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Estimation of the Change
 of Glyphosate Volumes
as a Consequence of the Introduction of
   Roundup Ready® Maize in Europe



 Dr Norbert Muelleder
 23 March 2010
 Monsanto International SA
Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (I)


• Base assumptions for modeling*

   – EU 27 glyphosate total market size is hard to determine
   – Glyphosate use in EU 27 continues to slowly increase due to
     discontinuation of other active ingredients
   – EU 27 planting approval for RR maize is granted in 2011
   – RR trait adoption by EU 27 farmers (including stacks) till 2020 will
     be max. 50 % of EU hybrid corn market
   – max. registered Roundup rate in RR maize is 6 l/ha (2160 g ae) per
     cropping season, average total use in RR maize will be 4.5 l (1620
     g ae)
   – Roundup use in RR maize replaces 10 % of glyphosate applications
     in the crop rotation


       * As for all models, this summary is based on estimates, which may or may not reflect the real future situation
Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (II)

     100%
      90%                                                      Roundup use in RR corn
      80%
      70%
      60%
      50%
      40%            Glyphosate use in conventional agriculture
      30%
      20%
      10%
        0%
          2011      2012      2013     2014      2015      2016     2017      2018     2019      2020

Based on the model, even at 50 % trait penetration in 2020, only 22 % of total glyphosate is used in RR maize
in case you are curious: this is just a white whole
NK 603 launch in Europe – June 2008 - NM

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N muelleder

  • 1. Estimation of the Change of Glyphosate Volumes as a Consequence of the Introduction of Roundup Ready® Maize in Europe Dr Norbert Muelleder 23 March 2010 Monsanto International SA
  • 2. Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (I) • Base assumptions for modeling* – EU 27 glyphosate total market size is hard to determine – Glyphosate use in EU 27 continues to slowly increase due to discontinuation of other active ingredients – EU 27 planting approval for RR maize is granted in 2011 – RR trait adoption by EU 27 farmers (including stacks) till 2020 will be max. 50 % of EU hybrid corn market – max. registered Roundup rate in RR maize is 6 l/ha (2160 g ae) per cropping season, average total use in RR maize will be 4.5 l (1620 g ae) – Roundup use in RR maize replaces 10 % of glyphosate applications in the crop rotation * As for all models, this summary is based on estimates, which may or may not reflect the real future situation
  • 3. Development of Roundup Quantity in RR Maize (II) 100% 90% Roundup use in RR corn 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Glyphosate use in conventional agriculture 30% 20% 10% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Based on the model, even at 50 % trait penetration in 2020, only 22 % of total glyphosate is used in RR maize
  • 4. in case you are curious: this is just a white whole NK 603 launch in Europe – June 2008 - NM