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Crédit Agricole meets the challenges
Focusing its strengths on serving the economy

Improving its financial strength by reaching
a CET1 ratio of 10% in 2013

Capitalising on the market-leading position of its retail
banks and associated business lines


14 December 2011
Disclaimer


This presentation may include prospective information on the Group, supplied as information
on trends. This data does not represent forecasts according to the meaning of European
Regulation 809/2004 of 29 April 2004 (chapter 1, article 2, §10).

This information was developed from scenarios based on a number of economic assumptions
for a given competitive and regulatory environment. Therefore, these assumptions are by
nature subject to random factors that could cause actual results to differ from projections.

Likewise, the financial statements are based on estimates, particularly in calculating market
value and asset impairment. As a consequence, this information has not been audited.

Readers must take all these risk factors and uncertainties into consideration before making
their own judgement.

This document includes information based on works and analyses in progress. Their
implementation would imply the respect of legislation in force, mainly regarding employee
representative bodies.

Only the French version of this presentation is binding by law.

2
Key messages


    The plan to reduce funding needs by €50bn was announced on 28 September 2011, with
    €9bn already achieved at end-October


    A new Corporate and investment banking model focused on serving major clients


    In Q4-11, exceptional write-downs of €2.5bn with no impact on the Basel 3 CET1 ratio but a
    negative impact of €0.5m on net profit linked to the plan’s implementation. As a result,
    Crédit Agricole S.A. will not deliver a profit in 2011


    Under current market conditions, Crédit Agricole Group will post a profit in 2011


    Crédit Agricole Group will reach a Basel 3 CET1 ratio of 10% at end-2013


    Crédit Agricole confirms its role as the leading financier of the French economy



3
Contents




    1   Turbulent economic and financial climate



    2   Crédit Agricole adapts and meets the challenges



    3   Financial and accounting impacts



    4   Capital adequacy: Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013



    5   Crédit Agricole fully mobilised to serve its clients and the economy




4
1   Turbulent economic and
        financial climate




5
Turbulent economic and financial climate


                 Climate early 2011                                New climate

    1       A debt crisis which was to be           In the United States, an unexpected slowdown,
            restricted to Greece                    governance problems for the budget and debt.
                                                    Forecasts lowered
                                                    Crisis spread to all of Europe
Sovereign                                           Rating agencies downgrade or place on watchlist
debt                                                European states and banks




    2       In France, GDP growth of 0.9%           In the United States, following fears of a
            observed in Q1, which was to            recession, the outlook has improved slightly but
            continue, even at a slower pace         the eurozone is affected. Growth is curbed
Economic    In the longer term, the United States   In France, GDP growth of 0.3% in Q3 has led to
growth      were to grow by 2.8% in 2018, Europe    two government plans to cut the budget deficit
            by 1.8% and emerging markets were
            to continue to expand



    3       Bullish markets, expecting weaker       High level of nervousness on the bond and equity
            growth but which was to last            markets, particular concerns about the financial
Financial   nevertheless                            sector
markets


6
Agitated financial and regulatory environment


                  Environment early 2011                              New environment

    1           Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1)               Basel 3 CET1 ratio requirement: 9% as of 2013
                requirement under Basel 3 : 7% in         –   More restrictive definition of capital
Capital         2018                                      –   More severe weighting of capital market
adequacy        Wide available range of capital               activities
                instruments                               Impact of the sovereign debt crisis on banks’ and
                                                          insurance companies’ capital

    2           Significant recourse to transformation    Scarcity of the USD and higher cost of liquidity
                Resources still abundant and relatively   Requirements to reduce debt and diversify
                inexpensive                               sources of funding
                                                          Uncertainties regarding the application of new
Liquidity                                                 ratios
                                                          – LCR to meet short-term requirements
                                                          – NSFR to manage transformation
                                                          – Leverage ratio to limit balance sheet size



    3           Profitability mainly measured by ROE      Higher costs of liquidity and capital

Profitability   Financing of activities through debt      Financial impact of plans to reduce funding needs




7
Change in market conditions further deteriorated
                          by an unprecedented regulatory shock

             Acceleration of the timetable and tightening of regulatory requirements
                                      Crédit Agricole Group

    Timetable for application of the full Basel 3 CET1 ratio (at 31/12 of each year)



           9%                            Anticipation by 5 years
                                                                                          +2 points
                                                                                  7%
                                                                                       Ratio required at
                                                                                       1 January 2019




        Timetable at early 2011
        New timetable (new requirements by both French authorities and markets)


8
2   Crédit Agricole adapts and
        meets the challenges




9
Structural reduction in funding needs
                                    and a new corporate and investment banking model


Two parts to the adjustment plan


1. Structural reduction in funding needs of €50bn
      between June 2011 and December 2012
      announced on 28 September 2011
                 €9bn already acheived at 31 October 2011                     Pro-active
                                                                          management of RWAs
                 Rebuilding of liquidity reserves underway
                 (lowest point on 30/09/11 at €103bn,                     Impact on RWAs* for
                 €118bn on 28/11/11)                                        CIB and Financial
                 Crédit Agricole S.A.: MLT market                               services:
                 programme of €12bn in 2012 compared to                   ~ -€23bn at end-Dec.
                 €22bn in 2011                                             2012 vs June 2011

 2. A new Corporate and investment banking model,
        servicing major clients




* Impact of measures, not taking into account regulatory reforms
10
Measures by business line
                                             Corporate and investment banking (1/2)

                                  Announcement of target to reduce funding needs by €15 to 18bn, of
 28 Septembre 2011                which €9bn by end 2011 and 75% in USD

                   A new Corporate and investment banking model for Crédit Agricole

     A strategy aiming to limit assets retained on the balance sheet
     –   Adjustment towards a « Originate to Distribute » model
             Origination and structuration of financing
             Increase in bonds solutions
             Increased development of syndication and securitisation
             Early-stage partnerships with investors likely to participate in our syndications
     –   Increase advisory and M&A capacities: Investment banking and brokerage

     A strategy servicing the Group’s major clients adapted to a new framework of banking
     disintermediation
     3 means of adaptation :
     –   Refocusing on major clients
     –   Geographical refocusing, with the closing of offices in 21 countries. CA CIB remains present in 32 countries which
         together represent 84% of global GDP
     –   Withdrawal from some business lines:
             Equity derivatives
             Commodities



11
Measures by business line
                                                      Corporate and investment banking (2/2)


 1         Reduction of the balance sheet                                     2    Aligning of the cost base to the
                                                                                  reduction of the balance sheet
                                                                                   Adjustment of number of positions,
     Reduction of liquidity need by about €18bn by                                 representing a 13 % reduction of CIB
     end-2012, mainly in equity derivatives and                                    headcount
     financing activities                                                          –   Closing of operations in selected countries and
                                                                                       decrease in activities
                                                                                   –   Additional initiatives targeting back office
                                                                                       functions
                                                                                   Further cost reductions (procurement,
                                                                                   reduced use of external service providers)

     Impact on RWAs of approximately                                              Adaptation of the model to generate
     €30bn* by January 2013
                                                                              3
                                                                                   revenues in a difficult environment
     – Cutbacks in operations
     – Disposals of loans and portfolios                                           Support targeted clients

                                                                                   Adapt pricing to the new funding framework

                                                                                   Increase weighting of commission and fee
                                                                                   income in the revenue mix

* Including CRD3&4 regulatory impacts on disposals and excluding regulatory
impacts on the remaining scope
12
Measures by business line
          Financial services: consumer finance, leasing and factoring


 28 September 2011          Announcement of the target to reduce funding needs by
                            €9 to 11bn

     CACF: four actions to reduce liquidity needs by ~ €8bn

                     1    Organic decrease of
 3 actions to
      reduce                   activities
                                                                         Going forward,
outstandings         2
   by ~ €8bn                 Loan disposals                        40% of the full-year impact
                                                                  on revenues covered by cost
                     3                                               savings (adjustment of
                           Activities disposals                        targeted number of
                                                                            positions)
Additional to        4
   the plan:                Diversification of
  €4 to 5bn                 funding sources


     While maintaining CACF’s position as a key player in the consumer finance market

     CAL&F: reduction in customer assets by ~ €1bn at end-2012 as a result of two initiatives
     – Disposal of leasing operations and portfolios
     – Reduction in production
13
Measures by business line
                                                                                 Retail banking


 28 September 2011              Announcement of the target to reduce funding needs by
                                €21 to 23bn

Confirmation of the target to reduce funding needs: -€23bn

     Retail banking in France: balanced development
     – Accelerated growth in customer deposits against a backdrop of a higher savings rate in France
           Refocusing new inflows on customer deposits
           Priority given to client satisfaction
           Conquering new deposit markets
           Special focus on high net-worth individuals

     – Steady growth in lending
           In a context of lower demand
           With pricing taking into account the cost of liquidity


     International retail banking: strategies adapted to local environments
     – Emporiki
           Enhanced efforts to boost deposits and continued increase of our market share
           Reduction in outstanding loans due to natural attrition
     – Cariparma
           Growth in inflows with refocusing on customer deposits
           Controlled growth in lending


14
Will to limit the impact on employment


     Job cuts in two business lines

     (Number of jobs)                                                       France       International

      Corporate and investment banking                                      ~ 550          ~ 1,200

      Consumer finance                                                      ~ 300           ~ 300


     Staff transfers and employability encouraged, voluntary redundancies favoured
     – A full support system encouraging jobs transfers, namely geographically, with optimisation of the
       company's natural staff turnover and in agreement with the employee representative bodies.
     – Staff adjustment plans favouring voluntary departures in the relevant companies in due compliance
       with the social procedures in force in the various countries involved.

     The Group will actively continue to hire in 2012
     – Over 3,500 new recruitments in France, primarily in retail banking, and 3,000 additional staff hired on
       work-based training contracts.



(In accordance with work legislation in force in the countries concerned)

15
3   Financial and accounting
         impacts




16
Financial and accounting impacts
                                                                   in 2011


 1    In Q4-11, impact of the adjustement plan on net income Group share ~ -€500m
           – Provisioning of all staff adjustment costs
           – Impact of portfolio disposals on revenues and cost of risk

2011 impact of the adjustment plan
 (in €m)


              (240)                                                                         Impact on CIB
                               (70)                                            (500)        Impact on
                                                                                            Financial
                              (350)                                                         services
                                                                  +265                      Impact on CASA
                                                (105)



 2    In Q4-11, impact of goodwill impairment for Crédit Agricole S.A., taking into account the
      adjustment plan : -€1,300m
           – Decrease in earnings expected in 2011 and in subsequent years, resulting in the impairment of
             goodwill:
                Impact of -€1,053m for Corporate and investment banking
                Impact of -€247m for leasing and factoring
              No impact on capital adequacy ratio under Basel 3
17
Financial and accounting impacts
                                                               in 2011


     3   In Q4-11, other non-recurring impacts on Crédit Agricole S.A.'s net income Group
         share due to the severe deterioration of the environment, with no impact on liquidity
         nor on the Basel 3 capital adequacy ratio: -€1,234m

            – Write-down of the value of minority stakes recognised under the equity method for a total
              of -€981m:
                  Bankinter: -€617m
                  BES: -€364m

            – Technical impairment of goodwill on foreign subsidiaries for a total of -€253m
                 Italy: -€191m
                 Ukraine: -€62m


         Expected income for the year 2011:
           – Taking into account these elements and deteriorated conditions in Q4-11, Crédit Agricole
             S.A.'s consolidated result will be negative. Its Board of Directors will propose to the AGM
             to not pay a dividend
           – As a reminder, Crédit Agricole Group generated net income Group share of €3.3bn for
             the first 9 months of 2011
           – Under current market conditions, Crédit Agricole Group will post a profit


18
Financial and accounting impacts
                                              of the adjustment plan in 2012


Estimated cost of disposals planned in 2012 within the framework of the adjustment plan
(in €m)




                                                                            (470)
              (650)
                                                                                          Impact on CIB
                                                                                          Impact on Financial
                                                       + 240                              services
                                   (60)                                                   Impact on CASA




     2012: impact on net income Group share: -€470m
     – Impact of planned portfolio disposals on revenues and cost of risk




19
Financial and accounting impacts
                                                                        medium and long term


Full-year impacts of the adjustment plan
(in €m)


                                                                                                               ~ (250)

                       (700)                                                        ~ +150
                         to
                       (750)
                                                     ~ +350




      Going forward, impact on net income Group share estimated at ~ -€250m
       – Decrease in recurring revenues of approximately €700 to 750m
       – Decrease offset for up to ~ 50% by cost savings

      Going forward, total impact on RWAs for CIB and Financial services of - €35bn*

*    Including CRD3&4 regulatory impact on disposals and excluding regulatory impacts on the remaining scope

20
Crédit Agricole confirms the major strategic decisions of the Group
     Strategic Plan and the Commitment 2014 plan:
        Focus on universal customer-focused banking
        Accelerated reengineering of CIB activities and financial services

     The implementation of this strategy will proceed.


     The current economic context and the adjustment plan will have an
     impact on the timing of the implementation of the Commitment
     2014 plan, and as a result we expect a phasing of our 2014 targets.



21
4   Capital adequacy:
         Crédit Agricole Group will meet
         requirements in 2013




22
Capital adequacy:
             Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013


 Capital adequacy is assessed by regulators at the level of Crédit Agricole Group

     EBA stress test results published on 8 December 2011
     – No additional capital requirement at June 2012 on the basis of EBA stress tests carried out on
       Crédit Agricole Group



     10 % of CET1 ratio at end-2013 for Crédit Agricole Group
     – Decrease in RWAs of €60bn for Crédit Agricole S.A.*

     – Policy of income retention within Crédit Agricole Group

     – Crédit Agricole S.A. will systematically propose the option of scrip dividend to its shareholders from
       2012 onwards

     – Treatment of insurance activities under the financial conglomerate Directive and optimisation of
       Crédit Agricole Assurances' capital composition

     – Strengthening of the Regional Banks’ capital through the issuing of mutual shares

* Change between June 2011 and December 2013 of the risk-weighted assets calculated under full Basel 3

23
Capital adequacy:
              Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013




                                                                                                    (0.3%)
                                                                                   + 0.6%

                                                                      + 0.6%

                      (0.8%)
                                                                                                                Target
                                                        + 1.6%                                                  CET1
                                        (0.9%)                                                                 Basel 3
                                                                                                                 fully
                                                                                                               loaded
      9.23%
                                                                                                               ~ 10%




     Core Tier 1         Total          Insurance        Retained     Adjustment   Methodological   Business    Target
        EBA        Basel 3 impact    (conglomerate)    income and        plan          gains        develop-   end 2013
                   excl. insurance                    mutual shares                                  ment
                                                          issues




24
Crédit Agricole will reach a Basel 3 CET1 ratio of 10%
     at end 2013 by drawing on its internal resources

     Crédit Agricole Group is committed to carrying out the
     adjustment plan

     The Group confirms its full capacity to capitalise on its
     internal flexibility and solidarity, based on its mutualist
     structure




25
5   Crédit Agricole fully mobilised
         to serve its clients and the
         economy




26
Crédit Agricole Group centered on
                                     universal customer-focused banking

     One year after the announcement of the Group Strategic Plan, Crédit Agricole Group
     confirms universal customer-focused banking as its core model, a tight combination
     between retail banking and associated business lines such as asset management and
     insurance.
     Retail banking and associated business lines represent a predominant share of the Group’s
     revenues, approximately 80% of the business lines’ global net banking income.
     Crédit Agricole continues to play the role of the leading financial partner to the French
     economy:
     – €477bn outstanding loans
     – 6.4% year-on-year increase in outstanding loans at end September 2011

     Crédit Agricole is mobilised on a day-to-day basis to support French people in their plans:
     –   2,500 home loans granted each day to individuals
     –   1,100 loan applications per day for small businesses and agricultural businesses
     –   3,200 individual vehicles financed each day
     –   4,800 household equipment loans granted each day
     –   1,800 new car insurance policies written each day
     –   440 new individual health insurance policies each day

Crédit Agricole Group has over 100,000 employees in France working daily to serve its clients.
27

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Crédit Agricole adapts to challenges

  • 1. Crédit Agricole meets the challenges Focusing its strengths on serving the economy Improving its financial strength by reaching a CET1 ratio of 10% in 2013 Capitalising on the market-leading position of its retail banks and associated business lines 14 December 2011
  • 2. Disclaimer This presentation may include prospective information on the Group, supplied as information on trends. This data does not represent forecasts according to the meaning of European Regulation 809/2004 of 29 April 2004 (chapter 1, article 2, §10). This information was developed from scenarios based on a number of economic assumptions for a given competitive and regulatory environment. Therefore, these assumptions are by nature subject to random factors that could cause actual results to differ from projections. Likewise, the financial statements are based on estimates, particularly in calculating market value and asset impairment. As a consequence, this information has not been audited. Readers must take all these risk factors and uncertainties into consideration before making their own judgement. This document includes information based on works and analyses in progress. Their implementation would imply the respect of legislation in force, mainly regarding employee representative bodies. Only the French version of this presentation is binding by law. 2
  • 3. Key messages The plan to reduce funding needs by €50bn was announced on 28 September 2011, with €9bn already achieved at end-October A new Corporate and investment banking model focused on serving major clients In Q4-11, exceptional write-downs of €2.5bn with no impact on the Basel 3 CET1 ratio but a negative impact of €0.5m on net profit linked to the plan’s implementation. As a result, Crédit Agricole S.A. will not deliver a profit in 2011 Under current market conditions, Crédit Agricole Group will post a profit in 2011 Crédit Agricole Group will reach a Basel 3 CET1 ratio of 10% at end-2013 Crédit Agricole confirms its role as the leading financier of the French economy 3
  • 4. Contents 1 Turbulent economic and financial climate 2 Crédit Agricole adapts and meets the challenges 3 Financial and accounting impacts 4 Capital adequacy: Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013 5 Crédit Agricole fully mobilised to serve its clients and the economy 4
  • 5. 1 Turbulent economic and financial climate 5
  • 6. Turbulent economic and financial climate Climate early 2011 New climate 1 A debt crisis which was to be In the United States, an unexpected slowdown, restricted to Greece governance problems for the budget and debt. Forecasts lowered Crisis spread to all of Europe Sovereign Rating agencies downgrade or place on watchlist debt European states and banks 2 In France, GDP growth of 0.9% In the United States, following fears of a observed in Q1, which was to recession, the outlook has improved slightly but continue, even at a slower pace the eurozone is affected. Growth is curbed Economic In the longer term, the United States In France, GDP growth of 0.3% in Q3 has led to growth were to grow by 2.8% in 2018, Europe two government plans to cut the budget deficit by 1.8% and emerging markets were to continue to expand 3 Bullish markets, expecting weaker High level of nervousness on the bond and equity growth but which was to last markets, particular concerns about the financial Financial nevertheless sector markets 6
  • 7. Agitated financial and regulatory environment Environment early 2011 New environment 1 Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Basel 3 CET1 ratio requirement: 9% as of 2013 requirement under Basel 3 : 7% in – More restrictive definition of capital Capital 2018 – More severe weighting of capital market adequacy Wide available range of capital activities instruments Impact of the sovereign debt crisis on banks’ and insurance companies’ capital 2 Significant recourse to transformation Scarcity of the USD and higher cost of liquidity Resources still abundant and relatively Requirements to reduce debt and diversify inexpensive sources of funding Uncertainties regarding the application of new Liquidity ratios – LCR to meet short-term requirements – NSFR to manage transformation – Leverage ratio to limit balance sheet size 3 Profitability mainly measured by ROE Higher costs of liquidity and capital Profitability Financing of activities through debt Financial impact of plans to reduce funding needs 7
  • 8. Change in market conditions further deteriorated by an unprecedented regulatory shock Acceleration of the timetable and tightening of regulatory requirements Crédit Agricole Group Timetable for application of the full Basel 3 CET1 ratio (at 31/12 of each year) 9% Anticipation by 5 years +2 points 7% Ratio required at 1 January 2019 Timetable at early 2011 New timetable (new requirements by both French authorities and markets) 8
  • 9. 2 Crédit Agricole adapts and meets the challenges 9
  • 10. Structural reduction in funding needs and a new corporate and investment banking model Two parts to the adjustment plan 1. Structural reduction in funding needs of €50bn between June 2011 and December 2012 announced on 28 September 2011 €9bn already acheived at 31 October 2011 Pro-active management of RWAs Rebuilding of liquidity reserves underway (lowest point on 30/09/11 at €103bn, Impact on RWAs* for €118bn on 28/11/11) CIB and Financial Crédit Agricole S.A.: MLT market services: programme of €12bn in 2012 compared to ~ -€23bn at end-Dec. €22bn in 2011 2012 vs June 2011 2. A new Corporate and investment banking model, servicing major clients * Impact of measures, not taking into account regulatory reforms 10
  • 11. Measures by business line Corporate and investment banking (1/2) Announcement of target to reduce funding needs by €15 to 18bn, of 28 Septembre 2011 which €9bn by end 2011 and 75% in USD A new Corporate and investment banking model for Crédit Agricole A strategy aiming to limit assets retained on the balance sheet – Adjustment towards a « Originate to Distribute » model Origination and structuration of financing Increase in bonds solutions Increased development of syndication and securitisation Early-stage partnerships with investors likely to participate in our syndications – Increase advisory and M&A capacities: Investment banking and brokerage A strategy servicing the Group’s major clients adapted to a new framework of banking disintermediation 3 means of adaptation : – Refocusing on major clients – Geographical refocusing, with the closing of offices in 21 countries. CA CIB remains present in 32 countries which together represent 84% of global GDP – Withdrawal from some business lines: Equity derivatives Commodities 11
  • 12. Measures by business line Corporate and investment banking (2/2) 1 Reduction of the balance sheet 2 Aligning of the cost base to the reduction of the balance sheet Adjustment of number of positions, Reduction of liquidity need by about €18bn by representing a 13 % reduction of CIB end-2012, mainly in equity derivatives and headcount financing activities – Closing of operations in selected countries and decrease in activities – Additional initiatives targeting back office functions Further cost reductions (procurement, reduced use of external service providers) Impact on RWAs of approximately Adaptation of the model to generate €30bn* by January 2013 3 revenues in a difficult environment – Cutbacks in operations – Disposals of loans and portfolios Support targeted clients Adapt pricing to the new funding framework Increase weighting of commission and fee income in the revenue mix * Including CRD3&4 regulatory impacts on disposals and excluding regulatory impacts on the remaining scope 12
  • 13. Measures by business line Financial services: consumer finance, leasing and factoring 28 September 2011 Announcement of the target to reduce funding needs by €9 to 11bn CACF: four actions to reduce liquidity needs by ~ €8bn 1 Organic decrease of 3 actions to reduce activities Going forward, outstandings 2 by ~ €8bn Loan disposals 40% of the full-year impact on revenues covered by cost 3 savings (adjustment of Activities disposals targeted number of positions) Additional to 4 the plan: Diversification of €4 to 5bn funding sources While maintaining CACF’s position as a key player in the consumer finance market CAL&F: reduction in customer assets by ~ €1bn at end-2012 as a result of two initiatives – Disposal of leasing operations and portfolios – Reduction in production 13
  • 14. Measures by business line Retail banking 28 September 2011 Announcement of the target to reduce funding needs by €21 to 23bn Confirmation of the target to reduce funding needs: -€23bn Retail banking in France: balanced development – Accelerated growth in customer deposits against a backdrop of a higher savings rate in France Refocusing new inflows on customer deposits Priority given to client satisfaction Conquering new deposit markets Special focus on high net-worth individuals – Steady growth in lending In a context of lower demand With pricing taking into account the cost of liquidity International retail banking: strategies adapted to local environments – Emporiki Enhanced efforts to boost deposits and continued increase of our market share Reduction in outstanding loans due to natural attrition – Cariparma Growth in inflows with refocusing on customer deposits Controlled growth in lending 14
  • 15. Will to limit the impact on employment Job cuts in two business lines (Number of jobs) France International Corporate and investment banking ~ 550 ~ 1,200 Consumer finance ~ 300 ~ 300 Staff transfers and employability encouraged, voluntary redundancies favoured – A full support system encouraging jobs transfers, namely geographically, with optimisation of the company's natural staff turnover and in agreement with the employee representative bodies. – Staff adjustment plans favouring voluntary departures in the relevant companies in due compliance with the social procedures in force in the various countries involved. The Group will actively continue to hire in 2012 – Over 3,500 new recruitments in France, primarily in retail banking, and 3,000 additional staff hired on work-based training contracts. (In accordance with work legislation in force in the countries concerned) 15
  • 16. 3 Financial and accounting impacts 16
  • 17. Financial and accounting impacts in 2011 1 In Q4-11, impact of the adjustement plan on net income Group share ~ -€500m – Provisioning of all staff adjustment costs – Impact of portfolio disposals on revenues and cost of risk 2011 impact of the adjustment plan (in €m) (240) Impact on CIB (70) (500) Impact on Financial (350) services +265 Impact on CASA (105) 2 In Q4-11, impact of goodwill impairment for Crédit Agricole S.A., taking into account the adjustment plan : -€1,300m – Decrease in earnings expected in 2011 and in subsequent years, resulting in the impairment of goodwill: Impact of -€1,053m for Corporate and investment banking Impact of -€247m for leasing and factoring No impact on capital adequacy ratio under Basel 3 17
  • 18. Financial and accounting impacts in 2011 3 In Q4-11, other non-recurring impacts on Crédit Agricole S.A.'s net income Group share due to the severe deterioration of the environment, with no impact on liquidity nor on the Basel 3 capital adequacy ratio: -€1,234m – Write-down of the value of minority stakes recognised under the equity method for a total of -€981m: Bankinter: -€617m BES: -€364m – Technical impairment of goodwill on foreign subsidiaries for a total of -€253m Italy: -€191m Ukraine: -€62m Expected income for the year 2011: – Taking into account these elements and deteriorated conditions in Q4-11, Crédit Agricole S.A.'s consolidated result will be negative. Its Board of Directors will propose to the AGM to not pay a dividend – As a reminder, Crédit Agricole Group generated net income Group share of €3.3bn for the first 9 months of 2011 – Under current market conditions, Crédit Agricole Group will post a profit 18
  • 19. Financial and accounting impacts of the adjustment plan in 2012 Estimated cost of disposals planned in 2012 within the framework of the adjustment plan (in €m) (470) (650) Impact on CIB Impact on Financial + 240 services (60) Impact on CASA 2012: impact on net income Group share: -€470m – Impact of planned portfolio disposals on revenues and cost of risk 19
  • 20. Financial and accounting impacts medium and long term Full-year impacts of the adjustment plan (in €m) ~ (250) (700) ~ +150 to (750) ~ +350 Going forward, impact on net income Group share estimated at ~ -€250m – Decrease in recurring revenues of approximately €700 to 750m – Decrease offset for up to ~ 50% by cost savings Going forward, total impact on RWAs for CIB and Financial services of - €35bn* * Including CRD3&4 regulatory impact on disposals and excluding regulatory impacts on the remaining scope 20
  • 21. Crédit Agricole confirms the major strategic decisions of the Group Strategic Plan and the Commitment 2014 plan: Focus on universal customer-focused banking Accelerated reengineering of CIB activities and financial services The implementation of this strategy will proceed. The current economic context and the adjustment plan will have an impact on the timing of the implementation of the Commitment 2014 plan, and as a result we expect a phasing of our 2014 targets. 21
  • 22. 4 Capital adequacy: Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013 22
  • 23. Capital adequacy: Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013 Capital adequacy is assessed by regulators at the level of Crédit Agricole Group EBA stress test results published on 8 December 2011 – No additional capital requirement at June 2012 on the basis of EBA stress tests carried out on Crédit Agricole Group 10 % of CET1 ratio at end-2013 for Crédit Agricole Group – Decrease in RWAs of €60bn for Crédit Agricole S.A.* – Policy of income retention within Crédit Agricole Group – Crédit Agricole S.A. will systematically propose the option of scrip dividend to its shareholders from 2012 onwards – Treatment of insurance activities under the financial conglomerate Directive and optimisation of Crédit Agricole Assurances' capital composition – Strengthening of the Regional Banks’ capital through the issuing of mutual shares * Change between June 2011 and December 2013 of the risk-weighted assets calculated under full Basel 3 23
  • 24. Capital adequacy: Crédit Agricole Group will meet requirements in 2013 (0.3%) + 0.6% + 0.6% (0.8%) Target + 1.6% CET1 (0.9%) Basel 3 fully loaded 9.23% ~ 10% Core Tier 1 Total Insurance Retained Adjustment Methodological Business Target EBA Basel 3 impact (conglomerate) income and plan gains develop- end 2013 excl. insurance mutual shares ment issues 24
  • 25. Crédit Agricole will reach a Basel 3 CET1 ratio of 10% at end 2013 by drawing on its internal resources Crédit Agricole Group is committed to carrying out the adjustment plan The Group confirms its full capacity to capitalise on its internal flexibility and solidarity, based on its mutualist structure 25
  • 26. 5 Crédit Agricole fully mobilised to serve its clients and the economy 26
  • 27. Crédit Agricole Group centered on universal customer-focused banking One year after the announcement of the Group Strategic Plan, Crédit Agricole Group confirms universal customer-focused banking as its core model, a tight combination between retail banking and associated business lines such as asset management and insurance. Retail banking and associated business lines represent a predominant share of the Group’s revenues, approximately 80% of the business lines’ global net banking income. Crédit Agricole continues to play the role of the leading financial partner to the French economy: – €477bn outstanding loans – 6.4% year-on-year increase in outstanding loans at end September 2011 Crédit Agricole is mobilised on a day-to-day basis to support French people in their plans: – 2,500 home loans granted each day to individuals – 1,100 loan applications per day for small businesses and agricultural businesses – 3,200 individual vehicles financed each day – 4,800 household equipment loans granted each day – 1,800 new car insurance policies written each day – 440 new individual health insurance policies each day Crédit Agricole Group has over 100,000 employees in France working daily to serve its clients. 27