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Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing


The Power of Out of Home Audiences in the Digital Age

                                                                                     Insert Photo




      Jay Leon                               Brad Fay                               Carol Edwards
         VP                                    COO                                       SVP


          Additional Authors: Jack Wakshlag, CRO Turner; Carol Frost; VP and Chris Peck, Arbitron
Out of Home Viewing: How Important? How Valuable?




  TV Everywhere
  •    Trends point toward expanding opportunities to consume TV out of home
  •    Out of home sports viewing is particularly popular
  But How to Measure?
  •Nielsen NPM focuses on in-home viewing
      Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
      What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                     2
We Studied Two Turner Sporting Events
                                   MLB Playoffs
                                        (2011)
NBA Playoffs (2011)




   Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
   What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing   3
Two Methods: Quantity & Quality


  Quantity of Out of Home Audience
  •       Arbitron undertook a major series of studies to estimate the size of out of home
          viewing for the three sporting events.
  •       The goal was to measure the relative size and composition of the out of home
          audience in order to show advertisers the value of this “extra” audience.
  Quality of Out of Home Audience
  •       Keller Fay Group measured the word of mouth conversations about advertisers for
          the three sporting events
  •       Hypothesis was that WOM levels would be higher for audiences exposed to
          broadcasts out of home vs. at home
  •       If true, could show that audience value would be higher out of home, due to
          greater engagement, advocacy and reach for messaging via WOM


      Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
      What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                   4
Two Empirical Generalizations

1.   Out-of-home audiences for major
     sporting event television are large
     enough to have a material impact
     on media planning and buying
     decisions.


2.   Out-of-home sports television
     audiences are even more valuable
     than at-home audiences because
     they generate more WOM
     conversations about advertised
     brands.
     Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:           5
     What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing       5
Findings: Out-of-Home Audience Size &
Composition
Arbitron Portable People MeterTM Methodology


                                                          •   Arbitron’s Portable People MeterTM
                                                              (PPM) panel:
                                                               –   PPM = Passive, electronic, persons-level
                                                                   measurement device which resembles a cell-phone
                                                               –   Representative sample (70,000 panelists aged 6+) in
                                                                   44 U.S. markets.




• Tournaments covered:
    • 2011 NBA playoffs and the 2011 MLB playoffs


   Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                                                  7
   What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                                                  7
Arbitron Measured Size & Composition of
    the Out of Home Audience

•     NBA playoff games were broadcast on Turner’s TNT in May 2011.




                                                                      8
    Source: Arbitron audience data in top 44 markets


           Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
           What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing           8
Arbitron Measured Size & Composition of
    the Out of Home Audience

•     MLB Playoff games were telecast on Turner’s TBS network in October 2011.




    Source: Arbitron audience data in top 44 markets                             9

           Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
           What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                      9
Findings: Word of Mouth Engagement with
Advertised Brands
Turner & Keller Fay Group Studies Measured Relative Value of
Out-of-Home Sports Audiences

                                                           •   Keller Fay’s TalkTrack® WOM survey
                                                               expanded to measure WOM for major
                                                               advertisers.
                                                                –   Booster samples utilized for NBA playoffs & NCAA
                                                                    tournament.
                                                                –   Compared WOM levels for “out of home” viewers vs. “at
                                                                    home”
                                                                –   Also compared WOM levels during playoffs vs. earlier in
                                                                    season and non-season.
                                                           •   As with all TalkTrack® surveys…
                                                                –   Representative sample of consumers kept track of
                                                                    category/brand conversations for 24 hours.
                                                                –   Brands recorded in a diary on open ended basis.


 • Tournaments covered:
     • 2011 NBA playoffs and the 2011 MLB playoffs


    Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
    What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                                                  11
NBA Advertiser WOM Peaked During Finals

•    Among the target market, WOM levels for Turner’s 12 largest advertisers were considerably higher compared to the off-season (+18%) and
     even compared to the prior playoff round (+10%), indicating the success of advertisers in raising brand engagement.




    Source: Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®; Off Season Reflects June 14th – Oct. 24th, 2010; NBA Regular Season Reflects Oct. 25th, 2010 – Apr. 10th, 2011; Early Playoffs Reflects Apr. 11th –
    May 15th, 2011; Eastern Conference Finals Reflects May 16th – 29th, 2011.

          Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                                                                                                                           12
          What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                                                                                                                        12
Out-of-Home Viewers Far More Likely to Talk About
    Advertisers vs. At-Home Viewers

•    These findings suggest that an out-of-home viewing context was more conducive to conversations about the
     advertised brands.




     Source: Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®, May 16th – May 29th, 2011.

          Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                                          13
          What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                                       13
MLB Advertiser WOM Highest for OOH Viewers

•    These results again imply an advertiser engagement benefit associated with out-of-home viewing.




     Source: Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®; Sep. 26th – Oct. 16th, 2011.

           Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                                14
           What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                             14
Out of Home Is More Valuable

•   Two factors explain the higher WOM
    stimulative effect of out-of-home
    viewing, both of which represent
    important values to advertisers:
      –    Out-of-home audience has inherent
           characteristics such as youth & affluence –
           tend to support greater WOM engagement
           with brands & advertising
      –    Out-of-home viewing tends to occur in more
           “social” settings, such as a bar or restaurant;
           these
           environments create more opportunities for
           advertising to stimulate conversations about
           brands.

    Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:             15
    What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing          15
Discussion & Implications
Out-of-Home Audiences Need to be Measured

• By not measuring out-of-home, media buyers may be missing larger
  audiences.
    – Restricted in ability to optimize media plans for most attractive consumer targets.
    – Increased efforts to measure OOH audiences are justified not only by their size, but by
      high quality of audience characteristics.




   Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                                 17
   What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                              17
Implications

• Advertisers can take comfort in the knowledge that increasingly “on
  the go” viewing may produce rewards in terms of both audience
  size and engagement.
      – Out-of-home audiences are large enough to have a material impact on media
        planning & buying decisions.
      – Out-of-home audiences are even more valuable than at-home audiences
        because they generate more WOM conversations about advertised brands.
• Challenge for the research community:
      – To provide more and more effective tools for measuring across platforms,
        across locations, and to incorporate “social” effects when studying the impact
        of advertising.
Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                         18
What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                      18
Appendix
Arbitron Portable People MeterTM Methodology



                                                          •   Arbitron’s Portable People MeterTM
                                                              (PPM) panel in 44 markets.
                                                               –   PPM = Passive, electronic, persons-level
                                                                   measurement device which resembles a cell-phone
                                                               –   Representative sample (70,000 panelists aged 6+) in
                                                                   44 U.S. markets.
                                                               –   Panelists carry PPM throughout their day.
                                                               –   PPM records exposures to encoded media content
                                                                   both in-home and out-of-home in order to report the
                                                                   “lift” programming receives from out-of-home
                                                                   viewing over the in-home viewing.




   Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:                                                               20
   What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                                             20
TalkTrack® Methodology

 •       Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®, a national syndicated program
         measuring word of mouth in all forms – face-to-face, over      Mode of Conversations
                                                                         Across All Categories
         the phone, and through the Internet.
           – Over three-quarters of all conversations occur face-to-
             face, as depicted in the pie chart.
 •       The study involves 36,000 online consumers annually,
         yielding approximately 360,000 conversational mentions of
         brands.
 •       Respondents are representative of the US population aged
         13 to 69, use a diary to keep track of their brand
         conversations, then complete an online survey to gather
         detailed information about these conversations.


     Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II:
     What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing                                        21

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The Power of Out of Home Audiences in the Digital Age

  • 1. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing The Power of Out of Home Audiences in the Digital Age Insert Photo Jay Leon Brad Fay Carol Edwards VP COO SVP Additional Authors: Jack Wakshlag, CRO Turner; Carol Frost; VP and Chris Peck, Arbitron
  • 2. Out of Home Viewing: How Important? How Valuable? TV Everywhere • Trends point toward expanding opportunities to consume TV out of home • Out of home sports viewing is particularly popular But How to Measure? •Nielsen NPM focuses on in-home viewing Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 2
  • 3. We Studied Two Turner Sporting Events MLB Playoffs (2011) NBA Playoffs (2011) Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 3
  • 4. Two Methods: Quantity & Quality Quantity of Out of Home Audience • Arbitron undertook a major series of studies to estimate the size of out of home viewing for the three sporting events. • The goal was to measure the relative size and composition of the out of home audience in order to show advertisers the value of this “extra” audience. Quality of Out of Home Audience • Keller Fay Group measured the word of mouth conversations about advertisers for the three sporting events • Hypothesis was that WOM levels would be higher for audiences exposed to broadcasts out of home vs. at home • If true, could show that audience value would be higher out of home, due to greater engagement, advocacy and reach for messaging via WOM Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 4
  • 5. Two Empirical Generalizations 1. Out-of-home audiences for major sporting event television are large enough to have a material impact on media planning and buying decisions. 2. Out-of-home sports television audiences are even more valuable than at-home audiences because they generate more WOM conversations about advertised brands. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 5 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 5
  • 6. Findings: Out-of-Home Audience Size & Composition
  • 7. Arbitron Portable People MeterTM Methodology • Arbitron’s Portable People MeterTM (PPM) panel: – PPM = Passive, electronic, persons-level measurement device which resembles a cell-phone – Representative sample (70,000 panelists aged 6+) in 44 U.S. markets. • Tournaments covered: • 2011 NBA playoffs and the 2011 MLB playoffs Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 7 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 7
  • 8. Arbitron Measured Size & Composition of the Out of Home Audience • NBA playoff games were broadcast on Turner’s TNT in May 2011. 8 Source: Arbitron audience data in top 44 markets Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 8
  • 9. Arbitron Measured Size & Composition of the Out of Home Audience • MLB Playoff games were telecast on Turner’s TBS network in October 2011. Source: Arbitron audience data in top 44 markets 9 Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 9
  • 10. Findings: Word of Mouth Engagement with Advertised Brands
  • 11. Turner & Keller Fay Group Studies Measured Relative Value of Out-of-Home Sports Audiences • Keller Fay’s TalkTrack® WOM survey expanded to measure WOM for major advertisers. – Booster samples utilized for NBA playoffs & NCAA tournament. – Compared WOM levels for “out of home” viewers vs. “at home” – Also compared WOM levels during playoffs vs. earlier in season and non-season. • As with all TalkTrack® surveys… – Representative sample of consumers kept track of category/brand conversations for 24 hours. – Brands recorded in a diary on open ended basis. • Tournaments covered: • 2011 NBA playoffs and the 2011 MLB playoffs Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 11
  • 12. NBA Advertiser WOM Peaked During Finals • Among the target market, WOM levels for Turner’s 12 largest advertisers were considerably higher compared to the off-season (+18%) and even compared to the prior playoff round (+10%), indicating the success of advertisers in raising brand engagement. Source: Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®; Off Season Reflects June 14th – Oct. 24th, 2010; NBA Regular Season Reflects Oct. 25th, 2010 – Apr. 10th, 2011; Early Playoffs Reflects Apr. 11th – May 15th, 2011; Eastern Conference Finals Reflects May 16th – 29th, 2011. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 12 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 12
  • 13. Out-of-Home Viewers Far More Likely to Talk About Advertisers vs. At-Home Viewers • These findings suggest that an out-of-home viewing context was more conducive to conversations about the advertised brands. Source: Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®, May 16th – May 29th, 2011. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 13 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 13
  • 14. MLB Advertiser WOM Highest for OOH Viewers • These results again imply an advertiser engagement benefit associated with out-of-home viewing. Source: Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®; Sep. 26th – Oct. 16th, 2011. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 14 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 14
  • 15. Out of Home Is More Valuable • Two factors explain the higher WOM stimulative effect of out-of-home viewing, both of which represent important values to advertisers: – Out-of-home audience has inherent characteristics such as youth & affluence – tend to support greater WOM engagement with brands & advertising – Out-of-home viewing tends to occur in more “social” settings, such as a bar or restaurant; these environments create more opportunities for advertising to stimulate conversations about brands. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 15 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 15
  • 17. Out-of-Home Audiences Need to be Measured • By not measuring out-of-home, media buyers may be missing larger audiences. – Restricted in ability to optimize media plans for most attractive consumer targets. – Increased efforts to measure OOH audiences are justified not only by their size, but by high quality of audience characteristics. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 17 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 17
  • 18. Implications • Advertisers can take comfort in the knowledge that increasingly “on the go” viewing may produce rewards in terms of both audience size and engagement. – Out-of-home audiences are large enough to have a material impact on media planning & buying decisions. – Out-of-home audiences are even more valuable than at-home audiences because they generate more WOM conversations about advertised brands. • Challenge for the research community: – To provide more and more effective tools for measuring across platforms, across locations, and to incorporate “social” effects when studying the impact of advertising. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 18 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 18
  • 20. Arbitron Portable People MeterTM Methodology • Arbitron’s Portable People MeterTM (PPM) panel in 44 markets. – PPM = Passive, electronic, persons-level measurement device which resembles a cell-phone – Representative sample (70,000 panelists aged 6+) in 44 U.S. markets. – Panelists carry PPM throughout their day. – PPM records exposures to encoded media content both in-home and out-of-home in order to report the “lift” programming receives from out-of-home viewing over the in-home viewing. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: 20 What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 20
  • 21. TalkTrack® Methodology • Keller Fay Group’s TalkTrack®, a national syndicated program measuring word of mouth in all forms – face-to-face, over Mode of Conversations Across All Categories the phone, and through the Internet. – Over three-quarters of all conversations occur face-to- face, as depicted in the pie chart. • The study involves 36,000 online consumers annually, yielding approximately 360,000 conversational mentions of brands. • Respondents are representative of the US population aged 13 to 69, use a diary to keep track of their brand conversations, then complete an online survey to gather detailed information about these conversations. Empirical Generalizations in Advertising II: What Works in the New Age of Advertising & Marketing 21