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Introduction to
  Design, Vision, Strategy, and Plans
                                                                                   Presented by: Bob Johnson




Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
Visit us at
                                                                       Purposes                     www.alisinc.com
                                                                                                    to access this
                                                                                                    presentation,
                                                                                                    complete with audio.




                                                                      • Summarize
                                                                                   key terms and ideas


                                                                      • Define
                                                                                   the need for a logic framework


                                                                      • Establish
                                                                                   how the key terms and ideas
                                                                                   fit together




Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
Transitioning to the Future State




                                                                                   {
               Current Conditions                                                            Future Conditions
                                                                                   Problem


               •      Recognition that we are dissatisfied with the current or existing
                      set of conditions and desire some future set of conditions

               •      Solve the problem of moving from one set of conditions to a
                      future set of conditions




Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
What are Complex Problems?

                                                                                   “A problem, to be a problem, must
                                                                                   contain an unknown. If all was
                                                                                   known, the problem would vanish.”

                                                                                                        - Alan C. Walter




                •     Problem Structure: simple, medium, complex

                •     Complex problems are difficult or impossible to solve because of
                      incomplete, contradictory, and changing requirements that are often
                      difficult to recognize.

                •     Because of interdependencies, the effort to solve one aspect of a
                      problem may reveal or create others

Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
What is Design
                                                                  Design?


                   Environment
                                                                        Adaptation
                                                                                              “If I were given one
                                                                                              hour to save the planet,
                                                                                              I would spend 59
                                             Problem                                          minutes defining the
                                                                                              problem and one minute
                                                                                              resolving it.”
                                                                                   Solution
                                                                                                      -Albert Einstein
                        Assessment




            Design is a methodology for applying critical and creative thinking
                to understand, visualize, and describe complex problems and
                   develop approaches to solve or manage them over time.

Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
Visit us at
               Vision is                                                                                    www.alisinc.com
                                                                                                            to access this
                                                                                                            presentation,
               a sensible and appealing picture of the future                                               complete with audio.




                                                                                   “I believe this nation should commit
                                                                                   itself, to achieving the goal, before this
                                                                                   decade is out, of landing a man on the
                                                                                   moon and returning him safely to the
                                                                                   earth”

                                                                                             - John F. Kennedy, May 25, 1961




Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
What is Strategy?

                                                                    •      Strategy is a logic for how the vision can
                                                                           be achieved

                                                                    •      Strategy is achieving balance between
                                                                           ends-ways-means and risk




         “The game of business used to be like football: size mattered. Then it
         changed to basketball: speed and agility. Today, business is more like
         chess. Customer priorities change continually, and the signals given by
         these changes are vital clues to the next cycle of growth.”

                                                                                                   - Adrian Slywotzky

Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
What is Planning?


            Specific steps, actions, and timetables
              to implement strategies




             “Planning consists of examining the consequences of individual
             actions, then stringing individual actions together into sequences
             and examining the possible consequences of these sequences of
             actions.”

                                                                                   - Dietrich Doerner




Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
How does it come together?




                                                                               {
                              Current State                                                  Future State
                                                                                   Problem


      •     Understand the environment, isolate problems, and develop approaches
            to solve the problems through Design methodologies

      •     Describe the direction/intent for change through Vision statements

      •     Balance ends-ways-means- and risk through Strategy

      •     Conduct detailed Planning to implement the strategy

      •     Assess and adapt during implementation using Design methodologies

Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
Visit us at
            Summary                                                                www.alisinc.com
                                                                                   to access this
                                                                                   presentation,
            Complex problems require systemic solutions                            complete with audio.




   By employing critical and creative
   thinking, organizations can effectively:
           Solve and manage complex problems
           Innovate, lead, and manage change
           Develop visions, strategies, plans,
              assessments, and adaptations
           Improve quality and reduce costs




Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
Introduction to Design, Vision, Strategy, and Plans

                Presented By: Bob Johnson

                Abrams Learning & Information Systems Inc.




To learn more about Complex Problem Solving,
Strategic Planning, and Design

Visit us at
www.alisinc.com
in the Professional Development tab

 Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved

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Intro to vision strategy design and planning

  • 1. Introduction to Design, Vision, Strategy, and Plans Presented by: Bob Johnson Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 2. Visit us at Purposes www.alisinc.com to access this presentation, complete with audio. • Summarize key terms and ideas • Define the need for a logic framework • Establish how the key terms and ideas fit together Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 3. Transitioning to the Future State { Current Conditions Future Conditions Problem • Recognition that we are dissatisfied with the current or existing set of conditions and desire some future set of conditions • Solve the problem of moving from one set of conditions to a future set of conditions Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 4. What are Complex Problems? “A problem, to be a problem, must contain an unknown. If all was known, the problem would vanish.” - Alan C. Walter • Problem Structure: simple, medium, complex • Complex problems are difficult or impossible to solve because of incomplete, contradictory, and changing requirements that are often difficult to recognize. • Because of interdependencies, the effort to solve one aspect of a problem may reveal or create others Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 5. What is Design Design? Environment Adaptation “If I were given one hour to save the planet, I would spend 59 Problem minutes defining the problem and one minute resolving it.” Solution -Albert Einstein Assessment Design is a methodology for applying critical and creative thinking to understand, visualize, and describe complex problems and develop approaches to solve or manage them over time. Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 6. Visit us at Vision is www.alisinc.com to access this presentation, a sensible and appealing picture of the future complete with audio. “I believe this nation should commit itself, to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth” - John F. Kennedy, May 25, 1961 Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 7. What is Strategy? • Strategy is a logic for how the vision can be achieved • Strategy is achieving balance between ends-ways-means and risk “The game of business used to be like football: size mattered. Then it changed to basketball: speed and agility. Today, business is more like chess. Customer priorities change continually, and the signals given by these changes are vital clues to the next cycle of growth.” - Adrian Slywotzky Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 8. What is Planning? Specific steps, actions, and timetables to implement strategies “Planning consists of examining the consequences of individual actions, then stringing individual actions together into sequences and examining the possible consequences of these sequences of actions.” - Dietrich Doerner Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 9. How does it come together? { Current State Future State Problem • Understand the environment, isolate problems, and develop approaches to solve the problems through Design methodologies • Describe the direction/intent for change through Vision statements • Balance ends-ways-means- and risk through Strategy • Conduct detailed Planning to implement the strategy • Assess and adapt during implementation using Design methodologies Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 10. Visit us at Summary www.alisinc.com to access this presentation, Complex problems require systemic solutions complete with audio. By employing critical and creative thinking, organizations can effectively:  Solve and manage complex problems  Innovate, lead, and manage change  Develop visions, strategies, plans, assessments, and adaptations  Improve quality and reduce costs Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved
  • 11. Introduction to Design, Vision, Strategy, and Plans Presented By: Bob Johnson Abrams Learning & Information Systems Inc. To learn more about Complex Problem Solving, Strategic Planning, and Design Visit us at www.alisinc.com in the Professional Development tab Copyright © 2012 Abrams Learning & Information Systems, Inc. All rights reserved

Notas del editor

  1. StartIn today’s world, technological change, international economic integration, domestic market maturation within the more developed countries, and the rise of states and private entities linked to the capitalist system, are creating both hazards and opportunities which requires both governmental and non-governmental organizations to make dramatic improvements in the way they attempt to solve or manage complex, ill-structured problems. Facing complex, ill-structured problems requires a shift away from data-driven prediction to understanding driven anticipation. Making this kind of shifts requires a different way of thinking…that is government agencies, businesses, and academic institutions cannot continue to address what amounts to systems problems using methods and tools appropriate for solving technical problems.Dealing with complex or systems problems requires the capability to think broadly, systemically, and to see the context into which the technical problems fit.  END
  2. StartThis particular webcast is an Abrams Learning and Information Systems thought leadership product that will in a little over three minutes define and summarize key terms and ideas in order to provide you with an understanding of a logic framework for addressing complex or systems problems. In doing this, today’s webcast sets conditions for deeper study and establishes terms of reference for our topic specific webinars.Our approach today consists of three steps.Step 1, we will describe in by describing the universally applicable idea underpinning the need for a complex problem solving model. Second, we define and describe the five key terms associated with complex problem solving. These are complex, ill-structured problems, design, vision, strategy, and plans. And third, we will describe how the ideas and key terms relate to one another.End
  3. StartWhether you’re in the government, private sector, the academic community, or at home, at some point you’ve recognized that you were not happy with your current situation or conditions, and wanted something better. The trick then is to figure out how to make things better. To do this you in essence need a logic framework.The need for a logic framework generally starts with the realization that the existing set of conditions is less than satisfactory and a new set of conditions is desirable. This realization could come about based on changes in the internal or external environment…such as new legislation, changes in leadership, changes in missions or resources, or changes in procedures. For example, in the business world, a companies conditions are a composite of the product or services offered, customers or user groups, markets, technology, production capability, resources, methods of sale, methods of distribution, size growth, and return on investment or profit. New government legislation, for example an increase in payroll taxes, will require a company to reexamine its entire structure or system in order to determine how it can best maintain favorable conditions. Thus, the act of understanding the current conditions, envisioning a future set of conditions, and developing approaches to move from one set of conditions is fundamentally a problem solving process. This is where a logic framework comes in…the logic framework helps you to gain a deeper understanding of the conditions or environment so that you can isolate the specific problems affecting your transition and then develop operational approaches to solve those problems. The key terms associated with a logic framework are as follows.End 
  4. STARTFirst, there is the problem type. In simple problems, the problem is self-evident and there is only one right solution. In medium problems professionals easily agree on the problem but there may be more than one “right” answer.In complex problems professionals have difficulty agreeing on the problem, how to solve it, the most desirable end state, and whether the end state can be attained. In the past six months the United States has had to address complex problems such as the economy, financial markets, loss of manufacturing, challenges in homeland security, recent and ongoing conflicts.A problem whose solution requires a great number of people to change their mindsets and behavior is also likely to be a complex problem. Standard examples of include unemployment, climate change[4], natural hazards, healthcare, the AIDS epidemic, pandemic influenza, international drug trafficking, homeland security, nuclear weapons, and nuclear energy and wasteAlso, the high degree of complexity makes understanding and solving complex problems difficult. The degree of complexity is determined by the presence of multiple interdependent variables, that behave and interact in dynamic, adaptive, and unpredictable ways.To isolate the specific problems in an environment, you must understand that environment from a systems perspective. Gaining this understanding is the purview of design. END
  5. STARTDesign is a comprehensive methodology that enables you to understand the environment from a systems perspective so that you can identify and isolate the specific problems in that environment. It is also a methodology that enables you to develop approaches to solve the problems. Because we are dealing with multiple interdependent variables, we have to be prepared to assess how well the implementation of our solution allows accomplishes our desires and we have to be able to respond to unpredictable changes in the environment that resulted from our actions. We call this adaptation. The design methodology can be used for simple, medium, and complex problems. Because the design methodology allows you to gain a deeper understanding of the environment, it is the essential step to guide the development of a future vision.END
  6. STARTCorporate staffs and executives, political and governmental leaders, military leaders, academic leaders, church leaders, and anyone with responsibility for enterprise efforts use vision to clarify the general nature and direction of change. In the absence of more detailed guidance, vision simplifies hundreds or thousand more detailed decisions, helps motivate people to take action in the right direction, and it helps to coordinate the actions of different people, in effective and efficient ways.For visions to be realized, leaders formulate strategies.END  
  7. STARTGovernment and nongovernment leaders and their teams develop strategies to remain competitive and to reconcile requirements and budgets. In the ends-ways-means-risk model, the ends are "objectives," the ways are the "concepts" for accomplishing the objectives, the means are the "resources" for supporting the concepts and “risk” is the gap between what is to be achieved and the concepts and resources available to achieve the objective. Since there are never enough resources or a clever enough concept to assure 100% success in competitive environment, there is always some risk. The strategist seeks to minimize this risk through his development of the strategy--the balance of ends, ways, and means.Basically, in formulating strategy, leaders and staffs must answer three questions: What is to be done? How is to be done? And What resources are required to do it?For a strategy to be valid, it must have an appropriate balance of objectives, concepts, and resources or its success is at greater risk. Once a strategy has been formulated, there is a need for detailed plans.END
  8. STARTDesign helps you to understand the environment and identify problems, vision sets the direction and intent for change, strategy balances objectives, concepts, and resources and plans enable government and nongovernment leaders and their teams achieve their goals and accomplish objectives.Plans operationalize strategy by identifying individual actions, examining the consequences of the individual actions and then stringing individual actions together into sequences and examining the possible consequences of these sequences of action. So, how does all this come together?ENDWhat sectors of our economy rely on planning to accomplish goals and objectives? What sectors of governance rely on planning to accomplish goals and objectives?
  9. STARTRecognizing that we are not satisfied with the current conditions, we seek to find or create a future situation that is more satisfactory. Figuring out how we move from our current set of conditions to a future set of conditions is the problem we need to solve. We develop a systemic understanding of the environment, isolate problems in that environment, and then develop operational approaches to solve the problems using design methodologiesNext we share our vision on the direction and nature of change using vision statements.We then develop strategies that balance ends-ways-means-risk in order to achieve the visionWe then develop detailed plans that that string together sequences of action that accomplish the goals and objectives outlined in the strategyFinally, we continually assess and adapt to changes in the environment using design methodologiesEND
  10. STARTIn summary, For organizations that invest in improving the ability of their employees to think critically and creatively, there is a four-fold return on investment: First, there is an capability tosolve and manage complex problems Second, there is an increased capability to innovate, lead, and manage changeThird, there is an increased capability to develop comprehensive visions, strategies, plans, assessments, and adaptationsFourth, there is an increased effectiveness, reduced costs, and improved qualityThe purpose of this webcast was to provide you with a logic framework for solving complex problems. We achieved that purpose by describing a general concept and some key terms related to that concept.If you are interested in learning more, please contact us at the following:END
  11. StartIn today’s world, technological change, international economic integration, domestic market maturation within the more developed countries, and the rise of states and private entities linked to the capitalist system, are creating both hazards and opportunities which requires both governmental and non-governmental organizations to make dramatic improvements in the way they attempt to solve or manage complex, ill-structured problems. Facing complex, ill-structured problems requires a shift away from data-driven prediction to understanding driven anticipation. Making this kind of shifts requires a different way of thinking…that is government agencies, businesses, and academic institutions cannot continue to address what amounts to systems problems using methods and tools appropriate for solving technical problems.Dealing with complex or systems problems requires the capability to think broadly, systemically, and to see the context into which the technical problems fit.  END