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From the OECD Review of
Newcastle to the Sub National
 Review: What real hope for
    reducing disparities?
Public Service Agreement
        Delivery Agreement 7
            2008/09-2010/11


‘Improve the economic
performance of all English regions
and reduce the gap in economic
growth rates between regions’

                     HM Treasury (2007)
‘Government regional economic policy aims
to narrow the gap in growth rates across the
country. But this fails to recognise that
economic performance has always been
uneven. The ranking of cities’ economic
performance has changed little over the
years - cities have always grown at different
rates, and they always will. Despite a long-
term commitment to regional convergence,
and billions of pounds of investment by
RDAs, Local Authorities and other public
bodies, little progress has been made’.
             Centre for Cities (2010) Cities Outlook 2010 page 17
North East GVA
                                                               where UK =100

86.0




84.0




82.0




80.0




78.0




76.0




74.0
       1989

              1990

                     1991

                            1992

                                   1993

                                          1994

                                                 1995

                                                        1996

                                                                1997

                                                                       1998

                                                                              1999

                                                                                     2000

                                                                                            2001

                                                                                                   2002

                                                                                                          2003

                                                                                                                 2004

                                                                                                                        2005

                                                                                                                               2006

                                                                                                                                      2007

                                                                                                                                             2008
                                                                ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
GVA 2008
                                               where UK =100


180.0
                                                                                 London
160.0


140.0


120.0


100.0


 80.0

                                                                         North East
 60.0


 40.0


 20.0


  0.0
        1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
GVA Durham & Tees Valley
                                    where UK =100

85.0



80.0



75.0



70.0



65.0



60.0
       19 95


               19 96


                       19 97


                               19 98


                                       19 99


                                               20 00


                                                          20 01


                                                                  20 02


                                                                          20 03


                                                                                  20 04


                                                                                          20 05


                                                                                                  20 06


                                                                                                          20 07
                                                       ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
OECD Review of Newcastle in the North East
• Central government is the dominant actor in regional
  economic development

• Collective action and identity appears to be as much
  rooted in localities and different cities within the region
  than the regional level, with internal and inwards
  looking divisions and animosities appearing to
  dominate. The basic conditions for building a mode of
  governance are therefore not strong

• There is, of course, no single best level for government
  organisation anywhere. Nevertheless, there is evidence
  from other OECD countries to suggest that governance
  arrangements at a metropolitan or functional urban
  level make sense for issues such as housing, transport,
  economic development, culture, organisation of retail,
  environment, universities, and land use planning
OECD Review of Newcastle in the North East
•   The reality is that not all communities will benefit equally from the
    region’s growth…..it is for example clear that growth is coming form the
    urban core of the region and this is likely to continue.

•   The concentration of growth and related resources in the City of
    Newcastle (and Tyne and Wear County) suggests that in building the
    critical mass, the city region should strengthen the role of the urban core
    as the growth centre in building the critical mass.

•   A focus on high technology sectors suggests a spatial concentration of
    development in the urban core of the region, with an accompanying
    transport strategy so as to improve the connectivity in the region and
    beyond, thereby enhancing the spatial mobility of the population

•   [However] there is an ambivalence and lack of consensus in the region
    about the role of Newcastle in the region’s future.

•   Finally, as the strategy requires choices to be made as to where (and
    where not) to put resource, a high degree of transparency in decision
    making, and political support are required
Increase in GVA 2006-07


             6




             5



             4
Percentage




             3



             2




             1




             0
                  Hartlepool and South Teesside   Darlington    Durham CC    Northumberland   Tyneside   Sunderland
                 Stockton-on-Tees


                                                                     ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
Growth in GVA 2006-2007 at Current prices


            800


            700


            600


            500
£ million




            400


            300


            200


            100


             0
                    Hartlepool and   South Teesside    Darlington    Durham CC    Northumberland   Tyneside   Sunderland
                  Stockton-on-Tees



                                                                       ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
Headline GVA at Current Prices


              16 000


              14 000


              12 000


              10 000
£ m illio n




               8 000


               6 000

                                                                                                                  Hartlepool and Stockton-on-Tees
               4 000                                                                                              South Teesside
                                                                                                                  Darlington
               2 000                                                                                              Durham CC
                                                                                                                  Northumberland
                                                                                                                  Tyneside
                  0
                                                                                                                  Sunderland
                       1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007
Sub National Review
• Streamlining the regional tier; including Ministers for the Regions, Regional
  Grand Committees, Regional Select Committees, abolition of Regional
  Assemblies ‘in their current form’, RDAs to prepare Integrated Regional
  Strategies?…local authorities to have stronger role of scrutiny over
  RDAs…a new regional Forum of Local Authority Leaders

• Delegation of RDA funding to local authorities ‘where capacity exists’

• A new statutory economic ‘duty’ for local authorities. Support for
  establishment of City Development Companies; use of Local Asset Backed
  Vehicles, Supplementary Business Rates, Working Neighbourhoods Fund

• Encourage groups of local authorities to develop ‘Multi Area Agreements’
  to agree collective targets for economic development

• Allow ‘sub regions’ to strengthen sub regional management of transport

• Allow groups of neighbouring local authorities to establish statutory sub
  regional arrangements
Sub National Review: A Critique
• To strengthen ‘every tier’ and ‘all local authorities’

• Effecting spatial prioritisation within new Integrated Regional Strategies?
  Led by economic policy or by land use?

• What role for Ministers of Regions? Regional Forum?

• Delegation of RDA funding to local authorities….for what purpose? …
  and on what basis? … who determines capacity?

• Core Cities not mentioned despite showing strongest growth

• What is it to be? city regions or sub regions? or neighbouring local
  authorities working together?

• MAAs …no statutory or financial basis…no money….so what motivation
  to change behaviour or prioritise on a spatial basis?
Problems for Central Government
• Legislative: Retrenchment of institutional positions during
  lengthy passage of primary legislation. Quasi judicial role of
  RSS. Implications of general election?

• Departmentalism: What real traction from Depart. Communities
  & Local Government compared to HM Treasury, Cabinet Office,
  DBIS, DWP? What impact of revolving Ministers?

• A real shift of spatial prioritisation during cycle of fiscal
  tightening?

• How to reconstruct RDAs to perform a new and different task?/
  What role for Government Offices in the Regions?
Problems at the Sub National Level
• Local government of limited leverage, financial capacity & freedoms

• In the absence of more elected Mayors, how to build capacity of risk
  averse local authorities?

• Continuing artificial administrative boundaries (and establishment of
  unitary county authorities in some places)

• No power hierarchy of local or regional agencies of government

• Much local delivery through agents of national government (LSC, Job
  Centre Plus, Homes & Communities Agency, Universities, Regional
  Development Agencies etc) driven by central demands; lacking legitimacy
  to make difficult spatial decisions

• What relationship between Local Area Agreements and Multi Area
  Agreements?
Bigger Problems?
• Unresolved reconciliation of traditional (HMT led) neo-liberal supply side
  ‘people’ & ‘firm’ economics with growing importance and political
  transparency of ‘place’ economy

• Investing in places of growth & opportunity, or in places of need
  regardless of opportunity?

• Managing the apparent retreat (of some departments) from the regional
  level and easily from explicit target to Reduce Regional Disparities

• Managing political and parochial aspirations of heavily represented rural
  areas, formal industrial and coastal towns, suburban areas etc

• Political gain or political pain?

• …..as the government maintains the massive scale and economic
  importance of London and greater South East by quietly pouring cash
  into London & South East e.g. T5 & Runway 3 at LHR, High Speed 1,
  expansion at Stansted, Cross Rail, Olympics, Thames Gateway etc

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From Oecd To SNR

  • 1. From the OECD Review of Newcastle to the Sub National Review: What real hope for reducing disparities?
  • 2. Public Service Agreement Delivery Agreement 7 2008/09-2010/11 ‘Improve the economic performance of all English regions and reduce the gap in economic growth rates between regions’ HM Treasury (2007)
  • 3. ‘Government regional economic policy aims to narrow the gap in growth rates across the country. But this fails to recognise that economic performance has always been uneven. The ranking of cities’ economic performance has changed little over the years - cities have always grown at different rates, and they always will. Despite a long- term commitment to regional convergence, and billions of pounds of investment by RDAs, Local Authorities and other public bodies, little progress has been made’. Centre for Cities (2010) Cities Outlook 2010 page 17
  • 4. North East GVA where UK =100 86.0 84.0 82.0 80.0 78.0 76.0 74.0 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
  • 5. GVA 2008 where UK =100 180.0 London 160.0 140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 North East 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
  • 6. GVA Durham & Tees Valley where UK =100 85.0 80.0 75.0 70.0 65.0 60.0 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
  • 7.
  • 8. OECD Review of Newcastle in the North East • Central government is the dominant actor in regional economic development • Collective action and identity appears to be as much rooted in localities and different cities within the region than the regional level, with internal and inwards looking divisions and animosities appearing to dominate. The basic conditions for building a mode of governance are therefore not strong • There is, of course, no single best level for government organisation anywhere. Nevertheless, there is evidence from other OECD countries to suggest that governance arrangements at a metropolitan or functional urban level make sense for issues such as housing, transport, economic development, culture, organisation of retail, environment, universities, and land use planning
  • 9. OECD Review of Newcastle in the North East • The reality is that not all communities will benefit equally from the region’s growth…..it is for example clear that growth is coming form the urban core of the region and this is likely to continue. • The concentration of growth and related resources in the City of Newcastle (and Tyne and Wear County) suggests that in building the critical mass, the city region should strengthen the role of the urban core as the growth centre in building the critical mass. • A focus on high technology sectors suggests a spatial concentration of development in the urban core of the region, with an accompanying transport strategy so as to improve the connectivity in the region and beyond, thereby enhancing the spatial mobility of the population • [However] there is an ambivalence and lack of consensus in the region about the role of Newcastle in the region’s future. • Finally, as the strategy requires choices to be made as to where (and where not) to put resource, a high degree of transparency in decision making, and political support are required
  • 10. Increase in GVA 2006-07 6 5 4 Percentage 3 2 1 0 Hartlepool and South Teesside Darlington Durham CC Northumberland Tyneside Sunderland Stockton-on-Tees ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
  • 11. Growth in GVA 2006-2007 at Current prices 800 700 600 500 £ million 400 300 200 100 0 Hartlepool and South Teesside Darlington Durham CC Northumberland Tyneside Sunderland Stockton-on-Tees ONS Regional GVA from www.statistics.gov.uk
  • 12. Headline GVA at Current Prices 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 £ m illio n 8 000 6 000 Hartlepool and Stockton-on-Tees 4 000 South Teesside Darlington 2 000 Durham CC Northumberland Tyneside 0 Sunderland 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Sub National Review • Streamlining the regional tier; including Ministers for the Regions, Regional Grand Committees, Regional Select Committees, abolition of Regional Assemblies ‘in their current form’, RDAs to prepare Integrated Regional Strategies?…local authorities to have stronger role of scrutiny over RDAs…a new regional Forum of Local Authority Leaders • Delegation of RDA funding to local authorities ‘where capacity exists’ • A new statutory economic ‘duty’ for local authorities. Support for establishment of City Development Companies; use of Local Asset Backed Vehicles, Supplementary Business Rates, Working Neighbourhoods Fund • Encourage groups of local authorities to develop ‘Multi Area Agreements’ to agree collective targets for economic development • Allow ‘sub regions’ to strengthen sub regional management of transport • Allow groups of neighbouring local authorities to establish statutory sub regional arrangements
  • 21. Sub National Review: A Critique • To strengthen ‘every tier’ and ‘all local authorities’ • Effecting spatial prioritisation within new Integrated Regional Strategies? Led by economic policy or by land use? • What role for Ministers of Regions? Regional Forum? • Delegation of RDA funding to local authorities….for what purpose? … and on what basis? … who determines capacity? • Core Cities not mentioned despite showing strongest growth • What is it to be? city regions or sub regions? or neighbouring local authorities working together? • MAAs …no statutory or financial basis…no money….so what motivation to change behaviour or prioritise on a spatial basis?
  • 22. Problems for Central Government • Legislative: Retrenchment of institutional positions during lengthy passage of primary legislation. Quasi judicial role of RSS. Implications of general election? • Departmentalism: What real traction from Depart. Communities & Local Government compared to HM Treasury, Cabinet Office, DBIS, DWP? What impact of revolving Ministers? • A real shift of spatial prioritisation during cycle of fiscal tightening? • How to reconstruct RDAs to perform a new and different task?/ What role for Government Offices in the Regions?
  • 23. Problems at the Sub National Level • Local government of limited leverage, financial capacity & freedoms • In the absence of more elected Mayors, how to build capacity of risk averse local authorities? • Continuing artificial administrative boundaries (and establishment of unitary county authorities in some places) • No power hierarchy of local or regional agencies of government • Much local delivery through agents of national government (LSC, Job Centre Plus, Homes & Communities Agency, Universities, Regional Development Agencies etc) driven by central demands; lacking legitimacy to make difficult spatial decisions • What relationship between Local Area Agreements and Multi Area Agreements?
  • 24. Bigger Problems? • Unresolved reconciliation of traditional (HMT led) neo-liberal supply side ‘people’ & ‘firm’ economics with growing importance and political transparency of ‘place’ economy • Investing in places of growth & opportunity, or in places of need regardless of opportunity? • Managing the apparent retreat (of some departments) from the regional level and easily from explicit target to Reduce Regional Disparities • Managing political and parochial aspirations of heavily represented rural areas, formal industrial and coastal towns, suburban areas etc • Political gain or political pain? • …..as the government maintains the massive scale and economic importance of London and greater South East by quietly pouring cash into London & South East e.g. T5 & Runway 3 at LHR, High Speed 1, expansion at Stansted, Cross Rail, Olympics, Thames Gateway etc