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Consumer foods
Biscuits and bakery
(33%)
Snacks
(32%)
Chocolates and
confectionery
(18%)
RTE/RTC
(16%)
Biscuits
Other bakery
products
Chocolates
Sugar-based
confectionery
Ready
to cook
Ready
to eat
Emerging
snacks
Chips
Traditional
snacks
Consumer foods
Biscuits and bakery
(33%)
Snacks
(32%)
Chocolates and
confectionery
(18%)
RTE/RTC
(16%)
Biscuits
Other bakery
products
Chocolates
Sugar-based
confectionery
Ready
to cook
Ready
to eat
Emerging
snacks
Chips
Traditional
snacks
Consumer
Foods
Snacks
FY22E-408
billion
17%
Chips
14% 14%
15% 14% 15%
15%
Traditional snacks
16%
12% 13%
13%
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
24% 22%
18% 17%
20% 20% 20%
14%
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
Chocolates
12% 12% 14%
13%
Hard boiled candies
13% 15% 14%
14%
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
Chocolatesand
confectionery
FY22E-263
billion
RTC/RTE
FY22E—
228
billion
26%
17% 18% 17%
17%
22%
21% 17%
24% 22%
18% 17% 20% 20% 20%
14%
Emerging snacks Traditional snacks
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
17%
Chips
14% 14%
15%
14%
15% 15%
%
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
Chocolates
12% 12% 14%
13%
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24
E
T
R
/
C
T
R
s
k
c
a
n
S
Chocolates
FY22E-263
billion
RTC/RTE
FY22E—228
billion
16%
12% 13%
13%
26%
17% 18%
22%
21% 17% 17%
17%
Snacks
FY22E-408
billion
Heat & Eat Instant Noodles Sauces & Spreads Pasta
Category
FY22
gVolume gRealization
Traditional snacks 8% 8%
Chips 9% 8%
Emerging snacks 8% 7%
Chocolates 7% 5%
Hard boiled
candies
8% 5%
Heat & eat 14% 10%
Instant noodles 8% 6%
Sauces and
spreads
12% 6%
Pasta 14% 10%
Commodity FY21 FY22 FY23P Key ingredient for Rationale for FY23
Wheat -3% 5% 3%
Biscuits, bread, cakes,
RTE/RTC
We expect prices to rise on account of rising export opportunity due to the Ukraine crisis,
but the government can curb exports
Maize 4% 21% 6% Snacks, RTC/RTE Maize prices expected to remain strong on account of rising exports
Sugar 0% 6% 10%
Biscuits, chocolates,
RTE/RTC
Prices expected to increase in fiscal 2023, due to diversion of sugarcane towards ethanol
production and a pick-up in industrial demand
Butter 2% 4% 7% Biscuits. chocolates
Higher fodder prices will lead to an increase in milk procurement and higher butter prices
in fiscal 2023
Palm oil 23% 36% -5% Snacks, RTE/RTC
As the supply crunch in sunflower oil normalises due to the Ukraine crisis, prices are
expected to fall
Potato -12% -40% 3% Snacks We expect to see an uptick in prices in fiscal 2023. due to waterlogging
Cocoa 2% 5% 4% Chocolates Prices to remain strong into fiscal 2023, with depreciating rupee due to the Ukraine crisis
Milk -3% 16% 3% Biscuits, chocolates High fodder cost will drive milk prices in fiscal 2023
Source: Company reports, industry, CRISIL Research
235 343 386 423 468 518
132
219 234 263 298
339
188
324
352
408
463
528
157
190
228
270
321
625
69
1,043
1,163
1,322
1,499
1,707
FY16 FY20 FY23P FY24P
(Rs billion)
RTE/RTC
FY21
Snacks
FY22E
Chocolates and confectioneries Bakery products Packaged foods
12%
13-15%
12-14%
13-15%
Source: Company reports, industry, CRISIL
Research
235 343 386 423 468 518
132
219 234 263 298 339
188
324 352
408
463
528
157
190
228
270
321
625
69
1,043
1,163
1,322
1,499
1,707
FY16 FY20 FY23P FY24P
(Rs billion)
RTE/RTC
FY21
Snacks
FY22E
Chocolates and confectioneries Bakery products Packaged foods
12%
13-15%
12-14%
13-15%
Source: Company reports, industry, CRISIL Research
235 343 386 423 468 518
132
219 234 263 298
339
188
324
352
408
463
528
157
190
228
270
321
625
69
1,043
1,163
1,322
1,499
1,707
FY16 FY20 FY23P FY24P
(INR Bn)
RTE/RTC
FY21 FY22E
Chocolates and confectioneries Bakery products Packaged foods
13-15%
12-14%
13-15%
Snacks
96 108 121 136
24
28
33
39
63
78
95
116
3.1
3.8
5
6
Heat & Eat
Pasta
FY21 FY22E
Sauces and Spreads
FY23P FY24P
Instant noodles
50 92 100 134 130 147
39
81 87
102 116
133
75
151 165
249
216
190
FY16 FY20
Emerging snacks
FY22E FY24P
(Rs billion)
FY21
Chips
FY23P
Traditional snacks
(INR Bn)
(INR Bn)
77
140 149 167 187 214
42
79 85
96
110
126
FY22E FY24P
(INR Bn)
FY16 FY20 FY21
Sugar based candies
Source: Company reports, industry
FY23P
Chocolates
62-
65%
12-
14%
5-7%
12-
13%
FY21
Others 3-4%
Chocolates
~64%
Sugar
Confectionary
~36%
Market
Share
(INR Bn)
15.3%
11.6% 12.3%
11.3%
13.1%
13.7% 13.2%
11.0%
11.7%
15.5% 15.3%
16.8%
16.0%
16.0%
13.0%
12.0%
FY16 FY17 FY18
Bread and Bakery
FY19 FY20
Snacks
FY24P
FY21 FY22E FY23P
Chocolates and confectionary RTE/RTC
Increase Sales
Increase
Distribution
Increase Product
Range
Pricing
Incremental
Demand
Bigger share on the
shelves
Higher Penetration
New Channels (Ecom)
New Markets/Regions
New Product
Launches
New Varities in
existing brands
New Brands
Discount Policy
Pushing Custormers
towards premium
products
Pushing Large size
packages
Covering the Entire
Needs Pyramid
Find New Customers

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Food PPT.pptx

  • 1. Consumer foods Biscuits and bakery (33%) Snacks (32%) Chocolates and confectionery (18%) RTE/RTC (16%) Biscuits Other bakery products Chocolates Sugar-based confectionery Ready to cook Ready to eat Emerging snacks Chips Traditional snacks
  • 2. Consumer foods Biscuits and bakery (33%) Snacks (32%) Chocolates and confectionery (18%) RTE/RTC (16%) Biscuits Other bakery products Chocolates Sugar-based confectionery Ready to cook Ready to eat Emerging snacks Chips Traditional snacks Consumer Foods
  • 3. Snacks FY22E-408 billion 17% Chips 14% 14% 15% 14% 15% 15% Traditional snacks 16% 12% 13% 13% FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 24% 22% 18% 17% 20% 20% 20% 14% FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 Chocolates 12% 12% 14% 13% Hard boiled candies 13% 15% 14% 14% FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 Chocolatesand confectionery FY22E-263 billion RTC/RTE FY22E— 228 billion 26% 17% 18% 17% 17% 22% 21% 17%
  • 4. 24% 22% 18% 17% 20% 20% 20% 14% Emerging snacks Traditional snacks FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 17% Chips 14% 14% 15% 14% 15% 15% % FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 Chocolates 12% 12% 14% 13% FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 E T R / C T R s k c a n S Chocolates FY22E-263 billion RTC/RTE FY22E—228 billion 16% 12% 13% 13% 26% 17% 18% 22% 21% 17% 17% 17% Snacks FY22E-408 billion Heat & Eat Instant Noodles Sauces & Spreads Pasta
  • 5. Category FY22 gVolume gRealization Traditional snacks 8% 8% Chips 9% 8% Emerging snacks 8% 7% Chocolates 7% 5% Hard boiled candies 8% 5% Heat & eat 14% 10% Instant noodles 8% 6% Sauces and spreads 12% 6% Pasta 14% 10%
  • 6. Commodity FY21 FY22 FY23P Key ingredient for Rationale for FY23 Wheat -3% 5% 3% Biscuits, bread, cakes, RTE/RTC We expect prices to rise on account of rising export opportunity due to the Ukraine crisis, but the government can curb exports Maize 4% 21% 6% Snacks, RTC/RTE Maize prices expected to remain strong on account of rising exports Sugar 0% 6% 10% Biscuits, chocolates, RTE/RTC Prices expected to increase in fiscal 2023, due to diversion of sugarcane towards ethanol production and a pick-up in industrial demand Butter 2% 4% 7% Biscuits. chocolates Higher fodder prices will lead to an increase in milk procurement and higher butter prices in fiscal 2023 Palm oil 23% 36% -5% Snacks, RTE/RTC As the supply crunch in sunflower oil normalises due to the Ukraine crisis, prices are expected to fall Potato -12% -40% 3% Snacks We expect to see an uptick in prices in fiscal 2023. due to waterlogging Cocoa 2% 5% 4% Chocolates Prices to remain strong into fiscal 2023, with depreciating rupee due to the Ukraine crisis Milk -3% 16% 3% Biscuits, chocolates High fodder cost will drive milk prices in fiscal 2023
  • 7. Source: Company reports, industry, CRISIL Research 235 343 386 423 468 518 132 219 234 263 298 339 188 324 352 408 463 528 157 190 228 270 321 625 69 1,043 1,163 1,322 1,499 1,707 FY16 FY20 FY23P FY24P (Rs billion) RTE/RTC FY21 Snacks FY22E Chocolates and confectioneries Bakery products Packaged foods 12% 13-15% 12-14% 13-15% Source: Company reports, industry, CRISIL Research 235 343 386 423 468 518 132 219 234 263 298 339 188 324 352 408 463 528 157 190 228 270 321 625 69 1,043 1,163 1,322 1,499 1,707 FY16 FY20 FY23P FY24P (Rs billion) RTE/RTC FY21 Snacks FY22E Chocolates and confectioneries Bakery products Packaged foods 12% 13-15% 12-14% 13-15%
  • 8. Source: Company reports, industry, CRISIL Research 235 343 386 423 468 518 132 219 234 263 298 339 188 324 352 408 463 528 157 190 228 270 321 625 69 1,043 1,163 1,322 1,499 1,707 FY16 FY20 FY23P FY24P (INR Bn) RTE/RTC FY21 FY22E Chocolates and confectioneries Bakery products Packaged foods 13-15% 12-14% 13-15% Snacks
  • 9. 96 108 121 136 24 28 33 39 63 78 95 116 3.1 3.8 5 6 Heat & Eat Pasta FY21 FY22E Sauces and Spreads FY23P FY24P Instant noodles 50 92 100 134 130 147 39 81 87 102 116 133 75 151 165 249 216 190 FY16 FY20 Emerging snacks FY22E FY24P (Rs billion) FY21 Chips FY23P Traditional snacks (INR Bn) (INR Bn)
  • 10. 77 140 149 167 187 214 42 79 85 96 110 126 FY22E FY24P (INR Bn) FY16 FY20 FY21 Sugar based candies Source: Company reports, industry FY23P Chocolates 62- 65% 12- 14% 5-7% 12- 13% FY21 Others 3-4% Chocolates ~64% Sugar Confectionary ~36% Market Share (INR Bn)
  • 11. 15.3% 11.6% 12.3% 11.3% 13.1% 13.7% 13.2% 11.0% 11.7% 15.5% 15.3% 16.8% 16.0% 16.0% 13.0% 12.0% FY16 FY17 FY18 Bread and Bakery FY19 FY20 Snacks FY24P FY21 FY22E FY23P Chocolates and confectionary RTE/RTC
  • 12. Increase Sales Increase Distribution Increase Product Range Pricing Incremental Demand Bigger share on the shelves Higher Penetration New Channels (Ecom) New Markets/Regions New Product Launches New Varities in existing brands New Brands Discount Policy Pushing Custormers towards premium products Pushing Large size packages Covering the Entire Needs Pyramid Find New Customers