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The Impact of Private Equity
     Investors on their
    Portfolio Companies

  Mike Wright
  Centre for Management Buyout Research
  Nottingham University Business School

  www.cmbor.org
Centre for Management Buy-out Research

   Identified emergence of UK buy-out and private equity market
    early 1980s
       Organised first European buy-out conference in 1981
   Centre for Management Buy-out Research (CMBOR)
       Established in 1986 at Nottingham University Business School
       To examine developments in UK & European buy-out markets in
        comprehensive and independent manner
   25 years of research into MBO/MBIs
       Established world leading database of buy-outs
           Currently >25,000 buy-outs in UK and Europe
   Number of publications generated from database including:
       UK Quarterly Review and European MBO Review
       Academic Articles
Private Equity & Portfolio Companies
         1600                                                                                                 200000

         1400                                                                                                 180000
                                                                                                              160000
         1200
                                                                                                              140000
         1000                                                                                                 120000




                                                                                                                         m n
  u br




                                                                                                                       € illio
 N me




          800                                                                                                 100000

          600                                                                                                 80000
                                                                                                              60000
          400
                                                                                                              40000
          200                                                                                                 20000
            0                                                                                                 0
                 91



                       93



                             95



                                   97



                                         99



                                               91



                                                       93



                                                              95



                                                                    97



                                                                          99



                                                                                 01



                                                                                       03



                                                                                             05



                                                                                                   07



                                                                                                         09
                18



                      18



                            18



                                  18



                                        18



                                              19



                                                      19



                                                             19



                                                                   19



                                                                         19



                                                                                20



                                                                                      20



                                                                                            20



                                                                                                  20



                                                                                                        20
                                                    Number         Value (€m)




               From Folklore to Science
                 Summarize main themes from over 100 studies covering
                   US and Europe (Gilligan and Wright, 2010)
                 Performance, growth and their drivers

                 Role of Boards

                 Employment and employee relations

                 Asset sales, Longevity and distress

                                                             Source: CMBOR
Do Buyouts Improve Firm Performance?

         Buy-outs improve profitability
              Operating profitability of PE backed buy-outs greater than
               for comparable non-buyouts by 4.5% over first three buy-
               out years
                Industry specialisation of private equity firm
                   important
              Similar evidence from France & NL
         BUT Public to Privates [PTPs]
              Emerging US and UK evidence suggests accounting
               returns on 1990s/2000s deals are not as great as for
               1980s deals [Guo et al., 2009; Weir et al., 2008]


Source: CMBOR/Barclays
Private Equity/Deloitte
Do Buyouts Improve Firm Performance?

   Buy-outs improve productivity
     Total factor productivity (TFP) assessed
      36,000 UK manufacturing establishments
         4,877 experienced MBO between 1994-8
         MBO establishments were approx. 2% less
          productive than comparable plants before transfer
          ownership
         After MBO substantial productivity increase
         [see also Davis et al., 2009 for US]
Does PE Affect Growth & Investment?

      Refocusing & divestment greater than non-buyouts
      Buy-outs improve entrepreneurial actions
        New product development

        Role of private equity firms

      CAPEX & R&D mixed evidence
      Divisional buyouts greater growth in sales, efficiency
       & profits (Meuleman et al., 2009)
      PE backed buyouts increase patent cites (Lerner et
       al., 2008)

      Strategic control systems enable growth
What Drives Performance Changes?
   Management team shareholding has largest
    impact on equity returns
       After adjusting for management selecting an
        attractive deal
       Paying a lower price gives greater scope for
        greater equity for management
   Gains in LBOs > Gains in Leveraged
    Recapitalizations
What is the role of PE and the Board?

   Active PE firm monitoring important
       Industry specialism & experience of deals done
   Boards:
       in PE buyouts active, non-bureaucratic boards
        that help lead strategies to create value
       in listed corporations accompany management’s
        strategy and tend to focus on risk management
What is the role of PE boards in distress deals?

   Listed corporation non-executive directors appear
    generally less involved than boards in PE-backed
    buyouts when restructuring becomes necessary
   PE firm boards more rigorous and timely in distress
   PE firms have an important role in restructuring
    distressed portfolio firms and their strategies even
    following debt/equity swaps
   Listed corporations can face greater problems in
    injecting new cash as they need to issue a formal
    investment proposal
   [Wilson, Wright, Cressy, 2010]
Does PE adversely affect employment & wages?
                                            Years relative to year of deal
Variables                  t+1        t+2          t+3             t+4              t+5
MBO Employment             -2.28%     2.96%        7.46%           21.43%           26.02%
MBI Employment             -10.22%    -9.70%       -11.10%         -3.35%           -5.02%
Source: Wright et al. (2007)/CMBOR


      Employment
          Now many studies – employment effect contingent
          Davis et al. (2008) employment grows more slowly & declines more rapidly in PE until
           t+4; greenfield growth (US)
          Boucly et al. (2009) 3 years following LBO, targets grow faster than peers by 13%
           (France)
          (Amess & Wright, 2007, 2010; Amess, Girma & Wright, 2008) (UK)
              Majority of deals increase employment after initial fall
              Employment growth in MBOs higher than non-LBOs but lower in MBIs
              Buyouts whether PE or not no different employment change compared to matched firms
              M&A has more negative effect than PE on employment
      Wage growth in MBOs & MBIs, lower than non-LBOs
What is Impact of PE Buyouts on
Employee Relations?
   Occupational pension schemes: increase but shift to defined
    contribution schemes based on investment performance and
    contributions open to new members
   Increase in regular team briefings; Internal promotion as norm;
    work organised around team working for the majority of the staff;
    Formal grievance procedure; incentive pay schemes; non-
    managerial training
   Little change in union representation; 2/3 unions in favor neutral
    towards buyout
   More consultative committees, more influential; increased focus
    on employment issues and especially on discussing company’s
    future
   Evidence of direct meetings between PE firms and employee
    representatives
   [Bacon et al., 2008a, b]
What is Impact of PE Buyouts in Different
Social Contexts on Employee Relations?
   Differences in Portfolio company context
     All contexts show increase in new high performance work
       practices (HPWPs) after buyout; significant differences between
       contexts disappear after buyout
   Differences in PE firm origin
     Buy-outs backed by Anglo-American firms are as likely to
       introduce HPWPs (except for more financial incentives) as those
       backed by non-Anglo-American PE firms, suggesting some
       adaptation to local institutional contexts.
   Time-scale
     PE investment results in greater increases in HPWPs longer the
       anticipated time to exit.
   The impact of PE on HPWPs is affected more by length of the
    investment relationship (heterogeneity of PE firm effect) than the
    countries where PE is going to or is coming from
   [Bacon et al., 2010a, b]
What is the Extent of Asset
           Sales?
Substantial sell-offs mainly in few large & PTP deals
 Partial Sale Year                          CE                 UK
                                No.   Val. (€m)     No.   Val. (£m)
 2000                           36         420      78        4352
 2001                           30          51      94        8905
 2002                           32        2644      69        4837
 2003                           35         922      76        2974
 2004                           49        2938      73        8619
 2005                           54        2236      99        9145
 2006                           44        3786      72        6688
 2007                           49        6472      60        5379
 2008                           30        5654      44         495

       Number & value of partial sales small share of deal volume and
        value
Do PE Deals Involve Short
                                                                               Term Flipping of Assets?
                      80
                                                                                                                                                                                            70
                      70
                                                                                                                                                                                            60
avge months to exit




                      60
                                                                                                                                                                                            50
                      50
                                                                                                                                                                                            40
                      40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               £50‐500m
                                                                                                                                                                                            30                                                                 Over £500m
                      30

                      20                                                                                                                                                                    20


                      10                                                                                                                                                                    10

                      0                                                                                                                                                                      0
                           1985
                                  1986
                                         1987
                                                1988
                                                       1989
                                                              1990
                                                                     1991
                                                                            1992
                                                                                   1993
                                                                                          1994
                                                                                                 1995

                                                                                                        1996
                                                                                                               1997
                                                                                                                      1998
                                                                                                                             1999
                                                                                                                                    2000
                                                                                                                                           2001
                                                                                                                                                  2002
                                                                                                                                                         2003
                                                                                                                                                                2004
                                                                                                                                                                       2005
                                                                                                                                                                              2006
                                                                                                                                                                                     2007
                                                                                                                                                                                                 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008



                                                                                                                                                                       Source: CMBOR


                                                      Overall increasing time to exit but heterogeneous longevity
                                                                (see also Stromberg, 2008)
                                                      Secondary buy-outs take longer to exit
                                                      PE-backed MBOs IPO sooner; those backed by active PE exit sooner & perform
                                                       better
Can PE provide a role in distressed firms?
Receiverships Increasing Source of Buy-outs
         120                                                                                                                     1200


         100                                                                                                                     1000


          80                                                                                                                     800




                                                                                                                                        £ million
Number




          60                                                                                                                     600


          40                                                                                                                     400


          20                                                                                                                     200


           0                                                                                                                     0
               1979


                      1981


                             1983

                                    1985


                                           1987


                                                  1989


                                                         1991


                                                                1993

                                                                       1995


                                                                                1997


                                                                                       1999


                                                                                              2001


                                                                                                     2003

                                                                                                            2005


                                                                                                                   2007


                                                                                                                          2009
                                                  Total Number                Total Value (£m)
What is happening to Leverage &
    Pricing in PE Buyouts?
                              60


                              50
   Dramatic fall in senior   40
    debt in financing         30

    structures in 2008        20

    over above £10m           10

    deals                      0




                                   1994


                                          1995


                                                 1996


                                                        1997


                                                                    1998


                                                                             1999


                                                                                         2000


                                                                                                   2001


                                                                                                                2002


                                                                                                                       2003


                                                                                                                                   2004


                                                                                                                                          2005


                                                                                                                                                   2006


                                                                                                                                                          2007


                                                                                                                                                                   2008
   Substantial increase                                       Equity      Mezzanine            Debt      Loan Note           Other Finance

    in senior debt pricing         Type of Senior Debt                              04                     05                   06                07              08
    above LIBOR,
    especially for less            Tranche A                                    225                       218                 224                217             285

    traditional layers             Tranche B                                    275                       250                 262                265             338

                                   Tranche C                                    327                       283                 308                303             396



                                                                             Note: Data shows basis points above LIBOR
Does Higher Leverage Increase Likelihood of
Failure?
   Failed vs non-failed buyouts
       Failure rate affected by leverage, timing of deal & by default
        probability on buyout (Wright et al., 1996)
   PE buyout failure vs non-buyout failure (Wilson,
    Wright & Altanlar, 2010)
       7million firm years 1995-2009 including all UK companies
       PE-backed buyouts have a significantly better coverage ratio (the ability
        to pay interest on debt from profit and cash-flow) than non-private equity
        backed businesses.
       Leveraged firms [of any kind] more likely to fail
       After taking into account leverage and other factors:
           Private Equity backed buyouts post 2003 not significantly different in failure
            likelihood than non-buyouts
           Buyouts and buyins without private equity more likely to fail
What is the recovery rate in failed PE deals? ?

   Secured creditors recover 62% average on bankruptcy;
    30% sold as going concerns (Citron, Wright, 2008)

   Recovery rates from failed PE buyouts (63%) more than
    twice those in failed listed corporations (26-30%)
    [Wilson,Wright & Cressy, 2010)

   Dependent on proactive working between PE firms and
    banks

   Banks may soon seek to recover value through equity
    sales, which may increase receiverships or sales to
    distress funds.
Deal Types and Involvement of PE Firms
                        Managerial               Managers’
PE Model/               Expertise                Innovative Skills
Portfolio Mgt
Leverage &              Constrained              Conflicted Buy-
Financial               Buy-outs                 outs
Monitoring              [weak complements]       [strong negative
                                                 substitutes]
Lower Leverage          Operational              Radical Buy-outs
& Close Value           Buy-outs                 [strong positive
                        [weak substitutes]       complements]
Adding

    Need strategies to grow portfolio firms organically or build-up
    Need to acquire expertise to add value & be sector focused
    Select portfolio management with business skills who can
     identify and deliver on innovative development strategies
    Need to be involved in portfolio firms beyond initial ‘100 days’
Conclusions
   Widespread evidence of positive impact of PE
   Need for recalibration of traditional PE model rather than
    fixing a broken one
   Elements of best practice detectable worldwide but
    believe have identified general challenges for a
    significant swathe of less experienced PE firms
   Potential danger with pressure upon PE funds to invest
     Deals completed at entry prices posing major

       challenges to the generation of target returns
     Questioning of whether the lessons from the ending of

       the golden age have indeed been learnt

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Workshop Private Equity - Wright

  • 1. The Impact of Private Equity Investors on their Portfolio Companies Mike Wright Centre for Management Buyout Research Nottingham University Business School www.cmbor.org
  • 2. Centre for Management Buy-out Research  Identified emergence of UK buy-out and private equity market early 1980s  Organised first European buy-out conference in 1981  Centre for Management Buy-out Research (CMBOR)  Established in 1986 at Nottingham University Business School  To examine developments in UK & European buy-out markets in comprehensive and independent manner  25 years of research into MBO/MBIs  Established world leading database of buy-outs  Currently >25,000 buy-outs in UK and Europe  Number of publications generated from database including:  UK Quarterly Review and European MBO Review  Academic Articles
  • 3. Private Equity & Portfolio Companies 1600 200000 1400 180000 160000 1200 140000 1000 120000  m n u br € illio N me 800 100000 600 80000 60000 400 40000 200 20000 0 0 91 93 95 97 99 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 Number Value (€m)  From Folklore to Science  Summarize main themes from over 100 studies covering US and Europe (Gilligan and Wright, 2010)  Performance, growth and their drivers  Role of Boards  Employment and employee relations  Asset sales, Longevity and distress Source: CMBOR
  • 4. Do Buyouts Improve Firm Performance?  Buy-outs improve profitability  Operating profitability of PE backed buy-outs greater than for comparable non-buyouts by 4.5% over first three buy- out years  Industry specialisation of private equity firm important  Similar evidence from France & NL  BUT Public to Privates [PTPs]  Emerging US and UK evidence suggests accounting returns on 1990s/2000s deals are not as great as for 1980s deals [Guo et al., 2009; Weir et al., 2008] Source: CMBOR/Barclays Private Equity/Deloitte
  • 5. Do Buyouts Improve Firm Performance?  Buy-outs improve productivity  Total factor productivity (TFP) assessed 36,000 UK manufacturing establishments  4,877 experienced MBO between 1994-8  MBO establishments were approx. 2% less productive than comparable plants before transfer ownership  After MBO substantial productivity increase  [see also Davis et al., 2009 for US]
  • 6. Does PE Affect Growth & Investment?  Refocusing & divestment greater than non-buyouts  Buy-outs improve entrepreneurial actions  New product development  Role of private equity firms  CAPEX & R&D mixed evidence  Divisional buyouts greater growth in sales, efficiency & profits (Meuleman et al., 2009)  PE backed buyouts increase patent cites (Lerner et al., 2008)  Strategic control systems enable growth
  • 7. What Drives Performance Changes?  Management team shareholding has largest impact on equity returns  After adjusting for management selecting an attractive deal  Paying a lower price gives greater scope for greater equity for management  Gains in LBOs > Gains in Leveraged Recapitalizations
  • 8. What is the role of PE and the Board?  Active PE firm monitoring important  Industry specialism & experience of deals done  Boards:  in PE buyouts active, non-bureaucratic boards that help lead strategies to create value  in listed corporations accompany management’s strategy and tend to focus on risk management
  • 9. What is the role of PE boards in distress deals?  Listed corporation non-executive directors appear generally less involved than boards in PE-backed buyouts when restructuring becomes necessary  PE firm boards more rigorous and timely in distress  PE firms have an important role in restructuring distressed portfolio firms and their strategies even following debt/equity swaps  Listed corporations can face greater problems in injecting new cash as they need to issue a formal investment proposal  [Wilson, Wright, Cressy, 2010]
  • 10. Does PE adversely affect employment & wages? Years relative to year of deal Variables t+1 t+2 t+3 t+4 t+5 MBO Employment -2.28% 2.96% 7.46% 21.43% 26.02% MBI Employment -10.22% -9.70% -11.10% -3.35% -5.02% Source: Wright et al. (2007)/CMBOR  Employment  Now many studies – employment effect contingent  Davis et al. (2008) employment grows more slowly & declines more rapidly in PE until t+4; greenfield growth (US)  Boucly et al. (2009) 3 years following LBO, targets grow faster than peers by 13% (France)  (Amess & Wright, 2007, 2010; Amess, Girma & Wright, 2008) (UK)  Majority of deals increase employment after initial fall  Employment growth in MBOs higher than non-LBOs but lower in MBIs  Buyouts whether PE or not no different employment change compared to matched firms  M&A has more negative effect than PE on employment  Wage growth in MBOs & MBIs, lower than non-LBOs
  • 11. What is Impact of PE Buyouts on Employee Relations?  Occupational pension schemes: increase but shift to defined contribution schemes based on investment performance and contributions open to new members  Increase in regular team briefings; Internal promotion as norm; work organised around team working for the majority of the staff; Formal grievance procedure; incentive pay schemes; non- managerial training  Little change in union representation; 2/3 unions in favor neutral towards buyout  More consultative committees, more influential; increased focus on employment issues and especially on discussing company’s future  Evidence of direct meetings between PE firms and employee representatives  [Bacon et al., 2008a, b]
  • 12. What is Impact of PE Buyouts in Different Social Contexts on Employee Relations?  Differences in Portfolio company context  All contexts show increase in new high performance work practices (HPWPs) after buyout; significant differences between contexts disappear after buyout  Differences in PE firm origin  Buy-outs backed by Anglo-American firms are as likely to introduce HPWPs (except for more financial incentives) as those backed by non-Anglo-American PE firms, suggesting some adaptation to local institutional contexts.  Time-scale  PE investment results in greater increases in HPWPs longer the anticipated time to exit.  The impact of PE on HPWPs is affected more by length of the investment relationship (heterogeneity of PE firm effect) than the countries where PE is going to or is coming from  [Bacon et al., 2010a, b]
  • 13. What is the Extent of Asset Sales? Substantial sell-offs mainly in few large & PTP deals Partial Sale Year CE UK No. Val. (€m) No. Val. (£m) 2000 36 420 78 4352 2001 30 51 94 8905 2002 32 2644 69 4837 2003 35 922 76 2974 2004 49 2938 73 8619 2005 54 2236 99 9145 2006 44 3786 72 6688 2007 49 6472 60 5379 2008 30 5654 44 495  Number & value of partial sales small share of deal volume and value
  • 14. Do PE Deals Involve Short Term Flipping of Assets? 80 70 70 60 avge months to exit 60 50 50 40 40 £50‐500m 30 Over £500m 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Source: CMBOR  Overall increasing time to exit but heterogeneous longevity  (see also Stromberg, 2008)  Secondary buy-outs take longer to exit  PE-backed MBOs IPO sooner; those backed by active PE exit sooner & perform better
  • 15. Can PE provide a role in distressed firms? Receiverships Increasing Source of Buy-outs 120 1200 100 1000 80 800 £ million Number 60 600 40 400 20 200 0 0 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Total Number Total Value (£m)
  • 16. What is happening to Leverage & Pricing in PE Buyouts? 60 50  Dramatic fall in senior 40 debt in financing 30 structures in 2008 20 over above £10m 10 deals 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008  Substantial increase Equity Mezzanine Debt Loan Note Other Finance in senior debt pricing Type of Senior Debt 04 05 06 07 08 above LIBOR, especially for less Tranche A 225 218 224 217 285 traditional layers Tranche B 275 250 262 265 338 Tranche C 327 283 308 303 396 Note: Data shows basis points above LIBOR
  • 17. Does Higher Leverage Increase Likelihood of Failure?  Failed vs non-failed buyouts  Failure rate affected by leverage, timing of deal & by default probability on buyout (Wright et al., 1996)  PE buyout failure vs non-buyout failure (Wilson, Wright & Altanlar, 2010)  7million firm years 1995-2009 including all UK companies  PE-backed buyouts have a significantly better coverage ratio (the ability to pay interest on debt from profit and cash-flow) than non-private equity backed businesses.  Leveraged firms [of any kind] more likely to fail  After taking into account leverage and other factors:  Private Equity backed buyouts post 2003 not significantly different in failure likelihood than non-buyouts  Buyouts and buyins without private equity more likely to fail
  • 18. What is the recovery rate in failed PE deals? ?  Secured creditors recover 62% average on bankruptcy; 30% sold as going concerns (Citron, Wright, 2008)  Recovery rates from failed PE buyouts (63%) more than twice those in failed listed corporations (26-30%) [Wilson,Wright & Cressy, 2010)  Dependent on proactive working between PE firms and banks  Banks may soon seek to recover value through equity sales, which may increase receiverships or sales to distress funds.
  • 19. Deal Types and Involvement of PE Firms Managerial Managers’ PE Model/ Expertise Innovative Skills Portfolio Mgt Leverage & Constrained Conflicted Buy- Financial Buy-outs outs Monitoring [weak complements] [strong negative substitutes] Lower Leverage Operational Radical Buy-outs & Close Value Buy-outs [strong positive [weak substitutes] complements] Adding  Need strategies to grow portfolio firms organically or build-up  Need to acquire expertise to add value & be sector focused  Select portfolio management with business skills who can identify and deliver on innovative development strategies  Need to be involved in portfolio firms beyond initial ‘100 days’
  • 20. Conclusions  Widespread evidence of positive impact of PE  Need for recalibration of traditional PE model rather than fixing a broken one  Elements of best practice detectable worldwide but believe have identified general challenges for a significant swathe of less experienced PE firms  Potential danger with pressure upon PE funds to invest  Deals completed at entry prices posing major challenges to the generation of target returns  Questioning of whether the lessons from the ending of the golden age have indeed been learnt