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BMA ARM debate
“Market forces are good for
         the NHS”
    The case against

              Dr Clive Peedell
        Consultant Clinical Oncologist
       James Cook University Hospital
      BMA Council/BMA Political Board
Before the NHS
• NHS Pre 1948 – market system.
  Fragmented care.  (see Geoffrey Rivett nhshistory.net)


  “People did not trouble GPs without good
  cause. Most had to pay for the doctor and
  the medicines.”
  “Pain and discomfort were accepted as
  part of life to be endured with stoicism”
Purpose of the NHS
• Central part of the Welfare State (Beveridge/Bevan)
• To sweep away the failed “market” of voluntary
  sector, private and municipal hospitals, through
  nationalisation
• Pooling of risks. Everyone covered -
  “Universality” by a “Single payer” system
• Based on importance of healthy society, social
  solidarity and social contract between doctors
  and patients
• “A unique example of the collectivist provision of
  healthcare in a market society” (Rudolph Klein)
Political consensus for financing
             the NHS
• All 3 political parties signed up to a single payer publicly
  funded system
• Major evidence to support this:
  Guillebaud report 1951, The Commons Expenditure
  Committee report 1973, Wanless review 2001
• £267 billion underspend 1972-1998 – “The surprise may
  be that the gap in many measured outcomes is not
  bigger, given the size of the cumulative spending gap”
• No wonder that the NHS had problems!
Political consensus in England
   for market based policies
• All 3 main parties support the use of
  market based policies in the provision of
  healthcare
• Greater efficiency and innovation
• Less meddling by Government
• Increased responsiveness to patients
What are the English NHS market policies?
• Purchaser-Provider split between primary
  (PCTs) and secondary care (FTs)
• “Commissioning” of care by PCTs, GPs and
  private sector
• Patient Choice to promote competition (Choose
  and Book, Extended Choice Network)
• Pleurality of providers (FTs, Private companies,
  “Third sector”)
• Payment by Results (PbR) using a tariff system
  (e.g HRG4)
• Patient held budgets
Why oppose market based
       policies?
Market Failure in healthcare -
               Theory
•   Market failure in healthcare is a well recognised problem in theory and practice   (Arrow,
    Brown)
•   1. Patients are not well enough informed to make choices (“Information Asymmetry”)
    2. Healthcare is difficult to commodify. Contracts are complex.
    3. Risk of supplier induced demand
    4. Excess capacity is needed for market choice to work i.e a plurality of providers
    5. Exit is very difficult ie Hospital closures are a political hot potato
    6. Expensive to enter market – e.g ISTCs
    7. Insurance systems will give the cheapest and best coverage to the well, and the
    most expensive and least coverage to the sick
    8. Doctors control access to the healthcare market. Professionalism is a problem
    9. Markets provide for wants rather than needs.
    10. Price signals don't work.
    11. Need for specialty clusters and high volume workload
    12. First duty of investor owned firms is to their shareholders, not patients – “cream
    skimming”
Speech by the Chancellor of
  the Exchequer, Gordon
  Brown, to the Social Market
  Foundation at the Cass
  Business School on Monday
  3 February 2003

“Indeed, the case I have made and experience
elsewhere leads us to conclude that if we were
to go down the road of introducing markets
wholesale into British health care we would be
paying a very heavy price in efficiency and
equity and be unable to deliver a Britain of
opportunity and security for all”



“The very same reasoning which leads us to
the case for the public funding of health care
on efficiency as well as equity grounds also
leads us to the case for public provision of
healthcare”.
Market failure in practice:
                   USA
•   $2.3 trillion dollar system - “Medical Industrial Complex”
•   50 million uninsured. Upto 100million underinsured
•   Massive costs to employers e.g GM
•   62% of all personal bankruptcies (900,000/year) due to
    medical expenses. 78% had “insurance” (User fees/Top
    ups)
•   30% budget on transaction costs
•   Massive CEO pay. Healthcare fraud
•   Poorer outcomes for life expectancy and infant/maternal
    mortality rates
•   Plagued by undertreatment and overtreatment – “islands
    of excellence in a sea of misery”
CEO pay in the USA
Humana
Current CEO: Michael.B.Mccallister
Compensation 2009: $5 million and has $50 million stock options

UnitedHealth
CEO: Stephen J Helmsley
Compensation 2009: $3 million and stock options worth $660 million
n.b previous CEO, Bill McGuire involved in $1.5 billion stock
  options scandal

Aetna
CEO: Ronald A Williams
Compensation 2009: $24 million and stock options worth $170 million
n.b Former Aetna CEO John Rowe earned $175 million in 65 months
   ($225,000 per day!!)
                                                              (Forbes)
Why do insurance systems fail
           patients?
• Poorest have greatest burden of ill health
• Insurance premiums highest for the least
  well
• Human genome project
Market Failure in practice:
                England
•   “All evidence and analysis shows that the actually existing market
    created by New Labour is likely to exacerbate the terrible social
    injustices of unequal access to healthcare and unequal health
    outcomes” (Raine, McIvor, Lancet 2006)

•   Ed Balls: “On public services, the Government talked a technocratic
    language, using words like “contestability”, and seemed sometimes
    to suggest that private sector solutions were always better – when
    public services users just wanted guarantees of good schools,
    hospitals and policing”
Evidence for market failure:
• Transaction costs: University of York (15% NHS budget
  versus 5%)
  Commissioning contracts, Commodification (HRG coding),
  Managerialism (91% increase in NHS managers, consulting),
  NHS IT system to provide information for “consumers”
• Excess capacity – e.g ISTCs, Polyclinics, CATS, Third sector
• High regulatory costs – CQC, CCP, Monitor
• Primary care versus secondary care
• Marketing costs - branding
• Attack on professionalism and public service ethos
• .............And I’ve not even mentioned the PFI!
Deprofessionalisation




• Market systems reject medical
  professionalism and the public service
  ethos
• BMA Campaign!
Doctors and NHS market
             reforms
• Doctors control access the healthcare system –
  an obstacle to the market
  “Professionals are in a profound sense not just
  non-market, but antimarket” (Professor David
  Marquand, Decline of the Public)
• Hence the BMA LAON campaign!
• Attack on the medical profession ever since the
  Griffiths report,1983 – managerialism (NPM)
• Working for Patients white paper - End of the
  “Double Bed” of policy making (Klein, BMJ)
“Knights and Knaves”

• Le Grand’s “Knights and Knaves” metaphor. Public
  Choice Theory. Public servants are “self interested
  rent-seekers”. He argued that “public policy should be
  designed so as to empower individuals: turn pawns
  into queens”.
• Public Services are best delivered through consumer
  choice and the market. Rejection of “Trust” model
• “American medical profession has lost public support
  faster than any other professional group”. (Blendon. JAMA
  1989)

• Knights become Knaves - “Le Grand Paradox”
  (Peedell. BMA ARM 2010)
PMETB
•   Government took control of training through PMETB
•   British Journal of General Practice editorial described how the proposals for
    the establishment of the Medical Education Standards Board (which later
    became PMETB):
    “…. are clearly intended to enable the Secretary of State of the day to direct
    that standards can be lowered to meet the manpower demands of the
    NHS
•   President of the RCA, Peter Hutton, pointed out:
    “For a Government dedicated to a quality service, I found it surprising to see
    the statement: ‘The competent authorities (e.g the STA) typically apply
    considerably higher standards than the minima specified by law’. Quite
    frankly, thank goodness they do”.
•   Clear agenda for a drive towards minimal standards rather than excellence
MMC

•   MMC – competency based, minimal standards, tick box culture.
    Tooke report: “Aspiring to excellence” cited MMC for aspiring to
    mediocrity.
•   MMC designed to produce a “fit for purpose” medical workforce :
    “...most importantly, (MMC) will deliver a modern training scheme
    and career structure that will allow clinical professionals to support
    real patient choice” (DH Website)
•   Recent briefing from NHS Employers stated:
    “The future NHS will not require all doctors to progress to the
    current role of
    consultant. New roles and structures must be developed that will
    meet the needs of employers....”
Academia
•   Cuts in University funding
•   Academic redundancy
•   Tick box culture
•   SPA time
•   Bureaucracy
•   “Spirit of inquiry”
Clinical leadership in the NHS
             market
• “Without doctors, attempts at radical large-
  scale change were doomed to fail.”
 (Ham/Dickinson. Engaging Doctors in Leadership: A review of the literature
 2007).

• Strong “Clinical Leadership” (Darzi
  reforms).
• “Service Line Management” (business
  units) - Doctors to become more
  entrepreneurial
• “Change Agents” to deliver market based
  reforms
If market failure is such a
problem in healthcare then why
     have so many countries,
 including England, gone down
           this route?

   It’s the economy, stupid!
     (And some politics and philosophy)
Global neoliberalism and the
consequences for healthcare policy in the
             English NHS
      (Presented at IAHPE 2009)
Neoliberalism in a nutshell          (see Steger and Roy)




• The dominant political, economic and
  philosophical doctrine of the past 30 years
• Liberalisation and deregulation of trade and
  finance. Maximum market freedom with
  minimal Government intervention
• “Efficient market hypothesis” - Self correcting
• Markets and market practices are the solution to
  all our problems!
• “No more boom and bust”, “The end of history”
• Basis of Thatcherism, Reaganomics, Blairism,
  Brownism and CamCleggism
Margaret Thatcher, 1975:
“This is what we believe”
The demands of markets on
          nation states
• Prudent fiscal policy
• Low taxation
• Low inflation
• Marketisation and privatisation of public
  services, property, PFI/PPPs
• Use of private sector management
  practices
• “TINA” because of risk of “capital flight”
• Erosion of sovereignty of nation states
“New Labour”
•   4 successive election defeats (‘79, ’83, ‘87, ‘92)
•   “In economic management, we accept the global economy as a
    reality and reject the isolationism and ‘go-it-alone’ policies of the
    past” (Labour Party Election Manifesto 1997)
•   In his Mansion House Speech in 1997, Gordon Brown said that for a
    government to succeed it has no option but to, “convince the
    markets that they have the policies in place for long term stability.”
•   Blair’s Chicago Speech 2004: ‘Every day about $1 trillion moves
    across the foreign exchanges, most of it in London. Any government
    that thinks it can go it alone is wrong. If the markets don’t like your
    polices, they will punish you.’ “New Reality”
•   Social democratic model abandoned in favour of a variant of
    neoliberal Thatcherism (Eric Shaw. Losing Labour’s Soul. 2007)
•   “We are all Thatcherites, now” (Peter Mandelson, The Guardian 2001)
A succinct summary of New Labour’s
        political position by 2 Labour MPs
•   “After years in opposition and
    with the political and economic
    dominance of neoliberalism,
    New Labour essentially raised
    the white flag and inverted the
    principle of social democracy.
    Society was no longer to be
    master of the market, but its
    servant. Labour was to offer a
    more humane version of
    Thatcherism, in that the state
    would be actively used to help
    people survive as individuals in
    the global economy - but
    economic interests would
    always call all the shots”
    (John Cruddas MP and Jon Tricket MP –
    New Statesman, 2007)
Opening up public services
•   “Services are coming to dominate the economic activities of countries at virtually every stage of
    development, making services trade liberalisation a necessity for the integration of the World
    economy” International Chamber of Commerce

•   “Unless Labour made public services more like the market first, the Tories would just do it on
    their own terms” (Alan Milburn, quoted in the Guardian)

•   “The commodification of public space has now become an aggressive Blairite objective”
    Roy Hattersley, Labour MP (quoted in the Guardian, 7th November 2005)


•   Gordon Brown leaked letter to CBI in response to one of it’s documents;
    “A reform agenda of choice and the use of competition and greater contestability , involving the
    independent sector, must be driven forward for public services” (Timmins BMJ 2007)

•   “All public services have to be based on a diversity of independent providers who compete for
    business in a market governed by Consumer choice. All across Whitehall, any policy option now
    has to be dressed up as “choice”, “diversity”, and “contestablity”. These are the hallmarks of the
    “new model public service”
    John Denham MP, former Health Minister quoted in 2006
• “In this environment of greater choice, increased
  contestability and competition driving improvements in
  services, there is a greater need to ensure rules
  and guidance exist to encourage competition and
  the effective operation of markets.”
• Professor Chris Ham stated that the CCP rules were
  written by a “Neoliberal economist on speed” (Ham,
  HSJ 2009)
Conclusions
• The NHS is the most popular institution in Britain
• Little evidence to support market forces in the
  organisation and provision of healthcare
• Market in a single payer system makes no
  sense
• Erosion of professionalism
• The fear of “capital flight” in globalised
  unregulated financial markets has eroded
  sovereignty of nation states.
• The NHS is now open for business with the
  international healthcare industry poised to profit
• The BMA should be proud of the LAON
  campaign.
• What is best for patients also is best for doctors
BMA debate on market forces in the NHS

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BMA debate on market forces in the NHS

  • 1. BMA ARM debate “Market forces are good for the NHS” The case against Dr Clive Peedell Consultant Clinical Oncologist James Cook University Hospital BMA Council/BMA Political Board
  • 2. Before the NHS • NHS Pre 1948 – market system. Fragmented care. (see Geoffrey Rivett nhshistory.net) “People did not trouble GPs without good cause. Most had to pay for the doctor and the medicines.” “Pain and discomfort were accepted as part of life to be endured with stoicism”
  • 3. Purpose of the NHS • Central part of the Welfare State (Beveridge/Bevan) • To sweep away the failed “market” of voluntary sector, private and municipal hospitals, through nationalisation • Pooling of risks. Everyone covered - “Universality” by a “Single payer” system • Based on importance of healthy society, social solidarity and social contract between doctors and patients • “A unique example of the collectivist provision of healthcare in a market society” (Rudolph Klein)
  • 4. Political consensus for financing the NHS • All 3 political parties signed up to a single payer publicly funded system • Major evidence to support this: Guillebaud report 1951, The Commons Expenditure Committee report 1973, Wanless review 2001 • £267 billion underspend 1972-1998 – “The surprise may be that the gap in many measured outcomes is not bigger, given the size of the cumulative spending gap” • No wonder that the NHS had problems!
  • 5. Political consensus in England for market based policies • All 3 main parties support the use of market based policies in the provision of healthcare • Greater efficiency and innovation • Less meddling by Government • Increased responsiveness to patients
  • 6. What are the English NHS market policies? • Purchaser-Provider split between primary (PCTs) and secondary care (FTs) • “Commissioning” of care by PCTs, GPs and private sector • Patient Choice to promote competition (Choose and Book, Extended Choice Network) • Pleurality of providers (FTs, Private companies, “Third sector”) • Payment by Results (PbR) using a tariff system (e.g HRG4) • Patient held budgets
  • 7. Why oppose market based policies?
  • 8. Market Failure in healthcare - Theory • Market failure in healthcare is a well recognised problem in theory and practice (Arrow, Brown) • 1. Patients are not well enough informed to make choices (“Information Asymmetry”) 2. Healthcare is difficult to commodify. Contracts are complex. 3. Risk of supplier induced demand 4. Excess capacity is needed for market choice to work i.e a plurality of providers 5. Exit is very difficult ie Hospital closures are a political hot potato 6. Expensive to enter market – e.g ISTCs 7. Insurance systems will give the cheapest and best coverage to the well, and the most expensive and least coverage to the sick 8. Doctors control access to the healthcare market. Professionalism is a problem 9. Markets provide for wants rather than needs. 10. Price signals don't work. 11. Need for specialty clusters and high volume workload 12. First duty of investor owned firms is to their shareholders, not patients – “cream skimming”
  • 9. Speech by the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Gordon Brown, to the Social Market Foundation at the Cass Business School on Monday 3 February 2003 “Indeed, the case I have made and experience elsewhere leads us to conclude that if we were to go down the road of introducing markets wholesale into British health care we would be paying a very heavy price in efficiency and equity and be unable to deliver a Britain of opportunity and security for all” “The very same reasoning which leads us to the case for the public funding of health care on efficiency as well as equity grounds also leads us to the case for public provision of healthcare”.
  • 10. Market failure in practice: USA • $2.3 trillion dollar system - “Medical Industrial Complex” • 50 million uninsured. Upto 100million underinsured • Massive costs to employers e.g GM • 62% of all personal bankruptcies (900,000/year) due to medical expenses. 78% had “insurance” (User fees/Top ups) • 30% budget on transaction costs • Massive CEO pay. Healthcare fraud • Poorer outcomes for life expectancy and infant/maternal mortality rates • Plagued by undertreatment and overtreatment – “islands of excellence in a sea of misery”
  • 11. CEO pay in the USA Humana Current CEO: Michael.B.Mccallister Compensation 2009: $5 million and has $50 million stock options UnitedHealth CEO: Stephen J Helmsley Compensation 2009: $3 million and stock options worth $660 million n.b previous CEO, Bill McGuire involved in $1.5 billion stock options scandal Aetna CEO: Ronald A Williams Compensation 2009: $24 million and stock options worth $170 million n.b Former Aetna CEO John Rowe earned $175 million in 65 months ($225,000 per day!!) (Forbes)
  • 12. Why do insurance systems fail patients? • Poorest have greatest burden of ill health • Insurance premiums highest for the least well • Human genome project
  • 13. Market Failure in practice: England • “All evidence and analysis shows that the actually existing market created by New Labour is likely to exacerbate the terrible social injustices of unequal access to healthcare and unequal health outcomes” (Raine, McIvor, Lancet 2006) • Ed Balls: “On public services, the Government talked a technocratic language, using words like “contestability”, and seemed sometimes to suggest that private sector solutions were always better – when public services users just wanted guarantees of good schools, hospitals and policing”
  • 14. Evidence for market failure: • Transaction costs: University of York (15% NHS budget versus 5%) Commissioning contracts, Commodification (HRG coding), Managerialism (91% increase in NHS managers, consulting), NHS IT system to provide information for “consumers” • Excess capacity – e.g ISTCs, Polyclinics, CATS, Third sector • High regulatory costs – CQC, CCP, Monitor • Primary care versus secondary care • Marketing costs - branding • Attack on professionalism and public service ethos • .............And I’ve not even mentioned the PFI!
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  • 19. Deprofessionalisation • Market systems reject medical professionalism and the public service ethos • BMA Campaign!
  • 20. Doctors and NHS market reforms • Doctors control access the healthcare system – an obstacle to the market “Professionals are in a profound sense not just non-market, but antimarket” (Professor David Marquand, Decline of the Public) • Hence the BMA LAON campaign! • Attack on the medical profession ever since the Griffiths report,1983 – managerialism (NPM) • Working for Patients white paper - End of the “Double Bed” of policy making (Klein, BMJ)
  • 21. “Knights and Knaves” • Le Grand’s “Knights and Knaves” metaphor. Public Choice Theory. Public servants are “self interested rent-seekers”. He argued that “public policy should be designed so as to empower individuals: turn pawns into queens”. • Public Services are best delivered through consumer choice and the market. Rejection of “Trust” model • “American medical profession has lost public support faster than any other professional group”. (Blendon. JAMA 1989) • Knights become Knaves - “Le Grand Paradox” (Peedell. BMA ARM 2010)
  • 22. PMETB • Government took control of training through PMETB • British Journal of General Practice editorial described how the proposals for the establishment of the Medical Education Standards Board (which later became PMETB): “…. are clearly intended to enable the Secretary of State of the day to direct that standards can be lowered to meet the manpower demands of the NHS • President of the RCA, Peter Hutton, pointed out: “For a Government dedicated to a quality service, I found it surprising to see the statement: ‘The competent authorities (e.g the STA) typically apply considerably higher standards than the minima specified by law’. Quite frankly, thank goodness they do”. • Clear agenda for a drive towards minimal standards rather than excellence
  • 23. MMC • MMC – competency based, minimal standards, tick box culture. Tooke report: “Aspiring to excellence” cited MMC for aspiring to mediocrity. • MMC designed to produce a “fit for purpose” medical workforce : “...most importantly, (MMC) will deliver a modern training scheme and career structure that will allow clinical professionals to support real patient choice” (DH Website) • Recent briefing from NHS Employers stated: “The future NHS will not require all doctors to progress to the current role of consultant. New roles and structures must be developed that will meet the needs of employers....”
  • 24. Academia • Cuts in University funding • Academic redundancy • Tick box culture • SPA time • Bureaucracy • “Spirit of inquiry”
  • 25. Clinical leadership in the NHS market • “Without doctors, attempts at radical large- scale change were doomed to fail.” (Ham/Dickinson. Engaging Doctors in Leadership: A review of the literature 2007). • Strong “Clinical Leadership” (Darzi reforms). • “Service Line Management” (business units) - Doctors to become more entrepreneurial • “Change Agents” to deliver market based reforms
  • 26. If market failure is such a problem in healthcare then why have so many countries, including England, gone down this route? It’s the economy, stupid! (And some politics and philosophy)
  • 27. Global neoliberalism and the consequences for healthcare policy in the English NHS (Presented at IAHPE 2009)
  • 28. Neoliberalism in a nutshell (see Steger and Roy) • The dominant political, economic and philosophical doctrine of the past 30 years • Liberalisation and deregulation of trade and finance. Maximum market freedom with minimal Government intervention • “Efficient market hypothesis” - Self correcting • Markets and market practices are the solution to all our problems! • “No more boom and bust”, “The end of history” • Basis of Thatcherism, Reaganomics, Blairism, Brownism and CamCleggism
  • 29. Margaret Thatcher, 1975: “This is what we believe”
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  • 31. The demands of markets on nation states • Prudent fiscal policy • Low taxation • Low inflation • Marketisation and privatisation of public services, property, PFI/PPPs • Use of private sector management practices • “TINA” because of risk of “capital flight” • Erosion of sovereignty of nation states
  • 32. “New Labour” • 4 successive election defeats (‘79, ’83, ‘87, ‘92) • “In economic management, we accept the global economy as a reality and reject the isolationism and ‘go-it-alone’ policies of the past” (Labour Party Election Manifesto 1997) • In his Mansion House Speech in 1997, Gordon Brown said that for a government to succeed it has no option but to, “convince the markets that they have the policies in place for long term stability.” • Blair’s Chicago Speech 2004: ‘Every day about $1 trillion moves across the foreign exchanges, most of it in London. Any government that thinks it can go it alone is wrong. If the markets don’t like your polices, they will punish you.’ “New Reality” • Social democratic model abandoned in favour of a variant of neoliberal Thatcherism (Eric Shaw. Losing Labour’s Soul. 2007) • “We are all Thatcherites, now” (Peter Mandelson, The Guardian 2001)
  • 33. A succinct summary of New Labour’s political position by 2 Labour MPs • “After years in opposition and with the political and economic dominance of neoliberalism, New Labour essentially raised the white flag and inverted the principle of social democracy. Society was no longer to be master of the market, but its servant. Labour was to offer a more humane version of Thatcherism, in that the state would be actively used to help people survive as individuals in the global economy - but economic interests would always call all the shots” (John Cruddas MP and Jon Tricket MP – New Statesman, 2007)
  • 34. Opening up public services • “Services are coming to dominate the economic activities of countries at virtually every stage of development, making services trade liberalisation a necessity for the integration of the World economy” International Chamber of Commerce • “Unless Labour made public services more like the market first, the Tories would just do it on their own terms” (Alan Milburn, quoted in the Guardian) • “The commodification of public space has now become an aggressive Blairite objective” Roy Hattersley, Labour MP (quoted in the Guardian, 7th November 2005) • Gordon Brown leaked letter to CBI in response to one of it’s documents; “A reform agenda of choice and the use of competition and greater contestability , involving the independent sector, must be driven forward for public services” (Timmins BMJ 2007) • “All public services have to be based on a diversity of independent providers who compete for business in a market governed by Consumer choice. All across Whitehall, any policy option now has to be dressed up as “choice”, “diversity”, and “contestablity”. These are the hallmarks of the “new model public service” John Denham MP, former Health Minister quoted in 2006
  • 35. • “In this environment of greater choice, increased contestability and competition driving improvements in services, there is a greater need to ensure rules and guidance exist to encourage competition and the effective operation of markets.” • Professor Chris Ham stated that the CCP rules were written by a “Neoliberal economist on speed” (Ham, HSJ 2009)
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  • 37. Conclusions • The NHS is the most popular institution in Britain • Little evidence to support market forces in the organisation and provision of healthcare • Market in a single payer system makes no sense • Erosion of professionalism • The fear of “capital flight” in globalised unregulated financial markets has eroded sovereignty of nation states. • The NHS is now open for business with the international healthcare industry poised to profit • The BMA should be proud of the LAON campaign. • What is best for patients also is best for doctors