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SNEAPA 2013 Friday f1 10_30_after the storm
1. Learning from St. Bernard Parish
SNEAPA - After the Storm: The Planner’s Role
for the Next One
Donald J. Poland, AICP
Don Poland Consulting
www.donaldpoland.com
11. After the Storm: St. Bernard Parish
What we Plan for - Risk Management and Emergency Planning
•We calculate and try to measure risk and exposure to risk:
• Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability = Risk
•We plan for emergency response:
• Preparedness and Evacuation
• First Response
• Search and Rescue and Recovery
•We provide government aid and support in the aftermath for:
•
•
•
•
Loss
Clean-up
Planning
Redevelopment
•We DON’T plan for
•
•
•
•
After the disaster – What to do and how to do it?
How to redevelop – What areas should or should not be rebuilt?
Capacity and management – How do we manage recovery?
We don’t plan for the everyday – How do we manage the everydayness of recovery?
13. After the Storm: St. Bernard Parish
The Challenge of Planning for Recovery
•How do you tell people they can’t rebuild?
•How do you plan and do what is ‘right’
when there is an overwhelming rush to
normalcy
• We must, we will rebuild!!!
•How do you manage government when
every record, document, survey, map, and
permit has been destroyed?
•What do you do when the community has
infrastructure to support a population of
65,000 and you are now 35,000?
•How do you navigate and manage the red
tap, strings, and conditions of Federal and
State aid?
•When is recovery complete? How do we
measure for our return to normalcy?
14. After the Storm: St. Bernard Parish
Lessons I Have Learned
•Rush to normalcy out weighs rational
thought and long term planning.
•The ‘little and simple things’ of everyday
government is magnified and intensified—
doing your job can become challenging?
•We need to plan for ‘after the disaster.’
• What are our threats and what are the
potential impacts of those threats?
• How might those threats impact us—
change our future? [Flood zones,
Hurricanes, Tornados, etc.]
• What systems (policies, procedures,
protocols) do we need to have in place to
manage the outcomes of those threats?
• What are possible alternative futures and
how do we plan for these futures?
15. Southern New England American Planning
Association
After the Storm: The Planner’s Role for the Next One
Thank You!
Don Poland Consulting
www.donaldpoland.com
16. It’s Not Just About
Temperature: Stormwater
Management in a Changing
Climate
Michael Dietz, Ph.D.
CT NEMO
University of Connecticut
SNEAPA Conference Panel
10/18/13
18. Annual precipitation in CT
Source: Miller, et al. 2003. Precipitation in Connecticut. Report No. 38. Institute of
Water Resources, University of Connecticut.
20. Storm Frequency Analysis
100 year flood? 500 year storm?
oProbability of occurrence of a given precipitation event
•
Based on magnitude and duration of a rainfall event
e.g., “the 100-year, 24 hour storm is 8.1 inches”
22. Uses of storm frequency values
o Engineering design of culverts, storm drainage
• TP-40 values (1961)
23. Effects of Using Outdated TP40 Values
o Due to changes in precipitation intensity and
frequency, older return period estimates are
inaccurate
• This can lead to undersized stormwater
infrastructure
o Researchers at Cornell have updated these values
http://precip.eas.cornell.edu/
25. What Can You Do Now?
o Keep track of problem areas
o Digitize if possible
o Make sure that new infrastructure is sized
properly
o Use Low Impact Development where possible
28. After the Storm:
THE PLANNER’S ROLE FOR THE NEXT ONE
POST-DISASTER PLANNING
IN MILFORD, CT
Emmeline Harrigan, AICP, CFM
Assistant City Planner
Floodplain Manager
Milford, CT
29. Year-Round Flooding Potential:
Fall Hurricanes
Winter Nor’easters
Spring Storms/Up stream Melt
Summer Thunderstorms &
Flash Floods
New Haven
30. MILFORD FLOOD FACTS
4,000 Flood zone properties
2,943 flood insurance policies in Milford
$2,935,266 premiums
$631,836,200 insurance in force
2,596 claims paid since 1978
$62,151,650 in closed paid losses
510 Repetitive Loss Properties
42 Severe Repetitive Loss Properties
31. Storm Irene – August 28, 2011
540+
Structures
Damaged
50
Substantially
Damaged
$23M in
insurance
claims
32. Storm Sandy – October 29, 2012
1,000 Structures
Damaged – from
basement heating
systems to full
structural collapse
200+
Substantially
Damaged
Total $$ damages
still unknown
33. Long Term Recovery
From July 2012 to October 2013:
•New construction: 26
•IRENE repair (elevate): 2
•SANDY new: 3
•SANDY repair (elevate): 26
•Residential alteration (elevate): 1
Summary:
New construction is 29;
Elevate is 29
Only 25% of substantially
damaged structures
34. Step 1: Hazard Mitigation Planning
•Required if Community applies for
any Hazard Mitigation Grant
Program funds
•Every 5 years
•Milford’s “Update” increased from
30 pages to 144 pages with 100
pages of Appendices
•Extensive new FEMA guidelines
for vulnerability assessments and
potential property loss analysis
•Start early – approx. 2.5 years
including public outreach and state
and FEMA Region I review time
• HIRE A CONSULTANT!
35. Vulnerability and Repetitive Loss
Identify
Areas and
Neighborhoods
Identify if
Public
Infrastructure
Projects Play a
Role
36. Step 2: Be Prepared to Target Funding
Elevations (some reconstruction allowed):
Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (FEMA)
Severe Repetitive Loss (FEMA)
Housing and Urban Development (HUD)
Secretary of Interior/Historic Preservation Funds
Acquisitions (with an established local policy):
Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (FEMA)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Resource Conservation Service (NRCS)
Public Mitigation Projects (culverts, drainage, etc.)
Hazard Mitigation Grants (FEMA)
US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE)
37. Coastal Resiliency – Planning for the Future
Re-investment, Retreat or a Combination?
38. Re-investment : Elevate & Reconstruct
Facts:
Size: 480 SF
Appraised Value:
$155-160 K
Elevation Cost:
$65-70 K
Site Grade: 3.5
Tax Revenue:
$2,800
New FFE: 12+
40. New Neighborhoods/Different Quality of Life
Demographic
shifts due to
increased costs
Urban aesthetic –
no more quaint
beach cottages
Increased height=
limited
access/ability to
age in place
Check height
limits with local
FD.
41. Focused Retreat/Open Space Purchases
“Houses in the Swamp”
Beneficial Natural Function/More Flood Storage
Protecting Tidal Marshlands and Habitat
Lessen Infrastructure Expansion Burden
Prevent Future Jurisdiction/Ownership Issues
43. Planning a Combined or Phased Approach
Understand Long
Term Municipal
Costs
Understand
Political Dynamic
Engage
discussion about
open space and
ecology
protection
Hire a Third party
facilitator
44. SNEAPA - After the Storm:
The Planner’s Role for the
Next One
Design of Shoreline
Protection and
Waterfront Structures
Azure Dee Sleicher, P.E.
Ocean and Coastal Consultants, Inc.
Trumbull, CT
www.ocean-coastal.com
45
October 2013
45. Discussion Topics:
Design criteria and best
practices for waterfront
structures
Role of regulatory agencies
in facilitating best practices
46
October 2013
46. Residential Property
Greenwich, CT
After Sandy
• New home sufficiently
elevated per FEMA
FIRM map – sustained
little to no damage.
• Scour and
undermining of
concrete seawall
• Timber pier destroyed
47
October 2013
48. Residential Property
Greenwich, CT
Apparent pier structure deficiencies:
• Overall lack of initial design criteria
• Deck elevation too low
• All timber elements
• Undersized hardware
• Piles not embedded deep enough
49
October 2013
49. Residential Property
Greenwich, CT
Seawall design improvements:
•Design for "100-year" storm
wave loads
•Foundation below expected
depth of scour or pinned to rock
•Incorporated weep holes and
crushed stone behind wall for
drainage
50
October 2013
59. Role of Regulatory Agencies for Future Storm Resiliency
• General Permits and Emergency Authorizations
• In-kind/in-place replacement of damaged
shoreline protection structures
• Minimal/no reporting or after-the-fact
permitting
• Allowed owners to quickly rebuild
BUT…
60
October 2013
60. Role of Regulatory Agencies for Future Storm Resiliency
Was this the best idea?
•No engineering/future design criteria required
•No increase in seawall height/protection allowed
Will these structures just fail again during the
next Sandy event?
61
October 2013
61. Role of Regulatory Agencies for Future Storm Resiliency
Take away message…
•We need to urge regulators to require waterfront
structures to be designed by professionals to meet
engineering and material standards as well as account
for sea level rise and effects of climate change.
•There is a lot of guidance available for development
of wave criteria, loads and design of waterfront
structures but very few agencies require certification
as part of the permitting process.
62
October 2013
Notas del editor
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.
Genesis and initial thinking. Jeannine asked when change was occurring at OCC – what is OCC's strategic plan? That started the thought process and through leadership and intervention, we gathered in January for our first meeting for strategic planning session and then went to Chicago. From there it has taken on new meaning, direction, and relevance to OCC throughout the organization.