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MONETARY
POLICY
2001-09
MONETARY POLICY




Definition:
“Monetary policy is concerned with deciding how much money the
economy should have or perhaps more correctly deciding whether
to increases or decrease the purchasing power of money.”
According to Macconal:


“Changing the money supply to assist the economy to
achieve a full employment”
OBJECTIVE

      Objectives are classified in two aspects

            Under developed countries

            Developed countries
UNDER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

   To achieve full employment
   To have high Efficiency
   To have large scale of resources mobilization
   To increase Exports
   To have high investment
   To provide price and exchange stability
   To have efficient allocation and utilization of resources
   To raise living standards
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES



   To have high aggregate demand without inflation
   Eradicate inflationary and deflationary gap
   High research/ further development
   Providing assistance to other countries
   Gaining monetary control over others
TYPES OF MONETARY POLICY


   Contractionary / Tight monetary policy
         “Tight monetary policy, also called contractionary monetary policy,
    tends to curb inflation by contracting/reducing the money supply”


   Expansionary /Easy monetary policy
“Easy monetary policy, also called expansionary monetary policy, tends to
  encourage growth by expanding the money supply
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY
Quantitative Tools
         Open Market Operations
         Bank Rate
         Cash Reserve Requirement
         Liquidity ratio
         Special deposit

Qualitative Tools
         Credit rationing
         Credit ceiling
         Moral persuasion
         Direct action
         Advertisement
TARGETS FOR MONETARY POLICY:

    Employment, economic growth, and inflation
     can not control directly, it must choose
     settings, or targets, for variables that it can
     control in order to best achieve its goals.

    In practice, there are two types of targets:
1.    Money supply targets.
2.    Interest rate targets.
TARGETS FOR MONETARY POLICY
TARGETS FOR MONETARY POLICY
MONEY SUPPLY TARGETING
OVER VIEW OF DIFFERENT ECONOMIST:
Classical                            Keynesians                              Monetarists
Demand for money is simply for       Demand for money for three              Demand for money related to
spending on forcible transition      motives                                 demand for holding wealth in other
                                          Transaction                        forms. money is direct substitute of
                                          Precautionary                      wealth
                                          Speculative
Full employment                      Always full employment is not
                                     possible
MS has a direct proportional         Ms has a direct but not proportion
relationship with price              relationship with price

                                     Increase in Ms result in low (i) with   increase in MS will directly change
                                     no immediate effect on NI               in NI and PT, with the V remain
                                                                             constant
                                     If people do not want to hold           people will possibly invest it to earn
                                     money, they would invest it to earn     interest ,they may also use it
                                     interest                                invested to buy equities or physical
                                                                             assets
Wages (r) upward and downward        Wages (r)upward flexible and down
flexible                             ward rigid
AGS is vertical                      AGS is positive
Laissez fair                         Government intervention
Saving and income are the function   Saving depend on income and
of interest rate                     investment on interest rate
                                     Changes in MS caused by changes Changes in MS cause changes in
                                     in NI                           the money value of NI
VARIOUS MONETARY POLICY OF SBP IN
  DIFFERENT YEARS
In 2000-01 With the free fall of the Rupee in mid-September
   2000, SBP had to tighten its monetary policy to defend the
   exchange rate
In 2001-02 The tight monetary discipline visible in FY01 was
   perceptibly eased in FY02.
In2002-03 a substantial increase in the annual external
   account surplus and the easier monetary stance of the SBP
   left the money market wash with liquidity during FY03
In 2004-05 During FY04 the thrust of monetary management
   was towards aligning the market expectations with monetary
   policy stance. Initially during FY04 when interest rates were
   under downward pressure
VARIOUS MONETARY POLICY OF SBP IN
 DIFFERENT YEARS
 In 2005-06 April 2005 in response to the headline when
 inflation reaching at 11.3%, SBP remains in monetary
 tightening phase
 In 2006-07During July-April 14, net credit to private sector
 grew by Rs266.4 billion (or 12.6 %) against Rs 339.7 billion
 (or 19.8 %) in the corresponding period of FY05 Despite
 liquidity in the system
 In 2007-08 SBP will be closely monitoring the economic
 developments and outlook for FY07 and will take
 appropriate actions as and when required in pursuit of
 maintaining the objective of price stability without prejudice
 to economic growth.
VARIOUS MONETARY POLICY OF SBP IN
 DIFFERENT YEARS
 In 2008-09The tight monetary policy was continued by
 SBP under the macroeconomic stabilization programme
 and discount rate was raised by 200 bps on 13 November
 2008 resulting in cumulative increase of 300 bps.
 In 2009-10 The overall level of risk and uncertainty in the
 economy has increased and the pressure on the fiscal
 position, has escalated and growth in the real economy is
 limited. Striking a balance between monetary and financial
 stability SBP has decided to support the recovering real
 economic activity Therefore, effective 25th November,
 2009, the SBP policy rate will be lowered by 50 bps to
 12.5 percent
CONCLUSION

     SBP has encountered difficulties to targeting the inflation,
    economic growth, employment and interest rate objectives.
    but still there are certain difficulties which are a huge
    hindrance in the way of Economic Policy. so SBP can
    control all hurdles with some suitable policies………..
(a) improve its capacity to forecast liquidity conditions and
    actively preempt inflationary pressures
 (b) develop a greater understanding of the channels of
    transmission of monetary policy
 (c) have an increasingly transparent policy framework
THANK
YOU………

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Monetary policy

  • 2. MONETARY POLICY Definition: “Monetary policy is concerned with deciding how much money the economy should have or perhaps more correctly deciding whether to increases or decrease the purchasing power of money.” According to Macconal: “Changing the money supply to assist the economy to achieve a full employment”
  • 3. OBJECTIVE Objectives are classified in two aspects Under developed countries Developed countries
  • 4. UNDER DEVELOPED COUNTRIES  To achieve full employment  To have high Efficiency  To have large scale of resources mobilization  To increase Exports  To have high investment  To provide price and exchange stability  To have efficient allocation and utilization of resources  To raise living standards
  • 5. DEVELOPED COUNTRIES  To have high aggregate demand without inflation  Eradicate inflationary and deflationary gap  High research/ further development  Providing assistance to other countries  Gaining monetary control over others
  • 6. TYPES OF MONETARY POLICY  Contractionary / Tight monetary policy “Tight monetary policy, also called contractionary monetary policy, tends to curb inflation by contracting/reducing the money supply”  Expansionary /Easy monetary policy “Easy monetary policy, also called expansionary monetary policy, tends to encourage growth by expanding the money supply
  • 7. TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Quantitative Tools Open Market Operations Bank Rate Cash Reserve Requirement Liquidity ratio Special deposit Qualitative Tools Credit rationing Credit ceiling Moral persuasion Direct action Advertisement
  • 8. TARGETS FOR MONETARY POLICY:  Employment, economic growth, and inflation can not control directly, it must choose settings, or targets, for variables that it can control in order to best achieve its goals.  In practice, there are two types of targets: 1. Money supply targets. 2. Interest rate targets.
  • 12. OVER VIEW OF DIFFERENT ECONOMIST: Classical Keynesians Monetarists Demand for money is simply for Demand for money for three Demand for money related to spending on forcible transition motives demand for holding wealth in other Transaction forms. money is direct substitute of Precautionary wealth Speculative Full employment Always full employment is not possible MS has a direct proportional Ms has a direct but not proportion relationship with price relationship with price Increase in Ms result in low (i) with increase in MS will directly change no immediate effect on NI in NI and PT, with the V remain constant If people do not want to hold people will possibly invest it to earn money, they would invest it to earn interest ,they may also use it interest invested to buy equities or physical assets Wages (r) upward and downward Wages (r)upward flexible and down flexible ward rigid AGS is vertical AGS is positive Laissez fair Government intervention Saving and income are the function Saving depend on income and of interest rate investment on interest rate Changes in MS caused by changes Changes in MS cause changes in in NI the money value of NI
  • 13. VARIOUS MONETARY POLICY OF SBP IN DIFFERENT YEARS In 2000-01 With the free fall of the Rupee in mid-September 2000, SBP had to tighten its monetary policy to defend the exchange rate In 2001-02 The tight monetary discipline visible in FY01 was perceptibly eased in FY02. In2002-03 a substantial increase in the annual external account surplus and the easier monetary stance of the SBP left the money market wash with liquidity during FY03 In 2004-05 During FY04 the thrust of monetary management was towards aligning the market expectations with monetary policy stance. Initially during FY04 when interest rates were under downward pressure
  • 14. VARIOUS MONETARY POLICY OF SBP IN DIFFERENT YEARS In 2005-06 April 2005 in response to the headline when inflation reaching at 11.3%, SBP remains in monetary tightening phase In 2006-07During July-April 14, net credit to private sector grew by Rs266.4 billion (or 12.6 %) against Rs 339.7 billion (or 19.8 %) in the corresponding period of FY05 Despite liquidity in the system In 2007-08 SBP will be closely monitoring the economic developments and outlook for FY07 and will take appropriate actions as and when required in pursuit of maintaining the objective of price stability without prejudice to economic growth.
  • 15. VARIOUS MONETARY POLICY OF SBP IN DIFFERENT YEARS In 2008-09The tight monetary policy was continued by SBP under the macroeconomic stabilization programme and discount rate was raised by 200 bps on 13 November 2008 resulting in cumulative increase of 300 bps. In 2009-10 The overall level of risk and uncertainty in the economy has increased and the pressure on the fiscal position, has escalated and growth in the real economy is limited. Striking a balance between monetary and financial stability SBP has decided to support the recovering real economic activity Therefore, effective 25th November, 2009, the SBP policy rate will be lowered by 50 bps to 12.5 percent
  • 16. CONCLUSION SBP has encountered difficulties to targeting the inflation, economic growth, employment and interest rate objectives. but still there are certain difficulties which are a huge hindrance in the way of Economic Policy. so SBP can control all hurdles with some suitable policies……….. (a) improve its capacity to forecast liquidity conditions and actively preempt inflationary pressures (b) develop a greater understanding of the channels of transmission of monetary policy (c) have an increasingly transparent policy framework