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1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT
13th
MAY 2013
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2. WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 7316642300
 Dollar Charges Higher - Will
EUR/USD Break 1.3000,
AUD/USD 1.0000?
 Dollar Surge is Only the
Beginning
 Forex Trading Weekly
Forecast 05.10.2013
US Dollar Forecast - Dollar Surge is Only the
Beginning
The US Dollar finally showed signs of life and surged
against major forex counterparts even as the S&P 500
finished at record-peaks. The safe-haven USD may
rally further as a sharp gains in FX volatility prices
suggest the Dollar breakdout is the “real deal”.
Euro Forecast - Euro Crisis Complacency May
Collapse with 1Q GDP Data
Though EURUSD took a tumble this past week –
largely on the incredible strength of the US dollar – the
Euro individually performed well through the period.
That vigor may not hold next week though ...
TRADING TIPS
 BUY EURUSD ABOVE
1.2995 TGT 1.3015/1.3035
SL 1.2965
 BUY USDJPY ABOVE 101.75
TGT 101.95/102.15 SL
101.45
 BUY GBPUSD ABOVE
1.5370 TGT 1.5390/1.5410
SL 1.5340
HEADLINES

3.  HOURLY EURUSD CHART

HOURLY EURUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.2984 EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD
HIGH: 1.2994 TREND: BULLISH
LOW: 1.2981 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CLOSE: 1.2988 MACD =>-.0025(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 39.6638(BULLISH SIGNAL)

4. HOURLY USDJPY CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 101.59 USDJPY LOOKS UPWARDS
HIGH: 101.71 TREND: BULLISH
LOW: 101.54 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CLOSE: 101.63 MACD =>.40(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 63(BULLISH SIGNAL)
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5. HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.5359 GBPUSD LOOKS UPWARD
HIGH: 1.5368 TREND: BULLISH
LOW: 1.5358 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CLOSE: 1.5358 MACD =>-.0032(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 32(BULLISH SIGNAL)

6. HOURLY EURGBP CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 00.8454 EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS
HIGH: 00.8456 TREND: BULLISH
LOW: 00.8449 STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
CLOSE: 00.8454 MACD =>.0002(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 57(BULLISH SIGNAL)
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7. HOURLY USD INDEX CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 83.1420 USDINDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD
HIGH: 83.1660 TREND: BEARISH
LOW: 83.0940 STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
CLOSE: 83.1060 MACD =>.1756(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 52(BEARISH SIGNAL)

8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
Sun
May 5
13:30
USD Fed's Pianalto
Gives Commencement
Speech in Ohio
Low
Mon
May 6
00:23
CNY Leading Index
(MAR)
Medium 99.38 99.98
00:30
AUD TD Securities
Inflation (YoY) (APR)
Medium 2.1% 2.1%
00:30
AUD TD Securities
Inflation (MoM) (APR)
Low 0.3% 0.2%
01:30
AUD Retail Sales Ex
Inflation(QoQ) (1Q)
Medium 2.2% 1.7% 0.1%
01:30
AUD Retail Sales s.a.
(MoM) (MAR)
Medium -0.4% 0.1% 1.3%
01:30
AUD ANZ Job
Advertisements (MoM)
(APR)
Low -1.3% -0.4%
01:45
CNY HSBC Services
PMI (APR)
Medium 51.1 54.3
07:45
EUR Italian Purchasing
Manager Index
Services (APR)
Low 47.0 45.9 45.5
07:50
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (APR F)
Low 44.3 44.1 44.1
07:55
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (APR F)
Medium 49.6 49.2 49.2
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Composite (APR
F)
Medium 46.9 46.6 46.5
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (APR F)
Medium 47.0 46.6 46.6
08:30
EUR Euro-Zone Sentix
Investor Confidence
(MAY)
Medium -15.6 -15.2 -17.3
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Retail
Sales (YoY) (MAR)
Medium -2.4% -2.2% -1.7%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Retail
Sales (MoM) (MAR)
Low -0.1% -0.1% -0.2%
09:00
EUR German FinMin
Schaeuble Speaks on
European Integration
Low
12:30
CAD Building Permits
(MoM) (MAR)
Medium 1.0% 1.7%
14:00
CAD Ivey Purchasing
Managers Index s.a.
(APR)
Medium 58.0 61.6
22:45
NZD Average Hourly
Earnings (QoQ) (1Q)
Medium 1.0% -0.4%
22:45
NZD Labor Cost
Private Sector (QoQ)
(1Q)
Low 0.5% 0.6%
ECONOMIC CALLENDER

9. 22:45
NZD Private Wages ex
Overtime (QoQ) (1Q)
Low 0.5% 0.5%
23:01
GBP BRC Shop Price
Index (YoY) (APR)
Low 1.4%
23:01
GBP Lloyds
Employment
Confidence (APR)
Low -45
23:30
AUD AiG Performance
of Construction Index
(APR)
Medium 39
Tue
May 7
01:30
AUD House Price Index
(QoQ) (1Q)
Medium 1.8% 1.6%
01:30
AUD House Price Index
(YoY) (1Q)
Medium 4.0% 2.1%
01:30
AUD Trade Balance
(Australian dollar)
(MAR)
Medium 0M -178M
04:30
LIVE
AUD Reserve Bank of
Australia Rate Decision
(MAY 7)
High 3.00% 3.00%
05:45
CHF SECO Consumer
Confidence (APR)
Medium -2 -6
05:45
CHF Unemployment
Rate (APR)
Medium 3.1% 3.2%
05:45
CHF Unemployment
Rate s.a. (APR)
Medium 3.1% 3.1%
06:30
AUD Foreign Reserves
(Australian dollar)
(APR)
Low A$48.7B
07:00
CHF Foreign Currency
Reserves (APR)
Low 435.0B 438.3B
10:00
EUR German Factory
Orders n.s.a. (YoY)
(MAR)
Medium -2.9% 0.0%
10:00
EUR German Factory
Orders s.a. (MoM)
(MAR)
Low -0.5% 2.3%
14:00
USD IBD/TIPP
Economic Optimism
(MAY)
Low 47.3 46.2
14:00
USD JOLTs Job
Openings (MAR)
Low 3925
19:00
USD Consumer Credit
(MAR)
Medium $16.000B $18.139B
23:01
GBP BRC Sales Like-
For-Like (YoY) (APR)
Low 1.9% 1.9%
Wed
May 8
04:00
CNY Trade Balance
(USD) (APR)
Medium $15.50B -$0.88B
04:00
CNY Exports (YoY)
(APR)
Low 10.0% 10.0%
04:00
CNY Imports (YoY)
(APR)
Low 13.0% 14.1%

10. 04:00
GBP Halifax House
Price (3MoY) (APR)
Low 1.6% 1.1%
04:00
GBP Halifax Plc House
Prices s.a. (MoM)
(APR)
Low 0.2% 0.2%
04:00
GBP New Car
Registrations (YoY)
(APR)
Low 5.9%
07:15
CHF CPI - EU
Harmonised (YoY)
(APR)
Medium -0.3%
07:15
CHF Consumer Price
Index (YoY) (APR)
Medium -0.5% -0.6%
07:15
CHF CPI - EU
Harmonised (MoM)
(APR)
Low 0.5%
07:15
CHF Consumer Price
Index (MoM) (APR)
Low 0.1% 0.2%
10:00
EUR German Industrial
Production n.s.a. and
w.d.a. (YoY) (MAR)
Medium -3.8% -1.8%
10:00
EUR German Industrial
Production s.a. (MoM)
(MAR)
Low -0.1% 0.5%
11:00
USD MBA Mortgage
Applications (MAY 3)
Low 1.8%
12:15
CAD Housing Starts
(APR)
Medium 175.0K 184.0K
12:30
USD Fed's Stein
Speaks at Chicago Fed
Conference
Low
14:30
USD DOE Cushing OK
Crude Inventory (MAY
3)
Low -1382K
14:30
USD DOE U.S. Crude
Oil Inventories (MAY 3)
Low 6696K
14:30
USD DOE U.S.
Distillate Inventory
(MAY 3)
Low 474K
14:30
USD DOE U.S.
Gasoline Inventories
(MAY 3)
Low -1818K
22:45
NZD Unemployment
Rate (1Q)
High 6.8% 6.9%
22:45
NZD Employment
Change (QoQ) (1Q)
Medium 1.0% -1.0%
22:45
NZD Employment
Change (YoY) (1Q)
Medium -0.7% -1.4%
22:45
NZD Participation Rate
(QoQ) (1Q)
Low 67.9% 67.2%
23:50
JPY Official Reserve
Assets (APR)
Low $1254.4B
Thu
May 9
00:00
NZD QV House Prices
(YoY) (APR)
Low 6.5%

11. 01:30
LIVE
AUD Employment
Change (APR)
High 11.0K -36.1K
01:30
LIVE
AUD Unemployment
Rate (APR)
High 5.6% 5.6%
01:30
CNY Consumer Price
Index (YoY) (APR)
High 2.3% 2.1%
01:30
AUD Full Time
Employment Change
(APR)
Medium -7.4K
01:30
CNY Producer Price
Index (YoY) (APR)
Medium -2.3% -1.9%
01:30
AUD Part Time
Employment Change
(APR)
Low -28.7K
01:30
AUD Participation Rate
(APR)
Low 65.1% 65.1%
02:00
JPY Tokyo Avg Office
Vacancies (APR)
Low 8.56%
05:00
JPY Leading Index
(MAR P)
Medium 97.7 97.6
05:00
JPY Coincident Index
(MAR P)
Low 93.2 92.4
08:00
EUR ECB Publishes
Monthly Report
High
08:30
GBP Industrial
Production (YoY)
(MAR)
Medium -1.6% -2.2%
08:30
GBP Manufacturing
Production (YoY)
(MAR)
Medium -2.0% -1.4%
08:30
GBP Industrial
Production (MoM)
(MAR)
Low 0.2% 1.0%
08:30
GBP Manufacturing
Production (MoM)
(MAR)
Low 0.3% 0.8%
11:00
GBP BOE Asset
Purchase Target (MAY)
High 375B 375B
11:00
GBP Bank of England
Rate Decision (MAY 9)
High 0.50% 0.50%
12:00
USD Fed's Lacker
Speaks on Financial
Stability in New York
Low
12:30
CAD New Housing
Price Index (YoY)
(MAR)
Medium 2.1% 2.1%
12:30
USD Initial Jobless
Claims (MAY 4)
Medium 335K 324K
12:30
CAD New Housing
Price Index (MoM)
(MAR)
Low 0.1% 0.2%
12:30
USD Continuing Claims
(APR 27)
Low 3018K 3019K

12. 14:00
GBP NIESR Gross
Domestic Product
Estimate (APR)
High 0.10%
14:00
USD Wholesale
Inventories (MAR)
Medium 0.4% -0.3%
14:00
USD Wholesale Sales
(MoM) (MAR)
Low 0.1% 1.7%
14:30
USD EIA Natural Gas
Storage Change (MAY
3)
Low 43
17:15
USD Fed's Plosser
Speaks on Monetary
Policy in New York
Low
22:45
NZD NZ Card
Spending - Retail
(MoM) (APR)
Medium 0.5% -0.5%
22:45
NZD NZ Card
Spending (MoM) (APR)
Medium -1.2%
23:50
JPY Bank Lending incl
Trusts (YoY) (APR)
Medium
23:50
JPY Trade Balance -
BOP Basis (Yen)
(MAR)
Medium -¥274.0B -¥677.0B
23:50
JPY Adjusted Current
Account Total (Yen)
(MAR)
Low ¥480.4B -¥0.1B
23:50
JPY Bank Lending
Banks ex-Trust (APR)
Low 1.9%
23:50
JPY Current Account
Balance (YoY) (MAR)
Low -5.7% -47.0%
23:50
JPY Current Account
Total (Yen) (MAR)
Low ¥1216.3B ¥637.4B
23:50
JPY Foreign Buying
Japan Bonds (Yen)
(MAY 3)
Low
23:50
JPY Foreign Buying
Japan Stocks (Yen)
(MAY 3)
Low
23:50
JPY Japan Buying
Foreign Bonds (Yen)
(MAY 3)
Low
23:50
JPY Japan Buying
Foreign Stocks (Yen)
(MAY 3)
Low
Fri
May 10
GBP G7 Finance
Ministers, Central Bank
Chiefs, Meet in UK
High
04:00
CNY New Yuan Loans
(APR)
High 767.5B 1060.0B
04:00
CNY Aggregate
Financing (APR)
Low 1480.0B 2544.3B
04:00
CNY Money Supply -
M0 (YoY) (APR)
Low 12.0% 12.4%
04:00
CNY Money Supply -
M1 (YoY) (APR)
Low 11.3% 11.9%

13. 04:00
CNY Money Supply -
M2 (YoY) (APR)
Low 15.5% 15.7%
04:30
JPY Bankruptcies
(YoY) (APR)
Medium -20.0%
05:00
JPY Eco Watchers
Survey: Outlook (APR)
Medium 57.5
05:00
JPY Eco Watchers
Survey: Current (APR)
Low 57.3
06:00
EUR German Trade
Balance (euros) (MAR)
Medium 17.5B 16.8B
06:00
EUR German Current
Account (euros) (MAR)
Low 19.5B 16.0B
06:00
EUR German Exports
s.a. (MoM) (MAR)
Low 0.5% -1.5%
06:00
EUR German Imports
s.a. (MoM) (MAR)
Low 1.5% -3.9%
08:30
GBP Construction
Output (YoY) (MAR)
Medium -6.6% -7.0%
08:30
GBP Visible Trade
Balance (Pounds)
(MAR)
Medium -£9000 -£9416
08:30
GBP Construction
Output (MoM) (MAR)
Low 15.0% 5.5%
08:30
GBP Total Trade
Balance (Pounds)
(MAR)
Low -£3100 -£3642
08:30
GBP Trade Balance
Non EU (Pounds)
(MAR)
Low -£4000 -£4276
12:25
USD Fed's Evans
Speaks at Chicago Fed
Conference
Low
12:30
LIVE
CAD Net Change in
Employment (APR)
High 15.0K -54.5K
12:30
LIVE
CAD Unemployment
Rate (APR)
High 7.20% 7.20%
12:30
Full Time Employment
Change (APR)
Medium -54.0K
12:30
Part Time Employment
Change (APR)
Low -0.4K
12:30
Participation Rate
(APR)
Low 66.7 66.6
13:30
Fed's Bernanke Speaks
at Chicago Fed
Conference
Medium
18:00
USD Monthly Budget
Statement (APR)
Medium $106.0B
18:00
Fed's George Speaks
on the Economy in
Wyoming
Low

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