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Competitive Scenario
Planning Process
October, 2013
Scenarios aim to stretch
thinking about the future
and widen the range of
alternatives considered.
- Michael Porter
Competitive Scenarios
•  Descriptive narratives of plausible alternative projections of a specific
part of the future.
•  Possible, Credible and Relevant

•  A search for an understanding of how the future could change and
how an organization can thrive by adapting to a number of changed
future circumstances.

©2013 Integrated Marketing Solutions

Slide 3
Competitive Scenario Elements

Driving Forces:
Environmental: economic,
social, cultural,
ecological, technologic
events and trends.
Actions of institutions:
business organizations,
political, governmental
agencies, regional and
international bodies, etc.

Plots
Driving
Forces

“What &
How”

Logics

Competitive Plots:
The story of “what” and
“how” would have to
happen for a specific
future to come to be.

End
States

End States:
What will happen in a
particular future at
some specific time. A
speculative projection
based on a specific
set of assumptions.
Not a forecast…

“Why”
Logics:
The “why” underlying the
“what” and “how” of a
competitive plot. Could it
happen? Are there
inconsistencies? How could
it happen? Why might it
happen?

©2013 Integrated Marketing Solutions

Slide 4
IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process
Scenario
Planning
Process
Customization

Competitor
Research
Share

Scenario
Ideation &
Exploration

Pre-Workshop

Pre-work
Pre-read

Competitive
Action Plan
Integration

Workshop

Scenario
Thought
Starters
Share &
Build

©2013 Integrated Marketing Solutions

Scenario
Mitigation
Ideation &
Exploration

Scenario
Validation &
Prioritization

Post-Workshop

Scenario
Mitigation
Action Planning
Share &
Build

Slide 5

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IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process

  • 2. Scenarios aim to stretch thinking about the future and widen the range of alternatives considered. - Michael Porter
  • 3. Competitive Scenarios •  Descriptive narratives of plausible alternative projections of a specific part of the future. •  Possible, Credible and Relevant •  A search for an understanding of how the future could change and how an organization can thrive by adapting to a number of changed future circumstances. ©2013 Integrated Marketing Solutions Slide 3
  • 4. Competitive Scenario Elements Driving Forces: Environmental: economic, social, cultural, ecological, technologic events and trends. Actions of institutions: business organizations, political, governmental agencies, regional and international bodies, etc. Plots Driving Forces “What & How” Logics Competitive Plots: The story of “what” and “how” would have to happen for a specific future to come to be. End States End States: What will happen in a particular future at some specific time. A speculative projection based on a specific set of assumptions. Not a forecast… “Why” Logics: The “why” underlying the “what” and “how” of a competitive plot. Could it happen? Are there inconsistencies? How could it happen? Why might it happen? ©2013 Integrated Marketing Solutions Slide 4
  • 5. IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process Scenario Planning Process Customization Competitor Research Share Scenario Ideation & Exploration Pre-Workshop Pre-work Pre-read Competitive Action Plan Integration Workshop Scenario Thought Starters Share & Build ©2013 Integrated Marketing Solutions Scenario Mitigation Ideation & Exploration Scenario Validation & Prioritization Post-Workshop Scenario Mitigation Action Planning Share & Build Slide 5