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MUNICIPAL
MARKET
1Q2013 STAT Book
April 2013
Quarter in review
It looked like recovery in
2013, but looks are deceiving.
Even as tax revenue rose and
housing prices climbed, issu-
ers had to deal with pension
funding and swap termina-
tions. Some municipalities
continued the long slog
through Chapter 9 bankrupt-
cy, while others considered
their progress.
Page 2
The Ratio
They’re a buy, they’re a buy,
they’re a buy. That’s what
some analysts say when the
tax-exempt/Treasury ratio
climbs over 100 percent, as
it did during the first quarter.
Not everyone is convinced.
The average ratio since 2001
is about 92 percent.
Page 4
YIELDS CLIMB
States and municipalities paid
more to borrow as investors
pulled money out of mutual
funds in advance of tax day.
And then yields dropped.
Page 4
JPMorgan, BofA lead
The top 10 underwriters
handled more than 70 per-
cent of the municipal market
during the first quarter, with
JPMorgan and Bank of
America Merrill Lynch captur-
ing the top spots, and more
than 30 percent of issuance
overall. The banks handled
36 percent of the competi-
tive market, 30 percent of the
negotiated. Page 5
VOLUME HIGHER
States and localities sold
$85.3 billion in securities dur-
ing the first quarter, up from
$80 billion in 2012’s first three
months. About 40 percent
was for refunding. And $2.4
billion carried some form of
bond insurance. Page 6
coupon dispersion
Top-rated 10-year municipal
bonds yield 1.75 percent.Yet
in the first quarter, almost 40
percent of the coupons sold
were 5s; 18 percent were
4s. High yield, i.e., 6 percent
and higher, made up only 1
percent of the universe of
coupons. Page 6
by the billion
$1 billion bond issues used to
be a big deal. In the first quar-
ter, issuers sold six billion-
dollar plus transactions. More
are on the calendar. Page 6
where to find it
The lowest-rated bonds con-
tinued to provide the biggest
returns in the first quarter,
according to Barclays PLC.
Investors looking for yield
found it in tobacco and indus-
trial development bonds.
Page 7
nuveen tops
The Nuveen High Yield
Municipal Bond Fund earned
2.14 percent in the first quar-
ter and outperformed all other
open-ended, national muni
funds; the Nuveen California
High Yield Municipal Bond
Fund was tops among single-
state open-ended funds.
Page 7
Contents
First Quarter In Review
Irksome questions remained for the
municipal market during the first quarter
of 2013.
On the surface, reassurance reigned
after last-minute negotiations resolved
the “fiscal cliff’’ cuts. Keeping in mind that
municipal finances are particular and spe-
cific and idiosyncratic to a fault and resist
generalization, what traders call a “better
tone’’ prevailed.
States and municipalities, with excep-
tions, appeared to be in recovery mode.
Businesses seemed to be hiring. Tax rev-
enue and housing prices rose along with
the stock market. Issuers took advantage
of long-term interest rates hovering below
4 percent to refinance older debt and
raise money for long-deferred mainte-
nance or new projects.
At least three topics and one crisis lin-
gered throughout the quarter. Issue One
was public pensions. Were they so gener-
ous, and were lawmakers also so feckless
when it came to putting aside money
enough to pay them, that they would at
last bankrupt municipal governments?
This was a very California problem, al-
though examples exist coast to coast.
Then there were interest rate swaps.
We still don’t know how many swaps
market participants engaged in during
the past decade or so.Yet not a week
went by without some issuer disclosing
that a good chunk of a borrowing was go-
ing to pay to terminate a swap, or series
of swaps.
Finally, consider capital appreciation
bonds. State lawmakers in California and
Texas looked at why school districts sold
such things, which allow the issuer to
borrow millions, defer debt service, and
repay, after 30 or 40 years, billions. Some
of them were outraged by what they saw,
and want to prohibit their use.
Crisis rarely visits the municipal market.
When it does, it tends to stick around. This
is especially true of bankruptcy, which is
neither quick nor easy for those govern-
ments who seek Chapter 9 protection.
During the quarter, Stockton (which went
bust in 2012), San Bernardino (2012) and
Jefferson County (2011) were each men-
tioned in at least 20 editions of the Brief.
They will feature in many more, as each
seeks to penalize bondholders. Analysts
are looking at whether the municipalities
will succeed in reducing the amount of
principal bondholders are owed, and also
if public pensions will be cut.
The background music to all of this,
as it has been since the creation of the
federal income tax a century ago, was
the future of tax-exemption. Will it be
capped for certain investors? Will it be
eliminated altogether?
— Joe Mysak
Bloomberg Brief Municipal Market
	 Newsletter	 Ted Merz
	 Executive Editor	tmerz@bloomberg.net
		212-617-2309
	 Bloomberg News	 William Glasgall
	 Managing Editor	 wglasgall@bloomberg.net
		212-617-3023
	 Municipal Market	 Joe Mysak
	 Editor	 jmysakjr@bloomberg.net
		212-617-2323
	Reporter	Brian Chappatta
	 	 bchappatta1@bloomberg.net
		212-617-0698
	Contributing	Sowjana Sivaloganathan,
	Analysts	 Bert Louis
	 Newsletter	 Nick Ferris
	 Business Manager	 nferris2@bloomberg.net
		212-617-6975
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	 	 212-617-6975
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		717-505-9701
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or redistributed without the prior consent of Bloomberg.
Please contact our reprints and permissions group
listed above for more information
© 2013 Bloomberg LP. All rights reserved.
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 2
Assured Guaranty
File: 4156_Bloomberg Q1 Muni Market Quarterly Statbook
Insertion: 4.XX.2013
Due: 4.22.13
Size: 7.5'' X 8.8”
NO ONE CAN
PREDICT THE FUTURE
BUT $12 BILLION
CAN GUARANTEE IT.
With over a quarter century of
experience, and more than $12 billion
in claims-paying resources, Assured
Guaranty is the proven leader in
municipal bond insurance.
And as owners of our insured
Harrisburg, PA or Stockton, CA
bonds can attest, investors’principal
and interest payments are paid on
schedule, even when an issuer defaults.
We’ve successfully reduced
financing costs for the 11,000 municipal
credits in our portfolio because we offer
investors greater market liquidity, the
comfort of our ongoing surveillance,
and the safety of our unconditional,
irrevocable guaranty.
In times like these, investors
crave certainty. At Assured Guaranty,
certainty is precisely what we deliver.
Owners of Harrisburg bonds we’ve insured haven’t spent the last four years in workout talks.When you’re paid in full, there’s nothing to work out.
AssuredGuarantyMunicipalCorp.andAssuredGuarantyCorp.(andaffiliates),NewYork,NewYork.MoreatAssuredGuaranty.com
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 3
Interest Rates
Tax-Exempt/Treasury Ratio Surged Over 100% Before Tax Day as Yields Jumped
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The 10-year muni-Treasury ratio rose to
a 2013 high in March, as investors began
withdrawing money from municipal mutual
funds to pay tax bills before the April 15 fil-
ing deadline. The lack of demand pushed
yields on state and local government
bonds higher than those on their federal
counterparts. The ratio was more than
100 percent for 13 straight trading days
through March 29, the longest stretch
since September, Bloomberg data show.
A higher ratio means AAA munis are rela-
tively cheap to U.S. Treasuries. The gauge
fell to 86 percent on Jan. 25, the lowest
this year. The average ratio since 2001 is
about 92 percent.
— Brian Chappatta
Ten-year AAA municipal bond yields
rose to the highest in 11 months on
March 14, as investors withdrew money
from municipal mutual funds “ahead of
schedule,’’ according to Chris Mauro
at RBC Capital Markets. In 2012, yields
rose in March, peaking on March 22,
Bloomberg data show. In 2011, yields
halted their rise on April 8. In 2010,
yields reversed direction on April 7.
“Seasonal municipal fund outflows
typically materialize in the second and
third weeks of April, not in early March,’’
Mauro wrote. “A strong equity market,
continued low muni yields, and a fear
of rising interest rates have combined
to diminish the attractiveness of the
municipal asset class.’’
— Brian Chappatta
Muni/Treasury Ratio Rises Above 100% During Tax Season
10-Year Muni Yields Climb to 11-Month High in March
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 4
85
90
95
100
105
110
1/1/13 1/15/13 1/29/13 2/12/13 2/26/13 3/12/13 3/26/13
Muni/TreasuryRatio
Date
Muni/Treasury Ratio Rises Above 100% During Tax Season
Muni/Treasury Ratio
Source: Bloomberg
1.65
1.7
1.75
1.8
1.85
1.9
1.95
2
2.05
2.1
1/1/13 1/15/13 1/29/13 2/12/13 2/26/13 3/12/13 3/26/13
Yield(%)
Date
10-Year Muni Yields Climb to 11-Month High in March
Yield
Source: Bloomberg
Underwriters
Q1 2013 Position Underwriter Issuance ($billions) % Issuance
1 JP Morgan 12.52 16.7
2 Bank of America Merrill 11.19 14.9
3 Citigroup 7.93 10.6
4 Morgan Stanley 4.19 5.6
5 Wells Fargo Bank 4.19 5.6
6 RBC Capital 3.81 5.1
7 Barclays 2.86 3.8
8 Robert W. Baird 2.66 3.6
9 Stifel Nicolaus 2.64 3.5
10 Goldman Sachs 2.20 2.9
Total 74.96
*excludes derivatives & notes, full credit to bookrunning manager
Overall Muni Market 2013: Top 10 Underwriters Numbers run as of April 17, 2013
Q1 2013 Position Underwriter Issuance ($billions) % Issuance
1 Bank of America Merrill 3.56 19.2
2 JP Morgan 3.17 17.1
3 Citigroup 3.13 16.8
4 Wells Fargo Bank 1.53 8.2
5 Robert W. Baird 1.42 7.7
6 Morgan Stanley 0.56 3.0
7 Janney Montgomery 0.51 2.7
8 Raymond James 0.46 2.5
9 Goldman Sachs 0.38 2.1
10 Hutchinson Shockey 0.36 1.9
Total 18.57
*excludes derivatives & notes, full credit to bookrunning manager
Competitive Muni Market 2013: Top 10 Underwriters Numbers run as of April 17, 2013
Q1 2013 Position Underwriter Issuance ($billions) % Issuance
1 JP Morgan 9.35 16.6
2 Bank of America Merrill 7.63 13.5
3 Citigroup 4.80 8.5
4 Morgan Stanley 3.63 6.4
5 RBC Capital 3.48 6.2
6 Barclays 2.77 4.9
7 Stifel Nicolaus 2.57 4.6
8 Wells Fargo Bank 2.66 4.7
9 Jefferies 1.83 3.2
10 Goldman Sachs 1.82 3.2
Total 56.39
*excludes derivatives & notes, full credit to bookrunning manager
Source: Bloomberg
Negotiated Muni Market 2013: Top 10 Underwriters Numbers run as of April 17, 2013
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 5
Issuers
Issue State
Sale
Date
Book Running Lead Manager(s)
Sale
Method
Deal Size
($millions)
Bloomberg Market Sector
California-Various Purpose CA 3/11/13 JP Morgan/Goldman Negotiated 2,472 General Obligation
New Jersey Econ Dev Auth-Sch Facs NJ 1/21/13 Bank of America Merrill Negotiated 2,253 Appropriations
University of California Regents CA 2/25/13 JP Morgan/Bank of America Merrill Negotiated 1,594 Higher Education
New Jersey Turnpike NJ 3/18/13 JP Morgan Negotiated 1,400 Toll Highways/Bridges/Tunnels
JobsOhio Beverage System Liquor OH 1/28/13 JP Morgan/Citigroup Negotiated 1,106 Miscellaneous Tax
New York City Transitional Finance NY 3/18/13 Wells Fargo/Citigroup Negotiated 1,001 Income Tax
New York City NY 2/25/13 Morgan Stanley/JP Morgan Competitive 973 General Obligation
New York State Urban Dev NY 3/11/13 Wells Fargo/JP Morgan Negotiated 843 Income Tax
Los Angeles CA Unif Sch Dist-TRANS CA 2/18/13 JP Morgan Negotiated 780 School District
Arizona Transportation Board AZ 1/14/13 JP Morgan Negotiated 715 Nontoll Highway/Bridge/Tunnel
Source: Bloomberg
Largest Debt Issuances Q1 2013
Sales Rose Steadily Throughout First Quarter, With 40 Percent for Refunding
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
January February March
Q1 2012 Q1 2013
Source: Bloomberg
<2
11%
2-2.999
14%
3-3.999
17%
4-4.999
18%
5-5.999
39%
>=6
1%
Source: Bloomberg
During the first quarter of 2013, states
and municipalities sold $85.3 billion in
municipal securities, including long-term
and short-term fixed- and variable-rate
issuance, derivatives and notes. This was
up from the $80 billion they sold during
the first quarter of 2012. Variable-rate
sales accounted for $10.1 billion of the
total in 2013, down from $12.5 billion last
year. Approximately 40 percent was used
for refunding. With two insurers now com-
peting for business, Assured Guaranty
and Build America Mutual, along with a
cameo appearance by Berkshire Hatha-
way, about $2.4 billion carried insurance.
— Alberto Fuertes
The pie chart shows coupon dispersion
in the municipal market during the first
quarter of 2013. Coupons of between 5
percent and 5.99 percent made up 39
percent of all fixed-rate coupons, with
4s right behind at 18 percent. During the
first quarter of 2012, 5s also accounted
for 39 percent of all coupons. High-yield
coupons, more than 6 percent, made up
2 percent of the market during the first
quarter of 2012, only 1 percent this year.
— Alberto Fuertes
Monthly Issuance, in Billions
Coupon Dispersion, Fixed-Rate Coupons
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 6
Investors
Ticker Name Management Company
1st
Quarter
of 2012
Assets
Expense
ratio
MGMT
Fee
NHMRX US Nuveen High Yield Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 2.14 9304.04 0.65 0.52
GHYIX US Goldman Sachs High Yield Municipal Fund Goldman Sachs Asset Management LP 2.09 3890.97 0.57 0.53
MMHIX US MainStay High Yield Municipal Bond Fund New York Life Investment Management LLC 1.83 1092.40 0.6 0
HYMIX US Lord Abbett Municipal Income Trust - Lord Abbett High Yield Municipal Bond Fund Lord Abbett & Co LLC 1.59 2267.78 0.6 0.48
PHIZX US Prudential Muni High Income Fund Prudential Investments LLC 1.47 779.18 0.62 0.5
WYMHX US Ivy Municipal High Income Fund Ivy Investment Management Co 1.43 1456.22 0.7 0.52
ACTDX US Invesco High Yield Municipal Fund Invesco Advisers Inc/USA 1.43 7243.04 0.6 0.51
DVHIX US Delaware National High-Yield Municipal Bond Fund Delaware Management Co 1.25 544.29 0.6 0.55
EIHYX Eaton Vance High Yield Municipal Income Fund Boston Management & Research 1.12 761.57 0.61 0.54
PTFYX Putnam Tax-Free High Yield Fund Putnam Investment Management LLC 1.07 1164.29 0.58 0.49
Source: Bloomberg
Ticker Name Management Company
1st
Quarter
of 2012
Assets
Expense
ratio
MGMT
Fee
NCHRX Nuveen California High Yield Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 1.40 362.69 0.68 0.58
RMUYX Oppenheimer Rochester Fund Municipals OFI Global Asset Management Inc 1.43 8415.86 0.73 0.46
ONYYX Oppenheimer Rochester AMT-Free New York Municipal Fund OFI Global Asset Management Inc 1.20 1471.40 0.53 0.46
BCHIX American Century California High-Yield Municipal Fund American Century Investment Management Inc 1.01 771.82 0.3 0.3
NCSPX Nuveen California Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 1.14 718.73 0.62 0.52
OCAYX Oppenheimer California Municipal Fund OppenheimerFunds Inc 0.99 1760.80 0.65 0.45
SGCAX Wells Fargo Advantage California Tax-Free Fund Wells Fargo Funds Management LLC 0.88 823.88 0.55 0.34
PCIZX Prudential California Municipal Income Fund Prudential Investments LLC 0.98 252.52 0.67 0.5
BCLIX American Century California Long-Term Tax-Free Fund American Century Investment Management Inc 0.81 430.97 0.27 0.27
NMVAX Nuveen Virginia Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 0.73 457.16 0.61 0.51
Source: Bloomberg
Mutual Fund Performance — National Open End Funds
Mutual Fund Performance — Single State Open End Funds
Investors Who Want Yield Have to Speculate on Future of Industry
0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2%
Water and Sewer
Local General Obligation
Education
State General Obligation
OVERALL INDEX
Electric
Special Tax
Transportation
Leasing
Hospital
Housing
Resource Recovery
IDR/PCR
Tobacco
Sector
Riskiest Muni Bonds Extend Rally Into 2013
Return
Source: Barclays Plc.
The lowest-rated municipal bonds
continued to provide the biggest returns
in the first quarter of 2013, according to
data from Barclays Plc. The company’s
best-performing tobacco bond index has
an average rating quality of A2 to A3 from
Moody’s, the second-lowest among the
indexes. The second-best performing sec-
tor -- industrial development and pollution
control revenue bonds -- has the lowest
rating of all indexes at A3 to Baa1. The ex-
tra yield demanded on BBB debt relative
to AAAs declined to 0.96 percentage point
on March 19, the narrowest since 2008,
Bloomberg data show.
— Brian Chappatta
Riskiest Muni Bonds Extend Rally into 2013
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 7
Assured Guaranty
File: 4519_AG Illin4Deal_BloombMYSAK.indd
Insertion: 4.XX.2013
Due: 4.17.13
Bloomberg/Mysack
PROVEN STRENGTH, PROVEN VALUE.
These selected transactions are among the more than 300 new issues and secondary market positions we have
guaranteed so far this year, representing $1.8 billion of insured par. With over a quarter century of experience
and $12 billion in claims-paying resources, Assured Guaranty is the proven leader in municipal bond insurance.
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and Assured Guaranty Corp. (and affiliates), New York, New York. More at AssuredGuaranty.com
$450,000,000
General Obligation Bonds
Series A of April 2013
STATE OF ILLINOIS
$180,000,000
sold with insurance from
BofA Merrill Lynch
Prager & Co., LLC CastleOak Securities, L.P.
$1,400,000,000
Turnpike Revenue Bonds
Series 2013A
NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE AUTHORITY
$55,030,000
sold with insurance from
J.P. Morgan
BofA Merrill Lynch Goldman, Sachs & Co.
Barclays Morgan Stanley Piper Jaffray
Ramirez & Co., Inc. Wells Fargo Securities
$248,325,000
Tax-Exempt Senior Lien Revenue Refunding Bonds
Series 2013A
ALAMEDA CORRIDOR
TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
$92,685,000
sold with insurance from
Stone & Youngberg, BofA Merrill Lynch
a Division of Stifel Nicolaus
$50,730,000
Department of Human Services
Lease Revenue Bonds
(Greystone Park Psychiatric Hospital Project)
Series 2013A
NEW JERSEY HEALTH CARE
FACILITIES FINANCING AUTHORITY
$41,345,000
sold with insurance from
RBC Capital Markets
 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com	 Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 8

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Bloomberg Municipal Market Q1 StatBook

  • 2. Quarter in review It looked like recovery in 2013, but looks are deceiving. Even as tax revenue rose and housing prices climbed, issu- ers had to deal with pension funding and swap termina- tions. Some municipalities continued the long slog through Chapter 9 bankrupt- cy, while others considered their progress. Page 2 The Ratio They’re a buy, they’re a buy, they’re a buy. That’s what some analysts say when the tax-exempt/Treasury ratio climbs over 100 percent, as it did during the first quarter. Not everyone is convinced. The average ratio since 2001 is about 92 percent. Page 4 YIELDS CLIMB States and municipalities paid more to borrow as investors pulled money out of mutual funds in advance of tax day. And then yields dropped. Page 4 JPMorgan, BofA lead The top 10 underwriters handled more than 70 per- cent of the municipal market during the first quarter, with JPMorgan and Bank of America Merrill Lynch captur- ing the top spots, and more than 30 percent of issuance overall. The banks handled 36 percent of the competi- tive market, 30 percent of the negotiated. Page 5 VOLUME HIGHER States and localities sold $85.3 billion in securities dur- ing the first quarter, up from $80 billion in 2012’s first three months. About 40 percent was for refunding. And $2.4 billion carried some form of bond insurance. Page 6 coupon dispersion Top-rated 10-year municipal bonds yield 1.75 percent.Yet in the first quarter, almost 40 percent of the coupons sold were 5s; 18 percent were 4s. High yield, i.e., 6 percent and higher, made up only 1 percent of the universe of coupons. Page 6 by the billion $1 billion bond issues used to be a big deal. In the first quar- ter, issuers sold six billion- dollar plus transactions. More are on the calendar. Page 6 where to find it The lowest-rated bonds con- tinued to provide the biggest returns in the first quarter, according to Barclays PLC. Investors looking for yield found it in tobacco and indus- trial development bonds. Page 7 nuveen tops The Nuveen High Yield Municipal Bond Fund earned 2.14 percent in the first quar- ter and outperformed all other open-ended, national muni funds; the Nuveen California High Yield Municipal Bond Fund was tops among single- state open-ended funds. Page 7 Contents First Quarter In Review Irksome questions remained for the municipal market during the first quarter of 2013. On the surface, reassurance reigned after last-minute negotiations resolved the “fiscal cliff’’ cuts. Keeping in mind that municipal finances are particular and spe- cific and idiosyncratic to a fault and resist generalization, what traders call a “better tone’’ prevailed. States and municipalities, with excep- tions, appeared to be in recovery mode. Businesses seemed to be hiring. Tax rev- enue and housing prices rose along with the stock market. Issuers took advantage of long-term interest rates hovering below 4 percent to refinance older debt and raise money for long-deferred mainte- nance or new projects. At least three topics and one crisis lin- gered throughout the quarter. Issue One was public pensions. Were they so gener- ous, and were lawmakers also so feckless when it came to putting aside money enough to pay them, that they would at last bankrupt municipal governments? This was a very California problem, al- though examples exist coast to coast. Then there were interest rate swaps. We still don’t know how many swaps market participants engaged in during the past decade or so.Yet not a week went by without some issuer disclosing that a good chunk of a borrowing was go- ing to pay to terminate a swap, or series of swaps. Finally, consider capital appreciation bonds. State lawmakers in California and Texas looked at why school districts sold such things, which allow the issuer to borrow millions, defer debt service, and repay, after 30 or 40 years, billions. Some of them were outraged by what they saw, and want to prohibit their use. Crisis rarely visits the municipal market. When it does, it tends to stick around. This is especially true of bankruptcy, which is neither quick nor easy for those govern- ments who seek Chapter 9 protection. During the quarter, Stockton (which went bust in 2012), San Bernardino (2012) and Jefferson County (2011) were each men- tioned in at least 20 editions of the Brief. They will feature in many more, as each seeks to penalize bondholders. Analysts are looking at whether the municipalities will succeed in reducing the amount of principal bondholders are owed, and also if public pensions will be cut. The background music to all of this, as it has been since the creation of the federal income tax a century ago, was the future of tax-exemption. Will it be capped for certain investors? Will it be eliminated altogether? — Joe Mysak Bloomberg Brief Municipal Market Newsletter Ted Merz Executive Editor tmerz@bloomberg.net 212-617-2309 Bloomberg News William Glasgall Managing Editor wglasgall@bloomberg.net 212-617-3023 Municipal Market Joe Mysak Editor jmysakjr@bloomberg.net 212-617-2323 Reporter Brian Chappatta bchappatta1@bloomberg.net 212-617-0698 Contributing Sowjana Sivaloganathan, Analysts Bert Louis Newsletter Nick Ferris Business Manager nferris2@bloomberg.net 212-617-6975 Advertising bbrief@bloomberg.net 212-617-6975 Reprints & Lori Husted Permissions lori.husted@theygsgroup.com 717-505-9701 To subscribe via the Bloomberg Terminal type BRIEF <go> or on the web at www.bloombergbriefs.com. To contact the editors:munimarket@bloomberg.net This newsletter and its contents may not be forwarded or redistributed without the prior consent of Bloomberg. Please contact our reprints and permissions group listed above for more information © 2013 Bloomberg LP. All rights reserved.  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 2
  • 3. Assured Guaranty File: 4156_Bloomberg Q1 Muni Market Quarterly Statbook Insertion: 4.XX.2013 Due: 4.22.13 Size: 7.5'' X 8.8” NO ONE CAN PREDICT THE FUTURE BUT $12 BILLION CAN GUARANTEE IT. With over a quarter century of experience, and more than $12 billion in claims-paying resources, Assured Guaranty is the proven leader in municipal bond insurance. And as owners of our insured Harrisburg, PA or Stockton, CA bonds can attest, investors’principal and interest payments are paid on schedule, even when an issuer defaults. We’ve successfully reduced financing costs for the 11,000 municipal credits in our portfolio because we offer investors greater market liquidity, the comfort of our ongoing surveillance, and the safety of our unconditional, irrevocable guaranty. In times like these, investors crave certainty. At Assured Guaranty, certainty is precisely what we deliver. Owners of Harrisburg bonds we’ve insured haven’t spent the last four years in workout talks.When you’re paid in full, there’s nothing to work out. AssuredGuarantyMunicipalCorp.andAssuredGuarantyCorp.(andaffiliates),NewYork,NewYork.MoreatAssuredGuaranty.com  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 3
  • 4. Interest Rates Tax-Exempt/Treasury Ratio Surged Over 100% Before Tax Day as Yields Jumped Make an IMpact wIth BlooMBerg BrIef content Bloomberg Briefs provide dedicated licenses to reuse our content to help your business. We offer a full suite of products and services ranging from hardcopy and electronic reprints to plaques, permissions/licensing and photocopies. to find the solution that is right for you, contact us today at: 800 290 5460 x 100, email: bloombergbriefreprints@theygsgroup.com The 10-year muni-Treasury ratio rose to a 2013 high in March, as investors began withdrawing money from municipal mutual funds to pay tax bills before the April 15 fil- ing deadline. The lack of demand pushed yields on state and local government bonds higher than those on their federal counterparts. The ratio was more than 100 percent for 13 straight trading days through March 29, the longest stretch since September, Bloomberg data show. A higher ratio means AAA munis are rela- tively cheap to U.S. Treasuries. The gauge fell to 86 percent on Jan. 25, the lowest this year. The average ratio since 2001 is about 92 percent. — Brian Chappatta Ten-year AAA municipal bond yields rose to the highest in 11 months on March 14, as investors withdrew money from municipal mutual funds “ahead of schedule,’’ according to Chris Mauro at RBC Capital Markets. In 2012, yields rose in March, peaking on March 22, Bloomberg data show. In 2011, yields halted their rise on April 8. In 2010, yields reversed direction on April 7. “Seasonal municipal fund outflows typically materialize in the second and third weeks of April, not in early March,’’ Mauro wrote. “A strong equity market, continued low muni yields, and a fear of rising interest rates have combined to diminish the attractiveness of the municipal asset class.’’ — Brian Chappatta Muni/Treasury Ratio Rises Above 100% During Tax Season 10-Year Muni Yields Climb to 11-Month High in March  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 4 85 90 95 100 105 110 1/1/13 1/15/13 1/29/13 2/12/13 2/26/13 3/12/13 3/26/13 Muni/TreasuryRatio Date Muni/Treasury Ratio Rises Above 100% During Tax Season Muni/Treasury Ratio Source: Bloomberg 1.65 1.7 1.75 1.8 1.85 1.9 1.95 2 2.05 2.1 1/1/13 1/15/13 1/29/13 2/12/13 2/26/13 3/12/13 3/26/13 Yield(%) Date 10-Year Muni Yields Climb to 11-Month High in March Yield Source: Bloomberg
  • 5. Underwriters Q1 2013 Position Underwriter Issuance ($billions) % Issuance 1 JP Morgan 12.52 16.7 2 Bank of America Merrill 11.19 14.9 3 Citigroup 7.93 10.6 4 Morgan Stanley 4.19 5.6 5 Wells Fargo Bank 4.19 5.6 6 RBC Capital 3.81 5.1 7 Barclays 2.86 3.8 8 Robert W. Baird 2.66 3.6 9 Stifel Nicolaus 2.64 3.5 10 Goldman Sachs 2.20 2.9 Total 74.96 *excludes derivatives & notes, full credit to bookrunning manager Overall Muni Market 2013: Top 10 Underwriters Numbers run as of April 17, 2013 Q1 2013 Position Underwriter Issuance ($billions) % Issuance 1 Bank of America Merrill 3.56 19.2 2 JP Morgan 3.17 17.1 3 Citigroup 3.13 16.8 4 Wells Fargo Bank 1.53 8.2 5 Robert W. Baird 1.42 7.7 6 Morgan Stanley 0.56 3.0 7 Janney Montgomery 0.51 2.7 8 Raymond James 0.46 2.5 9 Goldman Sachs 0.38 2.1 10 Hutchinson Shockey 0.36 1.9 Total 18.57 *excludes derivatives & notes, full credit to bookrunning manager Competitive Muni Market 2013: Top 10 Underwriters Numbers run as of April 17, 2013 Q1 2013 Position Underwriter Issuance ($billions) % Issuance 1 JP Morgan 9.35 16.6 2 Bank of America Merrill 7.63 13.5 3 Citigroup 4.80 8.5 4 Morgan Stanley 3.63 6.4 5 RBC Capital 3.48 6.2 6 Barclays 2.77 4.9 7 Stifel Nicolaus 2.57 4.6 8 Wells Fargo Bank 2.66 4.7 9 Jefferies 1.83 3.2 10 Goldman Sachs 1.82 3.2 Total 56.39 *excludes derivatives & notes, full credit to bookrunning manager Source: Bloomberg Negotiated Muni Market 2013: Top 10 Underwriters Numbers run as of April 17, 2013  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 5
  • 6. Issuers Issue State Sale Date Book Running Lead Manager(s) Sale Method Deal Size ($millions) Bloomberg Market Sector California-Various Purpose CA 3/11/13 JP Morgan/Goldman Negotiated 2,472 General Obligation New Jersey Econ Dev Auth-Sch Facs NJ 1/21/13 Bank of America Merrill Negotiated 2,253 Appropriations University of California Regents CA 2/25/13 JP Morgan/Bank of America Merrill Negotiated 1,594 Higher Education New Jersey Turnpike NJ 3/18/13 JP Morgan Negotiated 1,400 Toll Highways/Bridges/Tunnels JobsOhio Beverage System Liquor OH 1/28/13 JP Morgan/Citigroup Negotiated 1,106 Miscellaneous Tax New York City Transitional Finance NY 3/18/13 Wells Fargo/Citigroup Negotiated 1,001 Income Tax New York City NY 2/25/13 Morgan Stanley/JP Morgan Competitive 973 General Obligation New York State Urban Dev NY 3/11/13 Wells Fargo/JP Morgan Negotiated 843 Income Tax Los Angeles CA Unif Sch Dist-TRANS CA 2/18/13 JP Morgan Negotiated 780 School District Arizona Transportation Board AZ 1/14/13 JP Morgan Negotiated 715 Nontoll Highway/Bridge/Tunnel Source: Bloomberg Largest Debt Issuances Q1 2013 Sales Rose Steadily Throughout First Quarter, With 40 Percent for Refunding 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 January February March Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Source: Bloomberg <2 11% 2-2.999 14% 3-3.999 17% 4-4.999 18% 5-5.999 39% >=6 1% Source: Bloomberg During the first quarter of 2013, states and municipalities sold $85.3 billion in municipal securities, including long-term and short-term fixed- and variable-rate issuance, derivatives and notes. This was up from the $80 billion they sold during the first quarter of 2012. Variable-rate sales accounted for $10.1 billion of the total in 2013, down from $12.5 billion last year. Approximately 40 percent was used for refunding. With two insurers now com- peting for business, Assured Guaranty and Build America Mutual, along with a cameo appearance by Berkshire Hatha- way, about $2.4 billion carried insurance. — Alberto Fuertes The pie chart shows coupon dispersion in the municipal market during the first quarter of 2013. Coupons of between 5 percent and 5.99 percent made up 39 percent of all fixed-rate coupons, with 4s right behind at 18 percent. During the first quarter of 2012, 5s also accounted for 39 percent of all coupons. High-yield coupons, more than 6 percent, made up 2 percent of the market during the first quarter of 2012, only 1 percent this year. — Alberto Fuertes Monthly Issuance, in Billions Coupon Dispersion, Fixed-Rate Coupons  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 6
  • 7. Investors Ticker Name Management Company 1st Quarter of 2012 Assets Expense ratio MGMT Fee NHMRX US Nuveen High Yield Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 2.14 9304.04 0.65 0.52 GHYIX US Goldman Sachs High Yield Municipal Fund Goldman Sachs Asset Management LP 2.09 3890.97 0.57 0.53 MMHIX US MainStay High Yield Municipal Bond Fund New York Life Investment Management LLC 1.83 1092.40 0.6 0 HYMIX US Lord Abbett Municipal Income Trust - Lord Abbett High Yield Municipal Bond Fund Lord Abbett & Co LLC 1.59 2267.78 0.6 0.48 PHIZX US Prudential Muni High Income Fund Prudential Investments LLC 1.47 779.18 0.62 0.5 WYMHX US Ivy Municipal High Income Fund Ivy Investment Management Co 1.43 1456.22 0.7 0.52 ACTDX US Invesco High Yield Municipal Fund Invesco Advisers Inc/USA 1.43 7243.04 0.6 0.51 DVHIX US Delaware National High-Yield Municipal Bond Fund Delaware Management Co 1.25 544.29 0.6 0.55 EIHYX Eaton Vance High Yield Municipal Income Fund Boston Management & Research 1.12 761.57 0.61 0.54 PTFYX Putnam Tax-Free High Yield Fund Putnam Investment Management LLC 1.07 1164.29 0.58 0.49 Source: Bloomberg Ticker Name Management Company 1st Quarter of 2012 Assets Expense ratio MGMT Fee NCHRX Nuveen California High Yield Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 1.40 362.69 0.68 0.58 RMUYX Oppenheimer Rochester Fund Municipals OFI Global Asset Management Inc 1.43 8415.86 0.73 0.46 ONYYX Oppenheimer Rochester AMT-Free New York Municipal Fund OFI Global Asset Management Inc 1.20 1471.40 0.53 0.46 BCHIX American Century California High-Yield Municipal Fund American Century Investment Management Inc 1.01 771.82 0.3 0.3 NCSPX Nuveen California Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 1.14 718.73 0.62 0.52 OCAYX Oppenheimer California Municipal Fund OppenheimerFunds Inc 0.99 1760.80 0.65 0.45 SGCAX Wells Fargo Advantage California Tax-Free Fund Wells Fargo Funds Management LLC 0.88 823.88 0.55 0.34 PCIZX Prudential California Municipal Income Fund Prudential Investments LLC 0.98 252.52 0.67 0.5 BCLIX American Century California Long-Term Tax-Free Fund American Century Investment Management Inc 0.81 430.97 0.27 0.27 NMVAX Nuveen Virginia Municipal Bond Fund Nuveen Fund Advisors/USA 0.73 457.16 0.61 0.51 Source: Bloomberg Mutual Fund Performance — National Open End Funds Mutual Fund Performance — Single State Open End Funds Investors Who Want Yield Have to Speculate on Future of Industry 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% Water and Sewer Local General Obligation Education State General Obligation OVERALL INDEX Electric Special Tax Transportation Leasing Hospital Housing Resource Recovery IDR/PCR Tobacco Sector Riskiest Muni Bonds Extend Rally Into 2013 Return Source: Barclays Plc. The lowest-rated municipal bonds continued to provide the biggest returns in the first quarter of 2013, according to data from Barclays Plc. The company’s best-performing tobacco bond index has an average rating quality of A2 to A3 from Moody’s, the second-lowest among the indexes. The second-best performing sec- tor -- industrial development and pollution control revenue bonds -- has the lowest rating of all indexes at A3 to Baa1. The ex- tra yield demanded on BBB debt relative to AAAs declined to 0.96 percentage point on March 19, the narrowest since 2008, Bloomberg data show. — Brian Chappatta Riskiest Muni Bonds Extend Rally into 2013  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 7
  • 8. Assured Guaranty File: 4519_AG Illin4Deal_BloombMYSAK.indd Insertion: 4.XX.2013 Due: 4.17.13 Bloomberg/Mysack PROVEN STRENGTH, PROVEN VALUE. These selected transactions are among the more than 300 new issues and secondary market positions we have guaranteed so far this year, representing $1.8 billion of insured par. With over a quarter century of experience and $12 billion in claims-paying resources, Assured Guaranty is the proven leader in municipal bond insurance. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and Assured Guaranty Corp. (and affiliates), New York, New York. More at AssuredGuaranty.com $450,000,000 General Obligation Bonds Series A of April 2013 STATE OF ILLINOIS $180,000,000 sold with insurance from BofA Merrill Lynch Prager & Co., LLC CastleOak Securities, L.P. $1,400,000,000 Turnpike Revenue Bonds Series 2013A NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE AUTHORITY $55,030,000 sold with insurance from J.P. Morgan BofA Merrill Lynch Goldman, Sachs & Co. Barclays Morgan Stanley Piper Jaffray Ramirez & Co., Inc. Wells Fargo Securities $248,325,000 Tax-Exempt Senior Lien Revenue Refunding Bonds Series 2013A ALAMEDA CORRIDOR TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY $92,685,000 sold with insurance from Stone & Youngberg, BofA Merrill Lynch a Division of Stifel Nicolaus $50,730,000 Department of Human Services Lease Revenue Bonds (Greystone Park Psychiatric Hospital Project) Series 2013A NEW JERSEY HEALTH CARE FACILITIES FINANCING AUTHORITY $41,345,000 sold with insurance from RBC Capital Markets  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  04.24.13 www.bloombergbriefs.com Bloomberg Brief | Municipal Market 8