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For ‘the 2 nd  International CEO Roundtable of Chinese and Foreign Multinational Corporations’  REIT Real Estate Investment Trust Prepared  by: Ben Tse Valuation & Advisory Services, Greater China CB Richard Ellis 15 th  November 2008
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
REIT Development SINGAPORE JAPAN TAIWAN 20 S-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 8.2 billion 8  T-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 1.2 billion 4 listed CR-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 0.15 billion SOUTH KOREA MALAYSIA 13 REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 1.2 billion HONG KONG 7 listed H-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 5.1 billion 42 listed J-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 23.3 billion Data as of late October 2008 REITs in Asia  (excluding Property Funds) Source: Bloomberg and CBRE Research
REIT Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Bloomberg and CBRE Research 1.2 (-14.3%) 1.4 13 11 Malaysia 78.2 0.8 1.7 8.9 18.9 46.5 As of  late Oct 2007 As of  late Oct 2008 As of  late Oct 2008 As of  late Oct 2007 94 9 8 7 17 42 39.2 (-50.0%) 94 TOTAL 0.15 (-81.3%) 4 South Korea 1.2 (-29.4%) 8 Taiwan 5.1 (-42.7%) 7 Hong Kong 8.2 (-56.6%) 20 Singapore 42 No. of listed REITs 23.3 (-50.0%) Japan Market Capitalization (US$ billion)
REIT Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
REIT Legislation ,[object Object],[object Object]
REIT Legislation Source: CBRE Research Ratings of twAA or above by two credit rating agencies: 50%; ratings of twA or above: 35%; those with credit ratings: 25% Capped at 45% of gross asset value Over 35% of total assets permitted with disclosed credit rating (capped at 60%) No restriction  Leverage Prohibited – this rule is undergoing revision to allow for urban renewal infrastructure or public amenities construction Prohibited, but H-REIT may acquire uncompleted units comprising less than 10% NAV Property developments and investments in uncompleted projects should not exceed 10%  Restricted – at least 50% of total assets are income producing and unlikely be sold within one year Property developments No restriction under the RESA; subject to approval No No No restriction under the Investment Trust and Investment Company Act, but no overseas acquisition have been made as the requirements on real estate appraisal of overseas properties are ambiguous Geographical restrictions cash, government bonds, property, property-related rights, beneficiary securities or ABS issued under real estate securitization  Act/Financial Asset Securitization Act (RESA/FASA) must form at least 75% of the NAV Only invest in real estate At least 70% of deposited property should be invested in real estate or real estate-related assets For listed J-REIT, at least 75% of assets must be invested in real estate % invested in real estate Internal/External Internal/External External External Management structure Trust (Real estate asset trust or investment trust) Unit Trust Collective Investment scheme (Unit Trust) or corporate Trust or corporate (listed REITs are all corporations) Structure Taiwan Hong Kong Singapore Japan
REIT Legislation Source: CBRE Research 50% of total asset value (revised from 35%) REITs are permitted to have exceptional borrowing up to 1000% of equity capital, upon special approval of shareholders Leverage Prohibited, but may enter into conditional forward purchase agreement with cover for construction risks Allow Property developments No restriction basically, subject to approval from SC and relevant authorities No Geographical restrictions At least 75% in real estate, SPCs, real estate-related assets or  liquid assets for listed REITs. The criteria for unlisted REIT is 70% At least 70% in real estates or corporate restructuring related properties % invested in real estate External Internal/External Management structure Unit trust Corporate-Restructuring, Entrusted Management, Development-Specialized, Self-Managed Structure Malaysia South Korea
[object Object]
REIT Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT Structure ,[object Object],[object Object],Services Services Trust Manager Asset  Management  Company REIT Properties REIT Holders
[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],4.62 0049 Wheelock Properties 5.06 Average 16.20 Average 5.24 0014 Hysan 5.33 0004 Wharf Holdings Source: Bloomberg 24.90 01881 Regal REIT 20.68 00435 Sunlight REIT 20.87 02778 Champion REIT 15.90 00405 GZI REIT 16.45 00808 Prosperity REIT 5.55 00823 The Link REIT 9.06 00625 RREEF CCT REIT Dividend Yield Stock Code Name of REIT
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risks of a REIT Volatility of HK REITs vs. HK property stocks 49.08 0049 Wheelock Properties 52.05 Average 38.46 Average 47.03 0014 Hysan 60.04 0004 Wharf Holdings Source: Bloomberg 49.14 Hang Seng Index 38.20 1881 Regal REIT 35.06 0435 Sunlight REIT 45.10 2778 Champion REIT 33.77 0405 GZI REIT 40.16 808 Prosperity 33.84 0823 The link REIT 43.09 0625 RREEF CCT REIT Annualized Volatility Stock Code Name of REIT
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],0.84 0049 Wheelock Properties 0.85 Average 0.72 Average 0.81 0014 Hysan 0.91 0004 Wharf Holdings Source: Bloomberg 0.76 1881 Regal REIT 0.80 435 Sunlight REIT 0.70 2778 Champion REIT 0.72 405 GZI REIT 0.69 808 Prosperity 0.61 823 The link REIT 0.74 625 RREEF CCT REIT Beta Stock Code Name of REIT
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Risks of a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT vs. Direct Property Investment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT vs. Direct Property Investment   REIT     Properties                 Revenue     Property Income - Interest Payment (depends on leverage) - Landlord's Expenses   - Management Expenses     Net Income    Yield     Operating income         - Tax           Net Income         x Payout Ratio           Dividend    Dividend Yield        
REIT vs. Direct Property Investment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],Source: Bloomberg and CBRE Research - 61.6% 1.98 5.150 22-Jun-07 00625 RREEF CCT REIT - 73.1% 0.72 2.680 30-Mar-07 01881 Regal REIT - 55.0% 1.17 2.600 21-Dec-06 00435 Sunlight REIT - 64.1% 1.83 5.100 24-May-06 02778 Champion REIT - 51.2% 1.50 3.075 21-Dec-05 00405 GZI REIT - 62.0% 0.82 2.160 16-Dec-05 00808 Prosperity REIT + 30.1% 13.40 10.300 25-Nov-05 00823 The Link REIT % change since Date Listed Closing price as of late Oct 08 (HK$) Offer price (HK$) Date Listed Stock Code Name of REIT
Impact of Subprime Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hong Kong Hang Seng Index 香港恒生指数 Source: http://hk.finance.yahoo.com
Impact of Subprime Crisis Stock Price Performance From early-Nov 2007 to late-Oct 2008 Link REIT  领汇房地产投资信托基金 Prosperity REIT  泓富产业信托 GZI REIT  越秀房地产投资信托基金 Champion REIT  冠君产业信托 - 23.8% - 48.8% - 52.7% - 60.2% Source: http://hk.finance.yahoo.com
Impact of Subprime Crisis Stock Price Performance From early-Nov 2007 to late-Oct 2008 ,[object Object],[object Object],Sunlight REIT  阳光房地产投资信托基金 Regal REIT  富豪产业信托 RREEF CCT REIT 睿富中國商業房地產投資信托基金 - 53.6% - 70.4% - 44.8% Source: http://hk.finance.yahoo.com
[object Object]
REIT in Mainland China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT in Mainland China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT in Mainland China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
REIT in Mainland China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Managing a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Risk  Management Sustainable  Development Property  Portfolio  Management Cash Flow  Analysis Leasing Acquisition &  Disposal  of Assets Advice on  Capital Market  Activities Strategic Levels
Managing a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Managing a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Managing a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Decision Analysis Payback method Return on  capital employed approach Discounted  cash flow  approach Net present value  technique Internal  rate of return  approach
Managing a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Managing a REIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object]

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Ceo Presentation Reit

  • 1. For ‘the 2 nd International CEO Roundtable of Chinese and Foreign Multinational Corporations’ REIT Real Estate Investment Trust Prepared by: Ben Tse Valuation & Advisory Services, Greater China CB Richard Ellis 15 th November 2008
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  • 4. REIT Development SINGAPORE JAPAN TAIWAN 20 S-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 8.2 billion 8 T-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 1.2 billion 4 listed CR-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 0.15 billion SOUTH KOREA MALAYSIA 13 REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 1.2 billion HONG KONG 7 listed H-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 5.1 billion 42 listed J-REITs Mkt. Cap. about US$ 23.3 billion Data as of late October 2008 REITs in Asia (excluding Property Funds) Source: Bloomberg and CBRE Research
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  • 10. REIT Legislation Source: CBRE Research Ratings of twAA or above by two credit rating agencies: 50%; ratings of twA or above: 35%; those with credit ratings: 25% Capped at 45% of gross asset value Over 35% of total assets permitted with disclosed credit rating (capped at 60%) No restriction Leverage Prohibited – this rule is undergoing revision to allow for urban renewal infrastructure or public amenities construction Prohibited, but H-REIT may acquire uncompleted units comprising less than 10% NAV Property developments and investments in uncompleted projects should not exceed 10% Restricted – at least 50% of total assets are income producing and unlikely be sold within one year Property developments No restriction under the RESA; subject to approval No No No restriction under the Investment Trust and Investment Company Act, but no overseas acquisition have been made as the requirements on real estate appraisal of overseas properties are ambiguous Geographical restrictions cash, government bonds, property, property-related rights, beneficiary securities or ABS issued under real estate securitization Act/Financial Asset Securitization Act (RESA/FASA) must form at least 75% of the NAV Only invest in real estate At least 70% of deposited property should be invested in real estate or real estate-related assets For listed J-REIT, at least 75% of assets must be invested in real estate % invested in real estate Internal/External Internal/External External External Management structure Trust (Real estate asset trust or investment trust) Unit Trust Collective Investment scheme (Unit Trust) or corporate Trust or corporate (listed REITs are all corporations) Structure Taiwan Hong Kong Singapore Japan
  • 11. REIT Legislation Source: CBRE Research 50% of total asset value (revised from 35%) REITs are permitted to have exceptional borrowing up to 1000% of equity capital, upon special approval of shareholders Leverage Prohibited, but may enter into conditional forward purchase agreement with cover for construction risks Allow Property developments No restriction basically, subject to approval from SC and relevant authorities No Geographical restrictions At least 75% in real estate, SPCs, real estate-related assets or liquid assets for listed REITs. The criteria for unlisted REIT is 70% At least 70% in real estates or corporate restructuring related properties % invested in real estate External Internal/External Management structure Unit trust Corporate-Restructuring, Entrusted Management, Development-Specialized, Self-Managed Structure Malaysia South Korea
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  • 30. Risks of a REIT Volatility of HK REITs vs. HK property stocks 49.08 0049 Wheelock Properties 52.05 Average 38.46 Average 47.03 0014 Hysan 60.04 0004 Wharf Holdings Source: Bloomberg 49.14 Hang Seng Index 38.20 1881 Regal REIT 35.06 0435 Sunlight REIT 45.10 2778 Champion REIT 33.77 0405 GZI REIT 40.16 808 Prosperity 33.84 0823 The link REIT 43.09 0625 RREEF CCT REIT Annualized Volatility Stock Code Name of REIT
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  • 39. REIT vs. Direct Property Investment   REIT     Properties                 Revenue     Property Income - Interest Payment (depends on leverage) - Landlord's Expenses   - Management Expenses     Net Income  Yield     Operating income         - Tax           Net Income         x Payout Ratio           Dividend  Dividend Yield        
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  • 52. Impact of Subprime Crisis Stock Price Performance From early-Nov 2007 to late-Oct 2008 Link REIT 领汇房地产投资信托基金 Prosperity REIT 泓富产业信托 GZI REIT 越秀房地产投资信托基金 Champion REIT 冠君产业信托 - 23.8% - 48.8% - 52.7% - 60.2% Source: http://hk.finance.yahoo.com
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