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iRobot LBO Acquisition Project




Alin Dev
Ankita Jain
Sameer Mittal
iRobot - Business Model

 iRobot Corporation designs and builds robots for the consumer, government, and industrial
  markets.

 The company offers consumer products, such as floor vacuuming robots, floor washing
  robots, pool cleaning robots, gutter cleaning robots, and programmable robots.

 Its government and industrial products include the 510 PackBot line of small, unmanned
  ground robots; and the 310 small unmanned ground vehicle (SUGV) and 320 SUGV multi-
  purpose ground robots that perform battlefield reconnaissance and bomb disposal, as well as
  the 210 Negotiator for state and local police, and first responders.

 The company also provides 1Ka Seaglider, an underwater vehicle designed for oceanic
  missions to measure temperature, salinity, depth-averaged current, and other data for
  scientific and military planners.

 It sells its robots through chain stores and other national retailers, as well as through its on-
  line store to consumers, the U.S. military, and other government agencies worldwide.

 iRobot Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bedford,
  Massachusetts.


  12/16/2011                                                                        Source: Yahoo Finance
                                                                                                            2
iRobot - Business Model




             Focus on key robotic-specific technologies


12/16/2011                                                3
iRobot’s performance compared to the industry


   In the recently ended third quarter, iRobot's top line surged 28% year on year from increased
    demand in the home robots division and higher product prices.

   There have been substantial increase in sales through internet retail channels. The bottom got an
    impressive 101% boost to $14.1 million.

   Five-year revenue growth stands at an impressive 20.8% CAGR, along with five-year gross profit
    growth of a strong 23.4%.

   Analyst projected EPS growth over the next 5 years is 22.50%.

   Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 3.1M, which is 12.59% of the
    company's 24.62M share float which indicates strong bullish sentiment for the stock.

   Entering iRobot at a higher multiple might be sensible given the strong product portfolio and
    constantly growing product portfolio through innovative additions.

   iRobot is in advanced stages of product development for the health care & oil exploration industry.
    These segments are not yet tapped fully to their potential by the existing players. We expect
    significant growth in iRobot’s revenue in next couple of years.

   Several indicators point to the robotics industry being on an exponential growth path. Key enabling
    technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence, energy storage, computer hardware, sensors, and
    actuators are steadily improving, and revenues are also increasing




12/16/2011                                                                                                4
Good LBO Candidate - iRobot
    Steady and predictable cash flow
      There is significant growth potential in the automation sector. iRobot’s because of it’s technical
      excellence has great potential in capturing a significant market segment.

    Heavy asset base for loan collateral
     High Base asset base in terms of high quality research labs.

    Strong management team
      Attracts talented young professionals from Ivy league schools like MIT. The Co Founders has over 20
      years of experience in technical innovation and management.

    Strong, defensible market position
      Current market leaders in automated home maintenance products. They are also market leaders in
      the industrial and defense remote presence robots.

    Viable exit strategy
      Strong business model and penetration into new market segments e.g. healthcare would easily
      attract strategic and financial buyers.

    Limited working capital requirements
      Minimal requirement except for normal recurring trade payables, expense accruals and operating
      leases, all of which can be funded through working capital, CFO and the working capital line of
      credit.

    Minimal future capital requirements
     Management currently does not anticipate significant investment in property, plant and equipment,
     and believe that the outsourced approach to manufacturing provides them with flexibility in both
     managing inventory levels and financing the inventory.

    Potential for expense reduction
      The company has insignificant debt compared to Equity. Credit Stats looks good even after
      leveraging the company up to a level of 4-5 times EBITDA.


12/16/2011                                                                                                  5
iRobot – Innovative product line




12/16/2011                         6
iRobot – Growth Strategies


             WHAT                            WHY ?
• Focus on Core markets           • Vast market opportunities
  Floorcare                         $6 billion annual market
  Unmanned Ground Robots            8,000 unit requirement for
                                    SUGV/ 4000 unit requirement
                                    for throwable robot


• Do Fewer things better          • Play to market leading
                                    technology strengths
  Leverage technology developed
  by others                         Platforms, autonomy/navigation,
                                    manipulation

                                  • Huge addressable market
• Invest in the Future
                                    Health Care
  Focused on emerging high
  potential markets enabled by      Oil & Gas
  our technology                    Retail



12/16/2011                                                            7
iRobot – Key Growth Potentials

 Expect strong growth in Home robots to continue in future years
  Moving new products, such as the Roomba 700 series and new Scooba, into
  mass retail from their current limited web-based distribution this year.

 Early stage in robotics industry; Likely to see Healthcare pilots
  iRobot is developing robotic solutions to help people live independently for
  longer to address current aging demographics and rising healthcare costs.
  iRobot in association with InTouch health has already fielded 400 remote
  presence robots to assist specialist doctors in urban areas.

 Passage of FY12 defense budget near-term will improve Government
  visibility.

 Scope of expanding into emerging markets.
  Organic growth in all three geographic areas, including North America,
  Europe, and Asia, from current low market penetration and the higher
  performance Roomba going mainstream.

 Outsourcing of Production.
  iRobot has recently started outsourcing the manufacturing to Chinese
  manufacturers. There are significant opportunities for cost savings and
  expansion of EBITDA.


12/16/2011                                                                       8
iRobot – Innovative Products for future growth




12/16/2011                                       9
Intellectual Property – key asset for iRobot

92 US Patents to date with more than 148 pending US patent
applications


                U.S. Patents               Home Robot Patents
             Home   Gov't & Industrials         Dry Floorcare   Other




                                46%                              41%
       54%
                                          59%




12/16/2011                                                              10
iRobot’s - Target Audience




12/16/2011                   11
Dry Floor Care – Huge Addressable Markets
US & Canada $1.75 billions              Latin America – 200 Million
             1%          8%                               1%
                                               1%



                              iRobot
                                                                     iRobot
                              Vaccums
                                                                     Vaccums
                              Others                                 Others
             91%                                    98%


     EMEA $2.1 billions
                                        Asia Pacific $1.7 billions
              3%
                                          3%              5%
                   10%
                                                                iRobot
                              iRobot                            Vaccums
                              Vaccums                           Others
                              Others

                                            92%
         87%
12/16/2011                                                                     12
Business Risks and Mitigating Factors - Suppliers




    •   Large dependence on several single       •   Gives iRobot the opportunity to
        outsourced contract manufacturers.           sell their products to countries
                                                     other than the United States.
    •   All contract manufacturers for home
        robots located in China                  •   Availability of skilled labor in the
                                                     emerging economies at a lower
    •   Lack of direct control over production       price compared to the US.
        capacity and delivery schedules
                                                 •   Efficient Supply Chain and
    •   Lack of direct control over quality          significant cost savings.
        assurance, manufacturing yields and
        production costs

    •   Lack of enforceable contractual
        provisions over the production and
        costs of consumer products




12/16/2011                                                                                  13
Business Risks and mitigating factors – Customers



                                                  •   Contracts with the government
    •   Dependence on the U.S. federal                will lead to stable and significant
        government for a significant portion of       revenue
        revenue approx. 50%
                                                  •   Use of iRobot’s products in critical
    •   Contracts with the U.S federal                government project improve the
        government which could give priority          technical credibility of iRobot’s
        to the government orders before the           product in the eyes of customer.
        more profitable commercial orders.
                                                  •   Plans to expand into the
    •   IP rights – harming ability to compete        healthcare market




12/16/2011                                                                                   14
Business risks and mitigating factors - Competitors




      •      Possible competition from          •   High Barriers to entry because of
                developers of robot floor          High R&D Cost and lack of talented
                   cleaning products,               employee pool.
                small unmanned ground
                   vehicles,                    •   Already established government
                established government             contracts are difficult for the
                   contractors                      competitors to break in.
                developers of small unmanned
                   underwater vehicles.




12/16/2011                                                                               15
iRobot – Committed & highly skilled Management


Colin M. Angle – Co Founder, CEO and Chairman of the board
Angle is an industry pioneer with more than two decades of experience.
B.S. in Electrical Engineering and an M.S. in Computer Science, MIT

Dr. Tom Wagner - Chief Technology Officer
Prior experience at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the
research and development agency of the U.S. Department of Defense, where he
managed programs in robotics, communications, command and control, tele-
health and artificial intelligence.

Jeffery A. Beck - President Home Robots Division
Jeff Beck brings more than 20 years of high-technology leadership to iRobot. Prior
to joining iRobot, Beck served as senior vice president and general manager of the
aerospace and defense division of AMETEK, Inc.

Captain Robert L. Mosses - President Govt. & Industrial Robots Division
Prior to joining iRobot in 2003, Moses served as a career naval officer. As director
of contracts for the Naval Air Systems Command, he supervised more than 800
employees and planned, negotiated and administered contracts worth more than
$20 billion annually.



12/16/2011                                                                             16
iRobot - Financial Growth - Analysts

Revenue, USD Millions                                                EBITDA, USD Millions


                                                            $920                                                                   $185.00

                                                   $800
                                                                                                                         $152.00
                                          $695
                                 $604                                                                          $124.00
                        $525                                                                         $101.00
                 $467
          $401                                                                              $83.00
                                                                                   $71.00
   $299
                                                                            $47

                                                                     $21



   2009   2010   2011   2012 E   2013 E   2014 E   2015 E   2016 E   2009   2010   2011     2012 E   2013 E    2014 E    2015 E    2016 E




   Assuming the growth rates as projected by the management and after adjustment by the
   JP Morgan Analysts report. Approximately Growth Rate of 14%-15% YoY in Revenue



12/16/2011                                                                                                                                   17
iRobot - Financial Growth - Conservative

Revenue, USD Millions                                                EBITDA, USD Millions



                                                            $836                                                              $168
                                                   $745
                                                                                                                     $141
                                          $663
                                 $590                                                                       $118
                        $525
                 $467                                                                               $98
          $401                                                                             $83
                                                                                   $71
   $299
                                                                            $47

                                                                     $21



   2009   2010   2011   2012 E   2013 E   2014 E   2015 E   2016 E   2009   2010   2011   2012 E   2013 E   2014 E   2015 E   2016 E




   Assuming a conservative growth rate in the range of 10-12% YoY in Revenue




12/16/2011                                                                                                                             18
iRobot Valuation – APV Method
APV Method

Assumptions:
Terminal Perpetuity Growth:                    3.0% Assumed perpetual growth
Cost of Capital:
 Pre-tax cost of debt                          9.1%   weighted average cost of debt
 After-tax cost of debt                        6.5%   Assume 28.3% effective tax rate
 Unlevered cost of equity                     13.0%   Risk free rate ( assumed 4%) + assumed 9% market premium for equity
 Levered cost of equity                       25.0%   Assumed minimum LBO hurdle
 Assumed LT Debt/Total Capitalization         46.7%
 Target Wtd Avg Cost of Capital               16.4%

                                        Projected Years Ending December 31,
Free Cash Flow                                  2012         2013       2014          2015         2016
EBITDA                                       82,922      100,640    124,112       152,036      185,125
Less: Depr & Amort                           14,196       15,910     17,883        20,149       22,749                      Perp growth vs. APV
EBIT                                         68,726       84,730    106,229       131,887      162,376                                       825,383
Taxes                                       (19,468)     (24,001)   (30,091)      (37,360)     (45,996)                            0.0%      681,431
After Tax EBIT                               49,258       60,728     76,137        94,527      116,380                             1.0%      721,417
Plus: Depr & Amort                           14,196       15,910     17,883        20,149       22,749                             2.0%      768,674
Less: Capex                                 (17,629)     (18,664)   (21,477)      (24,701)     (28,386)                            3.0%      825,383
Plus/Minus Ch in NWC                         (8,091)      (5,965)    (6,853)       (7,876)      (9,036)                            4.0%      894,693
Free Cash Flow (Unlevered, After Tax)        37,734       52,009     65,690        82,100      101,707                             5.0%      981,330

NPV of FCF @ Unlevered Cost of Equity      225,206

Terminal Value                                 -              -           -            -     1,047,587
Implied Multiple of EBITDA                                                                        5.7x
NPV of TV @ Unlevered Cost of Equity       568,588

Value of Tax Shield
Interest Expense                            32,730        31,724       29,519       26,093      21,158
Tax shield                                   9,271         8,987        8,362        7,391       5,993
NPV @ Pre-tax cost of debt                  31,588

Total APV                                  825,383




    12/16/2011                                                                                                                                         19
iRobot – Peer Group Attributes




     Company                  Industry/Sector             Technology Based   Market Leader   Large Markets   Expanding Markets
                        Appliances/Consumer Goods;
      iRobot             Defense Products & services            ***              ***             ***               ***
                             Defense Products &
 FLIR Systems Inc         Services/Industrial goods             ***               **             ***               ***

Bruker Corporation    Scientific instruments/Technology         ***               **             ***                **

                             Defense Products &
      Heico               Services/Industrial goods             ***              ***             ***                **

      Cognex          Scientific instruments/Technology         ***               **             ***               ***

United Technologies       Aerospace Technologies                ***               ***             ***               ***




 12/16/2011                                                                                                                      20
iRobot Valuation – Comparable Company Analysis


Comparable Company Analysis
                                                                                                                 On the basis of Comparable
                                  iRobot        FLIR        Bruker    United Tech        Heico       Cognex      analysis and the APV method we
Stock price(50 day avg)               31.8         26.0         13.1         76.3            57.7
P/E trailing                          22.6         18.9         24.1         13.8            35.2        20.4    decide the to pay 730 million as
P/E forward                                                     12.4         12.4                                the base price for iRobot.
PEG Ratio                                           1.22         0.98          1.2                               Though for the sensitivity
Profit Margin                        8.15%       13.68%        5.18%        8.35%           9.64%      22.24%
Operating margin                    10.21%       22.81%        11.0%       15.02%          18.21%      27.26%    analysis we have considered a
EBIT ( Mn $)                         45.74       358.10        172.70       235.81          285.90      427.98   range of purchase price and
Revenue ( Mn $)                         448       1,570        1,590       58,090             725         318    calculated the corresponding IRR
EBITDA (Mn $)                            55         442          226       10,000             150          97
EBITDA Margin                        12.3%        28.1%        14.2%       17.21%           20.6%      30.37%    for the equity sponsor. Range of
Total debt ( Mn $)                        -          248         313       11,360             100            -   purchase price considered in the
Market capitalization ( Mn $)           800       3,910        2,010       66,370           2,420       1,450    analysis is 730 million to 805
D/E                                       -        16.01       51.92        47.52            0.02            -
Enterprise Value ( Mn $)               800        4,158        2,323       77,730           2,520       1,450    million.
equity betas                           1.47            1         1.19         1.15             1.2       1.41

EV/Revenue                             1.54          2.4        1.34         1.25           3.30         3.88
EV/EBITDA                             12.59        9.41        10.28         7.77          16.80        15.03

EV/EBITDA (median)                                   10.3
iRobot has a range of businesses, we have selected the median of the closest companies

                                       9.3         10.3         11.3
EV/EBITDA(ttm)                     659,523      730,602      801,680
EV/EBITDA(forward)                 769,416      852,338      935,261




12/16/2011                                                                                                                                     21
iRobot – Peer Group Multiple Values


                4                                                      CGNX

               3.5


                3

                                   FLIR
EV / REVENUE




               2.5
                                                           HEI
                2

                                               IRBT
               1.5           UTX

                1                  BRKR


               0.5


                0
                     6   7           8     9          10         11   12      13



                                          EV / EBITDA


12/16/2011                                                                         22
iRobot Valuation – Model Basic Assumptions

  •   Available debt has been assumed to be 5 times of EBITDA. This is in accordance to the information available
      in the Berkshire case.

  •   Though debt is only 48% in the recommended capital structure, we cannot go beyond this based on the
      interest coverage and the information available in The Pitchbook decade report.

  •   Interest rate on the senior debt and the working capital line has been taken from the Berkshire case.

  •   We are assuming a 0.5% commitment fees on the unused working capital line.

  •   3% is the financing fees

  •   1% is the transaction expense

  •   Mezzanine gets an 8% warrant

  •   Management has 20% initial contribution in the equity. Their existing stake in equity is 12%.

  •   Management has further been given a 10% options. The strike price is the going in valuation.




12/16/2011                                                                                                          23
iRobot – LBO Model

 SOURCES
  Revolving Credit Facility                               10,000        1.3%        0.1x
  Senior Unsecured Note                                  250,000       33.4%        3.5x
  Mezznine Debt and warrant                              100,000       13.3%        1.4x
 Total Debt                                              360,000       48.0%        5.1x
 Common Equity
  Management                                              77,862       10.4%        1.1x
  Sponsor                                                311,446       41.6%        4.4x
 Total Equity                                            389,308       52.0%        5.5x
 Total Sources                                           749,308      100.0%       10.5x


 USES
  Purchase Price                                         730,602
  Plus: debt assumed                                           0
  less: excess cash                                            0

 Total Purchase Price                                    730,602       97.5%
 Financing Fees                                           11,400        1.5%
 Transaction Expenses                                      7,306        1.0%
 Total Uses                                              749,308      100.0%

                                                        w/o fees      w/ fees
 Purch Price/LTM Full Year 2011 EBITDA                    10.3x        10.5x
 Purch Price/Forward 2012 EBITDA                           8.8x         9.0x




  Assumption: the excess cash is given out in the form of dividends to the shareholders at the time of purchase




12/16/2011                                                                                                        24
iRobot – LBO Model ( Return Analysis)

RETURNS ANALYSIS                                             2011                               2016
Investor                                            Ownership       % of $ Ownership       Options Ownership

 Sponsor                                                311,446       80.0%                             65.6%
 Management                                              77,862       20.0%                             16.4%
Management options                                                                          10.0%       10.0%
Mezznine warrants                                                                            8.0%        8.0%
Total Equity                                            389,308      100.0%                  0.0%      100.0%

                                                                                                                                    Mult. Of
                                                           2011        2012         2013     2014        2015        2016    IRR     Invest.

Equity Returns                                 At         10.5x
  Sponsor                                              (311,446)        -              -      -          -      1,254,044   32.1%      4.0x
  Management                                            (77,862)        -              -      -          -        465,746   43.0%      6.0x

                                               At          8.5x
  Sponsor                                              (311,446)        -              -      -          -      1,011,160   26.6%      3.2x
  Management                                            (77,862)        -              -      -          -        368,000   36.4%      4.7x




   2016 EBITDA                 185,125   185,125   185,125
   Exit Multiple                  8.5x     10.5x     11.5x
   Total Ent. Value          1,581,327 1,951,578 2,136,703
   Plus: Option proceeds        38,931    38,931    38,931
   Plus: Warrant proceeds       31,145    31,145    31,145
   Less: Net Debt             (110,000) (110,000) (110,000)
   Common Equity Value       1,541,403 1,911,653 2,096,778

    Assuming the exit multiple remains the same as the entry multiple or even contracts

   12/16/2011                                                                                                                                 25
iRobot-LBO Model ( Return Analysis)

Debt Returns                            At      10.5x
  Mezznine debt                              (100,000)      -        -        -        -         -
  Closing Fee                                   3,000       -        -        -        -         -
  Repayments                                      -         -        -        -        -         -
  Balance payment                                 -         -        -        -        -     100,000
  Interest payment                                       12,000   12,000   12,000   12,000    12,000
  Equity kicker                                                                              152,932
  Net Loan                                    (97,000)   12,000   12,000   12,000   12,000   264,932   30.1%   2.7x

                                        At       8.5x
  Mezznine debt                              (100,000)      -        -        -        -         -
  Closing Fee                                   3,000       -        -        -        -         -
  Repayments                                      -         -        -        -        -         -
  Balance payment                                 -         -        -        -        -     100,000
  Interest payment                                -      12,000   12,000   12,000   12,000    12,000
  Equity kicker                                                                              123,312
  Net Loan                                    (97,000)   12,000   12,000   12,000   12,000   235,312   27.5%   2.4x


  Senior debt (Rev, senior unsecured)        (260,000)      -        -        -        -         -
  Closing Fee                                   8,400       -        -        -        -         -
  Repayments                                      -      12,570   27,566   42,827   61,692   105,345
  Balance payment                                 -         -        -        -        -      10,000
  Interest payment                                       20,830   19,824   17,619   14,193     9,258
  Net Loan                                   (251,600)   33,400   47,390   60,446   75,885   124,603   9.0%




  12/16/2011                                                                                                          26
iRobot – Return Sensitivity Analysis – Aggressive
Growth Assumptions

       Spronsor returns       Management returns
   Exit Mult. IRR           Exit Mult. IRR                   The sensitivity analysis is on the basis of
                        0                       0            aggressive growth assumptions. These
         8.5x       26.6%          8.5x     36.4%
         9.5x       29.5%          9.5x     39.9%
                                                             assumptions are in sync with the management
        10.5x       32.1%         10.5x     43.0%            and the analyst reports.
        11.5x       34.6%         11.5x     45.9%
        12.5x       36.9%         12.5x     48.6%
        13.5x       39.0%         13.5x     51.1%

                                                     Sponsor IRR
      Mezznine returns
   Exit Mult. IRR           Purchase Price              Exit Multiple                      Sponsor Contribution
                        0            0        8.5x       9.5x      10.5x   11.5x   12.5x
         8.5x       27.5%      730,000       26.5%      29.4%      32.1%   34.5%   36.8%    370,000
         9.5x       28.8%      745,000       25.5%      28.4%      31.1%   33.5%   35.8%    385,000
        10.5x       30.1%      760,000       24.7%      27.5%      30.2%   32.6%   34.9%    400,000
        11.5x       31.3%      775,000       23.8%      26.7%      29.3%   31.7%   33.9%    415,000
        12.5x       32.5%      790,000       23.0%      25.8%      28.4%   30.8%   33.1%    430,000
        13.5x       33.7%      805,000       22.3%      25.1%      27.6%   30.0%   32.2%    445,000

                                The column on the left has different purchase prices for
                                iRobot. We have assumed the debt to be constant at
                                360 million. The equity contribution from the financial
                                sponsor will increase with the increase in purchase
                                price.




12/16/2011                                                                                                        27
iRobot – Return Sensitivity Analysis – Conservative
Growth Assumptions

           Spronsor returns       Management returns
       Exit Mult. IRR           Exit Mult. IRR                  The sensitivity analysis is on the basis of
                            0                       0           conservative growth assumptions. The
              8.5x      24.1%          8.5x     33.5%           analyst growth assumptions have been
              9.5x      26.9%          9.5x     36.9%
             10.5x      29.6%         10.5x     40.0%
                                                                reduced to account for uncertainty.
             11.5x      32.0%         11.5x     42.8%
             12.5x      34.2%         12.5x     45.5%
             13.5x      36.3%         13.5x     47.9%

                                                         Sponsor IRR
          Mezznine returns
       Exit Mult. IRR           Purchase Price              Exit Multiple                      Sponsor Contribution
                            0            0        8.5x       9.5x      10.5x   11.5x   12.5x
              8.5x      26.4%      730,000       24.0%      26.9%      29.5%   31.9%   34.2%    370,000
              9.5x      27.7%      745,000       23.1%      25.9%      28.5%   31.0%   33.2%    385,000
             10.5x      28.9%      760,000       22.2%      25.1%      27.6%   30.0%   32.3%    400,000
             11.5x      30.0%      775,000       21.4%      24.2%      26.8%   29.1%   31.4%    415,000
             12.5x      31.2%      790,000       20.6%      23.4%      25.9%   28.3%   30.5%    430,000
             13.5x      32.2%      805,000       19.9%      22.6%      25.2%   27.5%   29.7%    445,000

                                    The column on the left has different purchase prices for
                                    iRobot. We have assumed the debt to be constant at
                                    360 million. The equity contribution from the financial
                                    sponsor will increase with the increase in purchase
                                    price.




12/16/2011                                                                                                            28
Conclusion

   iRobot has excellent product portfolio and strong expected revenue growth.

   Entry multiple at 10.5 x trailing EBITDA

   The economy is pretty flat, so we are seeing market paying up for growth stories, and in
    that case 10.5 x could be reasonable versus some other growing brands.

   Potentially a good buy since there is strong expected growth.

   Even after significant multiple contraction to 8.5 from 10.5 we can achieve an IRR of 27%




12/16/2011                                                                                      29
References


    •   iRobot’s 2010 Annual Report 10k
    •   iRobot MorningStar Management Presentation - 11/10/2011
    •   Analyst Day Presentation Q3 2011
    •   JP Morgan Analyst Report - 11/01/2011
    •   Benchmark Analyst Report - 12/09/2011
    •   Yahoo Finance
    •   Bloomberg Terminal
    •   inFinancials
    •   Tuck School Note on LBO Valuation
    •   Berkshire Partners: Bidding for Carter’s




12/16/2011                                                        30

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iRobot LBO Acquisition Project Title

  • 1. iRobot LBO Acquisition Project Alin Dev Ankita Jain Sameer Mittal
  • 2. iRobot - Business Model  iRobot Corporation designs and builds robots for the consumer, government, and industrial markets.  The company offers consumer products, such as floor vacuuming robots, floor washing robots, pool cleaning robots, gutter cleaning robots, and programmable robots.  Its government and industrial products include the 510 PackBot line of small, unmanned ground robots; and the 310 small unmanned ground vehicle (SUGV) and 320 SUGV multi- purpose ground robots that perform battlefield reconnaissance and bomb disposal, as well as the 210 Negotiator for state and local police, and first responders.  The company also provides 1Ka Seaglider, an underwater vehicle designed for oceanic missions to measure temperature, salinity, depth-averaged current, and other data for scientific and military planners.  It sells its robots through chain stores and other national retailers, as well as through its on- line store to consumers, the U.S. military, and other government agencies worldwide.  iRobot Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. 12/16/2011 Source: Yahoo Finance 2
  • 3. iRobot - Business Model Focus on key robotic-specific technologies 12/16/2011 3
  • 4. iRobot’s performance compared to the industry  In the recently ended third quarter, iRobot's top line surged 28% year on year from increased demand in the home robots division and higher product prices.  There have been substantial increase in sales through internet retail channels. The bottom got an impressive 101% boost to $14.1 million.  Five-year revenue growth stands at an impressive 20.8% CAGR, along with five-year gross profit growth of a strong 23.4%.  Analyst projected EPS growth over the next 5 years is 22.50%.  Net institutional shares purchased over the current quarter at 3.1M, which is 12.59% of the company's 24.62M share float which indicates strong bullish sentiment for the stock.  Entering iRobot at a higher multiple might be sensible given the strong product portfolio and constantly growing product portfolio through innovative additions.  iRobot is in advanced stages of product development for the health care & oil exploration industry. These segments are not yet tapped fully to their potential by the existing players. We expect significant growth in iRobot’s revenue in next couple of years.  Several indicators point to the robotics industry being on an exponential growth path. Key enabling technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence, energy storage, computer hardware, sensors, and actuators are steadily improving, and revenues are also increasing 12/16/2011 4
  • 5. Good LBO Candidate - iRobot  Steady and predictable cash flow There is significant growth potential in the automation sector. iRobot’s because of it’s technical excellence has great potential in capturing a significant market segment.  Heavy asset base for loan collateral High Base asset base in terms of high quality research labs.  Strong management team Attracts talented young professionals from Ivy league schools like MIT. The Co Founders has over 20 years of experience in technical innovation and management.  Strong, defensible market position Current market leaders in automated home maintenance products. They are also market leaders in the industrial and defense remote presence robots.  Viable exit strategy Strong business model and penetration into new market segments e.g. healthcare would easily attract strategic and financial buyers.  Limited working capital requirements Minimal requirement except for normal recurring trade payables, expense accruals and operating leases, all of which can be funded through working capital, CFO and the working capital line of credit.  Minimal future capital requirements Management currently does not anticipate significant investment in property, plant and equipment, and believe that the outsourced approach to manufacturing provides them with flexibility in both managing inventory levels and financing the inventory.  Potential for expense reduction The company has insignificant debt compared to Equity. Credit Stats looks good even after leveraging the company up to a level of 4-5 times EBITDA. 12/16/2011 5
  • 6. iRobot – Innovative product line 12/16/2011 6
  • 7. iRobot – Growth Strategies WHAT WHY ? • Focus on Core markets • Vast market opportunities Floorcare $6 billion annual market Unmanned Ground Robots 8,000 unit requirement for SUGV/ 4000 unit requirement for throwable robot • Do Fewer things better • Play to market leading technology strengths Leverage technology developed by others Platforms, autonomy/navigation, manipulation • Huge addressable market • Invest in the Future Health Care Focused on emerging high potential markets enabled by Oil & Gas our technology Retail 12/16/2011 7
  • 8. iRobot – Key Growth Potentials  Expect strong growth in Home robots to continue in future years Moving new products, such as the Roomba 700 series and new Scooba, into mass retail from their current limited web-based distribution this year.  Early stage in robotics industry; Likely to see Healthcare pilots iRobot is developing robotic solutions to help people live independently for longer to address current aging demographics and rising healthcare costs. iRobot in association with InTouch health has already fielded 400 remote presence robots to assist specialist doctors in urban areas.  Passage of FY12 defense budget near-term will improve Government visibility.  Scope of expanding into emerging markets. Organic growth in all three geographic areas, including North America, Europe, and Asia, from current low market penetration and the higher performance Roomba going mainstream.  Outsourcing of Production. iRobot has recently started outsourcing the manufacturing to Chinese manufacturers. There are significant opportunities for cost savings and expansion of EBITDA. 12/16/2011 8
  • 9. iRobot – Innovative Products for future growth 12/16/2011 9
  • 10. Intellectual Property – key asset for iRobot 92 US Patents to date with more than 148 pending US patent applications U.S. Patents Home Robot Patents Home Gov't & Industrials Dry Floorcare Other 46% 41% 54% 59% 12/16/2011 10
  • 11. iRobot’s - Target Audience 12/16/2011 11
  • 12. Dry Floor Care – Huge Addressable Markets US & Canada $1.75 billions Latin America – 200 Million 1% 8% 1% 1% iRobot iRobot Vaccums Vaccums Others Others 91% 98% EMEA $2.1 billions Asia Pacific $1.7 billions 3% 3% 5% 10% iRobot iRobot Vaccums Vaccums Others Others 92% 87% 12/16/2011 12
  • 13. Business Risks and Mitigating Factors - Suppliers • Large dependence on several single • Gives iRobot the opportunity to outsourced contract manufacturers. sell their products to countries other than the United States. • All contract manufacturers for home robots located in China • Availability of skilled labor in the emerging economies at a lower • Lack of direct control over production price compared to the US. capacity and delivery schedules • Efficient Supply Chain and • Lack of direct control over quality significant cost savings. assurance, manufacturing yields and production costs • Lack of enforceable contractual provisions over the production and costs of consumer products 12/16/2011 13
  • 14. Business Risks and mitigating factors – Customers • Contracts with the government • Dependence on the U.S. federal will lead to stable and significant government for a significant portion of revenue revenue approx. 50% • Use of iRobot’s products in critical • Contracts with the U.S federal government project improve the government which could give priority technical credibility of iRobot’s to the government orders before the product in the eyes of customer. more profitable commercial orders. • Plans to expand into the • IP rights – harming ability to compete healthcare market 12/16/2011 14
  • 15. Business risks and mitigating factors - Competitors • Possible competition from • High Barriers to entry because of  developers of robot floor High R&D Cost and lack of talented cleaning products, employee pool.  small unmanned ground vehicles, • Already established government  established government contracts are difficult for the contractors competitors to break in.  developers of small unmanned underwater vehicles. 12/16/2011 15
  • 16. iRobot – Committed & highly skilled Management Colin M. Angle – Co Founder, CEO and Chairman of the board Angle is an industry pioneer with more than two decades of experience. B.S. in Electrical Engineering and an M.S. in Computer Science, MIT Dr. Tom Wagner - Chief Technology Officer Prior experience at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the research and development agency of the U.S. Department of Defense, where he managed programs in robotics, communications, command and control, tele- health and artificial intelligence. Jeffery A. Beck - President Home Robots Division Jeff Beck brings more than 20 years of high-technology leadership to iRobot. Prior to joining iRobot, Beck served as senior vice president and general manager of the aerospace and defense division of AMETEK, Inc. Captain Robert L. Mosses - President Govt. & Industrial Robots Division Prior to joining iRobot in 2003, Moses served as a career naval officer. As director of contracts for the Naval Air Systems Command, he supervised more than 800 employees and planned, negotiated and administered contracts worth more than $20 billion annually. 12/16/2011 16
  • 17. iRobot - Financial Growth - Analysts Revenue, USD Millions EBITDA, USD Millions $920 $185.00 $800 $152.00 $695 $604 $124.00 $525 $101.00 $467 $401 $83.00 $71.00 $299 $47 $21 2009 2010 2011 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E 2015 E 2016 E 2009 2010 2011 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E 2015 E 2016 E Assuming the growth rates as projected by the management and after adjustment by the JP Morgan Analysts report. Approximately Growth Rate of 14%-15% YoY in Revenue 12/16/2011 17
  • 18. iRobot - Financial Growth - Conservative Revenue, USD Millions EBITDA, USD Millions $836 $168 $745 $141 $663 $590 $118 $525 $467 $98 $401 $83 $71 $299 $47 $21 2009 2010 2011 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E 2015 E 2016 E 2009 2010 2011 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E 2015 E 2016 E Assuming a conservative growth rate in the range of 10-12% YoY in Revenue 12/16/2011 18
  • 19. iRobot Valuation – APV Method APV Method Assumptions: Terminal Perpetuity Growth: 3.0% Assumed perpetual growth Cost of Capital: Pre-tax cost of debt 9.1% weighted average cost of debt After-tax cost of debt 6.5% Assume 28.3% effective tax rate Unlevered cost of equity 13.0% Risk free rate ( assumed 4%) + assumed 9% market premium for equity Levered cost of equity 25.0% Assumed minimum LBO hurdle Assumed LT Debt/Total Capitalization 46.7% Target Wtd Avg Cost of Capital 16.4% Projected Years Ending December 31, Free Cash Flow 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 EBITDA 82,922 100,640 124,112 152,036 185,125 Less: Depr & Amort 14,196 15,910 17,883 20,149 22,749 Perp growth vs. APV EBIT 68,726 84,730 106,229 131,887 162,376 825,383 Taxes (19,468) (24,001) (30,091) (37,360) (45,996) 0.0% 681,431 After Tax EBIT 49,258 60,728 76,137 94,527 116,380 1.0% 721,417 Plus: Depr & Amort 14,196 15,910 17,883 20,149 22,749 2.0% 768,674 Less: Capex (17,629) (18,664) (21,477) (24,701) (28,386) 3.0% 825,383 Plus/Minus Ch in NWC (8,091) (5,965) (6,853) (7,876) (9,036) 4.0% 894,693 Free Cash Flow (Unlevered, After Tax) 37,734 52,009 65,690 82,100 101,707 5.0% 981,330 NPV of FCF @ Unlevered Cost of Equity 225,206 Terminal Value - - - - 1,047,587 Implied Multiple of EBITDA 5.7x NPV of TV @ Unlevered Cost of Equity 568,588 Value of Tax Shield Interest Expense 32,730 31,724 29,519 26,093 21,158 Tax shield 9,271 8,987 8,362 7,391 5,993 NPV @ Pre-tax cost of debt 31,588 Total APV 825,383 12/16/2011 19
  • 20. iRobot – Peer Group Attributes Company Industry/Sector Technology Based Market Leader Large Markets Expanding Markets Appliances/Consumer Goods; iRobot Defense Products & services *** *** *** *** Defense Products & FLIR Systems Inc Services/Industrial goods *** ** *** *** Bruker Corporation Scientific instruments/Technology *** ** *** ** Defense Products & Heico Services/Industrial goods *** *** *** ** Cognex Scientific instruments/Technology *** ** *** *** United Technologies Aerospace Technologies *** *** *** *** 12/16/2011 20
  • 21. iRobot Valuation – Comparable Company Analysis Comparable Company Analysis On the basis of Comparable iRobot FLIR Bruker United Tech Heico Cognex analysis and the APV method we Stock price(50 day avg) 31.8 26.0 13.1 76.3 57.7 P/E trailing 22.6 18.9 24.1 13.8 35.2 20.4 decide the to pay 730 million as P/E forward 12.4 12.4 the base price for iRobot. PEG Ratio 1.22 0.98 1.2 Though for the sensitivity Profit Margin 8.15% 13.68% 5.18% 8.35% 9.64% 22.24% Operating margin 10.21% 22.81% 11.0% 15.02% 18.21% 27.26% analysis we have considered a EBIT ( Mn $) 45.74 358.10 172.70 235.81 285.90 427.98 range of purchase price and Revenue ( Mn $) 448 1,570 1,590 58,090 725 318 calculated the corresponding IRR EBITDA (Mn $) 55 442 226 10,000 150 97 EBITDA Margin 12.3% 28.1% 14.2% 17.21% 20.6% 30.37% for the equity sponsor. Range of Total debt ( Mn $) - 248 313 11,360 100 - purchase price considered in the Market capitalization ( Mn $) 800 3,910 2,010 66,370 2,420 1,450 analysis is 730 million to 805 D/E - 16.01 51.92 47.52 0.02 - Enterprise Value ( Mn $) 800 4,158 2,323 77,730 2,520 1,450 million. equity betas 1.47 1 1.19 1.15 1.2 1.41 EV/Revenue 1.54 2.4 1.34 1.25 3.30 3.88 EV/EBITDA 12.59 9.41 10.28 7.77 16.80 15.03 EV/EBITDA (median) 10.3 iRobot has a range of businesses, we have selected the median of the closest companies 9.3 10.3 11.3 EV/EBITDA(ttm) 659,523 730,602 801,680 EV/EBITDA(forward) 769,416 852,338 935,261 12/16/2011 21
  • 22. iRobot – Peer Group Multiple Values 4 CGNX 3.5 3 FLIR EV / REVENUE 2.5 HEI 2 IRBT 1.5 UTX 1 BRKR 0.5 0 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 EV / EBITDA 12/16/2011 22
  • 23. iRobot Valuation – Model Basic Assumptions • Available debt has been assumed to be 5 times of EBITDA. This is in accordance to the information available in the Berkshire case. • Though debt is only 48% in the recommended capital structure, we cannot go beyond this based on the interest coverage and the information available in The Pitchbook decade report. • Interest rate on the senior debt and the working capital line has been taken from the Berkshire case. • We are assuming a 0.5% commitment fees on the unused working capital line. • 3% is the financing fees • 1% is the transaction expense • Mezzanine gets an 8% warrant • Management has 20% initial contribution in the equity. Their existing stake in equity is 12%. • Management has further been given a 10% options. The strike price is the going in valuation. 12/16/2011 23
  • 24. iRobot – LBO Model SOURCES Revolving Credit Facility 10,000 1.3% 0.1x Senior Unsecured Note 250,000 33.4% 3.5x Mezznine Debt and warrant 100,000 13.3% 1.4x Total Debt 360,000 48.0% 5.1x Common Equity Management 77,862 10.4% 1.1x Sponsor 311,446 41.6% 4.4x Total Equity 389,308 52.0% 5.5x Total Sources 749,308 100.0% 10.5x USES Purchase Price 730,602 Plus: debt assumed 0 less: excess cash 0 Total Purchase Price 730,602 97.5% Financing Fees 11,400 1.5% Transaction Expenses 7,306 1.0% Total Uses 749,308 100.0% w/o fees w/ fees Purch Price/LTM Full Year 2011 EBITDA 10.3x 10.5x Purch Price/Forward 2012 EBITDA 8.8x 9.0x Assumption: the excess cash is given out in the form of dividends to the shareholders at the time of purchase 12/16/2011 24
  • 25. iRobot – LBO Model ( Return Analysis) RETURNS ANALYSIS 2011 2016 Investor Ownership % of $ Ownership Options Ownership Sponsor 311,446 80.0% 65.6% Management 77,862 20.0% 16.4% Management options 10.0% 10.0% Mezznine warrants 8.0% 8.0% Total Equity 389,308 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% Mult. Of 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 IRR Invest. Equity Returns At 10.5x Sponsor (311,446) - - - - 1,254,044 32.1% 4.0x Management (77,862) - - - - 465,746 43.0% 6.0x At 8.5x Sponsor (311,446) - - - - 1,011,160 26.6% 3.2x Management (77,862) - - - - 368,000 36.4% 4.7x 2016 EBITDA 185,125 185,125 185,125 Exit Multiple 8.5x 10.5x 11.5x Total Ent. Value 1,581,327 1,951,578 2,136,703 Plus: Option proceeds 38,931 38,931 38,931 Plus: Warrant proceeds 31,145 31,145 31,145 Less: Net Debt (110,000) (110,000) (110,000) Common Equity Value 1,541,403 1,911,653 2,096,778 Assuming the exit multiple remains the same as the entry multiple or even contracts 12/16/2011 25
  • 26. iRobot-LBO Model ( Return Analysis) Debt Returns At 10.5x Mezznine debt (100,000) - - - - - Closing Fee 3,000 - - - - - Repayments - - - - - - Balance payment - - - - - 100,000 Interest payment 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 Equity kicker 152,932 Net Loan (97,000) 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 264,932 30.1% 2.7x At 8.5x Mezznine debt (100,000) - - - - - Closing Fee 3,000 - - - - - Repayments - - - - - - Balance payment - - - - - 100,000 Interest payment - 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 Equity kicker 123,312 Net Loan (97,000) 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 235,312 27.5% 2.4x Senior debt (Rev, senior unsecured) (260,000) - - - - - Closing Fee 8,400 - - - - - Repayments - 12,570 27,566 42,827 61,692 105,345 Balance payment - - - - - 10,000 Interest payment 20,830 19,824 17,619 14,193 9,258 Net Loan (251,600) 33,400 47,390 60,446 75,885 124,603 9.0% 12/16/2011 26
  • 27. iRobot – Return Sensitivity Analysis – Aggressive Growth Assumptions Spronsor returns Management returns Exit Mult. IRR Exit Mult. IRR The sensitivity analysis is on the basis of 0 0 aggressive growth assumptions. These 8.5x 26.6% 8.5x 36.4% 9.5x 29.5% 9.5x 39.9% assumptions are in sync with the management 10.5x 32.1% 10.5x 43.0% and the analyst reports. 11.5x 34.6% 11.5x 45.9% 12.5x 36.9% 12.5x 48.6% 13.5x 39.0% 13.5x 51.1% Sponsor IRR Mezznine returns Exit Mult. IRR Purchase Price Exit Multiple Sponsor Contribution 0 0 8.5x 9.5x 10.5x 11.5x 12.5x 8.5x 27.5% 730,000 26.5% 29.4% 32.1% 34.5% 36.8% 370,000 9.5x 28.8% 745,000 25.5% 28.4% 31.1% 33.5% 35.8% 385,000 10.5x 30.1% 760,000 24.7% 27.5% 30.2% 32.6% 34.9% 400,000 11.5x 31.3% 775,000 23.8% 26.7% 29.3% 31.7% 33.9% 415,000 12.5x 32.5% 790,000 23.0% 25.8% 28.4% 30.8% 33.1% 430,000 13.5x 33.7% 805,000 22.3% 25.1% 27.6% 30.0% 32.2% 445,000 The column on the left has different purchase prices for iRobot. We have assumed the debt to be constant at 360 million. The equity contribution from the financial sponsor will increase with the increase in purchase price. 12/16/2011 27
  • 28. iRobot – Return Sensitivity Analysis – Conservative Growth Assumptions Spronsor returns Management returns Exit Mult. IRR Exit Mult. IRR The sensitivity analysis is on the basis of 0 0 conservative growth assumptions. The 8.5x 24.1% 8.5x 33.5% analyst growth assumptions have been 9.5x 26.9% 9.5x 36.9% 10.5x 29.6% 10.5x 40.0% reduced to account for uncertainty. 11.5x 32.0% 11.5x 42.8% 12.5x 34.2% 12.5x 45.5% 13.5x 36.3% 13.5x 47.9% Sponsor IRR Mezznine returns Exit Mult. IRR Purchase Price Exit Multiple Sponsor Contribution 0 0 8.5x 9.5x 10.5x 11.5x 12.5x 8.5x 26.4% 730,000 24.0% 26.9% 29.5% 31.9% 34.2% 370,000 9.5x 27.7% 745,000 23.1% 25.9% 28.5% 31.0% 33.2% 385,000 10.5x 28.9% 760,000 22.2% 25.1% 27.6% 30.0% 32.3% 400,000 11.5x 30.0% 775,000 21.4% 24.2% 26.8% 29.1% 31.4% 415,000 12.5x 31.2% 790,000 20.6% 23.4% 25.9% 28.3% 30.5% 430,000 13.5x 32.2% 805,000 19.9% 22.6% 25.2% 27.5% 29.7% 445,000 The column on the left has different purchase prices for iRobot. We have assumed the debt to be constant at 360 million. The equity contribution from the financial sponsor will increase with the increase in purchase price. 12/16/2011 28
  • 29. Conclusion  iRobot has excellent product portfolio and strong expected revenue growth.  Entry multiple at 10.5 x trailing EBITDA  The economy is pretty flat, so we are seeing market paying up for growth stories, and in that case 10.5 x could be reasonable versus some other growing brands.  Potentially a good buy since there is strong expected growth.  Even after significant multiple contraction to 8.5 from 10.5 we can achieve an IRR of 27% 12/16/2011 29
  • 30. References • iRobot’s 2010 Annual Report 10k • iRobot MorningStar Management Presentation - 11/10/2011 • Analyst Day Presentation Q3 2011 • JP Morgan Analyst Report - 11/01/2011 • Benchmark Analyst Report - 12/09/2011 • Yahoo Finance • Bloomberg Terminal • inFinancials • Tuck School Note on LBO Valuation • Berkshire Partners: Bidding for Carter’s 12/16/2011 30