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Evolution Of The Mobile Ecosystem 16 Sept 2010 iRetroPhone
4B v 1B
75% Jan 2010 - Forrester
17% Jan 2010 - Forrester
September 2009 “The State Of Consumers And Technology: Benchmark 2009, US” Mobile: Older Families Have The Most Phones
What’s Going On?	 Ubiquitous wireless broadband Devices that make it easy to do more than talk Network effects “Affordable” services
The Brick Era: Motorola DynaTAC Bell Labs proposed the idea of a cellular network in 1947 Japan launched first (analog) network in 1979; Nordic network launched in 1981 First handheld mobile phone in the US debuted in 1983; Motorola DynaTAC8000x, cost $4K ($8,762 today)
The Flip Phone  Motorola MicroTAC introduced in 1989; GSM-compatible (2G) and TDMA/Dual-Mode introduced in 1994 Reportedly inspired by Star Trek Pocket-sized
Candy Bar   2G (digital) network launched in Finland in 1991 included SMS
Smart Phones:Nokia 9000 Communicator, 1996
Smart Phones: Palm Treo 180,2002
Smart Phones: Nokia 6650 (3G), 2002
Smart Phones: RIM BlackBerry 58102002
Smart Phones: Motorola RazrV3, 2004
Smart Phones: Apple iPhone, 2007The Touch Era Is Born
SomeiPhone Data Points March 2008: 85% iPhone users access news & info v 13.1% all mobile users and 58% all smart phone users More than 2,000 mobile applications in less than 1 year More than 10,000 mobile applications downloaded w/in 6 months of 3GS (June 2009)
The Mobile Ecosystem Operators and Networks Devices Operating Systems Applications
Operators & Networks China Mobile, >500M subscribers Vodafone, >340M subscribers Telefonica, >265M subscribers America Movil, >182M subscribers Telenor, >164M subscribers       […] Verizon (45% Vodafone), >92M subscribers AT&T, >85M subscribers
Devices More than 4.6 billion cellphones More than 6-in-10 people have cellphones
US Smartphone Market Share
Operating Systems GlobalMarket Share
Applications Frameworks are standardized; devices are not Device variables include Version supported Screen size Processor power Graphics capabilities Number and orientation of buttons
Web As Alternative?	 Web browser as solution to variability versus developing for a platform, such as iPhone or Android But each version of a device may have a different browser and/or a different version Operators set these requirements Problem: device fragmentation
Types : SMS Most basic: SMS Send keyword (“health”) to a shortcode (“12345”) and get something in return Think Twitter, Haiti fundraiser, WashDOT
Types: Mobile Web App Mobile Web Apps Basic HTML, CSS, Javascript Challenge to support multiple devices Logical extension of web apps Alters views in place rather than loading new pages
Types : “Native Apps” Created and compiled for each platform Best-in-class user experience Cannot be easily ported to other devices An exception: games are relatively easy to port
What’s Different? Designing for fingers/touchscreens Memory, CPU, power limits Screen size Task focus Location-based features Iffy-or-slow Internet access
AP
BBC
NPR
Positioning Mobile Seventh mass medium -  TomiAhonen Printing Audio Recording Cinema Radio TV Internet
Positioning Mobile First personal mass medium First always-on mass medium First always-carried mass medium First mass medium where individuals can be identified First mass medium to facilitate the “creative impulse” Source: Mobile Design and Development (p39) and  http://communities-dominate.blogs.com/brands/2007/02/mobile_the_7th_.html
Context Most mobile tasks are short Most mobile tasks are undertaken “in between” something else … waiting in line, riding the bus, walking between meetings
Take-Aways Immediate, Personal $ Is The Question Mobile devices soon to be key gateway to our digital world
Credits ,[object Object]
Man with mobile phone: http://www.flickr.com/photos/blindscapes/3621995479/

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Evolution of the Mobile Ecosystem

  • 1. Evolution Of The Mobile Ecosystem 16 Sept 2010 iRetroPhone
  • 3. 75% Jan 2010 - Forrester
  • 4. 17% Jan 2010 - Forrester
  • 5. September 2009 “The State Of Consumers And Technology: Benchmark 2009, US” Mobile: Older Families Have The Most Phones
  • 6. What’s Going On? Ubiquitous wireless broadband Devices that make it easy to do more than talk Network effects “Affordable” services
  • 7. The Brick Era: Motorola DynaTAC Bell Labs proposed the idea of a cellular network in 1947 Japan launched first (analog) network in 1979; Nordic network launched in 1981 First handheld mobile phone in the US debuted in 1983; Motorola DynaTAC8000x, cost $4K ($8,762 today)
  • 8. The Flip Phone Motorola MicroTAC introduced in 1989; GSM-compatible (2G) and TDMA/Dual-Mode introduced in 1994 Reportedly inspired by Star Trek Pocket-sized
  • 9. Candy Bar 2G (digital) network launched in Finland in 1991 included SMS
  • 10. Smart Phones:Nokia 9000 Communicator, 1996
  • 11. Smart Phones: Palm Treo 180,2002
  • 12. Smart Phones: Nokia 6650 (3G), 2002
  • 13. Smart Phones: RIM BlackBerry 58102002
  • 14. Smart Phones: Motorola RazrV3, 2004
  • 15. Smart Phones: Apple iPhone, 2007The Touch Era Is Born
  • 16. SomeiPhone Data Points March 2008: 85% iPhone users access news & info v 13.1% all mobile users and 58% all smart phone users More than 2,000 mobile applications in less than 1 year More than 10,000 mobile applications downloaded w/in 6 months of 3GS (June 2009)
  • 17. The Mobile Ecosystem Operators and Networks Devices Operating Systems Applications
  • 18. Operators & Networks China Mobile, >500M subscribers Vodafone, >340M subscribers Telefonica, >265M subscribers America Movil, >182M subscribers Telenor, >164M subscribers […] Verizon (45% Vodafone), >92M subscribers AT&T, >85M subscribers
  • 19. Devices More than 4.6 billion cellphones More than 6-in-10 people have cellphones
  • 22. Applications Frameworks are standardized; devices are not Device variables include Version supported Screen size Processor power Graphics capabilities Number and orientation of buttons
  • 23. Web As Alternative? Web browser as solution to variability versus developing for a platform, such as iPhone or Android But each version of a device may have a different browser and/or a different version Operators set these requirements Problem: device fragmentation
  • 24. Types : SMS Most basic: SMS Send keyword (“health”) to a shortcode (“12345”) and get something in return Think Twitter, Haiti fundraiser, WashDOT
  • 25. Types: Mobile Web App Mobile Web Apps Basic HTML, CSS, Javascript Challenge to support multiple devices Logical extension of web apps Alters views in place rather than loading new pages
  • 26. Types : “Native Apps” Created and compiled for each platform Best-in-class user experience Cannot be easily ported to other devices An exception: games are relatively easy to port
  • 27.
  • 28. What’s Different? Designing for fingers/touchscreens Memory, CPU, power limits Screen size Task focus Location-based features Iffy-or-slow Internet access
  • 29. AP
  • 30. BBC
  • 31. NPR
  • 32. Positioning Mobile Seventh mass medium - TomiAhonen Printing Audio Recording Cinema Radio TV Internet
  • 33. Positioning Mobile First personal mass medium First always-on mass medium First always-carried mass medium First mass medium where individuals can be identified First mass medium to facilitate the “creative impulse” Source: Mobile Design and Development (p39) and http://communities-dominate.blogs.com/brands/2007/02/mobile_the_7th_.html
  • 34. Context Most mobile tasks are short Most mobile tasks are undertaken “in between” something else … waiting in line, riding the bus, walking between meetings
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. Take-Aways Immediate, Personal $ Is The Question Mobile devices soon to be key gateway to our digital world
  • 39.
  • 40. Man with mobile phone: http://www.flickr.com/photos/blindscapes/3621995479/
  • 41.
  • 42. iPhoneapp images made using my device
  • 43. Woman with mobile phone: http://www.flickr.com/photos/jamesjustin/2894092846/
  • 44. Man with mobile phone: http://www.flickr.com/photos/blindscapes/3621995479/
  • 45. Three generations with mobile phone: http://www.flickr.com/photos/olliesphotos/333193604/

Notas del editor

  1. How did we get from here to there? iRetroPhone
  2. 4 billion cellphones in the world – 1 billion pcsSource: http://www.forrester.com/rb/Research/engaging_smartphone_users/q/id/56086/t/2
  3. Three-quarters of information workers are using or are interested in a smartphone for work.– Jan 2010 - ForresterSource: http://www.forrester.com/rb/Research/collaboration_needs_will_fuel_smartphone_surge/q/id/48066/t/2#heading1
  4. US Adults use smart phones – Jan 2010 - ForresterSource: http://demo.venturebeat.com/2010/01/05/smartphone-usage-continues-to-grows-in-us-according-to-forrester-research/
  5. Source: Forresterhttp://www.forrester.com/rb/Research/state_of_consumers_and_technology_benchmark_2009%2C/q/id/54959/t/2#figure10
  6. More: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motorola_DynaTAChttp://www.retrobrick.com/moto8000.htmlhttp://www.mobile-review.com/print.php?filename=/articles/2007/form-factors-en.shtmlThe first DynaTac-powered call took place on April, 3 of 1973 in New York, Dr. Cooper was in the street near Manhattan Hilton, and the base station was placed on the roof of Burlington Consolidator Tower (Alliance Capital Building today). And at the moment of his triumph, Dr. Cooper called… Joel Engel. Their conversation was roughly as follows: “Hi Joel – guess where I'm calling from?' Joel, I'm calling you from a 'real' cellular telephone. A portable handheld telephone”.
  7. More: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motorola_MicroTAChttp://www.pcworld.com/article/180725/motorola_microtac.html
  8. http://www.mobile-review.com/articles/2007/form-factors2-en.shtml
  9. From http://www.freelance-writers.org/?p=222http://www.premiumwp.net/uncategorized/the-evolution-of-mobile-phones-11-pictures/
  10. http://danbricklin.com/log/treo180.htmhttp://reviews.cnet.com/smartphones/palm-treo-180/4505-6452_7-7629257.htmlhttp://palmwebos.org/2009/04/02/motionapps-the-company-behind-classic/
  11. From A Brief History of the Mobile Phone, M:Metrics data, New York Times article
  12. http://www.chinamobileltd.com/ir.php?menu=11http://mobile.engadget.com/2009/09/22/china-mobile-hits-a-half-billion-subscribers/http://www.vodafone.com/start/about_vodafone/who_we_are.htmlhttp://www.telefonica.com/en/about_telefonica/html/home/home.shtmlhttp://www.americamovil.com/http://www.telenor.com/en/about-us/our-business/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/At%26thttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vodafone#The_Americashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verizon_Wireless
  13. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_number_of_mobile_phones_in_usehttp://www.usatoday.com/tech/news/2009-03-02-un-digital_N.htmhttp://arstechnica.com/gadgets/news/2010/05/mobile-market-up-smartphones-up-iphone-and-android-way-up-1.ars
  14. Source: http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2010/3/comScore_Reports_January_2010_U.S._Mobile_Subscriber_Market_Share
  15. Smartphonesv pc
  16. Windows Phone viPhone – windows image from marketplace; iPhone image from my device
  17. Android viPhone – Android image from marketplace; iPhone image from my device
  18. Android viPhone – Android image from marketplace; iPhone image from my device
  19. http://www.scribd.com/doc/5306682/Tomi-Ahonens-Mobile-As-The-7th-Mass-Media-Excerpt
  20. WHY social media as a communications tool? Mobile : ubiquitous
  21. Mobile ubiquitous : three generations
  22. Mobile ubiquitous : The fourth generation