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From:From: Panagopoulos, Mullins, and Avramidis (2018)
What is Sales Force Downsizing and Why
Does it Matter?
 The size of a firm’s sales force downsizing refers to the extent of planned
reductions to a firm’s sales force
 Salespeople are consistently one of the top positions laid off each quarter
 It is a signal of risk that influences investors’ uncertainty regarding a firm’s future
performance (i.e., idiosyncratic risk)
 Sales force downsizing decisions matter to Wall Street
From:From: Panagopoulos, Mullins, and Avramidis (2018)
What Happens When Firms Downsize
their Sales Force?
 Because of lack of information, it’s difficult for investors to evaluate a firm’s “quality”
and “intentions” related to the size of sales force downsizing.
Thus:
 Investors will screen firms for quality cues or the ability of the firm to effectively
compete in the market after the downsizing
 They will specifically screen firms for potential competitive threats
 To mitigate these threats, firms should respond by engaging in high levels of advertising, which
signals competitive viability during sales force downsizing
From:From:
 Sales force downsizing increases firm-idiosyncratic risk, which is a key metric used by
financial analysts to issue the risk ratings of stocks and it lowers subsequent risk-adjusted
returns
 Sales force downsizing can significantly influence a firm’s cost of capital (the rate as which it
borrows money)
 A 7.5% sales force downsizing translate into an increase of 17 basis points in yearly borrowing rates for the firm
 If a downsizing firm elected not to reduce its sales force, it would have avoided an increase of 102 basis points in
yearly borrowing rates
 Sales force management decisions driven by cost management concerns actually have
unintended consequences that will offset any potential cost efficiency gains
 Reducing the sales force by 566 salespeople would provide $38.6 million in short-term cost savings
 However, for the average firm with total liabilities equal to $10,016 million, the 17 basis points translate to an increase
of $17.03 million in financial expenses
 As such, the $38.6 million in cost savings are actually only $21.57 million, without taking into account other
important downstream effects
Sales Force Downsizing Matters to Wall
Street
Panagopoulos, Mullins, and Avramidis (2018)

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Sales Force Downsizing and Firm-Idiosyncratic Risk

  • 1. From:From: Panagopoulos, Mullins, and Avramidis (2018) What is Sales Force Downsizing and Why Does it Matter?  The size of a firm’s sales force downsizing refers to the extent of planned reductions to a firm’s sales force  Salespeople are consistently one of the top positions laid off each quarter  It is a signal of risk that influences investors’ uncertainty regarding a firm’s future performance (i.e., idiosyncratic risk)  Sales force downsizing decisions matter to Wall Street
  • 2. From:From: Panagopoulos, Mullins, and Avramidis (2018) What Happens When Firms Downsize their Sales Force?  Because of lack of information, it’s difficult for investors to evaluate a firm’s “quality” and “intentions” related to the size of sales force downsizing. Thus:  Investors will screen firms for quality cues or the ability of the firm to effectively compete in the market after the downsizing  They will specifically screen firms for potential competitive threats  To mitigate these threats, firms should respond by engaging in high levels of advertising, which signals competitive viability during sales force downsizing
  • 3. From:From:  Sales force downsizing increases firm-idiosyncratic risk, which is a key metric used by financial analysts to issue the risk ratings of stocks and it lowers subsequent risk-adjusted returns  Sales force downsizing can significantly influence a firm’s cost of capital (the rate as which it borrows money)  A 7.5% sales force downsizing translate into an increase of 17 basis points in yearly borrowing rates for the firm  If a downsizing firm elected not to reduce its sales force, it would have avoided an increase of 102 basis points in yearly borrowing rates  Sales force management decisions driven by cost management concerns actually have unintended consequences that will offset any potential cost efficiency gains  Reducing the sales force by 566 salespeople would provide $38.6 million in short-term cost savings  However, for the average firm with total liabilities equal to $10,016 million, the 17 basis points translate to an increase of $17.03 million in financial expenses  As such, the $38.6 million in cost savings are actually only $21.57 million, without taking into account other important downstream effects Sales Force Downsizing Matters to Wall Street Panagopoulos, Mullins, and Avramidis (2018)