A summary of ILSR's reports on the local solar opportunity as unsubsidized solar becomes competitive with retail electricity prices in nearly every state.

1. Is Your Utility Ready?
New Report Says Local Solar Could
Power 10% of Country in 10 Years
John Farrell, Senior Researcher

2. We Need to Get Ready for a
Solar Rooftop Revolution
Solar Power is Growing Incredibly Fast ...And the Price is Dropping Rapidly
5,000 30¢
25¢ So
la
3,750 re
le c
20¢ tr
installed ic i
ty
megawatts
2,500 15¢
y
G r id e le c t r ic i t
10¢
1,250
5¢
0 0¢
1995 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

3. Right now...
solar power supplies just
0.1% of our electricity
2012
4,400 MW

4. If the trend continues...
unsubsidized solar power could
(Within supply 10% of our electricity,
10 years) at lower prices.
2022
300,000 MW

5. (Within
10 years)
Solar Could Power Millions of Homes and Businesses
...at a lower price than electricity from the utility
38 million
LOW PRICE
GUARANTEE
21 million
3 million
2012 2017 2022

6. In a decade,
solar becomes
competitive in
almost every state

7. Distributed Solar Potential at Parity with Utility Prices
(megawatts of residential and commercial solar)
2012
3,500
1,200
Percent of Sales
56 1-5%
5-10%
500 10% or more

8. Distributed Solar Potential at Parity with Utility Prices
(megawatts of residential and commercial solar)
360 1140
1200
2022 700 20
580
2600 4400
1100 7200 4000
970 12,000
800 11,000
780
2900 11,000 72001800
2400 2300
5500 10,000 5100
1400
26,000 4800 11,000 990
19008200
4100 6800 3600
12,000
11,000
7300 5000 2800
1800 7000
5100 8500 16,000
7100
32,000
Percent of Sales
590 1-5% 30,000
5-10%
750 10% or more

9. U.S. Year Residential Commercial
2012 14,800 5,500
Solar 2013 20,500 13,200
Parity 2014
2015
33,200
52,400
23,100
27,300
Potential 2016 75,000 33,000
2017 107,000 41,000
2018 130,000 53,700
2019 152,000 63,700
2020 175,000 80,800
2021 182,000 106,000
Installed today:
4,000 MW 2022 190,000 122,000
Megawatts

10. Year Residential Commercial
Solar
Parity
Potential 10% of
U.S. electricity sales
Installed today:
0.1% of electricity sales 2022 190,000 122,000
Megawatts

11. How will we get there?
www.ilsr.org/roofop-revolution/