The economic calendar highlights several important economic data releases and events:
- Japan inflation and BOJ interest rate decision are scheduled for release, both expected to be relatively high.
- Eurozone balance of trade figures for January are expected to show a high trade deficit.
- Canadian retail sales for January are forecast to rise significantly month-over-month.
- US existing home sales for February are predicted to be moderate.
- ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to give a speech but no major policy changes are anticipated.
1. Economic Calendar
Time Currency News Impact Expectation
03:00am JPY Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
High 0.7%
06:30 am JPY BOJ Interest Rate
Decision
High -0.1%
01:30 am EUR Balance of Trade
Jan
High EUR -2.6B
04:00 am CAD Retail Sales MoM
Jan
High 2.8%
05:30 am USD Existing Home Sales
FEB
Medium 6.1M
01:00 pm EUR ECB President
Lagarde Speech
High -
2. AUD/USD TREND: Neutral
Technical Outlook:
AUD/USD forms an ‘Evening’ star formation after two sessions of massive gains. The pair remains
pressured near 0.7400. A retracement is expected in the price from higher levels.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 59 Bullish
STOCHASTIC 75 Bullish
MACD Above midline Bullish
200 EMA 0.7300 Bullish
Outlook Bullish
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Sell 0.7380 0.7350 0.7320 0.7420
3. NZD/USD TREND: Neutral
Technical Outlook:
NZD/USD fell short of 0.6900 with a bullish formation. The pair tested multi-month highs around the
mentioned level. A correction is impeding with first downside target at 0.6850.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 61 Bullish
STOCHASTIC 76 Bullish
MACD Above midline Bullish
200 EMA 0.6875 Neutral
Outlook Neutral
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
sell 0.6885 0.6915 0.6945 0.6855
4. EUR/USD TREND: Neutral
Technical Outlook:
EUR/USD paused the gains after testing highs near 1.1140. The pair trades near the crucial trading
level. A break above or below the level will set the next directional set up.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 47 Bearish
STOCHASTIC 64 Bullish
MACD Below mid line Bearish
200 EMA 1.1440 Bearish
Outlook Neutral
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Sell 1.1090 1.1060 1.1030 1.1120
5. GBP/USD TREND: Bearish
Technical Outlook:
GBP/USD make a ‘Doji’ candlestick indicates indecision among investors. However, downside is
capped near 1.3150.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 40 Bearish
STOCHASTIC 35 Bearish
MACD Below midline Bearish
200 EMA 1.3500 Bearish
Outlook Bearish
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Buy 1.3155 1.3185 1.3215 1.3125
6. USD/JPY TREND: Bullish
Technical Outlook:
USD/JPY recovered from the previous session’s lows made near 118.36. The pair bounced backed to
118.50 level. More upside gains in the pair on the cards.
Indicators 5-hour chart Status
RSI 75 Bullish
STOCHASTIC 91 Bullish
MACD Above midline Bullish
200 EMA 113.0 Bullish
Outlook Bullish
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Buy 118.75 119.05 119.35 118.45
7. USD/CAD TREND: Bearish
Technical Outlook:
After the previous session’s sell-off USD/CAD took a breather at 1.2680. A slippage below the 200-
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) at 1.2650 trigger fresh round of selling in the pair.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 43 Bearish
STOCHASTIC 13 Bearish
MACD Below midline Bearish
200 EMA 1.2650 Bearish
Outlook Bearish
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Sell 1.2620 1.2590 1.2560 1.2650
8. USD/CHF TREND: Neutral
Technical Outlook:
After retracing from the 0.9440, the pair found support near 0.9360. A break below this level will
trigger fresh round of selling in the pair.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 60 Bullish
STOCHASTIC 69 Bullish
MACD Above midline Bullish
200 EMA 0.9190 Bullish
Outlook Bullish
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Sell 0.9365 0.9335 0.9315 0.9395
9. GOLD TREND: Neutral
Technical Outlook:
XAU/USD consolidates near $1,940-$1,930 waiting for a clear direction. More downside if the price
breaks below the support level.
Indicators Daily chart Status
RSI 51 Bullish
STOCHASTIC 22 Bullish
MACD Above midline Bullish
200 EMA $1,837 Bullish
Outlook Bullish
Strategy
Action Entry Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
Buy $1,930 $1,940 $1,950 $1,920