STEM: Progression from GCSE to A Level
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Presentation by Andrew Powell, Schools Analysis and Research Division and Aileen Clement, Curriculum Unit
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STEM: Progression from GCSE to A Level
- 1. STEM: Progression from GCSE to A Level Andrew Powell (Schools Analysis and Research Division) and Aileen Clement (Curriculum Unit) Presentation at DCSF Conference: The Use of Evidence in Policy Development and Delivery, 9 February 2010
- 3. Science and maths A level entries between 1996 and 2006
- 6. Triple Science GCSEs (Individual GCSEs in physics, chemistry and biology)
- 8. But Double Science* remains the route through which most pupils progress to A level science… *GCSE Core and Additional Science from 2006
- 11. Developing the triple science target… Steady increase in triple science entries but only a small proportion of pupils entering In 2006 7% of all pupils and 6% of maintained pupils entered triple science
- 14. So what’s the impact…? The proportion of maintained schools offering triple science has more than doubled since 2002 2009 data shows that over 40% of maintained schools in England offer access to triple science GCSEs, an increase of 9ppt on 2008.
- 17. Increasing A level entries in Science and Maths
- 18. Prior attainment is the biggest factor associated with A level Maths take up
- 19. And for Physics take up, although Gender is also a significant factor
- 21. Large increase in A Level Maths entries between 2008 and 2009 An increase of 3,000 entries was required to remain on course for the revised 2014 target. In fact the increase was 7,000. 74,056 pupils entered AS level maths in 2008 – hopefully a similar number will continue to A level in 2009
- 22. On track for Biology and Chemistry targets, but below trajectory for Physics The 2010 points show the number of pupils entering the AS level subjects in 2009. Hopefully a good proportion of these pupils will proceed to A level
- 23. Next Steps
- 24. Targets and trajectories Trends in A level entries for physics, chemistry, biology and maths including forecast until 2014
Notas del editor
- The review took place due to a concern that over the preceding ten years student choices had been moving away from A level science (physics, chemistry and biology) and maths.
- Research shows that pupil prior attainment is the key determinant for progression to A level. This is why our focus is on ensuring a high quality teaching and learning experience for all young people through investment in the curriculum, supply of specialist teachers and the provision of high quality IAG which enables pupils to make informed choices and raise aspirations.
- But misleading to suggest that pupils who don't take triple science are not receiving a strong grounding in physics, chemistry and biology. Through the statutory entitlement of core and additional science, pupils will receive a good foundation in all three sciences which will set them up for further study at A level – most take this progression path. 2008 – 63% of A level science pupils progressed via double science
- Vast majority of pupils who enter A level science were high attainers in Key Stage 3 science. Almost all of these high attaining pupils then enter either GCSE core and additional (‘double’) science or triple science.
- 75% of triple science pupils achieving the highest grades progress to A level science, 59% of double science pupils achieving highest grades do likewise. Proportions for pupils achieving A’s in each of the subjects are 70% for triple and 45% for double (progression to A level subjects in 2008) Pupils achieving at least grade Bs in each subject are more likely to progress to A level science than pupils achieving As in double science
- Increase of 2% ppts in maintained schools between 2002 and 2006 In 2006 30% of schools offered triple science and 27% of maintained schools did likewise
- 14% target based on all maintained schools offering triple science and the proportion of high attaining pupils entering triple science remaining at the same level
- After large increase in entries in 2008 target revised Revised targets based on an increase in the proportion of high attaining pupils taking triple science in schools that offered triple science in 2008, so to reach the 17% target, in 2014 54% of high attainers in schools that offered triple science in 2008 will need to enter triple science
- Considerable increase between 2007 and 2009.
- With this in mind policy colleagues have set a target that by 2014 all maintained schools will offer triple science (currently about 40% do so). This will mean that about 100,000 maintained school pupils will enter triple science in 2014 (2009 figure – 65,000). However if increases in triple science entries continue at the current rate then there will be more than 120,000 maintained triple science entrants in 2014. If the proportion of pupils progressing to A level science from triple science remains steady then one would expect an extra 16,000 maintained pupils to enter triple science in 2014.
- Based on pupils entering A levels in 2007 Pupils who achieve an A* in GCSE maths are 55 times more likely to progress to A level maths than pupils who achieve a B
- Based on pupils entering A levels in 2007 Pupils who achieve an A* in GCSE physics are 10 times more likely to progress to A level physics than pupils who achieve a B
- Original target was that entries would increase back to the levels they were at before the big fall between 2001 and 2002
- 66,208 pupils entered AS level maths in 2008, which was only slightly more than the 64,519 who entered A level maths in 2009 – only about 1,700 pupils only did the AS level. If the numbers are similar for 2010 then more than 72,000 pupils will enter A level maths in 2010 – well above the trajectory to meet the 2014 target
- Looking at increases in entries in the AS level subjects between 2008 and 2009 hopefully entries in the A level subjects will increase by 3,000 for physics and chemistry and by as much as 6,000 for biology These increases are consistent with the large rise in triple science entries in 2008
- Key achievements include meeting the original 2014 maths and chemistry targets and first increases in physics A level take up for 20 years – consecutive increases have been seen in the last two years