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From Roads for Vehicles
to Streets for People
Transport’s Role in Making Auckland
the World’s Most Liveable City
Jeffrey Tumlin
Dallas Morning News http://www.dallasnews.com/incoming/20111016-highfive_main.jpg.ece/BINARY/w620x413/HighFive_MAIN.jpg
Dallas Morning News http://www.dallasnews.com/news/transportation/20121125-plan-ahead-then-navigate-lbj-freeway-construction.ece
A strong
conviction that
something
must be done
is the parent of
many bad
measures
Daniel Webster
Ne
Object Thinking
Systems Thinking
Ne
Systems Thinking
Source: Systems-Thinking.org
Source: systemsthinking.org
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1985
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14%
All slides, Centers for Disease Control
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1986
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1987
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4”
person)
No Data <10% 10-14%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1988
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1989
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1990
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1991
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1992
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1993
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1994
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1995
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1996
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1997
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1998
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 1999
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2000
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2001
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2002
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2003
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2004
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2005
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2006
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2007
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2008
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults
BRFSS, 2009
(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)
No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
Image source: Dan Burden
Image source: Dan Burden
Image source: Diabetes Daily
Mixed message?
Image source: Carbolic Smokeball
Image source: Diabetes Daily
1. Think like an economist
Personal Mobility: Most Inefficient Sector
• Cars used only
5% of useful life
• Only 25% of
capacity used
Transportation Demand Management
• Making more efficient
use of existing
infrastructure
• Making sure mobility is
always available,
whenever needed
Quantity
Price
Equilibrium
Time
Waste
Use
Traffic Economics
2:00 AM Noon Midnight7:00 PM7:00 AM
TrafficVolume
LOS F!
Capacity
2. Measure What Matters
Old Speed Paradigm -> Roadway LOS
Source: Reid Ewing
61Level of Service A
62Level of Service F Source: Neighborhoods.org
63Level of Service F Source: Downtown San Jose Blog
What’s important depends upon perspective
Traffic engineer:
64
F A
A FEconomist:
California Shift: Senate Bill 743
LOS
Regional
Average per
Capita
Vehicle
Kilometers
Traveled
3. Use the Right Tools,
and Use them Correctly
“All models are
wrong, but some
are useful.”
George E. P. Box,
Empirical Model-Building
and Response
Surfaces (1987)
Induced and Latent Demand
Congestion
Widen
Roadway
Faster Driving
More People
Drive
Despite
recovery,
driving rates
continue to
decline since
peak in 2005
Source: Eric Jaffe, “Driving in America is Approaching a New Normal.” CityLab http://www.citylab.com/commute/2015/03/driving-in-america-is-
Source: Eric Jaffe, CityLab, “The 10 Biggest Factors Changing Millennial Driving Habits“ http://www.citylab.com/commute/2014/11/the-10-biggest-
factors-changing-millennial-driving-habits/382763/
4. Put the Needs of Daily
Life within Walking
Distance
…and make the walk
delightful
5. Make Cycling Safe and
Pleasant for All Ages
76
Interested but Concerned
Not attracted by bike lanes
Not comfortable in traffic
Will ride in low-volume, low-speed
conditions (boulevards, off-street)
Enthused & Confident
Comfortable in traffic with
appropriate facilities
Prefer shorter trip distances
No way No How
Strong & Fearless
Will ride regardless of facilities
Trip distance not an issue
Source: City of Portland Survey
6. Make Transit
Fast, Frequent, Reliable
and Dignified
Transit is fast, frequent, reliable and dignified
Space Needs per Person
5,000 sq ft
150-400 sq ft
1,500 sq ft
75 sq ft
5
20
20 20
50
Single Occupant
Car at 30 mph
Adapted from infographic by Matthew Blackett/Spacing.ca with data from Victoria Transport Policy Institute
150-400 sq ft
Single Occupant
Car at 60 mph
Bus at 30 mph
with 40-60 pax
Bike at
10 mph
Walk at 3
mph
NotMovingMoving
NelsonNygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Why reallocate space?
Today
• 6 lanes at 28.4 people per
block
With BRT Lanes
• 4 lanes at 28.4 people per
block
• 2 lanes at 225 people per
block
• Capacity for 170 people
per block
• Capacity for 563 people
per block
• BRT triples the person capacity a major arterial
7. Adopt the Right Street
Design Manual
8. Be Smart About Parking
School
Shop
Play
Work
P
P
P
P
PP
TTTT
TTT T TT
T
T
Mixed Use, Park Once District
School
Work
Play
Shop
P
T
T
Results:
• <½ the parking
• <½ the land area
• ¼ the arterial trips
• 1/6th the arterial turning movements
• <¼ the vehicle miles traveled
9. Create a New Vision
It’s not sustainable if it’s not beautiful
NELSONNYGAARD CONSULTING ASSOCIATES © 2013
Jeffrey Tumlin
116 New Montgomery Street, Suite 500
San Francisco CA 94105
USA
+1 415-284-1544
jtumlin@nelsonnygaard.com
@jeffreytumlin
For More Information
Jeffrey Tumlin
Mobility Accessibility Sustainability
116 New Montgomery St, Ste 500
San Francisco, CA 94103
USA
Tel: +1 415-284-1544
jtumlin@nelsonnygaard.com
www.nelsonnygaard.com
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From Roads for Vehicles to Streets for People

  • 1. From Roads for Vehicles to Streets for People Transport’s Role in Making Auckland the World’s Most Liveable City Jeffrey Tumlin
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  • 9. Dallas Morning News http://www.dallasnews.com/incoming/20111016-highfive_main.jpg.ece/BINARY/w620x413/HighFive_MAIN.jpg
  • 10. Dallas Morning News http://www.dallasnews.com/news/transportation/20121125-plan-ahead-then-navigate-lbj-freeway-construction.ece
  • 11. A strong conviction that something must be done is the parent of many bad measures Daniel Webster Ne
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  • 17. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1985 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% All slides, Centers for Disease Control
  • 18. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1986 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14%
  • 19. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1987 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14%
  • 20. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1988 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14%
  • 21. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1989 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14%
  • 22. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1990 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14%
  • 23. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1991 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
  • 24. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1992 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
  • 25. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1993 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
  • 26. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1994 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
  • 27. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1995 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
  • 28. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1996 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19%
  • 29. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1997 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
  • 30. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1998 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
  • 31. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1999 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
  • 32. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2000 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24%
  • 33. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2001 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
  • 34. (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2002 No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
  • 35. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2003 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
  • 36. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2004 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29%
  • 37. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2005 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
  • 38. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2006 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
  • 39. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2007 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
  • 40. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2008 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
  • 41. Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 2009 (*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person) No Data <10% 10-14% 15-19% 20-24% 25-29% ≥30%
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  • 53. Mixed message? Image source: Carbolic Smokeball Image source: Diabetes Daily
  • 54. 1. Think like an economist
  • 55. Personal Mobility: Most Inefficient Sector • Cars used only 5% of useful life • Only 25% of capacity used
  • 56. Transportation Demand Management • Making more efficient use of existing infrastructure • Making sure mobility is always available, whenever needed Quantity Price Equilibrium Time
  • 57. Waste Use Traffic Economics 2:00 AM Noon Midnight7:00 PM7:00 AM TrafficVolume LOS F! Capacity
  • 58. 2. Measure What Matters
  • 59. Old Speed Paradigm -> Roadway LOS Source: Reid Ewing
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  • 62. 62Level of Service F Source: Neighborhoods.org
  • 63. 63Level of Service F Source: Downtown San Jose Blog
  • 64. What’s important depends upon perspective Traffic engineer: 64 F A A FEconomist:
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  • 66. California Shift: Senate Bill 743 LOS Regional Average per Capita Vehicle Kilometers Traveled
  • 67. 3. Use the Right Tools, and Use them Correctly
  • 68. “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” George E. P. Box, Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces (1987)
  • 69. Induced and Latent Demand Congestion Widen Roadway Faster Driving More People Drive
  • 70. Despite recovery, driving rates continue to decline since peak in 2005 Source: Eric Jaffe, “Driving in America is Approaching a New Normal.” CityLab http://www.citylab.com/commute/2015/03/driving-in-america-is-
  • 71. Source: Eric Jaffe, CityLab, “The 10 Biggest Factors Changing Millennial Driving Habits“ http://www.citylab.com/commute/2014/11/the-10-biggest- factors-changing-millennial-driving-habits/382763/
  • 72. 4. Put the Needs of Daily Life within Walking Distance …and make the walk delightful
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  • 74. 5. Make Cycling Safe and Pleasant for All Ages
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  • 76. 76 Interested but Concerned Not attracted by bike lanes Not comfortable in traffic Will ride in low-volume, low-speed conditions (boulevards, off-street) Enthused & Confident Comfortable in traffic with appropriate facilities Prefer shorter trip distances No way No How Strong & Fearless Will ride regardless of facilities Trip distance not an issue Source: City of Portland Survey
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  • 78. 6. Make Transit Fast, Frequent, Reliable and Dignified
  • 79. Transit is fast, frequent, reliable and dignified
  • 80. Space Needs per Person 5,000 sq ft 150-400 sq ft 1,500 sq ft 75 sq ft 5 20 20 20 50 Single Occupant Car at 30 mph Adapted from infographic by Matthew Blackett/Spacing.ca with data from Victoria Transport Policy Institute 150-400 sq ft Single Occupant Car at 60 mph Bus at 30 mph with 40-60 pax Bike at 10 mph Walk at 3 mph NotMovingMoving
  • 82. Why reallocate space? Today • 6 lanes at 28.4 people per block With BRT Lanes • 4 lanes at 28.4 people per block • 2 lanes at 225 people per block • Capacity for 170 people per block • Capacity for 563 people per block • BRT triples the person capacity a major arterial
  • 83. 7. Adopt the Right Street Design Manual
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  • 85. 8. Be Smart About Parking
  • 87. Mixed Use, Park Once District School Work Play Shop P T T Results: • <½ the parking • <½ the land area • ¼ the arterial trips • 1/6th the arterial turning movements • <¼ the vehicle miles traveled
  • 88. 9. Create a New Vision
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  • 90. It’s not sustainable if it’s not beautiful
  • 91. NELSONNYGAARD CONSULTING ASSOCIATES © 2013 Jeffrey Tumlin 116 New Montgomery Street, Suite 500 San Francisco CA 94105 USA +1 415-284-1544 jtumlin@nelsonnygaard.com @jeffreytumlin
  • 92. For More Information Jeffrey Tumlin Mobility Accessibility Sustainability 116 New Montgomery St, Ste 500 San Francisco, CA 94103 USA Tel: +1 415-284-1544 jtumlin@nelsonnygaard.com www.nelsonnygaard.com