities in the business of delivering health outcomes. many units of a product they sell, but rather on how effective those These trends are discussed in considerable detail in the 2010 edition products are in improving the health of patients. of Ernst & Young’s annual report on the pharmaceutical industry, We are being propelled toward this future by several trends. The Progressions. In that report, we call the health outcomes ecosystem widespread adoption and meaningful use of electronic health records “Pharma 3.0,” reflecting that the pharmaceutical business has (EHRs) — being heavily encouraged in the US by incentives in the already been through a couple of rounds of reinvention. The Government’s economic stimulus package — will vastly increase daunting challenges associated with pharma’s patent cliff have, in the volume of data that can be mined to compare the efficacy of other words, driven firms to replace Pharma 1.0 (the blockbuster different treatments. Large systems, such as Kaiser Permanente model in which companies were organized for top-line growth) with and Intermountain Health, have already been doing this, and new Pharma 2.0 (in which companies manage for the bottom line, with entrants in the EHR business such as Google Health and Microsoft specialized products and an emphasis on efficiency). HealthVault could take “value mining” to an entirely new level. Health care reform measures — not just in the US or Europe but Medtech, of course, has never had the equivalent of a 2.0 business also in China and other major markets — are basically about the model, because it has never faced as urgent a driver for change drive to increase equitable access to quality health care while as pharma’s patent cliff. To some extent, therefore, the challenge simultaneously lowering costs, which only heightens the pressure confronting medtech companies is even greater — they must on payors and governments to do more with less. To increase simultaneously adapt to the equivalent of both 2.0 (managing for efficiency across the system, payors will focus more than ever on the bottom line) and 3.0 (restructuring themselves for the health the value products deliver relative to their cost. outcomes business). 8
  • 16. There is certainly evidence that firms are moving in this direction. Fueling growth Even as medtech firms are looking for growth in emerging markets and greater efficiencies to protect margins (distinctly 2.0 While medtech has fared better than most industries in the current initiatives), they are introducing new technologies that empower economic downturn, it has been far from immune to the downturn’s patients and providers with real-time data on outcomes. In just effects. After growing at a brisk pace for several years, the one disease category, diabetes, Lifescan (a Johnson & Johnson revenues of the US- and Europe-based industries were essentially company) has developed an app for Apple’s iPhone that allows flat in 2010 compared to 2009. And with overall economic growth patients to upload and store glucometer data on their phones and stagnating in the West — and economists debating whether we are share them with providers. The company has also collaborated heading for a dreaded “double-dip” recession — the industry’s short- with t+ Medical, a UK-based supplier of telemedicine solutions, to term growth prospects are uncertain. develop a coordinated system that transmits data from glucometers The real challenge for medtech companies, however, will be fueling to a central database. Patients can then receive simplified growth in the long term. Medtech firms — long accustomed to being information on their mobile phones. Meanwhile, Medtronic has treated as growth stocks — are already finding themselves trading launched a new device, Paradigm Veo, which alerts patients when down from the handsome multiples they commanded not too their blood glucose levels fall. Bayer Diabetes Care has launched long ago. Investors, wary of higher regulatory and reimbursement DIDGET, a blood glucose meter for children with diabetes, that hurdles, are giving firms little credit for their R&D spending, and connects directly to Nintendo gaming systems. even acquisitions are often insufficient to move the needle on a company’s valuation. It would intuitively seem that the health outcomes ecosystem — which is being enabled, after all, by the intersection of health care So where will growth come from? and information technology — should lie in medtech’s sweet spot. While each company will need to evaluate its own circumstances, That would suggest that there are opportunities for many more strengths and vulnerabilities when identifying drivers of growth, we applications than we have seen so far — which has mostly been in believe that much of the answer can be boiled down to one word: the area of mobile/wireless devices. The currency of the health diversification. outcomes ecosystem is information, and harnessing the power of information — capturing, measuring, sharing and monetizing it — Product diversification will require innovative new technologies. As we stated at the outset, medtech is an extraordinarily diverse industry. So it is somewhat paradoxical that, despite the But to capitalize on these opportunities, firms will also need new ways of doing business and executing transactions. The real opportunities may be to experiment through pilots and to partner — including with non-traditional players. This is an industry where the “Medtech firms — long accustomed to deal space has traditionally been dominated by M&As, but firms will being treated as growth stocks — are have to increase the number of strategic alliances in the mix. already finding themselves trading . down from the handsome multiples they commanded not too long ago.” 9 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 17. difference in delivering health outcomes — in other words, segments that can have the biggest impact on boosting effectiveness or “... as the industry faces tremendous new lowering costs. For instance, as drugs are increasingly pitted risks in the future, it may make sense against each other by comparative effectiveness, innovative drug delivery technologies could help tip the balance in favor of a for companies to look at diversification therapy by helping it to target more specifically, thereby increasing not just as a way of tapping synergies its efficacy and reducing side effects. Wireless and remote patient and lowering costs, but also as a means monitoring technologies could similarly see strong growth because of aging populations and the uptick in chronic diseases. of diversifying risk and expanding into different revenue streams.” As pricing pressures from payors ramp up, companies may also want to consider segments that could be relatively immune to these trends. For instance, the focus on outcomes will increase the impetus for personalized-medicine approaches, and many research- tremendous breadth of activities across the industry, individual tools companies — particularly those building the sequencers and medtech companies have often been fairly narrow in their focus. other specialized equipment used in identifying biomarkers — will Even some of the largest firms in the sector derive the vast likely see strong demand for their products. The attractiveness of majority of their revenues from one therapeutic focus, such this segment is further enhanced by the fact that these products as cardiovascular devices in the case of Boston Scientific or are typically sold to other companies or to academic institutions orthopedic devices for Stryker. for research purposes, which means they are often not subject to Ironically, this lack of diversity at the company level is at least partly reimbursement and, therefore, unlikely to face pricing pressures driven by the tremendous diversity at the industry level. The wide from payors. variance in medtech’s product types and areas of therapeutic focus Offer diversification means that there is often little overlap between different segments. Beyond diversifying into other products, companies could also Consequently, two medtech segments may have little in common consider diversifying beyond products altogether, by expanding in terms of R&D capabilities, sales and marketing approaches or into services and solutions. Once again, this mirrors moves seen regulatory requirements, such that the potential synergies to in the world of IT, where computer manufacturers responded be gained from combining them — the textbook justification for to commoditization and shrinking margins by getting into the mergers — are weak at best. higher-margin business of affiliated services. Examples include But as the industry faces tremendous new risks in the future, it may Dell Computer, which acquired Perot Systems in 2009 to expand make sense for companies to look at diversification not just as a into IT services, and IBM, which sold its PC division to Lenovo and way of tapping synergies and lowering costs, but also as a means of reinvented itself as a services company. diversifying risk and expanding into different revenue streams. The DePuy Healthcare Solutions Group offers a suite of consulting One approach would be to diversify into the areas within medtech services to help hospitals improve the performance of their that are best positioned to benefit in the new ecosystem. If every orthopedic services. The services focus on reducing length of stay, risk or challenge also contains the seeds of opportunity, then increasing capacity and improving staff and patient satisfaction, part of the answer may be in segments that could really make a while reducing the overall cost of the episode of care. 10
  • 18. In January 2010, Stryker completed its acquisition of Ascent This sort of thinking — applying medtech’s creativity and innovative Healthcare Solutions, a leading provider of medical device strengths not just to developing new products but, indeed, to the reprocessing and remanufacturing services. Through the acquisition, innovation process itself — will be needed in spades in the years Stryker expands into a service — helping hospitals recycle medical ahead. As medtech’s innovation model comes under unprecedented products such as blood pressure cuffs that would otherwise be strain, and as companies are called upon to do more with less while thrown away — which should be in demand in the increasingly cost- defending the value of their products, we are likely to see creative conscious, efficiency-driven health outcomes ecosystem. new approaches to innovation. The next section describes some of what we might see, and identifies principles that firms should keep Geographic diversification in mind as they navigate the challenges ahead. If one answer to the challenge of sustaining growth is to consider diversifying into other technologies or services, another answer may be to diversify geographically. This is an approach that many firms have been gravitating toward by increasing their focus on Outlook: the value of innovation emerging markets. As growth in mature markets slows, and as In last year’s Pulse of the industry, our introductory article was titled their products face intense pricing pressure and increased scrutiny “The certainty of innovation.” As companies faced an environment in these locations, the rapid advancement of emerging markets of endemic uncertainty, we argued that the one thing they could be is looking increasingly attractive. Health care reform in China certain about was that truly innovative products would always be and growing middle classes with increased access to medical needed and the market would find ways to pay for them. care across several emerging markets promise to create rapidly expanding pools of new customers for medtech firms. As discussed A year later, some of that uncertainty is being removed and the in the Asia-Pacific section, the medtech industries in most of these picture is becoming clearer. Health care reform has become the law economies continued to grow briskly last year. It is hardly surprising of the land in the US. China is implementing reforms, and similar that an emerging-market strategy has effectively become a must- reform measures are under way in many other markets. The US have component of any mature medtech company’s planning. market has also seen passage of the device tax and the release of preliminary recommendations on 510(k) reform. The specter of But to unlock the potential that is latent in these geographies, comparative effectiveness remains real, and the IOM’s release of a medtech firms will need to approach innovation in emerging list of top 100 priorities has helped identify the technologies most markets very differently. With lower income levels and a shortage likely to be targeted. But the relative reduction of uncertainty is of health insurance, many patients in these locations will be unable to afford Western companies’ products for the foreseeable future. If the majority of patients in emerging markets cannot afford Western “Of particular concern, though, is the products at Western prices, companies will need instead to offer locally targeted products at locally relevant prices. Indeed, many outlook for innovation. The innovation firms are already pursuing this approach, as highlighted by several model has now developed a chasm panelists in our “Roundtable on innovation” article. Medtech between what buyers and regulators companies are developing stripped-down versions of their products for emerging markets that do not have all the features of their require and what investors and latest-generation offerings but still provide effective results at a emerging companies can provide.” lower price point. 11 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 19. Of particular concern, though, is the outlook for innovation. The innovation model described in this article has now developed a “Today, the danger is that we may chasm between what buyers and regulators require and what be moving to a system that will not investors and emerging companies can provide. The regulatory adequately value each incremental changes discussed above will inevitably increase the time to approval and cost of development of many products. Partly as a innovation — and in the process, we response to these trends, strategic buyers are requiring companies may deny patients the tremendous to commercialize their products before considering a takeout. The potential benefit from the sum of obvious implication for start-ups and their investors is that it will take more time and money to reach an exit. those iterations. ” In theory, this would not be an issue if VCs simply started investing larger amounts for longer periods of time — something they already not necessarily bringing good news — the picture that is emerging, do when they invest in biotech companies. The problem, however, unfortunately, is one where medtech companies will face greater is that this would create a fundamental mismatch between the risk scrutiny and significant new challenges. and reward of medtech investments. Investors take bigger risks in biotech because of the larger potential rewards — a successful The road ahead drug can command a relatively high price tag and enjoy many It is clear that the pressures identified above will only increase with years of patent protection. But in medtech, the potential payoffs time. Health care reform measures are poised to increase coverage, are smaller, because competitors can often engineer around IP, inevitably raising the pressure on costs. As CER is conducted, most and a product’s life may be measured in months rather than years. industry insiders expect that it will be used in some way to make Meanwhile, other trends, such as the downward pressure on prices determinations about coverage — regardless of what legislative and margins, are expected to further lower potential payoffs prohibitions may say today. Weak growth in the US economy — the prediction of most economists — will bring no quick relief for and exacerbate the growing mismatch between risk and reward. medtech companies. Investors are familiar with “high-risk/high-reward” and “low-risk/ low-reward.” But they may rightfully balk at being squeezed into a We expect the number of companies to shrink. Venture capitalists high-risk/low-reward model. will probably fund fewer new firms in the foreseeable future. The constraints in global capital markets are unlikely to be eased and revert Beyond the strains on the funding of innovation lies a more to pre-recession levels anytime soon. As they face longer paths to fundamental issue: whether these trends could disrupt the iterative exits, VCs will need more funding per portfolio company, while firms cycle of medtech innovation, and what we stand to lose if that looking for venture capital will continue to face a higher bar. happens. The fact is that while many medtech innovations are relatively small, their cumulative impact over time can be enormous. Meanwhile, financial pressures will drive consolidation. The higher Consider pacemakers, which have been around for well over half cost of development (particularly for companies that find they now a century. The earliest pacemakers were powered by alternating need to conduct clinical trials) will require scale economies and lead current and had to be plugged in to electrical outlets — with obvious some firms to consolidate. implications for patient mobility and for morbidity in the event of a power failure. Implantable pacemakers were invented in the late 12
  • 20. 1950s, and over time, the devices have become progressively the appropriate value measures (possibly in collaboration with smaller, less invasive, longer lasting and more powerful. Whereas payors) and then build the processes and systems to capture the implanting a pacemaker once required opening the patient’s chest, relevant data. they can now be attached to the chambers of the heart through Meanwhile, as hospitals look to winnow down the number of a vein — sometimes even as an outpatient procedure under local products purchased in each category, they will increasingly anesthesia. Unlike the inflexible devices of years past that paced compare individual products within each class. Companies will the heart at one fixed rhythm regardless of the patient’s needs, need to be proactive in identifying the products most at risk and today’s pacemakers can sense intrinsic heart rhythms and pace the then exploring ways of increasing their attractiveness through, heart only when needed (to encourage heart activity and better for example, new pricing models or offering different price/ quality of health). They offer a large number of parameters that feature combinations. can be programmed via telemetry to suit a patient’s needs. All of this has brought tremendous benefits to patients. But none of 2. Innovate innovation. Innovation is no longer just about it happened overnight. It took countless iterations by numerous conducting product R&D. It is also about bringing creative new competitors over several decades to develop today’s minimally approaches to the R&D process itself — innovating innovation. invasive, maximally flexible devices. Yet any single iteration along Some possible approaches include: the way may have provided only a small incremental benefit. Today, • “Whittle down” innovation — As discussed earlier, many the danger is that we may be moving to a system that will not medtech firms are developing and selling “whittled down” adequately value each incremental innovation — and in the process, versions of their products in emerging markets — products we may deny patients the tremendous potential benefit from the that offer a good deal of functionality at a more attractive sum of those iterations. price point. It may make sense for Western companies to Rules of the road partner with local firms, which are often able to better How will companies need to proceed? Again, each firm’s answer understand local market needs, as well as how to engineer products that best suit those requirements. Indeed, there will need to be based on individual facts and circumstances, but we are numerous examples from other industries of local firms offer some guiding principles below. developing popular products for local conditions. A few 1. Demonstrate value proactively. The changes described years back, India’s Tata Group developed a US$2,500 car above will bring an unprecedented level of scrutiny to medtech for the Indian market, and the Indian Government recently products and prices. To thrive in this environment, companies showcased a tablet device that was widely compared in the will need to be proactive and proceed on several fronts. media to Apple’s iPad — for the astounding price of US$35. It is likely that much of the CER conducted with respect to medtech products will target entire product classes. As such, companies will need to identify the products most at risk (e.g., “... if the industry can be certain that those on the IOM list or items with relatively high price tags). In medtech innovation will produce value, it these categories, firms should consider conducting their own can no longer take for granted that that CER (it may even make sense to collaborate with competitors to defray high costs, since the CER is targeting their products value will be recognized by buyers.” too). Demonstrating value will also require companies to define 13 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 21. • “Trickle up” innovation — The experience of medtech and will involve dealing with different innovation models, corporate other industries offers another insight: whittled-down products cultures, attitudes toward IP and levels of regulatory experience. developed for emerging markets can often gain considerable 4. Preserve the ecosystem. While some industry consolidation traction in mature markets as well. For instance, netbooks — seems inevitable — and could even be a regenerative process — the smaller, more basic versions of laptops that first exploded medtech innovation has relied on a healthy ecosystem of companies into the personal computer market a couple of years ago — of various sizes. With many firms facing a challenging funding have their genesis in the One Laptop Per Child organization’s environment, it is more important than ever that companies pay mission to develop affordable computers for children in attention to preserving the medtech ecosystem. While emerging developing countries. But computer manufacturers soon medtech companies have traditionally relied on venture capital, found that there was also tremendous demand in high-income in the current environment, small companies will need to search countries for inexpensive computers that are “good enough” creatively for other financing options as well. And large firms for most day-to-day needs. Such “trickle up” innovation and public-sector entities could help sustain the future supply of (to borrow the term coined by Wired magazine) may be innovative technologies — while investing in undervalued assets increasingly relevant for medtech in the years ahead as firms — through the establishment of corporate venture arms and are subject to increasing scrutiny from payors and providers incubators. There has certainly been evidence of such activity in in the US and other mature markets. Companies may find that this downturn — recent examples include a new European medical for buyers in these markets, more is not always better. device incubator established by Medtronic and Sofinnova Partners • “Pick your size” innovation — We are already seeing examples and a new cardiovascular-focused incubator on the campus of of “whittle down” and “trickle up” innovation in medtech. But the Cleveland Clinic that was launched with the help of an the industry’s engineering culture suggests that this could US$83 million grant from the state of Ohio. be taken even further through customer customization. Over the years, the innovative technologies and products that Computer makers such as Dell, for instance, have built medtech companies have brought to market have delivered successful business models around allowing customers to tremendous value for countless patients. There are still significant configure products to their liking — giving them a large menu unmet medical needs to be tackled, and medtech innovation certainly of possible features with different price tags. To be sure, has the potential to help address these needs in the years ahead. medtech products may be challenged to offer the same But if the industry can be certain that medtech innovation will degree of flexibility — particularly if each configuration would produce value, it can no longer take for granted that that value will need marketing clearance from the FDA or other regulatory be recognized by buyers. The future for medtech companies is one agencies — but it is certainly feasible that medtech firms may where the value of innovation will have to be demonstrated. allow large customers to “bolt on” the features they consider To position themselves for success, companies will need not most valuable. just to address the challenges in these trends but also to seize the 3. Collaborate. While deals have always been a critical part of latent opportunities. the medtech industry, most transactions have either been in acquisitions of smaller companies or mega-mergers among leading players. To succeed in the health outcomes ecosystem, however, companies will need to rely more heavily on strategic alliances than they have in the past. This will require them to develop specialized functional capabilities and skill sets. The challenge will be further heightened by the fact that some of these collaborations will likely be with non-traditional entrants in the ecosystem — and that partnering with dissimilar firms 14
  • 22. James V. Mazzo Advanced Medical Technology Association Chairman Abbott Medical Optics Senior Vice President Life-changing innovation We have good reason to feel proud of the economic turmoil. Although not immune to between providing timely access to new role that the medical technology industry the downturn, the industry’s revenue and medical advancements and ensuring patient plays in advancing patient health and number of employees held steady in 2009, safety. In the US, many in the industry are improving the quality and efficiency of according to Ernst & Young. concerned that this balance has become health care systems across the world. Every increasingly skewed, with regulators But past performance is no guarantee of medtech company — no matter how large growing excessively cautious because of future success. Many stakeholders take or small or what it produces — supports safety concerns. for granted that medical advancements the creation of life-changing innovation. Reimbursement, whether from private will continue indefinitely — just as we We enable better diagnoses, improved insurers or government-run programs, expect our computers and cell phones to treatment options and enhanced outcomes. needs to provide adequate payment for always improve. But medical innovation — And through our innovations, we touch and the economic and patient benefits it products offering clinical benefit. As nearly every aspect of care and allow creates — does not just happen. Without major markets move toward comparative patients to become more independent, supportive public policies and the ability effectiveness approaches, it will be all productive and fulfilled. for investors and innovators to make the more important for companies to Over the past few decades, medical returns commensurate with the risk they focus on demonstrating the value of their technology has had a significant impact undertake, medtech innovation could well innovation and for payors to support on patient care. Thanks in large part to be threatened. adequate pricing for products and services that are truly innovative. innovations from our industry and others That caution is particularly relevant today, in the life sciences, overall life expectancy as our industry faces many challenges Tax policies need to encourage R&D in the US is up by more than three years, around the world. In the US, a new excise investment and support start-ups and while mortality from heart attacks, strokes, tax will be levied on the industry beginning smaller companies, which compose the breast cancer and a host of other conditions in 2013 — and the potential burden on vast majority of companies in the medical has been cut dramatically. Disability in the smaller, entrepreneurial companies is technology sector. elderly has been reduced by one-quarter. particularly disturbing. The European Intellectual property, which is the lifeblood I am equally proud of the economic Commission is developing legislation that of our industry, needs strong protections. contributions our industry makes in will substantially alter how medical devices At the same time, governments should providing high-paying, high-tech jobs even are regulated in Europe. And Chinese support policies that encourage free trade in these trying economic conditions. As authorities are adding additional clinical and not erect barriers that prevent foreign Ernst & Young demonstrates in this report, trial requirements to numerous classes manufacturers from fairly competing with the medtech industry is a vibrant and of devices before they can be approved local companies. in that country. growing contributor to the US economy, It is our responsibility to make sure that all generating US$197 billion in revenue and Now more than ever, we need to preserve stakeholders understand what’s at stake: employing over a half a million workers in an environment that supports medtech without supportive public policies, it is not 2009 alone. And these are high-paying innovation. just innovation that suffers but also the jobs: a recent Lewin Group report notes that patients who depend on our life-saving and Regulatory decision-making by the US Food earnings in the US medtech industry are life-enhancing advancements. and Drug Administration and other global 40% higher than the national average. regulatory agencies must be predictable While these numbers are impressive, and timely and follow reasonable, risk-based what is perhaps more impressive is how standards of evidence. These agencies the industry has weathered the recent need to strike an appropriate balance 15 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010
  • 23. Europe industry perspective Andre-Michel Ballester Qualified resilience and new Sorin Group Chief Executive Officer challenges The global financial and economic crisis has so treatment.” Manufacturers of large clinical experience, are highly valued, far had little impact on most of the European equipment for diagnostics, imaging while the prices of more commoditized medtech industry. This statement — which and hospital infrastructure have seen a products are continually eroding. However, could well have been paraphrased from the slowdown in capital investment, particularly other models may be more challenging for 2009 annual reports of a number of European in the private sector. The number of orders innovation in countries with centralized medtech firms — sounds like good news. But has decreased for some manufacturers decision making (UK) or with significant it also contains two important qualifiers, both while the selling cycle has increased. regional differences (Italy). of which have implications for the sector’s The second qualifier in the opening outlook in the months and years ahead. sentence is the phrase “so far.” While Meeting new challenges The first qualifier is the word “most.” there is good news in the fact that large- Indeed, the majority of companies have equipment manufacturers and some Innovation remains critical for success seen little-to-no decline in their business. outpatient care companies are experiencing in this business. But technology and In Europe, a large proportion of medical a slow but real recovery in the first half innovation alone are no longer enough. devices are sold to private and public of 2010, challenges lie ahead. European European medtech companies need to hospitals and are ultimately paid for by local governments are running severe budget learn new skills that have traditionally social security systems, with or without deficits and have all already embarked been the forte of pharmaceutical firms, a fixed reimbursement price. Acute care on aggressive cost-cutting programs. such as conducting health care technology in particular — including segments such Remarkably, medical devices have so far assessments. They will also need to focus as major surgery or intensive care units — been largely exempt from these cuts. But on making policy-makers aware of the tends to be fairly recession-resistant and generic and branded drugs have already industry’s important contributions — from has held up well in the downturn. With been targeted, and medical devices can the European industry’s hundreds of the volume of hospital sales relatively expect growing pricing pressure in late thousands of high-skill jobs and billions 2010 and early 2011, when new country in R&D spending to its development of unchanged and pricing that has been budget targets will be introduced. Some life-saving products and contribution to (somewhat surprisingly) stable, sales growth industry leaders foresee a new market increased health care efficiencies. has not changed from previous years. segmentation, moving from the traditional New challenges tend to create new But not all segments have escaped three-segment concept (high-, middle- opportunities. For the European medtech unscathed. In particular, companies that and low-end products) to a two-segment industry, seizing the opportunity will require manufacture devices for outpatient care concept: a reduced high-end, clinician- that it show policy-makers how its devices (e.g., dental, ophthalmic and cosmetic driven segment where products are clearly and technologies can save and improve surgery) have experienced mid-to-high differentiated and innovative; and an patients’ lives, and that it can partner single-digit drops in sales volume. For enlarged low-end market where product with them to better control total health instance, a leading European dental differentiation will matter less and therefore care costs while creating high-wage, company’s 2009 annual report states: price will be of paramount importance. We high-skill jobs. “Throughout the year, a large proportion are already seeing such a shift in a number of patients postponed elective procedures of European countries (e.g., Germany) while others even interrupted ongoing where new technologies, some with limited 16
  • 24. Asia-Pacific industry perspective Kazuaki Kitabatake Terumo Americas Holdings Looking to Asia-Pacific President and Chief Executive Officer for growth The Asia-Pacific region is a strong and initiative, pledging to invest US$123 billion Asia-Pacific’s huge population and its strong growing market for medical-technology over 10 years to expand coverage and build economic position on the world stage make manufacturers due to its huge population and update medical facilities throughout it a medical-device market that will continue and strong economies — the continent the country, which will only increase to grow in importance in the coming years. accounts for 60% of the world’s population opportunities in this sector. China’s medical To take advantage of opportunities in this and more than 35% of global economic care is quite advanced in major cities — where rapidly growing region, companies will need output, nearly as much as the US and the private facilities would rival those in any US to focus on developing offerings that meet European Union combined. While Japan and metropolis — but still rudimentary in rural the needs of patients in these markets. China attract the most attention, private areas, where the Government is focusing health care expenditures in countries such as the majority of its efforts. Challenges Australia, India and Indonesia are expected include China’s regulatory system (product to experience double-digit growth rates registration and post-market surveillance), during the next few years — significantly which contains duplicative and overly higher than predicted growth in the US. burdensome processes. Another challenge is China’s reimbursement system, which Although Japan’s recent economic growth is largely non-existent, with most patients has been low compared with that of paying out of pocket for major procedures. neighbors such as China and India, it is As the Government looks to develop a more still the world’s second-largest market for comprehensive reimbursement system, it is medical devices. The country will remain focusing on cost containment, which some an important market for medical devices manufacturers fear could fail to account for because of its wealth, its comprehensive the value of advanced technology. national health insurance system, which guarantees coverage for its entire India is also a market with tremendous population, and its large and growing potential for our industry. India’s population number of elderly patients. More than 22% of has huge unmet health care needs — the Japan’s population was over the age of 65 in country has a medical technology market about one-third the size of China’s, despite 2008 — the highest percentage in the world — having roughly the same number of people. and the Japanese Government projects that India’s population of 1.1 billion is expected this number will reach nearly 40% by 2050. to exceed China’s by 2030, and its economic China’s medical device and diagnostic growth rate of more than 8% is producing a market is estimated to total US$8 billion and rapidly expanding middle class — from 170 is growing 15%–20% per year. Last year, US million people today to more than 400 million medical technology exports to China totaled by 2025. Our industry’s challenge will be US$1.3 billion, an increase of 21% over the to continue to provide high-quality medical previous year. China’s Government in 2009 devices and diagnostics that more Indian launched an ambitious health care reform patients can afford. 17 Pulse of the industry Medical technology report 2010