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Investor Conference Call
Q3 2011 Results


October 27, 2011 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
Disclaimer
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current
assumptions and forecasts made by Bayer Group or subgroup management.
Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to
material differences between the actual future results, financial situation,
development or performance of the company and the estimates given here.
These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which are
available on the Bayer website at www.bayer.com.
The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-looking
statements or to conform them to future events or developments.




Page 2 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
3rd Quarter 2011 –
Bayer Confirms Group Outlook
 Delivered growth and performance, adj. sales up 5%, adj. EBITDA up 8%, reported
     EPS +123%, Core EPS +18%

 Further strategic progress:
               Innovation pipeline progress: Xarelto: positive AdCom vote, positive CHMP
                     opinion and successful ATLAS trial; Alpharadin: FDA fast track designation;
                     Regorafenib: phase III mCRC stopped early on success

               Emerging markets: 10% organic growth
               Productivity: Group wide restructuring plans with €320 million annualised savings
                     already implemented

 Group financial outlook reiterated: On track for 5-7% organic sales growth, adj.
     EBITDA > €7.5bn and Core EPS growth of ~15%




Page 3 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
3rd Quarter 2011 –
Successful Development Continued
                                                       Q3‘11        ∆%          Highlights of Financial Results
                                                       € million   € million

 Sales                                                  8,670      +1 (+5)      All subgroups contributed to sales
 EBITDA
                                                                                 growth
 - reported                                             1,731        +41
                                                                                Continuing momentum in emerging
 - adjusted                                             1,805         +8
                                                                                 markets
 EBIT
 - reported                                             1,099        +95        Adj. EBITDA raised on lower costs
 - adjusted                                             1,174        +17         at HealthCare and higher volumes
 Net income                                                  642    +125
                                                                                 at CropScience. MaterialScience
                                                                                 lower due to higher raw material and
 Net cash flow                                          1,577         +1
                                                                                 energy costs
 Free operating cash flow                               1,223         +5
 EPS                                                                            Reported EBIT impacted by net
 - reported                                             0.78€       +123         special charges of €75m (prev. year
 - core                                                 1.12€        +18         €436m)
  ( ) = Fx & portfolio adjusted


Page 4 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Emerging Markets Show Continuing
Strong Momentum
 3rd Quarter 2011 Group sales by region                                        Emerging Economies
                                                                            +7%
  USA                                                         Emerging
                                                                           ~1,300             +12%
  +3%                                                        Economies¹
                20%                             36%             +10%
                                                                                             ~1,150
                  19%                           38%




                                                                                                                 +7%               +11%
                       33%
                                            10%                                                                   450               ~430


Western Europe                                          Others²
+1%                                                      +4%

                     Group €8,670m; +5%                                   Emerging           Latin             Eastern         Africa &
                                                                           Asia³            America            Europe         Middle East

In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted                                          ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
                                                                            New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
                                                                          ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
                                                                          ³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
Page 5 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
3rd Quarter 2011 –
Cash Flow And Net Debt Development
                                Q3 2011 Cash Flow                              Net Debt Development
In € million                                                                   In € billion


                                                                                              -0.4
                     GCF                      NCF            Invest-   oFCF
                                              cont.          ments
                                                                                     7.4              7.0

                     1,327                    1,577           354      1,223


  ∆%
  y-o-y                +50                       +1            -10      +5
                                                                                    Q2´11            Q3´11




Page 6 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
HealthCare –
Emerging Markets Driving Growth
                          Q3’11 Sales                                                    Earnings
in € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted                                Adj.              Adj.
                                                              Pharma          EBITDA             EBIT
    Consumer
     Health                                     36%          -3% (0%)              1,226 +9%
    0% (+4%)                                                               1,122
                            1,537               2,663
                                                                                                     909     +16%
                                                                                               785
                                                                           739     853 +15%
                                                                                               470   600     +28%



                                                                           383     373   -3%   315   309     -2%

                HealthCare €4,200m; -2% (+2%)                              Q3‘10 Q3‘11         Q3‘10 Q3‘11

     Price                 Volume                   Fx         Portfolio
     0.6%                   1.0%                  -3.5%         0.2%

Page 7 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
CropScience –
Strong Volume Growth At Crop Protection
                          Q3’11 Sales                                                  Earnings
in € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted                              Adj.               Adj.
                                                   Crop Protection /        EBITDA              EBIT
 Environmental
    Science                                     36% BioScience
   -9% (-3%)                                         +4% (+11%)                165     +47%
                                   114          1,265

                                                                         112

                                                                                              470   600

                                                                                                       46
                                                                                                            ·
                                                                                              -18
              CropScience €1,379m; +3% (+9%)
                                                                         Q3‘10 Q3‘11          Q3‘10 Q3‘11
     Price                 Volume                   Fx       Portfolio
     -1.9%                  11.3%                 -5.9%       -0.7%

Page 8 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
MaterialScience –
Sales Driven By Higher Selling Prices
                          Q3’11 Sales                                                     Earnings
in € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted                             Adj.                           Adj.
                                                                           EBITDA                          EBIT
Polycarbonates                                     Polyurethanes
  +3% (+7%)                                     36% +4% (+7%)
                                                                         408
                              749              1,371
                                                                                   348 -15%

                                                                                                       259
                                                                                                                   196   -24%
 CAS*                   475
0% (+3%)
                                    173
    IO**
 +21% (+24%)

           MaterialScience €2,768m; +4% (+7%)                            Q3‘10 Q3‘11                 Q3‘10 Q3‘11

     Price                 Volume                   Fx       Portfolio    *CAS: Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties
     7.1%                   0.3%                  -3.7%       0.2%        ** IO: Industrial Operations


Page 9 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Full Year 2011 –
Group Outlook Confirmed
Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA pre-special items

                                                                        2011E                    2011E
                                     2010                      ∆
                                                                       Original                  Actual


  Sales                                                                  4-6%                   5-7% to
  (Fx & portf.                    €35.1bn                     +8%
  adjusted)                                                            €35-36bn                €36-37bn



  adj.                                                                  Improve
                                   €7.1bn                     +10%                             > €7.5bn
  EBITDA                                                             toward €7.5bn



  Core EPS                          €4.19                     +15%      ~10%                      ∽15%


                                                                           Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions
                                                                                   as detailed in the Annual/ Quarterly Report

Page 10 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Fiscal 2011 –
Guidance By Subgroup
                                                              Updated:
                                                              Low-single digit (prev.: low- to mid-single digit) increase of sales.
 HealthCare                                                   Expect adjusted EBITDA to grow by a mid-single digit percentage
                                                              to at least €4.6bn (prev.: small improvement).
                                                              Updated:
                                                              Expect virtually unchanged or only slightly higher sales (prev.:
    Pharma                                                    low- to mid-single digit increase). Plan to increase adj. EBITDA by
                                                              about 5%, improving the adj. EBITDA margin to approx. 30%
                                                              (prev.: raise adj. EBITDA margin).

    Consumer                                                  Unchanged:
    Health                                                    Mid-single digit growth of sales and adj. EBITDA.

                                                              Updated:
                                                              High-single-digit percentage higher sales and growth of adj.
 CropScience                                                  EBITDA by more than 20% (prev.: about 20%) compared to weak
                                                              prior year.
                                                              Updated:
                                                              Higher Q4’11 sales but lower adj. EBITDA than in Q4’10 in view of
                                                              continued increases in raw material and energy costs. Expect to
 MaterialScience                                              raise full-year sales by high-single-digit, posting slightly lower adj.
                                                              EBITDA in the region of €1.3bn (prev.: grow adj. EBITDA at a
                                                              higher rate than sales).
                                                                                            Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions
Page 11 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers                                         as detailed in the Annual/ Quarterly Report
Investor Conference Call
Q3 2011 Results


October 27, 2011 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO

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Bayer AG Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call

  • 1. Investor Conference Call Q3 2011 Results October 27, 2011 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
  • 2. Disclaimer This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by Bayer Group or subgroup management. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the actual future results, financial situation, development or performance of the company and the estimates given here. These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which are available on the Bayer website at www.bayer.com. The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-looking statements or to conform them to future events or developments. Page 2 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 3. 3rd Quarter 2011 – Bayer Confirms Group Outlook  Delivered growth and performance, adj. sales up 5%, adj. EBITDA up 8%, reported EPS +123%, Core EPS +18%  Further strategic progress:  Innovation pipeline progress: Xarelto: positive AdCom vote, positive CHMP opinion and successful ATLAS trial; Alpharadin: FDA fast track designation; Regorafenib: phase III mCRC stopped early on success  Emerging markets: 10% organic growth  Productivity: Group wide restructuring plans with €320 million annualised savings already implemented  Group financial outlook reiterated: On track for 5-7% organic sales growth, adj. EBITDA > €7.5bn and Core EPS growth of ~15% Page 3 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 4. 3rd Quarter 2011 – Successful Development Continued Q3‘11 ∆% Highlights of Financial Results € million € million Sales 8,670 +1 (+5)  All subgroups contributed to sales EBITDA growth - reported 1,731 +41  Continuing momentum in emerging - adjusted 1,805 +8 markets EBIT - reported 1,099 +95  Adj. EBITDA raised on lower costs - adjusted 1,174 +17 at HealthCare and higher volumes Net income 642 +125 at CropScience. MaterialScience lower due to higher raw material and Net cash flow 1,577 +1 energy costs Free operating cash flow 1,223 +5 EPS  Reported EBIT impacted by net - reported 0.78€ +123 special charges of €75m (prev. year - core 1.12€ +18 €436m) ( ) = Fx & portfolio adjusted Page 4 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 5. Emerging Markets Show Continuing Strong Momentum 3rd Quarter 2011 Group sales by region Emerging Economies +7% USA Emerging ~1,300 +12% +3% Economies¹ 20% 36% +10% ~1,150 19% 38% +7% +11% 33% 10% 450 ~430 Western Europe Others² +1% +4% Group €8,670m; +5% Emerging Latin Eastern Africa & Asia³ America Europe Middle East In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted ¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada ³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand Page 5 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 6. 3rd Quarter 2011 – Cash Flow And Net Debt Development Q3 2011 Cash Flow Net Debt Development In € million In € billion -0.4 GCF NCF Invest- oFCF cont. ments 7.4 7.0 1,327 1,577 354 1,223 ∆% y-o-y +50 +1 -10 +5 Q2´11 Q3´11 Page 6 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 7. HealthCare – Emerging Markets Driving Growth Q3’11 Sales Earnings in € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted Adj. Adj. Pharma EBITDA EBIT Consumer Health 36% -3% (0%) 1,226 +9% 0% (+4%) 1,122 1,537 2,663 909 +16% 785 739 853 +15% 470 600 +28% 383 373 -3% 315 309 -2% HealthCare €4,200m; -2% (+2%) Q3‘10 Q3‘11 Q3‘10 Q3‘11 Price Volume Fx Portfolio 0.6% 1.0% -3.5% 0.2% Page 7 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 8. CropScience – Strong Volume Growth At Crop Protection Q3’11 Sales Earnings in € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted Adj. Adj. Crop Protection / EBITDA EBIT Environmental Science 36% BioScience -9% (-3%) +4% (+11%) 165 +47% 114 1,265 112 470 600 46 · -18 CropScience €1,379m; +3% (+9%) Q3‘10 Q3‘11 Q3‘10 Q3‘11 Price Volume Fx Portfolio -1.9% 11.3% -5.9% -0.7% Page 8 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 9. MaterialScience – Sales Driven By Higher Selling Prices Q3’11 Sales Earnings in € million, ∆% yoy, () = Fx & portf. adjusted Adj. Adj. EBITDA EBIT Polycarbonates Polyurethanes +3% (+7%) 36% +4% (+7%) 408 749 1,371 348 -15% 259 196 -24% CAS* 475 0% (+3%) 173 IO** +21% (+24%) MaterialScience €2,768m; +4% (+7%) Q3‘10 Q3‘11 Q3‘10 Q3‘11 Price Volume Fx Portfolio *CAS: Coatings, Adhesives, Specialties 7.1% 0.3% -3.7% 0.2% ** IO: Industrial Operations Page 9 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 10. Full Year 2011 – Group Outlook Confirmed Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA pre-special items 2011E 2011E 2010 ∆ Original Actual Sales 4-6% 5-7% to (Fx & portf. €35.1bn +8% adjusted) €35-36bn €36-37bn adj. Improve €7.1bn +10% > €7.5bn EBITDA toward €7.5bn Core EPS €4.19 +15% ~10% ∽15% Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual/ Quarterly Report Page 10 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
  • 11. Fiscal 2011 – Guidance By Subgroup Updated: Low-single digit (prev.: low- to mid-single digit) increase of sales. HealthCare Expect adjusted EBITDA to grow by a mid-single digit percentage to at least €4.6bn (prev.: small improvement). Updated: Expect virtually unchanged or only slightly higher sales (prev.: Pharma low- to mid-single digit increase). Plan to increase adj. EBITDA by about 5%, improving the adj. EBITDA margin to approx. 30% (prev.: raise adj. EBITDA margin). Consumer Unchanged: Health Mid-single digit growth of sales and adj. EBITDA. Updated: High-single-digit percentage higher sales and growth of adj. CropScience EBITDA by more than 20% (prev.: about 20%) compared to weak prior year. Updated: Higher Q4’11 sales but lower adj. EBITDA than in Q4’10 in view of continued increases in raw material and energy costs. Expect to MaterialScience raise full-year sales by high-single-digit, posting slightly lower adj. EBITDA in the region of €1.3bn (prev.: grow adj. EBITDA at a higher rate than sales). Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions Page 11 • Q3 2011 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers as detailed in the Annual/ Quarterly Report
  • 12. Investor Conference Call Q3 2011 Results October 27, 2011 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO