Celia Desmond
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The document discusses trends in the telecommunications industry, including: - Key players in the industry such as equipment manufacturers, service providers, and material suppliers. - Emerging wireless technologies like Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, Ultrawideband, WiMax, and ZigBee that offer new connectivity options. - Growth in internet and e-commerce usage driving increased bandwidth demand on networks. - Challenges faced by the telecom equipment manufacturing industry after the dot-com bubble burst in the early 2000s.
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Celia Desmond
- 1. Trends in Telecommunications ANDICOM’2004 Cartegena de Indias October 2004
- 2. Trends in Communications - An Environment Overview Celia Desmond President World Class –Telecommunications Past President IEEE Communications Society President IEEE Canada (2000-2001)
- 3. Value Chain and Main Categories of Players in Telecom Industry Electronic Component Provider: Intel Qualcomm Broadcom JDSU … Original Equipment Manufacture: Flextronics Celestica … Equipment Vendor: Cisco Alcatel Ericsson Motorola Nortel Lucent Siemens NEC … Service Provider: Verizon SBC NTT DoCoMo Deutsche Telekom Vodafone China Telecom Bell Canada … Material Suppliers Electronic Comp. Provider Original Equip. Manuf . Equip. Vendor Service Provider
- 4. Celia Desmond IEEE Communications Society Telecommunications Service Industry Key Players in Canada 2001 Revenue $32.8 Billion Wireless Providers Bell Wireless Alliance Paging Companies Telus Mobility e.g., PageNet Canada Rogers Allstream Wireless Other Radio Common Microcell Telecommunications Carriers Wireline Competitive Providers Alternative Providers of Long-Distance Services e.g., Allstream (June 2003) Call-Net (Sprint Canada) Competitive Local Exchange Carriers e.g., Futureway Communications GT Group Telecom Competitive Pay Telephone Providers e.g., Canadian Payphone Corp. Satellite & Other Telecom Providers Satellite e.g., Telesat Canada TMI communications, Stratos Global Corp. Resellers e.g., Primus Telecommunications $6.6 Billion $21.8 Billion $2.7 Billion $1.6 Billion Wireline Incumbent Carriers Major Telephone Companies: Bell Canada Telus Aliant MTS Sask Tel Northwest Tel Independent Telephone Companies e.g., Thunder Bay Telephone Incumbent Overseas Carrier Teleglobe Source: Statistics Canada and company annual reports
- 5. Global Telecom Market 2000 Global Telecom Market Share Breakdown:
- 6. Global Telecom Market: Since 2000 “ We built it, and they didn’t come”
- 7. Out of business Aleron 360Networks Digital Teleport Enron Broadband Ebone/GTS FLAG Telecom Global Crossing GST Impsat KPNQwest Sigma Networks Sphera Storm Telecommunications Teleglobe Telergy Velocita Viatel Williams Communications Adelphia Broadband Office Metromedia Convergent Com Covad ICG Comm FastComm Global Telecom North Point Rhythms McLeodUSA OnSite NetConnections XOCommun Yipes WINfirst Zephion Iridium Omnisky Metricom NextWave PSINet Ardent [email_address] Exodus iBeam NetRail Globalstar StarBand Motient ART WinStar Teligent
- 9. ICT Market (1999-2002) Value in Millions of Dollars Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting North America (Canada & USA) Asia – Pacific (Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea and Asia Pacific countries) Europe 1.872 13% 11.7% 12.3% 11.2% 20.8% 2.115 -0.6% -0.4% 1.8% 4.6% 2.234 Rest of World 4.9% 2.218 0.7% -0.3% 5.8% 9% 10.9%
- 10. TLC market Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting North America Europe Asia Rest of the world % 2002/2001
- 14. PC, PDA, Cell Phone sales (2000-2002) Source: Assinform / NetConsulting Millions of Units
- 30. Comparison of Wireless Data Technologies Cost, Simplicity Cost, Power, Flexibility Cost, Speed, Flexibility Throughput, Coverage Coverage, Quality Key Attributes 1 - 10+ 1 - 100+ 1 - 100 1K-30K 1,000+ Typical Range (m) 720 20 - 250 11,000+ 1K-40K 100-2000 Bandwidth (KB/s) 1 - 7 100 - 1,000+ N/A N/A 1-7 Battery Life (days) Cable Replacement Control & Telemetry Data/Voice LAN Wide Area Data Wide Area Voice & Data Typical Application Bluetooth™ (802.15.1) ZigBee™ (802.15.4) Wi-Fi™ (802.11b) WiMAX™ (802.16d/e) 3G Cellular Technology
- 35. Electronic Commerce - Growth of E-commerce Growth of E-commerce (in billions) (Source:IDC)
Notas del editor
- If E/ R [1] is much higher than 1 over a 2-3 years time it means the company has no long-term strategy . The increase in earnings is obtained by slashing cost, by being more efficient. There is nothing wrong with that; it is just that you cannot keep decreasing cost over a certain limit (0 is the absolute limit!). If, in spite of slashing cost, you are not managing to increase your revenues it means that your market has reached a maximum penetration. It is even worse. History shows that high earnings deriving from cost compression and higher efficiencies are bound to be squeezed by lower prices, i.e. your efficiency is soon turned into an advantage for the clients, not for you. This is important because it is one of the issues pending on e-business (and e-business companies). If, on the other hand, E/ R is much lower than 1 it means that the company has the wrong strategy . The increase in revenues does not generate any parallel increase in margin, i.e. you are investing money but are not making any money. This is a crucial aspect for Internet companies. Amazon has consistently increased their revenues but has not been able to generate earnings. ---- [1] E/ R indicates the ratio between the growth in earnings ( E) and the growth of revenues ( R) over a certain period of time. In the Internet business one may assume a period of 2 years. Longer periods of time are not sustainable because of the fast pace of market and technology evolution.