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Emerging Trends in Digital Video
Joshua M. Wepman
GCA Savvian Advisors
“Tremor Video Kicks Off a Web Ad IPO Wave”
- Peter Kafka
“AOL Buys Web Ad Platform Adap.tv for
$405 Million”
- Melodie Warner
“Hulu Owners Call Off Sale, Instead Pledging
to Invest to Take On Rivals”
- Brian Stelter
“YuMe IPO Start Stronger Than Expected”
- Sam Thielman
“Netflix, 'House of Cards' Trump Traditional
Media on Emmy Nominations”
- David Horsey
“Maker Studios Reaches Deal in Principle to
Acquire Blip”
- Todd Spangler
1
Broad Strategic Focus on Digital Video
$1
$2
$3
$4
$6
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
OnlineVideoAd
Spending($Bn)
Why Does Digital Video Matter?
Rapidly Growing Market (1)
Expanding Market Share (1)
Notes:
(1) Wall Street research.
$57 $58
$63 $64 $67
$1 $2 $3 $4 $6
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
$0
$25
$50
$75
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
YoYGrowth(%)
AdvertisingSpend($Bn)
TV Ad Spend Digital Video Ad Spend Digital Video as % of Total TV Ad Spending
2
3
The Drivers are All Up and to the Right
146
158
169
179 188
196 201
0
50
100
150
200
250
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
USOnlineVideoViewers
(MM)
Scale (1)
Engagement (1)
Time Spent (1)
15%
72%
31%
71%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Worse than TV
Advertising
Same or Better
Impact than TV
Advertising
Awareness Engagement
5
2
0 0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
TV Radio Print Online Video
TimeSpent
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Households(MM)
Penetration (1)
1% (8%) (3%) 41%
Change (%)
Total TV
Households
Connected
TV Devices
Connected TV
Device
Penetration
Notes:
(1) Wall Street research.
Fragmentation Drives Consumption … and Ad Budgets
3 6 7 10
27
63
97
128
137
33
37
43
47
50
54
57 57 58
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2009 2011
WeeklySetUsageperHome
ChannelsReceivableperHome
Average Number of Channels Receivable per Home Weekly Set Usage per Home
Notes:
(1) Wall Street research.
Increasing Choice Drives Higher Consumption (1)
1980-2000 2010+2000-20101930-1980
Network
TV
Cable
TV
Niche
Cable
Digital
Video
4
+
Battle for Media Dollars Blurs Content & Distribution
Funding and investing in
content to drive supply
Acquired Blip to lower
YouTube advertising “tax”
Producing own content to
lower content costs
Acquired DBG to create
agnostic distribution
platform
The future of video will be the combination of content and
distribution to drive greater share of every dollar
5
Content Distribution
Publishers
Transparency
EfficiencyLiquidity
Focus on
Premium
$190
$402
$686
$1,141
$0
$400
$800
$1,200
2011 2012 2013 2014
Programmatic video advertising is growing quickly but evolving
differently than display
TotalRTBVideo
Spend($MM)
Video Advertising is Going Programmatic
Notes:
(1) Forrester Research. 2013.
Fast Growing Market (1)
Brands & Agencies
Drivers
Programmatic Video Enablers
6
• Tweets are
driving TV
engagement
• Results in
increased
ratings
• Creates more
attractive ad
opportunities
• Increasing
volume of
tweets during
popular shows
• Way for
advertisers to
capture
engaged
audiences
Social is driving audience, engagement and advertising
opportunities
Tweets increasing audience and ratings
Viewers are tweeting about shows … and creating inventory
Second Screen Driving Engagement and Dollars
7
Video Advertising Growth Forecast (1)
Notes:
(1) Wall Street Research.
Facebook Could Quickly Become a Major Digital Video Force
$0
$2
$3
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
$0
$1
$2
$3
2013 2015 2017
U.S. Facebook Potential
Facebook % of U.S. Internet Video
Facebook % of U.S. TV
8
• From standing start, Facebook
could have a major impact on
video advertising
• Timeline video ads create new
inventory and broadcast-like
experience
• Initial format designed to drive
branding impact
OTT Platforms Erasing the Distinction Between TV & Digital
OTT&WebApps
TVBudget?
DigitalBudget?
OTT Platforms have the potential to disintermediate the MSOs
and impact how content is monetized
9
Cable Company Not Required!
Convergence is Coming …
• Online platforms
designed for
cross-channel
delivery
• High degree of
targeting
• Higher quality
content designed
for TV-like
experience
• Changing
viewing
behaviors
• Development of
Internet-enabled
TVs to capture
online video
• Incumbents look
to avoid
disruption
Online Offline
Convergence will leverage the best of online and offline to
optimize the video experience for audiences and marketers
10
… But TV is Safe (For Now)
 No universal buying
metric
 Movement toward GRP as
standard
11
New DevelopmentsInhibitors to Digital Growth
 Concern over whether
an ad has actually been
viewed
 Separate technology
vendors and platforms
 Separate Digital vs. TV
media buying agencies
and budgets
 Tech platforms designed
for cross-channel delivery
 New consortium developed
to ensure viewability
 NewFronts highlighted
budget shift
Content
Creators
Publishing
Tools
Delivery / Content
Management
Enablers Monetization
Aggregation /
Portals
2011
2011
2010 2006 2011 2013 2005 2010
2011
2010 2011
2008
2011 2008 2010 2010 2009 2006
2011 2008 2011
2010 2009 2011
2012 2010 2011
2011 2013 2013 2013 2012
2012 2008 2011 2006
Strategics Using Consolidation to Build Video Stack
12
InPlay from
13
Sale of
Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock
Stock
to
We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor Fairness Opinion for Buddy Media We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller
Pending August 2013 January 2013 August 2012 August 2012 August 2012 June 2012 June 2012 May 2012
Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquired by
We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller
May 2012 March 2012 February 2012 January 2012 December 2011 December 2011 November 2011 October 2011 October 2011
Merger with
Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Acquired By Preferred Stock Acquired By Acquired By
Acquired by Acquired by
We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised lolapps We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller
September 2011 August 2011 August 2011 August 2011 August 2011 July 2011 July 2011 May 2011 April 2011
Sale of Subscription Acquisition of JV from Sale of Business Unit Secondary Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquisition of Preferred Stock Acquired by
Music Service to Mogae Consultants Six Apart KK to Sale
We Advised the Seller We Advised the Buyer We Advised the Seller We Advised the Founders Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Buyer Financial Adviser We advised the seller
March 2011 January 2011 January 2011 January 2011 December 2010 December 2010 November 2010 October 2010 October 2010
Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by Preferred Stock
a Subsidiary of
Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor
August 2010 July 2010 June 2010 June 2010 June 2010 January 2010 October 2009 April 2009 February 2009
Proven Leadership in Digital Media Transactions
TOKYO • SAN FRANCISCO • NEW YORK • LONDON • MUMBAI • SHANGHAI
14
Leading Global Advisory Firm
• Leading investment banking firm with over 200 professionals
worldwide
• Publicly traded in Tokyo
• Services include advice on mergers & acquisitions and private
capital finance
• Advised on over $100Bn in transactions since 2004

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Emerging Trends in Digital Video

  • 1. Emerging Trends in Digital Video Joshua M. Wepman GCA Savvian Advisors
  • 2. “Tremor Video Kicks Off a Web Ad IPO Wave” - Peter Kafka “AOL Buys Web Ad Platform Adap.tv for $405 Million” - Melodie Warner “Hulu Owners Call Off Sale, Instead Pledging to Invest to Take On Rivals” - Brian Stelter “YuMe IPO Start Stronger Than Expected” - Sam Thielman “Netflix, 'House of Cards' Trump Traditional Media on Emmy Nominations” - David Horsey “Maker Studios Reaches Deal in Principle to Acquire Blip” - Todd Spangler 1 Broad Strategic Focus on Digital Video
  • 3. $1 $2 $3 $4 $6 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 OnlineVideoAd Spending($Bn) Why Does Digital Video Matter? Rapidly Growing Market (1) Expanding Market Share (1) Notes: (1) Wall Street research. $57 $58 $63 $64 $67 $1 $2 $3 $4 $6 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% $0 $25 $50 $75 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YoYGrowth(%) AdvertisingSpend($Bn) TV Ad Spend Digital Video Ad Spend Digital Video as % of Total TV Ad Spending 2
  • 4. 3 The Drivers are All Up and to the Right 146 158 169 179 188 196 201 0 50 100 150 200 250 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 USOnlineVideoViewers (MM) Scale (1) Engagement (1) Time Spent (1) 15% 72% 31% 71% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Worse than TV Advertising Same or Better Impact than TV Advertising Awareness Engagement 5 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 TV Radio Print Online Video TimeSpent 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Households(MM) Penetration (1) 1% (8%) (3%) 41% Change (%) Total TV Households Connected TV Devices Connected TV Device Penetration Notes: (1) Wall Street research.
  • 5. Fragmentation Drives Consumption … and Ad Budgets 3 6 7 10 27 63 97 128 137 33 37 43 47 50 54 57 57 58 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2009 2011 WeeklySetUsageperHome ChannelsReceivableperHome Average Number of Channels Receivable per Home Weekly Set Usage per Home Notes: (1) Wall Street research. Increasing Choice Drives Higher Consumption (1) 1980-2000 2010+2000-20101930-1980 Network TV Cable TV Niche Cable Digital Video 4
  • 6. + Battle for Media Dollars Blurs Content & Distribution Funding and investing in content to drive supply Acquired Blip to lower YouTube advertising “tax” Producing own content to lower content costs Acquired DBG to create agnostic distribution platform The future of video will be the combination of content and distribution to drive greater share of every dollar 5 Content Distribution
  • 7. Publishers Transparency EfficiencyLiquidity Focus on Premium $190 $402 $686 $1,141 $0 $400 $800 $1,200 2011 2012 2013 2014 Programmatic video advertising is growing quickly but evolving differently than display TotalRTBVideo Spend($MM) Video Advertising is Going Programmatic Notes: (1) Forrester Research. 2013. Fast Growing Market (1) Brands & Agencies Drivers Programmatic Video Enablers 6
  • 8. • Tweets are driving TV engagement • Results in increased ratings • Creates more attractive ad opportunities • Increasing volume of tweets during popular shows • Way for advertisers to capture engaged audiences Social is driving audience, engagement and advertising opportunities Tweets increasing audience and ratings Viewers are tweeting about shows … and creating inventory Second Screen Driving Engagement and Dollars 7
  • 9. Video Advertising Growth Forecast (1) Notes: (1) Wall Street Research. Facebook Could Quickly Become a Major Digital Video Force $0 $2 $3 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% $0 $1 $2 $3 2013 2015 2017 U.S. Facebook Potential Facebook % of U.S. Internet Video Facebook % of U.S. TV 8 • From standing start, Facebook could have a major impact on video advertising • Timeline video ads create new inventory and broadcast-like experience • Initial format designed to drive branding impact
  • 10. OTT Platforms Erasing the Distinction Between TV & Digital OTT&WebApps TVBudget? DigitalBudget? OTT Platforms have the potential to disintermediate the MSOs and impact how content is monetized 9 Cable Company Not Required!
  • 11. Convergence is Coming … • Online platforms designed for cross-channel delivery • High degree of targeting • Higher quality content designed for TV-like experience • Changing viewing behaviors • Development of Internet-enabled TVs to capture online video • Incumbents look to avoid disruption Online Offline Convergence will leverage the best of online and offline to optimize the video experience for audiences and marketers 10
  • 12. … But TV is Safe (For Now)  No universal buying metric  Movement toward GRP as standard 11 New DevelopmentsInhibitors to Digital Growth  Concern over whether an ad has actually been viewed  Separate technology vendors and platforms  Separate Digital vs. TV media buying agencies and budgets  Tech platforms designed for cross-channel delivery  New consortium developed to ensure viewability  NewFronts highlighted budget shift
  • 13. Content Creators Publishing Tools Delivery / Content Management Enablers Monetization Aggregation / Portals 2011 2011 2010 2006 2011 2013 2005 2010 2011 2010 2011 2008 2011 2008 2010 2010 2009 2006 2011 2008 2011 2010 2009 2011 2012 2010 2011 2011 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2008 2011 2006 Strategics Using Consolidation to Build Video Stack 12 InPlay from
  • 14. 13 Sale of Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Stock to We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor Fairness Opinion for Buddy Media We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Pending August 2013 January 2013 August 2012 August 2012 August 2012 June 2012 June 2012 May 2012 Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquired by We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller May 2012 March 2012 February 2012 January 2012 December 2011 December 2011 November 2011 October 2011 October 2011 Merger with Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Acquired By Preferred Stock Acquired By Acquired By Acquired by Acquired by We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised lolapps We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller September 2011 August 2011 August 2011 August 2011 August 2011 July 2011 July 2011 May 2011 April 2011 Sale of Subscription Acquisition of JV from Sale of Business Unit Secondary Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquisition of Preferred Stock Acquired by Music Service to Mogae Consultants Six Apart KK to Sale We Advised the Seller We Advised the Buyer We Advised the Seller We Advised the Founders Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Buyer Financial Adviser We advised the seller March 2011 January 2011 January 2011 January 2011 December 2010 December 2010 November 2010 October 2010 October 2010 Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by Preferred Stock a Subsidiary of Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor August 2010 July 2010 June 2010 June 2010 June 2010 January 2010 October 2009 April 2009 February 2009 Proven Leadership in Digital Media Transactions
  • 15. TOKYO • SAN FRANCISCO • NEW YORK • LONDON • MUMBAI • SHANGHAI 14 Leading Global Advisory Firm • Leading investment banking firm with over 200 professionals worldwide • Publicly traded in Tokyo • Services include advice on mergers & acquisitions and private capital finance • Advised on over $100Bn in transactions since 2004